TIMKEN CO (TKR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:TKR • US8873891043

Current stock price

97.24 USD
-0.2 (-0.21%)
Last:

This TKR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. TKR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • TKR had positive earnings in the past year.
  • TKR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years TKR has always been profitable.
  • TKR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
TKR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTKR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 4.32%, TKR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 55.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TKR has a Return On Equity of 9.06%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TKR outperforms 57.25% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.20%, TKR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.31% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TKR is in line with the industry average of 10.16%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.32%
ROE 9.06%
ROIC 8.2%
ROA(3y)5.28%
ROA(5y)6.01%
ROE(3y)12.27%
ROE(5y)14.17%
ROIC(3y)8.99%
ROIC(5y)9.3%
TKR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTKR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • TKR's Profit Margin of 6.29% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TKR outperforms 55.73% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TKR has declined.
  • TKR has a Operating Margin of 13.53%. This is in the better half of the industry: TKR outperforms 65.65% of its industry peers.
  • TKR's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of TKR (31.59%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TKR has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.53%
PM (TTM) 6.29%
GM 31.59%
OM growth 3Y-2.18%
OM growth 5Y0%
PM growth 3Y-11.43%
PM growth 5Y-4.91%
GM growth 3Y3.34%
GM growth 5Y1.92%
TKR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTKR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

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6

2. TKR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TKR is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for TKR has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for TKR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • TKR has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
TKR Yearly Shares OutstandingTKR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
TKR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTKR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • TKR has an Altman-Z score of 3.02. This indicates that TKR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • TKR has a Altman-Z score (3.02) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of TKR is 4.73, which is a neutral value as it means it would take TKR, 4.73 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • TKR has a Debt to FCF ratio (4.73) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • TKR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.59. This is a neutral value indicating TKR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • TKR's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.59 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TKR is outperformed by 60.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF 4.73
Altman-Z 3.02
ROIC/WACC0.91
WACC9.05%
TKR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTKR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • TKR has a Current Ratio of 2.82. This indicates that TKR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • TKR has a Current ratio of 2.82. This is in the better half of the industry: TKR outperforms 73.28% of its industry peers.
  • TKR has a Quick Ratio of 1.47. This is a normal value and indicates that TKR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of TKR (1.47) is better than 62.60% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.82
Quick Ratio 1.47
TKR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTKR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

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4

3. TKR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • TKR shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -7.94%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.39% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, TKR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.19% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.45% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.94%
EPS 3Y-3.98%
EPS 5Y5.39%
EPS Q2Q%-1.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.19%
Revenue growth 3Y0.63%
Revenue growth 5Y5.45%
Sales Q2Q%3.48%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, TKR will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.25% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.76% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.1%
EPS Next 2Y11.85%
EPS Next 3Y12.25%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y4.02%
Revenue Next 3Y3.76%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
TKR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTKR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
TKR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTKR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6

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5

4. TKR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 18.24, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of TKR.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TKR is valued a bit cheaper than 76.34% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TKR's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.73.
  • TKR is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.42.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TKR is valued a bit cheaper than 71.76% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TKR to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.72), we can say TKR is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.24
Fwd PE 16.42
TKR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTKR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • TKR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TKR is cheaper than 81.68% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 79.39% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TKR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.65
EV/EBITDA 9.75
TKR Per share dataTKR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • TKR's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • TKR's earnings are expected to grow with 12.25% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.64
PEG (5Y)3.39
EPS Next 2Y11.85%
EPS Next 3Y12.25%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. TKR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.40%, TKR has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.18, TKR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • TKR's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 1.91.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.4%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of TKR has a limited annual growth rate of 4.13%.
  • TKR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • TKR has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.13%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years15
TKR Yearly Dividends per shareTKR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 34.08% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TKR. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • TKR's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP34.08%
EPS Next 2Y11.85%
EPS Next 3Y12.25%
TKR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTKR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
TKR Dividend Payout.TKR Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TKR Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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TKR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

