SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:SU - CA8672241079 - Common Stock
40 USD
+0.37 (+0.93%)
40 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, SU scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. SU was compared to 209 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. SU has only an average score on both its financial health and profitability. SU has a valuation in line with the averages, but on the other hand it scores bad on growth. SU also has an excellent dividend rating. This makes SU very considerable for dividend investing!
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year SU was profitable.
SU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years SU 4 years were profitable.
In the past 5 years SU always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
With a decent Return On Assets value of 6.39%, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.33% of the companies in the same industry.
SU has a better Return On Equity (12.70%) than 69.38% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.92%, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.81% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SU is significantly below the industry average of 21.71%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.39% | ||
| ROE | 12.7% | ||
| ROIC | 7.92% |
ROA(3y)8.93%
ROA(5y)5.32%
ROE(3y)18.58%
ROE(5y)10.98%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
SU has a Profit Margin of 11.38%. This is in the better half of the industry: SU outperforms 60.29% of its industry peers.
SU's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With a Operating Margin value of 16.36%, SU perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.33% of the companies in the same industry.
SU's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
SU's Gross Margin of 61.80% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 69.38% of its industry peers.
SU's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.36% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.38% | ||
| GM | 61.8% |
OM growth 3Y4.42%
OM growth 5Y1.85%
PM growth 3Y4.08%
PM growth 5Y9.44%
GM growth 3Y-1.29%
GM growth 5Y-1.52%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
SU has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for SU has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, SU has less shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, SU has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 2.17 indicates that SU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.17, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.86% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SU is 1.69, which is an excellent value as it means it would take SU, only 1.69 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
SU's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.69 is amongst the best of the industry. SU outperforms 84.21% of its industry peers.
SU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.28. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
SU's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.28 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 63.64% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.17 |
ROIC/WACC1.05
WACC7.52%
2.3 Liquidity
SU has a Current Ratio of 1.26. This is a normal value and indicates that SU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.26, SU is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.42% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.77 indicates that SU may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
SU's Quick ratio of 0.77 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SU is outperformed by 60.77% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.77 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for SU have decreased strongly by -13.00% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, SU shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 14.08% on average per year.
SU shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -1.96%.
SU shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.74% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13%
EPS 3Y28.33%
EPS 5Y14.08%
EPS Q2Q%-44.09%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.96%
Revenue growth 3Y9.01%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%-8.04%
3.2 Future
SU is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 9.98% yearly.
SU is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.17% yearly.
EPS Next Y-24.86%
EPS Next 2Y-17.56%
EPS Next 3Y5.62%
EPS Next 5Y9.98%
Revenue Next Year-3.12%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.69%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.43%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.17%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
SU is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.80.
SU's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SU is cheaper than 67.46% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.76, SU is valued rather cheaply.
SU is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.23.
SU's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SU to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.63), we can say SU is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.8 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.23 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SU is valued a bit cheaper than 74.16% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SU indicates a rather cheap valuation: SU is cheaper than 82.78% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.05 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.24 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
SU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.84
EPS Next 2Y-17.56%
EPS Next 3Y5.62%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
SU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.11%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.15, SU pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.31, SU pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.11% |
5.2 History
The dividend of SU has a limited annual growth rate of 5.68%.
SU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.68%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
49.55% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SU. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of SU is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP49.55%
EPS Next 2Y-17.56%
EPS Next 3Y5.62%
40
+0.37 (+0.93%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners72.88%
Inst Owner Change0.16%
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap48.53B
Revenue(TTM)49.73B
Net Income(TTM)5.66B
Analysts76.43
Price Target45.62 (14.05%)
Short Float %0.66%
Short Ratio2
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.11% |
Yearly Dividend1.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.68%
DP49.55%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)2.72%
Min EPS beat(2)0.63%
Max EPS beat(2)4.81%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.88%
Min EPS beat(4)0.63%
Max EPS beat(4)32.04%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)11.35%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)8.62%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)7.45%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.14%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.67%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.14%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)1.33%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.71%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.47%
PT rev (1m)-0.78%
PT rev (3m)0.73%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)21.14%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-12.35%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.86%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-3.24%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.8 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.23 | ||
| P/S | 1.37 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.05 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.71 | ||
| P/B | 1.52 | ||
| P/tB | 1.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.24 |
EPS(TTM)3.39
EY8.48%
EPS(NY)2.63
Fwd EY6.57%
FCF(TTM)4.97
FCFY12.42%
OCF(TTM)8.49
OCFY21.22%
SpS29.28
BVpS26.24
TBVpS24.2
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.84
Graham Number44.74
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.39% | ||
| ROE | 12.7% | ||
| ROCE | 10.43% | ||
| ROIC | 7.92% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.16% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.55% | ||
| OM | 16.36% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.38% | ||
| GM | 61.8% | ||
| FCFM | 16.97% |
ROA(3y)8.93%
ROA(5y)5.32%
ROE(3y)18.58%
ROE(5y)10.98%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.71%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)11.24%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.94%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y12.14%
ROICexgc growth 5Y8.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y12.23%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.69%
OM growth 3Y4.42%
OM growth 5Y1.85%
PM growth 3Y4.08%
PM growth 5Y9.44%
GM growth 3Y-1.29%
GM growth 5Y-1.52%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.56
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.28 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 1.69 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.81 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 85.23% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 12.02% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 9.01 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 95.17% | ||
| Profit Quality | 149.11% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.77 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.17 |
F-Score5
WACC7.52%
ROIC/WACC1.05
Cap/Depr(3y)81.25%
Cap/Depr(5y)72.56%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.22%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.24%
Profit Quality(3y)117.04%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-13%
EPS 3Y28.33%
EPS 5Y14.08%
EPS Q2Q%-44.09%
EPS Next Y-24.86%
EPS Next 2Y-17.56%
EPS Next 3Y5.62%
EPS Next 5Y9.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.96%
Revenue growth 3Y9.01%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%-8.04%
Revenue Next Year-3.12%
Revenue Next 2Y-3.69%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.43%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.17%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.79%
EBIT growth 3Y13.82%
EBIT growth 5Y7.7%
EBIT Next Year57.21%
EBIT Next 3Y15.71%
EBIT Next 5Y10.82%
FCF growth 1Y26.95%
FCF growth 3Y9.55%
FCF growth 5Y14.28%
OCF growth 1Y18.04%
OCF growth 3Y10.7%
OCF growth 5Y8.9%
SUNCOR ENERGY INC / SU FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SU.
What is the valuation status for SU stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for SUNCOR ENERGY INC?
SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
How financially healthy is SUNCOR ENERGY INC?
The financial health rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is 6 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is expected to decline by -24.86% in the next year.