SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SMPL • US82900L1026

Current stock price

14.35 USD
-0.11 (-0.76%)
At close:
14.01 USD
-0.34 (-2.37%)
After Hours:

This SMPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. SMPL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SMPL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year SMPL had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SMPL has been profitable.
  • SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
SMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 3.70%, SMPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.11% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Equity of SMPL (5.23%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of SMPL (7.20%) is better than 75.86% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 7.63%. This is in line with the industry average of 7.23%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.7%
ROE 5.23%
ROIC 7.2%
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
SMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • SMPL has a Profit Margin of 6.26%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SMPL outperforms 80.46% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • SMPL's Operating Margin of 15.43% is amongst the best of the industry. SMPL outperforms 94.25% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 34.84%, SMPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.76% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMPL has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.43%
PM (TTM) 6.26%
GM 34.84%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
SMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

8

2. SMPL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SMPL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SMPL has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, SMPL has more shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for SMPL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
SMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingSMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
SMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.56 indicates that SMPL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • SMPL has a better Altman-Z score (2.56) than 64.37% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SMPL is 2.30, which is a good value as it means it would take SMPL, 2.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • SMPL has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.30) than 82.76% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.23 indicates that SMPL is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of SMPL (0.23) is better than 67.82% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.23
Debt/FCF 2.3
Altman-Z 2.56
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC8.31%
SMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 5.01 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Current ratio value of 5.01, SMPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 3.24 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • SMPL has a Quick ratio of 3.24. This is amongst the best in the industry. SMPL outperforms 93.10% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 5.01
Quick Ratio 3.24
SMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

4

3. SMPL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • SMPL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -3.70%.
  • Measured over the past years, SMPL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.60% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, SMPL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.30% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, SMPL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.18% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SMPL will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.98% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 2.58% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue Next Year0%
Revenue Next 2Y1.84%
Revenue Next 3Y2.61%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
SMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B
SMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

8

4. SMPL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • SMPL is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.88.
  • 91.95% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SMPL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • SMPL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 24.89, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.46, the valuation of SMPL can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SMPL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 97.70% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • SMPL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.88
Fwd PE 6.46
SMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 83.91% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SMPL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SMPL indicates a rather cheap valuation: SMPL is cheaper than 89.66% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.7
EV/EBITDA 6.22
SMPL Per share dataSMPL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • SMPL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.4
PEG (5Y)0.51
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%

0

5. SMPL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SMPL does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SMPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE

NASDAQ:SMPL (3/27/2026, 8:00:03 PM)

After market: 14.01 -0.34 (-2.37%)

14.35

-0.11 (-0.76%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)01-08
Earnings (Next)04-09
Inst Owners96.21%
Inst Owner Change-9.14%
Ins Owners8.88%
Ins Owner Change1.41%
Market Cap1.33B
Revenue(TTM)1.45B
Net Income(TTM)90.76M
Analysts78.89
Price Target28.6 (99.3%)
Short Float %5.45%
Short Ratio2.09
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(2)7.44%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(4)12.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.83%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.81%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)7.17%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.52%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.18%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.97%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.74%
PT rev (1m)-0.32%
PT rev (3m)-9.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.65%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.59%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.46%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.2%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.34%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.88
Fwd PE 6.46
P/S 0.92
P/FCF 7.7
P/OCF 6.76
P/B 0.77
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.22
EPS(TTM)1.82
EY12.68%
EPS(NY)2.22
Fwd EY15.49%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY12.98%
OCF(TTM)2.12
OCFY14.79%
SpS15.66
BVpS18.73
TBVpS-1.23
PEG (NY)2.4
PEG (5Y)0.51
Graham Number27.7
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.7%
ROE 5.23%
ROCE 9.53%
ROIC 7.2%
ROICexc 7.85%
ROICexgc 55.17%
OM 15.43%
PM (TTM) 6.26%
GM 34.84%
FCFM 11.89%
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
ROICexc(3y)8.01%
ROICexc(5y)7.85%
ROICexgc(3y)58.92%
ROICexgc(5y)62.13%
ROCE(3y)10.09%
ROCE(5y)9.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.59%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.31%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.59
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.23
Debt/FCF 2.3
Debt/EBITDA 1.61
Cap/Depr 106.57%
Cap/Sales 1.66%
Interest Coverage 12.05
Cash Conversion 79.81%
Profit Quality 190.01%
Current Ratio 5.01
Quick Ratio 3.24
Altman-Z 2.56
F-Score6
WACC8.31%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)65.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.84%
Profit Quality(3y)139.84%
Profit Quality(5y)164.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%
Revenue Next Year0%
Revenue Next 2Y1.84%
Revenue Next 3Y2.61%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.36%
EBIT growth 3Y5.79%
EBIT growth 5Y16.09%
EBIT Next Year4.55%
EBIT Next 3Y5.85%
EBIT Next 5Y4.45%
FCF growth 1Y-12.95%
FCF growth 3Y14.13%
FCF growth 5Y22.62%
OCF growth 1Y-6.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.29%
OCF growth 5Y24.82%

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE / SMPL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SMPL.


Can you provide the valuation status for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of SMPL stock?

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for SMPL stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is 7.88 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.77.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SMPL stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is expected to grow by 3.29% in the next year.