TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:TFPM • CA89679M1041

39.27 USD
+0.62 (+1.6%)
At close: Mar 4, 2026
39.28 USD
+0.01 (+0.03%)
After Hours: 3/4/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This TFPM fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

7

Overall TFPM gets a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10. We evaluated TFPM against 157 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. TFPM gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. TFPM shows excellent growth, but is valued quite expensive already. These ratings could make TFPM a good candidate for growth and quality investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

8

1. TFPM Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year TFPM was profitable.
  • TFPM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • TFPM had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years TFPM had a positive operating cash flow.
TFPM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTFPM Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M -600M

1.2 Ratios

  • TFPM has a better Return On Assets (11.36%) than 87.26% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Equity value of 11.73%, TFPM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.34% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TFPM has a better Return On Invested Capital (9.48%) than 75.80% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TFPM is significantly below the industry average of 11.01%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (9.48%) for TFPM is above the 3 year average (5.57%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 11.36%
ROE 11.73%
ROIC 9.48%
ROA(3y)3.99%
ROA(5y)3.92%
ROE(3y)4.14%
ROE(5y)4.02%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)5.21%
TFPM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTFPM Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10

1.3 Margins

  • TFPM's Profit Margin of 61.74% is amongst the best of the industry. TFPM outperforms 98.73% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TFPM has grown nicely.
  • TFPM's Operating Margin of 56.81% is amongst the best of the industry. TFPM outperforms 96.18% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TFPM has grown nicely.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 67.64%, TFPM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.27% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TFPM's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 56.81%
PM (TTM) 61.74%
GM 67.64%
OM growth 3Y8.42%
OM growth 5Y8.5%
PM growth 3Y19.41%
PM growth 5Y4.58%
GM growth 3Y5.7%
GM growth 5Y8.74%
TFPM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTFPM Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 60

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

8

2. TFPM Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TFPM is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for TFPM has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • TFPM has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • TFPM has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
TFPM Yearly Shares OutstandingTFPM Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
TFPM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTFPM Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 70.87 indicates that TFPM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • TFPM has a Altman-Z score of 70.87. This is amongst the best in the industry. TFPM outperforms 90.45% of its industry peers.
  • TFPM has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.02. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.02 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • TFPM has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.02) than 96.82% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that TFPM is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • TFPM has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00. This is amongst the best in the industry. TFPM outperforms 82.80% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.02
Altman-Z 70.87
ROIC/WACC0.94
WACC10.08%
TFPM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTFPM Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 3.92 indicates that TFPM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • TFPM has a Current ratio of 3.92. This is in the better half of the industry: TFPM outperforms 71.97% of its industry peers.
  • TFPM has a Quick Ratio of 3.80. This indicates that TFPM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Quick ratio value of 3.80, TFPM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 74.52% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.92
Quick Ratio 3.8
TFPM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTFPM Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. TFPM Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 74.14% over the past year.
  • TFPM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 26.90% yearly.
  • TFPM shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 44.50%.
  • TFPM shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 28.12% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)74.14%
EPS 3Y38.52%
EPS 5Y26.9%
EPS Q2Q%83.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)44.5%
Revenue growth 3Y36.78%
Revenue growth 5Y28.12%
Sales Q2Q%60.21%

3.2 Future

  • TFPM is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.57% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.71% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y12.32%
EPS Next 2Y10.09%
EPS Next 3Y19.03%
EPS Next 5Y12.57%
Revenue Next Year16.89%
Revenue Next 2Y6.69%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.71%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TFPM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTFPM Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 100M 200M 300M 400M
TFPM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTFPM Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0.5 1 1.5

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

3

4. TFPM Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 38.88 indicates a quite expensive valuation of TFPM.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TFPM is valued a bit cheaper than 64.97% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TFPM is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.03, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 34.62, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TFPM.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TFPM is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.11, TFPM is valued a bit more expensive.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 38.88
Fwd PE 34.62
TFPM Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTFPM Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • TFPM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, TFPM is valued a bit cheaper than 66.88% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 86.09
EV/EBITDA 26.22
TFPM Per share dataTFPM EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates TFPM does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • TFPM has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • TFPM's earnings are expected to grow with 19.03% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)3.16
PEG (5Y)1.45
EPS Next 2Y10.09%
EPS Next 3Y19.03%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

3

5. TFPM Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.57%, TFPM is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • TFPM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.01.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.57, TFPM pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.57%

5.2 History

  • TFPM has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • TFPM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
TFPM Yearly Dividends per shareTFPM Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

