SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS (STX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:STX • IE00BKVD2N49
Current stock price
559.9 USD
+20.15 (+3.73%)
At close:
578.205 USD
+18.31 (+3.27%)
Pre-Market:
This STX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. STX Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year STX was profitable.
- In the past year STX had a positive cash flow from operations.
- STX had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years STX always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of STX (22.62%) is better than 94.59% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 429.19%, STX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- STX has a better Return On Invested Capital (45.09%) than 97.30% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for STX is in line with the industry average of 15.19%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (45.09%) for STX is above the 3 year average (13.27%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 22.62% | ||
| ROE | 429.19% | ||
| ROIC | 45.09% |
ROA(3y)5.21%
ROA(5y)9.84%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.27%
ROIC(5y)18.72%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 19.59%, STX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 94.59% of the companies in the same industry.
- STX's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- With an excellent Operating Margin value of 25.73%, STX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.59% of the companies in the same industry.
- STX's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- STX has a Gross Margin of 38.78%. This is in the better half of the industry: STX outperforms 75.68% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of STX has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 25.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 19.59% | ||
| GM | 38.78% |
OM growth 3Y8.07%
OM growth 5Y10.02%
PM growth 3Y4.52%
PM growth 5Y11.07%
GM growth 3Y5.89%
GM growth 5Y5.48%
2. STX Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so STX is creating value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, STX has more shares outstanding
- The number of shares outstanding for STX has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, STX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- The Debt to FCF ratio of STX is 2.69, which is a good value as it means it would take STX, 2.69 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.69, STX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.68% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 7.63 is on the high side and indicates that STX has dependencies on debt financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 7.63, STX is not doing good in the industry: 75.68% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.69 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
ROIC/WACC5.15
WACC8.75%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 1.12 indicates that STX should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of STX (1.12) is worse than 62.16% of its industry peers.
- STX has a Quick Ratio of 1.12. This is a bad value and indicates that STX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.72, STX is not doing good in the industry: 70.27% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.72 |
3. STX Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- STX shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 104.61%, which is quite impressive.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 10.31% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- Looking at the last year, STX shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 25.18%.
- The Revenue has been decreasing by -2.84% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)104.61%
EPS 3Y-0.25%
EPS 5Y10.31%
EPS Q2Q%53.2%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)25.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.94%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.84%
Sales Q2Q%21.51%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, STX will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 32.72% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 18.26% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y62.14%
EPS Next 2Y59.53%
EPS Next 3Y46.28%
EPS Next 5Y32.72%
Revenue Next Year26.79%
Revenue Next 2Y25.92%
Revenue Next 3Y22.52%
Revenue Next 5Y18.26%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. STX Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- STX is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 54.84.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as STX.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of STX to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.66), we can say STX is valued expensively.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 27.16, the valuation of STX can be described as expensive.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as STX.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 38.00, STX is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 54.84 | ||
| Fwd PE | 27.16 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- STX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
- STX's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 74.89 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 45.19 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- STX has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as STX's earnings are expected to grow with 46.28% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.88
PEG (5Y)5.32
EPS Next 2Y59.53%
EPS Next 3Y46.28%
5. STX Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a yearly dividend of 0.56%, STX is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 0.71, STX pays a better dividend. On top of this STX pays more dividend than 81.08% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, STX's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.56% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of STX has a limited annual growth rate of 2.08%.
