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TRANSGLOBE ENERGY CORP (TGA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:TGA - Nasdaq - CA8936621066 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

3.72  +0.27 (+7.83%)

After market: 3.74 +0.02 (+0.54%)

Fundamental Rating

4

We assign a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10 to TGA. TGA was compared to 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While TGA seems to be doing ok healthwise, there are quite some concerns on its profitability. TGA is valued quite expensively, but it does show have an excellent growth rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year TGA was profitable.
TGA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
TGA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTGA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 50M -50M -100M

1.2 Ratios

Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 35.11%
ROE 49.79%
ROIC 23.82%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
TGA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTGA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

TGA's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 47.48%
PM (TTM) 54.64%
GM N/A
OM growth 3Y14.2%
OM growth 5Y6.45%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
TGA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTGA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 50 -50 -100

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TGA is creating value.
TGA has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The debt/assets ratio for TGA has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TGA Yearly Shares OutstandingTGA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 20M 40M 60M
TGA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTGA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.2 Solvency

TGA has an Altman-Z score of 3.77. This indicates that TGA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
TGA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.02. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 3.77
ROIC/WACC1.92
WACC12.38%
TGA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTGA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

TGA has a Current Ratio of 2.26. This indicates that TGA is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
TGA has a Quick Ratio of 2.26. This indicates that TGA is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.26
Quick Ratio 2.26
TGA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTGA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 50M 100M 150M

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8

3. Growth

3.1 Past

TGA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 1113.06%, which is quite impressive.
TGA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 36.60% yearly.
Looking at the last year, TGA shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 91.31%.
The Revenue has been growing by 21.52% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)1113.06%
EPS 3Y36.6%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%310.6%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)91.31%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.48%
Revenue growth 5Y21.52%
Sales Q2Q%47.53%

3.2 Future

TGA is expected to show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -38.28% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 21.59% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y150%
EPS Next 2Y-61.84%
EPS Next 3Y-47.45%
EPS Next 5Y-38.28%
Revenue Next Year-23.86%
Revenue Next 2Y33.99%
Revenue Next 3Y25.28%
Revenue Next 5Y21.59%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
TGA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTGA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
TGA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTGA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 0.5 -0.5 1 -1

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3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

TGA is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 2.20.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 29.62, TGA is valued rather cheaply.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 46.04, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TGA.
TGA is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 2.2
Fwd PE 46.04
TGA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTGA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 1.59
TGA Per share dataTGA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A cheap valuation may be justified as TGA's earnings are expected to decrease with -47.45% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-61.84%
EPS Next 3Y-47.45%

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4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 10.54%, TGA is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.27, TGA pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 10.54%

5.2 History

TGA has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
TGA Yearly Dividends per shareTGA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2018 2019 2020 2022 0.05 0.1 0.15

5.3 Sustainability

DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y-61.84%
EPS Next 3Y-47.45%
TGA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTGA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 0 -50M -100M

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TRANSGLOBE ENERGY CORP

NASDAQ:TGA (10/13/2022, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 3.74 +0.02 (+0.54%)

3.72

+0.27 (+7.83%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)08-26 2022-08-26/bmo
Earnings (Next)11-02 2022-11-02/bmo
Inst Owners0.3%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap272.71M
Analysts84
Price Target4.32 (16.13%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 10.54%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr YearsN/A
Div Non Decr YearsN/A
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 2.2
Fwd PE 46.04
P/S 1.2
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 6.28
P/B 1.09
P/tB 1.1
EV/EBITDA 1.59
EPS(TTM)1.69
EY45.43%
EPS(NY)0.08
Fwd EY2.17%
FCF(TTM)-0.02
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.59
OCFY15.94%
SpS3.11
BVpS3.41
TBVpS3.38
PEG (NY)0.01
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 35.11%
ROE 49.79%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 23.82%
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc 24.04%
OM 47.48%
PM (TTM) 54.64%
GM N/A
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y1.92%
ROICexcg growth 5Y16.36%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y14.2%
OM growth 5Y6.45%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.64
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.02
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 161.35%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality -1.16%
Current Ratio 2.26
Quick Ratio 2.26
Altman-Z 3.77
F-Score7
WACC12.38%
ROIC/WACC1.92
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1113.06%
EPS 3Y36.6%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%310.6%
EPS Next Y150%
EPS Next 2Y-61.84%
EPS Next 3Y-47.45%
EPS Next 5Y-38.28%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)91.31%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.48%
Revenue growth 5Y21.52%
Sales Q2Q%47.53%
Revenue Next Year-23.86%
Revenue Next 2Y33.99%
Revenue Next 3Y25.28%
Revenue Next 5Y21.59%
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-104.9%
FCF growth 3Y-13.98%
FCF growth 5Y-3.94%
OCF growth 1Y-23.22%
OCF growth 3Y-13.39%
OCF growth 5Y-6.76%