TARGET CORP (TGT) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:TGT • US87612E1064

115.86 USD
+0.2 (+0.17%)
Last: Feb 19, 2026, 12:53 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, TGT scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. TGT was compared to 38 industry peers in the Consumer Staples Distribution & Retail industry. TGT has an excellent profitability rating, but there are concerns on its financial health. TGT has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing. TGT also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year TGT was profitable.
  • In the past year TGT had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • TGT had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years TGT had a positive operating cash flow.
TGT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTGT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

1.2 Ratios

  • TGT's Return On Assets of 6.27% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TGT outperforms 68.42% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 24.28%, TGT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 12.98%, TGT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TGT is significantly below the industry average of 28.34%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (12.98%) for TGT is above the 3 year average (11.15%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.27%
ROE 24.28%
ROIC 12.98%
ROA(3y)6.59%
ROA(5y)8.24%
ROE(3y)27.82%
ROE(5y)33.57%
ROIC(3y)11.15%
ROIC(5y)14.5%
TGT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTGT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of TGT (3.58%) is better than 84.21% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TGT has declined.
  • TGT's Operating Margin of 6.13% is amongst the best of the industry. TGT outperforms 86.84% of its industry peers.
  • TGT's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 27.74%, TGT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.79% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TGT has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 6.13%
PM (TTM) 3.58%
GM 27.74%
OM growth 3Y-14.71%
OM growth 5Y-2.48%
PM growth 3Y-16.32%
PM growth 5Y-1.78%
GM growth 3Y-1.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.06%
TGT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTGT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TGT is still creating some value.
  • TGT has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for TGT has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for TGT has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TGT Yearly Shares OutstandingTGT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M
TGT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTGT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 3.01 indicates that TGT is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 3.01, TGT is not doing good in the industry: 63.16% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • TGT has a debt to FCF ratio of 5.48. This is a neutral value as TGT would need 5.48 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • TGT has a Debt to FCF ratio of 5.48. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TGT outperforms 55.26% of its industry peers.
  • TGT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.99. This is a neutral value indicating TGT is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.99, TGT is doing worse than 65.79% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.99
Debt/FCF 5.48
Altman-Z 3.01
ROIC/WACC1.76
WACC7.36%
TGT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTGT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

  • TGT has a Current Ratio of 0.97. This is a bad value and indicates that TGT is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • TGT has a worse Current ratio (0.97) than 71.05% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.27 indicates that TGT may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • TGT has a worse Quick ratio (0.27) than 76.32% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.97
Quick Ratio 0.27
TGT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTGT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B 20B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • TGT shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -20.04%.
  • Measured over the past 5 years, TGT shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 6.72% on average per year.
  • TGT shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.16%.
  • Measured over the past years, TGT shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.41% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.04%
EPS 3Y-13.2%
EPS 5Y6.72%
EPS Q2Q%-3.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.16%
Revenue growth 3Y0.18%
Revenue growth 5Y6.41%
Sales Q2Q%-1.55%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, TGT will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 2.75% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, TGT will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.93% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-16.98%
EPS Next 2Y-6.27%
EPS Next 3Y-1.99%
EPS Next 5Y2.75%
Revenue Next Year-1.56%
Revenue Next 2Y0.1%
Revenue Next 3Y1%
Revenue Next 5Y1.93%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TGT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTGT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
TGT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTGT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 5 10 15

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 15.37 indicates a correct valuation of TGT.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TGT is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.42% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • TGT is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.27, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • TGT is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.88.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TGT indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TGT is cheaper than 71.05% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • TGT is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 28.16, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.37
Fwd PE 14.88
TGT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTGT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 78.95% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TGT, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of TGT indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TGT is cheaper than 73.68% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 17.44
EV/EBITDA 6.81
TGT Per share dataTGT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 50 100 150 200

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • TGT has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.29
EPS Next 2Y-6.27%
EPS Next 3Y-1.99%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.05%, TGT is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • TGT's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 0.69. TGT pays more dividend than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.85, TGT pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.05%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of TGT grows each year by 11.38%, which is quite nice.
  • TGT has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of TGT decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.38%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
TGT Yearly Dividends per shareTGT Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3 4 5

5.3 Sustainability

  • 54.48% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TGT. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • TGT's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP54.48%
EPS Next 2Y-6.27%
EPS Next 3Y-1.99%
TGT Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTGT Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B
TGT Dividend Payout.TGT Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TGT Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

