TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:TPX - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US88023U1016 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to TPX. TPX was compared to 66 industry peers in the Household Durables industry. TPX has an excellent profitability rating, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. TPX is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
TPX had positive earnings in the past year.
TPX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years TPX has been profitable.
TPX had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of TPX (8.53%) is better than 64.62% of its industry peers.
TPX has a Return On Equity of 69.00%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TPX outperforms 98.46% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 13.89%, TPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.46% of the companies in the same industry.
TPX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.57%. This is above the industry average of 12.03%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.53% | ||
| ROE | 69% | ||
| ROIC | 13.89% |
ROA(3y)10.99%
ROA(5y)9.94%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.57%
ROIC(5y)15.91%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of TPX (7.96%) is better than 64.62% of its industry peers.
TPX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TPX's Operating Margin of 12.81% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TPX outperforms 72.31% of its industry peers.
TPX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TPX has a better Gross Margin (44.51%) than 84.62% of its industry peers.
TPX's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.96% | ||
| GM | 44.51% |
OM growth 3Y-4.89%
OM growth 5Y3.81%
PM growth 3Y-7.64%
PM growth 5Y14.98%
GM growth 3Y-0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.37%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TPX is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for TPX has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for TPX has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for TPX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
TPX has an Altman-Z score of 4.78. This indicates that TPX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
TPX has a Altman-Z score of 4.78. This is in the better half of the industry: TPX outperforms 75.38% of its industry peers.
TPX has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.37. This is a neutral value as TPX would need 4.37 years to pay back of all of its debts.
TPX's Debt to FCF ratio of 4.37 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TPX outperforms 61.54% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.95 is on the high side and indicates that TPX has dependencies on debt financing.
The Debt to Equity ratio of TPX (3.95) is worse than 95.38% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.95 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.37 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.78 |
ROIC/WACC1.55
WACC8.99%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that TPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.14, TPX is doing worse than 87.69% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.65 indicates that TPX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.65, TPX is not doing good in the industry: 67.69% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.65 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.48% over the past year.
TPX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 27.51% yearly.
The Revenue has decreased by -0.99% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing by 12.75% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.48%
EPS 3Y8.06%
EPS 5Y27.51%
EPS Q2Q%6.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.99%
Revenue growth 3Y10.24%
Revenue growth 5Y12.75%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
3.2 Future
TPX is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 10.18% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, TPX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.48% on average per year.
EPS Next Y5.53%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
EPS Next 5Y10.18%
Revenue Next Year-0.52%
Revenue Next 2Y1.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.85%
Revenue Next 5Y3.48%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 27.73, TPX can be considered very expensive at the moment.
TPX's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. TPX is more expensive than 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TPX to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.41), we can say TPX is valued inline with the index average.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 23.74, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of TPX.
70.77% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than TPX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
TPX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.12, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.73 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.74 |
4.2 Price Multiples
64.62% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than TPX, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as TPX.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 27.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 20.99 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
TPX has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)5.02
PEG (5Y)1.01
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.76%, TPX is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
TPX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.10.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.30, TPX's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.76% |
5.2 History
The dividend of TPX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 43.15%!
TPX has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
TPX has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.15%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
22.85% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TPX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of TPX is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.85%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
68.78
+0.34 (+0.5%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryHousehold Durables
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners81.34%
Inst Owner Change-4.03%
Ins Owners2.78%
Ins Owner Change3.46%
Market Cap14.30B
Analysts78.57
Price Target75.99 (10.48%)
Short Float %6.78%
Short Ratio6.79
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.76% |
Yearly Dividend0.45
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.15%
DP22.85%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.2%
Max EPS beat(2)0.54%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.54%
Max EPS beat(4)2.49%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.12%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)0.28%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)5.84%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.99%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.35%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.12%
PT rev (1m)20.65%
PT rev (3m)20.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.53%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.42%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.9%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.73 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.74 | ||
| P/S | 2.92 | ||
| P/FCF | 27.49 | ||
| P/OCF | 22.75 | ||
| P/B | 25.32 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 20.99 |
EPS(TTM)2.48
EY3.61%
EPS(NY)2.9
Fwd EY4.21%
FCF(TTM)2.5
FCFY3.64%
OCF(TTM)3.02
OCFY4.4%
SpS23.54
BVpS2.72
TBVpS-6
PEG (NY)5.02
PEG (5Y)1.01
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.53% | ||
| ROE | 69% | ||
| ROCE | 17.63% | ||
| ROIC | 13.89% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.31% | ||
| ROICexgc | 30.12% | ||
| OM | 12.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.96% | ||
| GM | 44.51% | ||
| FCFM | 10.63% |
ROA(3y)10.99%
ROA(5y)9.94%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.57%
ROIC(5y)15.91%
ROICexc(3y)17.49%
ROICexc(5y)16.63%
ROICexgc(3y)41.15%
ROICexgc(5y)40.69%
ROCE(3y)21.04%
ROCE(5y)20.19%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-17.23%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-4.88%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.24%
OM growth 3Y-4.89%
OM growth 5Y3.81%
PM growth 3Y-7.64%
PM growth 5Y14.98%
GM growth 3Y-0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.37%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.95 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.37 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.84 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 68.85% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.22% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.41 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 80.1% | ||
| Profit Quality | 133.5% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.65 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.78 |
F-Score6
WACC8.99%
ROIC/WACC1.55
Cap/Depr(3y)162.37%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.8%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.67%
Profit Quality(3y)72.09%
Profit Quality(5y)98.13%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.48%
EPS 3Y8.06%
EPS 5Y27.51%
EPS Q2Q%6.49%
EPS Next Y5.53%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
EPS Next 5Y10.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.99%
Revenue growth 3Y10.24%
Revenue growth 5Y12.75%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
Revenue Next Year-0.52%
Revenue Next 2Y1.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.85%
Revenue Next 5Y3.48%
EBIT growth 1Y0.82%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y17.05%
EBIT Next Year30.06%
EBIT Next 3Y15%
EBIT Next 5Y11.43%
FCF growth 1Y244.37%
FCF growth 3Y-10.88%
FCF growth 5Y28.58%
OCF growth 1Y53.97%
OCF growth 3Y-4.51%
OCF growth 5Y25.51%