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TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET (TFPM.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:TFPM - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA89679M1041 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

30.81  +0.37 (+1.22%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Overall TFPM gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated TFPM against 799 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making TFPM a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. TFPM has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate. With these ratings, TFPM could be worth investigating further for quality investing!.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

TFPM had positive earnings in the past year.
TFPM had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years TFPM 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years TFPM always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
TFPM.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTFPM.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M -600M

1.2 Ratios

TFPM has a Return On Assets of -1.30%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TFPM outperforms 82.60% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -1.33%, TFPM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.48% of the companies in the same industry.
TFPM has a better Return On Invested Capital (3.65%) than 90.74% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TFPM is significantly below the industry average of 24.74%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (3.65%) for TFPM is above the 3 year average (3.17%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.3%
ROE -1.33%
ROIC 3.66%
ROA(3y)1.58%
ROA(5y)2.5%
ROE(3y)1.62%
ROE(5y)2.76%
ROIC(3y)3.17%
ROIC(5y)3.15%
TFPM.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTFPM.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2 -2 4

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 32.89%, TFPM belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.37% of the companies in the same industry.
TFPM's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TFPM's Gross Margin of 57.70% is amongst the best of the industry. TFPM outperforms 97.12% of its industry peers.
TFPM's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 32.89%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 57.7%
OM growth 3Y-10.48%
OM growth 5Y34.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.4%
GM growth 5Y22.86%
TFPM.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTFPM.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

8

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

TFPM has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for TFPM remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, TFPM has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for TFPM has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TFPM.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingTFPM.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
TFPM.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTFPM.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 77.43 indicates that TFPM is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
TFPM's Altman-Z score of 77.43 is amongst the best of the industry. TFPM outperforms 92.74% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TFPM is 0.01, which is an excellent value as it means it would take TFPM, only 0.01 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TFPM has a Debt to FCF ratio of 0.01. This is amongst the best in the industry. TFPM outperforms 97.37% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates that TFPM is not too dependend on debt financing.
TFPM has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TFPM outperforms 58.57% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.01
Altman-Z 77.43
ROIC/WACC0.41
WACC8.93%
TFPM.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTFPM.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M -500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.79 indicates that TFPM has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 2.79, TFPM is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.33% of the companies in the same industry.
TFPM has a Quick Ratio of 2.65. This indicates that TFPM is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.65, TFPM is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 63.58% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.79
Quick Ratio 2.65
TFPM.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTFPM.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

TFPM shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 70.59%, which is quite impressive.
TFPM shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 31.84%.
Measured over the past years, TFPM shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 35.38% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)70.59%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.84%
Revenue growth 3Y21.38%
Revenue growth 5Y35.38%
Sales Q2Q%43.44%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 17.43% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, TFPM will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -16.66% on average per year.
EPS Next Y32.68%
EPS Next 2Y17.87%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
EPS Next 5Y17.43%
Revenue Next Year10.56%
Revenue Next 2Y4.4%
Revenue Next 3Y3.57%
Revenue Next 5Y-16.66%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
TFPM.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTFPM.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 100M 200M 300M
TFPM.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTFPM.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 38.04, the valuation of TFPM can be described as expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TFPM is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.98% of the companies are valued more expensively.
TFPM's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 27.63.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.84, TFPM can be considered very expensive at the moment.
TFPM's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TFPM is cheaper than 88.49% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.85, TFPM is valued a bit more expensive.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 38.04
Fwd PE 28.84
TFPM.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTFPM.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TFPM indicates a rather cheap valuation: TFPM is cheaper than 89.11% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of TFPM indicates a rather cheap valuation: TFPM is cheaper than 92.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 28.56
EV/EBITDA 26.54
TFPM.CA Per share dataTFPM.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
TFPM has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as TFPM's earnings are expected to grow with 15.23% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.16
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.87%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

TFPM has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.04%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.00, TFPM pays a better dividend. On top of this TFPM pays more dividend than 95.87% of the companies listed in the same industry.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.04, TFPM pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.51.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.04%

