TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:TSCO • US8923561067
Current stock price
47.24 USD
-0.86 (-1.79%)
At close:
47.23 USD
-0.01 (-0.02%)
After Hours:
This TSCO fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. TSCO Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- TSCO had positive earnings in the past year.
- TSCO had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- TSCO had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years TSCO always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of TSCO (10.02%) is better than 85.48% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 42.46%, TSCO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.55% of the companies in the same industry.
- With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 13.79%, TSCO belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.68% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TSCO is in line with the industry average of 13.58%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.02% | ||
| ROE | 42.46% | ||
| ROIC | 13.79% |
ROA(3y)11.1%
ROA(5y)11.79%
ROE(3y)47.49%
ROE(5y)49.11%
ROIC(3y)15.2%
ROIC(5y)16.37%
1.3 Margins
- TSCO's Profit Margin of 7.06% is amongst the best of the industry. TSCO outperforms 84.68% of its industry peers.
- TSCO's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- TSCO has a Operating Margin of 9.45%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TSCO outperforms 82.26% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TSCO has remained more or less at the same level.
- The Gross Margin of TSCO (36.42%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TSCO has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 9.45% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.06% | ||
| GM | 36.42% |
OM growth 3Y-2.19%
OM growth 5Y-1.19%
PM growth 3Y-2.7%
PM growth 5Y0.02%
GM growth 3Y1.33%
GM growth 5Y0.56%
2. TSCO Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- TSCO has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for TSCO has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for TSCO has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for TSCO has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 4.71 indicates that TSCO is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- TSCO has a better Altman-Z score (4.71) than 86.29% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of TSCO is 2.43, which is a good value as it means it would take TSCO, 2.43 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- TSCO has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.43) than 75.00% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.70 indicates that TSCO is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- TSCO has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.70) which is in line with its industry peers.
- Even though the debt/equity ratio score it not favorable for TSCO, it has very limited outstanding debt, so we won't put too much weight on the DE evaluation.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.71 |
ROIC/WACC1.42
WACC9.69%
2.3 Liquidity
- TSCO has a Current Ratio of 1.34. This is a normal value and indicates that TSCO is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of TSCO (1.34) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.16 indicates that TSCO may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of TSCO (0.16) is worse than 88.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 |
3. TSCO Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- TSCO shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 1.47%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 8.54% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- TSCO shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.31%.
- TSCO shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 7.89% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.47%
EPS 3Y2.15%
EPS 5Y8.54%
EPS Q2Q%-2.27%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.31%
Revenue growth 3Y3%
Revenue growth 5Y7.89%
Sales Q2Q%3.31%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, TSCO will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.30% on average per year.
- TSCO is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.16% yearly.
EPS Next Y7.46%
EPS Next 2Y8.87%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
EPS Next 5Y10.3%
Revenue Next Year4.5%
Revenue Next 2Y5.3%
Revenue Next 3Y5.96%
Revenue Next 5Y6.16%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. TSCO Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 22.82, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of TSCO.
- 66.94% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TSCO, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.71. TSCO is around the same levels.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.24, TSCO is valued on the expensive side.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as TSCO.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.83, TSCO is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.24 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- TSCO's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as TSCO.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 33.58 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.5 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates TSCO does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- TSCO has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.06
PEG (5Y)2.67
EPS Next 2Y8.87%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
5. TSCO Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- TSCO has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.00%.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.41, TSCO pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, TSCO has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of TSCO decreases each year by -9.18%.
