TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:TSCO • US8923561067
Current stock price
33.83 USD
-1.27 (-3.62%)
At close:
33.79 USD
-0.04 (-0.12%)
After Hours:
This TSCO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. TSCO Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- TSCO had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year TSCO had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years TSCO has been profitable.
- TSCO had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- TSCO has a better Return On Assets (9.27%) than 82.93% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of TSCO (43.01%) is better than 91.87% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 12.99%, TSCO belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.74% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TSCO is in line with the industry average of 13.24%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.27% | ||
| ROE | 43.01% | ||
| ROIC | 12.99% |
ROA(3y)11.1%
ROA(5y)11.79%
ROE(3y)47.49%
ROE(5y)49.11%
ROIC(3y)15.2%
ROIC(5y)16.37%
1.3 Margins
- TSCO has a better Profit Margin (6.91%) than 83.74% of its industry peers.
- TSCO's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- The Operating Margin of TSCO (9.28%) is better than 82.93% of its industry peers.
- TSCO's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- With a Gross Margin value of 36.43%, TSCO perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.59% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TSCO has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.91% | ||
| GM | 36.43% |
OM growth 3Y-2.19%
OM growth 5Y-1.19%
PM growth 3Y-2.7%
PM growth 5Y0.02%
GM growth 3Y1.33%
GM growth 5Y0.56%
2. TSCO Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TSCO is still creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, TSCO has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for TSCO has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, TSCO has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 3.99 indicates that TSCO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- TSCO's Altman-Z score of 3.99 is amongst the best of the industry. TSCO outperforms 80.49% of its industry peers.
- TSCO has a debt to FCF ratio of 3.92. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as TSCO would need 3.92 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of TSCO (3.92) is better than 68.29% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.86 indicates that TSCO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- TSCO has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.86) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.86 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.92 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.99 |
ROIC/WACC1.53
WACC8.49%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.38 indicates that TSCO should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- TSCO has a Current ratio (1.38) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- TSCO has a Quick Ratio of 1.38. This is a bad value and indicates that TSCO is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- TSCO has a Quick ratio of 0.16. This is amonst the worse of the industry: TSCO underperforms 91.87% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.38 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 |
3. TSCO Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.29% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 8.54% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- Looking at the last year, TSCO shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.64% in the last year.
- TSCO shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.89% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.29%
EPS 3Y2.15%
EPS 5Y8.54%
EPS Q2Q%-8.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.64%
Revenue growth 3Y3%
Revenue growth 5Y7.89%
Sales Q2Q%3.61%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, TSCO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.17% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, TSCO will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.16% on average per year.
EPS Next Y7.46%
EPS Next 2Y8.85%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
EPS Next 5Y10.17%
Revenue Next Year4.52%
Revenue Next 2Y5.26%
Revenue Next 3Y5.97%
Revenue Next 5Y6.16%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. TSCO Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 16.58, which indicates a correct valuation of TSCO.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TSCO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.17% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- TSCO's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.64.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.79, the valuation of TSCO can be described as correct.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TSCO is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.54% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TSCO to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.36), we can say TSCO is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.79 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- TSCO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of TSCO is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 32.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.45 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates TSCO does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- TSCO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.22
PEG (5Y)1.94
EPS Next 2Y8.85%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
5. TSCO Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- TSCO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.76%.
- The stock price of TSCO dropped by -33.51% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
- TSCO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.82. TSCO pays more dividend than 82.11% of the companies in the same industry.
- TSCO's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.76% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of TSCO decreases each year by -9.18%.
