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TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC (TCN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:TCN - CA89612W1023 - Common Stock

11.25 USD
+0.02 (+0.18%)
Last: 5/1/2024, 8:25:04 PM
11.23 USD
-0.02 (-0.18%)
After Hours: 5/1/2024, 8:25:04 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

TCN gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 62 industry peers in the Real Estate Management & Development industry. TCN has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. TCN is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year TCN was profitable.
  • In the past year TCN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • TCN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • TCN had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
TCN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTCN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 0.86%, TCN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TCN has a Return On Equity of 2.96%. This is in the better half of the industry: TCN outperforms 72.31% of its industry peers.
  • TCN has a better Return On Invested Capital (1.64%) than 72.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.86%
ROE 2.96%
ROIC 1.64%
ROA(3y)4.08%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)10.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
TCN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTCN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • With an excellent Profit Margin value of 13.44%, TCN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.77% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TCN has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of TCN (29.82%) is better than 96.92% of its industry peers.
  • TCN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 69.17%, TCN belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 87.69% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TCN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 29.82%
PM (TTM) 13.44%
GM 69.17%
OM growth 3Y-5.22%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-21.94%
PM growth 5Y-54.81%
GM growth 3Y-0.28%
GM growth 5YN/A
TCN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTCN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200 400 600

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so TCN is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, TCN has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, TCN has an improved debt to assets ratio.
TCN Yearly Shares OutstandingTCN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
TCN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTCN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • TCN has an Altman-Z score of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that TCN is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.49, TCN is doing worse than 63.08% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TCN has a debt to FCF ratio of 65.95. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as TCN would need 65.95 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • TCN has a Debt to FCF ratio (65.95) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.48 is on the high side and indicates that TCN has dependencies on debt financing.
  • TCN's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.48 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TCN is outperformed by 69.23% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.48
Debt/FCF 65.95
Altman-Z 0.49
ROIC/WACC0.22
WACC7.57%
TCN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTCN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • TCN has a Current Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that TCN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of TCN (0.49) is worse than 86.15% of its industry peers.
  • TCN has a Quick Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that TCN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • TCN's Quick ratio of 0.49 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TCN is outperformed by 83.08% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.49
Quick Ratio 0.49
TCN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTCN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for TCN have decreased strongly by -66.47% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, TCN shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -17.03% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 5.48% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, TCN shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 94.79% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-66.47%
EPS 3Y4.46%
EPS 5Y-17.03%
EPS Q2Q%36.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.48%
Revenue growth 3Y28.44%
Revenue growth 5Y94.79%
Sales Q2Q%15.69%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, TCN will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -15.81% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.50% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-48.61%
EPS Next 2Y-15.81%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.66%
Revenue Next 2Y8.5%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
TCN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTCN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M
TCN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTCN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • TCN is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.74.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, TCN is valued cheaper than 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.60, TCN is valued a bit cheaper.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 38.41, which means the current valuation is very expensive for TCN.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TCN is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 72.31% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.83, TCN is valued a bit more expensive.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.74
Fwd PE 38.41
TCN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTCN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of TCN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: TCN is cheaper than 64.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, TCN is valued a bit cheaper than 70.77% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 36.46
EV/EBITDA 33.96
TCN Per share dataTCN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of TCN may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A cheap valuation may be justified as TCN's earnings are expected to decrease with -15.81% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-15.81%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for TCN!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC / TCN FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to TCN.


Can you provide the valuation status for TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC (TCN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC?

TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC (TCN) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC (TCN) stock?

The financial health rating of TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC (TCN) is 1 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC (TCN) is expected to decline by -48.61% in the next year.