SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
TSX:SU • CA8672241079
Current stock price
91.94 CAD
-0.56 (-0.61%)
Last:
This SU.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SU.CA Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year SU was profitable.
- SU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years SU has been profitable.
- SU had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.58%, SU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.48% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 13.11%, SU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 7.42%, SU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.48% of the companies in the same industry.
- SU had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.99%. This is in line with the industry average of 6.65%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.58% | ||
| ROE | 13.11% | ||
| ROIC | 7.42% |
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 12.10%, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.19% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SU has declined.
- SU's Operating Margin of 16.35% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 65.24% of its industry peers.
- SU's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- SU's Gross Margin of 63.09% is amongst the best of the industry. SU outperforms 81.43% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SU has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.35% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 63.09% |
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
2. SU.CA Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SU is still creating some value.
- SU has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- SU has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for SU has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- SU has an Altman-Z score of 2.71. This is not the best score and indicates that SU is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.71, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.24% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SU is 2.09, which is a good value as it means it would take SU, 2.09 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- SU has a Debt to FCF ratio of 2.09. This is amongst the best in the industry. SU outperforms 90.48% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29 indicates that SU is not too dependend on debt financing.
- With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.29, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.86% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.09 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.71 |
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC7.53%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.39 indicates that SU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- SU has a better Current ratio (1.39) than 69.05% of its industry peers.
- SU has a Quick Ratio of 1.39. This is a bad value and indicates that SU is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.89, SU is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 60.48% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 |
3. SU.CA Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for SU have decreased strongly by -14.97% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, SU shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -17.92% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, SU shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.51% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, SU shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 14.68% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
3.2 Future
- SU is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.38% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.13% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-14.08%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue Next Year-5.36%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. SU.CA Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 19.99, the valuation of SU can be described as rather expensive.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SU is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.62% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SU to the average of the S&P500 Index (25.35), we can say SU is valued slightly cheaper.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.26, SU is valued on the expensive side.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SU is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.62% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- SU is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.61, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.99 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.26 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SU is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 76.19% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SU indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SU is cheaper than 77.14% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 15.76 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.05 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of SU may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
5. SU.CA Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- SU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.66%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.54, SU pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- SU's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.66% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of SU is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 16.10%!
- SU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- 47.47% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SU. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- SU's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP47.47%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
SU.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
TSX:SU (3/30/2026, 7:00:00 PM)
91.94
-0.56 (-0.61%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03 2026-02-03/amc
Earnings (Next)05-04 2026-05-04/amc
Inst Owners72.32%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap109.12B
Revenue(TTM)48.91B
Net Income(TTM)5.92B
Analysts75.86
Price Target81.01 (-11.89%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.66% |
Yearly Dividend2.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
DP47.47%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-04 2026-03-04 (0.6)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.57%
Min EPS beat(2)6.26%
Max EPS beat(2)32.87%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.14%
Min EPS beat(4)0.63%
Max EPS beat(4)32.87%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)13.43%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)11.91%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)10.38%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.14%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.31%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.78%
PT rev (1m)7.33%
PT rev (3m)17.38%
EPS NQ rev (1m)4.54%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.81%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.85%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.75%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.6%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.61%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.5%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.99 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.26 | ||
| P/S | 2.23 | ||
| P/FCF | 15.76 | ||
| P/OCF | 8.54 | ||
| P/B | 2.42 | ||
| P/tB | 2.62 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 8.05 |
EPS(TTM)4.6
EY5%
EPS(NY)3.95
Fwd EY4.3%
FCF(TTM)5.83
FCFY6.35%
OCF(TTM)10.77
OCFY11.71%
SpS41.21
BVpS38.02
TBVpS35.11
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number62.73
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.58% | ||
| ROE | 13.11% | ||
| ROCE | 10.03% | ||
| ROIC | 7.42% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.78% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.15% | ||
| OM | 16.35% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 63.09% | ||
| FCFM | 14.16% |
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
ROICexc(3y)8.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.07%
ROICexgc(3y)8.69%
ROICexgc(5y)9.52%
ROCE(3y)10.82%
ROCE(5y)12.04%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.29%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.17%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.09 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.86 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 84.67% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 11.97% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.9 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.72% | ||
| Profit Quality | 117.02% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.71 |
F-Score7
WACC7.53%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)90.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.45%
Profit Quality(3y)117.27%
Profit Quality(5y)128.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
EPS Next Y-14.08%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
Revenue Next Year-5.36%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year85.56%
EBIT Next 3Y26.66%
EBIT Next 5Y17.08%
FCF growth 1Y-26.93%
FCF growth 3Y-13.12%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.92%
OCF growth 3Y-6.59%
OCF growth 5Y36.73%
SUNCOR ENERGY INC / SU.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SU.CA.
What is the valuation status of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of SU stock?
SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the valuation of SUNCOR ENERGY INC based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) is 19.99 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.42.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SU stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) is expected to decline by -14.08% in the next year.