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TELENOR ASA (TEL.OL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

OSL:TEL - Euronext Oslo - NO0010063308 - Common Stock - Currency: NOK

146  +2.3 (+1.6%)

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, TEL scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. TEL was compared to 29 industry peers in the Diversified Telecommunication Services industry. TEL scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. TEL has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

TEL had positive earnings in the past year.
TEL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years TEL has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years TEL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
TEL.OL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTEL.OL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 8.32%, TEL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.67% of the companies in the same industry.
TEL has a Return On Equity of 24.94%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TEL outperforms 93.33% of its industry peers.
TEL has a better Return On Invested Capital (7.61%) than 73.33% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for TEL is in line with the industry average of 7.55%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.32%
ROE 24.94%
ROIC 7.61%
ROA(3y)11.13%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)40.31%
ROE(5y)34.4%
ROIC(3y)7.8%
ROIC(5y)8.56%
TEL.OL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTEL.OL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60

1.3 Margins

TEL has a Profit Margin of 23.90%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TEL outperforms 93.33% of its industry peers.
TEL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 22.66%, TEL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TEL has remained more or less at the same level.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 77.82%, TEL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TEL has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.66%
PM (TTM) 23.9%
GM 77.82%
OM growth 3Y4.24%
OM growth 5Y-0.38%
PM growth 3Y147.71%
PM growth 5Y28.44%
GM growth 3Y1.85%
GM growth 5Y0.62%
TEL.OL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTEL.OL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20 40 60

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TEL is still creating some value.
TEL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, TEL has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, TEL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
TEL.OL Yearly Shares OutstandingTEL.OL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B
TEL.OL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTEL.OL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50B 100B 150B 200B 250B

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of TEL is 5.62, which is a neutral value as it means it would take TEL, 5.62 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TEL's Debt to FCF ratio of 5.62 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TEL outperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
TEL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.13. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
TEL has a Debt to Equity ratio (1.13) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.13
Debt/FCF 5.62
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC1.1
WACC6.93%
TEL.OL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTEL.OL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B

2.3 Liquidity

TEL has a Current Ratio of 0.59. This is a bad value and indicates that TEL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.59, TEL is doing worse than 73.33% of the companies in the same industry.
TEL has a Quick Ratio of 0.59. This is a bad value and indicates that TEL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TEL's Quick ratio of 0.57 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TEL is outperformed by 73.33% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.59
Quick Ratio 0.57
TEL.OL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTEL.OL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

TEL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 229.23%, which is quite impressive.
TEL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 7.86% yearly.
Looking at the last year, TEL shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -0.65% in the last year.
TEL shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -6.80% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)229.23%
EPS 3Y24.13%
EPS 5Y7.86%
EPS Q2Q%92.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.65%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.3%
Revenue growth 5Y-6.8%
Sales Q2Q%-0.14%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, TEL will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -10.61% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 1.11% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-36.54%
EPS Next 2Y-14.14%
EPS Next 3Y-4.61%
EPS Next 5Y-10.61%
Revenue Next Year1.53%
Revenue Next 2Y1.83%
Revenue Next 3Y2.12%
Revenue Next 5Y1.11%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
TEL.OL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTEL.OL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B 80B 100B
TEL.OL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTEL.OL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2 4 6 8 10

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.67, the valuation of TEL can be described as reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TEL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 73.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TEL to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.35), we can say TEL is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.82 indicates a correct valuation of TEL.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TEL is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 63.33% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
TEL is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.10, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.67
Fwd PE 16.82
TEL.OL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTEL.OL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

TEL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
TEL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 11.04
EV/EBITDA 8.21
TEL.OL Per share dataTEL.OL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

TEL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
TEL's earnings are expected to decrease with -4.61% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.36
EPS Next 2Y-14.14%
EPS Next 3Y-4.61%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

TEL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.68%, which is a nice return.
TEL's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 5.01. TEL pays more dividend than 93.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.33, TEL pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.68%

5.2 History

The dividend of TEL has a limited annual growth rate of 2.69%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.69%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0

