TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:TGI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US8968181011 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
TGI gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 65 industry peers in the Aerospace & Defense industry. TGI has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. TGI has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year TGI was profitable.
In the past year TGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years TGI reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: TGI reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
TGI's Return On Assets of 2.51% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TGI outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of TGI (11.13%) is better than 90.91% of its industry peers.
TGI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.29%. This is in line with the industry average of 8.44%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (11.13%) for TGI is above the 3 year average (8.29%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.51% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% |
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 3.24%, TGI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.48% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 12.56%, TGI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.79% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TGI has grown nicely.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 31.55%, TGI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.70% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TGI has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.24% | ||
| GM | 31.55% |
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
TGI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
TGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
TGI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
TGI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
TGI has an Altman-Z score of 1.60. This is a bad value and indicates that TGI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
TGI has a Altman-Z score of 1.60. This is in the lower half of the industry: TGI underperforms 75.76% of its industry peers.
TGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 51.66. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as TGI would need 51.66 years to pay back of all of its debts.
TGI has a Debt to FCF ratio (51.66) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 51.66 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
ROIC/WACC1.02
WACC10.91%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 2.22 indicates that TGI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.22, TGI is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
TGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that TGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.32, TGI is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.45% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
TGI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 1383.33%, which is quite impressive.
Measured over the past years, TGI shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -18.53% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, TGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -16.93% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, TGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -15.33% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, TGI will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 28.85% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, TGI will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 10.34% on average per year.
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year11.67%
Revenue Next 2Y9.26%
Revenue Next 3Y8.93%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 29.01, TGI can be considered very expensive at the moment.
75.76% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TGI, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TGI to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.45), we can say TGI is valued inline with the index average.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.57, the valuation of TGI can be described as rather expensive.
TGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. TGI is cheaper than 69.70% of the companies in the same industry.
TGI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 21.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.01 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.57 |
4.2 Price Multiples
TGI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TGI is cheaper than 89.39% of the companies in the same industry.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as TGI.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 106.17 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.33 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
TGI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as TGI's earnings are expected to grow with 28.85% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for TGI!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
25.82
+0.09 (+0.35%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners101.98%
Inst Owner Change-47.71%
Ins Owners2.14%
Ins Owner Change4.16%
Market Cap2.00B
Analysts70
Price Target21.81 (-15.53%)
Short Float %10.27%
Short Ratio5.71
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.56%
Min EPS beat(2)35.53%
Max EPS beat(2)39.6%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)783.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.77%
Max EPS beat(4)3068.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)380.69%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)529.14%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)402.98%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.7%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.31%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.7%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.74%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.32%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.05%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)3.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.79%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.46%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.66%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.01 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.57 | ||
| P/S | 1.58 | ||
| P/FCF | 106.17 | ||
| P/OCF | 52.76 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.33 |
EPS(TTM)0.89
EY3.45%
EPS(NY)1.1
Fwd EY4.24%
FCF(TTM)0.24
FCFY0.94%
OCF(TTM)0.49
OCFY1.9%
SpS16.3
BVpS-0.99
TBVpS-8.33
PEG (NY)1.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.51% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 12.86% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.36% | ||
| ROICexgc | 35.5% | ||
| OM | 12.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.24% | ||
| GM | 31.55% | ||
| FCFM | 1.49% |
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.84%
ROICexc(5y)9.74%
ROICexgc(3y)26.38%
ROICexgc(5y)24.28%
ROCE(3y)9.58%
ROCE(5y)8.52%
ROICexcg growth 3Y7.93%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.48%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.89%
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.78
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 51.66 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.12 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 64.41% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.51% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 20.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | 46.07% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
F-Score5
WACC10.91%
ROIC/WACC1.02
Cap/Depr(3y)68.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.72%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
Revenue Next Year11.67%
Revenue Next 2Y9.26%
Revenue Next 3Y8.93%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
EBIT growth 1Y16.86%
EBIT growth 3Y14.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.26%
EBIT Next Year56.27%
EBIT Next 3Y25.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y252.04%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-19.84%
OCF growth 1Y301.2%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-17.09%