TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:TGI • US8968181011

Current stock price

26.01 USD
+0.16 (+0.62%)
At close:
26.01 USD
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This TGI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. TGI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year TGI was profitable.
  • In the past year TGI had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: TGI reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In multiple years TGI reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
TGI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTGI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 2.51%, TGI is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 11.13%, TGI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TGI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.29%. This is in line with the industry average of 9.20%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (8.29%) for TGI is below the current ROIC(11.13%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.51%
ROE N/A
ROIC 11.13%
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
TGI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTGI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

  • TGI's Profit Margin of 3.24% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TGI outperforms 48.53% of its industry peers.
  • TGI has a Operating Margin of 12.56%. This is in the better half of the industry: TGI outperforms 79.41% of its industry peers.
  • TGI's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 31.55%, TGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.59% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TGI's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.56%
PM (TTM) 3.24%
GM 31.55%
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
TGI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTGI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

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3

2. TGI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TGI is still creating some value.
  • TGI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for TGI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • TGI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
TGI Yearly Shares OutstandingTGI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
TGI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTGI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B

2.2 Solvency

  • TGI has an Altman-Z score of 1.60. This is a bad value and indicates that TGI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 1.60, TGI is not doing good in the industry: 73.53% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • TGI has a debt to FCF ratio of 51.66. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as TGI would need 51.66 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • TGI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 51.66. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TGI outperforms 51.47% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 51.66
Altman-Z 1.6
ROIC/WACC1.05
WACC10.57%
TGI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTGI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • TGI has a Current Ratio of 2.22. This indicates that TGI is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 2.22, TGI is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that TGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • TGI's Quick ratio of 1.32 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TGI outperforms 47.06% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.22
Quick Ratio 1.32
TGI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTGI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. TGI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • TGI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 1383.33%, which is quite impressive.
  • Measured over the past years, TGI shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -18.53% on average per year.
  • TGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -16.93%.
  • Measured over the past years, TGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -15.33% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 28.85% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.34% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year13.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.63%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
TGI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTGI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B
TGI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTGI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 2 3 4 5

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4

4. TGI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • TGI is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 29.22.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TGI is valued a bit cheaper than 76.47% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TGI to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.51), we can say TGI is valued inline with the index average.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.75, TGI is valued on the expensive side.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TGI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.65% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.76. TGI is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 29.22
Fwd PE 23.75
TGI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTGI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TGI indicates a rather cheap valuation: TGI is cheaper than 89.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • TGI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 107.46
EV/EBITDA 14.46
TGI Per share dataTGI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • TGI's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • TGI's earnings are expected to grow with 28.85% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. TGI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for TGI!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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TGI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

TRIUMPH GROUP INC

NYSE:TGI (7/24/2025, 8:06:46 PM)

After market: 26.01 0 (0%)

26.01

+0.16 (+0.62%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)07-30
Earnings (Next)11-10
Inst Owners101.98%
Inst Owner Change-96.09%
Ins Owners2.14%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.02B
Revenue(TTM)1.26B
Net Income(TTM)40.87M
Analysts70
Price Target21.81 (-16.15%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.56%
Min EPS beat(2)35.53%
Max EPS beat(2)39.6%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)783.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.77%
Max EPS beat(4)3068.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)380.69%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)529.14%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)402.98%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.7%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.31%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.7%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.74%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.32%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.05%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)305.17%
EPS NQ rev (3m)293.87%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-1.3%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.3%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.67%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.89%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 29.22
Fwd PE 23.75
P/S 1.6
P/FCF 107.46
P/OCF 53.41
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.46
EPS(TTM)0.89
EY3.42%
EPS(NY)1.1
Fwd EY4.21%
FCF(TTM)0.24
FCFY0.93%
OCF(TTM)0.49
OCFY1.87%
SpS16.22
BVpS-0.98
TBVpS-8.29
PEG (NY)1.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.51%
ROE N/A
ROCE 12.86%
ROIC 11.13%
ROICexc 14.36%
ROICexgc 35.5%
OM 12.56%
PM (TTM) 3.24%
GM 31.55%
FCFM 1.49%
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.84%
ROICexc(5y)9.74%
ROICexgc(3y)26.38%
ROICexgc(5y)24.28%
ROCE(3y)9.58%
ROCE(5y)8.52%
ROICexgc growth 3Y7.93%
ROICexgc growth 5Y4.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.48%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.89%
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.78
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 51.66
Debt/EBITDA 5.12
Cap/Depr 64.41%
Cap/Sales 1.51%
Interest Coverage 1.75
Cash Conversion 20.15%
Profit Quality 46.07%
Current Ratio 2.22
Quick Ratio 1.32
Altman-Z 1.6
F-Score5
WACC10.57%
ROIC/WACC1.05
Cap/Depr(3y)68.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.72%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
Revenue Next Year13.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.02%
Revenue Next 3Y8.63%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
EBIT growth 1Y16.86%
EBIT growth 3Y14.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.26%
EBIT Next Year56.27%
EBIT Next 3Y25.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y252.04%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-19.84%
OCF growth 1Y301.2%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-17.09%

TRIUMPH GROUP INC / TGI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TRIUMPH GROUP INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to TGI.


What is the valuation status of TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) stock?

TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) stock?

The financial health rating of TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) is 3 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for TGI stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) is expected to grow by 23.07% in the next year.