SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:SU • CA8672241079

56.84 USD
-0.77 (-1.34%)
At close: Mar 6, 2026
56.93 USD
+0.09 (+0.16%)
After Hours: 3/6/2026, 8:04:00 PM
Overview Stock Chart Technical Analysis Fundamental Analysis Forecast Earnings Financials Ownership News

This SU fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

5

Taking everything into account, SU scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. SU was compared to 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. SU has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. SU is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. SU Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SU had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year SU had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • SU had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • SU had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
SU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 6.58%, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.95% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 13.11%, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SU's Return On Invested Capital of 7.42% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 69.57% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.58%
ROE 13.11%
ROIC 7.42%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of SU (12.10%) is better than 61.84% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SU has declined.
  • SU has a Operating Margin (16.35%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SU has declined.
  • SU has a better Gross Margin (63.09%) than 72.46% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SU has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.35%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 63.09%
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
SU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

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5

2. SU Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SU is destroying value.
  • SU has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
SU Yearly Shares OutstandingSU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B
SU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • SU has an Altman-Z score of 2.50. This is not the best score and indicates that SU is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.50, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SU has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.09. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as SU would need 2.09 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SU (2.09) is better than 84.54% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29 indicates that SU is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.29, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.22% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.09
Altman-Z 2.5
ROIC/WACC0.91
WACC8.14%
SU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SU has a Current Ratio of 1.39. This is a normal value and indicates that SU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.39, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 61.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.89 indicates that SU may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SU has a Quick ratio (0.89) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.89
SU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

3

3. SU Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • SU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -14.97%.
  • The earnings per share for SU have been decreasing by -17.92% on average. This is quite bad
  • SU shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -3.51%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 14.68% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%

3.2 Future

  • SU is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.20% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SU will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.03% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-15.64%
EPS Next 2Y-4.3%
EPS Next 3Y21.83%
EPS Next 5Y12.2%
Revenue Next Year-5.93%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.03%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
SU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B
SU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 4 6 8

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4

4. SU Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • SU is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.82.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of SU is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.29, SU is valued a bit cheaper.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 19.96, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of SU.
  • SU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SU to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.57), we can say SU is valued inline with the index average.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.82
Fwd PE 19.96
SU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SU indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SU is cheaper than 68.60% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SU is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 74.40% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 13.31
EV/EBITDA 6.99
SU Per share dataSU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as SU's earnings are expected to grow with 21.83% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-4.3%
EPS Next 3Y21.83%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. SU Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.16%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.40, SU has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • SU's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.16%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SU has a limited annual growth rate of 5.68%.
  • SU has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.68%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
SU Yearly Dividends per shareSU Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • SU pays out 47.47% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of SU is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP47.47%
EPS Next 2Y-4.3%
EPS Next 3Y21.83%
SU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B
SU Dividend Payout.SU Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SU Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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SU Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SUNCOR ENERGY INC

NYSE:SU (3/6/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 56.93 +0.09 (+0.16%)

56.84

-0.77 (-1.34%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners72.21%
Inst Owner Change0.23%
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap67.64B
Revenue(TTM)48.91B
Net Income(TTM)5.92B
Analysts77.24
Price Target55.11 (-3.04%)
Short Float %1.61%
Short Ratio4.07
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.16%
Yearly Dividend1.62
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.68%
DP47.47%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.57%
Min EPS beat(2)6.26%
Max EPS beat(2)32.87%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.14%
Min EPS beat(4)0.63%
Max EPS beat(4)32.87%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)13.43%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)11.91%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)10.38%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.14%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.56%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.96%
PT rev (1m)11.52%
PT rev (3m)16.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)5.82%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)10.69%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)5.6%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.1%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.11%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.03%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.82
Fwd PE 19.96
P/S 1.88
P/FCF 13.31
P/OCF 7.21
P/B 2.04
P/tB 2.21
EV/EBITDA 6.99
EPS(TTM)3.38
EY5.95%
EPS(NY)2.85
Fwd EY5.01%
FCF(TTM)4.27
FCFY7.52%
OCF(TTM)7.88
OCFY13.87%
SpS30.17
BVpS27.83
TBVpS25.7
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number46.01
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.58%
ROE 13.11%
ROCE 10.03%
ROIC 7.42%
ROICexc 7.78%
ROICexgc 8.15%
OM 16.35%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 63.09%
FCFM 14.16%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.09
Debt/EBITDA 0.86
Cap/Depr 84.67%
Cap/Sales 11.97%
Interest Coverage 8.9
Cash Conversion 85.72%
Profit Quality 117.02%
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.89
Altman-Z 2.5
F-Score7
WACC8.14%
ROIC/WACC0.91
Cap/Depr(3y)90.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.45%
Profit Quality(3y)117.27%
Profit Quality(5y)128.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
EPS Next Y-15.64%
EPS Next 2Y-4.3%
EPS Next 3Y21.83%
EPS Next 5Y12.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
Revenue Next Year-5.93%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.66%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.03%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year82.3%
EBIT Next 3Y26.66%
EBIT Next 5Y16.89%
FCF growth 1Y-26.93%
FCF growth 3Y-13.12%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.92%
OCF growth 3Y-6.59%
OCF growth 5Y36.73%

SUNCOR ENERGY INC / SU FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SU.


Can you provide the valuation status for SUNCOR ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the financial health of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

The financial health rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is 5 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SU stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is expected to decline by -15.64% in the next year.