5.3 Sustainability

68.47% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TEL. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
TEL's earnings are declining while the Dividend Rate has been growing. This means the dividend growth is most likely not sustainable.
DP68.47%
EPS Next 2Y-14.14%
EPS Next 3Y-4.61%
TEL.OL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTEL.OL Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B
TEL.OL Dividend Payout.TEL.OL Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TEL.OL Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

TELENOR ASA

OSL:TEL (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

146

+2.3 (+1.6%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupTelecommunication Services
GICS IndustryDiversified Telecommunication Services
Earnings (Last)02-06 2025-02-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-06 2025-05-06
Inst Owners32%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.04%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap199.78B
Analysts75.2
Price Target158.89 (8.83%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.68%
Yearly Dividend9.5
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.69%
DP68.47%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)14.85%
Min EPS beat(2)9.71%
Max EPS beat(2)20%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)116.23%
Min EPS beat(4)9.71%
Max EPS beat(4)422.42%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)38.8%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)42.66%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)26.91%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.96%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.7%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.22%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.49%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.22%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.54%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.68%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-6.3%
PT rev (1m)3.47%
PT rev (3m)5.03%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.2%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.16%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.38%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.31%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.67
Fwd PE 16.82
P/S 2.5
P/FCF 11.04
P/OCF 6.35
P/B 2.61
P/tB 4.9
EV/EBITDA 8.21
EPS(TTM)13.68
EY9.37%
EPS(NY)8.68
Fwd EY5.95%
FCF(TTM)13.23
FCFY9.06%
OCF(TTM)23.01
OCFY15.76%
SpS58.41
BVpS56
TBVpS29.79
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.36
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 8.32%
ROE 24.94%
ROCE 9.89%
ROIC 7.61%
ROICexc 8.15%
ROICexgc 10.3%
OM 22.66%
PM (TTM) 23.9%
GM 77.82%
FCFM 22.64%
ROA(3y)11.13%
ROA(5y)8.16%
ROE(3y)40.31%
ROE(5y)34.4%
ROIC(3y)7.8%
ROIC(5y)8.56%
ROICexc(3y)8.5%
ROICexc(5y)9.42%
ROICexgc(3y)10.86%
ROICexgc(5y)12.21%
ROCE(3y)10.14%
ROCE(5y)11.12%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-8.76%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-8.97%
ROICexc growth 3Y-6.96%
ROICexc growth 5Y-8.24%
OM growth 3Y4.24%
OM growth 5Y-0.38%
PM growth 3Y147.71%
PM growth 5Y28.44%
GM growth 3Y1.85%
GM growth 5Y0.62%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.35
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.13
Debt/FCF 5.62
Debt/EBITDA 2.47
Cap/Depr 78.98%
Cap/Sales 16.74%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 89.8%
Profit Quality 94.71%
Current Ratio 0.59
Quick Ratio 0.57
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score7
WACC6.93%
ROIC/WACC1.1
Cap/Depr(3y)82.64%
Cap/Depr(5y)73.98%
Cap/Sales(3y)22.07%
Cap/Sales(5y)20.53%
Profit Quality(3y)77.83%
Profit Quality(5y)374.09%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)229.23%
EPS 3Y24.13%
EPS 5Y7.86%
EPS Q2Q%92.25%
EPS Next Y-36.54%
EPS Next 2Y-14.14%
EPS Next 3Y-4.61%
EPS Next 5Y-10.61%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.65%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.3%
Revenue growth 5Y-6.8%
Sales Q2Q%-0.14%
Revenue Next Year1.53%
Revenue Next 2Y1.83%
Revenue Next 3Y2.12%
Revenue Next 5Y1.11%
EBIT growth 1Y0.45%
EBIT growth 3Y-2.33%
EBIT growth 5Y-7.16%
EBIT Next Year90.71%
EBIT Next 3Y25.5%
EBIT Next 5Y21.05%
FCF growth 1Y25.73%
FCF growth 3Y-7.45%
FCF growth 5Y10.14%
OCF growth 1Y8.1%
OCF growth 3Y-9.36%
OCF growth 5Y-1.66%