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TRIUMPH GROUP INC (TGI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:TGI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US8968181011 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

25.86  +0.04 (+0.15%)

After market: 25.86 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to TGI. TGI was compared to 65 industry peers in the Aerospace & Defense industry. While TGI is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. TGI has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year TGI was profitable.
TGI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years TGI reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: TGI reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
TGI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTGI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M -1B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of TGI (2.51%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 11.13%, TGI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.77% of the companies in the same industry.
TGI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 8.29%. This is in line with the industry average of 8.44%.
The 3 year average ROIC (8.29%) for TGI is below the current ROIC(11.13%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.51%
ROE N/A
ROIC 11.13%
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
TGI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTGI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -100 -200 -300 -400

1.3 Margins

TGI has a Profit Margin (3.24%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 12.56%, TGI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.46% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TGI has grown nicely.
TGI has a better Gross Margin (31.55%) than 70.77% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TGI has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.56%
PM (TTM) 3.24%
GM 31.55%
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
TGI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTGI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TGI is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, TGI has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for TGI has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
TGI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
TGI Yearly Shares OutstandingTGI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M
TGI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTGI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.60, we must say that TGI is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of TGI (1.60) is worse than 76.92% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TGI is 51.66, which is on the high side as it means it would take TGI, 51.66 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TGI has a Debt to FCF ratio (51.66) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 51.66
Altman-Z 1.6
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC11.2%
TGI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTGI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.22 indicates that TGI has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 2.22, TGI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.77% of the companies in the same industry.
TGI has a Quick Ratio of 1.32. This is a normal value and indicates that TGI is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of TGI (1.32) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.22
Quick Ratio 1.32
TGI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTGI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 1383.33% over the past year.
TGI shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -18.53% yearly.
TGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has decreased by -16.93%.
Measured over the past years, TGI shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -15.33% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 28.85% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 10.34% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year11.67%
Revenue Next 2Y9.26%
Revenue Next 3Y8.93%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
TGI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTGI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 1B 2B 3B
TGI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTGI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 0 1 2 3 4 5

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 29.06, TGI can be considered very expensive at the moment.
TGI's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. TGI is cheaper than 75.38% of the companies in the same industry.
TGI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 27.29.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.61, TGI is valued on the expensive side.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TGI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 69.23% of the companies are valued more expensively.
TGI is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.74, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 29.06
Fwd PE 23.61
TGI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTGI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TGI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.69% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as TGI.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 106.33
EV/EBITDA 14.34
TGI Per share dataTGI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as TGI's earnings are expected to grow with 28.85% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

TGI does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

TRIUMPH GROUP INC

NYSE:TGI (7/7/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 25.86 0 (0%)

25.86

+0.04 (+0.15%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)05-28 2025-05-28/amc
Earnings (Next)07-30 2025-07-30
Inst Owners101.98%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.14%
Ins Owner Change4.16%
Market Cap2.00B
Analysts70
Price Target21.81 (-15.66%)
Short Float %10.27%
Short Ratio5.71
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)37.56%
Min EPS beat(2)35.53%
Max EPS beat(2)39.6%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)783.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-10.77%
Max EPS beat(4)3068.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)380.69%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)529.14%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)402.98%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)8.81%
Min Revenue beat(2)6.92%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.7%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)5.31%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.55%
Max Revenue beat(4)10.7%
Revenue beat(8)7
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.74%
Revenue beat(12)11
Avg Revenue beat(12)2.32%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.05%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)3.02%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2.79%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.46%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.22%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.66%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 29.06
Fwd PE 23.61
P/S 1.59
P/FCF 106.33
P/OCF 52.85
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 14.34
EPS(TTM)0.89
EY3.44%
EPS(NY)1.1
Fwd EY4.24%
FCF(TTM)0.24
FCFY0.94%
OCF(TTM)0.49
OCFY1.89%
SpS16.3
BVpS-0.99
TBVpS-8.33
PEG (NY)1.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.51%
ROE N/A
ROCE 12.86%
ROIC 11.13%
ROICexc 14.36%
ROICexgc 35.5%
OM 12.56%
PM (TTM) 3.24%
GM 31.55%
FCFM 1.49%
ROA(3y)12.71%
ROA(5y)3.46%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)8.29%
ROIC(5y)7.37%
ROICexc(3y)10.84%
ROICexc(5y)9.74%
ROICexgc(3y)26.38%
ROICexgc(5y)24.28%
ROCE(3y)9.58%
ROCE(5y)8.52%
ROICexcg growth 3Y7.93%
ROICexcg growth 5Y4.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y13.48%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.89%
OM growth 3Y14.98%
OM growth 5Y13.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y9.07%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.78
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 51.66
Debt/EBITDA 5.12
Cap/Depr 64.41%
Cap/Sales 1.51%
Interest Coverage 1.75
Cash Conversion 20.15%
Profit Quality 46.07%
Current Ratio 2.22
Quick Ratio 1.32
Altman-Z 1.6
F-Score5
WACC11.2%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)68.55%
Cap/Depr(5y)54.45%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.91%
Cap/Sales(5y)1.72%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1383.33%
EPS 3Y4.05%
EPS 5Y-18.53%
EPS Q2Q%54.84%
EPS Next Y23.07%
EPS Next 2Y29.74%
EPS Next 3Y28.85%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-16.93%
Revenue growth 3Y-0.02%
Revenue growth 5Y-15.33%
Sales Q2Q%5.38%
Revenue Next Year11.67%
Revenue Next 2Y9.26%
Revenue Next 3Y8.93%
Revenue Next 5Y10.34%
EBIT growth 1Y16.86%
EBIT growth 3Y14.96%
EBIT growth 5Y-4.26%
EBIT Next Year56.27%
EBIT Next 3Y25.52%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y252.04%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-19.84%
OCF growth 1Y301.2%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-17.09%