SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:SU • CA8672241079

Current stock price

59.59 USD
-0.16 (-0.27%)
At close:
59.9495 USD
+0.36 (+0.6%)
After Hours:

This SU fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. SU Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SU had positive earnings in the past year.
  • SU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years SU has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years SU always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
SU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

  • SU has a better Return On Assets (6.58%) than 73.43% of its industry peers.
  • SU has a Return On Equity of 13.11%. This is in the better half of the industry: SU outperforms 71.01% of its industry peers.
  • SU's Return On Invested Capital of 7.42% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 69.57% of its industry peers.
  • SU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.99%. This is significantly below the industry average of 22.51%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.58%
ROE 13.11%
ROIC 7.42%
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
SU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 12.10%, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.87% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SU has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 16.35%, SU is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.21% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SU has declined.
  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 63.09%, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.46% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SU's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.35%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 63.09%
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
SU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

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6

2. SU Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SU has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SU has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for SU has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • SU has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SU Yearly Shares OutstandingSU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B
SU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.55 indicates that SU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • SU has a better Altman-Z score (2.55) than 72.95% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SU is 2.09, which is a good value as it means it would take SU, 2.09 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SU (2.09) is better than 84.54% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29 indicates that SU is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • SU has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.29. This is in the better half of the industry: SU outperforms 65.22% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.09
Altman-Z 2.55
ROIC/WACC0.91
WACC8.14%
SU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SU has a Current Ratio of 1.39. This is a normal value and indicates that SU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.39, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.89 indicates that SU may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of SU (0.89) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.89
SU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. SU Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SU have decreased strongly by -14.97% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for SU have been decreasing by -17.92% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, SU shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.51% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, SU shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 14.68% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SU will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.38% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SU will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.13% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-14.08%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue Next Year-5.36%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
SU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B
SU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 4 6 8

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3

4. SU Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 17.74, the valuation of SU can be described as rather expensive.
  • SU's Price/Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • SU is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 20.66, the valuation of SU can be described as rather expensive.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as SU.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.84. SU is around the same levels.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.74
Fwd PE 20.66
SU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SU is valued a bit cheaper than 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 71.50% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SU, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14
EV/EBITDA 7.23
SU Per share dataSU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. SU Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.95%, SU has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • SU's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.44.
  • SU's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.95%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of SU grows each year by 16.10%, which is quite nice.
  • SU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
SU Yearly Dividends per shareSU Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • SU pays out 47.47% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of SU is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP47.47%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
SU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B
SU Dividend Payout.SU Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SU Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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SU Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SUNCOR ENERGY INC

NYSE:SU (3/13/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 59.9495 +0.36 (+0.6%)

59.59

-0.16 (-0.27%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners72.32%
Inst Owner Change0.1%
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap70.73B
Revenue(TTM)48.91B
Net Income(TTM)5.92B
Analysts75.86
Price Target55.11 (-7.52%)
Short Float %1.61%
Short Ratio4.07
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.95%
Yearly Dividend1.68
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
DP47.47%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.57%
Min EPS beat(2)6.26%
Max EPS beat(2)32.87%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.14%
Min EPS beat(4)0.63%
Max EPS beat(4)32.87%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)13.43%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)11.91%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)10.38%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.14%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.56%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.96%
PT rev (1m)6.12%
PT rev (3m)12.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)3.93%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.85%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.94%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)9.54%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.79%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.5%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.45%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 17.74
Fwd PE 20.66
P/S 1.98
P/FCF 14
P/OCF 7.58
P/B 2.15
P/tB 2.33
EV/EBITDA 7.23
EPS(TTM)3.36
EY5.64%
EPS(NY)2.88
Fwd EY4.84%
FCF(TTM)4.26
FCFY7.14%
OCF(TTM)7.86
OCFY13.19%
SpS30.07
BVpS27.74
TBVpS25.62
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number45.8
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.58%
ROE 13.11%
ROCE 10.03%
ROIC 7.42%
ROICexc 7.78%
ROICexgc 8.15%
OM 16.35%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 63.09%
FCFM 14.16%
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
ROICexc(3y)8.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.07%
ROICexgc(3y)8.69%
ROICexgc(5y)9.52%
ROCE(3y)10.82%
ROCE(5y)12.04%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.29%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.17%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.09
Debt/EBITDA 0.86
Cap/Depr 84.67%
Cap/Sales 11.97%
Interest Coverage 8.9
Cash Conversion 85.72%
Profit Quality 117.02%
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.89
Altman-Z 2.55
F-Score7
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACC0.91
Cap/Depr(3y)90.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.45%
Profit Quality(3y)117.27%
Profit Quality(5y)128.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
EPS Next Y-14.08%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
Revenue Next Year-5.36%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year85.56%
EBIT Next 3Y26.66%
EBIT Next 5Y17.08%
FCF growth 1Y-26.93%
FCF growth 3Y-13.12%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.92%
OCF growth 3Y-6.59%
OCF growth 5Y36.73%

SUNCOR ENERGY INC / SU Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SU.


Can you provide the valuation status for SUNCOR ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

The financial health rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is 5 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SU stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is expected to decline by -14.08% in the next year.