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STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST INC (STWD) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:STWD - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US85571B1052 - REIT - Currency: USD

19.1  -0.21 (-1.09%)

After market: 19.29 +0.19 (+0.99%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to STWD. STWD was compared to 64 industry peers in the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)" industry. STWD has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. STWD has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

STWD had positive earnings in the past year.
STWD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years STWD has been profitable.
In multiple years STWD reported negative operating cash flow during the last 5 years.
STWD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSTWD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B -1B

1.2 Ratios

STWD has a Return On Assets (0.58%) which is in line with its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of STWD (5.69%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
STWD has a Return On Invested Capital of 0.10%. This is in the lower half of the industry: STWD underperforms 68.75% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for STWD is in line with the industry average of 1.54%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.58%
ROE 5.69%
ROIC 0.1%
ROA(3y)0.7%
ROA(5y)0.63%
ROE(3y)8.6%
ROE(5y)8.77%
ROIC(3y)0.47%
ROIC(5y)0.35%
STWD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSTWD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2 4 6 8 10

1.3 Margins

With a decent Profit Margin value of 17.80%, STWD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.31% of the companies in the same industry.
STWD's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of STWD (3.73%) is worse than 65.63% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of STWD has declined.
STWD has a Gross Margin of 25.61%. This is in the lower half of the industry: STWD underperforms 60.94% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of STWD has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 3.73%
PM (TTM) 17.8%
GM 25.61%
OM growth 3Y-12.29%
OM growth 5Y-3.86%
PM growth 3Y-20.91%
PM growth 5Y-16.23%
GM growth 3Y-14.52%
GM growth 5Y-8.71%
STWD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSTWD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20 40 60

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

STWD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
STWD has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for STWD has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for STWD is higher compared to a year ago.
STWD Yearly Shares OutstandingSTWD Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M
STWD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSTWD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20B 40B 60B 80B

2.2 Solvency

STWD has an Altman-Z score of 0.11. This is a bad value and indicates that STWD is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
STWD has a better Altman-Z score (0.11) than 70.31% of its industry peers.
STWD has a debt to FCF ratio of 49.37. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as STWD would need 49.37 years to pay back of all of its debts.
STWD's Debt to FCF ratio of 49.37 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. STWD outperforms 59.38% of its industry peers.
STWD has a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.72. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 2.72, STWD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 73.44% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.72
Debt/FCF 49.37
Altman-Z 0.11
ROIC/WACC0.02
WACC6.25%
STWD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSTWD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 5B 10B 15B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.74 indicates that STWD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of STWD (0.74) is better than 71.88% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.74 indicates that STWD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.74, STWD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.88% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.74
Quick Ratio 0.74
STWD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSTWD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

STWD shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 7.58%.
STWD shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -1.57% yearly.
The Revenue for STWD has decreased by -10.39% in the past year. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing by 16.11% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.58%
EPS 3Y1.33%
EPS 5Y-1.57%
EPS Q2Q%-2.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.25%
Revenue growth 5Y16.11%
Sales Q2Q%-8.05%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, STWD will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 0.42% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, STWD will show a very negative growth in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -25.71% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-0.48%
EPS Next 2Y-0.99%
EPS Next 3Y0.42%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.59%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.17%
Revenue Next 3Y-25.71%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
STWD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSTWD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B 2B
STWD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSTWD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

STWD is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 8.97.
73.44% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than STWD, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of STWD to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.28), we can say STWD is valued rather cheaply.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.46 indicates a reasonable valuation of STWD.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of STWD is on the same level as its industry peers.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 91.29. STWD is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.97
Fwd PE 9.46
STWD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSTWD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, STWD is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.31% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of STWD is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 17.75
EV/EBITDA 191.75
STWD Per share dataSTWD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-0.99%
EPS Next 3Y0.42%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

STWD has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 10.08%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 13.38, STWD's dividend is way lower than its industry peers. On top of this 89.06% of the companies listed in the same industry pay a better dividend than STWD!
STWD's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.27.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 10.08%

