SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:SPOT • LU1778762911

500.35 USD
-3.57 (-0.71%)
At close: Jan 30, 2026
498.72 USD
-1.63 (-0.33%)
After Hours: 1/30/2026, 8:19:38 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

Overall SPOT gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. We evaluated SPOT against 80 industry peers in the Entertainment industry. SPOT has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. SPOT is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SPOT had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year SPOT had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years SPOT reported 4 times negative net income.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SPOT had a positive operating cash flow.
SPOT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSPOT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 9.56%, SPOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Equity of SPOT (18.06%) is better than 87.50% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 19.82%, SPOT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.56%
ROE 18.06%
ROIC 19.82%
ROA(3y)-0.84%
ROA(5y)-2.44%
ROE(3y)-6.13%
ROE(5y)-8.14%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SPOT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSPOT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200 -400

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.32%, SPOT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SPOT has a better Operating Margin (11.68%) than 73.75% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SPOT has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 31.75%, SPOT is doing worse than 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SPOT has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.68%
PM (TTM) 8.32%
GM 31.75%
OM growth 3Y107.65%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y3.51%
SPOT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSPOT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SPOT is creating value.
  • SPOT has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • SPOT has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • SPOT has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SPOT Yearly Shares OutstandingSPOT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
SPOT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSPOT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 9.59 indicates that SPOT is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • SPOT has a Altman-Z score of 9.59. This is amongst the best in the industry. SPOT outperforms 97.50% of its industry peers.
  • SPOT has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.75. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.75 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.75, SPOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.06 indicates that SPOT is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • With a decent Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.06, SPOT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF 0.75
Altman-Z 9.59
ROIC/WACC2.6
WACC7.63%
SPOT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSPOT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SPOT has a Current Ratio of 1.61. This is a normal value and indicates that SPOT is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SPOT has a better Current ratio (1.61) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • SPOT has a Quick Ratio of 1.61. This is a normal value and indicates that SPOT is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.61, SPOT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 71.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.61
Quick Ratio 1.61
SPOT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSPOT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 38.11% over the past year.
  • Looking at the last year, SPOT shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 11.89% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 18.30% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)38.11%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%126.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.89%
Revenue growth 3Y17.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.12%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 29.34% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 12.46% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y34.11%
EPS Next 2Y50.58%
EPS Next 3Y42.21%
EPS Next 5Y29.34%
Revenue Next Year9.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.7%
Revenue Next 3Y12.45%
Revenue Next 5Y12.46%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
SPOT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSPOT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B 40B
SPOT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSPOT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 0 10 20 30

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 73.47, which means the current valuation is very expensive for SPOT.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SPOT is valued a bit cheaper than 67.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.30. SPOT is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 33.46, SPOT can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SPOT indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SPOT is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • SPOT is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 25.57, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 73.47
Fwd PE 33.46
SPOT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSPOT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as SPOT.
  • SPOT's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SPOT is cheaper than 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 29.53
EV/EBITDA 36.62
SPOT Per share dataSPOT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of SPOT may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • SPOT's earnings are expected to grow with 42.21% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.15
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y50.58%
EPS Next 3Y42.21%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for SPOT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA / SPOT FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for SPOT stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SPOT.


What is the valuation status for SPOT stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA?

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT) stock?

The financial health rating of SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT) is 7 / 10.