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TWIN DISC INC (TWIN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:TWIN - Nasdaq - US9014761012 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

11.16  -0.23 (-2.02%)

After market: 11.16 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, TWIN scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. TWIN was compared to 128 industry peers in the Machinery industry. TWIN scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. TWIN is valued expensive and it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year TWIN was profitable.
In the past year TWIN had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years TWIN reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
TWIN had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
TWIN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTWIN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M

1.2 Ratios

TWIN has a Return On Assets (2.90%) which is in line with its industry peers.
TWIN has a Return On Equity (5.96%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
TWIN has a worse Return On Invested Capital (3.94%) than 65.87% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TWIN is significantly below the industry average of 11.01%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.9%
ROE 5.96%
ROIC 3.94%
ROA(3y)3.64%
ROA(5y)-2.68%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)-5.81%
ROIC(3y)4.04%
ROIC(5y)N/A
TWIN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTWIN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -10 -20

1.3 Margins

TWIN has a Profit Margin (3.09%) which is in line with its industry peers.
TWIN's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
TWIN has a worse Operating Margin (3.88%) than 65.87% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TWIN has declined.
TWIN has a Gross Margin (28.25%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
TWIN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.88%
PM (TTM) 3.09%
GM 28.25%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-9.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y1.04%
GM growth 3Y6.63%
GM growth 5Y-0.94%
TWIN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTWIN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20 30

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

TWIN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, TWIN has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, TWIN has more shares outstanding
TWIN has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
TWIN Yearly Shares OutstandingTWIN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2M 4M 6M 8M 10M
TWIN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTWIN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M

2.2 Solvency

TWIN has an Altman-Z score of 2.65. This is not the best score and indicates that TWIN is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
TWIN has a Altman-Z score of 2.65. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TWIN outperforms 47.62% of its industry peers.
TWIN has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.04. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as TWIN would need 3.04 years to pay back of all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 3.04, TWIN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.25% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.21 indicates that TWIN is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.21, TWIN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 67.46% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF 3.04
Altman-Z 2.65
ROIC/WACC0.38
WACC10.28%
TWIN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTWIN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M 150M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.23 indicates that TWIN has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
TWIN has a Current ratio (2.23) which is in line with its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.84 indicates that TWIN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
TWIN has a Quick ratio of 0.84. This is in the lower half of the industry: TWIN underperforms 77.78% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.23
Quick Ratio 0.84
TWIN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTWIN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M

1

3. Growth

3.1 Past

TWIN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -42.50%.
Measured over the past 5 years, TWIN shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 2.25% on average per year.
TWIN shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.54%.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.51% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-42.5%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y2.25%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.54%
Revenue growth 3Y10.52%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.51%
Sales Q2Q%23.19%

3.2 Future

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
EPS Next YN/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
TWIN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTWIN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M
TWIN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTWIN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1 -1 -2

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 24.26, the valuation of TWIN can be described as rather expensive.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as TWIN.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.09, TWIN is valued at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.26
Fwd PE N/A
TWIN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTWIN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 0 0 0 0

4.2 Price Multiples

TWIN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TWIN is cheaper than 84.92% of the companies in the same industry.
91.27% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TWIN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 12.91
EV/EBITDA 7.88
TWIN Per share dataTWIN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)10.79
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

TWIN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.40%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
TWIN's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.65.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.30, TWIN is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.4%

5.2 History

The dividend of TWIN decreases each year by -19.50%.
TWIN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
TWIN has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-19.5%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
TWIN Yearly Dividends per shareTWIN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2023 2024 2025 0.1 0.2 0.3

5.3 Sustainability

TWIN pays out 24.11% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP24.11%
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
TWIN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTWIN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20M -20M
TWIN Dividend Payout.TWIN Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TWIN Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

TWIN DISC INC

NASDAQ:TWIN (2/7/2025, 8:01:00 PM)

After market: 11.16 0 (0%)

11.16

-0.23 (-2.02%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-05 2025-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-28 2025-04-28
Inst Owners66.18%
Inst Owner Change-23.38%
Ins Owners20.43%
Ins Owner Change0.12%
Market Cap157.36M
Analysts43.33
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %0.73%
Short Ratio3.36
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.4%
Yearly Dividend0.12
Dividend Growth(5Y)-19.5%
DP24.11%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-14 2025-02-14 (0.04)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 24.26
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.52
P/FCF 12.91
P/OCF 8.04
P/B 1
P/tB 1.08
EV/EBITDA 7.88
EPS(TTM)0.46
EY4.12%
EPS(NY)N/A
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)0.86
FCFY7.75%
OCF(TTM)1.39
OCFY12.44%
SpS21.59
BVpS11.17
TBVpS10.3
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)10.79
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.9%
ROE 5.96%
ROCE 5.37%
ROIC 3.94%
ROICexc 4.27%
ROICexgc 4.54%
OM 3.88%
PM (TTM) 3.09%
GM 28.25%
FCFM 4%
ROA(3y)3.64%
ROA(5y)-2.68%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)-5.81%
ROIC(3y)4.04%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)4.38%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)4.71%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)5.5%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-7.24%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-4.36%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-9.44%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y1.04%
GM growth 3Y6.63%
GM growth 5Y-0.94%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.94
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.21
Debt/FCF 3.04
Debt/EBITDA 1.46
Cap/Depr 68.78%
Cap/Sales 2.42%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 86.82%
Profit Quality 129.77%
Current Ratio 2.23
Quick Ratio 0.84
Altman-Z 2.65
F-Score4
WACC10.28%
ROIC/WACC0.38
Cap/Depr(3y)73.79%
Cap/Depr(5y)70.15%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.83%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-42.5%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y2.25%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next YN/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.54%
Revenue growth 3Y10.52%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.51%
Sales Q2Q%23.19%
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-13%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-9.9%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y169.67%
FCF growth 3Y129.46%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y271.99%
OCF growth 3Y72.84%
OCF growth 5YN/A