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SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

TSX:SU - Toronto Stock Exchange - CA8672241079 - Common Stock - Currency: CAD

51.39  +1.65 (+3.32%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Overall SU gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated SU against 219 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. SU gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. SU has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing. SU also has an excellent dividend rating. With these ratings, SU could be worth investigating further for dividend investing!.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

SU had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year SU had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years SU 4 years were profitable.
SU had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
SU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 6.70%, SU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.78% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 13.51%, SU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 85.52% of the companies in the same industry.
SU's Return On Invested Capital of 8.68% is amongst the best of the industry. SU outperforms 87.78% of its industry peers.
SU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 10.38%. This is above the industry average of 7.60%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.7%
ROE 13.51%
ROIC 8.68%
ROA(3y)8.93%
ROA(5y)5.32%
ROE(3y)18.58%
ROE(5y)10.98%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
SU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

SU's Profit Margin of 11.87% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 74.21% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SU has grown nicely.
The Operating Margin of SU (17.82%) is better than 61.09% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SU has grown nicely.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 62.29%, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.57% of the companies in the same industry.
SU's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 17.82%
PM (TTM) 11.87%
GM 62.29%
OM growth 3Y4.42%
OM growth 5Y1.85%
PM growth 3Y4.08%
PM growth 5Y9.44%
GM growth 3Y-1.29%
GM growth 5Y-1.52%
SU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40 60

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SU is creating some value.
SU has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
SU has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for SU has been reduced compared to a year ago.
SU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingSU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B
SU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 2.12 indicates that SU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.12, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.40% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SU is 1.55, which is an excellent value as it means it would take SU, only 1.55 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
SU has a Debt to FCF ratio of 1.55. This is amongst the best in the industry. SU outperforms 89.14% of its industry peers.
SU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.29, SU is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.56% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 1.55
Altman-Z 2.12
ROIC/WACC1.19
WACC7.29%
SU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 1.33 indicates that SU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Current ratio value of 1.33, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 69.23% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.86 indicates that SU may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
SU has a Quick ratio of 0.86. This is in the better half of the industry: SU outperforms 63.35% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.33
Quick Ratio 0.86
SU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

SU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -25.72%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 20.44% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, SU shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 3.25% in the last year.
SU shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 5.74% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-25.72%
EPS 3Y19.4%
EPS 5Y20.44%
EPS Q2Q%-70.14%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.25%
Revenue growth 3Y9.01%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%-11.37%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, SU will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 17.93% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -1.52% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-10.62%
EPS Next 2Y-1.66%
EPS Next 3Y5.48%
EPS Next 5Y17.93%
Revenue Next Year-1.37%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.69%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.67%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.52%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
SU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 20B 40B 60B
SU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 0 5 10

6

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.91, the valuation of SU can be described as reasonable.
68.33% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SU, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 29.35. SU is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.59, the valuation of SU can be described as reasonable.
SU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.10. SU is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.91
Fwd PE 10.59
SU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SU indicates a rather cheap valuation: SU is cheaper than 82.35% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SU indicates a rather cheap valuation: SU is cheaper than 87.33% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 6.71
EV/EBITDA 4.68
SU.CA Per share dataSU.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The decent profitability rating of SU may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.53
EPS Next 2Y-1.66%
EPS Next 3Y5.48%

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.58%, SU is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.94, SU pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
SU's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.33.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.58%

5.2 History

The dividend of SU has a limited annual growth rate of 5.68%.
SU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.68%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
SU.CA Yearly Dividends per shareSU.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

46.59% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SU. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
The dividend of SU is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP46.59%
EPS Next 2Y-1.66%
EPS Next 3Y5.48%
SU.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSU.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 5B 10B
SU.CA Dividend Payout.SU.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SU.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

SUNCOR ENERGY INC

TSX:SU (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

51.39

+1.65 (+3.32%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-06 2025-02-06/amc
Earnings (Next)05-05 2025-05-05/amc
Inst Owners71.46%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap63.58B
Analysts78.57
Price Target63.81 (24.17%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.58%
Yearly Dividend2.21
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.68%
DP46.59%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-04 2025-03-04 (0.57)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.94%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.46%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.43%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.16%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.68%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)2.71%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)6.86%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.71%
PT rev (1m)1.34%
PT rev (3m)0.77%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.44%
EPS NY rev (1m)10.68%
EPS NY rev (3m)13.31%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.73%
Revenue NY rev (1m)2.53%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.43%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.91
Fwd PE 10.59
P/S 1.25
P/FCF 6.71
P/OCF 3.98
P/B 1.43
P/tB 1.55
EV/EBITDA 4.68
EPS(TTM)4.71
EY9.17%
EPS(NY)4.85
Fwd EY9.44%
FCF(TTM)7.66
FCFY14.91%
OCF(TTM)12.9
OCFY25.1%
SpS40.97
BVpS35.98
TBVpS33.15
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.53
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.7%
ROE 13.51%
ROCE 11.43%
ROIC 8.68%
ROICexc 9.08%
ROICexgc 9.52%
OM 17.82%
PM (TTM) 11.87%
GM 62.29%
FCFM 18.7%
ROA(3y)8.93%
ROA(5y)5.32%
ROE(3y)18.58%
ROE(5y)10.98%
ROIC(3y)10.38%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)10.71%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)11.24%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)13.94%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3Y12.14%
ROICexcg growth 5Y8.87%
ROICexc growth 3Y12.23%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.69%
OM growth 3Y4.42%
OM growth 5Y1.85%
PM growth 3Y4.08%
PM growth 5Y9.44%
GM growth 3Y-1.29%
GM growth 5Y-1.52%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.56
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 1.55
Debt/EBITDA 0.82
Cap/Depr 93.23%
Cap/Sales 12.79%
Interest Coverage 9.89
Cash Conversion 99.82%
Profit Quality 157.53%
Current Ratio 1.33
Quick Ratio 0.86
Altman-Z 2.12
F-Score6
WACC7.29%
ROIC/WACC1.19
Cap/Depr(3y)81.25%
Cap/Depr(5y)72.56%
Cap/Sales(3y)11.22%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.24%
Profit Quality(3y)117.04%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-25.72%
EPS 3Y19.4%
EPS 5Y20.44%
EPS Q2Q%-70.14%
EPS Next Y-10.62%
EPS Next 2Y-1.66%
EPS Next 3Y5.48%
EPS Next 5Y17.93%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.25%
Revenue growth 3Y9.01%
Revenue growth 5Y5.74%
Sales Q2Q%-11.37%
Revenue Next Year-1.37%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.69%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.67%
Revenue Next 5Y-1.52%
EBIT growth 1Y4.11%
EBIT growth 3Y13.82%
EBIT growth 5Y7.7%
EBIT Next Year61.43%
EBIT Next 3Y16.92%
EBIT Next 5Y12.23%
FCF growth 1Y47.89%
FCF growth 3Y9.55%
FCF growth 5Y14.28%
OCF growth 1Y29.29%
OCF growth 3Y10.7%
OCF growth 5Y8.9%