SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:SUCA8672241079

Current stock price

89.24 CAD
-3.55 (-3.83%)
Last:

This SU.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. SU.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SU had positive earnings in the past year.
  • SU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years SU has always been profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SU had a positive operating cash flow.
SU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of SU (6.58%) is better than 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 13.11%, SU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SU has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.42%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SU outperforms 90.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SU is in line with the industry average of 6.90%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.58%
ROE 13.11%
ROIC 7.42%
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
SU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • SU has a better Profit Margin (12.10%) than 75.71% of its industry peers.
  • SU's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 16.35%, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.76% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SU has declined.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 63.09%, SU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.48% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SU's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.35%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 63.09%
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
SU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

7

2. SU.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SU has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • SU has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, SU has less shares outstanding
  • SU has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingSU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B
SU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • SU has an Altman-Z score of 2.67. This is not the best score and indicates that SU is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.67, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 74.76% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SU is 2.09, which is a good value as it means it would take SU, 2.09 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • SU's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.09 is amongst the best of the industry. SU outperforms 90.48% of its industry peers.
  • SU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.29, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.09
Altman-Z 2.67
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC7.52%
SU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SU has a Current Ratio of 1.39. This is a normal value and indicates that SU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SU's Current ratio of 1.39 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 69.52% of its industry peers.
  • SU has a Quick Ratio of 1.39. This is a bad value and indicates that SU is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SU has a better Quick ratio (0.89) than 60.95% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.89
SU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B

4

3. SU.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • SU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -14.97%.
  • SU shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -17.92% yearly.
  • SU shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -3.51%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 14.68% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 12.38% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
  • SU is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 0.13% yearly.
EPS Next Y-14.08%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue Next Year3.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.26%
Revenue Next 3Y0.51%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
SU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B
SU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 4 6 8

4

4. SU.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • SU is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.40.
  • 69.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SU, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • SU's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.91.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.58, the valuation of SU can be described as rather expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SU is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.14% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • SU is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.69, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.4
Fwd PE 22.58
SU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • SU's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SU is cheaper than 77.62% of the companies in the same industry.
  • 79.52% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SU, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 15.3
EV/EBITDA 7.83
SU.CA Per share dataSU.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The decent profitability rating of SU may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%

5

5. SU.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.59%.
  • SU's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 4.07.
  • SU's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.59%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SU is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 16.10%!
  • SU has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
SU.CA Yearly Dividends per shareSU.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • 47.47% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SU. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of SU is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP47.47%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
SU.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSU.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B
SU.CA Dividend Payout.SU.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SU.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

SU.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SUNCOR ENERGY INC

TSX:SU (4/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

89.24

-3.55 (-3.83%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners72.32%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap105.92B
Revenue(TTM)48.91B
Net Income(TTM)5.92B
Analysts76.43
Price Target81.01 (-9.22%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.59%
Yearly Dividend2.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
DP47.47%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.57%
Min EPS beat(2)6.26%
Max EPS beat(2)32.87%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.14%
Min EPS beat(4)0.63%
Max EPS beat(4)32.87%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)13.43%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)11.91%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)10.38%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.14%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.31%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.78%
PT rev (1m)7.33%
PT rev (3m)17.38%
EPS NQ rev (1m)23.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)23.62%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.75%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)8.23%
Revenue NY rev (1m)8.85%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.4%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.4
Fwd PE 22.58
P/S 2.17
P/FCF 15.3
P/OCF 8.29
P/B 2.35
P/tB 2.54
EV/EBITDA 7.83
EPS(TTM)4.6
EY5.15%
EPS(NY)3.95
Fwd EY4.43%
FCF(TTM)5.83
FCFY6.54%
OCF(TTM)10.77
OCFY12.07%
SpS41.21
BVpS38.02
TBVpS35.11
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number62.73
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.58%
ROE 13.11%
ROCE 10.03%
ROIC 7.42%
ROICexc 7.78%
ROICexgc 8.15%
OM 16.35%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 63.09%
FCFM 14.16%
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
ROICexc(3y)8.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.07%
ROICexgc(3y)8.69%
ROICexgc(5y)9.52%
ROCE(3y)10.82%
ROCE(5y)12.04%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.29%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.17%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.09
Debt/EBITDA 0.86
Cap/Depr 84.67%
Cap/Sales 11.97%
Interest Coverage 8.9
Cash Conversion 85.72%
Profit Quality 117.02%
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.89
Altman-Z 2.67
F-Score7
WACC7.52%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)90.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.45%
Profit Quality(3y)117.27%
Profit Quality(5y)128.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
EPS Next Y-14.08%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
Revenue Next Year3.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.26%
Revenue Next 3Y0.51%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year85.56%
EBIT Next 3Y26.66%
EBIT Next 5Y17.08%
FCF growth 1Y-26.93%
FCF growth 3Y-13.12%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.92%
OCF growth 3Y-6.59%
OCF growth 5Y36.73%

SUNCOR ENERGY INC / SU.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SU.CA.


What is the valuation status of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of SU stock?

SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the valuation of SUNCOR ENERGY INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) is 19.4 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.35.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SU stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) is expected to decline by -14.08% in the next year.