15.77 USD
-0.32 (-1.99%)
15.77 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, TWIN scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. TWIN was compared to 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. TWIN has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. TWIN is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year TWIN was profitable.
TWIN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years TWIN reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years TWIN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
TWIN's Return On Assets of 0.10% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TWIN is outperformed by 68.46% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of TWIN (0.22%) is worse than 67.69% of its industry peers.
TWIN has a worse Return On Invested Capital (4.66%) than 61.54% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TWIN is significantly below the industry average of 10.39%.
The 3 year average ROIC (4.31%) for TWIN is below the current ROIC(4.66%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.1% | ||
| ROE | 0.22% | ||
| ROIC | 4.66% |
ROA(3y)2.19%
ROA(5y)-0.08%
ROE(3y)4.37%
ROE(5y)-0.33%
ROIC(3y)4.31%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
TWIN has a Profit Margin of 0.10%. This is in the lower half of the industry: TWIN underperforms 66.92% of its industry peers.
TWIN's Operating Margin of 4.09% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TWIN is outperformed by 65.38% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TWIN has declined.
TWIN has a Gross Margin (28.16%) which is in line with its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TWIN has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 4.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.1% | ||
| GM | 28.16% |
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.33%
GM growth 5Y3.81%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TWIN is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for TWIN has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for TWIN has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
TWIN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
TWIN has an Altman-Z score of 2.69. This is not the best score and indicates that TWIN is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of TWIN (2.69) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
TWIN has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.88. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as TWIN would need 10.88 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 10.88, TWIN is doing worse than 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29 indicates that TWIN is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.29, TWIN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.15% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.69 |
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC9.46%
2.3 Liquidity
TWIN has a Current Ratio of 2.08. This indicates that TWIN is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
TWIN has a Current ratio (2.08) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.79 indicates that TWIN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
TWIN has a Quick ratio of 0.79. This is in the lower half of the industry: TWIN underperforms 76.92% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.79 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
TWIN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -95.65%.
Looking at the last year, TWIN shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 14.24% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.66% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-95.65%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%80%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14.24%
Revenue growth 3Y11.94%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%9.73%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, TWIN will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 251.36% on average per year.
TWIN is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.72% yearly.
EPS Next Y916%
EPS Next 2Y251.36%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year9.01%
Revenue Next 2Y8.72%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 788.50, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TWIN.
TWIN's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. TWIN is more expensive than 73.85% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.46, TWIN is valued quite expensively.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.89, the valuation of TWIN can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TWIN is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.77% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 36.10, TWIN is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 788.5 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.89 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TWIN indicates a rather cheap valuation: TWIN is cheaper than 83.08% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of TWIN indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: TWIN is more expensive than 64.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 49.61 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.1 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as TWIN's earnings are expected to grow with 251.36% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.86
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y251.36%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.03%, TWIN has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
TWIN's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.90.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.32, TWIN's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.03% |
5.2 History
The dividend of TWIN decreases each year by -14.70%.
TWIN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
TWIN has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-14.7%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
TWIN pays out 647.73% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP647.73%
EPS Next 2Y251.36%
EPS Next 3YN/A
15.77
-0.32 (-1.99%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners62.61%
Inst Owner Change0.63%
Ins Owners21.17%
Ins Owner Change5.35%
Market Cap226.93M
Revenue(TTM)347.84M
Net Income(TTM)352.00K
Analysts82.86
Price Target24.48 (55.23%)
Short Float %0.28%
Short Ratio0.84
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.03% |
Yearly Dividend0.16
Dividend Growth(5Y)-14.7%
DP647.73%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-179.19%
Min EPS beat(2)-296.08%
Max EPS beat(2)-62.29%
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.97%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.59%
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)37.14%
PT rev (3m)100%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-19.23%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 788.5 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.89 | ||
| P/S | 0.65 | ||
| P/FCF | 49.61 | ||
| P/OCF | 10.91 | ||
| P/B | 1.42 | ||
| P/tB | 1.57 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 9.1 |
EPS(TTM)0.02
EY0.13%
EPS(NY)1.45
Fwd EY9.18%
FCF(TTM)0.32
FCFY2.02%
OCF(TTM)1.45
OCFY9.17%
SpS24.17
BVpS11.14
TBVpS10.07
PEG (NY)0.86
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number2.24
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.1% | ||
| ROE | 0.22% | ||
| ROCE | 5.9% | ||
| ROIC | 4.66% | ||
| ROICexc | 4.95% | ||
| ROICexgc | 5.31% | ||
| OM | 4.09% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 0.1% | ||
| GM | 28.16% | ||
| FCFM | 1.31% |
ROA(3y)2.19%
ROA(5y)-0.08%
ROE(3y)4.37%
ROE(5y)-0.33%
ROIC(3y)4.31%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)4.68%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)5.04%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)5.46%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-0.52%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.7%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-6.57%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.33%
GM growth 5Y3.81%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.96
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.88 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.56 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 107.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 4.66% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 70.86% | ||
| Profit Quality | 1299.43% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.08 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.79 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.69 |
F-Score4
WACC9.46%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)91.19%
Cap/Depr(5y)72.56%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.42%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.85%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-95.65%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%80%
EPS Next Y916%
EPS Next 2Y251.36%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)14.24%
Revenue growth 3Y11.94%
Revenue growth 5Y6.66%
Sales Q2Q%9.73%
Revenue Next Year9.01%
Revenue Next 2Y8.72%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y20.41%
EBIT growth 3Y4.58%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year163.51%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-80.97%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-37.73%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y21.33%
TWIN DISC INC / TWIN FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for TWIN stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to TWIN.
What is the valuation status of TWIN DISC INC (TWIN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to TWIN DISC INC (TWIN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is TWIN DISC INC (TWIN) stock?
TWIN DISC INC (TWIN) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.
What is the financial health of TWIN DISC INC (TWIN) stock?
The financial health rating of TWIN DISC INC (TWIN) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TWIN stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TWIN DISC INC (TWIN) is expected to grow by 916% in the next year.