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TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:TPX - US88023U1016 - Common Stock

68.78 USD
+0.34 (+0.5%)
Last: 2/14/2025, 8:08:37 PM
68.78 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/14/2025, 8:08:37 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to TPX. TPX was compared to 61 industry peers in the Household Durables industry. TPX scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. TPX is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year TPX was profitable.
In the past year TPX had a positive cash flow from operations.
TPX had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years TPX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
TPX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTPX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

With a decent Return On Assets value of 8.53%, TPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.62% of the companies in the same industry.
TPX's Return On Equity of 69.00% is amongst the best of the industry. TPX outperforms 98.46% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 13.89%, TPX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.46% of the companies in the same industry.
TPX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 16.57%. This is significantly above the industry average of 9.75%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.53%
ROE 69%
ROIC 13.89%
ROA(3y)10.99%
ROA(5y)9.94%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.57%
ROIC(5y)15.91%
TPX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTPX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -500 -1K -1.5K -2K

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of TPX (7.96%) is better than 64.62% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TPX has grown nicely.
TPX has a Operating Margin of 12.81%. This is in the better half of the industry: TPX outperforms 72.31% of its industry peers.
TPX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TPX's Gross Margin of 44.51% is amongst the best of the industry. TPX outperforms 84.62% of its industry peers.
TPX's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.81%
PM (TTM) 7.96%
GM 44.51%
OM growth 3Y-4.89%
OM growth 5Y3.81%
PM growth 3Y-7.64%
PM growth 5Y14.98%
GM growth 3Y-0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.37%
TPX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTPX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30 40

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TPX is creating value.
TPX has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for TPX has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, TPX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
TPX Yearly Shares OutstandingTPX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M
TPX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTPX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.78 indicates that TPX is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
TPX's Altman-Z score of 4.78 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TPX outperforms 75.38% of its industry peers.
TPX has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.37. This is a neutral value as TPX would need 4.37 years to pay back of all of its debts.
TPX has a better Debt to FCF ratio (4.37) than 61.54% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.95 is on the high side and indicates that TPX has dependencies on debt financing.
TPX's Debt to Equity ratio of 3.95 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TPX is outperformed by 95.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.95
Debt/FCF 4.37
Altman-Z 4.78
ROIC/WACC1.55
WACC8.99%
TPX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTPX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that TPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
TPX has a worse Current ratio (1.14) than 87.69% of its industry peers.
TPX has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that TPX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TPX has a worse Quick ratio (0.65) than 67.69% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.14
Quick Ratio 0.65
TPX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTPX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

TPX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 2.48%.
Measured over the past years, TPX shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 27.51% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, TPX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.99% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, TPX shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.75% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.48%
EPS 3Y8.06%
EPS 5Y27.51%
EPS Q2Q%6.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.99%
Revenue growth 3Y10.24%
Revenue growth 5Y12.75%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, TPX will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 10.18% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.48% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y5.53%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
EPS Next 5Y10.18%
Revenue Next Year-0.52%
Revenue Next 2Y1.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.85%
Revenue Next 5Y3.48%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
TPX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTPX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
TPX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTPX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1 2 3

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 27.73, TPX can be considered very expensive at the moment.
61.54% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than TPX, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
TPX's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 26.15.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.74, the valuation of TPX can be described as rather expensive.
70.77% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than TPX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 36.12. TPX is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.73
Fwd PE 23.74
TPX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTPX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TPX indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: TPX is more expensive than 64.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
TPX's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.49
EV/EBITDA 20.99
TPX Per share dataTPX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates TPX does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
TPX has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)5.02
PEG (5Y)1.01
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.76%, TPX is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
TPX's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.26.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.76, TPX pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.41.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.76%

5.2 History

The dividend of TPX is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 43.15%!
TPX has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
TPX has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.15%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
TPX Yearly Dividends per shareTPX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5

5.3 Sustainability

TPX pays out 22.85% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
TPX's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.85%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
TPX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTPX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M
TPX Dividend Payout.TPX Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TPX Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I

NYSE:TPX (2/14/2025, 8:08:37 PM)

After market: 68.78 0 (0%)

68.78

+0.34 (+0.5%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryHousehold Durables
Earnings (Last)02-20 2025-02-20/bmo
Earnings (Next)08-04 2025-08-04/amc
Inst Owners81.34%
Inst Owner Change-4.88%
Ins Owners2.78%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap14.30B
Revenue(TTM)4.89B
Net Income(TTM)389.50M
Analysts78.57
Price Target75.99 (10.48%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.76%
Yearly Dividend0.45
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.15%
DP22.85%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.2%
Max EPS beat(2)0.54%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.54%
Max EPS beat(4)2.49%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.12%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)0.28%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)5.84%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.99%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.35%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.12%
PT rev (1m)20.65%
PT rev (3m)20.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.53%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.42%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.9%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 27.73
Fwd PE 23.74
P/S 2.92
P/FCF 27.49
P/OCF 22.75
P/B 25.32
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 20.99
EPS(TTM)2.48
EY3.61%
EPS(NY)2.9
Fwd EY4.21%
FCF(TTM)2.5
FCFY3.64%
OCF(TTM)3.02
OCFY4.4%
SpS23.54
BVpS2.72
TBVpS-6
PEG (NY)5.02
PEG (5Y)1.01
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.53%
ROE 69%
ROCE 17.63%
ROIC 13.89%
ROICexc 14.31%
ROICexgc 30.12%
OM 12.81%
PM (TTM) 7.96%
GM 44.51%
FCFM 10.63%
ROA(3y)10.99%
ROA(5y)9.94%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.57%
ROIC(5y)15.91%
ROICexc(3y)17.49%
ROICexc(5y)16.63%
ROICexgc(3y)41.15%
ROICexgc(5y)40.69%
ROCE(3y)21.04%
ROCE(5y)20.19%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-17.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.88%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.24%
OM growth 3Y-4.89%
OM growth 5Y3.81%
PM growth 3Y-7.64%
PM growth 5Y14.98%
GM growth 3Y-0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.37%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 3.95
Debt/FCF 4.37
Debt/EBITDA 2.84
Cap/Depr 68.85%
Cap/Sales 2.22%
Interest Coverage 4.41
Cash Conversion 80.1%
Profit Quality 133.5%
Current Ratio 1.14
Quick Ratio 0.65
Altman-Z 4.78
F-Score6
WACC8.99%
ROIC/WACC1.55
Cap/Depr(3y)162.37%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.8%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.67%
Profit Quality(3y)72.09%
Profit Quality(5y)98.13%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.48%
EPS 3Y8.06%
EPS 5Y27.51%
EPS Q2Q%6.49%
EPS Next Y5.53%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
EPS Next 5Y10.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.99%
Revenue growth 3Y10.24%
Revenue growth 5Y12.75%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
Revenue Next Year-0.52%
Revenue Next 2Y1.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.85%
Revenue Next 5Y3.48%
EBIT growth 1Y0.82%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y17.05%
EBIT Next Year30.06%
EBIT Next 3Y15%
EBIT Next 5Y11.43%
FCF growth 1Y244.37%
FCF growth 3Y-10.88%
FCF growth 5Y28.58%
OCF growth 1Y53.97%
OCF growth 3Y-4.51%
OCF growth 5Y25.51%

TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I / TPX FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TPX.


What is the valuation status of TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of TPX stock?

TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the valuation of TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) is 27.73 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 25.32.


How sustainable is the dividend of TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) stock?

The dividend rating of TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 22.85%.