SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:SPOT - LU1778762911 - Common Stock
557.17 USD
-19.62 (-3.4%)
555 USD
-2.17 (-0.39%)
Taking everything into account, SPOT scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. SPOT was compared to 80 industry peers in the Entertainment industry. SPOT has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. SPOT has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
SPOT had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year SPOT had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years SPOT reported 4 times negative net income.
SPOT had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
With an excellent Return On Assets value of 9.56%, SPOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.25% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Equity value of 18.06%, SPOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.25% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 19.82%, SPOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 95.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.56% | ||
| ROE | 18.06% | ||
| ROIC | 19.82% |
ROA(3y)-0.84%
ROA(5y)-2.44%
ROE(3y)-6.13%
ROE(5y)-8.14%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of SPOT (8.32%) is better than 80.00% of its industry peers.
With a decent Operating Margin value of 11.68%, SPOT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.75% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SPOT has grown nicely.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 31.75%, SPOT is doing worse than 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
SPOT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 11.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.32% | ||
| GM | 31.75% |
OM growth 3Y107.65%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y3.51%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SPOT is creating value.
The number of shares outstanding for SPOT has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for SPOT has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
SPOT has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
SPOT has an Altman-Z score of 10.60. This indicates that SPOT is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
SPOT has a Altman-Z score of 10.60. This is amongst the best in the industry. SPOT outperforms 91.25% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SPOT is 0.75, which is an excellent value as it means it would take SPOT, only 0.75 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SPOT (0.75) is better than 85.00% of its industry peers.
SPOT has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.06. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
The Debt to Equity ratio of SPOT (0.06) is better than 62.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.06 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.75 | ||
| Altman-Z | 10.6 |
ROIC/WACC2.66
WACC7.44%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 1.61 indicates that SPOT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 1.61, SPOT is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
SPOT has a Quick Ratio of 1.61. This is a normal value and indicates that SPOT is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
SPOT has a Quick ratio of 1.61. This is in the better half of the industry: SPOT outperforms 72.50% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.61 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
SPOT shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 38.11%, which is quite impressive.
The Revenue has grown by 11.89% in the past year. This is quite good.
SPOT shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 18.30% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)38.11%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%126.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.89%
Revenue growth 3Y17.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.12%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 29.72% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 11.87% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y-1.83%
EPS Next 2Y45.94%
EPS Next 3Y41.06%
EPS Next 5Y29.72%
Revenue Next Year9.82%
Revenue Next 2Y12.76%
Revenue Next 3Y13.25%
Revenue Next 5Y11.87%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 83.91 indicates a quite expensive valuation of SPOT.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SPOT is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 65.00% of the companies are valued more expensively.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.37. SPOT is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 40.69, SPOT can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SPOT indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SPOT is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 36.20. SPOT is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 83.91 | ||
| Fwd PE | 40.69 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SPOT is on the same level as its industry peers.
SPOT's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SPOT is cheaper than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 33.73 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 42.21 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
SPOT has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
SPOT's earnings are expected to grow with 41.06% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y45.94%
EPS Next 3Y41.06%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
SPOT does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
557.17
-19.62 (-3.4%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryEntertainment
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners70.11%
Inst Owner Change-1.97%
Ins Owners16.2%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap114.72B
Revenue(TTM)16.90B
Net Income(TTM)1.41B
Analysts78.3
Price Target772.2 (38.59%)
Short Float %4.67%
Short Ratio4.24
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-29.44%
Min EPS beat(2)-121.7%
Max EPS beat(2)62.82%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-31.07%
Min EPS beat(4)-121.7%
Max EPS beat(4)62.82%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)25.11%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)22.23%
EPS beat(16)7
Avg EPS beat(16)28.56%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.29%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.59%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.59%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.75%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.15%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.17%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.78%
PT rev (1m)0.38%
PT rev (3m)2.53%
EPS NQ rev (1m)8.36%
EPS NQ rev (3m)8.73%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.78%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.56%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.97%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.52%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.44%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 83.91 | ||
| Fwd PE | 40.69 | ||
| P/S | 5.82 | ||
| P/FCF | 33.73 | ||
| P/OCF | 33.22 | ||
| P/B | 12.64 | ||
| P/tB | 14.74 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 42.21 |
EPS(TTM)6.64
EY1.19%
EPS(NY)13.69
Fwd EY2.46%
FCF(TTM)16.52
FCFY2.96%
OCF(TTM)16.77
OCFY3.01%
SpS95.76
BVpS44.08
TBVpS37.79
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number81.16
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.56% | ||
| ROE | 18.06% | ||
| ROCE | 23.36% | ||
| ROIC | 19.82% | ||
| ROICexc | N/A | ||
| ROICexgc | N/A | ||
| OM | 11.68% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 8.32% | ||
| GM | 31.75% | ||
| FCFM | 17.25% |
ROA(3y)-0.84%
ROA(5y)-2.44%
ROE(3y)-6.13%
ROE(5y)-8.14%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y291.99%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y107.65%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y3.51%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.15
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.06 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0.75 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.21 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 42.06% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.27% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 50.62 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 142.24% | ||
| Profit Quality | 207.47% | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.61 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.61 | ||
| Altman-Z | 10.6 |
F-Score6
WACC7.44%
ROIC/WACC2.66
Cap/Depr(3y)10.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)33.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.12%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.45%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)38.11%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%126.21%
EPS Next Y-1.83%
EPS Next 2Y45.94%
EPS Next 3Y41.06%
EPS Next 5Y29.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.89%
Revenue growth 3Y17.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.12%
Revenue Next Year9.82%
Revenue Next 2Y12.76%
Revenue Next 3Y13.25%
Revenue Next 5Y11.87%
EBIT growth 1Y99.6%
EBIT growth 3Y143.94%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year63.74%
EBIT Next 3Y43.76%
EBIT Next 5Y29.59%
FCF growth 1Y1335.96%
FCF growth 3Y102.27%
FCF growth 5Y39.14%
OCF growth 1Y1289.67%
OCF growth 3Y85.41%
OCF growth 5Y32.05%
SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA / SPOT FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for SPOT stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SPOT.
What is the valuation status of SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA?
SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT) is expected to decline by -1.83% in the next year.