TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:TRN • US8965221091

33.235 USD
-1.02 (-2.96%)
Last: Mar 5, 2026, 12:48 PM
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This TRN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall TRN gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated TRN against 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. While TRN is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. TRN has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. TRN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • TRN had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year TRN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years TRN 4 years were profitable.
  • The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: TRN reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
TRN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTRN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • TRN has a worse Return On Assets (1.07%) than 63.85% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of 9.53%, TRN perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.46% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.72%, TRN is doing worse than 63.08% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TRN is significantly below the industry average of 10.21%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (3.72%) for TRN is above the 3 year average (3.30%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.07%
ROE 9.53%
ROIC 3.72%
ROA(3y)1.15%
ROA(5y)0.79%
ROE(3y)9.74%
ROE(5y)7.69%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)2.93%
TRN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTRN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5 -5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • TRN has a Profit Margin (4.39%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TRN has remained more or less at the same level.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 16.82%, TRN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TRN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • TRN has a worse Gross Margin (26.30%) than 60.77% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TRN has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.82%
PM (TTM) 4.39%
GM 26.3%
OM growth 3Y6.78%
OM growth 5Y2.31%
PM growth 3Y-27.93%
PM growth 5Y-0.11%
GM growth 3Y-2.46%
GM growth 5Y0.39%
TRN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTRN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20

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1

2. TRN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TRN is destroying value.
  • TRN has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
TRN Yearly Shares OutstandingTRN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M
TRN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTRN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.2 Solvency

  • TRN has an Altman-Z score of 0.81. This is a bad value and indicates that TRN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • TRN has a Altman-Z score of 0.81. This is in the lower half of the industry: TRN underperforms 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • TRN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.94. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 5.94, TRN is not doing good in the industry: 89.23% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.94
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.81
ROIC/WACC0.48
WACC7.82%
TRN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTRN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.88 indicates that TRN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of TRN (1.88) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • TRN has a Quick Ratio of 1.88. This is a bad value and indicates that TRN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.80, TRN is not doing good in the industry: 76.15% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 0.8
TRN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTRN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. TRN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • TRN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 77.71%, which is quite impressive.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 55.69% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)77.71%
EPS 3Y48.48%
EPS 5Y55.69%
EPS Q2Q%484.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-2.89%

3.2 Future

  • TRN is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -20.93% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.53% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-44.79%
EPS Next 2Y-20.93%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.31%
Revenue Next 2Y6.53%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TRN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTRN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2B 4B 6B
TRN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTRN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 1 2 3 4 5

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4

4. TRN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.69, the valuation of TRN can be described as very reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TRN is valued cheaper than 94.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.03. TRN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.36, TRN is valued on the expensive side.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TRN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TRN is cheaper than 67.69% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 25.11. TRN is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.69
Fwd PE 19.36
TRN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTRN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 69.23% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TRN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 12.95
TRN Per share dataTRN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • TRN's earnings are expected to decrease with -20.93% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.19
EPS Next 2Y-20.93%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. TRN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.62%, TRN has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • TRN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.13. TRN pays more dividend than 95.38% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, TRN pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.62%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of TRN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 11.90%!
  • TRN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of TRN decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.9%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
TRN Yearly Dividends per shareTRN Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2 4 6 8

5.3 Sustainability

  • TRN pays out 102.41% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The Dividend Rate of TRN has been growing, while earnings will be declining. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP102.41%
EPS Next 2Y-20.93%
EPS Next 3YN/A
TRN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTRN Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M
TRN Dividend Payout.TRN Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TRN Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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TRN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC

NYSE:TRN (3/5/2026, 12:48:47 PM)

33.235

-1.02 (-2.96%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-12
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners88.86%
Inst Owner Change1.36%
Ins Owners1.24%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.66B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)95.40M
Analysts46.67
Price Target34.17 (2.81%)
Short Float %3.85%
Short Ratio3.51
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.62%
Yearly Dividend1.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.9%
DP102.41%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date01-15
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-22.37%
Min EPS beat(2)-39.89%
Max EPS beat(2)-4.85%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-13.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-39.89%
Max EPS beat(4)4.36%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)14.4%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)0.71%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-7.03%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-16.07%
Min Revenue beat(2)-16.54%
Max Revenue beat(2)-15.59%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.37%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.04%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.39%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.04%
PT rev (1m)28.85%
PT rev (3m)24.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)52.32%
EPS NQ rev (3m)228.57%
EPS NY rev (1m)32.98%
EPS NY rev (3m)101.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)5.85%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.85%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.47%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.47%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.69
Fwd PE 19.36
P/S 1.23
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 6.94
P/B 2.66
P/tB 3.42
EV/EBITDA 12.95
EPS(TTM)3.11
EY9.36%
EPS(NY)1.72
Fwd EY5.17%
FCF(TTM)-4.94
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.79
OCFY14.41%
SpS27.13
BVpS12.48
TBVpS9.72
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.19
Graham Number29.56
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.07%
ROE 9.53%
ROCE 4.34%
ROIC 3.72%
ROICexc 3.75%
ROICexgc 4.04%
OM 16.82%
PM (TTM) 4.39%
GM 26.3%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)1.15%
ROA(5y)0.79%
ROE(3y)9.74%
ROE(5y)7.69%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)2.93%
ROICexc(3y)3.37%
ROICexc(5y)2.98%
ROICexgc(3y)3.6%
ROICexgc(5y)3.17%
ROCE(3y)3.86%
ROCE(5y)3.42%
ROICexgc growth 3Y33.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y2.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y32.68%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.96%
OM growth 3Y6.78%
OM growth 5Y2.31%
PM growth 3Y-27.93%
PM growth 5Y-0.11%
GM growth 3Y-2.46%
GM growth 5Y0.39%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.24
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 5.94
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 8.93
Cap/Depr 260.1%
Cap/Sales 35.87%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 57.66%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 1.88
Quick Ratio 0.8
Altman-Z 0.81
F-Score6
WACC7.82%
ROIC/WACC0.48
Cap/Depr(3y)264.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)254.88%
Cap/Sales(3y)30.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)32.99%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)77.71%
EPS 3Y48.48%
EPS 5Y55.69%
EPS Q2Q%484.62%
EPS Next Y-44.79%
EPS Next 2Y-20.93%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-2.89%
Revenue Next Year4.31%
Revenue Next 2Y6.53%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-18.96%
EBIT growth 3Y35.23%
EBIT growth 5Y2.81%
EBIT Next Year88.33%
EBIT Next 3Y18.21%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y20.69%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.03%
OCF growth 3Y-2.11%
OCF growth 5Y7.83%

TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC / TRN FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to TRN.


Can you provide the valuation status for TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC?

TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for TRN stock?

The financial health rating of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) is 1 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) stock?

The dividend rating of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 102.41%.