TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:TFPM • CA89679M1041

Current stock price

49.24 CAD
-1.88 (-3.68%)
Last:

This TFPM.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

9

1. TFPM.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • TFPM had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year TFPM had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years TFPM 4 years were profitable.
  • In the past 5 years TFPM always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
TFPM.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTFPM.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M -600M

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 11.36%, TFPM belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 92.58% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TFPM has a Return On Equity of 11.73%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TFPM outperforms 90.63% of its industry peers.
  • TFPM has a better Return On Invested Capital (7.66%) than 92.34% of its industry peers.
  • TFPM had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 4.50%. This is significantly below the industry average of 12.84%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (7.66%) for TFPM is above the 3 year average (4.50%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 11.36%
ROE 11.73%
ROIC 7.66%
ROA(3y)3.99%
ROA(5y)3.92%
ROE(3y)4.14%
ROE(5y)4.02%
ROIC(3y)4.5%
ROIC(5y)4.21%
TFPM.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTFPM.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10

1.3 Margins

  • TFPM has a better Profit Margin (61.74%) than 99.15% of its industry peers.
  • TFPM's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 56.81%, TFPM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 98.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TFPM has grown nicely.
  • The Gross Margin of TFPM (67.64%) is better than 97.45% of its industry peers.
  • TFPM's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 56.81%
PM (TTM) 61.74%
GM 67.64%
OM growth 3Y8.42%
OM growth 5Y8.5%
PM growth 3Y19.41%
PM growth 5Y4.58%
GM growth 3Y5.7%
GM growth 5Y8.74%
TFPM.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTFPM.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 60

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7

2. TFPM.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • TFPM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • TFPM has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, TFPM has more shares outstanding
  • TFPM has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
TFPM.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingTFPM.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
TFPM.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTFPM.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 65.93 indicates that TFPM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • TFPM has a Altman-Z score of 65.93. This is amongst the best in the industry. TFPM outperforms 84.67% of its industry peers.
  • TFPM has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.02. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.02 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • TFPM has a better Debt to FCF ratio (0.02) than 97.57% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that TFPM is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • TFPM has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TFPM outperforms 56.45% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.02
Altman-Z 65.93
ROIC/WACC0.7
WACC10.94%
TFPM.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTFPM.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • TFPM has a Current Ratio of 3.92. This indicates that TFPM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 3.92, TFPM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TFPM has a Quick Ratio of 3.80. This indicates that TFPM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • TFPM has a Quick ratio of 3.80. This is in the better half of the industry: TFPM outperforms 66.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.92
Quick Ratio 3.8
TFPM.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTFPM.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

7

3. TFPM.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 74.14% over the past year.
  • TFPM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 26.90% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, TFPM shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 44.50%.
  • Measured over the past years, TFPM shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 28.12% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)74.14%
EPS 3Y38.52%
EPS 5Y26.9%
EPS Q2Q%83.33%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)44.5%
Revenue growth 3Y36.78%
Revenue growth 5Y28.12%
Sales Q2Q%60.21%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, TFPM will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.57% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, TFPM will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.71% on average per year.
EPS Next Y36.72%
EPS Next 2Y18.91%
EPS Next 3Y14.51%
EPS Next 5Y12.57%
Revenue Next Year25.78%
Revenue Next 2Y10.84%
Revenue Next 3Y-9.42%
Revenue Next 5Y2.71%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
TFPM.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTFPM.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 100M 200M 300M 400M
TFPM.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTFPM.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0.5 1 1.5

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6

4. TFPM.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 35.68, TFPM can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of TFPM indicates a rather cheap valuation: TFPM is cheaper than 87.96% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • TFPM's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 25.71.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 26.02, TFPM can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TFPM is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.20% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TFPM to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.83), we can say TFPM is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 35.68
Fwd PE 26.02
TFPM.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTFPM.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TFPM is valued cheaply inside the industry as 90.88% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • 91.36% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TFPM, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 78.77
EV/EBITDA 24.36
TFPM.CA Per share dataTFPM.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of TFPM may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • TFPM's earnings are expected to grow with 14.51% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.97
PEG (5Y)1.33
EPS Next 2Y18.91%
EPS Next 3Y14.51%

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4

5. TFPM.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • TFPM has a yearly dividend return of 0.62%, which is pretty low.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.38, TFPM pays a better dividend. On top of this TFPM pays more dividend than 96.47% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • With a Dividend Yield of 0.62, TFPM pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 1.91.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.62%

