SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:SPG • US8288061091
Current stock price
181.8 USD
+0.23 (+0.13%)
At close:
181.811 USD
+0.01 (+0.01%)
After Hours:
This SPG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SPG Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year SPG was profitable.
- In the past year SPG had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years SPG has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years SPG had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- SPG's Return On Assets of 11.39% is amongst the best of the industry. SPG outperforms 99.19% of its industry peers.
- With an excellent Return On Equity value of 88.79%, SPG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Invested Capital of SPG (6.94%) is better than 97.56% of its industry peers.
- SPG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.61%. This is above the industry average of 3.13%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.39% | ||
| ROE | 88.79% | ||
| ROIC | 6.94% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)7.69%
ROE(3y)81.56%
ROE(5y)75.91%
ROIC(3y)7.61%
ROIC(5y)7.22%
1.3 Margins
- SPG's Profit Margin of 72.66% is amongst the best of the industry. SPG outperforms 98.37% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SPG has grown nicely.
- The Operating Margin of SPG (49.89%) is better than 91.87% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SPG has grown nicely.
- SPG has a Gross Margin of 81.90%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SPG outperforms 82.93% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SPG has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 49.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 72.66% | ||
| GM | 81.9% |
OM growth 3Y0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.12%
PM growth 3Y21.64%
PM growth 5Y24.72%
GM growth 3Y0.33%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
2. SPG Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SPG is creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, SPG has less shares outstanding
- SPG has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for SPG has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.18, we must say that SPG is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- The Altman-Z score of SPG (1.18) is better than 82.11% of its industry peers.
- SPG has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.88. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as SPG would need 8.88 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 8.88, SPG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.87% of the companies in the same industry.
- SPG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.46. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- SPG's Debt to Equity ratio of 5.46 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SPG is outperformed by 83.74% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.18 |
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC7.08%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.39 indicates that SPG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 0.39, SPG is not doing good in the industry: 82.93% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- SPG has a Quick Ratio of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that SPG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- SPG's Quick ratio of 0.39 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SPG is outperformed by 79.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 |
3. SPG Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for SPG have decreased strongly by -27.55% in the last year.
- Measured over the past 5 years, SPG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 6.38% on average per year.
- Looking at the last year, SPG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.72% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, SPG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.67% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.55%
EPS 3Y-6.91%
EPS 5Y6.38%
EPS Q2Q%-78.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.35%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%14.52%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.21% on average over the next years.
- Based on estimates for the next years, SPG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.94% on average per year.
EPS Next Y51.73%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
EPS Next 5Y7.21%
Revenue Next Year10.56%
Revenue Next 2Y6.9%
Revenue Next 3Y6.75%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. SPG Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 34.56 indicates a quite expensive valuation of SPG.
- 61.79% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SPG, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- SPG's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 25.23.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 22.78, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of SPG.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SPG indicates a rather cheap valuation: SPG is cheaper than 89.43% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- SPG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 22.51.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.78 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- SPG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. SPG is more expensive than 77.24% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SPG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.86% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.45 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.31 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- SPG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.67
PEG (5Y)5.41
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
5. SPG Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- SPG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.60%, which is a nice return.
- SPG's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 7.32.
- SPG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.90.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.6% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of SPG is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 13.52%!
- SPG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- SPG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.52%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- 60.42% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SPG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of SPG is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP60.42%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
SPG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
181.8
+0.23 (+0.13%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)02-02 2026-02-02/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners93.1%
Inst Owner Change-3.84%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change1.32%
Market Cap59.08B
Revenue(TTM)6.36B
Net Income(TTM)4.62B
Analysts74.62
Price Target206.09 (13.36%)
Short Float %1.73%
Short Ratio3.38
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.6% |
Yearly Dividend8.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.52%
DP60.42%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-10 2026-03-10 (2.2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-34.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-78.67%
Max EPS beat(2)9.62%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-18.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-78.67%
Max EPS beat(4)9.62%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.09%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)1.29%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.5%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.94%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.5%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.76%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.49%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.09%
PT rev (1m)1.17%
PT rev (3m)3.72%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.62%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-4.65%
EPS NY rev (1m)12.24%
EPS NY rev (3m)13.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.39%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.94%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.69%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.28%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.56 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.78 | ||
| P/S | 9.28 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.45 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.28 | ||
| P/B | 11.34 | ||
| P/tB | 11.34 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.31 |
EPS(TTM)5.26
EY2.89%
EPS(NY)7.98
Fwd EY4.39%
FCF(TTM)9.85
FCFY5.42%
OCF(TTM)12.73
OCFY7%
SpS19.59
BVpS16.03
TBVpS16.03
PEG (NY)0.67
PEG (5Y)5.41
Graham Number43.55
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.39% | ||
| ROE | 88.79% | ||
| ROCE | 8.78% | ||
| ROIC | 6.94% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.52% | ||
| OM | 49.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 72.66% | ||
| GM | 81.9% | ||
| FCFM | 50.31% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)7.69%
ROE(3y)81.56%
ROE(5y)75.91%
ROIC(3y)7.61%
ROIC(5y)7.22%
ROICexc(3y)7.91%
ROICexc(5y)7.45%
ROICexgc(3y)8.05%
ROICexgc(5y)7.54%
ROCE(3y)9.63%
ROCE(5y)9.14%
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.84%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.57%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.38%
OM growth 3Y0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.12%
PM growth 3Y21.64%
PM growth 5Y24.72%
GM growth 3Y0.33%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.88 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.01 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 60.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 14.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.36 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.46% | ||
| Profit Quality | 69.25% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.18 |
F-Score5
WACC7.08%
ROIC/WACC0.98
Cap/Depr(3y)58.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)53.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.79%
Profit Quality(3y)112.03%
Profit Quality(5y)124.08%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.55%
EPS 3Y-6.91%
EPS 5Y6.38%
EPS Q2Q%-78.92%
EPS Next Y51.73%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
EPS Next 5Y7.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.35%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%14.52%
Revenue Next Year10.56%
Revenue Next 2Y6.9%
Revenue Next 3Y6.75%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
EBIT growth 1Y2.67%
EBIT growth 3Y7.12%
EBIT growth 5Y10%
EBIT Next Year58.78%
EBIT Next 3Y19.01%
EBIT Next 5Y12.15%
FCF growth 1Y4.68%
FCF growth 3Y0.91%
FCF growth 5Y11.69%
OCF growth 1Y8.44%
OCF growth 3Y3.17%
OCF growth 5Y12.2%
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC / SPG Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SPG.
Can you provide the valuation status for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of SPG stock?
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for SPG stock?
The financial health rating of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SPG stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) is expected to grow by 51.73% in the next year.