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STEEL DYNAMICS INC (STLD) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:STLD - Nasdaq - US8581191009 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

130.71  -4.36 (-3.23%)

After market: 131.395 +0.69 (+0.52%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Taking everything into account, STLD scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. STLD was compared to 150 industry peers in the Metals & Mining industry. While STLD has a great profitability rating, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. STLD has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

9

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

STLD had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year STLD had a positive cash flow from operations.
Each year in the past 5 years STLD has been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years STLD had a positive operating cash flow.
STLD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSTLD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of STLD (10.29%) is better than 90.21% of its industry peers.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 17.20%, STLD belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 88.11% of the companies in the same industry.
STLD's Return On Invested Capital of 11.76% is amongst the best of the industry. STLD outperforms 89.51% of its industry peers.
STLD had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 21.22%. This is significantly above the industry average of 8.84%.
The 3 year average ROIC (21.22%) for STLD is well above the current ROIC(11.76%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.29%
ROE 17.2%
ROIC 11.76%
ROA(3y)18%
ROA(5y)17.12%
ROE(3y)30.79%
ROE(5y)31.2%
ROIC(3y)21.22%
ROIC(5y)20.87%
STLD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSTLD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40 50

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of STLD (8.76%) is better than 79.72% of its industry peers.
STLD's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
STLD's Operating Margin of 11.08% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. STLD outperforms 66.43% of its industry peers.
STLD's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
STLD's Gross Margin of 15.98% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. STLD outperforms 48.25% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of STLD has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.08%
PM (TTM) 8.76%
GM 15.98%
OM growth 3Y-22.02%
OM growth 5Y3.27%
PM growth 3Y-20.53%
PM growth 5Y6.45%
GM growth 3Y-18.14%
GM growth 5Y1.78%
STLD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSTLD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

STLD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
STLD has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, STLD has less shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for STLD is higher compared to a year ago.
STLD Yearly Shares OutstandingSTLD Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
STLD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSTLD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 5.31 indicates that STLD is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
STLD's Altman-Z score of 5.31 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. STLD outperforms 72.03% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.31 indicates that STLD is not too dependend on debt financing.
STLD has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (0.31) than 64.34% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.31
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 5.31
ROIC/WACC1.16
WACC10.17%
STLD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSTLD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.53 indicates that STLD has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
STLD's Current ratio of 2.53 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. STLD outperforms 57.34% of its industry peers.
STLD has a Quick Ratio of 1.08. This is a normal value and indicates that STLD is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
STLD has a worse Quick ratio (1.08) than 65.03% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.53
Quick Ratio 1.08
STLD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSTLD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for STLD have decreased strongly by -34.23% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, STLD shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 25.97% on average per year.
STLD shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -6.68%.
STLD shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 10.88% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-15.5%
EPS 5Y25.97%
EPS Q2Q%-47.89%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.6%
Revenue growth 5Y10.88%
Sales Q2Q%-8.53%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 9.83% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
Based on estimates for the next years, STLD will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 3.93% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-10.37%
EPS Next 2Y11.81%
EPS Next 3Y12.83%
EPS Next 5Y9.83%
Revenue Next Year0.39%
Revenue Next 2Y4.76%
Revenue Next 3Y3.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
STLD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSTLD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5B 10B 15B 20B
STLD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSTLD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5 10 15 20

5

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

STLD is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.34.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, STLD is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.71% of the companies are valued more expensively.
STLD's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 29.63.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.88, the valuation of STLD can be described as correct.
STLD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. STLD is cheaper than 66.43% of the companies in the same industry.
STLD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 22.68.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.34
Fwd PE 14.88
STLD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSTLD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

STLD's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. STLD is cheaper than 66.43% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 9.46
STLD Per share dataSTLD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

STLD has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as STLD's earnings are expected to grow with 12.83% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.51
EPS Next 2Y11.81%
EPS Next 3Y12.83%

6

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.36%, STLD has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
STLD's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 3.16.
With a Dividend Yield of 1.36, STLD pays less dividend than the S&P500 average, which is at 2.29.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.36%