5.2 History

The dividend of STWD has a limited annual growth rate of 0.29%.
STWD has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
STWD has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.29%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years15
STWD Yearly Dividends per shareSTWD Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

STWD pays out 163.32% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
STWD's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP163.32%
EPS Next 2Y-0.99%
EPS Next 3Y0.42%
STWD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSTWD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500M -500M 1B -1B
STWD Dividend Payout.STWD Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.STWD Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

STARWOOD PROPERTY TRUST INC

NYSE:STWD (1/29/2025, 8:04:01 PM)

After market: 19.29 +0.19 (+0.99%)

19.1

-0.21 (-1.09%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupFinancial Services
GICS IndustryMortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)"
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-21 2025-02-21/amc
Inst Owners47.8%
Inst Owner Change-0.08%
Ins Owners5.51%
Ins Owner Change0.32%
Market Cap6.44B
Analysts80
Price Target22.89 (19.84%)
Short Float %3.91%
Short Ratio5.59
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 10.08%
Yearly Dividend1.93
Dividend Growth(5Y)0.29%
DP163.32%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-1.48%
Min EPS beat(2)-3.08%
Max EPS beat(2)0.13%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)9.55%
Min EPS beat(4)-3.08%
Max EPS beat(4)22.7%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)4.12%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)14.86%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)10.97%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.69%
Min Revenue beat(2)-8.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.84%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.11%
Min Revenue beat(4)-21.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.84%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.64%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)25.86%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)19.35%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-1.84%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.75%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.68%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-5.12%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.52%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 8.97
Fwd PE 9.46
P/S 3.08
P/FCF 17.75
P/OCF 17.75
P/B 0.98
P/tB 1.04
EV/EBITDA 191.75
EPS(TTM)2.13
EY11.15%
EPS(NY)2.02
Fwd EY10.57%
FCF(TTM)1.08
FCFY5.63%
OCF(TTM)1.08
OCFY5.63%
SpS6.2
BVpS19.4
TBVpS18.45
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.58%
ROE 5.69%
ROCE 0.12%
ROIC 0.1%
ROICexc 0.1%
ROICexgc 0.27%
OM 3.73%
PM (TTM) 17.8%
GM 25.61%
FCFM 17.36%
ROA(3y)0.7%
ROA(5y)0.63%
ROE(3y)8.6%
ROE(5y)8.77%
ROIC(3y)0.47%
ROIC(5y)0.35%
ROICexc(3y)0.47%
ROICexc(5y)0.35%
ROICexgc(3y)1.5%
ROICexgc(5y)1.27%
ROCE(3y)0.61%
ROCE(5y)0.45%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-4.2%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-0.32%
ROICexc growth 3Y17.32%
ROICexc growth 5Y11.24%
OM growth 3Y-12.29%
OM growth 5Y-3.86%
PM growth 3Y-20.91%
PM growth 5Y-16.23%
GM growth 3Y-14.52%
GM growth 5Y-8.71%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.03
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 2.72
Debt/FCF 49.37
Debt/EBITDA 142.39
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage 0.06
Cash Conversion 289.96%
Profit Quality 97.49%
Current Ratio 0.74
Quick Ratio 0.74
Altman-Z 0.11
F-Score4
WACC6.25%
ROIC/WACC0.02
Cap/Depr(3y)11.07%
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)0.8%
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)7.58%
EPS 3Y1.33%
EPS 5Y-1.57%
EPS Q2Q%-2.04%
EPS Next Y-0.48%
EPS Next 2Y-0.99%
EPS Next 3Y0.42%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-10.39%
Revenue growth 3Y27.25%
Revenue growth 5Y16.11%
Sales Q2Q%-8.05%
Revenue Next Year-1.59%
Revenue Next 2Y-4.17%
Revenue Next 3Y-25.71%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-75.36%
EBIT growth 3Y11.62%
EBIT growth 5Y11.63%
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y25.81%
FCF growth 3Y-20.34%
FCF growth 5Y-2.02%
OCF growth 1Y14.64%
OCF growth 3Y-20.34%
OCF growth 5Y-2.02%