TIMKENSTEEL CORP (TMST) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:TMST - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US8873991033 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
TMST gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 155 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. TMST is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. TMST is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
TMST had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year TMST had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years TMST reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years TMST had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
TMST's Return On Assets of 5.90% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TMST outperforms 78.34% of its industry peers.
TMST has a Return On Equity of 9.49%. This is in the better half of the industry: TMST outperforms 77.71% of its industry peers.
TMST's Return On Invested Capital of 7.54% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TMST outperforms 73.89% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TMST is below the industry average of 11.61%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (7.54%) for TMST is above the 3 year average (7.32%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.9% | ||
| ROE | 9.49% | ||
| ROIC | 7.54% |
ROA(3y)8.89%
ROA(5y)2.06%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)2.59%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 5.09%, TMST is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.06% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 7.48%, TMST is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.78% of the companies in the same industry.
TMST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TMST has a Gross Margin (13.69%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TMST has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.09% | ||
| GM | 13.69% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y33.51%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y93.89%
GM growth 5Y11.73%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
TMST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, TMST has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for TMST has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, TMST has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
TMST has an Altman-Z score of 2.99. This is not the best score and indicates that TMST is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
TMST has a Altman-Z score (2.99) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
TMST has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.18. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.18 years to pay back of all of its debts.
TMST's Debt to FCF ratio of 0.18 is amongst the best of the industry. TMST outperforms 91.72% of its industry peers.
TMST has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.02. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of TMST (0.02) is better than 68.79% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.18 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.99 |
ROIC/WACC0.86
WACC8.73%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.64 indicates that TMST has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of TMST (2.64) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
TMST has a Quick Ratio of 1.73. This is a normal value and indicates that TMST is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TMST has a Quick ratio (1.73) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.73 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 36.18% over the past year.
TMST shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.44%.
TMST shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -3.29% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%104.24%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y17.93%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.29%
Sales Q2Q%33.7%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.55% on average over the next years.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.82% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-1.1%
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year1.87%
Revenue Next 2Y3.82%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 13.88 indicates a correct valuation of TMST.
80.89% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TMST, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.30, TMST is valued a bit cheaper.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.09, the valuation of TMST can be described as reasonable.
TMST's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TMST is cheaper than 83.44% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TMST to the average of the S&P500 Index (21.76), we can say TMST is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.09 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TMST is valued cheaper than 91.72% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, TMST is valued cheaper than 84.71% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.94 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.78 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of TMST may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
TMST does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
20.4
+0.21 (+1.04%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners82.12%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.73%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap880.26M
Analysts43.33
Price Target28.56 (40%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.59%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.62%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.55%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.21%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.17%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-4.13%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.5%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.36%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)-6.08%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.59%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.84%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.42%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 13.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 11.09 | ||
| P/S | 0.65 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.94 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.03 | ||
| P/B | 1.2 | ||
| P/tB | 1.21 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 3.78 |
EPS(TTM)1.47
EY7.21%
EPS(NY)1.84
Fwd EY9.02%
FCF(TTM)1.71
FCFY8.37%
OCF(TTM)2.9
OCFY14.23%
SpS31.57
BVpS16.95
TBVpS16.89
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 5.9% | ||
| ROE | 9.49% | ||
| ROCE | 10.99% | ||
| ROIC | 7.54% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.74% | ||
| ROICexgc | 10.79% | ||
| OM | 7.48% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 5.09% | ||
| GM | 13.69% | ||
| FCFM | 5.41% |
ROA(3y)8.89%
ROA(5y)2.06%
ROE(3y)14.9%
ROE(5y)2.59%
ROIC(3y)7.32%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.21%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)10.29%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)10.88%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y40.86%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y41.23%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y33.51%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y93.89%
GM growth 5Y11.73%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.16
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.18 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.08 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 90.69% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.79% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 48.52 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 78.9% | ||
| Profit Quality | 106.2% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.64 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.73 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.99 |
F-Score6
WACC8.73%
ROIC/WACC0.86
Cap/Depr(3y)52.17%
Cap/Depr(5y)46.47%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.26%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.39%
Profit Quality(3y)126.4%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)36.18%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%104.24%
EPS Next Y-1.1%
EPS Next 2Y6.55%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.44%
Revenue growth 3Y17.93%
Revenue growth 5Y-3.29%
Sales Q2Q%33.7%
Revenue Next Year1.87%
Revenue Next 2Y3.82%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y92.63%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y29.11%
EBIT Next Year58.45%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-31.38%
FCF growth 3Y-22.22%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-6.84%
OCF growth 3Y-10.28%
OCF growth 5Y46.61%