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SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:SU - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA8672241079 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

51.77  -0.4 (-0.77%)

Fundamental Rating

6

SU gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 210 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. SU gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. SU is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing. SU also has an excellent dividend rating. These ratings could make SU a good candidate for dividend investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

SU had positive earnings in the past year.
SU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
SU had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years SU always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
SU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

SU has a better Return On Assets (6.80%) than 87.14% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 13.59%, SU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
SU has a Return On Invested Capital of 8.65%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SU outperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
SU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.38%. This is above the industry average of 7.31%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.8%
ROE 13.59%
ROIC 8.65%
ROA(3y)8.93%
ROA(5y)5.32%
ROE(3y)18.58%
ROE(5y)10.98%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
SU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

SU's Profit Margin of 12.04% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 73.81% of its industry peers.
SU's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
SU has a better Operating Margin (17.86%) than 70.48% of its industry peers.
SU's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
SU's Gross Margin of 62.36% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 77.62% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SU has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.86%
PM (TTM) 12.04%
GM 62.36%
OM growth 3Y4.42%
OM growth 5Y1.85%
PM growth 3Y4.08%
PM growth 5Y9.44%
GM growth 3Y-1.29%
GM growth 5Y-1.52%
SU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SU is still creating some value.
SU has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, SU has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for SU has been reduced compared to a year ago.
SU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingSU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B
SU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.15 indicates that SU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.15, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.52% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SU is 1.64, which is an excellent value as it means it would take SU, only 1.64 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 1.64, SU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29 indicates that SU is not too dependend on debt financing.
SU has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.29) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 1.64
Altman-Z 2.15
ROIC/WACC1.07
WACC8.11%
SU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.39 indicates that SU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
SU's Current ratio of 1.39 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 68.57% of its industry peers.
SU has a Quick Ratio of 1.39. This is a bad value and indicates that SU is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
SU has a better Quick ratio (0.84) than 60.48% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.84
SU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.11% over the past year.
SU shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 14.08% yearly.
SU shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.16%.
Measured over the past years, SU shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 5.74% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.11%
EPS 3Y28.33%
EPS 5Y14.08%
EPS Q2Q%-7.09%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.16%
Revenue growth 3Y9.01%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%-0.61%

3.2 Future

SU is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 11.58% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -0.96% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-14.27%
EPS Next 2Y-4.9%
EPS Next 3Y2.93%
EPS Next 5Y11.58%
Revenue Next Year0.13%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.43%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.07%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.96%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
SU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 20B 40B 60B
SU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 2 4 6 8

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.75, the valuation of SU can be described as very reasonable.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SU is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 68.57% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.45, SU is valued rather cheaply.
SU is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.58.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as SU.
SU is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.90, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.75
Fwd PE 10.58
SU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SU is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.86% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SU indicates a rather cheap valuation: SU is cheaper than 86.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.08
EV/EBITDA 4.73
SU.CA Per share dataSU.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

SU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.69
EPS Next 2Y-4.9%
EPS Next 3Y2.93%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

SU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.37%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.26, SU pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.38, SU pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.37%

5.2 History

The dividend of SU has a limited annual growth rate of 5.68%.
SU has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.68%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
SU.CA Yearly Dividends per shareSU.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

46.04% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SU. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
SU's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP46.04%
EPS Next 2Y-4.9%
EPS Next 3Y2.93%
SU.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSU.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B
SU.CA Dividend Payout.SU.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SU.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

SUNCOR ENERGY INC

TSX:SU (7/4/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

51.77

-0.4 (-0.77%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-06 2025-05-06/amc
Earnings (Next)07-23 2025-07-23/amc
Inst Owners73.17%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.02%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap63.84B
Analysts78.57
Price Target60.66 (17.17%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.37%
Yearly Dividend2.21
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.68%
DP46.04%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date06-04 2025-06-04 (0.57)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.42%
Min EPS beat(2)4.81%
Max EPS beat(2)10.03%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)15.26%
Min EPS beat(4)4.81%
Max EPS beat(4)32.04%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)12.91%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)8.82%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)7.27%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-9.7%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(2)-9.66%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.79%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.68%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.8%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)4.86%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.15%
PT rev (1m)0.09%
PT rev (3m)-5.6%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-18.06%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-31.71%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.88%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.85%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.52%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.75
Fwd PE 10.58
P/S 1.26
P/FCF 7.08
P/OCF 4.16
P/B 1.42
P/tB 1.54
EV/EBITDA 4.73
EPS(TTM)5.31
EY10.26%
EPS(NY)4.89
Fwd EY9.45%
FCF(TTM)7.31
FCFY14.12%
OCF(TTM)12.43
OCFY24.01%
SpS41.06
BVpS36.36
TBVpS33.53
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.69
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.8%
ROE 13.59%
ROCE 11.4%
ROIC 8.65%
ROICexc 8.97%
ROICexgc 9.39%
OM 17.86%
PM (TTM) 12.04%
GM 62.36%
FCFM 17.8%
ROA(3y)8.93%
ROA(5y)5.32%
ROE(3y)18.58%
ROE(5y)10.98%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.71%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)11.24%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.94%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y12.14%
ROICexcg growth 5Y8.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y12.23%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.69%
OM growth 3Y4.42%
OM growth 5Y1.85%
PM growth 3Y4.08%
PM growth 5Y9.44%
GM growth 3Y-1.29%
GM growth 5Y-1.52%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.56
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 1.64
Debt/EBITDA 0.82
Cap/Depr 90.38%
Cap/Sales 12.48%
Interest Coverage 9.77
Cash Conversion 95.61%
Profit Quality 147.86%
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.84
Altman-Z 2.15
F-Score6
WACC8.11%
ROIC/WACC1.07
Cap/Depr(3y)81.25%
Cap/Depr(5y)72.56%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.22%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.24%
Profit Quality(3y)117.04%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)3.11%
EPS 3Y28.33%
EPS 5Y14.08%
EPS Q2Q%-7.09%
EPS Next Y-14.27%
EPS Next 2Y-4.9%
EPS Next 3Y2.93%
EPS Next 5Y11.58%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.16%
Revenue growth 3Y9.01%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%-0.61%
Revenue Next Year0.13%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.43%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.07%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.96%
EBIT growth 1Y4.19%
EBIT growth 3Y13.82%
EBIT growth 5Y7.7%
EBIT Next Year59.57%
EBIT Next 3Y17.11%
EBIT Next 5Y9.93%
FCF growth 1Y6.92%
FCF growth 3Y9.55%
FCF growth 5Y14.28%
OCF growth 1Y12.33%
OCF growth 3Y10.7%
OCF growth 5Y8.9%