SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:SPG • US8288061091
Current stock price
180.19 USD
-1.61 (-0.89%)
At close:
180.19 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This SPG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SPG Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- SPG had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year SPG had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In the past 5 years SPG has always been profitable.
- In the past 5 years SPG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 11.39%, SPG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 99.19% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Equity of SPG (88.79%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- SPG has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.94%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SPG outperforms 97.56% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SPG is above the industry average of 3.11%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.39% | ||
| ROE | 88.79% | ||
| ROIC | 6.94% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)7.69%
ROE(3y)81.56%
ROE(5y)75.91%
ROIC(3y)7.61%
ROIC(5y)7.22%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of SPG (72.66%) is better than 98.37% of its industry peers.
- SPG's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- SPG has a better Operating Margin (49.89%) than 91.87% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SPG has grown nicely.
- With an excellent Gross Margin value of 81.90%, SPG belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.93% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SPG has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 49.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 72.66% | ||
| GM | 81.9% |
OM growth 3Y0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.12%
PM growth 3Y21.64%
PM growth 5Y24.72%
GM growth 3Y0.33%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
2. SPG Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- SPG has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- SPG has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, SPG has less shares outstanding
- Compared to 1 year ago, SPG has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.17, we must say that SPG is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- SPG's Altman-Z score of 1.17 is amongst the best of the industry. SPG outperforms 82.93% of its industry peers.
- SPG has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.88. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as SPG would need 8.88 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SPG (8.88) is better than 91.87% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 5.46 is on the high side and indicates that SPG has dependencies on debt financing.
- SPG has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (5.46) than 83.74% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.17 |
ROIC/WACC0.97
WACC7.14%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.39 indicates that SPG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of SPG (0.39) is worse than 82.93% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.39 indicates that SPG may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of SPG (0.39) is worse than 79.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 |
3. SPG Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for SPG have decreased strongly by -27.55% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 6.38% on average over the past years.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.72% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, SPG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.67% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.55%
EPS 3Y-6.91%
EPS 5Y6.38%
EPS Q2Q%-78.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.35%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%14.52%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.21% on average over the next years.
- SPG is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.94% yearly.
EPS Next Y51.73%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
EPS Next 5Y7.21%
Revenue Next Year10.56%
Revenue Next 2Y6.9%
Revenue Next 3Y6.75%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is stable.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. SPG Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 34.26, SPG can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- SPG's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SPG is cheaper than 61.79% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SPG to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.89), we can say SPG is valued slightly more expensively.
- The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 22.58, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of SPG.
- SPG's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SPG is cheaper than 88.62% of the companies in the same industry.
- SPG is valuated at similar levels of the S&P average when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.26 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.58 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SPG is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 77.24% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
- SPG's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SPG is cheaper than 78.86% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 18.29 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.22 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- SPG's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of SPG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)0.66
PEG (5Y)5.37
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
5. SPG Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.84%, SPG is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- SPG's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 7.54.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, SPG pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.84% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of SPG is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 13.52%!
- SPG has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- SPG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.52%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
5.3 Sustainability
- SPG pays out 60.42% of its income as dividend. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of SPG is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP60.42%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
SPG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
180.19
-1.61 (-0.89%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)02-02 2026-02-02/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners93.1%
Inst Owner Change-3.84%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change1.32%
Market Cap58.55B
Revenue(TTM)6.36B
Net Income(TTM)4.62B
Analysts74.62
Price Target210.01 (16.55%)
Short Float %1.73%
Short Ratio3.38
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.84% |
Yearly Dividend8.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.52%
DP60.42%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-Date03-10 2026-03-10 (2.2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-34.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-78.67%
Max EPS beat(2)9.62%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-18.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-78.67%
Max EPS beat(4)9.62%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.09%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)1.29%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.5%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.94%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.5%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.76%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.49%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.09%
PT rev (1m)1.9%
PT rev (3m)5.37%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.62%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)12.24%
EPS NY rev (3m)13.7%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.39%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.69%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.12%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34.26 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.58 | ||
| P/S | 9.2 | ||
| P/FCF | 18.29 | ||
| P/OCF | 14.15 | ||
| P/B | 11.24 | ||
| P/tB | 11.24 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.22 |
EPS(TTM)5.26
EY2.92%
EPS(NY)7.98
Fwd EY4.43%
FCF(TTM)9.85
FCFY5.47%
OCF(TTM)12.73
OCFY7.06%
SpS19.59
BVpS16.03
TBVpS16.03
PEG (NY)0.66
PEG (5Y)5.37
Graham Number43.55
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.39% | ||
| ROE | 88.79% | ||
| ROCE | 8.78% | ||
| ROIC | 6.94% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.52% | ||
| OM | 49.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 72.66% | ||
| GM | 81.9% | ||
| FCFM | 50.31% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)7.69%
ROE(3y)81.56%
ROE(5y)75.91%
ROIC(3y)7.61%
ROIC(5y)7.22%
ROICexc(3y)7.91%
ROICexc(5y)7.45%
ROICexgc(3y)8.05%
ROICexgc(5y)7.54%
ROCE(3y)9.63%
ROCE(5y)9.14%
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.84%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.57%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.38%
OM growth 3Y0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.12%
PM growth 3Y21.64%
PM growth 5Y24.72%
GM growth 3Y0.33%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.88 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.01 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 60.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 14.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.36 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.46% | ||
| Profit Quality | 69.25% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.17 |
F-Score5
WACC7.14%
ROIC/WACC0.97
Cap/Depr(3y)58.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)53.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.79%
Profit Quality(3y)112.03%
Profit Quality(5y)124.08%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.55%
EPS 3Y-6.91%
EPS 5Y6.38%
EPS Q2Q%-78.92%
EPS Next Y51.73%
EPS Next 2Y24.78%
EPS Next 3Y9.83%
EPS Next 5Y7.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.35%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%14.52%
Revenue Next Year10.56%
Revenue Next 2Y6.9%
Revenue Next 3Y6.75%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
EBIT growth 1Y2.67%
EBIT growth 3Y7.12%
EBIT growth 5Y10%
EBIT Next Year58.78%
EBIT Next 3Y19.01%
EBIT Next 5Y12.15%
FCF growth 1Y4.68%
FCF growth 3Y0.91%
FCF growth 5Y11.69%
OCF growth 1Y8.44%
OCF growth 3Y3.17%
OCF growth 5Y12.2%
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC / SPG Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SPG.
Can you provide the valuation status for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of SPG stock?
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for SPG stock?
The financial health rating of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) is 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SPG stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) is expected to grow by 51.73% in the next year.