SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:SPG • US8288061091
Current stock price
200.71 USD
+0.14 (+0.07%)
At close:
200.31 USD
-0.4 (-0.2%)
After Hours:
This SPG fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SPG Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year SPG was profitable.
- SPG had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- SPG had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- In the past 5 years SPG always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 11.39%, SPG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 99.19% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Equity of SPG (88.79%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 6.94%, SPG belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 97.56% of the companies in the same industry.
- SPG had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.61%. This is above the industry average of 3.13%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.39% | ||
| ROE | 88.79% | ||
| ROIC | 6.94% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)7.69%
ROE(3y)81.56%
ROE(5y)75.91%
ROIC(3y)7.61%
ROIC(5y)7.22%
1.3 Margins
- SPG's Profit Margin of 72.66% is amongst the best of the industry. SPG outperforms 98.37% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SPG has grown nicely.
- SPG has a better Operating Margin (49.89%) than 91.87% of its industry peers.
- SPG's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- The Gross Margin of SPG (81.90%) is better than 82.93% of its industry peers.
- SPG's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 49.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 72.66% | ||
| GM | 81.9% |
OM growth 3Y0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.12%
PM growth 3Y21.64%
PM growth 5Y24.72%
GM growth 3Y0.33%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
2. SPG Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SPG is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for SPG has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, SPG has less shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for SPG has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- SPG has an Altman-Z score of 1.28. This is a bad value and indicates that SPG is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- The Altman-Z score of SPG (1.28) is better than 84.55% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SPG is 8.88, which is on the high side as it means it would take SPG, 8.88 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- SPG's Debt to FCF ratio of 8.88 is amongst the best of the industry. SPG outperforms 92.68% of its industry peers.
- SPG has a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.46. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
- SPG's Debt to Equity ratio of 5.46 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SPG is outperformed by 82.11% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.88 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.28 |
ROIC/WACC0.97
WACC7.19%
2.3 Liquidity
- SPG has a Current Ratio of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that SPG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- SPG has a worse Current ratio (0.39) than 83.74% of its industry peers.
- SPG has a Quick Ratio of 0.39. This is a bad value and indicates that SPG is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.39, SPG is doing worse than 80.49% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 |
3. SPG Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- SPG shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -27.55%.
- SPG shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 6.38% yearly.
- SPG shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.72%.
- Measured over the past years, SPG shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 6.67% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.55%
EPS 3Y-6.91%
EPS 5Y6.38%
EPS Q2Q%-78.92%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.35%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%14.52%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, SPG will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 7.21% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.94% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y24.62%
EPS Next 2Y12.9%
EPS Next 3Y9.65%
EPS Next 5Y7.21%
Revenue Next Year11.22%
Revenue Next 2Y7.26%
Revenue Next 3Y6.75%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. SPG Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 38.16, SPG can be considered very expensive at the moment.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SPG is valued a bit cheaper than 62.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- SPG is valuated rather expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.86, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 30.62 indicates a quite expensive valuation of SPG.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SPG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 78.05% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 37.39. SPG is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38.16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.62 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- SPG's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. SPG is more expensive than 78.86% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SPG is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.67% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 20.36 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 19.61 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- SPG's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The excellent profitability rating of SPG may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)1.55
PEG (5Y)5.98
EPS Next 2Y12.9%
EPS Next 3Y9.65%
5. SPG Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- SPG has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.42%, which is a nice return.
- SPG's Dividend Yield is comparable with the industry average which is at 7.71.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, SPG pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.42% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of SPG is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 13.52%!