TARGET CORP

NYSE:TGT (2/19/2026, 12:53:06 PM)

115.86

+0.2 (+0.17%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustryConsumer Staples Distribution & Retail
Earnings (Last)11-19
Earnings (Next)05-19
Inst Owners85%
Inst Owner Change-1.4%
Ins Owners0.22%
Ins Owner Change-0.38%
Market Cap52.46B
Revenue(TTM)105.24B
Net Income(TTM)3.76B
Analysts67.27
Price Target103.74 (-10.46%)
Short Float %4.16%
Short Ratio2.76
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.05%
Yearly Dividend4.46
Dividend Growth(5Y)11.38%
DP54.48%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-11
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.86%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.83%
Max EPS beat(2)2.55%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.24%
Min EPS beat(4)-19.93%
Max EPS beat(4)5.26%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)0.39%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)10.14%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)1.78%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.18%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.11%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.14%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.72%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.11%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.01%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.88%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.78%
PT rev (1m)2.81%
PT rev (3m)-1.39%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.2%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.28%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.29%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.37
Fwd PE 14.88
P/S 0.5
P/FCF 17.44
P/OCF 7.74
P/B 3.38
P/tB 3.38
EV/EBITDA 6.81
EPS(TTM)7.54
EY6.51%
EPS(NY)7.78
Fwd EY6.72%
FCF(TTM)6.65
FCFY5.74%
OCF(TTM)14.96
OCFY12.91%
SpS232.42
BVpS34.23
TBVpS34.23
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)2.29
Graham Number76.21
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.27%
ROE 24.28%
ROCE 16.66%
ROIC 12.98%
ROICexc 14.4%
ROICexgc 14.4%
OM 6.13%
PM (TTM) 3.58%
GM 27.74%
FCFM 2.86%
ROA(3y)6.59%
ROA(5y)8.24%
ROE(3y)27.82%
ROE(5y)33.57%
ROIC(3y)11.15%
ROIC(5y)14.5%
ROICexc(3y)12.58%
ROICexc(5y)21.31%
ROICexgc(3y)12.84%
ROICexgc(5y)22.01%
ROCE(3y)14.31%
ROCE(5y)18.61%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-26%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y-25.72%
ROICexc growth 5Y-2.23%
OM growth 3Y-14.71%
OM growth 5Y-2.48%
PM growth 3Y-16.32%
PM growth 5Y-1.78%
GM growth 3Y-1.24%
GM growth 5Y-1.06%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.75
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.99
Debt/FCF 5.48
Debt/EBITDA 1.61
Cap/Depr 121.57%
Cap/Sales 3.58%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 70.92%
Profit Quality 79.96%
Current Ratio 0.97
Quick Ratio 0.27
Altman-Z 3.01
F-Score5
WACC7.36%
ROIC/WACC1.76
Cap/Depr(3y)157.77%
Cap/Depr(5y)142.81%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.08%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.69%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-20.04%
EPS 3Y-13.2%
EPS 5Y6.72%
EPS Q2Q%-3.78%
EPS Next Y-16.98%
EPS Next 2Y-6.27%
EPS Next 3Y-1.99%
EPS Next 5Y2.75%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.16%
Revenue growth 3Y0.18%
Revenue growth 5Y6.41%
Sales Q2Q%-1.55%
Revenue Next Year-1.56%
Revenue Next 2Y0.1%
Revenue Next 3Y1%
Revenue Next 5Y1.93%
EBIT growth 1Y7.49%
EBIT growth 3Y-14.56%
EBIT growth 5Y3.78%
EBIT Next Year41.19%
EBIT Next 3Y14.74%
EBIT Next 5Y11.37%
FCF growth 1Y-17.36%
FCF growth 3Y-4.14%
FCF growth 5Y1.82%
OCF growth 1Y-23.01%
OCF growth 3Y-5.12%
OCF growth 5Y0.69%

TARGET CORP / TGT FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of TARGET CORP (TGT) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to TGT.


What is the valuation status for TGT stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to TARGET CORP (TGT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is TARGET CORP (TGT) stock?

TARGET CORP (TGT) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for TARGET CORP?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TARGET CORP (TGT) is expected to decline by -16.98% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for TGT stock?

The dividend rating of TARGET CORP (TGT) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 54.48%.