SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:SMPL • US82900L1026
14.41 USD
-0.42 (-2.83%)
At close: Mar 12, 2026
14.41 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 3/12/2026, 8:11:12 PM
This SMPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
SMPL gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 88 industry peers in the Food Products industry. SMPL gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. SMPL scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. With these ratings, SMPL could be worth investigating further for value investing!.
1. SMPL Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- SMPL had positive earnings in the past year.
- SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- In the past 5 years SMPL has always been profitable.
- SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of SMPL (3.70%) is better than 68.18% of its industry peers.
- SMPL has a Return On Equity (5.23%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.20%, SMPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 76.14% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SMPL is in line with the industry average of 7.13%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.7% | ||
| ROE | 5.23% | ||
| ROIC | 7.2% |
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of SMPL (6.26%) is better than 80.68% of its industry peers.
- SMPL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
- SMPL has a better Operating Margin (15.43%) than 93.18% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SMPL has grown nicely.
- The Gross Margin of SMPL (34.84%) is better than 82.95% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMPL has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.43% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.26% | ||
| GM | 34.84% |
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
2. SMPL Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- SMPL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for SMPL has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
- SMPL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, SMPL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.56 indicates that SMPL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- SMPL has a better Altman-Z score (2.56) than 64.77% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SMPL is 2.30, which is a good value as it means it would take SMPL, 2.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SMPL (2.30) is better than 82.95% of its industry peers.
- SMPL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.23. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- SMPL's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.23 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SMPL outperforms 67.05% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.23 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.56 |
ROIC/WACC0.89
WACC8.13%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 5.01 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- SMPL's Current ratio of 5.01 is amongst the best of the industry. SMPL outperforms 93.18% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 3.24 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- With an excellent Quick ratio value of 3.24, SMPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.18% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 5.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.24 |
3. SMPL Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- SMPL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -3.70%.
- SMPL shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.60% yearly.
- Looking at the last year, SMPL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.30% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, SMPL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.18% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, SMPL will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.98% on average per year.
- SMPL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.58% yearly.
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue Next Year0.14%
Revenue Next 2Y1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y2.72%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. SMPL Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 7.92 indicates a rather cheap valuation of SMPL.
- 92.05% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SMPL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.71. SMPL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
- SMPL is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.48.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SMPL is valued cheaper than 97.73% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 23.82. SMPL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.92 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.48 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- SMPL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SMPL is cheaper than 84.09% of the companies in the same industry.
- 89.77% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SMPL, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.74 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.24 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- SMPL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.41
PEG (5Y)0.51
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
5. SMPL Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- No dividends for SMPL!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
SMPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
14.41
-0.42 (-2.83%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)01-08 2026-01-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-07 2026-04-07/bmo
Inst Owners96.21%
Inst Owner Change-9.14%
Ins Owners8.88%
Ins Owner Change1.41%
Market Cap1.33B
Revenue(TTM)1.45B
Net Income(TTM)90.76M
Analysts78.89
Price Target28.69 (99.1%)
Short Float %6.09%
Short Ratio2.31
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(2)7.44%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(4)12.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.83%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.81%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)7.17%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.52%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.18%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.97%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.74%
PT rev (1m)-1.59%
PT rev (3m)-9.5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.92%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.48%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.92 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.48 | ||
| P/S | 0.92 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.74 | ||
| P/OCF | 6.79 | ||
| P/B | 0.77 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.24 |
EPS(TTM)1.82
EY12.63%
EPS(NY)2.22
Fwd EY15.42%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY12.93%
OCF(TTM)2.12
OCFY14.73%
SpS15.66
BVpS18.73
TBVpS-1.23
PEG (NY)2.41
PEG (5Y)0.51
Graham Number27.7
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.7% | ||
| ROE | 5.23% | ||
| ROCE | 9.53% | ||
| ROIC | 7.2% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.85% | ||
| ROICexgc | 55.17% | ||
| OM | 15.43% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.26% | ||
| GM | 34.84% | ||
| FCFM | 11.89% |
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
ROICexc(3y)8.01%
ROICexc(5y)7.85%
ROICexgc(3y)58.92%
ROICexgc(5y)62.13%
ROCE(3y)10.09%
ROCE(5y)9.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.59%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.31%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.59
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.23 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.3 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.61 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 106.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.66% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.05 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.81% | ||
| Profit Quality | 190.01% | ||
| Current Ratio | 5.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.56 |
F-Score6
WACC8.13%
ROIC/WACC0.89
Cap/Depr(3y)65.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.84%
Profit Quality(3y)139.84%
Profit Quality(5y)164.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%
Revenue Next Year0.14%
Revenue Next 2Y1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y2.72%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.36%
EBIT growth 3Y5.79%
EBIT growth 5Y16.09%
EBIT Next Year4.55%
EBIT Next 3Y5.85%
EBIT Next 5Y4.45%
FCF growth 1Y-12.95%
FCF growth 3Y14.13%
FCF growth 5Y22.62%
OCF growth 1Y-6.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.29%
OCF growth 5Y24.82%
SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE / SMPL FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SMPL.
Can you provide the valuation status for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of SMPL stock?
SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for SMPL stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is 7.92 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.77.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SMPL stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is expected to grow by 3.29% in the next year.