SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:SU • CA8672241079

Current stock price

65.9 USD
+0.96 (+1.48%)
At close:
67.3 USD
+1.4 (+2.12%)
Pre-Market:

This SU fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. SU Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SU had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year SU had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • SU had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • In the past 5 years SU always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
SU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSU Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.58%, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.21% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SU has a Return On Equity of 13.11%. This is in the better half of the industry: SU outperforms 71.77% of its industry peers.
  • SU has a better Return On Invested Capital (7.42%) than 69.86% of its industry peers.
  • SU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.99%. This is significantly below the industry average of 23.10%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.58%
ROE 13.11%
ROIC 7.42%
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
SU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSU Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 12.10%, SU is in line with its industry, outperforming 59.81% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SU has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of SU (16.35%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • SU's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • SU's Gross Margin of 63.09% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 71.29% of its industry peers.
  • SU's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.35%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 63.09%
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
SU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSU Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

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6

2. SU Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SU has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • SU has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • SU has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SU has an improved debt to assets ratio.
SU Yearly Shares OutstandingSU Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B
SU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSU Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • SU has an Altman-Z score of 2.71. This is not the best score and indicates that SU is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • SU has a Altman-Z score of 2.71. This is in the better half of the industry: SU outperforms 76.08% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SU is 2.09, which is a good value as it means it would take SU, 2.09 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • SU's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.09 is amongst the best of the industry. SU outperforms 85.65% of its industry peers.
  • SU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • SU has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.29) than 66.51% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.09
Altman-Z 2.71
ROIC/WACC1
WACC7.4%
SU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSU Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SU has a Current Ratio of 1.39. This is a normal value and indicates that SU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 1.39, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.72% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.89 indicates that SU may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SU has a Quick ratio (0.89) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.89
SU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSU Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B

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4

3. SU Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SU have decreased strongly by -14.97% in the last year.
  • The earnings per share for SU have been decreasing by -17.92% on average. This is quite bad
  • The Revenue has decreased by -3.51% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, SU shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 14.68% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SU will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 12.38% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.13% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-14.08%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue Next Year3.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.26%
Revenue Next 3Y0.51%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
SU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSU Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B
SU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSU Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 4 6 8

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3

4. SU Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 19.91, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of SU.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as SU.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SU to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.17), we can say SU is valued slightly cheaper.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.19, SU is valued on the expensive side.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SU is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • SU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 23.05.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.91
Fwd PE 23.19
SU Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSU Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • SU's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SU is cheaper than 63.16% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 67.94% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SU, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.71
EV/EBITDA 8.02
SU Per share dataSU EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. SU Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.59%.
  • SU's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 3.16.
  • SU's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.59%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SU is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 16.10%!
  • SU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
SU Yearly Dividends per shareSU Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • SU pays out 47.47% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of SU is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP47.47%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
SU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSU Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B
SU Dividend Payout.SU Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SU Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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SU Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SUNCOR ENERGY INC

NYSE:SU (4/2/2026, 8:04:00 PM)

Premarket: 67.3 +1.4 (+2.12%)

65.9

+0.96 (+1.48%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners72.32%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap78.22B
Revenue(TTM)48.91B
Net Income(TTM)5.92B
Analysts76.43
Price Target55.11 (-16.37%)
Short Float %0.52%
Short Ratio1.11
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.59%
Yearly Dividend1.66
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
DP47.47%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.57%
Min EPS beat(2)6.26%
Max EPS beat(2)32.87%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.14%
Min EPS beat(4)0.63%
Max EPS beat(4)32.87%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)13.43%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)11.91%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)10.38%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.14%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.56%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.96%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)10.16%
EPS NQ rev (1m)23.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)23.62%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.85%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.75%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)8.23%
Revenue NY rev (1m)9.52%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.4%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.91
Fwd PE 23.19
P/S 2.22
P/FCF 15.71
P/OCF 8.51
P/B 2.41
P/tB 2.61
EV/EBITDA 8.02
EPS(TTM)3.31
EY5.02%
EPS(NY)2.84
Fwd EY4.31%
FCF(TTM)4.19
FCFY6.37%
OCF(TTM)7.74
OCFY11.75%
SpS29.63
BVpS27.33
TBVpS25.24
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number45.12
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.58%
ROE 13.11%
ROCE 10.03%
ROIC 7.42%
ROICexc 7.78%
ROICexgc 8.15%
OM 16.35%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 63.09%
FCFM 14.16%
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
ROICexc(3y)8.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.07%
ROICexgc(3y)8.69%
ROICexgc(5y)9.52%
ROCE(3y)10.82%
ROCE(5y)12.04%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.29%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.17%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.09
Debt/EBITDA 0.86
Cap/Depr 84.67%
Cap/Sales 11.97%
Interest Coverage 8.9
Cash Conversion 85.72%
Profit Quality 117.02%
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.89
Altman-Z 2.71
F-Score7
WACC7.4%
ROIC/WACC1
Cap/Depr(3y)90.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.45%
Profit Quality(3y)117.27%
Profit Quality(5y)128.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
EPS Next Y-14.08%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
Revenue Next Year3.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.26%
Revenue Next 3Y0.51%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year85.56%
EBIT Next 3Y26.66%
EBIT Next 5Y17.08%
FCF growth 1Y-26.93%
FCF growth 3Y-13.12%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.92%
OCF growth 3Y-6.59%
OCF growth 5Y36.73%

SUNCOR ENERGY INC / SU Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SU.


What is the valuation status of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 3 / 10 to SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU). This can be considered as Overvalued.


What is the profitability of SU stock?

SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.


What is the valuation of SUNCOR ENERGY INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is 19.91 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.41.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SU stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU) is expected to decline by -14.08% in the next year.