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TUSIMPLE HOLDINGS INC - A (TSP) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:TSP - Nasdaq - US90089L1089 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

0.25  -0.02 (-5.66%)

After market: 0.2599 +0.01 (+3.96%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to TSP. TSP was compared to 39 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. The financial health of TSP is average, but there are quite some concerns on its profitability. TSP is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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0

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

TSP had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year TSP has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
TSP had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years TSP always reported negative operating cash flow.
TSP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTSP Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 -200M -400M -600M

1.2 Ratios

TSP's Return On Assets of -42.32% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TSP is outperformed by 94.44% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of TSP (-46.55%) is worse than 88.89% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -42.32%
ROE -46.55%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-51.36%
ROA(5y)-68.42%
ROE(3y)-60.55%
ROE(5y)-83.73%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
TSP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTSP Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

TSP does not have Profit Margin and Operating Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
TSP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTSP Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 -100K -200K -300K -400K

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5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

TSP does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
Compared to 1 year ago, TSP has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for TSP has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TSP Yearly Shares OutstandingTSP Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 50M 100M 150M 200M
TSP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTSP Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

TSP has an Altman-Z score of -3.00. This is a bad value and indicates that TSP is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of -3.00, TSP is not doing good in the industry: 88.89% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.01 indicates that TSP is not too dependend on debt financing.
With an excellent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.01, TSP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -3
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC10.22%
TSP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTSP Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 21.32 indicates that TSP has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With an excellent Current ratio value of 21.32, TSP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
TSP has a Quick Ratio of 21.32. This indicates that TSP is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 21.32, TSP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 21.32
Quick Ratio 21.32
TSP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTSP Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

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5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 21.78% over the past year.
TSP shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -77.28%.
TSP shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 136.32% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.78%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%46%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-77.28%
Revenue growth 3Y136.32%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-100%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, TSP will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 3.49% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 154.10% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y35.48%
EPS Next 2Y10.1%
EPS Next 3Y-13.87%
EPS Next 5Y3.49%
Revenue Next Year-96.83%
Revenue Next 2Y-85.64%
Revenue Next 3Y191.35%
Revenue Next 5Y154.1%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
TSP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTSP Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
TSP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTSP Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 -2 -4 -6 -8

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0

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

TSP reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year TSP is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
TSP Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTSP Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
TSP Per share dataTSP EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 -1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

TSP's earnings are expected to decrease with -13.87% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y10.1%
EPS Next 3Y-13.87%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for TSP!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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TUSIMPLE HOLDINGS INC - A

NASDAQ:TSP (2/6/2024, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 0.2599 +0.01 (+3.96%)

0.25

-0.02 (-5.66%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)02-07 2024-02-07/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners0.12%
Inst Owner Change-99.4%
Ins Owners7.13%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap57.47M
Analysts41.82
Price Target0.74 (196%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)34.85%
Min EPS beat(2)18.25%
Max EPS beat(2)51.46%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)25.71%
Min EPS beat(4)-5.85%
Max EPS beat(4)51.46%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)17.37%
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-99.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)-100%
Max Revenue beat(2)-98.95%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-80.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-100%
Max Revenue beat(4)-26.89%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-50.36%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-78.61%
PT rev (3m)-79.12%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)19.46%
EPS NY rev (1m)5.69%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-96.51%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-97.26%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 26.49
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B 0.07
P/tB 0.07
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-1.58
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-1.65
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-1.3
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1.27
OCFYN/A
SpS0.01
BVpS3.36
TBVpS3.36
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -42.32%
ROE -46.55%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-51.36%
ROA(5y)-68.42%
ROE(3y)-60.55%
ROE(5y)-83.73%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover0
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.01
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 27.89%
Cap/Sales 312.9%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 21.32
Quick Ratio 21.32
Altman-Z -3
F-Score3
WACC10.22%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)85.29%
Cap/Depr(5y)167.97%
Cap/Sales(3y)206.13%
Cap/Sales(5y)20439.2%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)21.78%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%46%
EPS Next Y35.48%
EPS Next 2Y10.1%
EPS Next 3Y-13.87%
EPS Next 5Y3.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-77.28%
Revenue growth 3Y136.32%
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-100%
Revenue Next Year-96.83%
Revenue Next 2Y-85.64%
Revenue Next 3Y191.35%
Revenue Next 5Y154.1%
EBIT growth 1Y15.96%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year-74.55%
EBIT Next 3Y-4.98%
EBIT Next 5Y23.73%
FCF growth 1Y-24.69%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-29.44%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A