TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC (TCN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:TCN • CA89612W1023

11.25 USD
+0.02 (+0.18%)
At close: May 1, 2024
11.23 USD
-0.02 (-0.18%)
After Hours: 5/1/2024, 8:25:04 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Analyst Ratings Earnings Estimates Financials Ownership News
Fundamental Rating

3

TCN gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 63 industry peers in the Real Estate Management & Development industry. TCN has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. TCN has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year TCN was profitable.
  • In the past year TCN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • TCN had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • TCN had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
TCN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTCN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M 600M 800M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.86%, TCN is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TCN's Return On Equity of 2.96% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. TCN outperforms 72.31% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of TCN (1.64%) is better than 72.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.86%
ROE 2.96%
ROIC 1.64%
ROA(3y)4.08%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)10.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
TCN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTCN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5 10 15 20

1.3 Margins

  • TCN has a better Profit Margin (13.44%) than 90.77% of its industry peers.
  • TCN's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 29.82%, TCN belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.92% of the companies in the same industry.
  • TCN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • TCN's Gross Margin of 69.17% is amongst the best of the industry. TCN outperforms 87.69% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TCN has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 29.82%
PM (TTM) 13.44%
GM 69.17%
OM growth 3Y-5.22%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-21.94%
PM growth 5Y-54.81%
GM growth 3Y-0.28%
GM growth 5YN/A
TCN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTCN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200 400 600

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • TCN has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for TCN remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for TCN has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TCN Yearly Shares OutstandingTCN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M 250M
TCN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTCN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.49, we must say that TCN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of TCN (0.49) is worse than 63.08% of its industry peers.
  • TCN has a debt to FCF ratio of 65.95. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as TCN would need 65.95 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • TCN has a Debt to FCF ratio (65.95) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • TCN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.48. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • TCN's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.48 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TCN is outperformed by 69.23% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.48
Debt/FCF 65.95
Altman-Z 0.49
ROIC/WACC0.22
WACC7.57%
TCN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTCN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.49 indicates that TCN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.49, TCN is doing worse than 86.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.49 indicates that TCN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • TCN has a Quick ratio of 0.49. This is amonst the worse of the industry: TCN underperforms 83.08% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.49
Quick Ratio 0.49
TCN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTCN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for TCN have decreased strongly by -66.47% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for TCN have been decreasing by -17.03% on average. This is quite bad
  • TCN shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 5.48%.
  • TCN shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 94.79% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-66.47%
EPS 3Y4.46%
EPS 5Y-17.03%
EPS Q2Q%36.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.48%
Revenue growth 3Y28.44%
Revenue growth 5Y94.79%
Sales Q2Q%15.69%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, TCN will show a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -15.81% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.50% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-48.61%
EPS Next 2Y-15.81%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year6.66%
Revenue Next 2Y8.5%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
TCN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTCN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 200M 400M 600M 800M
TCN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTCN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.74 indicates a rather expensive valuation of TCN.
  • TCN's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TCN is cheaper than 84.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.03. TCN is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • TCN is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.41.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TCN is valued a bit cheaper than 72.31% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.97, TCN is valued a bit more expensive.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.74
Fwd PE 38.41
TCN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTCN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • TCN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. TCN is cheaper than 64.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 70.77% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TCN, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 36.46
EV/EBITDA 33.96
TCN Per share dataTCN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • TCN has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • TCN's earnings are expected to decrease with -15.81% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-15.81%
EPS Next 3YN/A

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • TCN does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC

NYSE:TCN (5/1/2024, 8:25:04 PM)

After market: 11.23 -0.02 (-0.18%)

11.25

+0.02 (+0.18%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryReal Estate Management & Development
Earnings (Last)02-27
Earnings (Next)05-07
Inst OwnersN/A
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap3.34B
Revenue(TTM)849.71M
Net Income(TTM)114.24M
Analysts71.11
Price Target8.93 (-20.62%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP84%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)172.28%
Min EPS beat(2)147.53%
Max EPS beat(2)197.03%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)110.4%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.99%
Max EPS beat(4)197.03%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)235.95%
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)85.19%
Min Revenue beat(2)79.44%
Max Revenue beat(2)90.95%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)80.48%
Min Revenue beat(4)72.02%
Max Revenue beat(4)90.95%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)71.53%
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-6.56%
PT rev (3m)2.48%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.74
Fwd PE 38.41
P/S 3.93
P/FCF 36.46
P/OCF 24.19
P/B 0.86
P/tB 0.87
EV/EBITDA 33.96
EPS(TTM)0.57
EY5.07%
EPS(NY)0.29
Fwd EY2.6%
FCF(TTM)0.31
FCFY2.74%
OCF(TTM)0.47
OCFY4.13%
SpS2.86
BVpS13.02
TBVpS12.9
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.86%
ROE 2.96%
ROCE 2%
ROIC 1.64%
ROICexc 1.67%
ROICexgc 1.67%
OM 29.82%
PM (TTM) 13.44%
GM 69.17%
FCFM 10.78%
ROA(3y)4.08%
ROA(5y)3.73%
ROE(3y)12.96%
ROE(5y)10.43%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.7%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-1.2%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-5.22%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-21.94%
PM growth 5Y-54.81%
GM growth 3Y-0.28%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.06
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.48
Debt/FCF 65.95
Debt/EBITDA 21.13
Cap/Depr 261.04%
Cap/Sales 5.47%
Interest Coverage 0.87
Cash Conversion 50.9%
Profit Quality 80.17%
Current Ratio 0.49
Quick Ratio 0.49
Altman-Z 0.49
F-Score5
WACC7.57%
ROIC/WACC0.22
Cap/Depr(3y)254.57%
Cap/Depr(5y)208.56%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.52%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.97%
Profit Quality(3y)42.83%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-66.47%
EPS 3Y4.46%
EPS 5Y-17.03%
EPS Q2Q%36.36%
EPS Next Y-48.61%
EPS Next 2Y-15.81%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.48%
Revenue growth 3Y28.44%
Revenue growth 5Y94.79%
Sales Q2Q%15.69%
Revenue Next Year6.66%
Revenue Next 2Y8.5%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y152.14%
EBIT growth 3Y21.74%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year27.82%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-60.91%
FCF growth 3Y-11.02%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-48.93%
OCF growth 3Y-1.17%
OCF growth 5YN/A

TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC / TCN FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to TCN.


Can you provide the valuation status for TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC (TCN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC?

TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC (TCN) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC (TCN) stock?

The financial health rating of TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC (TCN) is 1 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of TRICON RESIDENTIAL INC (TCN) is expected to decline by -48.61% in the next year.