TIMKEN CO (TKR) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:TKR • US8873891043

Current stock price

97.54 USD
-2.16 (-2.17%)
At close:
97.54 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This TKR fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. TKR Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year TKR was profitable.
  • In the past year TKR had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years TKR has been profitable.
  • TKR had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
TKR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTKR Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M

1.2 Ratios

  • TKR's Return On Assets of 4.32% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TKR outperforms 56.49% of its industry peers.
  • TKR has a Return On Equity of 9.06%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TKR outperforms 58.02% of its industry peers.
  • TKR has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.20%. This is in the better half of the industry: TKR outperforms 60.31% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TKR is in line with the industry average of 10.16%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.32%
ROE 9.06%
ROIC 8.2%
ROA(3y)5.28%
ROA(5y)6.01%
ROE(3y)12.27%
ROE(5y)14.17%
ROIC(3y)8.99%
ROIC(5y)9.3%
TKR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTKR Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15

1.3 Margins

  • TKR has a Profit Margin of 6.29%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TKR outperforms 56.49% of its industry peers.
  • TKR's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 13.53%, TKR is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TKR has remained more or less at the same level.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 31.59%, TKR is in line with its industry, outperforming 53.44% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TKR's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 13.53%
PM (TTM) 6.29%
GM 31.59%
OM growth 3Y-2.18%
OM growth 5Y0%
PM growth 3Y-11.43%
PM growth 5Y-4.91%
GM growth 3Y3.34%
GM growth 5Y1.92%
TKR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTKR Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

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6

2. TKR Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TKR is destroying value.
  • TKR has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for TKR has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, TKR has an improved debt to assets ratio.
TKR Yearly Shares OutstandingTKR Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
TKR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTKR Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

2.2 Solvency

  • TKR has an Altman-Z score of 3.02. This indicates that TKR is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • TKR's Altman-Z score of 3.02 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TKR outperforms 50.38% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of TKR is 4.73, which is a neutral value as it means it would take TKR, 4.73 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • TKR has a Debt to FCF ratio (4.73) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.59 indicates that TKR is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.59, TKR perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 40.46% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF 4.73
Altman-Z 3.02
ROIC/WACC0.9
WACC9.06%
TKR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTKR Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

  • TKR has a Current Ratio of 2.82. This indicates that TKR is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of TKR (2.82) is better than 74.05% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.47 indicates that TKR should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of TKR (1.47) is better than 61.83% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.82
Quick Ratio 1.47
TKR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTKR Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. TKR Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • TKR shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -7.94%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 5.39% on average over the past years.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 0.19% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.45% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.94%
EPS 3Y-3.98%
EPS 5Y5.39%
EPS Q2Q%-1.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.19%
Revenue growth 3Y0.63%
Revenue growth 5Y5.45%
Sales Q2Q%3.48%

3.2 Future

  • TKR is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.25% yearly.
  • TKR is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 3.76% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.1%
EPS Next 2Y11.85%
EPS Next 3Y12.25%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y4.02%
Revenue Next 3Y3.76%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
TKR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTKR Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B
TKR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTKR Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2 4 6

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5

4. TKR Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • TKR is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.30.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TKR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.34% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • TKR is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.71, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.47, the valuation of TKR can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TKR is valued a bit cheaper than 71.76% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.83, TKR is valued a bit cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.3
Fwd PE 16.47
TKR Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTKR Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 82.44% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TKR, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, TKR is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 77.86% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 16.7
EV/EBITDA 9.76
TKR Per share dataTKR EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as TKR's earnings are expected to grow with 12.25% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.65
PEG (5Y)3.4
EPS Next 2Y11.85%
EPS Next 3Y12.25%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. TKR Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • TKR has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.40%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.18, TKR pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.91, TKR is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.4%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of TKR has a limited annual growth rate of 4.13%.
  • TKR has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • TKR has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.13%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years15
TKR Yearly Dividends per shareTKR Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

  • TKR pays out 34.08% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of TKR is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP34.08%
EPS Next 2Y11.85%
EPS Next 3Y12.25%
TKR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTKR Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M
TKR Dividend Payout.TKR Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TKR Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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TKR Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

