SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

TSX:SUCA8672241079

Current stock price

86.31 CAD
-1.25 (-1.43%)
Last:

This SU.CA fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. SU.CA Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SU was profitable.
  • In the past year SU had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • SU had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SU had a positive operating cash flow.
SU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSU.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B 15B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 6.58%, SU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 13.11%, SU belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.71% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SU has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.42%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SU outperforms 89.71% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SU is in line with the industry average of 6.85%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.58%
ROE 13.11%
ROIC 7.42%
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
SU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSU.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 20

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of SU (12.10%) is better than 74.51% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SU has declined.
  • With a decent Operating Margin value of 16.35%, SU is doing good in the industry, outperforming 63.24% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SU's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of SU (63.09%) is better than 80.39% of its industry peers.
  • SU's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.35%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 63.09%
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
SU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSU.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 40 60

7

2. SU.CA Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SU is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SU has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • SU has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • SU has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingSU.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B
SU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSU.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.62 indicates that SU is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of SU (2.62) is better than 74.51% of its industry peers.
  • SU has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.09. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as SU would need 2.09 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.09, SU belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.18% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SU has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.29. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • SU has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.29. This is in the better half of the industry: SU outperforms 63.24% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.09
Altman-Z 2.62
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC7.51%
SU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSU.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10B 20B 30B 40B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SU has a Current Ratio of 1.39. This is a normal value and indicates that SU is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SU has a Current ratio of 1.39. This is in the better half of the industry: SU outperforms 70.59% of its industry peers.
  • SU has a Quick Ratio of 1.39. This is a bad value and indicates that SU is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SU has a Quick ratio of 0.89. This is in the better half of the industry: SU outperforms 61.27% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.89
SU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSU.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B

4

3. SU.CA Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • SU shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -14.97%.
  • The earnings per share for SU have been decreasing by -17.92% on average. This is quite bad
  • Looking at the last year, SU shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.51% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 14.68% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%

3.2 Future

  • SU is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 12.38% yearly.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 0.13% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y11.79%
EPS Next 2Y11.07%
EPS Next 3Y17.68%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue Next Year3.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.26%
Revenue Next 3Y0.51%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
SU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSU.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 20B 40B 60B
SU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSU.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 4 6 8

6

4. SU.CA Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 18.76, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of SU.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SU is valued a bit cheaper than 67.65% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SU is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.38, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • SU is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 16.78.
  • SU's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SU is cheaper than 71.57% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 38.20. SU is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.76
Fwd PE 16.78
SU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSU.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SU indicates a rather cheap valuation: SU is cheaper than 82.35% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SU indicates a rather cheap valuation: SU is cheaper than 80.39% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 14.79
EV/EBITDA 7.6
SU.CA Per share dataSU.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 10 20 30 40

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SU's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
  • SU has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as SU's earnings are expected to grow with 17.68% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.59
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y11.07%
EPS Next 3Y17.68%

6

5. SU.CA Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SU has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.74%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.63, SU pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, SU pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.74%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of SU grows each year by 16.10%, which is quite nice.
  • SU has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • SU has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
SU.CA Yearly Dividends per shareSU.CA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2

5.3 Sustainability

  • 47.47% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SU. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • SU's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP47.47%
EPS Next 2Y11.07%
EPS Next 3Y17.68%
SU.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSU.CA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B
SU.CA Dividend Payout.SU.CA Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SU.CA Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

SU.CA Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SUNCOR ENERGY INC

TSX:SU (4/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM)

86.31

-1.25 (-1.43%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)02-03
Earnings (Next)05-04
Inst Owners72.3%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap102.44B
Revenue(TTM)48.91B
Net Income(TTM)5.92B
Analysts76.43
Price Target90.79 (5.19%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.74%
Yearly Dividend2.3
Dividend Growth(5Y)16.1%
DP47.47%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-04
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)19.57%
Min EPS beat(2)6.26%
Max EPS beat(2)32.87%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)11.14%
Min EPS beat(4)0.63%
Max EPS beat(4)32.87%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)13.43%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)11.91%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)10.38%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.49%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.37%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.75%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.14%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.32%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.31%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)4.78%
PT rev (1m)20.27%
PT rev (3m)31.53%
EPS NQ rev (1m)23.3%
EPS NQ rev (3m)23.62%
EPS NY rev (1m)30.11%
EPS NY rev (3m)33.69%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)2.5%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)8.23%
Revenue NY rev (1m)8.85%
Revenue NY rev (3m)9.4%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 18.76
Fwd PE 16.78
P/S 2.09
P/FCF 14.79
P/OCF 8.02
P/B 2.27
P/tB 2.46
EV/EBITDA 7.6
EPS(TTM)4.6
EY5.33%
EPS(NY)5.14
Fwd EY5.96%
FCF(TTM)5.83
FCFY6.76%
OCF(TTM)10.77
OCFY12.48%
SpS41.21
BVpS38.02
TBVpS35.11
PEG (NY)1.59
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number62.7285 (-27.32%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 6.58%
ROE 13.11%
ROCE 10.03%
ROIC 7.42%
ROICexc 7.78%
ROICexgc 8.15%
OM 16.35%
PM (TTM) 12.1%
GM 63.09%
FCFM 14.16%
ROA(3y)7.55%
ROA(5y)7.66%
ROE(3y)15.27%
ROE(5y)16.02%
ROIC(3y)7.99%
ROIC(5y)8.77%
ROICexc(3y)8.29%
ROICexc(5y)9.07%
ROICexgc(3y)8.69%
ROICexgc(5y)9.52%
ROCE(3y)10.82%
ROCE(5y)12.04%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-18.29%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y-18.17%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y-11.86%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-8.04%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.68%
GM growth 5Y0.01%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.54
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.29
Debt/FCF 2.09
Debt/EBITDA 0.86
Cap/Depr 84.67%
Cap/Sales 11.97%
Interest Coverage 8.9
Cash Conversion 85.72%
Profit Quality 117.02%
Current Ratio 1.39
Quick Ratio 0.89
Altman-Z 2.62
F-Score7
WACC7.51%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)90.05%
Cap/Depr(5y)81.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)12.28%
Cap/Sales(5y)11.45%
Profit Quality(3y)117.27%
Profit Quality(5y)128.63%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-14.97%
EPS 3Y-17.92%
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-12%
EPS Next Y11.79%
EPS Next 2Y11.07%
EPS Next 3Y17.68%
EPS Next 5Y12.38%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.51%
Revenue growth 3Y-5.71%
Revenue growth 5Y14.68%
Sales Q2Q%-1.66%
Revenue Next Year3.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.26%
Revenue Next 3Y0.51%
Revenue Next 5Y0.13%
EBIT growth 1Y-11.51%
EBIT growth 3Y-16.89%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year113.39%
EBIT Next 3Y31.32%
EBIT Next 5Y17.08%
FCF growth 1Y-26.93%
FCF growth 3Y-13.12%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-19.92%
OCF growth 3Y-6.59%
OCF growth 5Y36.73%

SUNCOR ENERGY INC / SU.CA Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SU.CA.


What is the valuation status of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of SU stock?

SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the valuation of SUNCOR ENERGY INC based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) is 18.76 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 2.27.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SU stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SUNCOR ENERGY INC (SU.CA) is expected to grow by 11.79% in the next year.