TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:TRN - US8965221091 - Common Stock
27.5 USD
-0.32 (-1.15%)
27.5 USD
0 (0%)
Overall TRN gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated TRN against 132 industry peers in the Machinery industry. TRN has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. TRN does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
TRN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year TRN had a positive cash flow from operations.
TRN had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
TRN had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
TRN's Return On Assets of 1.07% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TRN is outperformed by 62.88% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of TRN (9.53%) is better than 60.61% of its industry peers.
TRN has a worse Return On Invested Capital (3.72%) than 63.64% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TRN is significantly below the industry average of 10.27%.
The 3 year average ROIC (3.30%) for TRN is below the current ROIC(3.72%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.07% | ||
| ROE | 9.53% | ||
| ROIC | 3.72% |
ROA(3y)1.15%
ROA(5y)0.79%
ROE(3y)9.74%
ROE(5y)7.69%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)2.93%
1.3 Margins
TRN has a Profit Margin (4.39%) which is in line with its industry peers.
TRN's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
TRN has a better Operating Margin (16.82%) than 79.55% of its industry peers.
TRN's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TRN has a Gross Margin of 26.30%. This is in the lower half of the industry: TRN underperforms 60.61% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TRN has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.39% | ||
| GM | 26.3% |
OM growth 3Y6.78%
OM growth 5Y2.31%
PM growth 3Y-27.93%
PM growth 5Y-0.11%
GM growth 3Y-2.46%
GM growth 5Y0.39%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TRN is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for TRN remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, TRN has less shares outstanding
TRN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.77, we must say that TRN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
TRN has a worse Altman-Z score (0.77) than 80.30% of its industry peers.
TRN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.94. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 5.94, TRN is not doing good in the industry: 90.15% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.94 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.77 |
ROIC/WACC0.51
WACC7.31%
2.3 Liquidity
TRN has a Current Ratio of 1.88. This is a normal value and indicates that TRN is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TRN's Current ratio of 1.88 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TRN outperforms 42.42% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.80 indicates that TRN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
TRN has a Quick ratio of 0.80. This is in the lower half of the industry: TRN underperforms 76.52% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.88 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
TRN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -44.04%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.62% on average over the past years.
TRN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -33.03%.
Measured over the past years, TRN shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 0.49% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-44.04%
EPS 3Y43.68%
EPS 5Y6.62%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-33.03%
Revenue growth 3Y26.64%
Revenue growth 5Y0.49%
Sales Q2Q%-43.15%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 3.12% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -7.93% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-10.54%
EPS Next 2Y-5.42%
EPS Next 3Y3.12%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-31.4%
Revenue Next 2Y-14.83%
Revenue Next 3Y-7.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 22.54, the valuation of TRN can be described as rather expensive.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of TRN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TRN is cheaper than 62.12% of the companies listed in the same industry.
TRN's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.92.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.57, the valuation of TRN can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TRN is valued a bit cheaper than 68.94% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.46. TRN is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.54 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.57 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TRN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TRN is cheaper than 69.70% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.14 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)3.4
EPS Next 2Y-5.42%
EPS Next 3Y3.12%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
TRN has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.46%, which is a nice return.
TRN's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.98. TRN pays more dividend than 96.97% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.00, TRN pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.46% |
5.2 History
The dividend of TRN is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 11.90%!
TRN has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
TRN has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.9%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
TRN pays out 102.41% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of TRN is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP102.41%
EPS Next 2Y-5.42%
EPS Next 3Y3.12%
27.5
-0.32 (-1.15%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners88.92%
Inst Owner Change-0.38%
Ins Owners1.24%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.20B
Revenue(TTM)2.18B
Net Income(TTM)95.40M
Analysts46.67
Price Target26.01 (-5.42%)
Short Float %3.77%
Short Ratio5.75
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.46% |
Yearly Dividend1.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.9%
DP102.41%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-22.37%
Min EPS beat(2)-39.89%
Max EPS beat(2)-4.85%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-13.34%
Min EPS beat(4)-39.89%
Max EPS beat(4)4.36%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)14.4%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)0.71%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-7.03%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-16.07%
Min Revenue beat(2)-16.54%
Max Revenue beat(2)-15.59%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.25%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.54%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.37%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.04%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.39%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.04%
PT rev (1m)-5.56%
PT rev (3m)-10.53%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)53.85%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)10.71%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-3.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.99%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-7.06%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 22.54 | ||
| Fwd PE | 17.57 | ||
| P/S | 1.01 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 5.74 | ||
| P/B | 2.2 | ||
| P/tB | 2.83 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 12.14 |
EPS(TTM)1.22
EY4.44%
EPS(NY)1.57
Fwd EY5.69%
FCF(TTM)-4.94
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)4.79
OCFY17.41%
SpS27.13
BVpS12.48
TBVpS9.72
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)3.4
Graham Number18.51
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 1.07% | ||
| ROE | 9.53% | ||
| ROCE | 4.34% | ||
| ROIC | 3.72% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.75% | ||
| ROICexgc | 4.04% | ||
| OM | 16.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 4.39% | ||
| GM | 26.3% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)1.15%
ROA(5y)0.79%
ROE(3y)9.74%
ROE(5y)7.69%
ROIC(3y)3.3%
ROIC(5y)2.93%
ROICexc(3y)3.37%
ROICexc(5y)2.98%
ROICexgc(3y)3.6%
ROICexgc(5y)3.17%
ROCE(3y)3.86%
ROCE(5y)3.42%
ROICexgc growth 3Y33.62%
ROICexgc growth 5Y2.84%
ROICexc growth 3Y32.68%
ROICexc growth 5Y2.96%
OM growth 3Y6.78%
OM growth 5Y2.31%
PM growth 3Y-27.93%
PM growth 5Y-0.11%
GM growth 3Y-2.46%
GM growth 5Y0.39%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.24
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.94 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 8.93 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 260.1% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 35.87% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 57.66% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.88 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.77 |
F-Score6
WACC7.31%
ROIC/WACC0.51
Cap/Depr(3y)264.91%
Cap/Depr(5y)254.88%
Cap/Sales(3y)30.68%
Cap/Sales(5y)32.99%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-44.04%
EPS 3Y43.68%
EPS 5Y6.62%
EPS Q2Q%0%
EPS Next Y-10.54%
EPS Next 2Y-5.42%
EPS Next 3Y3.12%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-33.03%
Revenue growth 3Y26.64%
Revenue growth 5Y0.49%
Sales Q2Q%-43.15%
Revenue Next Year-31.4%
Revenue Next 2Y-14.83%
Revenue Next 3Y-7.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-18.96%
EBIT growth 3Y35.23%
EBIT growth 5Y2.81%
EBIT Next Year53.81%
EBIT Next 3Y19.45%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y20.69%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.03%
OCF growth 3Y-2.11%
OCF growth 5Y7.83%
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC / TRN FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to TRN.
What is the valuation status for TRN stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC?
TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
What is the valuation of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) is 22.54 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.2.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TRN stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TRINITY INDUSTRIES INC (TRN) is expected to decline by -10.54% in the next year.