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SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:SPOT - LU1778762911 - Common Stock

512.6 USD
-0.61 (-0.12%)
Last: 1/26/2026, 8:24:50 PM
512.4 USD
-0.2 (-0.04%)
After Hours: 1/26/2026, 8:24:50 PM
Fundamental Rating

6

We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to SPOT. SPOT was compared to 80 industry peers in the Entertainment industry. While SPOT has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. SPOT is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SPOT had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year SPOT had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • In the past 5 years SPOT reported 4 times negative net income.
  • In the past 5 years SPOT always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
SPOT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSPOT Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B -1B 2B

1.2 Ratios

  • With an excellent Return On Assets value of 9.56%, SPOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • With an excellent Return On Equity value of 18.06%, SPOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SPOT has a better Return On Invested Capital (19.82%) than 96.25% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 9.56%
ROE 18.06%
ROIC 19.82%
ROA(3y)-0.84%
ROA(5y)-2.44%
ROE(3y)-6.13%
ROE(5y)-8.14%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SPOT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSPOT Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200 -200 -400

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 8.32%, SPOT belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Operating Margin of SPOT (11.68%) is better than 73.75% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SPOT has grown nicely.
  • SPOT's Gross Margin of 31.75% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SPOT is outperformed by 65.00% of its industry peers.
  • SPOT's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 11.68%
PM (TTM) 8.32%
GM 31.75%
OM growth 3Y107.65%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y4.12%
GM growth 5Y3.51%
SPOT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSPOT Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SPOT has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • SPOT has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, SPOT has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SPOT has an improved debt to assets ratio.
SPOT Yearly Shares OutstandingSPOT Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 50M 100M 150M 200M
SPOT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSPOT Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

  • SPOT has an Altman-Z score of 9.88. This indicates that SPOT is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of SPOT (9.88) is better than 95.00% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SPOT is 0.75, which is an excellent value as it means it would take SPOT, only 0.75 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.75, SPOT belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 86.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.06 indicates that SPOT is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • SPOT has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.06) than 65.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.06
Debt/FCF 0.75
Altman-Z 9.88
ROIC/WACC2.59
WACC7.64%
SPOT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSPOT Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1B 2B 3B 4B 5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 1.61 indicates that SPOT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Current ratio value of 1.61, SPOT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 1.61 indicates that SPOT should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a decent Quick ratio value of 1.61, SPOT is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.25% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 1.61
Quick Ratio 1.61
SPOT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSPOT Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 38.11% over the past year.
  • SPOT shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 11.89%.
  • Measured over the past years, SPOT shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 18.30% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)38.11%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%126.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.89%
Revenue growth 3Y17.47%
Revenue growth 5Y18.3%
Sales Q2Q%7.12%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 29.34% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 12.46% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y34.11%
EPS Next 2Y50.58%
EPS Next 3Y42.21%
EPS Next 5Y29.34%
Revenue Next Year9.53%
Revenue Next 2Y11.7%
Revenue Next 3Y12.45%
Revenue Next 5Y12.46%

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
SPOT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSPOT Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 10B 20B 30B 40B
SPOT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSPOT Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 0 10 20 30

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 76.74, SPOT can be considered very expensive at the moment.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SPOT is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 66.25% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.25, SPOT is valued quite expensively.
  • SPOT is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 34.94.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SPOT is valued a bit cheaper than 67.50% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SPOT is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 25.98, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 76.74
Fwd PE 34.94
SPOT Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSPOT Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60

4.2 Price Multiples

  • SPOT's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • 75.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SPOT, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 30.83
EV/EBITDA 38.21
SPOT Per share dataSPOT EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates SPOT does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The decent profitability rating of SPOT may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • SPOT's earnings are expected to grow with 42.21% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)2.25
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y50.58%
EPS Next 3Y42.21%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • SPOT does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA / SPOT FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for SPOT stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SPOT.


What is the valuation status for SPOT stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA?

SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the financial health of SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT) stock?

The financial health rating of SPOTIFY TECHNOLOGY SA (SPOT) is 7 / 10.