- SPG has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- SPG has not decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.52%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
5.3 Sustainability
- 60.42% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SPG. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of SPG is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP60.42%
EPS Next 2Y12.9%
EPS Next 3Y9.65%
SPG Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
200.71
+0.14 (+0.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorReal Estate
GICS IndustryGroupEquity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
GICS IndustryDiversified REITs
Earnings (Last)02-02 2026-02-02/amc
Earnings (Next)05-11 2026-05-11
Inst Owners93.11%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners0.15%
Ins Owner Change1.26%
Market Cap65.20B
Revenue(TTM)6.36B
Net Income(TTM)4.62B
Analysts74.62
Price Target210.17 (4.71%)
Short Float %1.71%
Short Ratio3.07
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.42% |
Yearly Dividend8.58
Dividend Growth(5Y)13.52%
DP60.42%
Div Incr Years4
Div Non Decr Years4
Ex-Date03-10 2026-03-10 (2.2)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-34.53%
Min EPS beat(2)-78.67%
Max EPS beat(2)9.62%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-18.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-78.67%
Max EPS beat(4)9.62%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.09%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)1.29%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.31%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)4.44%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.39%
Max Revenue beat(2)7.5%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.15%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.94%
Max Revenue beat(4)7.5%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.76%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.49%
Revenue beat(16)10
Avg Revenue beat(16)2.09%
PT rev (1m)1.98%
PT rev (3m)5.45%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.83%
EPS NY rev (1m)-17.87%
EPS NY rev (3m)-6.62%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)5.57%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.79%
Revenue NY rev (3m)6.76%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 38.16 | ||
| Fwd PE | 30.62 | ||
| P/S | 10.24 | ||
| P/FCF | 20.36 | ||
| P/OCF | 15.76 | ||
| P/B | 12.52 | ||
| P/tB | 12.52 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 19.61 |
EPS(TTM)5.26
EY2.62%
EPS(NY)6.55
Fwd EY3.27%
FCF(TTM)9.86
FCFY4.91%
OCF(TTM)12.73
OCFY6.34%
SpS19.59
BVpS16.03
TBVpS16.03
PEG (NY)1.55
PEG (5Y)5.98
Graham Number43.56
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.39% | ||
| ROE | 88.79% | ||
| ROCE | 8.78% | ||
| ROIC | 6.94% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.1% | ||
| ROICexgc | 7.52% | ||
| OM | 49.89% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 72.66% | ||
| GM | 81.9% | ||
| FCFM | 50.31% |
ROA(3y)8.45%
ROA(5y)7.69%
ROE(3y)81.56%
ROE(5y)75.91%
ROIC(3y)7.61%
ROIC(5y)7.22%
ROICexc(3y)7.91%
ROICexc(5y)7.45%
ROICexgc(3y)8.05%
ROICexgc(5y)7.54%
ROCE(3y)9.63%
ROCE(5y)9.14%
ROICexgc growth 3Y1.84%
ROICexgc growth 5Y7.57%
ROICexc growth 3Y-0.05%
ROICexc growth 5Y6.38%
OM growth 3Y0.72%
OM growth 5Y3.12%
PM growth 3Y21.64%
PM growth 5Y24.72%
GM growth 3Y0.33%
GM growth 5Y0.28%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.16
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 5.46 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.88 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 6.01 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 60.11% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 14.68% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.36 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.46% | ||
| Profit Quality | 69.25% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.39 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.28 |
F-Score5
WACC7.19%
ROIC/WACC0.97
Cap/Depr(3y)58.39%
Cap/Depr(5y)53.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)12.79%
Profit Quality(3y)112.03%
Profit Quality(5y)124.08%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-27.55%
EPS 3Y-6.91%
EPS 5Y6.38%
EPS Q2Q%-78.92%
EPS Next Y24.62%
EPS Next 2Y12.9%
EPS Next 3Y9.65%
EPS Next 5Y7.21%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.72%
Revenue growth 3Y6.35%
Revenue growth 5Y6.67%
Sales Q2Q%14.52%
Revenue Next Year11.22%
Revenue Next 2Y7.26%
Revenue Next 3Y6.75%
Revenue Next 5Y4.94%
EBIT growth 1Y2.67%
EBIT growth 3Y7.12%
EBIT growth 5Y10%
EBIT Next Year60.81%
EBIT Next 3Y19.65%
EBIT Next 5Y12.15%
FCF growth 1Y4.68%
FCF growth 3Y0.91%
FCF growth 5Y11.69%
OCF growth 1Y8.44%
OCF growth 3Y3.17%
OCF growth 5Y12.2%
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC / SPG Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SPG.
What is the valuation status of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) stock?
SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) has a profitability rating of 9 / 10.
What are the PE and PB ratios of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) is 38.16 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 12.52.
What is the expected EPS growth for SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIMON PROPERTY GROUP INC (SPG) is expected to grow by 24.62% in the next year.