Spirit Realty Capital Inc (SRC) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:SRC - US84860W3007 - REIT
42.31 USD
-0.67 (-1.56%)
42.31 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, SRC scores 4 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. SRC was compared to 125 industry peers in the Diversified REITs industry. SRC scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, SRC is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year SRC was profitable.
- In the past year SRC had a positive cash flow from operations.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of SRC (2.87%) is better than 74.40% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 5.52%, SRC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- SRC has a Return On Invested Capital of 3.14%. This is in the better half of the industry: SRC outperforms 63.20% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SRC is in line with the industry average of 3.07%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (3.14%) for SRC is above the 3 year average (2.96%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.87% | ||
| ROE | 5.52% | ||
| ROIC | 3.14% |
ROA(3y)1.89%
ROA(5y)2.17%
ROE(3y)3.49%
ROE(5y)3.92%
ROIC(3y)2.96%
ROIC(5y)3.19%
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 32.87%, SRC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.20% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SRC has grown nicely.
- The Operating Margin of SRC (44.35%) is better than 88.80% of its industry peers.
- SRC's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- SRC has a Gross Margin of 95.85%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SRC outperforms 96.00% of its industry peers.
- SRC's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 44.35% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 32.87% | ||
| GM | 95.85% |
OM growth 3Y-3.89%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y6.81%
PM growth 5Y17.76%
GM growth 3Y-0.21%
GM growth 5Y0.51%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), SRC is destroying value.
- SRC has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- SRC has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.58, we must say that SRC is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- SRC has a Altman-Z score of 0.58. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SRC outperforms 49.60% of its industry peers.
- SRC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.85. This is a neutral value indicating SRC is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- SRC's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.85 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SRC outperforms 64.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.85 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.58 |
ROIC/WACC0.45
WACC6.93%
2.3 Liquidity
- SRC has a Current Ratio of 0.61. This is a bad value and indicates that SRC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 0.61, SRC is not doing good in the industry: 77.60% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- SRC has a Quick Ratio of 0.61. This is a bad value and indicates that SRC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.58, SRC is doing worse than 77.60% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.58 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
- SRC shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -7.41%.
- Measured over the past years, SRC shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 20.59% on average per year.
- SRC shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 10.57%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 10.47% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.41%
EPS 3Y1%
EPS 5Y20.59%
EPS Q2Q%-53.7%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.57%
Revenue growth 3Y11.18%
Revenue growth 5Y10.47%
Sales Q2Q%5.74%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, SRC will show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will decrease by -7.61% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 6.45% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-16.82%
EPS Next 2Y-17.44%
EPS Next 3Y-10.67%
EPS Next 5Y-7.61%
Revenue Next Year7.73%
Revenue Next 2Y5.01%
Revenue Next 3Y4.5%
Revenue Next 5Y6.45%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 24.18 indicates a rather expensive valuation of SRC.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SRC is valued a bit cheaper than 70.40% of the companies in the same industry.
- SRC is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.94, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.43, the valuation of SRC can be described as expensive.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SRC is valued a bit cheaper than 76.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SRC to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.94), we can say SRC is valued slightly more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.43 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- SRC's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.94 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The decent profitability rating of SRC may justify a higher PE ratio.
- SRC's earnings are expected to decrease with -10.67% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.17
EPS Next 2Y-17.44%
EPS Next 3Y-10.67%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 6.33%, SRC is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- SRC's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 6.59.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.83, SRC pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.33% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of SRC decreases each year by -6.14%.
- SRC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- SRC has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-6.14%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- SRC pays out 154.84% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The Dividend Rate of SRC has been decling, while earnings will also be declining. This means the current dividend is most likely not sustainable.
