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SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO (SWN) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:SWN - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US8454671095 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

7.11  -0.04 (-0.56%)

After market: 7.09 -0.02 (-0.28%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, SWN scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. SWN was compared to 211 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. SWN has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. SWN has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

SWN had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year SWN had a positive cash flow from operations.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: SWN reported negative net income in multiple years.
SWN had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
SWN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSWN Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B -2B 4B -4B 6B

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -27.98%, SWN is doing worse than 96.17% of the companies in the same industry.
With a Return On Equity value of -73.20%, SWN is not doing good in the industry: 91.39% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
SWN has a Return On Invested Capital of 1.63%. This is in the lower half of the industry: SWN underperforms 78.95% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SWN is significantly above the industry average of 23.70%.
The 3 year average ROIC (30.62%) for SWN is well above the current ROIC(1.63%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -27.98%
ROE -73.2%
ROIC 1.63%
ROA(3y)9.03%
ROA(5y)-3.99%
ROE(3y)22.74%
ROE(5y)-106.1%
ROIC(3y)30.62%
ROIC(5y)19.24%
SWN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSWN Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -200 -400 -600

1.3 Margins

In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SWN has grown nicely.
SWN has a worse Operating Margin (2.91%) than 77.99% of its industry peers.
SWN's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 60.89%, SWN is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.99% of the companies in the same industry.
SWN's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.91%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 60.89%
OM growth 3Y153.44%
OM growth 5Y-15.13%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.5%
GM growth 3Y2.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.18%
SWN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSWN Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SWN is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for SWN remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, SWN has more shares outstanding
SWN has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SWN Yearly Shares OutstandingSWN Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
SWN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSWN Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.85, we must say that SWN is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
SWN has a worse Altman-Z score (0.85) than 63.16% of its industry peers.
SWN has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.01. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
SWN's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.01 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SWN is outperformed by 73.68% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.01
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 0.85
ROIC/WACC0.25
WACC6.62%
SWN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSWN Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 2B 4B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.53 indicates that SWN may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.53, SWN is not doing good in the industry: 85.65% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
SWN has a Quick Ratio of 0.53. This is a bad value and indicates that SWN is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.53, SWN is not doing good in the industry: 81.82% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.53
Quick Ratio 0.53
SWN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSWN Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for SWN have decreased strongly by -50.00% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, SWN shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -8.06% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, SWN shows a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -50.17% in the last year.
SWN shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 11.05% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50%
EPS 3Y23.01%
EPS 5Y-8.06%
EPS Q2Q%11.11%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-50.17%
Revenue growth 3Y41.38%
Revenue growth 5Y11.05%
Sales Q2Q%-14.66%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, SWN will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 30.94% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 9.96% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-9.6%
EPS Next 2Y30.7%
EPS Next 3Y23.18%
EPS Next 5Y30.94%
Revenue Next Year-22.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.82%
Revenue Next 3Y2.04%
Revenue Next 5Y9.96%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
SWN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSWN Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 5B 10B 15B
SWN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSWN Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0 0.5 1 1.5 2

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.51, the valuation of SWN can be described as correct.
SWN's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
SWN is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.45, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.21, the valuation of SWN can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SWN is valued a bit cheaper than 79.90% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.90. SWN is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.51
Fwd PE 6.21
SWN Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSWN Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as SWN.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.1
SWN Per share dataSWN EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 2 3 4 5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

SWN's earnings are expected to grow with 23.18% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y30.7%
EPS Next 3Y23.18%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for SWN!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

SOUTHWESTERN ENERGY CO

NYSE:SWN (9/30/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 7.09 -0.02 (-0.28%)

7.11

-0.04 (-0.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)08-01 2024-08-01/amc
Earnings (Next)10-31 2024-10-31/amc
Inst Owners88.51%
Inst Owner Change-51.79%
Ins Owners1.11%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap7.84B
Analysts69
Price Target7.65 (7.59%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.07%
Min EPS beat(2)-11.93%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.21%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)13.41%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.93%
Max EPS beat(4)43.58%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)13.94%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)10.61%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)25.9%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.49%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.9%
Max Revenue beat(2)10.88%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)13.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.9%
Max Revenue beat(4)28.77%
Revenue beat(8)6
Avg Revenue beat(8)36.32%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)57.96%
Revenue beat(16)13
Avg Revenue beat(16)46.5%
PT rev (1m)-6.5%
PT rev (3m)-10.78%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)15.15%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)33.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.25%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.58%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.51
Fwd PE 6.21
P/S 1.39
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 4.5
P/B 2.08
P/tB 2.08
EV/EBITDA 9.1
EPS(TTM)0.49
EY6.89%
EPS(NY)1.14
Fwd EY16.1%
FCF(TTM)-0.11
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)1.58
OCFY22.2%
SpS5.11
BVpS3.41
TBVpS3.41
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -27.98%
ROE -73.2%
ROCE 2.07%
ROIC 1.63%
ROICexc 1.64%
ROICexgc 1.64%
OM 2.91%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 60.89%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)9.03%
ROA(5y)-3.99%
ROE(3y)22.74%
ROE(5y)-106.1%
ROIC(3y)30.62%
ROIC(5y)19.24%
ROICexc(3y)30.76%
ROICexc(5y)19.32%
ROICexgc(3y)30.89%
ROICexgc(5y)19.41%
ROCE(3y)38.76%
ROCE(5y)24.35%
ROICexcg growth 3Y164.08%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-19.13%
ROICexc growth 3Y164.83%
ROICexc growth 5Y-19.18%
OM growth 3Y153.44%
OM growth 5Y-15.13%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y11.5%
GM growth 3Y2.88%
GM growth 5Y-1.18%
F-Score2
Asset Turnover0.57
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.01
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 2.87
Cap/Depr 161.53%
Cap/Sales 33.08%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 132.09%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.53
Quick Ratio 0.53
Altman-Z 0.85
F-Score2
WACC6.62%
ROIC/WACC0.25
Cap/Depr(3y)178.4%
Cap/Depr(5y)203.9%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.95%
Cap/Sales(5y)27.57%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-50%
EPS 3Y23.01%
EPS 5Y-8.06%
EPS Q2Q%11.11%
EPS Next Y-9.6%
EPS Next 2Y30.7%
EPS Next 3Y23.18%
EPS Next 5Y30.94%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-50.17%
Revenue growth 3Y41.38%
Revenue growth 5Y11.05%
Sales Q2Q%-14.66%
Revenue Next Year-22.08%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.82%
Revenue Next 3Y2.04%
Revenue Next 5Y9.96%
EBIT growth 1Y-96.33%
EBIT growth 3Y258.31%
EBIT growth 5Y-5.76%
EBIT Next Year112.9%
EBIT Next 3Y48.03%
EBIT Next 5Y45.93%
FCF growth 1Y-122.12%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-18.83%
OCF growth 3Y68.28%
OCF growth 5Y15.52%