SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:SU • CA8672241079
Current stock price
62.55 USD
+0.89 (+1.44%)
At close:
62.6 USD
+0.05 (+0.08%)
After Hours:
This SU fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SU Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year SU was profitable.
- SU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years SU has always been profitable.
- SU had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of SU (6.58%) is better than 73.68% of its industry peers.
- SU has a better Return On Equity (13.11%) than 71.29% of its industry peers.
- SU's Return On Invested Capital of 7.42% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 68.90% of its industry peers.
- SU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.99%. This is significantly below the industry average of 22.74%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.58% | ||
| ROE | 13.11% | ||
| ROIC | 7.42% |
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
1.3 Margins
- SU has a better Profit Margin (12.10%) than 60.29% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SU has declined.
- SU has a Operating Margin (16.35%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SU has declined.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 63.09%, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.81% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SU has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.35% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 63.09% |
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
2. SU Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- SU has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for SU has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, SU has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, SU has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.60 indicates that SU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.60, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.64% of the companies in the same industry.
- SU has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.09. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as SU would need 2.09 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- SU has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.09) than 85.65% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29 indicates that SU is not too dependend on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of SU (0.29) is better than 66.03% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.09 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.6 |
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC7.49%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.39 indicates that SU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- SU has a better Current ratio (1.39) than 60.77% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.89 indicates that SU may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- SU's Quick ratio of 0.89 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 44.02% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 |
3. SU Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for SU have decreased strongly by -14.97% in the last year.
- The earnings per share for SU have been decreasing by -17.92% on average. This is quite bad
- SU shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -3.51%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 14.68% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.38% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- SU is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.13% yearly.
EPS Next Y11.79%
EPS Next 2Y11.07%
EPS Next 3Y17.68%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue Next Year4.41%
Revenue Next 2Y0.49%
Revenue Next 3Y1.17%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. SU Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 18.62 indicates a rather expensive valuation of SU.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of SU is on the same level as its industry peers.
- SU's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 27.95.
- SU is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.66.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as SU.
- SU is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.68, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.62 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.66 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SU is valued a bit cheaper than 65.07% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SU indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SU is cheaper than 70.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 14.68 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.45 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- SU's earnings are expected to grow with 17.68% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.58
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y11.07%
EPS Next 3Y17.68%
5. SU Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- SU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.75%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.26, SU has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- SU's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.75% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of SU grows each year by 16.10%, which is quite nice.
- SU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
- 47.47% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SU. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of SU is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP47.47%
EPS Next 2Y11.07%
EPS Next 3Y17.68%
SU Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
62.55
+0.89 (+1.44%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03 2026-02-03/amc
Earnings (Next)05-12 2026-05-12/amc
Inst Owners72.3%
Inst Owner Change0.05%
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap74.24B
Revenue(TTM)48.91B
Net Income(TTM)5.92B
Analysts76.43
Price Target66.54 (6.38%)
Short Float %0.62%
Short Ratio1.28
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.75% |
Yearly Dividend1.69
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
DP47.47%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-04 2026-03-04 (0.6)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.57%
Min EPS beat(2)6.26%
Max EPS beat(2)32.87%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.14%
Min EPS beat(4)0.63%
Max EPS beat(4)32.87%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)13.43%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)11.91%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)10.38%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.14%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.56%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.96%
PT rev (1m)20.73%
PT rev (3m)34.63%
EPS NQ rev (1m)70.93%
EPS NQ rev (3m)71.37%
EPS NY rev (1m)30.11%
EPS NY rev (3m)32.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)7.48%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)13.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)10.32%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.88%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18.62 | ||
| Fwd PE | 16.66 | ||
| P/S | 2.08 | ||
| P/FCF | 14.68 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.95 | ||
| P/B | 2.25 | ||
| P/tB | 2.44 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.45 |
EPS(TTM)3.36
EY5.37%
EPS(NY)3.75
Fwd EY6%
FCF(TTM)4.26
FCFY6.81%
OCF(TTM)7.86
OCFY12.57%
SpS30.09
BVpS27.76
TBVpS25.64
PEG (NY)1.58
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number45.812 (-26.76%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.58% | ||
| ROE | 13.11% | ||
| ROCE | 10.03% | ||
| ROIC | 7.42% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.78% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.15% | ||
| OM | 16.35% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 63.09% | ||
| FCFM | 14.16% |
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
ROICexc(3y)8.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.07%
ROICexgc(3y)8.69%
ROICexgc(5y)9.52%
ROCE(3y)10.82%
ROCE(5y)12.04%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.29%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.17%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.09 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.86 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 84.67% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 11.97% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.9 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.72% | ||
| Profit Quality | 117.02% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.6 |
F-Score7
WACC7.49%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)90.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.45%
Profit Quality(3y)117.27%
Profit Quality(5y)128.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
EPS Next Y11.79%
EPS Next 2Y11.07%
EPS Next 3Y17.68%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
Revenue Next Year4.41%
Revenue Next 2Y0.49%
Revenue Next 3Y1.17%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year113.39%
EBIT Next 3Y31.32%
EBIT Next 5Y17.08%
FCF growth 1Y-26.93%
FCF growth 3Y-13.12%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.92%
OCF growth 3Y-6.59%
OCF growth 5Y36.73%
SUNCOR ENERGY INC / SU Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SU.
What is the valuation status of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of SU stock?
SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
What is the valuation of SUNCOR ENERGY INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is 18.62 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.25.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SU stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is expected to grow by 11.79% in the next year.