5.3 Sustainability

  • TFPM pays out 19.10% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.1%
EPS Next 2Y10.09%
EPS Next 3Y19.03%
TFPM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTFPM Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M -600M
TFPM Dividend Payout.TFPM Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TFPM Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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TFPM Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET

NYSE:TFPM (3/4/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 39.28 +0.01 (+0.03%)

39.27

+0.62 (+1.6%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners88.92%
Inst Owner Change1.15%
Ins Owners3.08%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap8.11B
Revenue(TTM)388.70M
Net Income(TTM)240.00M
Analysts77.5
Price Target45.78 (16.58%)
Short Float %1.03%
Short Ratio3.13
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.57%
Yearly Dividend0.22
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP19.1%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.2%
Min EPS beat(2)8.36%
Max EPS beat(2)12.04%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.29%
Min EPS beat(4)5.99%
Max EPS beat(4)14.78%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)9.35%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)2.64%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)0.65%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.02%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.16%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.36%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.45%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.03%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.65%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.46%
PT rev (1m)18.76%
PT rev (3m)22.36%
EPS NQ rev (1m)67.32%
EPS NQ rev (3m)75.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.83%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)6.62%
Revenue NY rev (3m)12.55%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 38.88
Fwd PE 34.62
P/S 20.87
P/FCF 86.09
P/OCF 25.93
P/B 3.97
P/tB 3.97
EV/EBITDA 26.22
EPS(TTM)1.01
EY2.57%
EPS(NY)1.13
Fwd EY2.89%
FCF(TTM)0.46
FCFY1.16%
OCF(TTM)1.51
OCFY3.86%
SpS1.88
BVpS9.9
TBVpS9.9
PEG (NY)3.16
PEG (5Y)1.45
Graham Number15
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 11.36%
ROE 11.73%
ROCE 10.64%
ROIC 9.48%
ROICexc 9.91%
ROICexgc 9.91%
OM 56.81%
PM (TTM) 61.74%
GM 67.64%
FCFM 24.24%
ROA(3y)3.99%
ROA(5y)3.92%
ROE(3y)4.14%
ROE(5y)4.02%
ROIC(3y)5.57%
ROIC(5y)5.21%
ROICexc(3y)5.76%
ROICexc(5y)5.42%
ROICexgc(3y)5.76%
ROICexgc(5y)5.42%
ROCE(3y)6.25%
ROCE(5y)5.84%
ROICexgc growth 3Y27.03%
ROICexgc growth 5Y26.7%
ROICexc growth 3Y27.03%
ROICexc growth 5Y26.7%
OM growth 3Y8.42%
OM growth 5Y8.5%
PM growth 3Y19.41%
PM growth 5Y4.58%
GM growth 3Y5.7%
GM growth 5Y8.74%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.18
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.02
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 274.72%
Cap/Sales 56.24%
Interest Coverage 62.86
Cash Conversion 104.14%
Profit Quality 39.25%
Current Ratio 3.92
Quick Ratio 3.8
Altman-Z 70.87
F-Score9
WACC10.08%
ROIC/WACC0.94
Cap/Depr(3y)214%
Cap/Depr(5y)168.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)57.06%
Cap/Sales(5y)47.94%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)74.14%
EPS 3Y38.52%
EPS 5Y26.9%
EPS Q2Q%83.33%
EPS Next Y12.32%
EPS Next 2Y10.09%
EPS Next 3Y19.03%
EPS Next 5Y12.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)44.5%
Revenue growth 3Y36.78%
Revenue growth 5Y28.12%
Sales Q2Q%60.21%
Revenue Next Year16.89%
Revenue Next 2Y6.69%
Revenue Next 3Y-4.14%
Revenue Next 5Y2.71%
EBIT growth 1Y149.59%
EBIT growth 3Y48.3%
EBIT growth 5Y39.02%
EBIT Next Year82.22%
EBIT Next 3Y26.78%
EBIT Next 5Y16.75%
FCF growth 1Y-39.61%
FCF growth 3Y12.54%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.52%
OCF growth 3Y38.26%
OCF growth 5Y29.96%

TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET / TFPM FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for TFPM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to TFPM.


Can you provide the valuation status for TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM). This can be considered as Overvalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET?

TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


What is the financial health of TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM) stock?

The financial health rating of TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM) is 8 / 10.


Is the dividend of TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET sustainable?

The dividend rating of TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM) is 3 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.1%.