SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO (SWN) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:SWN • US8454671095

Current stock price

7.11 USD
-0.04 (-0.56%)
At close:
7.09 USD
-0.02 (-0.28%)
After Hours:

This SWN fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. SWN Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SWN was profitable.
  • SWN had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: SWN reported negative net income in multiple years.
  • In the past 5 years SWN always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
SWN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSWN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B -2B 4B 6B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of SWN (-27.98%) is worse than 96.17% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -73.20%, SWN is doing worse than 91.39% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of SWN (1.63%) is worse than 78.95% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SWN is significantly above the industry average of 23.05%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (1.63%) for SWN is well below the 3 year average (30.62%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that SWN had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -27.98%
ROE -73.2%
ROIC 1.63%
ROA(3y)9.03%
ROA(5y)-3.99%
ROE(3y)22.74%
ROE(5y)-106.1%
ROIC(3y)30.62%
ROIC(5y)19.24%
SWN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSWN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -200 -400 -600

1.3 Margins

  • SWN's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of SWN (2.91%) is worse than 77.99% of its industry peers.
  • SWN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • SWN has a Gross Margin of 60.89%. This is in the better half of the industry: SWN outperforms 66.99% of its industry peers.
  • SWN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.91%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 60.89%
OM growth 3Y153.44%
OM growth 5Y-15.13%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.5%
GM growth 3Y2.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.18%
SWN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSWN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

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1

2. SWN Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SWN is creating value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SWN remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
  • SWN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SWN Yearly Shares OutstandingSWN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
SWN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSWN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.85, we must say that SWN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • SWN has a Altman-Z score of 0.85. This is in the lower half of the industry: SWN underperforms 63.16% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.01 is on the high side and indicates that SWN has dependencies on debt financing.
  • SWN has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.01) than 73.68% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.01
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.85
ROIC/WACC0.25
WACC6.62%
SWN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSWN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.53 indicates that SWN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of SWN (0.53) is worse than 85.65% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.53 indicates that SWN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of SWN (0.53) is worse than 81.82% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.53
Quick Ratio 0.53
SWN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSWN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

5

3. SWN Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SWN have decreased strongly by -50.00% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, SWN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -8.06% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, SWN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -50.17% in the last year.
  • SWN shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.05% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50%
EPS 3Y23.01%
EPS 5Y-8.06%
EPS Q2Q%11.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-50.17%
Revenue growth 3Y41.38%
Revenue growth 5Y11.05%
Sales Q2Q%-14.66%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SWN will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 30.94% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SWN will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 9.96% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-9.6%
EPS Next 2Y30.7%
EPS Next 3Y23.18%
EPS Next 5Y30.94%
Revenue Next Year-22.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.82%
Revenue Next 3Y2.04%
Revenue Next 5Y9.96%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
SWN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSWN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5B 10B 15B
SWN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSWN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 1 1.5

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4

4. SWN Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • SWN is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 14.51.
  • SWN's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 24.88, SWN is valued a bit cheaper.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.21 indicates a rather cheap valuation of SWN.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SWN indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SWN is cheaper than 79.90% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.19. SWN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.51
Fwd PE 6.21
SWN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSWN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • SWN's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.1
SWN Per share dataSWN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as SWN's earnings are expected to grow with 23.18% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y30.7%
EPS Next 3Y23.18%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. SWN Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for SWN!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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SWN Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO

NYSE:SWN (9/30/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 7.09 -0.02 (-0.28%)

7.11

-0.04 (-0.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)08-01
Earnings (Next)10-31
Inst Owners88.51%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.11%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap7.84B
Revenue(TTM)5.63B
Net Income(TTM)-2.76B
Analysts69
Price Target7.65 (7.59%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.07%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.93%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.21%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)13.41%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.93%
Max EPS beat(4)43.58%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)13.94%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)10.61%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)25.9%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.9%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.88%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)13.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)28.77%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)36.32%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)57.96%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)46.5%
PT rev (1m)-6.5%
PT rev (3m)-10.78%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)15.15%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)33.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.58%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.51
Fwd PE 6.21
P/S 1.39
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 4.5
P/B 2.08
P/tB 2.08
EV/EBITDA 9.1
EPS(TTM)0.49
EY6.89%
EPS(NY)1.14
Fwd EY16.1%
FCF(TTM)-0.11
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.58
OCFY22.2%
SpS5.11
BVpS3.41
TBVpS3.41
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -27.98%
ROE -73.2%
ROCE 2.07%
ROIC 1.63%
ROICexc 1.64%
ROICexgc 1.64%
OM 2.91%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 60.89%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)9.03%
ROA(5y)-3.99%
ROE(3y)22.74%
ROE(5y)-106.1%
ROIC(3y)30.62%
ROIC(5y)19.24%
ROICexc(3y)30.76%
ROICexc(5y)19.32%
ROICexgc(3y)30.89%
ROICexgc(5y)19.41%
ROCE(3y)38.76%
ROCE(5y)24.35%
ROICexgc growth 3Y164.08%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-19.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y164.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y-19.18%
OM growth 3Y153.44%
OM growth 5Y-15.13%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.5%
GM growth 3Y2.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.18%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.57
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.01
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.87
Cap/Depr 161.53%
Cap/Sales 33.08%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 132.09%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.53
Quick Ratio 0.53
Altman-Z 0.85
F-Score2
WACC6.62%
ROIC/WACC0.25
Cap/Depr(3y)178.4%
Cap/Depr(5y)203.9%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)27.57%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50%
EPS 3Y23.01%
EPS 5Y-8.06%
EPS Q2Q%11.11%
EPS Next Y-9.6%
EPS Next 2Y30.7%
EPS Next 3Y23.18%
EPS Next 5Y30.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-50.17%
Revenue growth 3Y41.38%
Revenue growth 5Y11.05%
Sales Q2Q%-14.66%
Revenue Next Year-22.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.82%
Revenue Next 3Y2.04%
Revenue Next 5Y9.96%
EBIT growth 1Y-96.33%
EBIT growth 3Y258.31%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.76%
EBIT Next Year112.9%
EBIT Next 3Y48.03%
EBIT Next 5Y45.93%
FCF growth 1Y-122.12%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-18.83%
OCF growth 3Y68.28%
OCF growth 5Y15.52%

SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO / SWN Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO (SWN) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to SWN.


What is the valuation status for SWN stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO (SWN). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of SWN stock?

SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO (SWN) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO (SWN) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO (SWN) is expected to decline by -9.6% in the next year.


Is the dividend of SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO sustainable?

The dividend rating of SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO (SWN) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.