SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:SPG • US8288061091
Current stock price
186.82 USD
-0.75 (-0.4%)
At close:
186.82 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This SPG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SPG Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year SPG was profitable.
- SPG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years SPG has always been profitable.
- Each year in the past 5 years SPG had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- With an excellent Return On Assets value of 11.39%, SPG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 99.19% of the companies in the same industry.
- SPG's Return On Equity of 88.79% is amongst the best of the industry. SPG outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
- SPG has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.94%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SPG outperforms 97.56% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SPG is above the industry average of 3.11%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.39% | ||
| ROE | 88.79% | ||
| ROIC | 6.94% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)7.69%
ROE(3y)81.56%
ROE(5y)75.91%
ROIC(3y)7.61%
ROIC(5y)7.22%
1.3 Margins
- SPG has a Profit Margin of 72.66%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SPG outperforms 98.37% of its industry peers.
- SPG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- SPG's Operating Margin of 49.89% is amongst the best of the industry. SPG outperforms 91.87% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SPG has grown nicely.
- The Gross Margin of SPG (81.90%) is better than 82.93% of its industry peers.
- SPG's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 49.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 72.66% | ||
| GM | 81.9% |
OM growth 3Y0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.12%
PM growth 3Y21.64%
PM growth 5Y24.72%
GM growth 3Y0.33%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
2. SPG Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- SPG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, SPG has less shares outstanding
- SPG has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, SPG has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- SPG has an Altman-Z score of 1.21. This is a bad value and indicates that SPG is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- The Altman-Z score of SPG (1.21) is better than 82.93% of its industry peers.
- SPG has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.88. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as SPG would need 8.88 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 8.88, SPG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.87% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.46 is on the high side and indicates that SPG has dependencies on debt financing.
- SPG's Debt to Equity ratio of 5.46 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SPG is outperformed by 84.55% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.21 |
ROIC/WACC0.98
WACC7.07%
2.3 Liquidity
- SPG has a Current Ratio of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that SPG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.39, SPG is doing worse than 83.74% of the companies in the same industry.
- SPG has a Quick Ratio of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that SPG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- With a Quick ratio value of 0.39, SPG is not doing good in the industry: 80.49% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 |
3. SPG Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for SPG have decreased strongly by -27.55% in the last year.
- Measured over the past 5 years, SPG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 6.38% on average per year.
- SPG shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.72%.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.67% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.55%
EPS 3Y-6.91%
EPS 5Y6.38%
EPS Q2Q%-78.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.35%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%14.52%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.21% on average over the next years.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.94% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y51.73%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
EPS Next 5Y7.21%
Revenue Next Year10.35%
Revenue Next 2Y6.76%
Revenue Next 3Y6.93%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. SPG Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- SPG is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 35.52.
- The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as SPG.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.70, SPG is valued a bit more expensive.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.41 indicates a rather expensive valuation of SPG.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SPG indicates a rather cheap valuation: SPG is cheaper than 89.43% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- SPG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a similar valuation than the S&P500 average which is at 23.84.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.41 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 74.80% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than SPG, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SPG is valued a bit cheaper than 79.67% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.96 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.72 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of SPG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.69
PEG (5Y)5.56
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
5. SPG Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.38%, SPG is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 7.59, SPG has a dividend in line with its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, SPG pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.38% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of SPG grows each year by 13.52%, which is quite nice.
- SPG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- SPG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.52%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- 60.42% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SPG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- SPG's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP60.42%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
SPG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
186.82
-0.75 (-0.4%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)02-02 2026-02-02/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners93.1%
Inst Owner Change-3.84%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change1.32%
Market Cap60.71B
Revenue(TTM)6.36B
Net Income(TTM)4.62B
Analysts74.62
Price Target206.09 (10.31%)
Short Float %1.55%
Short Ratio3.33
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.38% |
Yearly Dividend8.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.52%
DP60.42%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-10 2026-03-10 (2.2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-34.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-78.67%
Max EPS beat(2)9.62%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-18.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-78.67%
Max EPS beat(4)9.62%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.09%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)1.29%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.5%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.94%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.5%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.76%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.49%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.09%
PT rev (1m)1.17%
PT rev (3m)3.72%
EPS NQ rev (1m)21.1%
EPS NQ rev (3m)19.55%
EPS NY rev (1m)12.24%
EPS NY rev (3m)13.25%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)5.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.52%
Revenue NY rev (1m)4.64%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.08%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 35.52 | ||
| Fwd PE | 23.41 | ||
| P/S | 9.54 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.96 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.68 | ||
| P/B | 11.66 | ||
| P/tB | 11.66 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.72 |
EPS(TTM)5.26
EY2.82%
EPS(NY)7.98
Fwd EY4.27%
FCF(TTM)9.85
FCFY5.27%
OCF(TTM)12.73
OCFY6.81%
SpS19.59
BVpS16.03
TBVpS16.03
PEG (NY)0.69
PEG (5Y)5.56
Graham Number43.55
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.39% | ||
| ROE | 88.79% | ||
| ROCE | 8.78% | ||
| ROIC | 6.94% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.52% | ||
| OM | 49.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 72.66% | ||
| GM | 81.9% | ||
| FCFM | 50.31% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)7.69%
ROE(3y)81.56%
ROE(5y)75.91%
ROIC(3y)7.61%
ROIC(5y)7.22%
ROICexc(3y)7.91%
ROICexc(5y)7.45%
ROICexgc(3y)8.05%
ROICexgc(5y)7.54%
ROCE(3y)9.63%
ROCE(5y)9.14%
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.84%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.57%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.38%
OM growth 3Y0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.12%
PM growth 3Y21.64%
PM growth 5Y24.72%
GM growth 3Y0.33%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.88 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.01 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 60.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 14.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.36 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.46% | ||
| Profit Quality | 69.25% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.21 |
F-Score5
WACC7.07%
ROIC/WACC0.98
Cap/Depr(3y)58.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)53.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.79%
Profit Quality(3y)112.03%
Profit Quality(5y)124.08%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.55%
EPS 3Y-6.91%
EPS 5Y6.38%
EPS Q2Q%-78.92%
EPS Next Y51.73%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
EPS Next 5Y7.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.35%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%14.52%
Revenue Next Year10.35%
Revenue Next 2Y6.76%
Revenue Next 3Y6.93%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
EBIT growth 1Y2.67%
EBIT growth 3Y7.12%
EBIT growth 5Y10%
EBIT Next Year58.78%
EBIT Next 3Y19.01%
EBIT Next 5Y12.15%
FCF growth 1Y4.68%
FCF growth 3Y0.91%
FCF growth 5Y11.69%
OCF growth 1Y8.44%
OCF growth 3Y3.17%
OCF growth 5Y12.2%
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC / SPG Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SPG.
Can you provide the valuation status for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of SPG stock?
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for SPG stock?
The financial health rating of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SPG stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) is expected to grow by 51.73% in the next year.