TIMKEN CO (TKR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:TKR • US8873891043

Current stock price

103.73 USD
-3.08 (-2.88%)
At close:
103.73 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This TKR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. TKR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year TKR was profitable.
  • TKR had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years TKR has been profitable.
  • TKR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
TKR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTKR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • TKR's Return On Assets of 4.32% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TKR outperforms 55.73% of its industry peers.
  • TKR has a Return On Equity (9.06%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 8.20%, TKR is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.83% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TKR had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.99%. This is in line with the industry average of 10.00%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.32%
ROE 9.06%
ROIC 8.2%
ROA(3y)5.28%
ROA(5y)6.01%
ROE(3y)12.27%
ROE(5y)14.17%
ROIC(3y)8.99%
ROIC(5y)9.3%
TKR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTKR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • TKR has a Profit Margin of 6.29%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TKR outperforms 56.49% of its industry peers.
  • TKR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 13.53%, TKR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TKR's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of TKR (31.59%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • TKR's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.53%
PM (TTM) 6.29%
GM 31.59%
OM growth 3Y-2.18%
OM growth 5Y0%
PM growth 3Y-11.43%
PM growth 5Y-4.91%
GM growth 3Y3.34%
GM growth 5Y1.92%
TKR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTKR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

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6

2. TKR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TKR is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for TKR has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for TKR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • TKR has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
TKR Yearly Shares OutstandingTKR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
TKR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTKR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • TKR has an Altman-Z score of 3.14. This indicates that TKR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 3.14, TKR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 51.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of TKR is 4.73, which is a neutral value as it means it would take TKR, 4.73 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 4.73, TKR is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.73% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.59 indicates that TKR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of TKR (0.59) is worse than 60.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF 4.73
Altman-Z 3.14
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC10.09%
TKR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTKR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.82 indicates that TKR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • TKR's Current ratio of 2.82 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TKR outperforms 74.81% of its industry peers.
  • TKR has a Quick Ratio of 1.47. This is a normal value and indicates that TKR is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • TKR has a better Quick ratio (1.47) than 62.60% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.82
Quick Ratio 1.47
TKR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTKR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. TKR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for TKR have decreased by -7.94% in the last year.
  • TKR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 5.39% yearly.
  • TKR shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.19%.
  • Measured over the past years, TKR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.45% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.94%
EPS 3Y-3.98%
EPS 5Y5.39%
EPS Q2Q%-1.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.19%
Revenue growth 3Y0.63%
Revenue growth 5Y5.45%
Sales Q2Q%3.48%

3.2 Future

  • TKR is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.42% yearly.
  • TKR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.85% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.59%
EPS Next 2Y12.35%
EPS Next 3Y12.42%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.31%
Revenue Next 2Y4.14%
Revenue Next 3Y3.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TKR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTKR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
TKR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTKR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6

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5

4. TKR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 19.46, the valuation of TKR can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TKR is valued a bit cheaper than 77.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.38. TKR is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • TKR is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.44.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TKR is valued a bit cheaper than 73.28% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TKR is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.20, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.46
Fwd PE 17.44
TKR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTKR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • TKR's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TKR is cheaper than 83.97% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 80.15% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TKR, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 17.82
EV/EBITDA 10.55
TKR Per share dataTKR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • TKR's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as TKR's earnings are expected to grow with 12.42% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.68
PEG (5Y)3.61
EPS Next 2Y12.35%
EPS Next 3Y12.42%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. TKR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.31%, TKR has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • TKR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.08.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, TKR is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.31%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of TKR has a limited annual growth rate of 4.13%.
  • TKR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • TKR has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.13%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years16
TKR Yearly Dividends per shareTKR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 34.08% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TKR. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of TKR is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP34.08%
EPS Next 2Y12.35%
EPS Next 3Y12.42%
TKR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTKR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
TKR Dividend Payout.TKR Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TKR Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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TKR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

TIMKEN CO

NYSE:TKR (4/15/2026, 7:19:42 PM)

