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TRACON PHARMACEUTICALS INC (TCON) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:TCON - Nasdaq - US89237H3084 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

1.43  -0.02 (-1.38%)

After market: 1.08 -0.35 (-24.48%)

Fundamental Rating

4

Taking everything into account, TCON scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. TCON was compared to 571 industry peers in the Biotechnology industry. TCON scores quite bad on profitability, while its financial health is fine. Not spectacular, but in line with the averages. TCON has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year TCON was profitable.
In the past year TCON had a positive cash flow from operations.
TCON had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years TCON reported 4 times negative operating cash flow.
TCON Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTCON Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -10M -20M -30M

1.2 Ratios

TCON's Return On Assets of 18.69% is amongst the best of the industry. TCON outperforms 99.13% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.69%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-97.7%
ROA(5y)-92.61%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
TCON Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTCON Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2K 4K 6K

1.3 Margins

TCON has a Profit Margin of 14.39%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TCON outperforms 97.04% of its industry peers.
TCON does not have Operating Margin and Gross Margin available, so we won't be analyzing them here.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 14.39%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
TCON Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTCON Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 -2K -4K -6K -8K

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4

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

TCON does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
TCON has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, TCON has more shares outstanding
There is no outstanding debt for TCON. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
TCON Yearly Shares OutstandingTCON Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500K 1M 1.5M 2M
TCON Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTCON Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -36.21, we must say that TCON is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of TCON (-36.21) is worse than 93.03% of its industry peers.
TCON has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 0
Altman-Z -36.21
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC74.74%
TCON Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTCON Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20M -20M

2.3 Liquidity

TCON has a Current Ratio of 0.80. This is a bad value and indicates that TCON is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of TCON (0.80) is worse than 90.59% of its industry peers.
TCON has a Quick Ratio of 0.80. This is a bad value and indicates that TCON is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.80, TCON is not doing good in the industry: 90.07% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.8
Quick Ratio 0.8
TCON Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTCON Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M

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6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

TCON shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 808.59%, which is quite impressive.
TCON shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 32.05% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)808.59%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-269.44%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y32.05%
Sales Q2Q%N/A

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, TCON will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -15.22% on average per year.
TCON is expected to show a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 63.68% yearly.
EPS Next Y-142.4%
EPS Next 2Y-51.36%
EPS Next 3Y-84.04%
EPS Next 5Y-15.22%
Revenue Next Year-100%
Revenue Next 2Y-66.67%
Revenue Next 3Y32.08%
Revenue Next 5Y63.68%

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
TCON Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTCON Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 100M 200M 300M
TCON Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTCON Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 10 -10 -20 -30 -40

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4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

TCON is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 0.16.
TCON's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TCON is cheaper than 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of TCON to the average of the S&P500 Index (29.62), we can say TCON is valued rather cheaply.
The Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for TCON. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 0.16
Fwd PE N/A
TCON Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTCON Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, TCON is valued cheaply inside the industry as 100.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 0.62
EV/EBITDA N/A
TCON Per share dataTCON EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4 6 8

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A cheap valuation may be justified as TCON's earnings are expected to decrease with -84.04% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-51.36%
EPS Next 3Y-84.04%

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0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for TCON!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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TRACON PHARMACEUTICALS INC

NASDAQ:TCON (6/27/2024, 7:53:15 PM)

After market: 1.08 -0.35 (-24.48%)

1.43

-0.02 (-1.38%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorHealth Care
GICS IndustryGroupPharmaceuticals, Biotechnology & Life Sciences
GICS IndustryBiotechnology
Earnings (Last)05-14 2024-05-14/amc
Earnings (Next)08-12 2024-08-12/amc
Inst Owners9.71%
Inst Owner Change-0.02%
Ins Owners214.98%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap3.83M
Analysts80
Price Target31.11 (2075.52%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)51.34%
Min EPS beat(2)-9.57%
Max EPS beat(2)112.26%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)238.94%
Min EPS beat(4)-9.57%
Max EPS beat(4)537.41%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)115.22%
EPS beat(12)4
Avg EPS beat(12)66.7%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)54.23%
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)771.43%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-2457.58%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-943.33%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 0.16
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.32
P/FCF 0.62
P/OCF 0.62
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)9.07
EY634.27%
EPS(NY)-2.92
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)2.29
FCFY160.11%
OCF(TTM)2.29
OCFY160.11%
SpS4.53
BVpS-0.66
TBVpS-0.66
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 18.69%
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 14.39%
GM N/A
FCFM 50.52%
ROA(3y)-97.7%
ROA(5y)-92.61%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover1.3
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 0
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 351.03%
Current Ratio 0.8
Quick Ratio 0.8
Altman-Z -36.21
F-Score8
WACC74.74%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)149.7%
Cap/Depr(5y)98.15%
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)808.59%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-269.44%
EPS Next Y-142.4%
EPS Next 2Y-51.36%
EPS Next 3Y-84.04%
EPS Next 5Y-15.22%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y32.05%
Sales Q2Q%N/A
Revenue Next Year-100%
Revenue Next 2Y-66.67%
Revenue Next 3Y32.08%
Revenue Next 5Y63.68%
EBIT growth 1Y89.14%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y125.04%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y125.09%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A