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SPIN MASTER CORP-SUB VTG SHR (TOY.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:TOY - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA8485101031 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

30.1  -0.08 (-0.27%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to TOY. TOY was compared to 2 industry peers in the Leisure Products industry. Both the profitability and the financial health of TOY get a neutral evaluation. Nothing too spectacular is happening here. TOY is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

TOY had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year TOY had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years TOY has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years TOY had a positive operating cash flow.
TOY.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTOY.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 1.11%, TOY is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
TOY has a Return On Equity (2.17%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
TOY has a Return On Invested Capital (4.90%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TOY is above the industry average of 11.16%.
The 3 year average ROIC (15.94%) for TOY is well above the current ROIC(4.90%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.11%
ROE 2.17%
ROIC 4.9%
ROA(3y)11.21%
ROA(5y)8.43%
ROE(3y)16.86%
ROE(5y)12.88%
ROIC(3y)15.94%
ROIC(5y)12.63%
TOY.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTOY.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30

1.3 Margins

TOY has a Profit Margin (1.46%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TOY has declined.
TOY has a Operating Margin (6.65%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TOY has grown nicely.
TOY has a Gross Margin of 51.38%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TOY outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
TOY's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.65%
PM (TTM) 1.46%
GM 51.38%
OM growth 3Y51.9%
OM growth 5Y1.95%
PM growth 3Y39.99%
PM growth 5Y-3.49%
GM growth 3Y5.56%
GM growth 5Y1.67%
TOY.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTOY.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30 40 50

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), TOY is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for TOY has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for TOY has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for TOY has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TOY.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingTOY.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
TOY.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTOY.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.26 indicates that TOY is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
The Altman-Z score of TOY (2.26) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TOY is 6.71, which is on the high side as it means it would take TOY, 6.71 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 6.71, TOY perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.38 indicates that TOY is not too dependend on debt financing.
TOY has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.38. This is amongst the best in the industry. TOY outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.38
Debt/FCF 6.71
Altman-Z 2.26
ROIC/WACC0.64
WACC7.68%
TOY.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTOY.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.14 indicates that TOY should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
TOY's Current ratio of 1.14 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TOY outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
TOY has a Quick Ratio of 1.14. This is a bad value and indicates that TOY is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.87, TOY belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.14
Quick Ratio 0.87
TOY.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTOY.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for TOY have decreased strongly by -11.52% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.46% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has grown by 13.30% in the past year. This is quite good.
TOY shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.15% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.52%
EPS 3Y61.34%
EPS 5Y5.46%
EPS Q2Q%19.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.3%
Revenue growth 3Y6.64%
Revenue growth 5Y3.15%
Sales Q2Q%24.71%

3.2 Future

TOY is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 11.73% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, TOY will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.84% on average per year.
EPS Next Y5.93%
EPS Next 2Y9.79%
EPS Next 3Y9.93%
EPS Next 5Y11.73%
Revenue Next Year18.35%
Revenue Next 2Y11.33%
Revenue Next 3Y8.98%
Revenue Next 5Y7.84%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
TOY.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTOY.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 1B 2B 3B
TOY.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTOY.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 1 2 3 4

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

The Price/Earnings ratio is 12.49, which indicates a correct valuation of TOY.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as TOY.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 30.08. TOY is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.32, the valuation of TOY can be described as very reasonable.
100.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TOY, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
TOY's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 96.30.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.49
Fwd PE 8.32
TOY.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTOY.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

TOY's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
TOY's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 25.77
EV/EBITDA 7.75
TOY.CA Per share dataTOY.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates TOY does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The decent profitability rating of TOY may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.11
PEG (5Y)2.29
EPS Next 2Y9.79%
EPS Next 3Y9.93%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

TOY has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.59%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.49, TOY pays a better dividend. On top of this TOY pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, TOY is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.59%

5.2 History

TOY has been paying a dividend for less than 5 years, so it still needs to build a track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
TOY.CA Yearly Dividends per shareTOY.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 2024 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

