SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:SMPL • US82900L1026
Current stock price
14.16 USD
-0.04 (-0.28%)
At close:
14.16 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:
This SMPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SMPL Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year SMPL was profitable.
- SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- SMPL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
- SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of SMPL (3.70%) is better than 68.97% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of SMPL (5.23%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.20%, SMPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.31% of the companies in the same industry.
- SMPL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.63%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.12%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.7% | ||
| ROE | 5.23% | ||
| ROIC | 7.2% |
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
1.3 Margins
- SMPL has a Profit Margin of 6.26%. This is in the better half of the industry: SMPL outperforms 79.31% of its industry peers.
- SMPL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- SMPL's Operating Margin of 15.43% is amongst the best of the industry. SMPL outperforms 94.25% of its industry peers.
- SMPL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- SMPL's Gross Margin of 34.84% is amongst the best of the industry. SMPL outperforms 82.76% of its industry peers.
- SMPL's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.43% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.26% | ||
| GM | 34.84% |
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
2. SMPL Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SMPL is destroying value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, SMPL has less shares outstanding
- SMPL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for SMPL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- SMPL has an Altman-Z score of 2.54. This is not the best score and indicates that SMPL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- The Altman-Z score of SMPL (2.54) is better than 64.37% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SMPL is 2.30, which is a good value as it means it would take SMPL, 2.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- SMPL has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.30) than 82.76% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.23 indicates that SMPL is not too dependend on debt financing.
- The Debt to Equity ratio of SMPL (0.23) is better than 67.82% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.23 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC8.23%
2.3 Liquidity
- SMPL has a Current Ratio of 5.01. This indicates that SMPL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
- SMPL's Current ratio of 5.01 is amongst the best of the industry. SMPL outperforms 93.10% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 3.24 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- SMPL's Quick ratio of 3.24 is amongst the best of the industry. SMPL outperforms 93.10% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 5.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.24 |
3. SMPL Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for SMPL have decreased by -3.70% in the last year.
- The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 15.60% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
- SMPL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.30%.
- The Revenue has been growing by 12.18% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, SMPL will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.98% on average per year.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.58% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue Next Year-0.34%
Revenue Next 2Y1.51%
Revenue Next 3Y2.08%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. SMPL Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 7.78, the valuation of SMPL can be described as very cheap.
- 91.95% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SMPL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SMPL to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.17), we can say SMPL is valued rather cheaply.
- SMPL is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.37.
- SMPL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SMPL is cheaper than 98.85% of the companies in the same industry.
- SMPL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.05.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.37 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SMPL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.91% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SMPL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.66% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.6 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.15 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates SMPL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
- SMPL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.37
PEG (5Y)0.5
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
5. SMPL Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for SMPL!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
SMPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
14.16
-0.04 (-0.28%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)01-08 2026-01-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-09 2026-04-09/bmo
Inst Owners96.21%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners8.88%
Ins Owner Change1.41%
Market Cap1.31B
Revenue(TTM)1.45B
Net Income(TTM)90.76M
Analysts81.11
Price Target28.6 (101.98%)
Short Float %6.43%
Short Ratio2.53
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(2)7.44%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(4)12.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.83%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.81%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)7.17%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.52%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.18%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.97%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.74%
PT rev (1m)-0.32%
PT rev (3m)-9.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.59%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.48%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.75%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.47%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.67%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.78 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.37 | ||
| P/S | 0.9 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.6 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.67 | ||
| P/B | 0.76 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.15 |
EPS(TTM)1.82
EY12.85%
EPS(NY)2.22
Fwd EY15.7%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY13.16%
OCF(TTM)2.12
OCFY14.99%
SpS15.66
BVpS18.73
TBVpS-1.23
PEG (NY)2.37
PEG (5Y)0.5
Graham Number27.7
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.7% | ||
| ROE | 5.23% | ||
| ROCE | 9.53% | ||
| ROIC | 7.2% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.85% | ||
| ROICexgc | 55.17% | ||
| OM | 15.43% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.26% | ||
| GM | 34.84% | ||
| FCFM | 11.89% |
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
ROICexc(3y)8.01%
ROICexc(5y)7.85%
ROICexgc(3y)58.92%
ROICexgc(5y)62.13%
ROCE(3y)10.09%
ROCE(5y)9.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.59%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.31%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.59
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.23 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.3 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.61 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 106.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.66% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.05 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.81% | ||
| Profit Quality | 190.01% | ||
| Current Ratio | 5.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.54 |
F-Score6
WACC8.23%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)65.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.84%
Profit Quality(3y)139.84%
Profit Quality(5y)164.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%
Revenue Next Year-0.34%
Revenue Next 2Y1.51%
Revenue Next 3Y2.08%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.36%
EBIT growth 3Y5.79%
EBIT growth 5Y16.09%
EBIT Next Year4.55%
EBIT Next 3Y5.85%
EBIT Next 5Y4.45%
FCF growth 1Y-12.95%
FCF growth 3Y14.13%
FCF growth 5Y22.62%
OCF growth 1Y-6.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.29%
OCF growth 5Y24.82%
SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE / SMPL Fundamental Analysis FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SMPL.
What is the valuation status of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.
Can you provide the profitability details for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE?
SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
What is the valuation of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is 7.78 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.76.