TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:TRN • US8965221091
Current stock price
31.23 USD
+0.4 (+1.3%)
At close:
31.23 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This TRN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. TRN Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year TRN was profitable.
- In the past year TRN had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years TRN has been profitable.
- Of the past 5 years TRN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- TRN has a Return On Assets (3.00%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- TRN has a better Return On Equity (23.50%) than 90.84% of its industry peers.
- TRN has a worse Return On Invested Capital (3.49%) than 62.60% of its industry peers.
- TRN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 3.55%. This is significantly below the industry average of 10.00%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3% | ||
| ROE | 23.5% | ||
| ROIC | 3.49% |
ROA(3y)1.92%
ROA(5y)1.73%
ROE(3y)15.6%
ROE(5y)14.08%
ROIC(3y)3.55%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 11.73%, TRN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.39% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TRN has grown nicely.
- TRN has a Operating Margin of 16.62%. This is in the better half of the industry: TRN outperforms 79.39% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TRN has grown nicely.
- TRN's Gross Margin of 26.55% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TRN is outperformed by 61.07% of its industry peers.
- TRN's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.73% | ||
| GM | 26.55% |
OM growth 3Y21.7%
OM growth 5Y4.82%
PM growth 3Y56.87%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y12.61%
GM growth 5Y1.57%
2. TRN Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TRN is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, TRN has less shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for TRN has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, TRN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- TRN has an Altman-Z score of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that TRN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- TRN has a Altman-Z score of 0.85. This is in the lower half of the industry: TRN underperforms 77.10% of its industry peers.
- TRN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.05. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- TRN has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (5.05) than 90.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.05 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.85 |
ROIC/WACC0.47
WACC7.5%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.90 indicates that TRN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of TRN (1.90) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- TRN has a Quick Ratio of 1.08. This is a normal value and indicates that TRN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- TRN has a Quick ratio of 1.08. This is in the lower half of the industry: TRN underperforms 64.12% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.08 |
3. TRN Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 77.71% over the past year.
- TRN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 55.69% yearly.
- The Revenue for TRN has decreased by -29.95% in the past year. This is quite bad
- Measured over the past years, TRN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.53% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)77.71%
EPS 3Y48.48%
EPS 5Y55.69%
EPS Q2Q%484.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-29.95%
Revenue growth 3Y2.94%
Revenue growth 5Y1.53%
Sales Q2Q%-2.89%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, TRN will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -15.47% on average per year.
- TRN is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 9.04% yearly.
EPS Next Y-37.48%
EPS Next 2Y-15.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2.85%
Revenue Next 2Y9.04%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. TRN Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.04, the valuation of TRN can be described as reasonable.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of TRN indicates a rather cheap valuation: TRN is cheaper than 97.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.79. TRN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 16.06, which indicates a correct valuation of TRN.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TRN is valued a bit cheaper than 79.39% of the companies in the same industry.
- TRN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 38.88.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.04 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.06 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 77.10% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TRN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.65 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of TRN may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A cheap valuation may be justified as TRN's earnings are expected to decrease with -15.47% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.18
EPS Next 2Y-15.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. TRN Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- TRN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.82%.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.08, TRN pays a better dividend. On top of this TRN pays more dividend than 95.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- TRN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.82% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of TRN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.97%!
- TRN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- TRN has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.97%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- 39.00% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TRN. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP39%
EPS Next 2Y-15.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
TRN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
31.23
+0.4 (+1.3%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-12 2026-02-12/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30
Inst Owners91.53%
Inst Owner Change-0.04%
Ins Owners1.08%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.49B
Revenue(TTM)2.16B
Net Income(TTM)253.10M
Analysts46.67
Price Target34.17 (9.41%)
Short Float %4.06%
Short Ratio4.35
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.82% |
Yearly Dividend1.22
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.97%
DP39%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date04-15 2026-04-15 (0.31)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.85%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-14.89%
Min EPS beat(4)-39.89%
Max EPS beat(4)-1.85%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)10.81%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)0.91%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.23%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.76%
Min Revenue beat(2)-15.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-8.14%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.08%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.78%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.52%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.4%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)28.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)24.19%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-13.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.69%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.04 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.06 | ||
| P/S | 1.15 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 6.92 | ||
| P/B | 2.31 | ||
| P/tB | 2.91 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.65 |
EPS(TTM)3.11
EY9.96%
EPS(NY)1.94
Fwd EY6.23%
FCF(TTM)-5.46
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.52
OCFY14.46%
SpS27.08
BVpS13.52
TBVpS10.74
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.18
Graham Number30.7629 (-1.5%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3% | ||
| ROE | 23.5% | ||
| ROCE | 4.56% | ||
| ROIC | 3.49% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.58% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.89% | ||
| OM | 16.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.73% | ||
| GM | 26.55% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)1.92%
ROA(5y)1.73%
ROE(3y)15.6%
ROE(5y)14.08%
ROIC(3y)3.55%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
ROICexc(3y)3.64%
ROICexc(5y)2.89%
ROICexgc(3y)3.89%
ROICexgc(5y)3.08%
ROCE(3y)4.64%
ROCE(5y)3.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y27.88%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.98%
ROICexc growth 3Y27.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.67%
OM growth 3Y21.7%
OM growth 5Y4.82%
PM growth 3Y56.87%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y12.61%
GM growth 5Y1.57%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.05 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.2 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 260.54% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 36.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.31 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 54.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.85 |
F-Score7
WACC7.5%
ROIC/WACC0.47
Cap/Depr(3y)235.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)254.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)26.67%
Cap/Sales(5y)33.31%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)77.71%
EPS 3Y48.48%
EPS 5Y55.69%
EPS Q2Q%484.62%
EPS Next Y-37.48%
EPS Next 2Y-15.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-29.95%
Revenue growth 3Y2.94%
Revenue growth 5Y1.53%
Sales Q2Q%-2.89%
Revenue Next Year2.85%
Revenue Next 2Y9.04%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-17.13%
EBIT growth 3Y25.27%
EBIT growth 5Y6.42%
EBIT Next Year23.25%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-1887.21%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-37.31%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-11.21%
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC / TRN Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TRN.
What is the valuation status of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of TRN stock?
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC?
The financial health rating of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) is 2 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) is expected to decline by -37.48% in the next year.