5.2 History

TFPM has been paying a dividend for over 5 years, so it has already some track record.
TFPM has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
TFPM.CA Yearly Dividends per shareTFPM.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2

5.3 Sustainability

The earnings of TFPM are negative and hence is the payout ratio. TFPM will probably not be able to sustain this dividend level.
DP-187.48%
EPS Next 2Y17.87%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
TFPM.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTFPM.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 -200M -400M -600M

TRIPLE FLAG PRECIOUS MET

TSX:TFPM (4/21/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

30.81

+0.37 (+1.22%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)02-19 2025-02-19/amc
Earnings (Next)05-06 2025-05-06/amc
Inst Owners86.11%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners2.39%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap6.19B
Analysts81.25
Price Target30.1 (-2.3%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.04%
Yearly Dividend0.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP-187.48%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-03 2025-03-03 (0.055)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)6.15%
Min EPS beat(2)5.36%
Max EPS beat(2)6.95%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)8.4%
Min EPS beat(4)5.36%
Max EPS beat(4)12.04%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.19%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)-2.57%
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.48%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.84%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.21%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.88%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.84%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.05%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.9%
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-1.54%
PT rev (3m)-0.8%
EPS NQ rev (1m)9.81%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.66%
EPS NY rev (1m)7.85%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.04%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)7.21%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.89%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 38.04
Fwd PE 28.84
P/S 16.57
P/FCF 28.56
P/OCF 20.87
P/B 2.57
P/tB 2.57
EV/EBITDA 26.54
EPS(TTM)0.81
EY2.63%
EPS(NY)1.07
Fwd EY3.47%
FCF(TTM)1.08
FCFY3.5%
OCF(TTM)1.48
OCFY4.79%
SpS1.86
BVpS12
TBVpS12
PEG (NY)1.16
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.3%
ROE -1.33%
ROCE 5.08%
ROIC 3.66%
ROICexc 3.74%
ROICexgc 3.74%
OM 32.89%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 57.7%
FCFM 58%
ROA(3y)1.58%
ROA(5y)2.5%
ROE(3y)1.62%
ROE(5y)2.76%
ROIC(3y)3.17%
ROIC(5y)3.15%
ROICexc(3y)3.29%
ROICexc(5y)3.27%
ROICexgc(3y)3.29%
ROICexgc(5y)3.27%
ROCE(3y)4.41%
ROCE(5y)4.37%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-2.16%
ROICexcg growth 5Y48.72%
ROICexc growth 3Y-2.16%
ROICexc growth 5Y48.72%
OM growth 3Y-10.48%
OM growth 5Y34.37%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y1.4%
GM growth 5Y22.86%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.15
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.01
Debt/EBITDA 0.01
Cap/Depr 75.74%
Cap/Sales 21.37%
Interest Coverage 17.14
Cash Conversion 129.89%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.79
Quick Ratio 2.65
Altman-Z 77.43
F-Score6
WACC8.93%
ROIC/WACC0.41
Cap/Depr(3y)156.97%
Cap/Depr(5y)385.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)49.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)166.31%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)70.59%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%100%
EPS Next Y32.68%
EPS Next 2Y17.87%
EPS Next 3Y15.23%
EPS Next 5Y17.43%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)31.84%
Revenue growth 3Y21.38%
Revenue growth 5Y35.38%
Sales Q2Q%43.44%
Revenue Next Year10.56%
Revenue Next 2Y4.4%
Revenue Next 3Y3.57%
Revenue Next 5Y-16.66%
EBIT growth 1Y31.64%
EBIT growth 3Y8.66%
EBIT growth 5Y81.91%
EBIT Next Year73.59%
EBIT Next 3Y22.8%
EBIT Next 5Y18.22%
FCF growth 1Y524.45%
FCF growth 3Y31.41%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y38.51%
OCF growth 3Y21.17%
OCF growth 5Y39.99%