5.2 History

  • TFPM has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
  • TFPM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
TFPM.CA Yearly Dividends per shareTFPM.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

5.3 Sustainability

  • TFPM pays out 19.10% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
DP19.1%
EPS Next 2Y18.91%
EPS Next 3Y14.51%
TFPM.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTFPM.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 200M -200M -400M -600M
TFPM.CA Dividend Payout.TFPM.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TFPM.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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TFPM.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET

TSX:TFPM (3/13/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

49.24

-1.88 (-3.68%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-18
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners89.35%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners3.08%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap10.17B
Revenue(TTM)388.70M
Net Income(TTM)240.00M
Analysts77.5
Price Target62.66 (27.25%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.62%
Yearly Dividend0.31
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP19.1%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-02
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.2%
Min EPS beat(2)8.36%
Max EPS beat(2)12.04%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)10.29%
Min EPS beat(4)5.99%
Max EPS beat(4)14.78%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)9.35%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)2.64%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)0.65%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.36%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.02%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.16%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.36%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.45%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.03%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.65%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.46%
PT rev (1m)8.11%
PT rev (3m)19.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)61.76%
EPS NQ rev (3m)70.1%
EPS NY rev (1m)21.72%
EPS NY rev (3m)19.21%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)14.73%
Revenue NY rev (3m)14.73%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 35.68
Fwd PE 26.02
P/S 19.09
P/FCF 78.77
P/OCF 23.72
P/B 3.63
P/tB 3.63
EV/EBITDA 24.36
EPS(TTM)1.38
EY2.8%
EPS(NY)1.89
Fwd EY3.84%
FCF(TTM)0.63
FCFY1.27%
OCF(TTM)2.08
OCFY4.22%
SpS2.58
BVpS13.57
TBVpS13.57
PEG (NY)0.97
PEG (5Y)1.33
Graham Number20.53
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 11.36%
ROE 11.73%
ROCE 10.64%
ROIC 7.66%
ROICexc 8.01%
ROICexgc 8.01%
OM 56.81%
PM (TTM) 61.74%
GM 67.64%
FCFM 24.24%
ROA(3y)3.99%
ROA(5y)3.92%
ROE(3y)4.14%
ROE(5y)4.02%
ROIC(3y)4.5%
ROIC(5y)4.21%
ROICexc(3y)4.65%
ROICexc(5y)4.38%
ROICexgc(3y)4.65%
ROICexgc(5y)4.38%
ROCE(3y)6.25%
ROCE(5y)5.84%
ROICexgc growth 3Y27.03%
ROICexgc growth 5Y26.7%
ROICexc growth 3Y27.03%
ROICexc growth 5Y26.7%
OM growth 3Y8.42%
OM growth 5Y8.5%
PM growth 3Y19.41%
PM growth 5Y4.58%
GM growth 3Y5.7%
GM growth 5Y8.74%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover0.18
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.02
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 274.72%
Cap/Sales 56.24%
Interest Coverage 62.86
Cash Conversion 104.14%
Profit Quality 39.25%
Current Ratio 3.92
Quick Ratio 3.8
Altman-Z 65.93
F-Score9
WACC10.94%
ROIC/WACC0.7
Cap/Depr(3y)214%
Cap/Depr(5y)168.09%
Cap/Sales(3y)57.06%
Cap/Sales(5y)47.94%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)74.14%
EPS 3Y38.52%
EPS 5Y26.9%
EPS Q2Q%83.33%
EPS Next Y36.72%
EPS Next 2Y18.91%
EPS Next 3Y14.51%
EPS Next 5Y12.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)44.5%
Revenue growth 3Y36.78%
Revenue growth 5Y28.12%
Sales Q2Q%60.21%
Revenue Next Year25.78%
Revenue Next 2Y10.84%
Revenue Next 3Y-9.42%
Revenue Next 5Y2.71%
EBIT growth 1Y149.59%
EBIT growth 3Y48.3%
EBIT growth 5Y39.02%
EBIT Next Year83.33%
EBIT Next 3Y26.41%
EBIT Next 5Y16.75%
FCF growth 1Y-39.61%
FCF growth 3Y12.54%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y46.52%
OCF growth 3Y38.26%
OCF growth 5Y29.96%

TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET / TFPM.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for TFPM stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to TFPM.CA.


Can you provide the valuation status for TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET?

TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM.CA) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.


What is the financial health of TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM.CA) is 7 / 10.


Is the dividend of TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET sustainable?

The dividend rating of TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM.CA) is 4 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.1%.