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TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:TMST - US8873991033 - Common Stock

20.4 USD
+0.21 (+1.04%)
Last: 2/26/2024, 8:04:32 PM
20.4 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/26/2024, 8:04:32 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Overall TMST gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated TMST against 156 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While TMST has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. TMST is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing. With these ratings, TMST could be worth investigating further for value investing!.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year TMST was profitable.
In the past year TMST had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years TMST reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
In the past 5 years TMST always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
TMST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTMST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M

1.2 Ratios

TMST has a Return On Assets of 5.90%. This is in the better half of the industry: TMST outperforms 78.34% of its industry peers.
TMST has a Return On Equity of 9.49%. This is in the better half of the industry: TMST outperforms 77.71% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.54%, TMST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.89% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TMST is significantly below the industry average of 13.25%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.54%) for TMST is above the 3 year average (7.32%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.9%
ROE 9.49%
ROIC 7.54%
ROA(3y)8.89%
ROA(5y)2.06%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)2.59%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
TMST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTMST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

With a decent Profit Margin value of 5.09%, TMST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.06% of the companies in the same industry.
TMST's Operating Margin of 7.48% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TMST outperforms 61.78% of its industry peers.
TMST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Gross Margin value of 13.69%, TMST perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 49.04% of the companies in the same industry.
TMST's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.48%
PM (TTM) 5.09%
GM 13.69%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y33.51%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y93.89%
GM growth 5Y11.73%
TMST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTMST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 -5 10 -10 15

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TMST is destroying value.
TMST has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
TMST has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
TMST has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
TMST Yearly Shares OutstandingTMST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M
TMST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTMST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

TMST has an Altman-Z score of 2.99. This is not the best score and indicates that TMST is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
TMST's Altman-Z score of 2.99 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TMST outperforms 59.87% of its industry peers.
TMST has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.18. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.18 years to pay back of all of its debts.
TMST has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.18) than 91.72% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.02 indicates that TMST is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.02, TMST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.79% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF 0.18
Altman-Z 2.99
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC8.73%
TMST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTMST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

TMST has a Current Ratio of 2.64. This indicates that TMST is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
TMST's Current ratio of 2.64 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TMST outperforms 52.87% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.73 indicates that TMST should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
TMST has a Quick ratio of 1.73. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TMST outperforms 53.50% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.64
Quick Ratio 1.73
TMST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTMST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

TMST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 36.18%, which is quite impressive.
TMST shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.44%.
TMST shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -3.29% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%104.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y17.93%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.29%
Sales Q2Q%33.7%

3.2 Future

TMST is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.55% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, TMST will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.82% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-1.1%
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.87%
Revenue Next 2Y3.82%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
TMST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTMST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B
TMST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTMST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1 -1 2 -2 3

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.88, TMST is valued correctly.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TMST is valued cheaper than 80.89% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.39. TMST is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
TMST is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.09.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TMST indicates a rather cheap valuation: TMST is cheaper than 83.44% of the companies listed in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TMST to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.84), we can say TMST is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.88
Fwd PE 11.09
TMST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTMST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

91.72% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TMST, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, TMST is valued cheaper than 84.71% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.94
EV/EBITDA 3.78
TMST Per share dataTMST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The decent profitability rating of TMST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for TMST!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

TIMKENSTEEL CORP

NYSE:TMST (2/26/2024, 8:04:32 PM)

After market: 20.4 0 (0%)

20.4

+0.21 (+1.04%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-27 2024-02-27/amc
Earnings (Next)05-02 2024-05-02/amc
Inst Owners82.12%
Inst Owner Change-2.94%
Ins Owners2.73%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap880.26M
Revenue(TTM)1.36B
Net Income(TTM)69.40M
Analysts43.33
Price Target28.56 (40%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.17%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.13%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.5%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.36%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.84%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.42%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.88
Fwd PE 11.09
P/S 0.65
P/FCF 11.94
P/OCF 7.03
P/B 1.2
P/tB 1.21
EV/EBITDA 3.78
EPS(TTM)1.47
EY7.21%
EPS(NY)1.84
Fwd EY9.02%
FCF(TTM)1.71
FCFY8.37%
OCF(TTM)2.9
OCFY14.23%
SpS31.57
BVpS16.95
TBVpS16.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.9%
ROE 9.49%
ROCE 10.99%
ROIC 7.54%
ROICexc 10.74%
ROICexgc 10.79%
OM 7.48%
PM (TTM) 5.09%
GM 13.69%
FCFM 5.41%
ROA(3y)8.89%
ROA(5y)2.06%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)2.59%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.29%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)10.88%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y40.86%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y41.23%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y33.51%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y93.89%
GM growth 5Y11.73%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.16
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF 0.18
Debt/EBITDA 0.08
Cap/Depr 90.69%
Cap/Sales 3.79%
Interest Coverage 48.52
Cash Conversion 78.9%
Profit Quality 106.2%
Current Ratio 2.64
Quick Ratio 1.73
Altman-Z 2.99
F-Score6
WACC8.73%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)52.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)46.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.39%
Profit Quality(3y)126.4%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%104.24%
EPS Next Y-1.1%
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y17.93%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.29%
Sales Q2Q%33.7%
Revenue Next Year1.87%
Revenue Next 2Y3.82%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y92.63%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y29.11%
EBIT Next Year58.45%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.38%
FCF growth 3Y-22.22%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-6.84%
OCF growth 3Y-10.28%
OCF growth 5Y46.61%

TIMKENSTEEL CORP / TMST FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TIMKENSTEEL CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TMST.


What is the valuation status for TMST stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for TIMKENSTEEL CORP?

TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for TMST stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) is 13.88 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.2.


How financially healthy is TIMKENSTEEL CORP?

The financial health rating of TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) is 7 / 10.