TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:TFPM - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - CA89679M1041 - Common Stock
Overall TFPM gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated TFPM against 154 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. TFPM is in great health and has no worries on liquidiy or solvency at all, but the profibility rating is only average. TFPM is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination! These ratings would make TFPM suitable for growth investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year TFPM was profitable.
In the past year TFPM had a positive cash flow from operations.
TFPM had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years TFPM had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
TFPM has a Return On Assets (-3.08%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Return On Equity of TFPM (-3.19%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
TFPM has a Return On Invested Capital of 2.65%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TFPM outperforms 50.34% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TFPM is significantly below the industry average of 8.76%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.08% | ||
| ROE | -3.19% | ||
| ROIC | 2.65% |
ROA(3y)3.18%
ROA(5y)2.34%
ROE(3y)3.23%
ROE(5y)2.57%
ROIC(3y)3.7%
ROIC(5y)2.85%
1.3 Margins
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TFPM has declined.
TFPM's Operating Margin of 23.88% is amongst the best of the industry. TFPM outperforms 82.31% of its industry peers.
TFPM's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 54.87%, TFPM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.48% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TFPM has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 23.88% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 54.87% |
OM growth 3Y-4.38%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-28.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.99%
GM growth 5Y77.07%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TFPM is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, TFPM has more shares outstanding
TFPM has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for TFPM is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 30.15 indicates that TFPM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
TFPM's Altman-Z score of 30.15 is amongst the best of the industry. TFPM outperforms 89.80% of its industry peers.
TFPM has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.30. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.30 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.30, TFPM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.84% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.02 indicates that TFPM is not too dependend on debt financing.
With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.02, TFPM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.39% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 30.15 |
ROIC/WACC0.26
WACC10.22%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 3.18 indicates that TFPM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
TFPM has a Current ratio of 3.18. This is in the better half of the industry: TFPM outperforms 65.31% of its industry peers.
TFPM has a Quick Ratio of 3.05. This indicates that TFPM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 3.05, TFPM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.15% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.18 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.05 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 32.43% over the past year.
The earnings per share for TFPM have been decreasing by -20.22% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue has grown by 25.66% in the past year. This is a very strong growth!
TFPM shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 36.51% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.43%
EPS 3Y-20.22%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%66.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)25.66%
Revenue growth 3Y21.92%
Revenue growth 5Y36.51%
Sales Q2Q%49.05%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 28.10% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 5.66% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y63.84%
EPS Next 2Y46.1%
EPS Next 3Y26.55%
EPS Next 5Y28.1%
Revenue Next Year32.06%
Revenue Next 2Y21.26%
Revenue Next 3Y14.45%
Revenue Next 5Y5.66%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 32.16, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TFPM.
TFPM's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TFPM to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.96), we can say TFPM is valued inline with the index average.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 21.72, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of TFPM.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as TFPM.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.11. TFPM is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.72 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as TFPM.
70.07% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TFPM, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 25.83 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 24.07 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
TFPM's earnings are expected to grow with 26.55% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y46.1%
EPS Next 3Y26.55%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
TFPM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.24%.
TFPM's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.22.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.24, TFPM pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.29.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.24% |
5.2 History
TFPM has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
TFPM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
The earnings of TFPM are negative and hence is the payout ratio. TFPM will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-78.34%
EPS Next 2Y46.1%
EPS Next 3Y26.55%
TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET
NYSE:TFPM (1/17/2025, 8:04:00 PM)
After market: 15.76 0 (0%)15.76
+0.01 (+0.06%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners86.68%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.44%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.17B
Analysts81.25
Price Target21.13 (34.07%)
Short Float %0.47%
Short Ratio2.51
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.24% |
Yearly Dividend0.23
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-78.34%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)8.1%
Min EPS beat(2)6.95%
Max EPS beat(2)9.24%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)9.26%
Min EPS beat(4)6.95%
Max EPS beat(4)12.04%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.6%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.4%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.74%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.84%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.74%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.84%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.03%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.74%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-3.37%
PT rev (3m)-0.76%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)9.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.05%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)9.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.69%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.5%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32.16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 21.72 | ||
| P/S | 12.88 | ||
| P/FCF | 25.83 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.92 | ||
| P/B | 1.86 | ||
| P/tB | 1.86 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 24.07 |
EPS(TTM)0.49
EY3.11%
EPS(NY)0.73
Fwd EY4.6%
FCF(TTM)0.61
FCFY3.87%
OCF(TTM)0.93
OCFY5.91%
SpS1.22
BVpS8.49
TBVpS8.49
PEG (NY)0.5
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.08% | ||
| ROE | -3.19% | ||
| ROCE | 3.36% | ||
| ROIC | 2.65% | ||
| ROICexc | 2.69% | ||
| ROICexgc | 2.69% | ||
| OM | 23.88% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 54.87% | ||
| FCFM | 49.85% |
ROA(3y)3.18%
ROA(5y)2.34%
ROE(3y)3.23%
ROE(5y)2.57%
ROIC(3y)3.7%
ROIC(5y)2.85%
ROICexc(3y)3.86%
ROICexc(5y)2.97%
ROICexgc(3y)3.86%
ROICexgc(5y)2.97%
ROCE(3y)4.68%
ROCE(5y)3.6%
ROICexcg growth 3Y2.33%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y2.33%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-4.38%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-28.84%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.99%
GM growth 5Y77.07%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.14
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.02 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.3 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.28 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 88.33% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 26.28% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 10.28 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 141.95% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.18 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.05 | ||
| Altman-Z | 30.15 |
F-Score6
WACC10.22%
ROIC/WACC0.26
Cap/Depr(3y)163.32%
Cap/Depr(5y)452.33%
Cap/Sales(3y)54.02%
Cap/Sales(5y)220.36%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.43%
EPS 3Y-20.22%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%66.67%
EPS Next Y63.84%
EPS Next 2Y46.1%
EPS Next 3Y26.55%
EPS Next 5Y28.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)25.66%
Revenue growth 3Y21.92%
Revenue growth 5Y36.51%
Sales Q2Q%49.05%
Revenue Next Year32.06%
Revenue Next 2Y21.26%
Revenue Next 3Y14.45%
Revenue Next 5Y5.66%
EBIT growth 1Y-20.71%
EBIT growth 3Y16.57%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year148.47%
EBIT Next 3Y48.96%
EBIT Next 5Y25.82%
FCF growth 1Y34.92%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y69.61%
OCF growth 3Y22.24%
OCF growth 5Y40.73%