TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:TGI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US8968181011 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, TGI scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. TGI was compared to 65 industry peers in the Aerospace & Defense industry. TGI has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. TGI has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
TGI had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year TGI has reported a negative cash flow from operations.
In multiple years TGI reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: TGI reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 35.04%, TGI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
TGI has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.45%. This is in the better half of the industry: TGI outperforms 76.56% of its industry peers.
TGI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.55%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.69%.
The 3 year average ROIC (6.55%) for TGI is below the current ROIC(8.45%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 35.04% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 8.45% |
ROA(3y)11.06%
ROA(5y)2.76%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.55%
ROIC(5y)6.26%
1.3 Margins
TGI has a Profit Margin of 43.70%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TGI outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 10.62%, TGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
TGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TGI's Gross Margin of 28.60% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TGI outperforms 70.31% of its industry peers.
TGI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 43.7% | ||
| GM | 28.6% |
OM growth 3Y28.2%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y9.63%
GM growth 5Y16.22%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TGI is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, TGI has more shares outstanding
TGI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
TGI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
TGI has an Altman-Z score of 1.52. This is a bad value and indicates that TGI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.52, TGI is doing worse than 71.88% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.52 |
ROIC/WACC0.74
WACC11.49%
2.3 Liquidity
TGI has a Current Ratio of 2.47. This indicates that TGI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
TGI's Current ratio of 2.47 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TGI outperforms 60.94% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.19 indicates that TGI should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.19, TGI is in line with its industry, outperforming 42.19% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.47 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
TGI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -30.95%.
TGI shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -51.82% yearly.
The Revenue for TGI has decreased by -24.14% in the past year. This is quite bad
Measured over the past years, TGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -18.74% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.95%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-51.82%
EPS Q2Q%1900%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-24.14%
Revenue growth 3Y-13.93%
Revenue growth 5Y-18.74%
Sales Q2Q%-18.8%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, TGI will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 132.22% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.12% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y1085.79%
EPS Next 2Y310.2%
EPS Next 3Y189.41%
EPS Next 5Y132.22%
Revenue Next Year-2.18%
Revenue Next 2Y4.5%
Revenue Next 3Y6.04%
Revenue Next 5Y8.12%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 86.83, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TGI.
TGI's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TGI to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.58), we can say TGI is valued expensively.
TGI is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.94.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TGI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TGI is cheaper than 71.88% of the companies listed in the same industry.
TGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 95.03.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 86.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.94 |
4.2 Price Multiples
TGI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. TGI is cheaper than 70.31% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.44 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
TGI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of TGI may justify a higher PE ratio.
TGI's earnings are expected to grow with 189.41% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y310.2%
EPS Next 3Y189.41%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for TGI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
TRIUMPH GROUP INC
NYSE:TGI (2/5/2025, 7:19:34 PM)
After market: 25.18 0 (0%)25.18
+0.07 (+0.28%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners97.38%
Inst Owner Change1.21%
Ins Owners2.14%
Ins Owner Change1.81%
Market Cap1.95B
Analysts72.31
Price Target18.4 (-26.93%)
Short Float %7.86%
Short Ratio5.76
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1528.77%
Min EPS beat(2)-10.77%
Max EPS beat(2)3068.32%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)725.87%
Min EPS beat(4)-209.34%
Max EPS beat(4)3068.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)378.79%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)522.32%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)414.71%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)0.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.06%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.01%
Min Revenue beat(4)-23.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.79%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.81%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.9%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.04%
PT rev (1m)0.02%
PT rev (3m)24.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)8.45%
EPS NQ rev (3m)67.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.6%
EPS NY rev (3m)69.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.69%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.73%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.08%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.74%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 86.83 | ||
| Fwd PE | 24.94 | ||
| P/S | 1.61 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | N/A | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 17.44 |
EPS(TTM)0.29
EY1.15%
EPS(NY)1.01
Fwd EY4.01%
FCF(TTM)-0.81
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-0.49
OCFYN/A
SpS15.67
BVpS-1.23
TBVpS-8.67
PEG (NY)0.08
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 35.04% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 10.69% | ||
| ROIC | 8.45% | ||
| ROICexc | 9.25% | ||
| ROICexgc | 19.44% | ||
| OM | 10.62% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 43.7% | ||
| GM | 28.6% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)11.06%
ROA(5y)2.76%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.55%
ROIC(5y)6.26%
ROICexc(3y)8.52%
ROICexc(5y)8.34%
ROICexgc(3y)21.87%
ROICexgc(5y)20.78%
ROCE(3y)8.29%
ROCE(5y)7.92%
ROICexcg growth 3Y24.4%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y17.86%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y28.2%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y9.63%
GM growth 5Y16.22%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.8
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.96 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 79.07% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.08% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.07 | ||
| Cash Conversion | N/A | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.47 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.19 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.52 |
F-Score5
WACC11.49%
ROIC/WACC0.74
Cap/Depr(3y)60.28%
Cap/Depr(5y)47.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.92%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.7%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.95%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-51.82%
EPS Q2Q%1900%
EPS Next Y1085.79%
EPS Next 2Y310.2%
EPS Next 3Y189.41%
EPS Next 5Y132.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-24.14%
Revenue growth 3Y-13.93%
Revenue growth 5Y-18.74%
Sales Q2Q%-18.8%
Revenue Next Year-2.18%
Revenue Next 2Y4.5%
Revenue Next 3Y6.04%
Revenue Next 5Y8.12%
EBIT growth 1Y-17.32%
EBIT growth 3Y10.34%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year48.25%
EBIT Next 3Y26.93%
EBIT Next 5Y23.02%
FCF growth 1Y29.74%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y41.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A