DP154.84%
EPS Next 2Y-17.44%
EPS Next 3Y-10.67%
42.31
-0.67 (-1.56%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)11-02 2023-11-02/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-22 2024-02-22/amc
Inst Owners2.68%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.79%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap5.99B
Revenue(TTM)754.40M
Net Income(TTM)248.00M
Analysts70
Price Target44.35 (4.82%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 6.33% |
Yearly Dividend2.67
Dividend Growth(5Y)-6.14%
DP154.84%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-16.33%
Min EPS beat(2)-30.76%
Max EPS beat(2)-1.9%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)17.92%
Min EPS beat(4)-30.76%
Max EPS beat(4)80.68%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)22.01%
EPS beat(12)7
Avg EPS beat(12)11.62%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)-18.12%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)0.87%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.54%
Max Revenue beat(2)2.27%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.43%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.84%
Max Revenue beat(4)2.27%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.74%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)3%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.33%
PT rev (1m)0.77%
PT rev (3m)4.29%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0.72%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-5.08%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.1%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.09%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.7%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.43 | ||
| P/S | 7.94 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 11.49 | ||
| P/B | 1.33 | ||
| P/tB | 1.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.94 |
EPS(TTM)1.75
EY4.14%
EPS(NY)1.39
Fwd EY3.29%
FCF(TTM)-2.18
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)3.68
OCFY8.7%
SpS5.33
BVpS31.74
TBVpS27.4
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)1.17
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.87% | ||
| ROE | 5.52% | ||
| ROCE | 3.97% | ||
| ROIC | 3.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 3.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 3.45% | ||
| OM | 44.35% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 32.87% | ||
| GM | 95.85% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)1.89%
ROA(5y)2.17%
ROE(3y)3.49%
ROE(5y)3.92%
ROIC(3y)2.96%
ROIC(5y)3.19%
ROICexc(3y)2.97%
ROICexc(5y)3.2%
ROICexgc(3y)3.26%
ROICexgc(5y)3.54%
ROCE(3y)3.75%
ROCE(5y)4.03%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-6.63%
ROICexgc growth 5Y10.42%
ROICexc growth 3Y-5.64%
ROICexc growth 5Y10.32%
OM growth 3Y-3.89%
OM growth 5Y2.83%
PM growth 3Y6.81%
PM growth 5Y17.76%
GM growth 3Y-0.21%
GM growth 5Y0.51%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.09
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.85 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.9 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 264.97% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 109.9% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.36 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 80.48% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.58 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.58 |
F-Score4
WACC6.93%
ROIC/WACC0.45
Cap/Depr(3y)482.02%
Cap/Depr(5y)473.62%
Cap/Sales(3y)200.85%
Cap/Sales(5y)186.47%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.41%
EPS 3Y1%
EPS 5Y20.59%
EPS Q2Q%-53.7%
EPS Next Y-16.82%
EPS Next 2Y-17.44%
EPS Next 3Y-10.67%
EPS Next 5Y-7.61%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)10.57%
Revenue growth 3Y11.18%
Revenue growth 5Y10.47%
Sales Q2Q%5.74%
Revenue Next Year7.73%
Revenue Next 2Y5.01%
Revenue Next 3Y4.5%
Revenue Next 5Y6.45%
EBIT growth 1Y5.32%
EBIT growth 3Y6.86%
EBIT growth 5Y13.59%
EBIT Next Year104.37%
EBIT Next 3Y29.69%
EBIT Next 5Y24.14%
FCF growth 1Y60.06%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y35.99%
OCF growth 3Y12.79%
OCF growth 5Y4.31%
Spirit Realty Capital Inc / SRC FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for Spirit Realty Capital Inc?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to SRC.
What is the valuation status of Spirit Realty Capital Inc (SRC) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 2 / 10 to Spirit Realty Capital Inc (SRC). This can be considered as Overvalued.
What is the profitability of SRC stock?
Spirit Realty Capital Inc (SRC) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for SRC stock?
The financial health rating of Spirit Realty Capital Inc (SRC) is 1 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for Spirit Realty Capital Inc?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Spirit Realty Capital Inc (SRC) is expected to decline by -16.82% in the next year.