TIMKEN CO (TKR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:TKR • US8873891043

Current stock price

98.89 USD
-0.1 (-0.1%)
Last:

This TKR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. TKR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • TKR had positive earnings in the past year.
  • TKR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years TKR has been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years TKR had a positive operating cash flow.
TKR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTKR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • TKR's Return On Assets of 4.32% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TKR outperforms 54.96% of its industry peers.
  • TKR has a Return On Equity (9.06%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.20%, TKR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.31% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TKR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.99%. This is in line with the industry average of 10.17%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.32%
ROE 9.06%
ROIC 8.2%
ROA(3y)5.28%
ROA(5y)6.01%
ROE(3y)12.27%
ROE(5y)14.17%
ROIC(3y)8.99%
ROIC(5y)9.3%
TKR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTKR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of TKR (6.29%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • TKR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 13.53%, TKR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TKR's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • TKR has a Gross Margin of 31.59%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TKR outperforms 52.67% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TKR has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.53%
PM (TTM) 6.29%
GM 31.59%
OM growth 3Y-2.18%
OM growth 5Y0%
PM growth 3Y-11.43%
PM growth 5Y-4.91%
GM growth 3Y3.34%
GM growth 5Y1.92%
TKR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTKR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

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6

2. TKR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TKR is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, TKR has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, TKR has less shares outstanding
  • TKR has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
TKR Yearly Shares OutstandingTKR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
TKR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTKR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.04 indicates that TKR is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • TKR has a Altman-Z score of 3.04. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TKR outperforms 49.62% of its industry peers.
  • TKR has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.73. This is a neutral value as TKR would need 4.73 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • TKR has a Debt to FCF ratio of 4.73. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TKR outperforms 56.49% of its industry peers.
  • TKR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.59. This is a neutral value indicating TKR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • TKR's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.59 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TKR is outperformed by 60.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF 4.73
Altman-Z 3.04
ROIC/WACC0.84
WACC9.72%
TKR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTKR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.82 indicates that TKR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.82, TKR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.28% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.47 indicates that TKR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • TKR's Quick ratio of 1.47 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TKR outperforms 62.60% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.82
Quick Ratio 1.47
TKR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTKR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. TKR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for TKR have decreased by -7.94% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, TKR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 5.39% on average per year.
  • TKR shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.19%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.45% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.94%
EPS 3Y-3.98%
EPS 5Y5.39%
EPS Q2Q%-1.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.19%
Revenue growth 3Y0.63%
Revenue growth 5Y5.45%
Sales Q2Q%3.48%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.25% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, TKR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.76% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.1%
EPS Next 2Y11.85%
EPS Next 3Y12.25%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.1%
Revenue Next 2Y4%
Revenue Next 3Y3.76%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
TKR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTKR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
TKR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTKR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6

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5

4. TKR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 18.55, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of TKR.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TKR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 75.57% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.54, TKR is valued a bit cheaper.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 16.70, which indicates a correct valuation of TKR.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TKR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TKR is cheaper than 69.47% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.70. TKR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.55
Fwd PE 16.7
TKR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTKR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TKR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.39% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • TKR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TKR is cheaper than 80.15% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.93
EV/EBITDA 9.88
TKR Per share dataTKR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • TKR's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • TKR's earnings are expected to grow with 12.25% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)3.44
EPS Next 2Y11.85%
EPS Next 3Y12.25%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. TKR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • TKR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.44%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.22, TKR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, TKR is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.44%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of TKR has a limited annual growth rate of 4.13%.
  • TKR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • TKR has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.13%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years15
TKR Yearly Dividends per shareTKR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 34.08% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TKR. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of TKR is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP34.08%
EPS Next 2Y11.85%
EPS Next 3Y12.25%
TKR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTKR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
TKR Dividend Payout.TKR Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TKR Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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TKR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

TIMKEN CO

NYSE:TKR (3/24/2026, 10:13:38 AM)