- TSCO has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- TSCO has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-9.18%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years14
5.3 Sustainability
- TSCO pays out 44.49% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP44.49%
EPS Next 2Y8.87%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
TSCO Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
47.24
-0.86 (-1.79%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)01-29 2026-01-29/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-22 2026-04-22
Inst Owners99.45%
Inst Owner Change3.14%
Ins Owners0.3%
Ins Owner Change7.08%
Market Cap24.86B
Revenue(TTM)15.52B
Net Income(TTM)1.10B
Analysts76.84
Price Target58.66 (24.17%)
Short Float %6.65%
Short Ratio4.98
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2% |
Yearly Dividend0.92
Dividend Growth(5Y)-9.18%
DP44.49%
Div Incr Years14
Div Non Decr Years14
Ex-Date02-24 2026-02-24 (0.24)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-4.62%
Min EPS beat(2)-8.89%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.36%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-4.91%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.37%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.36%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-3%
EPS beat(12)2
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.78%
EPS beat(16)4
Avg EPS beat(16)-1.22%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.17%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.95%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.79%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.38%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.97%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.58%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.71%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.1%
PT rev (1m)-0.69%
PT rev (3m)-9.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.81%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.75%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.21%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.11%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.82 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.24 | ||
| P/S | 1.6 | ||
| P/FCF | 33.58 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.21 | ||
| P/B | 9.63 | ||
| P/tB | 11.39 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.5 |
EPS(TTM)2.07
EY4.38%
EPS(NY)2.22
Fwd EY4.71%
FCF(TTM)1.41
FCFY2.98%
OCF(TTM)3.11
OCFY6.58%
SpS29.49
BVpS4.9
TBVpS4.15
PEG (NY)3.06
PEG (5Y)2.67
Graham Number15.11
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.02% | ||
| ROE | 42.46% | ||
| ROCE | 17.64% | ||
| ROIC | 13.79% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.12% | ||
| ROICexgc | 14.85% | ||
| OM | 9.45% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.06% | ||
| GM | 36.42% | ||
| FCFM | 4.77% |
ROA(3y)11.1%
ROA(5y)11.79%
ROE(3y)47.49%
ROE(5y)49.11%
ROIC(3y)15.2%
ROIC(5y)16.37%
ROICexc(3y)15.82%
ROICexc(5y)17.52%
ROICexgc(3y)16.51%
ROICexgc(5y)18.15%
ROCE(3y)19.45%
ROCE(5y)20.94%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-9.19%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-6.98%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.39%
ROICexc growth 5Y-7.65%
OM growth 3Y-2.19%
OM growth 5Y-1.19%
PM growth 3Y-2.7%
PM growth 5Y0.02%
GM growth 3Y1.33%
GM growth 5Y0.56%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.42
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.7 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.43 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.92 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 181.12% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.76% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 21.04 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 83.37% | ||
| Profit Quality | 67.56% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.34 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.71 |
F-Score6
WACC9.69%
ROIC/WACC1.42
Cap/Depr(3y)182.76%
Cap/Depr(5y)201.25%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.4%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.32%
Profit Quality(3y)59.26%
Profit Quality(5y)56.51%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.47%
EPS 3Y2.15%
EPS 5Y8.54%
EPS Q2Q%-2.27%
EPS Next Y7.46%
EPS Next 2Y8.87%
EPS Next 3Y9.79%
EPS Next 5Y10.3%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.31%
Revenue growth 3Y3%
Revenue growth 5Y7.89%
Sales Q2Q%3.31%
Revenue Next Year4.5%
Revenue Next 2Y5.3%
Revenue Next 3Y5.96%
Revenue Next 5Y6.16%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.01%
EBIT growth 3Y0.75%
EBIT growth 5Y6.6%
EBIT Next Year38.53%
EBIT Next 3Y17.26%
EBIT Next 5Y13.45%
FCF growth 1Y16.29%
FCF growth 3Y8.26%
FCF growth 5Y-7.62%
OCF growth 1Y15.09%
OCF growth 3Y6.41%
OCF growth 5Y3.24%
TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY / TSCO Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for TSCO stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TSCO.
Can you provide the valuation status for TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO). This can be considered as Overvalued.
How profitable is TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO) stock?
TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for TSCO stock?
The financial health rating of TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO) is 6 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY (TSCO) is expected to grow by 7.46% in the next year.