STEEL DYNAMICS INC (STLD) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:STLD • US8581191009

Current stock price

187.265 USD
+10.07 (+5.69%)
Last:

This STLD fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. STLD Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year STLD was profitable.
  • STLD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years STLD has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years STLD always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
STLD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSTLD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of STLD (7.22%) is better than 78.34% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Equity of STLD (13.24%) is better than 78.34% of its industry peers.
  • STLD's Return On Invested Capital of 8.14% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. STLD outperforms 69.43% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for STLD is significantly below the industry average of 61.57%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (8.14%) for STLD is well below the 3 year average (13.29%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that STLD had better years and this may not be a problem.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.22%
ROE 13.24%
ROIC 8.14%
ROA(3y)11.32%
ROA(5y)17.38%
ROE(3y)19.36%
ROE(5y)31.31%
ROIC(3y)13.29%
ROIC(5y)21.18%
STLD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSTLD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10 20 30 40 50

1.3 Margins

  • STLD has a Profit Margin of 6.52%. This is in the better half of the industry: STLD outperforms 71.97% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of STLD has grown nicely.
  • The Operating Margin of STLD (8.12%) is better than 61.15% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of STLD has declined.
  • The Gross Margin of STLD (13.16%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of STLD has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 8.12%
PM (TTM) 6.52%
GM 13.16%
OM growth 3Y-29.19%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-27.83%
PM growth 5Y2.6%
GM growth 3Y-21.76%
GM growth 5Y-2.51%
STLD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSTLD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5 10 15 20 25

6

2. STLD Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so STLD is still creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, STLD has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, STLD has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, STLD has a worse debt to assets ratio.
STLD Yearly Shares OutstandingSTLD Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 50M 100M 150M 200M
STLD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSTLD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 5.13 indicates that STLD is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 5.13, STLD is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 66.24% of the companies in the same industry.
  • STLD has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.40. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as STLD would need 8.40 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of STLD (8.40) is better than 64.97% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.47 indicates that STLD is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • STLD has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.47. This is in the lower half of the industry: STLD underperforms 70.70% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.47
Debt/FCF 8.4
Altman-Z 5.13
ROIC/WACC0.64
WACC12.72%
STLD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSTLD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 2B 4B 6B 8B

2.3 Liquidity

  • STLD has a Current Ratio of 3.06. This indicates that STLD is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 3.06, STLD is doing good in the industry, outperforming 64.33% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.29 indicates that STLD should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • STLD has a Quick ratio of 1.29. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: STLD outperforms 42.68% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.06
Quick Ratio 1.29
STLD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSTLD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2B 4B 6B

5

3. STLD Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for STLD have decreased strongly by -18.27% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 23.13% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 3.63% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, STLD shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 13.61% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-18.27%
EPS 3Y-29.21%
EPS 5Y23.13%
EPS Q2Q%33.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.63%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.53%
Revenue growth 5Y13.61%
Sales Q2Q%14%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, STLD will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 24.86% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 3.59% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y75.48%
EPS Next 2Y40.97%
EPS Next 3Y24.86%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year15.12%
Revenue Next 2Y8.92%
Revenue Next 3Y6.93%
Revenue Next 5Y3.59%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
STLD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSTLD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 5B 10B 15B 20B
STLD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSTLD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 5 10 15 20

6

4. STLD Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 23.38, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of STLD.
  • STLD's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. STLD is cheaper than 75.80% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.21, STLD is valued at the same level.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 13.32 indicates a correct valuation of STLD.
  • 74.52% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than STLD, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of STLD to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.10), we can say STLD is valued slightly cheaper.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.38
Fwd PE 13.32
STLD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSTLD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • STLD's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. STLD is cheaper than 68.15% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, STLD is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 70.06% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 54.1
EV/EBITDA 14.36
STLD Per share dataSTLD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80 100

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • STLD has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as STLD's earnings are expected to grow with 24.86% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.31
PEG (5Y)1.01
EPS Next 2Y40.97%
EPS Next 3Y24.86%

7

5. STLD Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.24%, STLD has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.16, STLD pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
  • Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, STLD is paying slightly less dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.24%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of STLD grows each year by 14.78%, which is quite nice.
  • STLD has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • STLD has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
Div Incr Years13
Div Non Decr Years15
STLD Yearly Dividends per shareSTLD Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5

5.3 Sustainability

  • STLD pays out 24.56% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
  • The dividend of STLD is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP24.56%
EPS Next 2Y40.97%
EPS Next 3Y24.86%
STLD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSTLD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B 2B 3B
STLD Dividend Payout.STLD Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.STLD Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

