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TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:TPX - US88023U1016 - Common Stock

68.78 USD
+0.34 (+0.5%)
Last: 2/14/2025, 8:08:37 PM
68.78 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/14/2025, 8:08:37 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

TPX gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 61 industry peers in the Household Durables industry. While TPX has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. TPX is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year TPX was profitable.
TPX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
TPX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years TPX had a positive operating cash flow.
TPX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTPX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

TPX has a better Return On Assets (8.53%) than 64.62% of its industry peers.
TPX has a better Return On Equity (69.00%) than 98.46% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 13.89%, TPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.46% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TPX is significantly above the industry average of 9.76%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.53%
ROE 69%
ROIC 13.89%
ROA(3y)10.99%
ROA(5y)9.94%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.57%
ROIC(5y)15.91%
TPX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTPX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -500 -1K -1.5K -2K

1.3 Margins

TPX's Profit Margin of 7.96% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TPX outperforms 64.62% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TPX has grown nicely.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 12.81%, TPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.31% of the companies in the same industry.
TPX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TPX has a Gross Margin of 44.51%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TPX outperforms 84.62% of its industry peers.
TPX's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.81%
PM (TTM) 7.96%
GM 44.51%
OM growth 3Y-4.89%
OM growth 5Y3.81%
PM growth 3Y-7.64%
PM growth 5Y14.98%
GM growth 3Y-0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.37%
TPX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTPX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30 40

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TPX is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, TPX has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, TPX has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for TPX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TPX Yearly Shares OutstandingTPX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M
TPX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTPX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.78 indicates that TPX is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
TPX has a better Altman-Z score (4.78) than 75.38% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TPX is 4.37, which is a neutral value as it means it would take TPX, 4.37 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TPX has a better Debt to FCF ratio (4.37) than 61.54% of its industry peers.
TPX has a Debt/Equity ratio of 3.95. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 3.95, TPX is doing worse than 95.38% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.95
Debt/FCF 4.37
Altman-Z 4.78
ROIC/WACC1.55
WACC8.99%
TPX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTPX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that TPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
TPX's Current ratio of 1.14 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TPX is outperformed by 87.69% of its industry peers.
TPX has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that TPX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TPX's Quick ratio of 0.65 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TPX is outperformed by 67.69% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.14
Quick Ratio 0.65
TPX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTPX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

TPX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 2.48%.
Measured over the past years, TPX shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 27.51% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, TPX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.99% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing by 12.75% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.48%
EPS 3Y8.06%
EPS 5Y27.51%
EPS Q2Q%6.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.99%
Revenue growth 3Y10.24%
Revenue growth 5Y12.75%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.18% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.48% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y5.53%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
EPS Next 5Y10.18%
Revenue Next Year-0.52%
Revenue Next 2Y1.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.85%
Revenue Next 5Y3.48%

3.3 Evolution

Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TPX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTPX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
TPX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTPX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 27.73 indicates a quite expensive valuation of TPX.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TPX is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 61.54% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
TPX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.47, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.74, TPX is valued on the expensive side.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TPX indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: TPX is more expensive than 70.77% of the companies listed in the same industry.
TPX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 34.42.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.73
Fwd PE 23.74
TPX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTPX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TPX is valued a bit more expensive than 64.62% of the companies in the same industry.
TPX's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.49
EV/EBITDA 20.99
TPX Per share dataTPX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates TPX does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The excellent profitability rating of TPX may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)5.02
PEG (5Y)1.01
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

TPX has a yearly dividend return of 0.76%, which is pretty low.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.27, TPX pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.76, TPX pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.41.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.76%

5.2 History

The dividend of TPX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 43.15%!
TPX has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
TPX has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.15%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
TPX Yearly Dividends per shareTPX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

22.85% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TPX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
TPX's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.85%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
TPX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTPX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M
TPX Dividend Payout.TPX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TPX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I

NYSE:TPX (2/14/2025, 8:08:37 PM)

After market: 68.78 0 (0%)

68.78

+0.34 (+0.5%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryHousehold Durables
Earnings (Last)02-20 2025-02-20/bmo
Earnings (Next)08-04 2025-08-04/amc
Inst Owners81.34%
Inst Owner Change-4.88%
Ins Owners2.78%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap14.30B
Revenue(TTM)4.89B
Net Income(TTM)389.50M
Analysts78.57
Price Target75.99 (10.48%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.76%
Yearly Dividend0.45
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.15%
DP22.85%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.2%
Max EPS beat(2)0.54%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.54%
Max EPS beat(4)2.49%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.12%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)0.28%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)5.84%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.99%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.35%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.12%
PT rev (1m)20.65%
PT rev (3m)20.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.53%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.42%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.9%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.73
Fwd PE 23.74
P/S 2.92
P/FCF 27.49
P/OCF 22.75
P/B 25.32
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 20.99
EPS(TTM)2.48
EY3.61%
EPS(NY)2.9
Fwd EY4.21%
FCF(TTM)2.5
FCFY3.64%
OCF(TTM)3.02
OCFY4.4%
SpS23.54
BVpS2.72
TBVpS-6
PEG (NY)5.02
PEG (5Y)1.01
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.53%
ROE 69%
ROCE 17.63%
ROIC 13.89%
ROICexc 14.31%
ROICexgc 30.12%
OM 12.81%
PM (TTM) 7.96%
GM 44.51%
FCFM 10.63%
ROA(3y)10.99%
ROA(5y)9.94%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.57%
ROIC(5y)15.91%
ROICexc(3y)17.49%
ROICexc(5y)16.63%
ROICexgc(3y)41.15%
ROICexgc(5y)40.69%
ROCE(3y)21.04%
ROCE(5y)20.19%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-17.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.88%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.24%
OM growth 3Y-4.89%
OM growth 5Y3.81%
PM growth 3Y-7.64%
PM growth 5Y14.98%
GM growth 3Y-0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.37%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.95
Debt/FCF 4.37
Debt/EBITDA 2.84
Cap/Depr 68.85%
Cap/Sales 2.22%
Interest Coverage 4.41
Cash Conversion 80.1%
Profit Quality 133.5%
Current Ratio 1.14
Quick Ratio 0.65
Altman-Z 4.78
F-Score6
WACC8.99%
ROIC/WACC1.55
Cap/Depr(3y)162.37%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.8%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.67%
Profit Quality(3y)72.09%
Profit Quality(5y)98.13%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.48%
EPS 3Y8.06%
EPS 5Y27.51%
EPS Q2Q%6.49%
EPS Next Y5.53%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
EPS Next 5Y10.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.99%
Revenue growth 3Y10.24%
Revenue growth 5Y12.75%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
Revenue Next Year-0.52%
Revenue Next 2Y1.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.85%
Revenue Next 5Y3.48%
EBIT growth 1Y0.82%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y17.05%
EBIT Next Year30.06%
EBIT Next 3Y15%
EBIT Next 5Y11.43%
FCF growth 1Y244.37%
FCF growth 3Y-10.88%
FCF growth 5Y28.58%
OCF growth 1Y53.97%
OCF growth 3Y-4.51%
OCF growth 5Y25.51%

TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I / TPX FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TPX.


What is the valuation status of TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of TPX stock?

TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the valuation of TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) is 27.73 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 25.32.


How sustainable is the dividend of TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) stock?

The dividend rating of TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 22.85%.