TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:TRN • US8965221091
Current stock price
30.76 USD
-0.64 (-2.04%)
At close:
30.76 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This TRN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. TRN Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year TRN was profitable.
- In the past year TRN had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years TRN has been profitable.
- Of the past 5 years TRN 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- TRN has a Return On Assets (3.00%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- TRN has a better Return On Equity (23.50%) than 90.84% of its industry peers.
- TRN has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.49%. This is in the lower half of the industry: TRN underperforms 62.60% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TRN is significantly below the industry average of 10.06%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3% | ||
| ROE | 23.5% | ||
| ROIC | 3.49% |
ROA(3y)1.92%
ROA(5y)1.73%
ROE(3y)15.6%
ROE(5y)14.08%
ROIC(3y)3.55%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
1.3 Margins
- TRN has a better Profit Margin (11.73%) than 79.39% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TRN has grown nicely.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 16.62%, TRN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.39% of the companies in the same industry.
- TRN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- TRN has a worse Gross Margin (26.55%) than 61.83% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TRN has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.73% | ||
| GM | 26.55% |
OM growth 3Y21.7%
OM growth 5Y4.82%
PM growth 3Y56.87%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y12.61%
GM growth 5Y1.57%
2. TRN Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TRN is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for TRN has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, TRN has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, TRN has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.85, we must say that TRN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- With a Altman-Z score value of 0.85, TRN is not doing good in the industry: 76.34% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- TRN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.05. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- TRN has a Debt to Equity ratio of 5.05. This is amonst the worse of the industry: TRN underperforms 90.08% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.05 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.85 |
ROIC/WACC0.47
WACC7.48%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.90 indicates that TRN should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- TRN has a Current ratio (1.90) which is in line with its industry peers.
- TRN has a Quick Ratio of 1.08. This is a normal value and indicates that TRN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of TRN (1.08) is worse than 64.89% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.08 |
3. TRN Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 77.71% over the past year.
- TRN shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 55.69% yearly.
- The Revenue for TRN has decreased by -29.95% in the past year. This is quite bad
- Measured over the past years, TRN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.53% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)77.71%
EPS 3Y48.48%
EPS 5Y55.69%
EPS Q2Q%484.62%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-29.95%
Revenue growth 3Y2.94%
Revenue growth 5Y1.53%
Sales Q2Q%-2.89%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -15.47% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
- Based on estimates for the next years, TRN will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.04% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-37.48%
EPS Next 2Y-15.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year2.85%
Revenue Next 2Y9.04%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. TRN Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 9.89, the valuation of TRN can be described as reasonable.
- TRN's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TRN is cheaper than 97.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- TRN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.54.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.82, which indicates a correct valuation of TRN.
- 80.92% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TRN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- TRN's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 21.68.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.89 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.82 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 77.10% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TRN, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.67 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- TRN has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A cheap valuation may be justified as TRN's earnings are expected to decrease with -15.47% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.18
EPS Next 2Y-15.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. TRN Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- TRN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.92%.
- TRN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.13. TRN pays more dividend than 96.95% of the companies in the same industry.
- TRN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.92% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of TRN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 8.97%!
- TRN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- TRN has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.97%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- TRN pays out 39.00% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP39%
EPS Next 2Y-15.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
TRN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
30.76
-0.64 (-2.04%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Industry Strength84.47
Industry Growth69.57
Earnings (Last)02-12 2026-02-12/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30/bmo
Inst Owners91.53%
Inst Owner Change-0.16%
Ins Owners1.08%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.45B
Revenue(TTM)2.16B
Net Income(TTM)253.10M
Analysts46.67
Price Target34.17 (11.09%)
Short Float %3.88%
Short Ratio4.68
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.92% |
Yearly Dividend1.22
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.97%
DP39%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date04-15 2026-04-15 (0.31)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.35%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.85%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.85%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-14.89%
Min EPS beat(4)-39.89%
Max EPS beat(4)-1.85%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)10.81%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)0.91%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-5.23%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.76%
Min Revenue beat(2)-15.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)6.08%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-8.14%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)6.08%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.78%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.52%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-3.4%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)28.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-14.52%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)20.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-13.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.69%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.89 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.82 | ||
| P/S | 1.14 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 6.81 | ||
| P/B | 2.27 | ||
| P/tB | 2.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.67 |
EPS(TTM)3.11
EY10.11%
EPS(NY)1.94
Fwd EY6.32%
FCF(TTM)-5.46
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.52
OCFY14.68%
SpS27.08
BVpS13.52
TBVpS10.74
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.18
Graham Number30.7629 (0.01%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3% | ||
| ROE | 23.5% | ||
| ROCE | 4.56% | ||
| ROIC | 3.49% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.58% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.89% | ||
| OM | 16.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.73% | ||
| GM | 26.55% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)1.92%
ROA(5y)1.73%
ROE(3y)15.6%
ROE(5y)14.08%
ROIC(3y)3.55%
ROIC(5y)2.83%
ROICexc(3y)3.64%
ROICexc(5y)2.89%
ROICexgc(3y)3.89%
ROICexgc(5y)3.08%
ROCE(3y)4.64%
ROCE(5y)3.7%
ROICexgc growth 3Y27.88%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.98%
ROICexc growth 3Y27.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y7.67%
OM growth 3Y21.7%
OM growth 5Y4.82%
PM growth 3Y56.87%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y12.61%
GM growth 5Y1.57%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.26
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.05 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.2 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 260.54% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 36.85% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.31 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 54.21% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.9 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.08 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.85 |
F-Score7
WACC7.48%
ROIC/WACC0.47
Cap/Depr(3y)235.16%
Cap/Depr(5y)254.02%
Cap/Sales(3y)26.67%
Cap/Sales(5y)33.31%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)77.71%
EPS 3Y48.48%
EPS 5Y55.69%
EPS Q2Q%484.62%
EPS Next Y-37.48%
EPS Next 2Y-15.47%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-29.95%
Revenue growth 3Y2.94%
Revenue growth 5Y1.53%
Sales Q2Q%-2.89%
Revenue Next Year2.85%
Revenue Next 2Y9.04%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-17.13%
EBIT growth 3Y25.27%
EBIT growth 5Y6.42%
EBIT Next Year23.25%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-1887.21%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-37.31%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-11.21%
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC / TRN Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TRN.
What is the valuation status of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of TRN stock?
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC?
The financial health rating of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) is 2 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) is expected to decline by -37.48% in the next year.