5.2 History

The dividend of STLD is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 14.73%!
STLD has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
STLD has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.73%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years14
STLD Yearly Dividends per shareSTLD Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

STLD pays out 18.39% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
STLD's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP18.39%
EPS Next 2Y11.81%
EPS Next 3Y12.83%
STLD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSTLD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B
STLD Dividend Payout.STLD Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.STLD Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

STEEL DYNAMICS INC

NASDAQ:STLD (2/21/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 131.395 +0.69 (+0.52%)

130.71

-4.36 (-3.23%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)01-22 2025-01-22/amc
Earnings (Next)04-21 2025-04-21/amc
Inst Owners84.02%
Inst Owner Change-0.51%
Ins Owners6.09%
Ins Owner Change-0.62%
Market Cap19.90B
Analysts71.43
Price Target144.93 (10.88%)
Short Float %2.11%
Short Ratio1.76
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.36%
Yearly Dividend1.81
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.73%
DP18.39%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years14
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.15%
Min EPS beat(2)1.77%
Max EPS beat(2)4.52%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.17%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.23%
Max EPS beat(4)4.52%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)1.7%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.75%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)3.19%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.07%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.04%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.89%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.04%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.42%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.08%
Revenue beat(12)8
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.56%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.21%
PT rev (1m)0.82%
PT rev (3m)2.66%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-30.62%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-40.84%
EPS NY rev (1m)-11.44%
EPS NY rev (3m)-14.22%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.4%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-10.48%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-1.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-2.63%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.34
Fwd PE 14.88
P/S 1.13
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 10.79
P/B 2.23
P/tB 2.42
EV/EBITDA 9.46
EPS(TTM)9.8
EY7.5%
EPS(NY)8.78
Fwd EY6.72%
FCF(TTM)-0.15
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)12.12
OCFY9.27%
SpS115.22
BVpS58.69
TBVpS54.06
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.51
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.29%
ROE 17.2%
ROCE 15.2%
ROIC 11.76%
ROICexc 12.48%
ROICexgc 13.26%
OM 11.08%
PM (TTM) 8.76%
GM 15.98%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)18%
ROA(5y)17.12%
ROE(3y)30.79%
ROE(5y)31.2%
ROIC(3y)21.22%
ROIC(5y)20.87%
ROICexc(3y)25.25%
ROICexc(5y)24.52%
ROICexgc(3y)27.22%
ROICexgc(5y)26.63%
ROCE(3y)27.41%
ROCE(5y)26.96%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-30.82%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-3.41%
ROICexc growth 3Y-30.22%
ROICexc growth 5Y-1.67%
OM growth 3Y-22.02%
OM growth 5Y3.27%
PM growth 3Y-20.53%
PM growth 5Y6.45%
GM growth 3Y-18.14%
GM growth 5Y1.78%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.17
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.31
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 1.16
Cap/Depr 390.06%
Cap/Sales 10.65%
Interest Coverage 19.24
Cash Conversion 76.16%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.53
Quick Ratio 1.08
Altman-Z 5.31
F-Score4
WACC10.17%
ROIC/WACC1.16
Cap/Depr(3y)335.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)332.49%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.85%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.3%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-34.23%
EPS 3Y-15.5%
EPS 5Y25.97%
EPS Q2Q%-47.89%
EPS Next Y-10.37%
EPS Next 2Y11.81%
EPS Next 3Y12.83%
EPS Next 5Y9.83%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.68%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.6%
Revenue growth 5Y10.88%
Sales Q2Q%-8.53%
Revenue Next Year0.39%
Revenue Next 2Y4.76%
Revenue Next 3Y3.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-38.34%
EBIT growth 3Y-23.27%
EBIT growth 5Y14.51%
EBIT Next Year11.04%
EBIT Next 3Y18.73%
EBIT Next 5Y14.13%
FCF growth 1Y-101.26%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-47.6%
OCF growth 3Y-5.76%
OCF growth 5Y5.73%