STLD Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

STEEL DYNAMICS INC

NASDAQ:STLD (4/8/2026, 2:02:59 PM)

187.265

+10.07 (+5.69%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorMaterials
GICS IndustryGroupMaterials
GICS IndustryMetals & Mining
Earnings (Last)01-26
Earnings (Next)04-20
Inst Owners85.18%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners6.27%
Ins Owner Change0.74%
Market Cap27.13B
Revenue(TTM)18.18B
Net Income(TTM)1.19B
Analysts79
Price Target192.39 (2.74%)
Short Float %2.69%
Short Ratio2.76
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.24%
Yearly Dividend1.96
Dividend Growth(5Y)14.78%
DP24.56%
Div Incr Years13
Div Non Decr Years15
Ex-Date03-31
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)3.67%
Min EPS beat(2)1.82%
Max EPS beat(2)5.52%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)0.81%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.16%
Max EPS beat(4)5.52%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)1.49%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)1.41%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)3.01%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.38%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.4%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.36%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.64%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.89%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.08%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.64%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.27%
Revenue beat(16)9
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.08%
PT rev (1m)0.27%
PT rev (3m)5.82%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-11.67%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.17%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.78%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.1%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.93%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)3.46%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 23.38
Fwd PE 13.32
P/S 1.49
P/FCF 54.1
P/OCF 18.72
P/B 3.03
P/tB 3.33
EV/EBITDA 14.36
EPS(TTM)8.01
EY4.28%
EPS(NY)14.06
Fwd EY7.51%
FCF(TTM)3.46
FCFY1.85%
OCF(TTM)10.01
OCFY5.34%
SpS125.46
BVpS61.82
TBVpS56.24
PEG (NY)0.31
PEG (5Y)1.01
Graham Number105.56
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 7.22%
ROE 13.24%
ROCE 10.33%
ROIC 8.14%
ROICexc 8.61%
ROICexgc 9.15%
OM 8.12%
PM (TTM) 6.52%
GM 13.16%
FCFM 2.76%
ROA(3y)11.32%
ROA(5y)17.38%
ROE(3y)19.36%
ROE(5y)31.31%
ROIC(3y)13.29%
ROIC(5y)21.18%
ROICexc(3y)15.03%
ROICexc(5y)24.64%
ROICexgc(3y)16.08%
ROICexgc(5y)26.63%
ROCE(3y)16.86%
ROCE(5y)26.86%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-40.79%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-4.73%
ROICexc growth 3Y-40.41%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.51%
OM growth 3Y-29.19%
OM growth 5Y-2.09%
PM growth 3Y-27.83%
PM growth 5Y2.6%
GM growth 3Y-21.76%
GM growth 5Y-2.51%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.11
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.47
Debt/FCF 8.4
Debt/EBITDA 2.06
Cap/Depr 171.93%
Cap/Sales 5.22%
Interest Coverage 9.42
Cash Conversion 71.5%
Profit Quality 42.3%
Current Ratio 3.06
Quick Ratio 1.29
Altman-Z 5.13
F-Score5
WACC12.72%
ROIC/WACC0.64
Cap/Depr(3y)313.56%
Cap/Depr(5y)293.34%
Cap/Sales(3y)8.23%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.85%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-18.27%
EPS 3Y-29.21%
EPS 5Y23.13%
EPS Q2Q%33.82%
EPS Next Y75.48%
EPS Next 2Y40.97%
EPS Next 3Y24.86%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)3.63%
Revenue growth 3Y-6.53%
Revenue growth 5Y13.61%
Sales Q2Q%14%
Revenue Next Year15.12%
Revenue Next 2Y8.92%
Revenue Next 3Y6.93%
Revenue Next 5Y3.59%
EBIT growth 1Y-24.04%
EBIT growth 3Y-33.82%
EBIT growth 5Y11.24%
EBIT Next Year111.53%
EBIT Next 3Y32.33%
EBIT Next 5Y23.15%
FCF growth 1Y2233.81%
FCF growth 3Y-47.93%
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-21.41%
OCF growth 3Y-31.25%
OCF growth 5Y7.99%

STEEL DYNAMICS INC / STLD Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for STEEL DYNAMICS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to STLD.


What is the valuation status of STEEL DYNAMICS INC (STLD) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to STEEL DYNAMICS INC (STLD). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of STLD stock?

STEEL DYNAMICS INC (STLD) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of STEEL DYNAMICS INC (STLD) stock?

The financial health rating of STEEL DYNAMICS INC (STLD) is 6 / 10.


Is the dividend of STEEL DYNAMICS INC sustainable?

The dividend rating of STEEL DYNAMICS INC (STLD) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 24.56%.