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TESLA INC (TSLA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:TSLA - Nasdaq - US88160R1014 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

405.02  +4.74 (+1.18%)

Fundamental Rating

6

TSLA gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 42 industry peers in the Automobiles industry. TSLA has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. TSLA has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year TSLA was profitable.
In the past year TSLA had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years TSLA 4 years were profitable.
TSLA had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
TSLA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTSLA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B

1.2 Ratios

TSLA has a better Return On Assets (10.63%) than 95.00% of its industry peers.
TSLA has a Return On Equity of 18.22%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TSLA outperforms 92.50% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.29%, TSLA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.50% of the companies in the same industry.
TSLA had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 13.59%. This is above the industry average of 9.39%.
The 3 year average ROIC (13.59%) for TSLA is well above the current ROIC(7.29%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.63%
ROE 18.22%
ROIC 7.29%
ROA(3y)12.75%
ROA(5y)7.41%
ROE(3y)23.46%
ROE(5y)12.07%
ROIC(3y)13.59%
ROIC(5y)9.04%
TSLA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTSLA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40 -60 -80

1.3 Margins

TSLA's Profit Margin of 13.12% is amongst the best of the industry. TSLA outperforms 97.50% of its industry peers.
TSLA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 8.48%, TSLA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TSLA has grown nicely.
TSLA has a Gross Margin of 18.23%. This is in the better half of the industry: TSLA outperforms 67.50% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TSLA has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.48%
PM (TTM) 13.12%
GM 18.23%
OM growth 3Y13.26%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y92.05%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.61%
GM growth 5Y-0.63%
TSLA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTSLA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20 -20

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TSLA is still creating some value.
TSLA has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
TSLA Yearly Shares OutstandingTSLA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B
TSLA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTSLA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.2 Solvency

TSLA has an Altman-Z score of 17.12. This indicates that TSLA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
TSLA has a Altman-Z score of 17.12. This is amongst the best in the industry. TSLA outperforms 97.50% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TSLA is 2.13, which is a good value as it means it would take TSLA, 2.13 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TSLA has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.13) than 97.50% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.08 indicates that TSLA is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.08, TSLA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.08
Debt/FCF 2.13
Altman-Z 17.12
ROIC/WACC0.62
WACC11.8%
TSLA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTSLA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20B 40B 60B

2.3 Liquidity

TSLA has a Current Ratio of 1.84. This is a normal value and indicates that TSLA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TSLA has a better Current ratio (1.84) than 67.50% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.37 indicates that TSLA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.37, TSLA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.84
Quick Ratio 1.37
TSLA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTSLA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B 40B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for TSLA have decreased strongly by -22.68% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, TSLA shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 103.90% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.68%
EPS 3Y2.31%
EPS 5Y103.9%
EPS Q2Q%2.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%2.15%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, TSLA will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 27.82% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 18.06% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y37.82%
EPS Next 2Y30.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.95%
EPS Next 5Y27.82%
Revenue Next Year16.24%
Revenue Next 2Y16.46%
Revenue Next 3Y15.49%
Revenue Next 5Y18.06%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
TSLA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTSLA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 100B 200B 300B 400B
TSLA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTSLA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 0 5 10 15

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 167.36, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TSLA.
TSLA's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. TSLA is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
TSLA is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.51, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 121.44, the valuation of TSLA can be described as expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TSLA indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TSLA is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TSLA to the average of the S&P500 Index (93.88), we can say TSLA is valued slightly more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 167.36
Fwd PE 121.44
TSLA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTSLA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 100 200 300

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TSLA is valued a bit cheaper than 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
TSLA's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TSLA is cheaper than 82.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 360.15
EV/EBITDA 93.22
TSLA Per share dataTSLA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates TSLA does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The excellent profitability rating of TSLA may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as TSLA's earnings are expected to grow with 24.95% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)4.43
PEG (5Y)1.61
EPS Next 2Y30.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.95%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

TSLA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

TESLA INC

NASDAQ:TSLA (1/31/2025, 2:53:10 PM)

405.02

+4.74 (+1.18%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupAutomobiles & Components
GICS IndustryAutomobiles
Earnings (Last)01-29 2025-01-29/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners47.13%
Inst Owner Change-0.45%
Ins Owners12.92%
Ins Owner Change-1.83%
Market Cap1300.14B
Analysts66.67
Price Target319.27 (-21.17%)
Short Float %2.41%
Short Ratio0.72
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-18.25%
Max EPS beat(2)20.83%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.94%
Min EPS beat(4)-18.25%
Max EPS beat(4)20.83%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.98%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)4.6%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)6.62%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.89%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.7%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.93%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.6%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.96%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.93%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.22%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.4%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.85%
PT rev (1m)19.06%
PT rev (3m)32.43%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.15%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)8.39%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.48%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.52%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 167.36
Fwd PE 121.44
P/S 13.38
P/FCF 360.15
P/OCF 89.79
P/B 18.59
P/tB 18.75
EV/EBITDA 93.22
EPS(TTM)2.42
EY0.6%
EPS(NY)3.34
Fwd EY0.82%
FCF(TTM)1.12
FCFY0.28%
OCF(TTM)4.51
OCFY1.11%
SpS30.26
BVpS21.78
TBVpS21.6
PEG (NY)4.43
PEG (5Y)1.61
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.63%
ROE 18.22%
ROCE 9.22%
ROIC 7.29%
ROICexc 11.69%
ROICexgc 11.82%
OM 8.48%
PM (TTM) 13.12%
GM 18.23%
FCFM 3.72%
ROA(3y)12.75%
ROA(5y)7.41%
ROE(3y)23.46%
ROE(5y)12.07%
ROIC(3y)13.59%
ROIC(5y)9.04%
ROICexc(3y)22.61%
ROICexc(5y)15.34%
ROICexgc(3y)23.39%
ROICexgc(5y)15.86%
ROCE(3y)17.2%
ROCE(5y)11.44%
ROICexcg growth 3Y18.55%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y19.18%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y13.26%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y92.05%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-4.61%
GM growth 5Y-0.63%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.08
Debt/FCF 2.13
Debt/EBITDA 0.41
Cap/Depr 212.95%
Cap/Sales 11.19%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 108.56%
Profit Quality 28.33%
Current Ratio 1.84
Quick Ratio 1.37
Altman-Z 17.12
F-Score4
WACC11.8%
ROIC/WACC0.62
Cap/Depr(3y)219.13%
Cap/Depr(5y)172.74%
Cap/Sales(3y)10.96%
Cap/Sales(5y)9.8%
Profit Quality(3y)50.71%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-22.68%
EPS 3Y2.31%
EPS 5Y103.9%
EPS Q2Q%2.82%
EPS Next Y37.82%
EPS Next 2Y30.16%
EPS Next 3Y24.95%
EPS Next 5Y27.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%2.15%
Revenue Next Year16.24%
Revenue Next 2Y16.46%
Revenue Next 3Y15.49%
Revenue Next 5Y18.06%
EBIT growth 1Y-23.49%
EBIT growth 3Y64.59%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year50.6%
EBIT Next 3Y32.36%
EBIT Next 5Y33.93%
FCF growth 1Y-59.45%
FCF growth 3Y17.28%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-9.68%
OCF growth 3Y30.66%
OCF growth 5Y44.59%