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SEMTECH CORP (SMTC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:SMTC - Nasdaq - US8168501018 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

54.51  -5.99 (-9.9%)

After market: 39.85 -14.66 (-26.89%)

Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to SMTC. SMTC was compared to 108 industry peers in the Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry. SMTC may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. SMTC is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

3

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

SMTC had positive earnings in the past year.
SMTC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years SMTC 4 years were profitable.
SMTC had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
SMTC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSMTC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 200M -200M -400M -600M -800M -1B

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of SMTC (-61.16%) is worse than 88.89% of its industry peers.
SMTC's Return On Invested Capital of 1.51% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. SMTC outperforms 50.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -61.16%
ROE N/A
ROIC 1.51%
ROA(3y)-22%
ROA(5y)-11.48%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SMTC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSMTC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 100 200 300

1.3 Margins

The Operating Margin of SMTC (2.61%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
SMTC's Gross Margin of 49.03% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SMTC outperforms 62.96% of its industry peers.
SMTC's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.61%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 49.03%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.2%
GM growth 5Y-5.72%
SMTC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSMTC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50 -50 -100

2

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

SMTC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
Compared to 1 year ago, SMTC has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for SMTC has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
SMTC has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
SMTC Yearly Shares OutstandingSMTC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M
SMTC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSMTC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

The Debt to FCF ratio of SMTC is 48.83, which is on the high side as it means it would take SMTC, 48.83 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
SMTC has a Debt to FCF ratio (48.83) which is in line with its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 48.83
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACC0.11
WACC13.36%
SMTC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSMTC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.37 indicates that SMTC has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
SMTC has a worse Current ratio (2.37) than 62.96% of its industry peers.
SMTC has a Quick Ratio of 1.67. This is a normal value and indicates that SMTC is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of SMTC (1.67) is worse than 65.74% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.37
Quick Ratio 1.67
SMTC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSMTC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for SMTC have decreased strongly by -40.32% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, SMTC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -47.23% on average per year.
Looking at the last year, SMTC shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.94% in the last year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.73% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-40.32%
EPS 3Y-62.88%
EPS 5Y-47.23%
EPS Q2Q%1200%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.94%
Revenue growth 3Y13.44%
Revenue growth 5Y6.73%
Sales Q2Q%17.87%

3.2 Future

SMTC is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 208.47% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, SMTC will show a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 12.93% on average per year.
EPS Next Y773.8%
EPS Next 2Y353.96%
EPS Next 3Y208.47%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.73%
Revenue Next 2Y11.9%
Revenue Next 3Y12.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
SMTC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSMTC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
SMTC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSMTC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 147.32 indicates a quite expensive valuation of SMTC.
SMTC's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SMTC to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.12), we can say SMTC is valued expensively.
SMTC is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 29.39.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as SMTC.
SMTC is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 94.77, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 147.32
Fwd PE 29.39
SMTC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSMTC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 50 100

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as SMTC.
SMTC's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 192.08
EV/EBITDA 97.23
SMTC Per share dataSMTC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 -5

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
SMTC's earnings are expected to grow with 208.47% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.19
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y353.96%
EPS Next 3Y208.47%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for SMTC!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

SEMTECH CORP

NASDAQ:SMTC (2/7/2025, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 39.85 -14.66 (-26.89%)

54.51

-5.99 (-9.9%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorInformation Technology
GICS IndustryGroupSemiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
GICS IndustrySemiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Earnings (Last)11-25 2024-11-25/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners110.53%
Inst Owner Change0.13%
Ins Owners0.61%
Ins Owner Change1.07%
Market Cap4.68B
Analysts81
Price Target78.54 (44.08%)
Short Float %8.35%
Short Ratio3.34
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)11.58%
Min EPS beat(2)9.53%
Max EPS beat(2)13.63%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)718.62%
Min EPS beat(4)-128.44%
Max EPS beat(4)2979.77%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)438.85%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)292.81%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)220.06%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.42%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.53%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.32%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.9%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.95%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.09%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.55%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.44%
PT rev (1m)3.77%
PT rev (3m)38.49%
EPS NQ rev (1m)6.85%
EPS NQ rev (3m)11.85%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.46%
EPS NY rev (3m)12.78%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.78%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)4.37%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.38%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 147.32
Fwd PE 29.39
P/S 5.5
P/FCF 192.08
P/OCF 121.91
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 97.23
EPS(TTM)0.37
EY0.68%
EPS(NY)1.85
Fwd EY3.4%
FCF(TTM)0.28
FCFY0.52%
OCF(TTM)0.45
OCFY0.82%
SpS9.91
BVpS-1.63
TBVpS-8.36
PEG (NY)0.19
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -61.16%
ROE N/A
ROCE 1.94%
ROIC 1.51%
ROICexc 1.72%
ROICexgc 4.04%
OM 2.61%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 49.03%
FCFM 2.86%
ROA(3y)-22%
ROA(5y)-11.48%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-9.2%
GM growth 5Y-5.72%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.62
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 48.83
Debt/EBITDA 18.52
Cap/Depr 33.35%
Cap/Sales 1.65%
Interest Coverage 0.28
Cash Conversion 59.75%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.37
Quick Ratio 1.67
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score4
WACC13.36%
ROIC/WACC0.11
Cap/Depr(3y)70.86%
Cap/Depr(5y)74.68%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.62%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.11%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-40.32%
EPS 3Y-62.88%
EPS 5Y-47.23%
EPS Q2Q%1200%
EPS Next Y773.8%
EPS Next 2Y353.96%
EPS Next 3Y208.47%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.94%
Revenue growth 3Y13.44%
Revenue growth 5Y6.73%
Sales Q2Q%17.87%
Revenue Next Year3.73%
Revenue Next 2Y11.9%
Revenue Next 3Y12.93%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y130.38%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year104.79%
EBIT Next 3Y53.88%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-85.29%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-80.45%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A