TIMKEN CO (TKR) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:TKR • US8873891043

108.38 USD
-1.5 (-1.37%)
At close: Feb 27, 2026
108.38 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 2/27/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to TKR. TKR was compared to 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. TKR has an average financial health and profitability rating. TKR is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year TKR was profitable.
  • In the past year TKR had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • TKR had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • TKR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
TKR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTKR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.32%, TKR is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.38% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Equity of TKR (9.06%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • TKR's Return On Invested Capital of 7.93% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TKR outperforms 57.69% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TKR is in line with the industry average of 10.27%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.32%
ROE 9.06%
ROIC 7.93%
ROA(3y)5.28%
ROA(5y)6.01%
ROE(3y)12.27%
ROE(5y)14.17%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)9.16%
TKR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTKR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • TKR has a Profit Margin (6.29%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • TKR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of TKR (13.09%) is better than 63.08% of its industry peers.
  • TKR's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 31.15%, TKR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.77% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TKR has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.09%
PM (TTM) 6.29%
GM 31.15%
OM growth 3Y-5.16%
OM growth 5Y-1.84%
PM growth 3Y-11.43%
PM growth 5Y-4.91%
GM growth 3Y2.01%
GM growth 5Y1.13%
TKR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTKR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TKR is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for TKR has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for TKR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • TKR has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
TKR Yearly Shares OutstandingTKR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
TKR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTKR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • TKR has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.73. This is a neutral value as TKR would need 4.73 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • TKR has a Debt to FCF ratio (4.73) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • TKR has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.59. This is a neutral value indicating TKR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • TKR's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.59 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TKR outperforms 41.54% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF 4.73
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC0.9
WACC8.83%
TKR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTKR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 2.82 indicates that TKR has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of TKR (2.82) is better than 74.62% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.47 indicates that TKR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • TKR's Quick ratio of 1.47 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TKR outperforms 62.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.82
Quick Ratio 1.47
TKR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTKR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • TKR shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -7.94%.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, TKR shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 5.39% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, TKR shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.19% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.45% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.94%
EPS 3Y-3.98%
EPS 5Y5.39%
EPS Q2Q%-1.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.19%
Revenue growth 3Y0.63%
Revenue growth 5Y5.45%
Sales Q2Q%3.48%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.55% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, TKR will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.76% on average per year.
EPS Next Y13.14%
EPS Next 2Y11.91%
EPS Next 3Y8.55%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y4.02%
Revenue Next 3Y3.76%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TKR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTKR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
TKR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTKR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • TKR is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 20.33.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of TKR indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TKR is cheaper than 75.38% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • TKR is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.10, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 17.97, TKR is valued on the expensive side.
  • 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TKR, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • TKR's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 28.06.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.33
Fwd PE 17.97
TKR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTKR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 80.77% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TKR, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • TKR's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. TKR is cheaper than 79.23% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 18.59
EV/EBITDA 11.1
TKR Per share dataTKR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.55
PEG (5Y)3.77
EPS Next 2Y11.91%
EPS Next 3Y8.55%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.27%, TKR has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • TKR's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.19.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.80, TKR is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.27%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of TKR has a limited annual growth rate of 4.11%.
  • TKR has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • TKR has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.11%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years15
TKR Yearly Dividends per shareTKR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • 34.08% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TKR. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
  • TKR's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP34.08%
EPS Next 2Y11.91%
EPS Next 3Y8.55%
TKR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTKR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
TKR Dividend Payout.TKR Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TKR Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

TIMKEN CO

NYSE:TKR (2/27/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 108.38 0 (0%)

108.38

-1.5 (-1.37%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners97.48%
Inst Owner Change-2.17%
Ins Owners3.47%
Ins Owner Change0.52%
Market Cap7.55B
Revenue(TTM)4.58B
Net Income(TTM)288.40M
Analysts71.76
Price Target113.42 (4.65%)
Short Float %3.31%
Short Ratio2.65
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.27%
Yearly Dividend1.41
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.11%
DP34.08%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-Date02-24
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.52%
Min EPS beat(2)3.89%
Max EPS beat(2)9.15%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.26%
Max EPS beat(4)9.15%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)4.12%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.78%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.12%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.4%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.59%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.03%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.59%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.89%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.25%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.32%
PT rev (1m)3.27%
PT rev (3m)4.92%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-2.85%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.04%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.06%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.01%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.17%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.08%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.01%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 20.33
Fwd PE 17.97
P/S 1.65
P/FCF 18.59
P/OCF 13.62
P/B 2.37
P/tB 10.85
EV/EBITDA 11.1
EPS(TTM)5.33
EY4.92%
EPS(NY)6.03
Fwd EY5.56%
FCF(TTM)5.83
FCFY5.38%
OCF(TTM)7.96
OCFY7.34%
SpS65.77
BVpS45.72
TBVpS9.99
PEG (NY)1.55
PEG (5Y)3.77
Graham Number74.04
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.32%
ROE 9.06%
ROCE 10.42%
ROIC 7.93%
ROICexc 8.47%
ROICexgc 15.74%
OM 13.09%
PM (TTM) 6.29%
GM 31.15%
FCFM 8.86%
ROA(3y)5.28%
ROA(5y)6.01%
ROE(3y)12.27%
ROE(5y)14.17%
ROIC(3y)8.76%
ROIC(5y)9.16%
ROICexc(3y)9.47%
ROICexc(5y)9.9%
ROICexgc(3y)18.38%
ROICexgc(5y)18.32%
ROCE(3y)11.54%
ROCE(5y)12.1%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-8.32%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.36%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.7%
OM growth 3Y-5.16%
OM growth 5Y-1.84%
PM growth 3Y-11.43%
PM growth 5Y-4.91%
GM growth 3Y2.01%
GM growth 5Y1.13%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.69
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF 4.73
Debt/EBITDA 2.27
Cap/Depr 64.41%
Cap/Sales 3.23%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 66.78%
Profit Quality 140.81%
Current Ratio 2.82
Quick Ratio 1.47
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score5
WACC8.83%
ROIC/WACC0.9
Cap/Depr(3y)78.12%
Cap/Depr(5y)86.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.69%
Profit Quality(3y)106.06%
Profit Quality(5y)90.6%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.94%
EPS 3Y-3.98%
EPS 5Y5.39%
EPS Q2Q%-1.72%
EPS Next Y13.14%
EPS Next 2Y11.91%
EPS Next 3Y8.55%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.19%
Revenue growth 3Y0.63%
Revenue growth 5Y5.45%
Sales Q2Q%3.48%
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y4.02%
Revenue Next 3Y3.76%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-1.77%
EBIT growth 3Y-4.56%
EBIT growth 5Y3.52%
EBIT Next Year44.46%
EBIT Next 3Y16.2%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y32.84%
FCF growth 3Y12.48%
FCF growth 5Y-2.29%
OCF growth 1Y16.52%
OCF growth 3Y6.12%
OCF growth 5Y-0.82%

TIMKEN CO / TKR FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of TIMKEN CO (TKR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to TKR.


Can you provide the valuation status for TIMKEN CO?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to TIMKEN CO (TKR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for TIMKEN CO?

TIMKEN CO (TKR) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for TKR stock?

The financial health rating of TIMKEN CO (TKR) is 5 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TKR stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TIMKEN CO (TKR) is expected to grow by 13.14% in the next year.