TREX COMPANY INC (TREX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:TREXUS89531P1057

Current stock price

37.33 USD
+0.03 (+0.08%)
Last:

This TREX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. TREX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year TREX was profitable.
  • TREX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years TREX has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years TREX had a positive operating cash flow.
TREX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTREX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of TREX (13.10%) is better than 85.71% of its industry peers.
  • TREX has a Return On Equity of 18.41%. This is in the better half of the industry: TREX outperforms 73.81% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of TREX (14.76%) is better than 80.95% of its industry peers.
  • TREX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 19.34%. This is significantly above the industry average of 11.89%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (14.76%) for TREX is well below the 3 year average (19.34%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that TREX had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 13.1%
ROE 18.41%
ROIC 14.76%
ROA(3y)17.45%
ROA(5y)18.96%
ROE(3y)24.59%
ROE(5y)27.64%
ROIC(3y)19.34%
ROIC(5y)21.79%
TREX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTREX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 16.22%, TREX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TREX has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 22.71%, TREX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TREX's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 39.40%, TREX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.19% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TREX's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.71%
PM (TTM) 16.22%
GM 39.4%
OM growth 3Y-1.41%
OM growth 5Y-3.05%
PM growth 3Y-0.96%
PM growth 5Y-4.05%
GM growth 3Y2.56%
GM growth 5Y-0.7%
TREX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTREX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40

8

2. TREX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), TREX is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, TREX has less shares outstanding
  • TREX has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • TREX has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
TREX Yearly Shares OutstandingTREX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
TREX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTREX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B

2.2 Solvency

  • TREX has an Altman-Z score of 8.83. This indicates that TREX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 8.83, TREX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of TREX is 1.07, which is an excellent value as it means it would take TREX, only 1.07 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • TREX has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.07. This is amongst the best in the industry. TREX outperforms 85.71% of its industry peers.
  • TREX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.13. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of TREX (0.13) is better than 80.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.13
Debt/FCF 1.07
Altman-Z 8.83
ROIC/WACC1.43
WACC10.33%
TREX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTREX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • TREX has a Current Ratio of 1.24. This is a normal value and indicates that TREX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • TREX has a worse Current ratio (1.24) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.29 indicates that TREX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • TREX has a worse Quick ratio (0.29) than 95.24% of its industry peers.
  • TREX does not score too well on the current and quick ratio evaluation. However, as it has excellent solvency and profitability, these ratios do not necessarly indicate liquidity issues and need to be evaluated against the specifics of the business.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.24
Quick Ratio 0.29
TREX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTREX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

4

3. TREX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • TREX shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -9.13%.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, TREX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 4.05% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, TREX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 1.98% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.92% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.13%
EPS 3Y5.06%
EPS 5Y4.05%
EPS Q2Q%-55.56%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.98%
Revenue growth 3Y2.02%
Revenue growth 5Y5.92%
Sales Q2Q%-3.88%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.71% on average over the next years.
  • TREX is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.68% yearly.
EPS Next Y-11.15%
EPS Next 2Y-0.41%
EPS Next 3Y5.71%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.57%
Revenue Next 2Y5.4%
Revenue Next 3Y6.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
TREX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTREX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 500M 1B
TREX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTREX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0.5 1 1.5 2

2

4. TREX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 19.75, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of TREX.
  • TREX's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TREX to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.61), we can say TREX is valued slightly cheaper.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.23, the valuation of TREX can be described as rather expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as TREX.
  • TREX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.79, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.75
Fwd PE 22.23
TREX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTREX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as TREX.
  • 61.90% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than TREX, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 31.7
EV/EBITDA 11.95
TREX Per share dataTREX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • TREX has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)4.88
EPS Next 2Y-0.41%
EPS Next 3Y5.71%

0

5. TREX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • TREX does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

TREX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

TREX COMPANY INC

NYSE:TREX (3/26/2026, 11:19:49 AM)

