SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:SU • CA8672241079

52.275 USD
-1.41 (-2.64%)
Last: Jan 30, 2026, 01:30 PM
Fundamental Rating

5

Overall SU gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated SU against 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. SU has an average financial health and profitability rating. SU is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SU was profitable.
  • In the past year SU had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years SU 4 years were profitable.
  • In the past 5 years SU always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
SU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

  • SU's Return On Assets of 5.88% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 70.53% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 11.65%, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 68.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of SU (7.63%) is better than 70.53% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SU is significantly below the industry average of 21.94%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.88%
ROE 11.65%
ROIC 7.63%
ROA(3y)8.93%
ROA(5y)5.32%
ROE(3y)18.58%
ROE(5y)10.98%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
SU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • With a Profit Margin value of 10.65%, SU perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 59.42% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SU's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • SU has a Operating Margin (16.10%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SU has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 62.21%, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SU's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.1%
PM (TTM) 10.65%
GM 62.21%
OM growth 3Y4.42%
OM growth 5Y1.85%
PM growth 3Y4.08%
PM growth 5Y9.44%
GM growth 3Y-1.29%
GM growth 5Y-1.52%
SU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

6

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SU is still creating some value.
  • SU has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • SU has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for SU has been reduced compared to a year ago.
SU Yearly Shares OutstandingSU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B
SU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.43 indicates that SU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.43, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SU is 1.80, which is an excellent value as it means it would take SU, only 1.80 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.80, SU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 84.06% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.27, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.73% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 1.8
Altman-Z 2.43
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC7.75%
SU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SU has a Current Ratio of 1.35. This is a normal value and indicates that SU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of SU (1.35) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.85 indicates that SU may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SU has a Quick ratio (0.85) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.35
Quick Ratio 0.85
SU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • SU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -12.36%.
  • Measured over the past years, SU shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 14.08% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, SU shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.08% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, SU shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.74% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.36%
EPS 3Y28.33%
EPS 5Y14.08%
EPS Q2Q%0%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.08%
Revenue growth 3Y9.01%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%-3.9%

3.2 Future

  • SU is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 11.16% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -0.17% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-13.47%
EPS Next 2Y-15.31%
EPS Next 3Y-8%
EPS Next 5Y11.16%
Revenue Next Year-0.3%
Revenue Next 2Y-3%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.99%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.17%

3.3 Evolution

  • Although the future EPS growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
SU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 20B 40B 60B
SU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 2 4 6 8

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 14.89, the valuation of SU can be described as correct.
  • SU's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.39. SU is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 18.22, SU is valued on the expensive side.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SU is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • SU is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 25.72, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 14.89
Fwd PE 18.22
SU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 66.67% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SU, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • SU's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SU is cheaper than 77.78% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 10.57
EV/EBITDA 6.62
SU Per share dataSU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of SU may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A cheap valuation may be justified as SU's earnings are expected to decrease with -8.00% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.06
EPS Next 2Y-15.31%
EPS Next 3Y-8%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • SU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.49%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
  • SU's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.73.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, SU pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.49%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SU has a limited annual growth rate of 5.68%.
  • SU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.68%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
SU Yearly Dividends per shareSU Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • 53.29% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SU. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of SU is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP53.29%
EPS Next 2Y-15.31%
EPS Next 3Y-8%
SU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B
SU Dividend Payout.SU Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SU Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

SUNCOR ENERGY INC / SU FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SU.


Can you provide the valuation status for SUNCOR ENERGY INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

The financial health rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is 6 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SU stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is expected to decline by -13.47% in the next year.