TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:TPX - US88023U1016 - Common Stock
68.78 USD
+0.34 (+0.5%)
68.78 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, TPX scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. TPX was compared to 60 industry peers in the Household Durables industry. While TPX has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. TPX is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
TPX had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year TPX had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years TPX has been profitable.
In the past 5 years TPX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
TPX has a Return On Assets of 8.53%. This is in the better half of the industry: TPX outperforms 64.62% of its industry peers.
TPX has a better Return On Equity (69.00%) than 98.46% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 13.89%, TPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.46% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TPX is significantly above the industry average of 9.73%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.53% | ||
| ROE | 69% | ||
| ROIC | 13.89% |
ROA(3y)10.99%
ROA(5y)9.94%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.57%
ROIC(5y)15.91%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of TPX (7.96%) is better than 64.62% of its industry peers.
TPX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 12.81%, TPX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.31% of the companies in the same industry.
TPX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 44.51%, TPX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TPX has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.96% | ||
| GM | 44.51% |
OM growth 3Y-4.89%
OM growth 5Y3.81%
PM growth 3Y-7.64%
PM growth 5Y14.98%
GM growth 3Y-0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.37%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TPX is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, TPX has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, TPX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
TPX has an Altman-Z score of 4.78. This indicates that TPX is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
TPX has a Altman-Z score of 4.78. This is in the better half of the industry: TPX outperforms 75.38% of its industry peers.
TPX has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.37. This is a neutral value as TPX would need 4.37 years to pay back of all of its debts.
TPX has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.37. This is in the better half of the industry: TPX outperforms 61.54% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 3.95 is on the high side and indicates that TPX has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 3.95, TPX is not doing good in the industry: 95.38% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.95 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.37 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.78 |
ROIC/WACC1.55
WACC8.99%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that TPX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
TPX has a worse Current ratio (1.14) than 87.69% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.65 indicates that TPX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
TPX has a worse Quick ratio (0.65) than 67.69% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.65 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
TPX shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 2.48%.
Measured over the past years, TPX shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 27.51% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, TPX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.99% in the last year.
TPX shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 12.75% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.48%
EPS 3Y8.06%
EPS 5Y27.51%
EPS Q2Q%6.49%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.99%
Revenue growth 3Y10.24%
Revenue growth 5Y12.75%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 10.18% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.48% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y5.53%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
EPS Next 5Y10.18%
Revenue Next Year-0.52%
Revenue Next 2Y1.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.85%
Revenue Next 5Y3.48%
3.3 Evolution
Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 27.73 indicates a quite expensive valuation of TPX.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of TPX indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: TPX is more expensive than 61.54% of the companies listed in the same industry.
TPX is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.25, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.74, TPX is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TPX is valued a bit more expensive than 70.77% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.98. TPX is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.73 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.74 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TPX is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 64.62% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
TPX's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 27.49 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 20.99 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates TPX does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The excellent profitability rating of TPX may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)5.02
PEG (5Y)1.01
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a yearly dividend of 0.76%, TPX is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.19, TPX pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.76, TPX pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.92.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.76% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of TPX grows each year by 43.15%, which is quite nice.
TPX has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
TPX has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.15%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
TPX pays out 22.85% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of TPX is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP22.85%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
68.78
+0.34 (+0.5%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryHousehold Durables
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners81.34%
Inst Owner Change0.02%
Ins Owners2.78%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap14.30B
Revenue(TTM)4.89B
Net Income(TTM)389.50M
Analysts78.57
Price Target75.99 (10.48%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.76% |
Yearly Dividend0.45
Dividend Growth(5Y)43.15%
DP22.85%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.83%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.2%
Max EPS beat(2)0.54%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-0.68%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.54%
Max EPS beat(4)2.49%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.12%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)0.28%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)5.84%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.26%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.08%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.08%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.99%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.35%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.12%
PT rev (1m)20.65%
PT rev (3m)20.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.53%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.53%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.2%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.2%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.42%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.06%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.9%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27.73 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.74 | ||
| P/S | 2.92 | ||
| P/FCF | 27.49 | ||
| P/OCF | 22.75 | ||
| P/B | 25.32 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 20.99 |
EPS(TTM)2.48
EY3.61%
EPS(NY)2.9
Fwd EY4.21%
FCF(TTM)2.5
FCFY3.64%
OCF(TTM)3.02
OCFY4.4%
SpS23.54
BVpS2.72
TBVpS-6
PEG (NY)5.02
PEG (5Y)1.01
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.53% | ||
| ROE | 69% | ||
| ROCE | 17.63% | ||
| ROIC | 13.89% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.31% | ||
| ROICexgc | 30.12% | ||
| OM | 12.81% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 7.96% | ||
| GM | 44.51% | ||
| FCFM | 10.63% |
ROA(3y)10.99%
ROA(5y)9.94%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)16.57%
ROIC(5y)15.91%
ROICexc(3y)17.49%
ROICexc(5y)16.63%
ROICexgc(3y)41.15%
ROICexgc(5y)40.69%
ROCE(3y)21.04%
ROCE(5y)20.19%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-17.23%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.88%
ROICexc growth 3Y-9.87%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.24%
OM growth 3Y-4.89%
OM growth 5Y3.81%
PM growth 3Y-7.64%
PM growth 5Y14.98%
GM growth 3Y-0.86%
GM growth 5Y0.37%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 3.95 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.37 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.84 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 68.85% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.22% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.41 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 80.1% | ||
| Profit Quality | 133.5% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.14 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.65 | ||
| Altman-Z | 4.78 |
F-Score6
WACC8.99%
ROIC/WACC1.55
Cap/Depr(3y)162.37%
Cap/Depr(5y)139.8%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.67%
Profit Quality(3y)72.09%
Profit Quality(5y)98.13%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.48%
EPS 3Y8.06%
EPS 5Y27.51%
EPS Q2Q%6.49%
EPS Next Y5.53%
EPS Next 2Y9.65%
EPS Next 3Y10.26%
EPS Next 5Y10.18%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.99%
Revenue growth 3Y10.24%
Revenue growth 5Y12.75%
Sales Q2Q%1.79%
Revenue Next Year-0.52%
Revenue Next 2Y1.88%
Revenue Next 3Y2.85%
Revenue Next 5Y3.48%
EBIT growth 1Y0.82%
EBIT growth 3Y4.84%
EBIT growth 5Y17.05%
EBIT Next Year30.06%
EBIT Next 3Y15%
EBIT Next 5Y11.43%
FCF growth 1Y244.37%
FCF growth 3Y-10.88%
FCF growth 5Y28.58%
OCF growth 1Y53.97%
OCF growth 3Y-4.51%
OCF growth 5Y25.51%
TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I / TPX FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TPX.
What is the valuation status for TPX stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX). This can be considered as Overvalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I?
TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TPX stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) is expected to grow by 5.53% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for TPX stock?
The dividend rating of TEMPUR SEALY INTERNATIONAL I (TPX) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 22.85%.