TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP (TPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:TPL • US88262P1021

Current stock price

439.03 USD
+8.13 (+1.89%)
At close:
437.26 USD
-1.77 (-0.4%)
After Hours:

This TPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. TPL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year TPL was profitable.
  • TPL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years TPL has always been profitable.
  • TPL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
TPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 29.65%, TPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TPL's Return On Equity of 33.00% is amongst the best of the industry. TPL outperforms 92.82% of its industry peers.
  • TPL has a Return On Invested Capital of 30.78%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TPL outperforms 97.61% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TPL is significantly above the industry average of 22.52%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 29.65%
ROE 33%
ROIC 30.78%
ROA(3y)33.7%
ROA(5y)37.46%
ROE(3y)37.32%
ROE(5y)42.23%
ROIC(3y)33.51%
ROIC(5y)38.7%
TPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80 100

1.3 Margins

  • TPL has a Profit Margin of 60.31%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TPL outperforms 95.22% of its industry peers.
  • TPL's Profit Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 74.19%, TPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.13% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TPL has remained more or less at the same level.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 93.29%, TPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 97.13% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TPL has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 74.19%
PM (TTM) 60.31%
GM 93.29%
OM growth 3Y-4.15%
OM growth 5Y0.65%
PM growth 3Y-3.39%
PM growth 5Y0.72%
GM growth 3Y-1.42%
GM growth 5Y-0.42%
TPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20 40 60 80

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10

2. TPL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • TPL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, TPL has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • The number of shares outstanding for TPL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • There is no outstanding debt for TPL. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
TPL Yearly Shares OutstandingTPL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
TPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • TPL has an Altman-Z score of 113.73. This indicates that TPL is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • TPL has a Altman-Z score of 113.73. This is amongst the best in the industry. TPL outperforms 99.04% of its industry peers.
  • There is no outstanding debt for TPL. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 113.73
ROIC/WACC3.4
WACC9.06%
TPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 3.11 indicates that TPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • TPL has a better Current ratio (3.11) than 83.25% of its industry peers.
  • TPL has a Quick Ratio of 3.11. This indicates that TPL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Quick ratio value of 3.11, TPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.73% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.11
Quick Ratio 3.11
TPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. TPL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.81% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, TPL shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 40.58% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, TPL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 13.09% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, TPL shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 21.41% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.81%
EPS 3Y29.21%
EPS 5Y40.58%
EPS Q2Q%-64.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.09%
Revenue growth 3Y6.15%
Revenue growth 5Y21.41%
Sales Q2Q%13.89%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, TPL will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -12.05% on average per year.
  • TPL is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 23.90% yearly.
EPS Next Y-30.27%
EPS Next 2Y-12.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year33.85%
Revenue Next 2Y23.9%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
TPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
TPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2 4 6 8 10

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1

4. TPL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 31.70, TPL can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TPL is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 61.72% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TPL to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.54), we can say TPL is valued inline with the index average.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 45.47 indicates a quite expensive valuation of TPL.
  • TPL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • TPL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 21.68.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.7
Fwd PE 45.47
TPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

  • TPL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. TPL is more expensive than 70.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 46.01
TPL Per share dataTPL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15 20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The excellent profitability rating of TPL may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A cheap valuation may be justified as TPL's earnings are expected to decrease with -12.05% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.78
EPS Next 2Y-12.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. TPL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • TPL has a yearly dividend return of 0.55%, which is pretty low.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.21, TPL is paying slightly less dividend.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.55, TPL pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.55%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of TPL decreases each year by -5.79%.
  • TPL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.79%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
TPL Yearly Dividends per shareTPL Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4 5

5.3 Sustainability

  • TPL pays out 30.70% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The Dividend Rate of TPL has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP30.7%
EPS Next 2Y-12.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A
TPL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTPL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 100M 200M 300M 400M
TPL Dividend Payout.TPL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TPL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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TPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP

NYSE:TPL (4/29/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 437.26 -1.77 (-0.4%)

439.03

+8.13 (+1.89%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Industry Strength83.85
Industry Growth72.67
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners73.06%
Inst Owner Change0.74%
Ins Owners0.17%
Ins Owner Change0.36%
Market Cap30.27B
Revenue(TTM)798.19M
Net Income(TTM)481.38M
Analysts75
Price Target452.65 (3.1%)
Short Float %6.13%
Short Ratio7.33
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.55%
Yearly Dividend2.14
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.79%
DP30.7%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-Date03-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-3.28%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.57%
Max EPS beat(2)3.02%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-37.47%
Min EPS beat(4)-72.72%
Max EPS beat(4)3.02%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-21.4%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)-13.65%
EPS beat(16)5
Avg EPS beat(16)-10.95%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.86%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.11%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.33%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)-2.11%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.91%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.9%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.43%
PT rev (1m)11.42%
PT rev (3m)40.24%
EPS NQ rev (1m)7.45%
EPS NQ rev (3m)8.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)15.74%
EPS NY rev (3m)18.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.63%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.21%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.48%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.23%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.7
Fwd PE 45.47
P/S 37.92
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 55.44
P/B 20.75
P/tB 21.22
EV/EBITDA 46.01
EPS(TTM)13.85
EY3.15%
EPS(NY)9.66
Fwd EY2.2%
FCF(TTM)-0.06
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)7.92
OCFY1.8%
SpS11.58
BVpS21.16
TBVpS20.69
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.78
Graham Number81.2072 (-81.5%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 29.65%
ROE 33%
ROCE 39.14%
ROIC 30.78%
ROICexc 34.04%
ROICexgc 34.88%
OM 74.19%
PM (TTM) 60.31%
GM 93.29%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)33.7%
ROA(5y)37.46%
ROE(3y)37.32%
ROE(5y)42.23%
ROIC(3y)33.51%
ROIC(5y)38.7%
ROICexc(3y)61.43%
ROICexc(5y)84.23%
ROICexgc(3y)65.06%
ROICexgc(5y)86.71%
ROCE(3y)42.6%
ROCE(5y)49.21%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-36.57%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-11.59%
ROICexc growth 3Y-37%
ROICexc growth 5Y-11.73%
OM growth 3Y-4.15%
OM growth 5Y0.65%
PM growth 3Y-3.39%
PM growth 5Y0.72%
GM growth 3Y-1.42%
GM growth 5Y-0.42%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.49
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 879.1%
Cap/Sales 68.87%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 83.38%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 3.11
Quick Ratio 3.11
Altman-Z 113.73
F-Score5
WACC9.06%
ROIC/WACC3.4
Cap/Depr(3y)994.61%
Cap/Depr(5y)644.53%
Cap/Sales(3y)46.29%
Cap/Sales(5y)29.13%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)5.81%
EPS 3Y29.21%
EPS 5Y40.58%
EPS Q2Q%-64.98%
EPS Next Y-30.27%
EPS Next 2Y-12.05%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.09%
Revenue growth 3Y6.15%
Revenue growth 5Y21.41%
Sales Q2Q%13.89%
Revenue Next Year33.85%
Revenue Next 2Y23.9%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y9.83%
EBIT growth 3Y1.74%
EBIT growth 5Y22.21%
EBIT Next Year60.13%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-105.97%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y11.26%
OCF growth 3Y6.88%
OCF growth 5Y21.4%

TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP / TPL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for TPL stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to TPL.


What is the valuation status of TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP (TPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 1 / 10 to TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP (TPL). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP?

TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP (TPL) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP (TPL) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP (TPL) is expected to decline by -30.27% in the next year.


Is the dividend of TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP sustainable?

The dividend rating of TEXAS PACIFIC LAND CORP (TPL) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 30.7%.