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SOLARWINDS CORP (SWI) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:SWI - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US83417Q2049 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

18.31  +3.28 (+21.82%)

After market: 18.33 +0.02 (+0.11%)

Fundamental Rating

4

SWI gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 284 industry peers in the Software industry. While SWI is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. SWI is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

SWI had positive earnings in the past year.
SWI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: SWI reported negative net income in multiple years.
Each year in the past 5 years SWI had a positive operating cash flow.
SWI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSWI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M -400M -600M -800M

1.2 Ratios

SWI has a better Return On Assets (1.24%) than 64.62% of its industry peers.
SWI's Return On Equity of 2.83% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SWI outperforms 68.23% of its industry peers.
SWI has a better Return On Invested Capital (5.68%) than 76.53% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.24%
ROE 2.83%
ROIC 5.68%
ROA(3y)-10.13%
ROA(5y)-5.46%
ROE(3y)-23.58%
ROE(5y)-12.96%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SWI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSWI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 4.93%, SWI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 69.31% of the companies in the same industry.
SWI's Operating Margin of 24.40% is amongst the best of the industry. SWI outperforms 91.34% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SWI has grown nicely.
The Gross Margin of SWI (89.30%) is better than 95.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SWI has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 24.4%
PM (TTM) 4.93%
GM 89.3%
OM growth 3Y30.11%
OM growth 5Y7.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.89%
GM growth 5Y4.69%
SWI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSWI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

SWI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
SWI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
SWI has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, SWI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
SWI Yearly Shares OutstandingSWI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M
SWI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSWI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.75, we must say that SWI is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
With a Altman-Z score value of 0.75, SWI is not doing good in the industry: 68.59% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
SWI has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.51. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as SWI would need 7.51 years to pay back of all of its debts.
SWI's Debt to FCF ratio of 7.51 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. SWI outperforms 51.99% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.88 indicates that SWI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
SWI has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.88) than 75.45% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 7.51
Altman-Z 0.75
ROIC/WACC0.5
WACC11.41%
SWI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSWI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.71 indicates that SWI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
SWI's Current ratio of 0.71 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SWI is outperformed by 86.28% of its industry peers.
SWI has a Quick Ratio of 0.71. This is a bad value and indicates that SWI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.71, SWI is doing worse than 85.20% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.71
Quick Ratio 0.71
SWI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSWI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

SWI shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 27.71%, which is quite impressive.
SWI shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -23.69% yearly.
SWI shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.95%.
The Revenue has been decreasing by -1.85% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.71%
EPS 3Y-23.69%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%17.39%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.95%
Revenue growth 3Y1.91%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.85%
Sales Q2Q%5.5%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, SWI will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.89% on average per year.
SWI is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.14% yearly.
EPS Next Y25.25%
EPS Next 2Y10.95%
EPS Next 3Y8.89%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.23%
Revenue Next 2Y4.13%
Revenue Next 3Y4.14%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
SWI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSWI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
SWI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSWI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 17.27, the valuation of SWI can be described as rather expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SWI is valued cheaper than 88.81% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SWI to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.12), we can say SWI is valued slightly cheaper.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.90, SWI is valued correctly.
SWI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SWI is cheaper than 90.97% of the companies in the same industry.
SWI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 94.77.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.27
Fwd PE 16.9
SWI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSWI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SWI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.89% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SWI is valued cheaper than 90.97% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.47
EV/EBITDA 13.35
SWI Per share dataSWI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
The decent profitability rating of SWI may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.68
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y10.95%
EPS Next 3Y8.89%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

SWI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.72%, which is a nice return.
SWI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 11.93. SWI pays more dividend than 98.56% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.29, SWI pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.72%

5.2 History

SWI is new to the dividend game and has less than 3 years of track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
SWI Yearly Dividends per shareSWI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2021 2024 0.5 1

5.3 Sustainability

SWI pays out 435.01% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
DP435.01%
EPS Next 2Y10.95%
EPS Next 3Y8.89%
SWI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSWI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M -400M -600M -800M
SWI Dividend Payout.SWI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SWI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

SOLARWINDS CORP

NYSE:SWI (2/7/2025, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 18.33 +0.02 (+0.11%)

18.31

+3.28 (+21.82%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustrySoftware
Earnings (Last)10-31 2024-10-31/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-11 2025-02-11/amc
Inst Owners27.87%
Inst Owner Change0.29%
Ins Owners1.61%
Ins Owner Change-0.73%
Market Cap3.12B
Analysts53.33
Price Target15.11 (-17.48%)
Short Float %3.67%
Short Ratio3.74
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 6.72%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP435.01%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)10.87%
Min EPS beat(2)8.17%
Max EPS beat(2)13.57%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)16.56%
Min EPS beat(4)8.17%
Max EPS beat(4)31.37%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)16.1%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)13.11%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)13.26%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.74%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.42%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.07%
Revenue beat(4)4
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.7%
Min Revenue beat(4)0.29%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.01%
Revenue beat(8)8
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.06%
Revenue beat(12)10
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.27%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)-4.86%
PT rev (1m)1.72%
PT rev (3m)1.76%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.39%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.81%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.02%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.79%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.73%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.27
Fwd PE 16.9
P/S 3.98
P/FCF 19.47
P/OCF 17.28
P/B 2.29
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 13.35
EPS(TTM)1.06
EY5.79%
EPS(NY)1.08
Fwd EY5.92%
FCF(TTM)0.94
FCFY5.14%
OCF(TTM)1.06
OCFY5.79%
SpS4.6
BVpS8
TBVpS-6.95
PEG (NY)0.68
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 1.24%
ROE 2.83%
ROCE 7.19%
ROIC 5.68%
ROICexc 6.14%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 24.4%
PM (TTM) 4.93%
GM 89.3%
FCFM 20.44%
ROA(3y)-10.13%
ROA(5y)-5.46%
ROE(3y)-23.58%
ROE(5y)-12.96%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y65.52%
ROICexc growth 5Y18.4%
OM growth 3Y30.11%
OM growth 5Y7.46%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.89%
GM growth 5Y4.69%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.25
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.88
Debt/FCF 7.51
Debt/EBITDA 4.48
Cap/Depr 27.03%
Cap/Sales 2.6%
Interest Coverage 1.75
Cash Conversion 67.74%
Profit Quality 414.93%
Current Ratio 0.71
Quick Ratio 0.71
Altman-Z 0.75
F-Score7
WACC11.41%
ROIC/WACC0.5
Cap/Depr(3y)16.72%
Cap/Depr(5y)13.44%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.41%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.51%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)27.71%
EPS 3Y-23.69%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%17.39%
EPS Next Y25.25%
EPS Next 2Y10.95%
EPS Next 3Y8.89%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.95%
Revenue growth 3Y1.91%
Revenue growth 5Y-1.85%
Sales Q2Q%5.5%
Revenue Next Year5.23%
Revenue Next 2Y4.13%
Revenue Next 3Y4.14%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y37.63%
EBIT growth 3Y32.6%
EBIT growth 5Y5.47%
EBIT Next Year29.38%
EBIT Next 3Y10.23%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y31.26%
FCF growth 3Y-23.45%
FCF growth 5Y-6.85%
OCF growth 1Y26.6%
OCF growth 3Y-22.25%
OCF growth 5Y-6.31%