TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:TGI • US8968181011
Current stock price
26.01 USD
+0.16 (+0.62%)
At close:
26.01 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This TGI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. TGI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- TGI had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year TGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In multiple years TGI reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: TGI reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
- TGI's Return On Assets of 2.51% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TGI outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
- TGI has a Return On Invested Capital of 11.13%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TGI outperforms 89.71% of its industry peers.
- TGI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.29%. This is in line with the industry average of 9.41%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (11.13%) for TGI is above the 3 year average (8.29%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.51% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% |
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
1.3 Margins
- TGI has a Profit Margin (3.24%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- With a decent Operating Margin value of 12.56%, TGI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.41% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TGI has grown nicely.
- TGI's Gross Margin of 31.55% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TGI outperforms 70.59% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TGI has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 12.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.24% | ||
| GM | 31.55% |
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
2. TGI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), TGI is creating some value.
- TGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- TGI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, TGI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- TGI has an Altman-Z score of 1.60. This is a bad value and indicates that TGI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- The Altman-Z score of TGI (1.60) is worse than 73.53% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of TGI is 51.66, which is on the high side as it means it would take TGI, 51.66 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of TGI (51.66) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 51.66 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
ROIC/WACC1.05
WACC10.57%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 2.22 indicates that TGI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- TGI has a Current ratio (2.22) which is in line with its industry peers.
- TGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that TGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of TGI (1.32) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 2.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 |
3. TGI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- TGI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 1383.33%, which is quite impressive.
- Measured over the past years, TGI shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -18.53% on average per year.
- The Revenue for TGI has decreased by -16.93% in the past year. This is quite bad
- The Revenue for TGI have been decreasing by -15.33% on average. This is quite bad
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 28.85% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
- TGI is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 10.34% yearly.
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.63%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. TGI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 29.22 indicates a quite expensive valuation of TGI.
- TGI's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. TGI is cheaper than 76.47% of the companies in the same industry.
- TGI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.77, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.75 indicates a rather expensive valuation of TGI.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TGI is valued a bit cheaper than 67.65% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 21.75, TGI is valued at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.75 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- TGI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TGI is cheaper than 89.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- TGI's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 107.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.46 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- TGI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as TGI's earnings are expected to grow with 28.85% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
5. TGI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- TGI does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
TGI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
26.01
+0.16 (+0.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Industry Strength73.91
Industry Growth87.58
Earnings (Last)07-30 2025-07-30
Earnings (Next)11-10 2025-11-10
Inst Owners101.98%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.14%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.02B
Revenue(TTM)1.26B
Net Income(TTM)40.87M
Analysts70
Price Target21.81 (-16.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.56%
Min EPS beat(2)35.53%
Max EPS beat(2)39.6%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)783.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.77%
Max EPS beat(4)3068.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)380.69%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)529.14%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)402.98%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.7%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.31%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.7%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.74%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.32%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.05%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)305.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)293.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.3%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.67%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.89%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 29.22 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.75 | ||
| P/S | 1.6 | ||
| P/FCF | 107.46 | ||
| P/OCF | 53.41 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.46 |
EPS(TTM)0.89
EY3.42%
EPS(NY)1.1
Fwd EY4.21%
FCF(TTM)0.24
FCFY0.93%
OCF(TTM)0.49
OCFY1.87%
SpS16.22
BVpS-0.98
TBVpS-8.29
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number0 (-100%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.51% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 12.86% | ||
| ROIC | 11.13% | ||
| ROICexc | 14.36% | ||
| ROICexgc | 35.5% | ||
| OM | 12.56% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 3.24% | ||
| GM | 31.55% | ||
| FCFM | 1.49% |
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.84%
ROICexc(5y)9.74%
ROICexgc(3y)26.38%
ROICexgc(5y)24.28%
ROCE(3y)9.58%
ROCE(5y)8.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y7.93%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.48%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.89%
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.78
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 51.66 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.12 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 64.41% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.51% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 1.75 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 20.15% | ||
| Profit Quality | 46.07% | ||
| Current Ratio | 2.22 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.32 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.6 |
F-Score5
WACC10.57%
ROIC/WACC1.05
Cap/Depr(3y)68.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.72%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
Revenue Next Year13.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.63%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
EBIT growth 1Y16.86%
EBIT growth 3Y14.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.26%
EBIT Next Year56.27%
EBIT Next 3Y25.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y252.04%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-19.84%
OCF growth 1Y301.2%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-17.09%
TRIUMPH GROUP INC / TGI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TRIUMPH GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to TGI.
What is the valuation status of TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) stock?
TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the financial health of TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) stock?
The financial health rating of TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) is 3 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TGI stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) is expected to grow by 23.07% in the next year.