37.33

+0.03 (+0.08%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryBuilding Products
Earnings (Last)02-24
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners101.43%
Inst Owner Change-0.65%
Ins Owners0.61%
Ins Owner Change13.01%
Market Cap3.95B
Revenue(TTM)1.17B
Net Income(TTM)190.41M
Analysts72.14
Price Target46.34 (24.14%)
Short Float %8.18%
Short Ratio4.05
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)173.8%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.93%
Max EPS beat(2)359.54%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)87.31%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.93%
Max EPS beat(4)359.54%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)58.95%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)43.94%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)30.36%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.21%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.93%
Max Revenue beat(2)9.35%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.1%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.93%
Max Revenue beat(4)9.35%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.45%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.16%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.89%
PT rev (1m)0.63%
PT rev (3m)1.28%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.68%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-1.8%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.61%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.3%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.9%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.73%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.75
Fwd PE 22.23
P/S 3.36
P/FCF 31.7
P/OCF 11.02
P/B 3.82
P/tB 3.94
EV/EBITDA 11.95
EPS(TTM)1.89
EY5.06%
EPS(NY)1.68
Fwd EY4.5%
FCF(TTM)1.18
FCFY3.16%
OCF(TTM)3.39
OCFY9.07%
SpS11.11
BVpS9.78
TBVpS9.48
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)4.88
Graham Number20.39
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 13.1%
ROE 18.41%
ROCE 22.17%
ROIC 14.76%
ROICexc 14.8%
ROICexgc 15.16%
OM 22.71%
PM (TTM) 16.22%
GM 39.4%
FCFM 10.61%
ROA(3y)17.45%
ROA(5y)18.96%
ROE(3y)24.59%
ROE(5y)27.64%
ROIC(3y)19.34%
ROIC(5y)21.79%
ROICexc(3y)19.38%
ROICexc(5y)23.04%
ROICexgc(3y)19.89%
ROICexgc(5y)23.65%
ROCE(3y)28.67%
ROCE(5y)33.07%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-13.27%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-16.28%
ROICexc growth 3Y-13.33%
ROICexc growth 5Y-14.21%
OM growth 3Y-1.41%
OM growth 5Y-3.05%
PM growth 3Y-0.96%
PM growth 5Y-4.05%
GM growth 3Y2.56%
GM growth 5Y-0.7%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.81
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.13
Debt/FCF 1.07
Debt/EBITDA 0.4
Cap/Depr 371.01%
Cap/Sales 19.89%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 108.64%
Profit Quality 65.4%
Current Ratio 1.24
Quick Ratio 0.29
Altman-Z 8.83
F-Score6
WACC10.33%
ROIC/WACC1.43
Cap/Depr(3y)378.26%
Cap/Depr(5y)395.21%
Cap/Sales(3y)18.54%
Cap/Sales(5y)16.97%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-9.13%
EPS 3Y5.06%
EPS 5Y4.05%
EPS Q2Q%-55.56%
EPS Next Y-11.15%
EPS Next 2Y-0.41%
EPS Next 3Y5.71%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)1.98%
Revenue growth 3Y2.02%
Revenue growth 5Y5.92%
Sales Q2Q%-3.88%
Revenue Next Year4.57%
Revenue Next 2Y5.4%
Revenue Next 3Y6.68%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-12.76%
EBIT growth 3Y0.57%
EBIT growth 5Y2.68%
EBIT Next Year21.32%
EBIT Next 3Y14.42%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y234.33%
FCF growth 3Y46.03%
FCF growth 5Y53.74%
OCF growth 1Y148.81%
OCF growth 3Y18.32%
OCF growth 5Y13.84%

TREX COMPANY INC / TREX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TREX COMPANY INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to TREX.


What is the valuation status for TREX stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to TREX COMPANY INC (TREX). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of TREX stock?

TREX COMPANY INC (TREX) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the financial health of TREX COMPANY INC (TREX) stock?

The financial health rating of TREX COMPANY INC (TREX) is 8 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for TREX COMPANY INC (TREX) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TREX COMPANY INC (TREX) is expected to decline by -11.15% in the next year.