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TELENOR ASA (TEL.OL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

OSL:TEL - Oslo Bors ASA - NO0010063308 - Common Stock - Currency: NOK

138.6  -0.3 (-0.22%)

Fundamental Rating

5

TEL gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 31 industry peers in the Diversified Telecommunication Services industry. TEL scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. TEL is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year TEL was profitable.
In the past year TEL had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years TEL has been profitable.
In the past 5 years TEL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
TEL.OL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTEL.OL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B 40B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 4.17%, TEL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
TEL has a better Return On Equity (12.99%) than 82.14% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of TEL (8.00%) is better than 78.57% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for TEL is in line with the industry average of 7.24%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.17%
ROE 12.99%
ROIC 8%
ROA(3y)8.58%
ROA(5y)7.12%
ROE(3y)33.93%
ROE(5y)33.49%
ROIC(3y)8.32%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
TEL.OL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTEL.OL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

With a decent Profit Margin value of 12.06%, TEL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.57% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TEL has grown nicely.
TEL's Operating Margin of 22.65% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TEL outperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
TEL's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
TEL has a Gross Margin of 77.49%. This is in the better half of the industry: TEL outperforms 78.57% of its industry peers.
TEL's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.65%
PM (TTM) 12.06%
GM 77.49%
OM growth 3Y-0.19%
OM growth 5Y-0.42%
PM growth 3Y4.48%
PM growth 5Y4.18%
GM growth 3Y0.61%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
TEL.OL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTEL.OL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20 40 60

4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

TEL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for TEL has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
TEL has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for TEL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TEL.OL Yearly Shares OutstandingTEL.OL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B
TEL.OL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTEL.OL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50B 100B 150B 200B 250B

2.2 Solvency

TEL has an Altman-Z score of 1.60. This is a bad value and indicates that TEL is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
With an excellent Altman-Z score value of 1.60, TEL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.14% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TEL is 5.40, which is a neutral value as it means it would take TEL, 5.40 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TEL has a Debt to FCF ratio of 5.40. This is amongst the best in the industry. TEL outperforms 82.14% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.11 is on the high side and indicates that TEL has dependencies on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.11, TEL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.11
Debt/FCF 5.4
Altman-Z 1.6
ROIC/WACC1.36
WACC5.89%
TEL.OL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTEL.OL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.60 indicates that TEL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
TEL has a worse Current ratio (0.60) than 78.57% of its industry peers.
TEL has a Quick Ratio of 0.60. This is a bad value and indicates that TEL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of TEL (0.58) is worse than 82.14% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.6
Quick Ratio 0.58
TEL.OL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTEL.OL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

TEL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 82.33%, which is quite impressive.
The earnings per share for TEL have been decreasing by -16.89% on average. This is quite bad
TEL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 7.15%.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -5.35% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)82.33%
EPS 3Y-27.54%
EPS 5Y-16.89%
EPS Q2Q%25.57%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.44%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.35%
Sales Q2Q%-0.35%

3.2 Future

TEL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 16.02% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.47% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y208.88%
EPS Next 2Y44.65%
EPS Next 3Y33.9%
EPS Next 5Y16.02%
Revenue Next Year0.14%
Revenue Next 2Y1.36%
Revenue Next 3Y1.22%
Revenue Next 5Y1.47%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
TEL.OL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTEL.OL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
TEL.OL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTEL.OL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6 8 10

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 10.81 indicates a reasonable valuation of TEL.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TEL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 64.29% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.47, TEL is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.94, TEL is valued correctly.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TEL indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: TEL is more expensive than 60.71% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 92.74, TEL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.81
Fwd PE 15.94
TEL.OL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTEL.OL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

TEL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. TEL is more expensive than 64.29% of the companies in the same industry.
TEL's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9.78
EV/EBITDA 7.84
TEL.OL Per share dataTEL.OL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

TEL's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
TEL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
TEL's earnings are expected to grow with 33.90% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y44.65%
EPS Next 3Y33.9%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

TEL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.84%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.48, TEL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
TEL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.84%

5.2 History

The dividend of TEL decreases each year by -5.44%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.44%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