After market: 103.73 0 (0%)

103.73

-3.08 (-2.88%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)05-06
Inst Owners95.82%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners3%
Ins Owner Change-4.41%
Market Cap7.24B
Revenue(TTM)4.58B
Net Income(TTM)288.40M
Analysts72.5
Price Target114.47 (10.35%)
Short Float %3.3%
Short Ratio2.53
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.31%
Yearly Dividend1.41
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.13%
DP34.08%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years16
Ex-Date02-24
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.52%
Min EPS beat(2)3.89%
Max EPS beat(2)9.15%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.26%
Max EPS beat(4)9.15%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)4.12%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.78%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.12%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.4%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.59%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.03%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.59%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.89%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.25%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.32%
PT rev (1m)0.92%
PT rev (3m)26.66%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.57%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.7%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.44%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.49%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.08%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.97%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.46
Fwd PE 17.44
P/S 1.58
P/FCF 17.82
P/OCF 13.06
P/B 2.27
P/tB 10.4
EV/EBITDA 10.55
EPS(TTM)5.33
EY5.14%
EPS(NY)5.95
Fwd EY5.73%
FCF(TTM)5.82
FCFY5.61%
OCF(TTM)7.94
OCFY7.66%
SpS65.66
BVpS45.64
TBVpS9.97
PEG (NY)1.68
PEG (5Y)3.61
Graham Number73.9804 (-28.68%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.32%
ROE 9.06%
ROCE 10.77%
ROIC 8.2%
ROICexc 8.79%
ROICexgc 16.38%
OM 13.53%
PM (TTM) 6.29%
GM 31.59%
FCFM 8.86%
ROA(3y)5.28%
ROA(5y)6.01%
ROE(3y)12.27%
ROE(5y)14.17%
ROIC(3y)8.99%
ROIC(5y)9.3%
ROICexc(3y)9.73%
ROICexc(5y)10.06%
ROICexgc(3y)18.86%
ROICexgc(5y)18.61%
ROCE(3y)11.86%
ROCE(5y)12.29%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.48%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.55%
ROICexc growth 3Y-7.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.89%
OM growth 3Y-2.18%
OM growth 5Y0%
PM growth 3Y-11.43%
PM growth 5Y-4.91%
GM growth 3Y3.34%
GM growth 5Y1.92%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.69
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF 4.73
Debt/EBITDA 2.22
Cap/Depr 64.41%
Cap/Sales 3.23%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 65.21%
Profit Quality 140.81%
Current Ratio 2.82
Quick Ratio 1.47
Altman-Z 3.14
F-Score6
WACC10.09%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)78.12%
Cap/Depr(5y)86.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.69%
Profit Quality(3y)106.06%
Profit Quality(5y)90.6%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.94%
EPS 3Y-3.98%
EPS 5Y5.39%
EPS Q2Q%-1.72%
EPS Next Y11.59%
EPS Next 2Y12.35%
EPS Next 3Y12.42%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.19%
Revenue growth 3Y0.63%
Revenue growth 5Y5.45%
Sales Q2Q%3.48%
Revenue Next Year4.31%
Revenue Next 2Y4.14%
Revenue Next 3Y3.85%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.57%
EBIT growth 5Y5.45%
EBIT Next Year44.34%
EBIT Next 3Y18.32%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y32.84%
FCF growth 3Y12.48%
FCF growth 5Y-2.29%
OCF growth 1Y16.52%
OCF growth 3Y6.12%
OCF growth 5Y-0.82%

TIMKEN CO / TKR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of TIMKEN CO (TKR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TKR.


Can you provide the valuation status for TIMKEN CO?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to TIMKEN CO (TKR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of TKR stock?

TIMKEN CO (TKR) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of TIMKEN CO (TKR) stock?

The financial health rating of TIMKEN CO (TKR) is 6 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for TIMKEN CO?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TIMKEN CO (TKR) is expected to grow by 11.59% in the next year.