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TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:TPX - US88023U1016 - Common Stock

68.78 USD
+0.34 (+0.5%)
Last: 2/14/2025, 8:08:37 PM
68.78 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/14/2025, 8:08:37 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to TPX. TPX was compared to 60 industry peers in the Household Durables industry. While TPX has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, TPX is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • TPX had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year TPX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years TPX has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years TPX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
TPX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTPX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 8.53%, TPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TPX has a Return On Equity of 69.00%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TPX outperforms 98.46% of its industry peers.
  • TPX's Return On Invested Capital of 13.89% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TPX outperforms 78.46% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TPX is significantly above the industry average of 9.71%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.53%
ROE 69%
ROIC 13.89%
ROA(3y)10.99%
ROA(5y)9.94%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.57%
ROIC(5y)15.91%
TPX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTPX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -500 -1K -1.5K -2K

1.3 Margins

  • TPX's Profit Margin of 7.96% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TPX outperforms 64.62% of its industry peers.
  • TPX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 12.81%, TPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.31% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TPX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 44.51%, TPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TPX's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.81%
PM (TTM) 7.96%
GM 44.51%
OM growth 3Y-4.89%
OM growth 5Y3.81%
PM growth 3Y-7.64%
PM growth 5Y14.98%
GM growth 3Y-0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.37%
TPX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTPX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30 40

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TPX is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for TPX has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for TPX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TPX Yearly Shares OutstandingTPX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M
TPX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTPX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • TPX has an Altman-Z score of 4.78. This indicates that TPX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of TPX (4.78) is better than 75.38% of its industry peers.
  • TPX has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.37. This is a neutral value as TPX would need 4.37 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • TPX has a better Debt to FCF ratio (4.37) than 61.54% of its industry peers.
  • TPX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.95. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • TPX has a Debt to Equity ratio of 3.95. This is amonst the worse of the industry: TPX underperforms 95.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.95
Debt/FCF 4.37
Altman-Z 4.78
ROIC/WACC1.55
WACC8.99%
TPX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTPX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • TPX has a Current Ratio of 1.14. This is a normal value and indicates that TPX is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • TPX has a Current ratio of 1.14. This is amonst the worse of the industry: TPX underperforms 87.69% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.65 indicates that TPX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • TPX has a Quick ratio of 0.65. This is in the lower half of the industry: TPX underperforms 67.69% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.14
Quick Ratio 0.65
TPX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTPX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • TPX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 2.48%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 27.51% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue has decreased by -0.99% in the past year.
  • TPX shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 12.75% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.48%
EPS 3Y8.06%
EPS 5Y27.51%
EPS Q2Q%6.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.99%
Revenue growth 3Y10.24%
Revenue growth 5Y12.75%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.18% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • TPX is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.48% yearly.
EPS Next Y5.53%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
EPS Next 5Y10.18%
Revenue Next Year-0.52%
Revenue Next 2Y1.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.85%
Revenue Next 5Y3.48%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TPX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTPX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
TPX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTPX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 27.73, TPX can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TPX is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 61.54% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.21. TPX is around the same levels.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 23.74, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of TPX.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TPX is valued a bit more expensive than 70.77% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TPX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 25.98, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.73
Fwd PE 23.74
TPX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTPX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TPX is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 64.62% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as TPX.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.49
EV/EBITDA 20.99
TPX Per share dataTPX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of TPX may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)5.02
PEG (5Y)1.01
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • TPX has a yearly dividend return of 0.76%, which is pretty low.
  • TPX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.16.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.76, TPX pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.76%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of TPX grows each year by 43.15%, which is quite nice.
  • TPX has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • TPX has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.15%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
TPX Yearly Dividends per shareTPX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 22.85% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TPX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • TPX's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.85%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
TPX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTPX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M
TPX Dividend Payout.TPX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TPX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I / TPX FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TPX.


What is the valuation status for TPX stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I?

TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TPX stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) is expected to grow by 5.53% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for TPX stock?

The dividend rating of TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 22.85%.