TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:TRN • US8965221091
Current stock price
34.48 USD
+1.06 (+3.17%)
At close:
34.48 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This TRN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. TRN Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year TRN was profitable.
- TRN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- TRN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- Of the past 5 years TRN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- TRN's Return On Assets of 3.00% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TRN outperforms 45.04% of its industry peers.
- TRN has a better Return On Equity (23.50%) than 90.84% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 3.49%, TRN is doing worse than 62.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TRN is significantly below the industry average of 10.02%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3% | ||
| ROE | 23.5% | ||
| ROIC | 3.49% |
ROA(3y)1.92%
ROA(5y)1.73%
ROE(3y)15.6%
ROE(5y)14.08%
ROIC(3y)3.55%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
1.3 Margins
- TRN has a Profit Margin of 11.73%. This is in the better half of the industry: TRN outperforms 79.39% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TRN has grown nicely.
- TRN's Operating Margin of 16.62% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TRN outperforms 79.39% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TRN has grown nicely.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 26.55%, TRN is doing worse than 60.31% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TRN has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.73% | ||
| GM | 26.55% |
OM growth 3Y21.7%
OM growth 5Y4.82%
PM growth 3Y56.87%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y12.61%
GM growth 5Y1.57%
2. TRN Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TRN is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for TRN has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, TRN has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, TRN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.87, we must say that TRN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- With a Altman-Z score value of 0.87, TRN is not doing good in the industry: 77.86% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- TRN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.05. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 5.05, TRN is doing worse than 90.08% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.05 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.87 |
ROIC/WACC0.45
WACC7.7%
2.3 Liquidity
- TRN has a Current Ratio of 1.90. This is a normal value and indicates that TRN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.90, TRN is in line with its industry, outperforming 44.27% of the companies in the same industry.
- TRN has a Quick Ratio of 1.08. This is a normal value and indicates that TRN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 1.08, TRN is not doing good in the industry: 63.36% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.08 |
3. TRN Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 77.71% over the past year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 55.69% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
- TRN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -29.95%.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.53% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)77.71%
EPS 3Y48.48%
EPS 5Y55.69%
EPS Q2Q%484.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-29.95%
Revenue growth 3Y2.94%
Revenue growth 5Y1.53%
Sales Q2Q%-2.89%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, TRN will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -15.47% on average per year.
- TRN is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 9.04% yearly.
EPS Next Y-37.48%
EPS Next 2Y-15.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2.85%
Revenue Next 2Y9.04%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. TRN Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.09, the valuation of TRN can be described as very reasonable.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of TRN indicates a rather cheap valuation: TRN is cheaper than 95.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- TRN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.91.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 17.73, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of TRN.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TRN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.52% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- TRN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.69.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.09 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.73 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TRN is valued a bit cheaper than 74.05% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.92 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of TRN may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A cheap valuation may be justified as TRN's earnings are expected to decrease with -15.47% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.2
EPS Next 2Y-15.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. TRN Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.98%, TRN has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.21, TRN pays a better dividend. On top of this TRN pays more dividend than 95.42% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, TRN pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.98% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of TRN grows each year by 8.97%, which is quite nice.
- TRN has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- TRN has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.97%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- 39.00% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TRN. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP39%
EPS Next 2Y-15.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
TRN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
34.48
+1.06 (+3.17%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-12 2026-02-12/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners90.74%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.25%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.75B
Revenue(TTM)2.16B
Net Income(TTM)253.10M
Analysts46.67
Price Target34.17 (-0.9%)
Short Float %4.71%
Short Ratio4.45
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.98% |
Yearly Dividend1.22
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.97%
DP39%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date04-15 2026-04-15 (0.31)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.85%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-14.89%
Min EPS beat(4)-39.89%
Max EPS beat(4)-1.85%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)10.81%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)0.91%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.23%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.76%
Min Revenue beat(2)-15.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-8.14%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.08%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.78%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.52%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.4%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)31.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)24.19%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-16.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.3%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.09 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.73 | ||
| P/S | 1.28 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 7.65 | ||
| P/B | 2.56 | ||
| P/tB | 3.22 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.92 |
EPS(TTM)3.11
EY9.02%
EPS(NY)1.94
Fwd EY5.64%
FCF(TTM)-5.45
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.51
OCFY13.07%
SpS27.02
BVpS13.49
TBVpS10.72
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.2
Graham Number30.73
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3% | ||
| ROE | 23.5% | ||
| ROCE | 4.56% | ||
| ROIC | 3.49% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.58% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.89% | ||
| OM | 16.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.73% | ||
| GM | 26.55% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)1.92%
ROA(5y)1.73%
ROE(3y)15.6%
ROE(5y)14.08%
ROIC(3y)3.55%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
ROICexc(3y)3.64%
ROICexc(5y)2.89%
ROICexgc(3y)3.89%
ROICexgc(5y)3.08%
ROCE(3y)4.64%
ROCE(5y)3.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y27.88%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.98%
ROICexc growth 3Y27.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.67%
OM growth 3Y21.7%
OM growth 5Y4.82%
PM growth 3Y56.87%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y12.61%
GM growth 5Y1.57%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.05 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.2 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 260.54% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 36.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.31 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 54.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.87 |
F-Score7
WACC7.7%
ROIC/WACC0.45
Cap/Depr(3y)235.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)254.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)26.67%
Cap/Sales(5y)33.31%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)77.71%
EPS 3Y48.48%
EPS 5Y55.69%
EPS Q2Q%484.62%
EPS Next Y-37.48%
EPS Next 2Y-15.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-29.95%
Revenue growth 3Y2.94%
Revenue growth 5Y1.53%
Sales Q2Q%-2.89%
Revenue Next Year2.85%
Revenue Next 2Y9.04%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-17.13%
EBIT growth 3Y25.27%
EBIT growth 5Y6.42%
EBIT Next Year23.25%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-1887.21%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-37.31%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-11.21%
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC / TRN Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to TRN.
What is the valuation status of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of TRN stock?
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC?
The financial health rating of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) is 2 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) is expected to decline by -37.48% in the next year.