TIMKEN CO

NYSE:TKR (3/13/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 97.54 0 (0%)

97.54

-2.16 (-2.17%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)02-04
Earnings (Next)04-28
Inst Owners96.25%
Inst Owner Change-2.17%
Ins Owners3.5%
Ins Owner Change-0.86%
Market Cap6.78B
Revenue(TTM)4.58B
Net Income(TTM)288.40M
Analysts72.94
Price Target113.42 (16.28%)
Short Float %3.2%
Short Ratio2.58
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.4%
Yearly Dividend1.41
Dividend Growth(5Y)4.13%
DP34.08%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-Date02-24
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.52%
Min EPS beat(2)3.89%
Max EPS beat(2)9.15%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)3%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.26%
Max EPS beat(4)9.15%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)4.12%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.78%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)8.12%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.4%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.59%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.03%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.59%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.89%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.25%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.32%
PT rev (1m)21.27%
PT rev (3m)26.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.17%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.93%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.86%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.3
Fwd PE 16.47
P/S 1.48
P/FCF 16.7
P/OCF 12.24
P/B 2.13
P/tB 9.75
EV/EBITDA 9.76
EPS(TTM)5.33
EY5.46%
EPS(NY)5.92
Fwd EY6.07%
FCF(TTM)5.84
FCFY5.99%
OCF(TTM)7.97
OCFY8.17%
SpS65.89
BVpS45.8
TBVpS10.01
PEG (NY)1.65
PEG (5Y)3.4
Graham Number74.11
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.32%
ROE 9.06%
ROCE 10.77%
ROIC 8.2%
ROICexc 8.79%
ROICexgc 16.38%
OM 13.53%
PM (TTM) 6.29%
GM 31.59%
FCFM 8.86%
ROA(3y)5.28%
ROA(5y)6.01%
ROE(3y)12.27%
ROE(5y)14.17%
ROIC(3y)8.99%
ROIC(5y)9.3%
ROICexc(3y)9.73%
ROICexc(5y)10.06%
ROICexgc(3y)18.86%
ROICexgc(5y)18.61%
ROCE(3y)11.86%
ROCE(5y)12.29%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-5.48%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-0.55%
ROICexc growth 3Y-7.78%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.89%
OM growth 3Y-2.18%
OM growth 5Y0%
PM growth 3Y-11.43%
PM growth 5Y-4.91%
GM growth 3Y3.34%
GM growth 5Y1.92%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.69
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.59
Debt/FCF 4.73
Debt/EBITDA 2.22
Cap/Depr 64.41%
Cap/Sales 3.23%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 65.21%
Profit Quality 140.81%
Current Ratio 2.82
Quick Ratio 1.47
Altman-Z 3.02
F-Score6
WACC9.06%
ROIC/WACC0.9
Cap/Depr(3y)78.12%
Cap/Depr(5y)86.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.63%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.69%
Profit Quality(3y)106.06%
Profit Quality(5y)90.6%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.94%
EPS 3Y-3.98%
EPS 5Y5.39%
EPS Q2Q%-1.72%
EPS Next Y11.1%
EPS Next 2Y11.85%
EPS Next 3Y12.25%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.19%
Revenue growth 3Y0.63%
Revenue growth 5Y5.45%
Sales Q2Q%3.48%
Revenue Next Year4.18%
Revenue Next 2Y4.02%
Revenue Next 3Y3.76%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y1.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.57%
EBIT growth 5Y5.45%
EBIT Next Year43.99%
EBIT Next 3Y18.13%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y32.84%
FCF growth 3Y12.48%
FCF growth 5Y-2.29%
OCF growth 1Y16.52%
OCF growth 3Y6.12%
OCF growth 5Y-0.82%

TIMKEN CO / TKR Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of TIMKEN CO (TKR) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TKR.


Can you provide the valuation status for TIMKEN CO?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to TIMKEN CO (TKR). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for TIMKEN CO?

TIMKEN CO (TKR) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


Can you provide the financial health for TKR stock?

The financial health rating of TIMKEN CO (TKR) is 6 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TKR stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TIMKEN CO (TKR) is expected to grow by 11.1% in the next year.