98.89

-0.1 (-0.1%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners96.25%
Inst Owner Change-2.17%
Ins Owners3.5%
Ins Owner Change-4.41%
Market Cap6.88B
Revenue(TTM)4.58B
Net Income(TTM)288.40M
Analysts72.94
Price Target113.42 (14.69%)
Short Float %3.03%
Short Ratio2.25
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.44%
Yearly Dividend1.41
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.13%
DP34.08%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-Date02-24
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.52%
Min EPS beat(2)3.89%
Max EPS beat(2)9.15%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.26%
Max EPS beat(4)9.15%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)4.12%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.78%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.12%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.4%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.59%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.03%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.59%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.89%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.25%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.32%
PT rev (1m)21.27%
PT rev (3m)26.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.16%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.78%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.55
Fwd PE 16.7
P/S 1.5
P/FCF 16.93
P/OCF 12.41
P/B 2.16
P/tB 9.88
EV/EBITDA 9.88
EPS(TTM)5.33
EY5.39%
EPS(NY)5.92
Fwd EY5.99%
FCF(TTM)5.84
FCFY5.91%
OCF(TTM)7.97
OCFY8.06%
SpS65.89
BVpS45.8
TBVpS10.01
PEG (NY)1.67
PEG (5Y)3.44
Graham Number74.11
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.32%
ROE 9.06%
ROCE 10.77%
ROIC 8.2%
ROICexc 8.79%
ROICexgc 16.38%
OM 13.53%
PM (TTM) 6.29%
GM 31.59%
FCFM 8.86%
ROA(3y)5.28%
ROA(5y)6.01%
ROE(3y)12.27%
ROE(5y)14.17%
ROIC(3y)8.99%
ROIC(5y)9.3%
ROICexc(3y)9.73%
ROICexc(5y)10.06%
ROICexgc(3y)18.86%
ROICexgc(5y)18.61%
ROCE(3y)11.86%
ROCE(5y)12.29%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.48%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.55%
ROICexc growth 3Y-7.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.89%
OM growth 3Y-2.18%
OM growth 5Y0%
PM growth 3Y-11.43%
PM growth 5Y-4.91%
GM growth 3Y3.34%
GM growth 5Y1.92%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.69
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF 4.73
Debt/EBITDA 2.22
Cap/Depr 64.41%
Cap/Sales 3.23%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 65.21%
Profit Quality 140.81%
Current Ratio 2.82
Quick Ratio 1.47
Altman-Z 3.04
F-Score6
WACC9.72%
ROIC/WACC0.84
Cap/Depr(3y)78.12%
Cap/Depr(5y)86.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.69%
Profit Quality(3y)106.06%
Profit Quality(5y)90.6%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.94%
EPS 3Y-3.98%
EPS 5Y5.39%
EPS Q2Q%-1.72%
EPS Next Y11.1%
EPS Next 2Y11.85%
EPS Next 3Y12.25%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.19%
Revenue growth 3Y0.63%
Revenue growth 5Y5.45%
Sales Q2Q%3.48%
Revenue Next Year4.1%
Revenue Next 2Y4%
Revenue Next 3Y3.76%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.57%
EBIT growth 5Y5.45%
EBIT Next Year43.99%
EBIT Next 3Y18.13%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y32.84%
FCF growth 3Y12.48%
FCF growth 5Y-2.29%
OCF growth 1Y16.52%
OCF growth 3Y6.12%
OCF growth 5Y-0.82%

TIMKEN CO / TKR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of TIMKEN CO (TKR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TKR.


Can you provide the valuation status for TIMKEN CO?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to TIMKEN CO (TKR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for TIMKEN CO?

TIMKEN CO (TKR) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for TKR stock?

The financial health rating of TIMKEN CO (TKR) is 6 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TKR stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TIMKEN CO (TKR) is expected to grow by 11.1% in the next year.