TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:TFPM • CA89679M1041

51.87 CAD
-1.2 (-2.26%)
Last: Mar 11, 2026, 07:00 PM

This TFPM.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

7

We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to TFPM. TFPM was compared to 815 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. TFPM gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. TFPM is growing strongly while it is still valued neutral. This is a good combination! These ratings could make TFPM a good candidate for growth and quality investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. TFPM.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • TFPM had positive earnings in the past year.
  • TFPM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • TFPM had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • TFPM had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
TFPM.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTFPM.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M -600M

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 11.36%, TFPM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.88% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TFPM's Return On Equity of 11.73% is amongst the best of the industry. TFPM outperforms 90.55% of its industry peers.
  • TFPM has a better Return On Invested Capital (7.66%) than 92.39% of its industry peers.
  • TFPM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.50%. This is significantly below the industry average of 12.69%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (7.66%) for TFPM is above the 3 year average (4.50%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 11.36%
ROE 11.73%
ROIC 7.66%
ROA(3y)3.99%
ROA(5y)3.92%
ROE(3y)4.14%
ROE(5y)4.02%
ROIC(3y)4.5%
ROIC(5y)4.21%
TFPM.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTFPM.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 61.74%, TFPM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 99.14% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TFPM's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 56.81%, TFPM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.90% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TFPM has grown nicely.
  • The Gross Margin of TFPM (67.64%) is better than 97.42% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TFPM has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 56.81%
PM (TTM) 61.74%
GM 67.64%
OM growth 3Y8.42%
OM growth 5Y8.5%
PM growth 3Y19.41%
PM growth 5Y4.58%
GM growth 3Y5.7%
GM growth 5Y8.74%
TFPM.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTFPM.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 60

7

2. TFPM.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TFPM is destroying value.
  • TFPM has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, TFPM has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for TFPM has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TFPM.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingTFPM.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
TFPM.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTFPM.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • TFPM has an Altman-Z score of 69.98. This indicates that TFPM is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of TFPM (69.98) is better than 84.17% of its industry peers.
  • TFPM has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.02. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.02 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of TFPM (0.02) is better than 97.67% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that TFPM is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • TFPM has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TFPM outperforms 56.56% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.02
Altman-Z 69.98
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC10.2%
TFPM.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTFPM.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 3.92 indicates that TFPM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • TFPM has a Current ratio of 3.92. This is in the better half of the industry: TFPM outperforms 66.50% of its industry peers.
  • TFPM has a Quick Ratio of 3.80. This indicates that TFPM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Quick ratio value of 3.80, TFPM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.63% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.92
Quick Ratio 3.8
TFPM.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTFPM.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M

7

3. TFPM.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • TFPM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 74.14%, which is quite impressive.
  • TFPM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 26.90% yearly.
  • TFPM shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 44.50%.
  • TFPM shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 28.12% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)74.14%
EPS 3Y38.52%
EPS 5Y26.9%
EPS Q2Q%83.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)44.5%
Revenue growth 3Y36.78%
Revenue growth 5Y28.12%
Sales Q2Q%60.21%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.57% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, TFPM will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.71% on average per year.
EPS Next Y36.72%
EPS Next 2Y18.91%
EPS Next 3Y14.51%
EPS Next 5Y12.57%
Revenue Next Year25.78%
Revenue Next 2Y10.84%
Revenue Next 3Y-9.42%
Revenue Next 5Y2.71%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TFPM.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTFPM.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 100M 200M 300M 400M
TFPM.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTFPM.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0.5 1 1.5

6

4. TFPM.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 37.86, TFPM can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of TFPM indicates a rather cheap valuation: TFPM is cheaper than 88.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.15. TFPM is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.64, the valuation of TFPM can be described as expensive.
  • 88.10% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TFPM, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.27. TFPM is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.86
Fwd PE 27.64
TFPM.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTFPM.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • TFPM's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TFPM is cheaper than 90.80% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, TFPM is valued cheaper than 91.29% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 83.65
EV/EBITDA 25.89
TFPM.CA Per share dataTFPM.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • TFPM has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as TFPM's earnings are expected to grow with 14.51% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.03
PEG (5Y)1.41
EPS Next 2Y18.91%
EPS Next 3Y14.51%

4

5. TFPM.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • TFPM has a yearly dividend return of 0.61%, which is pretty low.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.41, TFPM pays a better dividend. On top of this TFPM pays more dividend than 96.32% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, TFPM's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.61%

