SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:SPG • US8288061091
Current stock price
188.67 USD
+0.58 (+0.31%)
At close:
188.67 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This SPG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SPG Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- SPG had positive earnings in the past year.
- SPG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- Each year in the past 5 years SPG has been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years SPG had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 11.39%, SPG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 99.18% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Equity of SPG (88.79%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- SPG's Return On Invested Capital of 6.94% is amongst the best of the industry. SPG outperforms 97.54% of its industry peers.
- SPG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.61%. This is above the industry average of 3.11%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.39% | ||
| ROE | 88.79% | ||
| ROIC | 6.94% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)7.69%
ROE(3y)81.56%
ROE(5y)75.91%
ROIC(3y)7.61%
ROIC(5y)7.22%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of SPG (72.66%) is better than 98.36% of its industry peers.
- SPG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 49.89%, SPG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.80% of the companies in the same industry.
- SPG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- The Gross Margin of SPG (81.90%) is better than 82.79% of its industry peers.
- SPG's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 49.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 72.66% | ||
| GM | 81.9% |
OM growth 3Y0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.12%
PM growth 3Y21.64%
PM growth 5Y24.72%
GM growth 3Y0.33%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
2. SPG Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SPG is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for SPG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- SPG has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- SPG has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.22, we must say that SPG is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- SPG has a Altman-Z score of 1.22. This is amongst the best in the industry. SPG outperforms 84.43% of its industry peers.
- SPG has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.88. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as SPG would need 8.88 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- SPG has a better Debt to FCF ratio (8.88) than 92.62% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.46 is on the high side and indicates that SPG has dependencies on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of SPG (5.46) is worse than 84.43% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.22 |
ROIC/WACC0.97
WACC7.14%
2.3 Liquidity
- SPG has a Current Ratio of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that SPG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- SPG has a worse Current ratio (0.39) than 82.79% of its industry peers.
- SPG has a Quick Ratio of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that SPG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of SPG (0.39) is worse than 79.51% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 |
3. SPG Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- SPG shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -27.55%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.38% on average over the past years.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.72% in the past year.
- SPG shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 6.67% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.55%
EPS 3Y-6.91%
EPS 5Y6.38%
EPS Q2Q%-78.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.35%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%14.52%
3.2 Future
- SPG is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 7.21% yearly.
- Based on estimates for the next years, SPG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.94% on average per year.
EPS Next Y51.73%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
EPS Next 5Y7.21%
Revenue Next Year11.22%
Revenue Next 2Y7.26%
Revenue Next 3Y6.75%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. SPG Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- SPG is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 35.87.
- SPG's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SPG is cheaper than 62.30% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.17, SPG is valued a bit more expensive.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.64, SPG is valued on the expensive side.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SPG is valued cheaper than 86.89% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.05. SPG is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.87 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.64 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SPG is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 78.69% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SPG is valued a bit cheaper than 79.51% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 19.15 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.8 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of SPG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.69
PEG (5Y)5.62
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
5. SPG Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.88%, SPG is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 8.03, SPG has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, SPG pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.88% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of SPG is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 13.52%!
- SPG has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- SPG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.52%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
- SPG pays out 60.42% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- SPG's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP60.42%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
SPG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
188.67
+0.58 (+0.31%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)02-02 2026-02-02/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners93.1%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change1.26%
Market Cap61.31B
Revenue(TTM)6.36B
Net Income(TTM)4.62B
Analysts74.62
Price Target210.01 (11.31%)
Short Float %1.71%
Short Ratio3.07
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.88% |
Yearly Dividend8.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.52%
DP60.42%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-10 2026-03-10 (2.2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-34.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-78.67%
Max EPS beat(2)9.62%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-18.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-78.67%
Max EPS beat(4)9.62%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.09%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)1.29%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.5%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.94%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.5%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.76%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.49%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.09%
PT rev (1m)1.9%
PT rev (3m)5.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-20.24%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)13.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.39%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.79%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.76%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.87 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.64 | ||
| P/S | 9.63 | ||
| P/FCF | 19.15 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.82 | ||
| P/B | 11.77 | ||
| P/tB | 11.77 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.8 |
EPS(TTM)5.26
EY2.79%
EPS(NY)7.98
Fwd EY4.23%
FCF(TTM)9.85
FCFY5.22%
OCF(TTM)12.73
OCFY6.75%
SpS19.59
BVpS16.03
TBVpS16.03
PEG (NY)0.69
PEG (5Y)5.62
Graham Number43.55
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.39% | ||
| ROE | 88.79% | ||
| ROCE | 8.78% | ||
| ROIC | 6.94% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.52% | ||
| OM | 49.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 72.66% | ||
| GM | 81.9% | ||
| FCFM | 50.31% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)7.69%
ROE(3y)81.56%
ROE(5y)75.91%
ROIC(3y)7.61%
ROIC(5y)7.22%
ROICexc(3y)7.91%
ROICexc(5y)7.45%
ROICexgc(3y)8.05%
ROICexgc(5y)7.54%
ROCE(3y)9.63%
ROCE(5y)9.14%
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.84%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.57%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.38%
OM growth 3Y0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.12%
PM growth 3Y21.64%
PM growth 5Y24.72%
GM growth 3Y0.33%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.88 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.01 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 60.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 14.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.36 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.46% | ||
| Profit Quality | 69.25% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.22 |
F-Score5
WACC7.14%
ROIC/WACC0.97
Cap/Depr(3y)58.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)53.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.79%
Profit Quality(3y)112.03%
Profit Quality(5y)124.08%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.55%
EPS 3Y-6.91%
EPS 5Y6.38%
EPS Q2Q%-78.92%
EPS Next Y51.73%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
EPS Next 5Y7.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.35%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%14.52%
Revenue Next Year11.22%
Revenue Next 2Y7.26%
Revenue Next 3Y6.75%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
EBIT growth 1Y2.67%
EBIT growth 3Y7.12%
EBIT growth 5Y10%
EBIT Next Year58.78%
EBIT Next 3Y19.01%
EBIT Next 5Y12.15%
FCF growth 1Y4.68%
FCF growth 3Y0.91%
FCF growth 5Y11.69%
OCF growth 1Y8.44%
OCF growth 3Y3.17%
OCF growth 5Y12.2%
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC / SPG Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SPG.
What is the valuation status of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) stock?
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) is 35.87 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 11.77.
What is the expected EPS growth for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) is expected to grow by 51.73% in the next year.