SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA • New York Stock Exchange • NYSE:SPOT • LU1778762911

500.35 USD
-3.57 (-0.71%)
At close: Jan 30, 2026
498.72 USD
-1.63 (-0.33%)
After Hours: 1/30/2026, 8:19:38 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to SPOT. SPOT was compared to 80 industry peers in the Entertainment industry. SPOT has an excellent financial health rating, but there are some minor concerns on its profitability. SPOT has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SPOT was profitable.
  • SPOT had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • SPOT had negative earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SPOT had a positive operating cash flow.
SPOT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSPOT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 9.56%, SPOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SPOT has a Return On Equity of 18.06%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SPOT outperforms 87.50% of its industry peers.
  • SPOT's Return On Invested Capital of 19.82% is amongst the best of the industry. SPOT outperforms 96.25% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.56%
ROE 18.06%
ROIC 19.82%
ROA(3y)-0.84%
ROA(5y)-2.44%
ROE(3y)-6.13%
ROE(5y)-8.14%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SPOT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSPOT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200 -400

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.32%, SPOT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SPOT has a Operating Margin of 11.68%. This is in the better half of the industry: SPOT outperforms 73.75% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SPOT has grown nicely.
  • With a Gross Margin value of 31.75%, SPOT is not doing good in the industry: 65.00% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SPOT has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.68%
PM (TTM) 8.32%
GM 31.75%
OM growth 3Y107.65%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y3.51%
SPOT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSPOT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SPOT is creating value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SPOT has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for SPOT has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for SPOT has been reduced compared to a year ago.
SPOT Yearly Shares OutstandingSPOT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
SPOT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSPOT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 9.57 indicates that SPOT is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 9.57, SPOT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SPOT has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.75. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.75 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.75, SPOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.06 indicates that SPOT is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • SPOT has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.06) than 65.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF 0.75
Altman-Z 9.57
ROIC/WACC2.6
WACC7.63%
SPOT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSPOT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.61 indicates that SPOT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SPOT has a better Current ratio (1.61) than 70.00% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.61 indicates that SPOT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.61, SPOT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.61
Quick Ratio 1.61
SPOT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSPOT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 38.11% over the past year.
  • Looking at the last year, SPOT shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 11.89% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, SPOT shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.30% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)38.11%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%126.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.89%
Revenue growth 3Y17.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.12%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SPOT will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 29.34% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SPOT will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 12.46% on average per year.
EPS Next Y34.11%
EPS Next 2Y50.58%
EPS Next 3Y42.21%
EPS Next 5Y29.34%
Revenue Next Year9.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.7%
Revenue Next 3Y12.45%
Revenue Next 5Y12.46%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
SPOT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSPOT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B 40B
SPOT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSPOT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 0 10 20 30

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 73.80 indicates a quite expensive valuation of SPOT.
  • 67.50% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SPOT, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.32, SPOT is valued quite expensively.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 33.60, SPOT can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SPOT is valued a bit cheaper than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 25.57, SPOT is valued a bit more expensive.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 73.8
Fwd PE 33.6
SPOT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSPOT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • SPOT's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SPOT indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SPOT is cheaper than 75.00% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 29.65
EV/EBITDA 36.5
SPOT Per share dataSPOT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • SPOT has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • SPOT's earnings are expected to grow with 42.21% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.16
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y50.58%
EPS Next 3Y42.21%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for SPOT!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA / SPOT FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for SPOT stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SPOT.


What is the valuation status for SPOT stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA?

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT) stock?

The financial health rating of SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT) is 7 / 10.