SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:SU • CA8672241079

Current stock price

61.16 USD
-2.66 (-4.17%)
At close:
61.16 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This SU fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. SU Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SU had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year SU had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SU has been profitable.
  • SU had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
SU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

  • SU has a better Return On Assets (6.58%) than 73.68% of its industry peers.
  • SU has a Return On Equity of 13.11%. This is in the better half of the industry: SU outperforms 70.81% of its industry peers.
  • SU has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.42%. This is in the better half of the industry: SU outperforms 68.90% of its industry peers.
  • SU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.99%. This is significantly below the industry average of 22.60%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.58%
ROE 13.11%
ROIC 7.42%
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
SU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • SU's Profit Margin of 12.10% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 60.77% of its industry peers.
  • SU's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 16.35%, SU is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SU's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 63.09%, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SU has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.35%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 63.09%
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
SU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

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6

2. SU Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SU is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SU has less shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for SU has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SU has an improved debt to assets ratio.
SU Yearly Shares OutstandingSU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B
SU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • SU has an Altman-Z score of 2.65. This is not the best score and indicates that SU is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • SU's Altman-Z score of 2.65 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 75.60% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SU is 2.09, which is a good value as it means it would take SU, 2.09 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • SU has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.09) than 85.65% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29 indicates that SU is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.29, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 66.51% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.09
Altman-Z 2.65
ROIC/WACC1.01
WACC7.36%
SU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.39 indicates that SU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SU has a better Current ratio (1.39) than 60.77% of its industry peers.
  • SU has a Quick Ratio of 1.39. This is a bad value and indicates that SU is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.89, SU perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 44.02% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.89
SU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. SU Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • SU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -14.97%.
  • The earnings per share for SU have been decreasing by -17.92% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, SU shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.51% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 14.68% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SU will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.38% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SU will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.13% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.79%
EPS Next 2Y11.07%
EPS Next 3Y17.68%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue Next Year3.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.26%
Revenue Next 3Y0.51%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
SU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B
SU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 4 6 8

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4

4. SU Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 18.26, SU is valued on the expensive side.
  • SU's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.53, SU is valued a bit cheaper.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.33, SU is valued correctly.
  • SU's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • SU is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 37.95, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.26
Fwd PE 16.33
SU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 62.68% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SU, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SU is valued a bit cheaper than 67.94% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.39
EV/EBITDA 7.7
SU Per share dataSU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SU's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • SU's earnings are expected to grow with 17.68% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.55
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y11.07%
EPS Next 3Y17.68%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. SU Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.74%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • SU's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.23.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, SU pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.74%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SU is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 16.10%!
  • SU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
SU Yearly Dividends per shareSU Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • 47.47% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SU. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • SU's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP47.47%
EPS Next 2Y11.07%
EPS Next 3Y17.68%
SU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B
SU Dividend Payout.SU Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SU Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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SU Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SUNCOR ENERGY INC

NYSE:SU (4/17/2026, 5:05:00 PM)

After market: 61.16 0 (0%)

61.16

-2.66 (-4.17%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners72.3%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap72.59B
Revenue(TTM)48.91B
Net Income(TTM)5.92B
Analysts76.43
Price Target65.51 (7.11%)
Short Float %0.62%
Short Ratio1.28
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.74%
Yearly Dividend1.67
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
DP47.47%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.57%
Min EPS beat(2)6.26%
Max EPS beat(2)32.87%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.14%
Min EPS beat(4)0.63%
Max EPS beat(4)32.87%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)13.43%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)11.91%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)10.38%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.14%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.56%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.96%
PT rev (1m)18.86%
PT rev (3m)30.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)23.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)23.62%
EPS NY rev (1m)30.11%
EPS NY rev (3m)33.69%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)8.23%
Revenue NY rev (1m)8.85%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.4%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.26
Fwd PE 16.33
P/S 2.04
P/FCF 14.39
P/OCF 7.8
P/B 2.21
P/tB 2.39
EV/EBITDA 7.7
EPS(TTM)3.35
EY5.48%
EPS(NY)3.75
Fwd EY6.12%
FCF(TTM)4.25
FCFY6.95%
OCF(TTM)7.84
OCFY12.83%
SpS30.02
BVpS27.69
TBVpS25.57
PEG (NY)1.55
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number45.6888 (-25.3%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.58%
ROE 13.11%
ROCE 10.03%
ROIC 7.42%
ROICexc 7.78%
ROICexgc 8.15%
OM 16.35%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 63.09%
FCFM 14.16%
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
ROICexc(3y)8.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.07%
ROICexgc(3y)8.69%
ROICexgc(5y)9.52%
ROCE(3y)10.82%
ROCE(5y)12.04%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.29%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.17%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.09
Debt/EBITDA 0.86
Cap/Depr 84.67%
Cap/Sales 11.97%
Interest Coverage 8.9
Cash Conversion 85.72%
Profit Quality 117.02%
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.89
Altman-Z 2.65
F-Score7
WACC7.36%
ROIC/WACC1.01
Cap/Depr(3y)90.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.45%
Profit Quality(3y)117.27%
Profit Quality(5y)128.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
EPS Next Y11.79%
EPS Next 2Y11.07%
EPS Next 3Y17.68%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
Revenue Next Year3.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.26%
Revenue Next 3Y0.51%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year113.39%
EBIT Next 3Y31.32%
EBIT Next 5Y17.08%
FCF growth 1Y-26.93%
FCF growth 3Y-13.12%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.92%
OCF growth 3Y-6.59%
OCF growth 5Y36.73%

SUNCOR ENERGY INC / SU Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SU.


What is the valuation status of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of SU stock?

SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the valuation of SUNCOR ENERGY INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is 18.26 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.21.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SU stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is expected to grow by 11.79% in the next year.