SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
TSX:SU • CA8672241079
77.2 CAD
-1.54 (-1.96%)
Last: Mar 6, 2026, 07:00 PM
This SU.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
Taking everything into account, SU scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. SU was compared to 212 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making SU a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. SU has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. SU.CA Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year SU was profitable.
- SU had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- SU had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- SU had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of SU (6.58%) is better than 90.09% of its industry peers.
- SU has a Return On Equity of 13.11%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SU outperforms 89.62% of its industry peers.
- SU has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.42%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SU outperforms 90.57% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SU is in line with the industry average of 6.67%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.58% | ||
| ROE | 13.11% | ||
| ROIC | 7.42% |
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
1.3 Margins
- With a decent Profit Margin value of 12.10%, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.42% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SU has declined.
- SU's Operating Margin of 16.35% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SU outperforms 65.57% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SU has declined.
- SU has a Gross Margin of 63.09%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SU outperforms 81.60% of its industry peers.
- SU's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 16.35% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 63.09% |
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
2. SU.CA Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- SU has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- SU has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- SU has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for SU has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- SU has an Altman-Z score of 2.48. This is not the best score and indicates that SU is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- SU has a better Altman-Z score (2.48) than 74.06% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SU is 2.09, which is a good value as it means it would take SU, 2.09 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.09, SU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 89.15% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29 indicates that SU is not too dependend on debt financing.
- With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.29, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.79% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.09 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.48 |
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC7.56%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.39 indicates that SU should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- SU has a better Current ratio (1.39) than 71.23% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.89 indicates that SU may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- SU has a Quick ratio of 0.89. This is in the better half of the industry: SU outperforms 62.74% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 |
3. SU.CA Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for SU have decreased strongly by -14.97% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, SU shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -17.92% on average per year.
- SU shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -3.51%.
- SU shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 14.68% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
3.2 Future
- SU is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.38% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.13% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-14.08%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue Next Year-5.36%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. SU.CA Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- SU is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 16.78.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SU is valued a bit cheaper than 69.34% of the companies in the same industry.
- SU's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 26.29.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 19.53, the valuation of SU can be described as rather expensive.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SU indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SU is cheaper than 69.34% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.60. SU is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.53 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- SU's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SU is cheaper than 85.85% of the companies in the same industry.
- 82.08% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SU, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 13.23 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.87 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- SU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
5. SU.CA Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.05%, SU has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
- SU's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 4.17.
- SU's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.05% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of SU grows each year by 16.10%, which is quite nice.
- SU has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- 47.47% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SU. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of SU is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP47.47%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
SU.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
TSX:SU (3/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM)
77.2
-1.54 (-1.96%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03 2026-02-03/amc
Earnings (Next)05-04 2026-05-04/amc
Inst Owners72.32%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap91.63B
Revenue(TTM)48.91B
Net Income(TTM)5.92B
Analysts75.86
Price Target75.49 (-2.22%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.05% |
Yearly Dividend2.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
DP47.47%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-04 2026-03-04 (0.6)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.57%
Min EPS beat(2)6.26%
Max EPS beat(2)32.87%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.14%
Min EPS beat(4)0.63%
Max EPS beat(4)32.87%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)13.43%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)11.91%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)10.38%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.14%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.31%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.78%
PT rev (1m)6.33%
PT rev (3m)10.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.26%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)1.85%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.94%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)5.6%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.79%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.5%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.45%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 19.53 | ||
| P/S | 1.87 | ||
| P/FCF | 13.23 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.17 | ||
| P/B | 2.03 | ||
| P/tB | 2.2 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.87 |
EPS(TTM)4.6
EY5.96%
EPS(NY)3.95
Fwd EY5.12%
FCF(TTM)5.83
FCFY7.56%
OCF(TTM)10.77
OCFY13.95%
SpS41.21
BVpS38.02
TBVpS35.11
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number62.73
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.58% | ||
| ROE | 13.11% | ||
| ROCE | 10.03% | ||
| ROIC | 7.42% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.78% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.15% | ||
| OM | 16.35% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 12.1% | ||
| GM | 63.09% | ||
| FCFM | 14.16% |
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
ROICexc(3y)8.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.07%
ROICexgc(3y)8.69%
ROICexgc(5y)9.52%
ROCE(3y)10.82%
ROCE(5y)12.04%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.29%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.17%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.29 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.09 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.86 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 84.67% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 11.97% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 8.9 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 85.72% | ||
| Profit Quality | 117.02% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.48 |
F-Score7
WACC7.56%
ROIC/WACC0.98
Cap/Depr(3y)90.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.45%
Profit Quality(3y)117.27%
Profit Quality(5y)128.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
EPS Next Y-14.08%
EPS Next 2Y-0.65%
EPS Next 3Y3.19%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
Revenue Next Year-5.36%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.95%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.13%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year85.56%
EBIT Next 3Y26.66%
EBIT Next 5Y17.08%
FCF growth 1Y-26.93%
FCF growth 3Y-13.12%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.92%
OCF growth 3Y-6.59%
OCF growth 5Y36.73%
SUNCOR ENERGY INC / SU.CA FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SU.CA.
Can you provide the valuation status for SUNCOR ENERGY INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) stock?
SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) stock?
The financial health rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) is 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SU stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) is expected to decline by -14.08% in the next year.