TAYLOR MORRISON HOME CORP (TMHC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:TMHC • US87724P1066
Current stock price
57.33 USD
-1.56 (-2.65%)
At close:
57.33 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This TMHC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. TMHC Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year TMHC was profitable.
- TMHC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- TMHC had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- TMHC had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- TMHC has a Return On Assets of 7.95%. This is in the better half of the industry: TMHC outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 12.43%, TMHC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 9.79%, TMHC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TMHC is in line with the industry average of 9.21%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.95% | ||
| ROE | 12.43% | ||
| ROIC | 9.79% |
ROA(3y)8.77%
ROA(5y)9.27%
ROE(3y)13.99%
ROE(5y)16.32%
ROIC(3y)10.7%
ROIC(5y)11.15%
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 9.63%, TMHC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TMHC has grown nicely.
- TMHC has a better Operating Margin (13.87%) than 85.00% of its industry peers.
- TMHC's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- TMHC has a worse Gross Margin (23.38%) than 61.67% of its industry peers.
- TMHC's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 13.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.63% | ||
| GM | 23.38% |
OM growth 3Y-6.43%
OM growth 5Y13.93%
PM growth 3Y-9.03%
PM growth 5Y19.4%
GM growth 3Y-2.77%
GM growth 5Y6.54%
2. TMHC Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- TMHC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for TMHC has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- TMHC has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for TMHC is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 3.63 indicates that TMHC is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
- TMHC has a better Altman-Z score (3.63) than 61.67% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of TMHC is 2.95, which is a good value as it means it would take TMHC, 2.95 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.95, TMHC is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.36 indicates that TMHC is not too dependend on debt financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.36, TMHC perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 41.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.36 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.95 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.63 |
ROIC/WACC1.07
WACC9.13%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 6.81 indicates that TMHC has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- TMHC has a better Current ratio (6.81) than 78.33% of its industry peers.
- TMHC has a Quick Ratio of 1.03. This is a normal value and indicates that TMHC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.03, TMHC is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 6.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.03 |
3. TMHC Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for TMHC have decreased by -7.51% in the last year.
- TMHC shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 23.33% yearly.
- The Revenue has decreased by -0.57% in the past year.
- TMHC shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.79% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.51%
EPS 3Y-5.31%
EPS 5Y23.33%
EPS Q2Q%-23.48%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.57%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.42%
Revenue growth 5Y5.79%
Sales Q2Q%-9.74%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, TMHC will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -7.89% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to decrease by -4.12% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-31.91%
EPS Next 2Y-7.89%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-15.55%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.12%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. TMHC Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.39, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of TMHC.
- 88.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TMHC, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TMHC to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.89), we can say TMHC is valued rather cheaply.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.85, the valuation of TMHC can be described as very reasonable.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TMHC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 63.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TMHC to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.19), we can say TMHC is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.85 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TMHC is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of TMHC indicates a rather cheap valuation: TMHC is cheaper than 88.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.11 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.97 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of TMHC may justify a higher PE ratio.
- TMHC's earnings are expected to decrease with -7.89% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.32
EPS Next 2Y-7.89%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. TMHC Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- TMHC does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
TMHC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
57.33
-1.56 (-2.65%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Durables & Apparel
GICS IndustryHousehold Durables
Earnings (Last)02-11 2026-02-11/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-22 2026-04-22
Inst Owners101.52%
Inst Owner Change1.1%
Ins Owners0.59%
Ins Owner Change13.67%
Market Cap5.52B
Revenue(TTM)8.12B
Net Income(TTM)782.50M
Analysts78.75
Price Target78.36 (36.68%)
Short Float %5.6%
Short Ratio5.05
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.42%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.84%
Max EPS beat(2)1.01%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.13%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.85%
Max EPS beat(4)8.2%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.57%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)4.91%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)6.03%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.24%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.08%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(4)4.54%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.84%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)3%
Revenue beat(16)12
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.4%
PT rev (1m)1.47%
PT rev (3m)3.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)1.01%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-29.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)-19.78%
EPS NY rev (3m)-23.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.44%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-13.79%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.64%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.39 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.85 | ||
| P/S | 0.68 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.11 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.76 | ||
| P/B | 0.88 | ||
| P/tB | 0.98 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.97 |
EPS(TTM)7.76
EY13.54%
EPS(NY)5.28
Fwd EY9.22%
FCF(TTM)8.07
FCFY14.07%
OCF(TTM)8.48
OCFY14.8%
SpS84.31
BVpS65.33
TBVpS58.45
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.32
Graham Number106.8
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 7.95% | ||
| ROE | 12.43% | ||
| ROCE | 12.83% | ||
| ROIC | 9.79% | ||
| ROICexc | 10.84% | ||
| ROICexgc | 11.83% | ||
| OM | 13.87% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.63% | ||
| GM | 23.38% | ||
| FCFM | 9.57% |
ROA(3y)8.77%
ROA(5y)9.27%
ROE(3y)13.99%
ROE(5y)16.32%
ROIC(3y)10.7%
ROIC(5y)11.15%
ROICexc(3y)11.72%
ROICexc(5y)12.31%
ROICexgc(3y)13.58%
ROICexgc(5y)14.24%
ROCE(3y)14.02%
ROCE(5y)14.61%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-12.31%
ROICexgc growth 5Y15.36%
ROICexc growth 3Y-12.76%
ROICexc growth 5Y14.64%
OM growth 3Y-6.43%
OM growth 5Y13.93%
PM growth 3Y-9.03%
PM growth 5Y19.4%
GM growth 3Y-2.77%
GM growth 5Y6.54%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.83
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.36 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.95 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.96 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 100.47% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.5% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 70.07% | ||
| Profit Quality | 99.29% | ||
| Current Ratio | 6.81 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.03 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.63 |
F-Score5
WACC9.13%
ROIC/WACC1.07
Cap/Depr(3y)96.24%
Cap/Depr(5y)86.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.46%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.41%
Profit Quality(3y)73.15%
Profit Quality(5y)75.08%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.51%
EPS 3Y-5.31%
EPS 5Y23.33%
EPS Q2Q%-23.48%
EPS Next Y-31.91%
EPS Next 2Y-7.89%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.57%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.42%
Revenue growth 5Y5.79%
Sales Q2Q%-9.74%
Revenue Next Year-15.55%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.12%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-6.24%
EBIT growth 3Y-6.83%
EBIT growth 5Y20.52%
EBIT Next Year-28.08%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y347.18%
FCF growth 3Y-10.32%
FCF growth 5Y-6.47%
OCF growth 1Y289.07%
OCF growth 3Y-9.64%
OCF growth 5Y-6.16%
TAYLOR MORRISON HOME CORP / TMHC Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of TAYLOR MORRISON HOME CORP (TMHC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TMHC.
What is the valuation status for TMHC stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to TAYLOR MORRISON HOME CORP (TMHC). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is TAYLOR MORRISON HOME CORP (TMHC) stock?
TAYLOR MORRISON HOME CORP (TMHC) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for TAYLOR MORRISON HOME CORP?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TAYLOR MORRISON HOME CORP (TMHC) is expected to decline by -31.91% in the next year.