134.37% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TEL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP134.37%
EPS Next 2Y44.65%
EPS Next 3Y33.9%
TEL.OL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTEL.OL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10B 20B 30B 40B
TEL.OL Dividend Payout.TEL.OL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TEL.OL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

TELENOR ASA

OSL:TEL (2/5/2025, 11:37:26 AM)

138.6

-0.3 (-0.22%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupTelecommunication Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Telecommunication Services
Earnings (Last)10-30 2024-10-30/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-06 2025-02-06/amc
Inst Owners31.81%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.04%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap189.65B
Analysts71.54
Price Target153.57 (10.8%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.84%
Yearly Dividend9.35
Dividend Growth(5Y)-5.44%
DP134.37%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)16.4%
Min EPS beat(2)12.81%
Max EPS beat(2)20%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)102.96%
Min EPS beat(4)-43.38%
Max EPS beat(4)422.42%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)55.84%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)39.97%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)28.26%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.1%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.7%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.47%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.67%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-5.63%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-7.47%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-7.78%
PT rev (1m)0.9%
PT rev (3m)1.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)189.51%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-13.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)42.45%
EPS NY rev (3m)42.45%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.95%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.81
Fwd PE 15.94
P/S 2.36
P/FCF 9.78
P/OCF 5.87
P/B 2.54
P/tB 4.88
EV/EBITDA 7.84
EPS(TTM)12.82
EY9.25%
EPS(NY)8.69
Fwd EY6.27%
FCF(TTM)14.17
FCFY10.23%
OCF(TTM)23.61
OCFY17.03%
SpS58.73
BVpS54.5
TBVpS28.39
PEG (NY)0.05
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 4.17%
ROE 12.99%
ROCE 10.39%
ROIC 8%
ROICexc 8.95%
ROICexgc 11.59%
OM 22.65%
PM (TTM) 12.06%
GM 77.49%
FCFM 24.13%
ROA(3y)8.58%
ROA(5y)7.12%
ROE(3y)33.93%
ROE(5y)33.49%
ROIC(3y)8.32%
ROIC(5y)9.34%
ROICexc(3y)9.16%
ROICexc(5y)10.3%
ROICexgc(3y)11.94%
ROICexgc(5y)13.45%
ROCE(3y)10.8%
ROCE(5y)12.13%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-7.33%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-19.27%
ROICexc growth 3Y-7.26%
ROICexc growth 5Y-12.46%
OM growth 3Y-0.19%
OM growth 5Y-0.42%
PM growth 3Y4.48%
PM growth 5Y4.18%
GM growth 3Y0.61%
GM growth 5Y-0.28%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.35
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.11
Debt/FCF 5.4
Debt/EBITDA 2.36
Cap/Depr 76.87%
Cap/Sales 16.06%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 92.31%
Profit Quality 200.19%
Current Ratio 0.6
Quick Ratio 0.58
Altman-Z 1.6
F-Score7
WACC5.89%
ROIC/WACC1.36
Cap/Depr(3y)75.18%
Cap/Depr(5y)76.91%
Cap/Sales(3y)23.16%
Cap/Sales(5y)21.24%
Profit Quality(3y)544.21%
Profit Quality(5y)383.88%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)82.33%
EPS 3Y-27.54%
EPS 5Y-16.89%
EPS Q2Q%25.57%
EPS Next Y208.88%
EPS Next 2Y44.65%
EPS Next 3Y33.9%
EPS Next 5Y16.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)7.15%
Revenue growth 3Y-11.44%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.35%
Sales Q2Q%-0.35%
Revenue Next Year0.14%
Revenue Next 2Y1.36%
Revenue Next 3Y1.22%
Revenue Next 5Y1.47%
EBIT growth 1Y21.18%
EBIT growth 3Y-11.61%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.75%
EBIT Next Year101.99%
EBIT Next 3Y28.78%
EBIT Next 5Y18.35%
FCF growth 1Y2.84%
FCF growth 3Y-16.61%
FCF growth 5Y-1.32%
OCF growth 1Y-15.83%
OCF growth 3Y-12.73%
OCF growth 5Y-4.36%