5.2 History

  • TFPM has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • TFPM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
TFPM.CA Yearly Dividends per shareTFPM.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

5.3 Sustainability

  • TFPM pays out 19.10% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.1%
EPS Next 2Y18.91%
EPS Next 3Y14.51%
TFPM.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTFPM.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M -600M
TFPM.CA Dividend Payout.TFPM.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TFPM.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

TFPM.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET

TSX:TFPM (3/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

51.87

-1.2 (-2.26%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners89.35%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners3.08%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap10.71B
Revenue(TTM)388.70M
Net Income(TTM)240.00M
Analysts77.5
Price Target62.66 (20.8%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.61%
Yearly Dividend0.31
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP19.1%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.2%
Min EPS beat(2)8.36%
Max EPS beat(2)12.04%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.29%
Min EPS beat(4)5.99%
Max EPS beat(4)14.78%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)9.35%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)2.64%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)0.65%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.02%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.16%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.36%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.45%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.03%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.65%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.46%
PT rev (1m)8.11%
PT rev (3m)19.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)67.32%
EPS NQ rev (3m)75.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)21.72%
EPS NY rev (3m)19.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)14.73%
Revenue NY rev (3m)14.73%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 37.86
Fwd PE 27.64
P/S 20.28
P/FCF 83.65
P/OCF 25.19
P/B 3.85
P/tB 3.85
EV/EBITDA 25.89
EPS(TTM)1.37
EY2.64%
EPS(NY)1.88
Fwd EY3.62%
FCF(TTM)0.62
FCFY1.2%
OCF(TTM)2.06
OCFY3.97%
SpS2.56
BVpS13.46
TBVpS13.46
PEG (NY)1.03
PEG (5Y)1.41
Graham Number20.37
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 11.36%
ROE 11.73%
ROCE 10.64%
ROIC 7.66%
ROICexc 8.01%
ROICexgc 8.01%
OM 56.81%
PM (TTM) 61.74%
GM 67.64%
FCFM 24.24%
ROA(3y)3.99%
ROA(5y)3.92%
ROE(3y)4.14%
ROE(5y)4.02%
ROIC(3y)4.5%
ROIC(5y)4.21%
ROICexc(3y)4.65%
ROICexc(5y)4.38%
ROICexgc(3y)4.65%
ROICexgc(5y)4.38%
ROCE(3y)6.25%
ROCE(5y)5.84%
ROICexgc growth 3Y27.03%
ROICexgc growth 5Y26.7%
ROICexc growth 3Y27.03%
ROICexc growth 5Y26.7%
OM growth 3Y8.42%
OM growth 5Y8.5%
PM growth 3Y19.41%
PM growth 5Y4.58%
GM growth 3Y5.7%
GM growth 5Y8.74%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.18
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.02
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 274.72%
Cap/Sales 56.24%
Interest Coverage 62.86
Cash Conversion 104.14%
Profit Quality 39.25%
Current Ratio 3.92
Quick Ratio 3.8
Altman-Z 69.98
F-Score9
WACC10.2%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)214%
Cap/Depr(5y)168.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)57.06%
Cap/Sales(5y)47.94%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)74.14%
EPS 3Y38.52%
EPS 5Y26.9%
EPS Q2Q%83.33%
EPS Next Y36.72%
EPS Next 2Y18.91%
EPS Next 3Y14.51%
EPS Next 5Y12.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)44.5%
Revenue growth 3Y36.78%
Revenue growth 5Y28.12%
Sales Q2Q%60.21%
Revenue Next Year25.78%
Revenue Next 2Y10.84%
Revenue Next 3Y-9.42%
Revenue Next 5Y2.71%
EBIT growth 1Y149.59%
EBIT growth 3Y48.3%
EBIT growth 5Y39.02%
EBIT Next Year83.33%
EBIT Next 3Y26.41%
EBIT Next 5Y16.75%
FCF growth 1Y-39.61%
FCF growth 3Y12.54%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.52%
OCF growth 3Y38.26%
OCF growth 5Y29.96%

TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET / TFPM.CA FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for TFPM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to TFPM.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET?

TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM.CA) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What is the financial health of TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM.CA) is 7 / 10.


Is the dividend of TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET sustainable?

The dividend rating of TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM.CA) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.1%.