SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:SPG • US8288061091
Current stock price
204.76 USD
-2.8 (-1.35%)
At close:
205.06 USD
+0.3 (+0.15%)
After Hours:
This SPG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SPG Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- SPG had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year SPG had a positive cash flow from operations.
- SPG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years SPG had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 11.39%, SPG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 99.18% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 88.79%, SPG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.94%, SPG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.54% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SPG is above the industry average of 3.12%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.39% | ||
| ROE | 88.79% | ||
| ROIC | 6.94% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)7.69%
ROE(3y)81.56%
ROE(5y)75.91%
ROIC(3y)7.61%
ROIC(5y)7.22%
1.3 Margins
- SPG's Profit Margin of 72.66% is amongst the best of the industry. SPG outperforms 98.36% of its industry peers.
- SPG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- SPG has a better Operating Margin (49.89%) than 91.80% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SPG has grown nicely.
- SPG has a better Gross Margin (81.90%) than 82.79% of its industry peers.
- SPG's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 49.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 72.66% | ||
| GM | 81.9% |
OM growth 3Y0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.12%
PM growth 3Y21.64%
PM growth 5Y24.72%
GM growth 3Y0.33%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
2. SPG Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SPG is still creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, SPG has less shares outstanding
- SPG has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for SPG has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.32, we must say that SPG is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- SPG's Altman-Z score of 1.32 is amongst the best of the industry. SPG outperforms 84.43% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SPG is 8.88, which is on the high side as it means it would take SPG, 8.88 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SPG (8.88) is better than 92.62% of its industry peers.
- SPG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.46. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 5.46, SPG is doing worse than 82.79% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.32 |
ROIC/WACC0.97
WACC7.18%
2.3 Liquidity
- SPG has a Current Ratio of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that SPG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Current ratio value of 0.39, SPG is not doing good in the industry: 83.61% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.39 indicates that SPG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.39, SPG is not doing good in the industry: 80.33% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 |
3. SPG Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for SPG have decreased strongly by -27.55% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.38% on average over the past years.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.72% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, SPG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.67% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.55%
EPS 3Y-6.91%
EPS 5Y6.38%
EPS Q2Q%-78.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.35%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%14.52%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, SPG will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.21% on average per year.
- Based on estimates for the next years, SPG will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.94% on average per year.
EPS Next Y24.62%
EPS Next 2Y12.9%
EPS Next 3Y9.65%
EPS Next 5Y7.21%
Revenue Next Year11.22%
Revenue Next 2Y7.26%
Revenue Next 3Y6.75%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. SPG Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 38.93 indicates a quite expensive valuation of SPG.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SPG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 61.48% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.71. SPG is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 31.24 indicates a quite expensive valuation of SPG.
- SPG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SPG is cheaper than 79.51% of the companies in the same industry.
- SPG is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.09, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 31.24 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SPG is valued a bit more expensive than 79.51% of the companies in the same industry.
- SPG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SPG is cheaper than 79.51% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 20.77 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 20.09 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- SPG has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.58
PEG (5Y)6.1
EPS Next 2Y12.9%
EPS Next 3Y9.65%
5. SPG Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- SPG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.37%, which is a nice return.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 7.46, SPG has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- SPG's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.37% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of SPG grows each year by 13.52%, which is quite nice.
- SPG has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- SPG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.52%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
- SPG pays out 60.42% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- SPG's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP60.42%
EPS Next 2Y12.9%
EPS Next 3Y9.65%
SPG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
204.76
-2.8 (-1.35%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)02-02 2026-02-02/amc
Earnings (Next)05-11 2026-05-11
Inst Owners93.11%
Inst Owner Change0.15%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change1.26%
Market Cap66.52B
Revenue(TTM)6.36B
Net Income(TTM)4.62B
Analysts74.62
Price Target210.17 (2.64%)
Short Float %2.24%
Short Ratio4.11
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.37% |
Yearly Dividend8.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.52%
DP60.42%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-10 2026-03-10 (2.2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-34.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-78.67%
Max EPS beat(2)9.62%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-18.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-78.67%
Max EPS beat(4)9.62%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.09%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)1.29%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.5%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.94%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.5%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.76%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.49%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.09%
PT rev (1m)1.98%
PT rev (3m)5.34%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)-17.87%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.6%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.76%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 31.24 | ||
| P/S | 10.45 | ||
| P/FCF | 20.77 | ||
| P/OCF | 16.08 | ||
| P/B | 12.77 | ||
| P/tB | 12.77 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 20.09 |
EPS(TTM)5.26
EY2.57%
EPS(NY)6.55
Fwd EY3.2%
FCF(TTM)9.86
FCFY4.81%
OCF(TTM)12.73
OCFY6.22%
SpS19.59
BVpS16.03
TBVpS16.03
PEG (NY)1.58
PEG (5Y)6.1
Graham Number43.5602 (-78.73%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.39% | ||
| ROE | 88.79% | ||
| ROCE | 8.78% | ||
| ROIC | 6.94% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.52% | ||
| OM | 49.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 72.66% | ||
| GM | 81.9% | ||
| FCFM | 50.31% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)7.69%
ROE(3y)81.56%
ROE(5y)75.91%
ROIC(3y)7.61%
ROIC(5y)7.22%
ROICexc(3y)7.91%
ROICexc(5y)7.45%
ROICexgc(3y)8.05%
ROICexgc(5y)7.54%
ROCE(3y)9.63%
ROCE(5y)9.14%
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.84%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.57%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.38%
OM growth 3Y0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.12%
PM growth 3Y21.64%
PM growth 5Y24.72%
GM growth 3Y0.33%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.88 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.01 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 60.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 14.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.36 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.46% | ||
| Profit Quality | 69.25% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.32 |
F-Score5
WACC7.18%
ROIC/WACC0.97
Cap/Depr(3y)58.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)53.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.79%
Profit Quality(3y)112.03%
Profit Quality(5y)124.08%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.55%
EPS 3Y-6.91%
EPS 5Y6.38%
EPS Q2Q%-78.92%
EPS Next Y24.62%
EPS Next 2Y12.9%
EPS Next 3Y9.65%
EPS Next 5Y7.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.35%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%14.52%
Revenue Next Year11.22%
Revenue Next 2Y7.26%
Revenue Next 3Y6.75%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
EBIT growth 1Y2.67%
EBIT growth 3Y7.12%
EBIT growth 5Y10%
EBIT Next Year60.81%
EBIT Next 3Y19.65%
EBIT Next 5Y12.15%
FCF growth 1Y4.68%
FCF growth 3Y0.91%
FCF growth 5Y11.69%
OCF growth 1Y8.44%
OCF growth 3Y3.17%
OCF growth 5Y12.2%
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC / SPG Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SPG.
What is the valuation status of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) stock?
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) is 38.93 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 12.77.
What is the expected EPS growth for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) is expected to grow by 24.62% in the next year.