- TSCO has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- TSCO has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-9.18%
Div Incr Years15
Div Non Decr Years15
5.3 Sustainability
- 45.47% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TSCO. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP45.47%
EPS Next 2Y8.85%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
TSCO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
33.83
-1.27 (-3.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Industry Strength32.3
Industry Growth57.14
Earnings (Last)04-21 2026-04-21/bmo
Earnings (Next)07-22 2026-07-22
Inst Owners99.5%
Inst Owner Change0.07%
Ins Owners0.27%
Ins Owner Change7.64%
Market Cap17.79B
Revenue(TTM)15.65B
Net Income(TTM)1.08B
Analysts77.3
Price Target48.42 (43.13%)
Short Float %5.25%
Short Ratio3.93
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.76% |
Yearly Dividend0.92
Dividend Growth(5Y)-9.18%
DP45.47%
Div Incr Years15
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-Date02-24 2026-02-24 (0.24)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-10.04%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.18%
Max EPS beat(2)-8.89%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-5.36%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.18%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.36%
EPS beat(8)0
Avg EPS beat(8)-4.96%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-3.24%
EPS beat(16)3
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.82%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-3.23%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.63%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.97%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.74%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.77%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.4%
PT rev (1m)-1.6%
PT rev (3m)-9.57%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.74%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.16%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.69%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.58 | ||
| Fwd PE | 13.79 | ||
| P/S | 1.14 | ||
| P/FCF | 32.15 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.79 | ||
| P/B | 7.08 | ||
| P/tB | 8.41 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 10.45 |
EPS(TTM)2.04
EY6.03%
EPS(NY)2.45
Fwd EY7.25%
FCF(TTM)1.05
FCFY3.11%
OCF(TTM)2.87
OCFY8.48%
SpS29.75
BVpS4.78
TBVpS4.02
PEG (NY)2.22
PEG (5Y)1.94
Graham Number14.8105 (-56.22%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.27% | ||
| ROE | 43.01% | ||
| ROCE | 16.62% | ||
| ROIC | 12.99% | ||
| ROICexc | 13.34% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.99% | ||
| OM | 9.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.91% | ||
| GM | 36.43% | ||
| FCFM | 3.54% |
ROA(3y)11.1%
ROA(5y)11.79%
ROE(3y)47.49%
ROE(5y)49.11%
ROIC(3y)15.2%
ROIC(5y)16.37%
ROICexc(3y)15.82%
ROICexc(5y)17.52%
ROICexgc(3y)16.51%
ROICexgc(5y)18.15%
ROCE(3y)19.45%
ROCE(5y)20.94%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-6.98%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.39%
ROICexc growth 5Y-7.65%
OM growth 3Y-2.19%
OM growth 5Y-1.19%
PM growth 3Y-2.7%
PM growth 5Y0.02%
GM growth 3Y1.33%
GM growth 5Y0.56%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.34
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.86 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 3.92 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.11 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 191.02% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 6.11% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.33% | ||
| Profit Quality | 51.19% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.38 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.99 |
F-Score6
WACC8.49%
ROIC/WACC1.53
Cap/Depr(3y)182.76%
Cap/Depr(5y)201.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.4%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.32%
Profit Quality(3y)59.26%
Profit Quality(5y)56.51%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.29%
EPS 3Y2.15%
EPS 5Y8.54%
EPS Q2Q%-8.82%
EPS Next Y7.46%
EPS Next 2Y8.85%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
EPS Next 5Y10.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.64%
Revenue growth 3Y3%
Revenue growth 5Y7.89%
Sales Q2Q%3.61%
Revenue Next Year4.52%
Revenue Next 2Y5.26%
Revenue Next 3Y5.97%
Revenue Next 5Y6.16%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.13%
EBIT growth 3Y0.75%
EBIT growth 5Y6.6%
EBIT Next Year38.53%
EBIT Next 3Y17.26%
EBIT Next 5Y13.39%
FCF growth 1Y-32.39%
FCF growth 3Y8.26%
FCF growth 5Y-7.62%
OCF growth 1Y-3.96%
OCF growth 3Y6.41%
OCF growth 5Y3.24%
TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY / TSCO Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for TSCO stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to TSCO.
Can you provide the valuation status for TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY?
TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for TSCO stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO) is 16.58 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 7.08.
What is the earnings growth outlook for TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO) is expected to grow by 7.46% in the next year.