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HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP INC/ (THG) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:THG - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US4108671052 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

158.885  +2.31 (+1.48%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, THG scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. THG was compared to 144 industry peers in the Insurance industry. THG has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. THG is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year THG was profitable.
In the past year THG had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years THG has been profitable.
Of the past 5 years THG 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
THG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTHG Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

THG's Return On Assets of 2.38% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. THG outperforms 52.11% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of THG (12.72%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 2.70%, THG is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.56% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for THG is below the industry average of 4.55%.
The 3 year average ROIC (1.70%) for THG is below the current ROIC(2.70%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.38%
ROE 12.72%
ROIC 2.7%
ROA(3y)1.28%
ROA(5y)1.89%
ROE(3y)7.13%
ROE(5y)9.18%
ROIC(3y)1.7%
ROIC(5y)2.17%
THG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTHG Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5 10

1.3 Margins

THG has a Profit Margin (5.94%) which is in line with its industry peers.
THG's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
THG has a Operating Margin of 7.96%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: THG outperforms 42.25% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of THG has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 7.96%
PM (TTM) 5.94%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y1.9%
OM growth 5Y-0.99%
PM growth 3Y-5.85%
PM growth 5Y-5.09%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
THG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTHG Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6 8 10

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), THG is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, THG has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for THG has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, THG has an improved debt to assets ratio.
THG Yearly Shares OutstandingTHG Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10M 20M 30M 40M
THG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTHG Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of THG is 1.16, which is an excellent value as it means it would take THG, only 1.16 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
THG's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.16 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. THG outperforms 63.38% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27 indicates that THG is not too dependend on debt financing.
THG has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.27) than 63.38% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 1.16
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC0.32
WACC8.37%
THG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTHG Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
THG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTHG Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

THG shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 765.58%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 10.31% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
THG shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 3.52%.
Measured over the past years, THG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.41% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)765.58%
EPS 3Y15.11%
EPS 5Y10.31%
EPS Q2Q%69.97%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.52%
Revenue growth 3Y6.83%
Revenue growth 5Y5.41%
Sales Q2Q%7.4%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, THG will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.59% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, THG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 6.78% on average per year.
EPS Next Y8.88%
EPS Next 2Y10.49%
EPS Next 3Y8.59%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year7.49%
Revenue Next 2Y6.5%
Revenue Next 3Y6.78%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
THG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTHG Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2B 4B 6B
THG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTHG Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5 10 15

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

THG is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.92.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as THG.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 29.62, THG is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.95, the valuation of THG can be described as very reasonable.
THG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.70. THG is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.92
Fwd PE 10.95
THG Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTHG Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

THG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
THG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.44
EV/EBITDA 12.12
THG Per share dataTHG EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150

4.3 Compensation for Growth

THG's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.34
PEG (5Y)1.16
EPS Next 2Y10.49%
EPS Next 3Y8.59%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

THG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.27%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.17, THG pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, THG has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.27%

5.2 History

On average, the dividend of THG grows each year by 8.15%, which is quite nice.
THG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
THG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.15%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
THG Yearly Dividends per shareTHG Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2 4 6 8

5.3 Sustainability

THG pays out 33.33% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
THG's earnings are growing around the same pace than its dividend. As long as the earnings growth is kept the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP33.33%
EPS Next 2Y10.49%
EPS Next 3Y8.59%
THG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTHG Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M
THG Dividend Payout.THG Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.THG Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

HANOVER INSURANCE GROUP INC/

NYSE:THG (2/24/2025, 2:48:40 PM)

158.885

+2.31 (+1.48%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupInsurance
GICS IndustryInsurance
Earnings (Last)02-04 2025-02-04/amc
Earnings (Next)07-29 2025-07-29/amc
Inst Owners89.55%
Inst Owner Change-86.36%
Ins Owners0.76%
Ins Owner Change-4.82%
Market Cap5.70B
Analysts75
Price Target183.31 (15.37%)
Short Float %0.95%
Short Ratio1.65
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.27%
Yearly Dividend3.28
Dividend Growth(5Y)8.15%
DP33.33%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.86%
Min EPS beat(2)0.55%
Max EPS beat(2)19.17%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.51%
Min EPS beat(4)0.55%
Max EPS beat(4)19.17%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-16.09%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)-6.69%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)2.25%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.21%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.16%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.74%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.96%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.65%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.74%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.57%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.88%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.39%
PT rev (1m)2.86%
PT rev (3m)5.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.02%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)4.9%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.82%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.75%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.92
Fwd PE 10.95
P/S 0.93
P/FCF 8.44
P/OCF 8.32
P/B 1.98
P/tB 2.11
EV/EBITDA 12.12
EPS(TTM)13.33
EY8.39%
EPS(NY)14.51
Fwd EY9.13%
FCF(TTM)18.82
FCFY11.85%
OCF(TTM)19.09
OCFY12.01%
SpS171.64
BVpS80.16
TBVpS75.18
PEG (NY)1.34
PEG (5Y)1.16
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.38%
ROE 12.72%
ROCE 3.36%
ROIC 2.7%
ROICexc 2.78%
ROICexgc 3.42%
OM 7.96%
PM (TTM) 5.94%
GM N/A
FCFM 10.97%
ROA(3y)1.28%
ROA(5y)1.89%
ROE(3y)7.13%
ROE(5y)9.18%
ROIC(3y)1.7%
ROIC(5y)2.17%
ROICexc(3y)1.74%
ROICexc(5y)2.22%
ROICexgc(3y)2.25%
ROICexgc(5y)2.83%
ROCE(3y)2.12%
ROCE(5y)2.71%
ROICexcg growth 3Y5.78%
ROICexcg growth 5Y0.15%
ROICexc growth 3Y4.45%
ROICexc growth 5Y-0.58%
OM growth 3Y1.9%
OM growth 5Y-0.99%
PM growth 3Y-5.85%
PM growth 5Y-5.09%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.4
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 1.16
Debt/EBITDA 1.59
Cap/Depr 324.14%
Cap/Sales 0.15%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 138.87%
Profit Quality 184.65%
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score7
WACC8.37%
ROIC/WACC0.32
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)765.58%
EPS 3Y15.11%
EPS 5Y10.31%
EPS Q2Q%69.97%
EPS Next Y8.88%
EPS Next 2Y10.49%
EPS Next 3Y8.59%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.52%
Revenue growth 3Y6.83%
Revenue growth 5Y5.41%
Sales Q2Q%7.4%
Revenue Next Year7.49%
Revenue Next 2Y6.5%
Revenue Next 3Y6.78%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y580.41%
EBIT growth 3Y8.85%
EBIT growth 5Y4.37%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y48.89%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.57%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A