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SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO (SWN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:SWN - US8454671095 - Common Stock

7.11 USD
-0.04 (-0.56%)
Last: 9/30/2024, 8:04:00 PM
7.09 USD
-0.02 (-0.28%)
After Hours: 9/30/2024, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

SWN gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 208 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. While SWN is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. SWN is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SWN was profitable.
  • In the past year SWN had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: SWN reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SWN had a positive operating cash flow.
SWN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSWN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B -2B 4B 6B

1.2 Ratios

  • SWN's Return On Assets of -27.98% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SWN is outperformed by 96.17% of its industry peers.
  • SWN has a worse Return On Equity (-73.20%) than 91.39% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Invested Capital value of 1.63%, SWN is not doing good in the industry: 78.95% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • SWN had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 30.62%. This is significantly above the industry average of 21.83%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (1.63%) for SWN is well below the 3 year average (30.62%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that SWN had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -27.98%
ROE -73.2%
ROIC 1.63%
ROA(3y)9.03%
ROA(5y)-3.99%
ROE(3y)22.74%
ROE(5y)-106.1%
ROIC(3y)30.62%
ROIC(5y)19.24%
SWN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSWN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -200 -400 -600

1.3 Margins

  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SWN has grown nicely.
  • SWN has a Operating Margin of 2.91%. This is in the lower half of the industry: SWN underperforms 77.99% of its industry peers.
  • SWN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 60.89%, SWN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.99% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SWN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.91%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 60.89%
OM growth 3Y153.44%
OM growth 5Y-15.13%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.5%
GM growth 3Y2.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.18%
SWN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSWN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SWN is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SWN has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
  • SWN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SWN Yearly Shares OutstandingSWN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
SWN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSWN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.85, we must say that SWN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of SWN (0.85) is worse than 63.16% of its industry peers.
  • SWN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.01. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 1.01, SWN is not doing good in the industry: 73.68% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.01
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.85
ROIC/WACC0.25
WACC6.62%
SWN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSWN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SWN has a Current Ratio of 0.53. This is a bad value and indicates that SWN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SWN's Current ratio of 0.53 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SWN is outperformed by 85.65% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.53 indicates that SWN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SWN has a worse Quick ratio (0.53) than 81.82% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.53
Quick Ratio 0.53
SWN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSWN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SWN have decreased strongly by -50.00% in the last year.
  • SWN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -8.06% yearly.
  • The Revenue for SWN has decreased by -50.17% in the past year. This is quite bad
  • SWN shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.05% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50%
EPS 3Y23.01%
EPS 5Y-8.06%
EPS Q2Q%11.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-50.17%
Revenue growth 3Y41.38%
Revenue growth 5Y11.05%
Sales Q2Q%-14.66%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 30.94% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • SWN is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 9.96% yearly.
EPS Next Y-9.6%
EPS Next 2Y30.7%
EPS Next 3Y23.18%
EPS Next 5Y30.94%
Revenue Next Year-22.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.82%
Revenue Next 3Y2.04%
Revenue Next 5Y9.96%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
SWN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSWN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5B 10B 15B
SWN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSWN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 1 1.5

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 14.51 indicates a correct valuation of SWN.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as SWN.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.33. SWN is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 6.21, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of SWN.
  • 79.90% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SWN, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.12. SWN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.51
Fwd PE 6.21
SWN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSWN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SWN is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.1
SWN Per share dataSWN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SWN's earnings are expected to grow with 23.18% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y30.7%
EPS Next 3Y23.18%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for SWN!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO

NYSE:SWN (9/30/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 7.09 -0.02 (-0.28%)

7.11

-0.04 (-0.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)08-01
Earnings (Next)10-31
Inst Owners88.51%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.11%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap7.84B
Revenue(TTM)5.63B
Net Income(TTM)-2.76B
Analysts69
Price Target7.65 (7.59%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.07%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.93%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.21%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)13.41%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.93%
Max EPS beat(4)43.58%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)13.94%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)10.61%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)25.9%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.9%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.88%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)13.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)28.77%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)36.32%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)57.96%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)46.5%
PT rev (1m)-6.5%
PT rev (3m)-10.78%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)15.15%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)33.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.58%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.51
Fwd PE 6.21
P/S 1.39
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 4.5
P/B 2.08
P/tB 2.08
EV/EBITDA 9.1
EPS(TTM)0.49
EY6.89%
EPS(NY)1.14
Fwd EY16.1%
FCF(TTM)-0.11
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.58
OCFY22.2%
SpS5.11
BVpS3.41
TBVpS3.41
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -27.98%
ROE -73.2%
ROCE 2.07%
ROIC 1.63%
ROICexc 1.64%
ROICexgc 1.64%
OM 2.91%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 60.89%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)9.03%
ROA(5y)-3.99%
ROE(3y)22.74%
ROE(5y)-106.1%
ROIC(3y)30.62%
ROIC(5y)19.24%
ROICexc(3y)30.76%
ROICexc(5y)19.32%
ROICexgc(3y)30.89%
ROICexgc(5y)19.41%
ROCE(3y)38.76%
ROCE(5y)24.35%
ROICexgc growth 3Y164.08%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-19.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y164.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y-19.18%
OM growth 3Y153.44%
OM growth 5Y-15.13%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.5%
GM growth 3Y2.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.18%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.57
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.01
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.87
Cap/Depr 161.53%
Cap/Sales 33.08%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 132.09%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.53
Quick Ratio 0.53
Altman-Z 0.85
F-Score2
WACC6.62%
ROIC/WACC0.25
Cap/Depr(3y)178.4%
Cap/Depr(5y)203.9%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)27.57%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50%
EPS 3Y23.01%
EPS 5Y-8.06%
EPS Q2Q%11.11%
EPS Next Y-9.6%
EPS Next 2Y30.7%
EPS Next 3Y23.18%
EPS Next 5Y30.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-50.17%
Revenue growth 3Y41.38%
Revenue growth 5Y11.05%
Sales Q2Q%-14.66%
Revenue Next Year-22.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.82%
Revenue Next 3Y2.04%
Revenue Next 5Y9.96%
EBIT growth 1Y-96.33%
EBIT growth 3Y258.31%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.76%
EBIT Next Year112.9%
EBIT Next 3Y48.03%
EBIT Next 5Y45.93%
FCF growth 1Y-122.12%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-18.83%
OCF growth 3Y68.28%
OCF growth 5Y15.52%

SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO / SWN FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO (SWN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to SWN.


What is the valuation status for SWN stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO (SWN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of SWN stock?

SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO (SWN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO (SWN) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO (SWN) is expected to decline by -9.6% in the next year.


Is the dividend of SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO sustainable?

The dividend rating of SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO (SWN) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.