TIMKEN CO

NYSE:TKR (3/20/2026, 3:27:51 PM)

97.24

-0.2 (-0.21%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners96.25%
Inst Owner Change-2.17%
Ins Owners3.5%
Ins Owner Change-0.86%
Market Cap6.76B
Revenue(TTM)4.58B
Net Income(TTM)288.40M
Analysts72.94
Price Target113.42 (16.64%)
Short Float %3.03%
Short Ratio2.25
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.4%
Yearly Dividend1.41
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.13%
DP34.08%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-Date02-24
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.52%
Min EPS beat(2)3.89%
Max EPS beat(2)9.15%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.26%
Max EPS beat(4)9.15%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)4.12%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.78%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.12%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.4%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.59%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.03%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.59%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.89%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.25%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.32%
PT rev (1m)21.27%
PT rev (3m)26.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.86%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.24
Fwd PE 16.42
P/S 1.48
P/FCF 16.65
P/OCF 12.2
P/B 2.12
P/tB 9.72
EV/EBITDA 9.75
EPS(TTM)5.33
EY5.48%
EPS(NY)5.92
Fwd EY6.09%
FCF(TTM)5.84
FCFY6.01%
OCF(TTM)7.97
OCFY8.2%
SpS65.89
BVpS45.8
TBVpS10.01
PEG (NY)1.64
PEG (5Y)3.39
Graham Number74.11
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.32%
ROE 9.06%
ROCE 10.77%
ROIC 8.2%
ROICexc 8.79%
ROICexgc 16.38%
OM 13.53%
PM (TTM) 6.29%
GM 31.59%
FCFM 8.86%
ROA(3y)5.28%
ROA(5y)6.01%
ROE(3y)12.27%
ROE(5y)14.17%
ROIC(3y)8.99%
ROIC(5y)9.3%
ROICexc(3y)9.73%
ROICexc(5y)10.06%
ROICexgc(3y)18.86%
ROICexgc(5y)18.61%
ROCE(3y)11.86%
ROCE(5y)12.29%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.48%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.55%
ROICexc growth 3Y-7.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.89%
OM growth 3Y-2.18%
OM growth 5Y0%
PM growth 3Y-11.43%
PM growth 5Y-4.91%
GM growth 3Y3.34%
GM growth 5Y1.92%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.69
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF 4.73
Debt/EBITDA 2.22
Cap/Depr 64.41%
Cap/Sales 3.23%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 65.21%
Profit Quality 140.81%
Current Ratio 2.82
Quick Ratio 1.47
Altman-Z 3.02
F-Score6
WACC9.05%
ROIC/WACC0.91
Cap/Depr(3y)78.12%
Cap/Depr(5y)86.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.69%
Profit Quality(3y)106.06%
Profit Quality(5y)90.6%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.94%
EPS 3Y-3.98%
EPS 5Y5.39%
EPS Q2Q%-1.72%
EPS Next Y11.1%
EPS Next 2Y11.85%
EPS Next 3Y12.25%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.19%
Revenue growth 3Y0.63%
Revenue growth 5Y5.45%
Sales Q2Q%3.48%
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y4.02%
Revenue Next 3Y3.76%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.57%
EBIT growth 5Y5.45%
EBIT Next Year43.99%
EBIT Next 3Y18.13%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y32.84%
FCF growth 3Y12.48%
FCF growth 5Y-2.29%
OCF growth 1Y16.52%
OCF growth 3Y6.12%
OCF growth 5Y-0.82%

TIMKEN CO / TKR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of TIMKEN CO (TKR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TKR.


Can you provide the valuation status for TIMKEN CO?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to TIMKEN CO (TKR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for TIMKEN CO?

TIMKEN CO (TKR) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for TKR stock?

The financial health rating of TIMKEN CO (TKR) is 6 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TKR stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TIMKEN CO (TKR) is expected to grow by 11.1% in the next year.