- STX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- STX has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.08%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years12
5.3 Sustainability
- 31.07% of the earnings are spent on dividend by STX. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of STX is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP31.07%
EPS Next 2Y59.53%
EPS Next 3Y46.28%
STX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
559.9
+20.15 (+3.73%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupTechnology Hardware & Equipment
GICS IndustryTechnology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals
Earnings (Last)01-27 2026-01-27/amc
Earnings (Next)04-28 2026-04-28/amc
Inst Owners89.56%
Inst Owner Change-0.33%
Ins Owners0.25%
Ins Owner Change-11.33%
Market Cap125.43B
Revenue(TTM)10.06B
Net Income(TTM)1.97B
Analysts81.38
Price Target508.76 (-9.13%)
Short Float %4.09%
Short Ratio2.34
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0.56% |
Yearly Dividend2.84
Dividend Growth(5Y)2.08%
DP31.07%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date03-25 2026-03-25 (0.74)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.14%
Min EPS beat(2)8.88%
Max EPS beat(2)9.41%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)7.75%
Min EPS beat(4)4.67%
Max EPS beat(4)9.41%
EPS beat(8)8
Avg EPS beat(8)11.86%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)14.56%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)11.53%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.29%
Min Revenue beat(2)2.28%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.3%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.23%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.37%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.3%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.3%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.33%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.57%
PT rev (1m)5.45%
PT rev (3m)64.61%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)19.88%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.05%
EPS NY rev (3m)13.13%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.27%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.32%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NY rev (3m)4.73%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 54.84 | ||
| Fwd PE | 27.16 | ||
| P/S | 12.47 | ||
| P/FCF | 74.89 | ||
| P/OCF | 62.03 | ||
| P/B | 273.28 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 45.19 |
EPS(TTM)10.21
EY1.82%
EPS(NY)20.61
Fwd EY3.68%
FCF(TTM)7.48
FCFY1.34%
OCF(TTM)9.03
OCFY1.61%
SpS44.9
BVpS2.05
TBVpS-3.4
PEG (NY)0.88
PEG (5Y)5.32
Graham Number21.6949 (-96.13%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 22.62% | ||
| ROE | 429.19% | ||
| ROCE | 52.31% | ||
| ROIC | 45.09% | ||
| ROICexc | 57.18% | ||
| ROICexgc | 83.23% | ||
| OM | 25.73% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 19.59% | ||
| GM | 38.78% | ||
| FCFM | 16.65% |
ROA(3y)5.21%
ROA(5y)9.84%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)13.27%
ROIC(5y)18.72%
ROICexc(3y)16.46%
ROICexc(5y)22.64%
ROICexgc(3y)23.54%
ROICexgc(5y)31.58%
ROCE(3y)15.39%
ROCE(5y)21.72%
ROICexgc growth 3Y2.29%
ROICexgc growth 5Y6.53%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.57%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.9%
OM growth 3Y8.07%
OM growth 5Y10.02%
PM growth 3Y4.52%
PM growth 5Y11.07%
GM growth 3Y5.89%
GM growth 5Y5.48%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover1.16
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 7.63 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.69 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.23 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 131.44% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.45% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 70.9% | ||
| Profit Quality | 85.03% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.12 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.72 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
F-Score7
WACC8.75%
ROIC/WACC5.15
Cap/Depr(3y)87.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)94.66%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.69%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.8%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)104.61%
EPS 3Y-0.25%
EPS 5Y10.31%
EPS Q2Q%53.2%
EPS Next Y62.14%
EPS Next 2Y59.53%
EPS Next 3Y46.28%
EPS Next 5Y32.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)25.18%
Revenue growth 3Y-7.94%
Revenue growth 5Y-2.84%
Sales Q2Q%21.51%
Revenue Next Year26.79%
Revenue Next 2Y25.92%
Revenue Next 3Y22.52%
Revenue Next 5Y18.26%
EBIT growth 1Y91.85%
EBIT growth 3Y-0.51%
EBIT growth 5Y6.89%
EBIT Next Year95.27%
EBIT Next 3Y52.66%
EBIT Next 5Y34.55%
FCF growth 1Y236.35%
FCF growth 3Y-13.77%
FCF growth 5Y-6.24%
OCF growth 1Y172.51%
OCF growth 3Y-13.22%
OCF growth 5Y-8.77%
SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS / STX Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for STX stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to STX.
Can you provide the valuation status for SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS (STX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of STX stock?
SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS (STX) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS (STX) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS (STX) is 54.84 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 273.28.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for STX stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HOLDINGS (STX) is expected to grow by 62.14% in the next year.