TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC (TCN) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:TCN - CA89612W1023 - Common Stock
11.25 USD
+0.02 (+0.18%)
11.23 USD
-0.02 (-0.18%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to TCN. TCN was compared to 63 industry peers in the Real Estate Management & Development industry. TCN has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. TCN has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
TCN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year TCN had a positive cash flow from operations.
TCN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
TCN had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 0.86%, TCN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 2.96%, TCN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.31% of the companies in the same industry.
TCN has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.64%. This is in the better half of the industry: TCN outperforms 72.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.86% | ||
| ROE | 2.96% | ||
| ROIC | 1.64% |
ROA(3y)4.08%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)10.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of TCN (13.44%) is better than 90.77% of its industry peers.
TCN's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
TCN has a better Operating Margin (29.82%) than 96.92% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of TCN has declined.
TCN has a Gross Margin of 69.17%. This is amongst the best in the industry. TCN outperforms 87.69% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TCN has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 29.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.44% | ||
| GM | 69.17% |
OM growth 3Y-5.22%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-21.94%
PM growth 5Y-54.81%
GM growth 3Y-0.28%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), TCN is destroying value.
TCN has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
TCN has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for TCN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.49, we must say that TCN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.49, TCN is doing worse than 63.08% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TCN is 65.95, which is on the high side as it means it would take TCN, 65.95 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 65.95, TCN is in line with its industry, outperforming 58.46% of the companies in the same industry.
TCN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.48. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
TCN has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.48) than 69.23% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 65.95 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.49 |
ROIC/WACC0.22
WACC7.57%
2.3 Liquidity
TCN has a Current Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that TCN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TCN has a worse Current ratio (0.49) than 86.15% of its industry peers.
TCN has a Quick Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that TCN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.49, TCN is doing worse than 83.08% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.49 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
TCN shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -66.47%.
Measured over the past years, TCN shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -17.03% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.48% in the past year.
The Revenue has been growing by 94.79% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)-66.47%
EPS 3Y4.46%
EPS 5Y-17.03%
EPS Q2Q%36.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.48%
Revenue growth 3Y28.44%
Revenue growth 5Y94.79%
Sales Q2Q%15.69%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, TCN will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -15.81% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, TCN will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 8.50% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-48.61%
EPS Next 2Y-15.81%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.66%
Revenue Next 2Y8.5%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
The Price/Earnings ratio is 19.74, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of TCN.
TCN's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TCN is cheaper than 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.27. TCN is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 38.41, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TCN.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of TCN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TCN is cheaper than 72.31% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.77, TCN is valued quite expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 38.41 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, TCN is valued a bit cheaper than 64.62% of the companies in the same industry.
TCN's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. TCN is cheaper than 70.77% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 36.46 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 33.96 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
TCN has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
TCN's earnings are expected to decrease with -15.81% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-15.81%
EPS Next 3YN/A
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for TCN!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
11.25
+0.02 (+0.18%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryReal Estate Management & Development
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.34B
Analysts71.11
Price Target8.93 (-20.62%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP84%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)172.28%
Min EPS beat(2)147.53%
Max EPS beat(2)197.03%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)110.4%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.99%
Max EPS beat(4)197.03%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)235.95%
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)85.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)79.44%
Max Revenue beat(2)90.95%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)80.48%
Min Revenue beat(4)72.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)90.95%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)71.53%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-6.56%
PT rev (3m)2.48%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.74 | ||
| Fwd PE | 38.41 | ||
| P/S | 3.93 | ||
| P/FCF | 36.46 | ||
| P/OCF | 24.19 | ||
| P/B | 0.86 | ||
| P/tB | 0.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 33.96 |
EPS(TTM)0.57
EY5.07%
EPS(NY)0.29
Fwd EY2.6%
FCF(TTM)0.31
FCFY2.74%
OCF(TTM)0.47
OCFY4.13%
SpS2.86
BVpS13.02
TBVpS12.9
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.86% | ||
| ROE | 2.96% | ||
| ROCE | 2% | ||
| ROIC | 1.64% | ||
| ROICexc | 1.67% | ||
| ROICexgc | 1.67% | ||
| OM | 29.82% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 13.44% | ||
| GM | 69.17% | ||
| FCFM | 10.78% |
ROA(3y)4.08%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)10.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y-1.7%
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.2%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-5.22%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-21.94%
PM growth 5Y-54.81%
GM growth 3Y-0.28%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.48 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 65.95 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 21.13 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 261.04% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 5.47% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 0.87 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 50.9% | ||
| Profit Quality | 80.17% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.49 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.49 |
F-Score5
WACC7.57%
ROIC/WACC0.22
Cap/Depr(3y)254.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)208.56%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.97%
Profit Quality(3y)42.83%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-66.47%
EPS 3Y4.46%
EPS 5Y-17.03%
EPS Q2Q%36.36%
EPS Next Y-48.61%
EPS Next 2Y-15.81%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.48%
Revenue growth 3Y28.44%
Revenue growth 5Y94.79%
Sales Q2Q%15.69%
Revenue Next Year6.66%
Revenue Next 2Y8.5%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y152.14%
EBIT growth 3Y21.74%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year27.82%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-60.91%
FCF growth 3Y-11.02%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-48.93%
OCF growth 3Y-1.17%
OCF growth 5YN/A