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CARROLS RESTAURANT GROUP INC (TAST) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NASDAQ:TAST - US14574X1046 - Common Stock

9.54 USD
-0.01 (-0.1%)
Last: 5/15/2024, 8:11:18 PM
9.56 USD
+0.02 (+0.21%)
After Hours: 5/15/2024, 8:11:18 PM
Fundamental Rating

4

TAST gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of TAST while its profitability can be described as average. TAST has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year TAST was profitable.
In the past year TAST had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years TAST reported 4 times negative net income.
Each year in the past 5 years TAST had a positive operating cash flow.
TAST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFTAST Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M 100M

1.2 Ratios

TAST's Return On Assets of 2.13% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. TAST outperforms 47.76% of its industry peers.
TAST has a better Return On Equity (18.29%) than 71.64% of its industry peers.
TAST has a Return On Invested Capital (4.42%) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.13%
ROE 18.29%
ROIC 4.42%
ROA(3y)-1.71%
ROA(5y)-1.73%
ROE(3y)-17.32%
ROE(5y)-14.63%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
TAST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICTAST Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

TAST's Profit Margin of 1.81% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TAST is outperformed by 60.45% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of TAST has grown nicely.
TAST's Operating Margin of 3.70% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. TAST is outperformed by 67.16% of its industry peers.
TAST's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
TAST has a Gross Margin of 39.74%. This is in the lower half of the industry: TAST underperforms 65.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of TAST has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.7%
PM (TTM) 1.81%
GM 39.74%
OM growth 3Y49.37%
OM growth 5Y2.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y21.87%
GM growth 3Y1.02%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
TAST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsTAST Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 20 30 40

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

TAST has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
TAST has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for TAST has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for TAST has been reduced compared to a year ago.
TAST Yearly Shares OutstandingTAST Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
TAST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsTAST Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.38, we must say that TAST is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of TAST (1.38) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of TAST is 5.07, which is a neutral value as it means it would take TAST, 5.07 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
TAST has a better Debt to FCF ratio (5.07) than 73.88% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 2.28 is on the high side and indicates that TAST has dependencies on debt financing.
TAST has a Debt to Equity ratio of 2.28. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: TAST outperforms 50.75% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.28
Debt/FCF 5.07
Altman-Z 1.38
ROIC/WACC0.49
WACC8.98%
TAST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFTAST Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

TAST has a Current Ratio of 0.49. This is a bad value and indicates that TAST is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
TAST has a worse Current ratio (0.49) than 76.87% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.41 indicates that TAST may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
TAST has a worse Quick ratio (0.41) than 79.85% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.49
Quick Ratio 0.41
TAST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesTAST Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

TAST shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 173.24%, which is quite impressive.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 13.18% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has grown by 8.44% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing by 9.73% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)173.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y13.18%
EPS Q2Q%280%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.44%
Revenue growth 3Y6.64%
Revenue growth 5Y9.73%
Sales Q2Q%5.67%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, TAST will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 4.34% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, TAST will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.38% on average per year.
EPS Next Y10.83%
EPS Next 2Y4.34%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.76%
Revenue Next 2Y2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.54%
Revenue Next 5Y1.38%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
TAST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesTAST Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
TAST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesTAST Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 0.5 -0.5

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.35, TAST is valued on the expensive side.
67.16% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than TAST, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.89. TAST is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.55, the valuation of TAST can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, TAST is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 61.19% of the companies are valued more expensively.
TAST is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 34.59, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.35
Fwd PE 16.55
TAST Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsTAST Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

TAST's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. TAST is cheaper than 86.57% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, TAST is valued cheaper than 96.27% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 6.2
EV/EBITDA 6.33
TAST Per share dataTAST EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
PEG (NY)1.69
PEG (5Y)1.39
EPS Next 2Y4.34%
EPS Next 3YN/A

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a yearly dividend of 0.84%, TAST is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.57, TAST pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
With a Dividend Yield of 0.84, TAST pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.36.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.84%

