SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:SU • CA8672241079

Current stock price

62.55 USD
+0.89 (+1.44%)
At close:
63.4355 USD
+0.89 (+1.42%)
After Hours:

This SU fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. SU Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SU had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year SU had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SU has been profitable.
  • SU had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
SU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.58%, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.68% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SU has a Return On Equity of 13.11%. This is in the better half of the industry: SU outperforms 71.29% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of SU (7.42%) is better than 68.90% of its industry peers.
  • SU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.99%. This is significantly below the industry average of 22.74%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.58%
ROE 13.11%
ROIC 7.42%
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
SU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • SU has a better Profit Margin (12.10%) than 60.29% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SU has declined.
  • SU has a Operating Margin (16.35%) which is in line with its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SU has declined.
  • The Gross Margin of SU (63.09%) is better than 70.81% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SU has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.35%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 63.09%
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
SU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

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6

2. SU Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SU is still creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SU has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, SU has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SU has an improved debt to assets ratio.
SU Yearly Shares OutstandingSU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B
SU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.60 indicates that SU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • SU's Altman-Z score of 2.60 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 74.64% of its industry peers.
  • SU has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.09. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as SU would need 2.09 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • SU's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.09 is amongst the best of the industry. SU outperforms 85.65% of its industry peers.
  • SU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of SU (0.29) is better than 66.03% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.09
Altman-Z 2.6
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC7.5%
SU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.39 indicates that SU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of SU (1.39) is better than 60.77% of its industry peers.
  • SU has a Quick Ratio of 1.39. This is a bad value and indicates that SU is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SU has a Quick ratio (0.89) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.89
SU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. SU Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SU have decreased strongly by -14.97% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for SU have been decreasing by -17.92% on average. This is quite bad
  • SU shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -3.51%.
  • Measured over the past years, SU shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 14.68% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SU will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.38% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SU will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 0.13% on average per year.
EPS Next Y11.79%
EPS Next 2Y11.07%
EPS Next 3Y17.68%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue Next Year4.41%
Revenue Next 2Y0.49%
Revenue Next 3Y1.17%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
SU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B
SU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 4 6 8

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4

4. SU Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 18.62 indicates a rather expensive valuation of SU.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of SU is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • SU is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.71, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.66, SU is valued correctly.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SU is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • SU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 38.09.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.62
Fwd PE 16.66
SU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SU is valued a bit cheaper than 65.07% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SU indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SU is cheaper than 70.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.68
EV/EBITDA 7.45
SU Per share dataSU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SU's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as SU's earnings are expected to grow with 17.68% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.58
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y11.07%
EPS Next 3Y17.68%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. SU Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.75%, SU has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.26, SU has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
  • SU's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.75%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SU is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 16.10%!
  • SU has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
SU Yearly Dividends per shareSU Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • SU pays out 47.47% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of SU is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP47.47%
EPS Next 2Y11.07%
EPS Next 3Y17.68%
SU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B
SU Dividend Payout.SU Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SU Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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SU Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SUNCOR ENERGY INC

NYSE:SU (4/21/2026, 8:14:00 PM)

After market: 63.4355 +0.89 (+1.42%)

62.55

+0.89 (+1.44%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-12
Inst Owners72.3%
Inst Owner Change0.05%
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap74.24B
Revenue(TTM)48.91B
Net Income(TTM)5.92B
Analysts76.43
Price Target66.54 (6.38%)
Short Float %0.62%
Short Ratio1.28
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.75%
Yearly Dividend1.69
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
DP47.47%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.57%
Min EPS beat(2)6.26%
Max EPS beat(2)32.87%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.14%
Min EPS beat(4)0.63%
Max EPS beat(4)32.87%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)13.43%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)11.91%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)10.38%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.14%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.56%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.96%
PT rev (1m)20.73%
PT rev (3m)34.63%
EPS NQ rev (1m)70.93%
EPS NQ rev (3m)71.37%
EPS NY rev (1m)30.11%
EPS NY rev (3m)32.51%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)7.48%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)13.5%
Revenue NY rev (1m)10.32%
Revenue NY rev (3m)10.88%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.62
Fwd PE 16.66
P/S 2.08
P/FCF 14.68
P/OCF 7.95
P/B 2.25
P/tB 2.44
EV/EBITDA 7.45
EPS(TTM)3.36
EY5.37%
EPS(NY)3.75
Fwd EY6%
FCF(TTM)4.26
FCFY6.81%
OCF(TTM)7.86
OCFY12.57%
SpS30.09
BVpS27.76
TBVpS25.64
PEG (NY)1.58
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number45.812 (-26.76%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.58%
ROE 13.11%
ROCE 10.03%
ROIC 7.42%
ROICexc 7.78%
ROICexgc 8.15%
OM 16.35%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 63.09%
FCFM 14.16%
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
ROICexc(3y)8.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.07%
ROICexgc(3y)8.69%
ROICexgc(5y)9.52%
ROCE(3y)10.82%
ROCE(5y)12.04%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.29%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.17%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.09
Debt/EBITDA 0.86
Cap/Depr 84.67%
Cap/Sales 11.97%
Interest Coverage 8.9
Cash Conversion 85.72%
Profit Quality 117.02%
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.89
Altman-Z 2.6
F-Score7
WACC7.5%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)90.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.45%
Profit Quality(3y)117.27%
Profit Quality(5y)128.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
EPS Next Y11.79%
EPS Next 2Y11.07%
EPS Next 3Y17.68%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
Revenue Next Year4.41%
Revenue Next 2Y0.49%
Revenue Next 3Y1.17%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year113.39%
EBIT Next 3Y31.32%
EBIT Next 5Y17.08%
FCF growth 1Y-26.93%
FCF growth 3Y-13.12%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.92%
OCF growth 3Y-6.59%
OCF growth 5Y36.73%

SUNCOR ENERGY INC / SU Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SU.


What is the valuation status of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of SU stock?

SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the valuation of SUNCOR ENERGY INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is 18.62 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.25.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SU stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is expected to grow by 11.79% in the next year.