TOY pays out 73.46% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP73.46%
EPS Next 2Y9.79%
EPS Next 3Y9.93%
TOY.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTOY.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M
TOY.CA Dividend Payout.TOY.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TOY.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

SPIN MASTER CORP-SUB VTG SHR

TSX:TOY (2/14/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

30.1

-0.08 (-0.27%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryLeisure Products
Earnings (Last)10-30 2024-10-30/amc
Earnings (Next)02-24 2025-02-24/amc
Inst Owners43.66%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners3.82%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.09B
Analysts80
Price Target42.99 (42.82%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.59%
Yearly Dividend0.18
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP73.46%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)6.41%
Min EPS beat(2)-3.4%
Max EPS beat(2)16.22%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-744.09%
Min EPS beat(4)-3194.55%
Max EPS beat(4)205.39%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)-310.79%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)-178.67%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)-106.87%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.13%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.01%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.28%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.88%
Min Revenue beat(4)-22.61%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.83%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.34%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.08%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.74%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-7.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)15.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.4%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.76%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.51%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.61%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 12.49
Fwd PE 8.32
P/S 1.02
P/FCF 25.77
P/OCF 11.23
P/B 1.52
P/tB 10.56
EV/EBITDA 7.75
EPS(TTM)2.41
EY8.01%
EPS(NY)3.62
Fwd EY12.01%
FCF(TTM)1.17
FCFY3.88%
OCF(TTM)2.68
OCFY8.91%
SpS29.46
BVpS19.78
TBVpS2.85
PEG (NY)2.11
PEG (5Y)2.29
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.11%
ROE 2.17%
ROCE 7.92%
ROIC 4.9%
ROICexc 5.17%
ROICexgc 12.52%
OM 6.65%
PM (TTM) 1.46%
GM 51.38%
FCFM 3.96%
ROA(3y)11.21%
ROA(5y)8.43%
ROE(3y)16.86%
ROE(5y)12.88%
ROIC(3y)15.94%
ROIC(5y)12.63%
ROICexc(3y)30.11%
ROICexc(5y)21.96%
ROICexgc(3y)78.18%
ROICexgc(5y)54.36%
ROCE(3y)20.97%
ROCE(5y)16.61%
ROICexcg growth 3Y46.06%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-4.1%
ROICexc growth 3Y46.24%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.81%
OM growth 3Y51.9%
OM growth 5Y1.95%
PM growth 3Y39.99%
PM growth 5Y-3.49%
GM growth 3Y5.56%
GM growth 5Y1.67%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.76
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.38
Debt/FCF 6.71
Debt/EBITDA 1.88
Cap/Depr 75.38%
Cap/Sales 5.14%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 67.58%
Profit Quality 271.52%
Current Ratio 1.14
Quick Ratio 0.87
Altman-Z 2.26
F-Score4
WACC7.68%
ROIC/WACC0.64
Cap/Depr(3y)99.78%
Cap/Depr(5y)97.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.82%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.11%
Profit Quality(3y)102.45%
Profit Quality(5y)163.75%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.52%
EPS 3Y61.34%
EPS 5Y5.46%
EPS Q2Q%19.4%
EPS Next Y5.93%
EPS Next 2Y9.79%
EPS Next 3Y9.93%
EPS Next 5Y11.73%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.3%
Revenue growth 3Y6.64%
Revenue growth 5Y3.15%
Sales Q2Q%24.71%
Revenue Next Year18.35%
Revenue Next 2Y11.33%
Revenue Next 3Y8.98%
Revenue Next 5Y7.84%
EBIT growth 1Y-37.73%
EBIT growth 3Y62%
EBIT growth 5Y5.16%
EBIT Next Year88.31%
EBIT Next 3Y27.48%
EBIT Next 5Y17.23%
FCF growth 1Y-78.56%
FCF growth 3Y-19.55%
FCF growth 5Y1.61%
OCF growth 1Y-60.39%
OCF growth 3Y-9.94%
OCF growth 5Y3.31%