5.2 History

TAST has paid a dividend for less than 5 years, so there is no long track record yet.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
TAST Yearly Dividends per shareTAST Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2023 2024 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

3.77% of the earnings are spent on dividend by TAST. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
DP3.77%
EPS Next 2Y4.34%
EPS Next 3YN/A
TAST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendTAST Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M
TAST Dividend Payout.TAST Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.TAST Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

CARROLS RESTAURANT GROUP INC

NASDAQ:TAST (5/15/2024, 8:11:18 PM)

After market: 9.56 +0.02 (+0.21%)

9.54

-0.01 (-0.1%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)05-09 2024-05-09/amc
Earnings (Next)08-08 2024-08-08/amc
Inst Owners5.14%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners5.93%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap524.03M
Revenue(TTM)1.88B
Net Income(TTM)33.88M
Analysts45.71
Price Target9.74 (2.1%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.84%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP3.77%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)147.43%
Min EPS beat(2)96.08%
Max EPS beat(2)198.79%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)451.87%
Min EPS beat(4)96.08%
Max EPS beat(4)1412.61%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)235.05%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)154.44%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)212.27%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.25%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.97%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.17%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.97%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.07%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.59%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.52%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.93%
PT rev (1m)-7.06%
PT rev (3m)0%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-20%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.61%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.35
Fwd PE 16.55
P/S 0.28
P/FCF 6.2
P/OCF 3.77
P/B 2.83
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.33
EPS(TTM)0.52
EY5.45%
EPS(NY)0.58
Fwd EY6.04%
FCF(TTM)1.54
FCFY16.14%
OCF(TTM)2.53
OCFY26.55%
SpS34.16
BVpS3.37
TBVpS-4.5
PEG (NY)1.69
PEG (5Y)1.39
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.13%
ROE 18.29%
ROCE 5.01%
ROIC 4.42%
ROICexc 4.57%
ROICexgc 6.74%
OM 3.7%
PM (TTM) 1.81%
GM 39.74%
FCFM 4.51%
ROA(3y)-1.71%
ROA(5y)-1.73%
ROE(3y)-17.32%
ROE(5y)-14.63%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y66.87%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-11.6%
ROICexc growth 3Y66.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y-6.92%
OM growth 3Y49.37%
OM growth 5Y2.77%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y21.87%
GM growth 3Y1.02%
GM growth 5Y-0.06%
F-Score9
Asset Turnover1.18
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.28
Debt/FCF 5.07
Debt/EBITDA 2.94
Cap/Depr 73.57%
Cap/Sales 2.91%
Interest Coverage 2.31
Cash Conversion 96.88%
Profit Quality 249.68%
Current Ratio 0.49
Quick Ratio 0.41
Altman-Z 1.38
F-Score9
WACC8.98%
ROIC/WACC0.49
Cap/Depr(3y)62.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.23%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.38%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)173.24%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y13.18%
EPS Q2Q%280%
EPS Next Y10.83%
EPS Next 2Y4.34%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.44%
Revenue growth 3Y6.64%
Revenue growth 5Y9.73%
Sales Q2Q%5.67%
Revenue Next Year3.76%
Revenue Next 2Y2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.54%
Revenue Next 5Y1.38%
EBIT growth 1Y381.22%
EBIT growth 3Y59.29%
EBIT growth 5Y12.78%
EBIT Next Year121.36%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y586.12%
FCF growth 3Y21.64%
FCF growth 5Y75.37%
OCF growth 1Y568.98%
OCF growth 3Y10.23%
OCF growth 5Y11.48%

CARROLS RESTAURANT GROUP INC / TAST FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for TAST stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to TAST.


What is the valuation status for TAST stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to CARROLS RESTAURANT GROUP INC (TAST). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of TAST stock?

CARROLS RESTAURANT GROUP INC (TAST) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for TAST stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for CARROLS RESTAURANT GROUP INC (TAST) is 18.35 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.83.


Can you provide the financial health for TAST stock?

The financial health rating of CARROLS RESTAURANT GROUP INC (TAST) is 2 / 10.