SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SMPL • US82900L1026

Current stock price

14.12 USD
-0.04 (-0.28%)
Last:

This SMPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. SMPL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SMPL was profitable.
  • SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SMPL has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years SMPL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
SMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • SMPL has a better Return On Assets (3.70%) than 68.60% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL has a Return On Equity of 5.23%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SMPL outperforms 54.65% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL has a better Return On Invested Capital (7.20%) than 80.23% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SMPL is in line with the industry average of 7.12%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.7%
ROE 5.23%
ROIC 7.2%
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
SMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • SMPL has a better Profit Margin (6.26%) than 77.91% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SMPL has declined.
  • SMPL has a better Operating Margin (15.43%) than 94.19% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Gross Margin of SMPL (34.84%) is better than 83.72% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMPL has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.43%
PM (TTM) 6.26%
GM 34.84%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
SMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

8

2. SMPL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), SMPL is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SMPL has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, SMPL has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SMPL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
SMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingSMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
SMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • SMPL has an Altman-Z score of 2.54. This is not the best score and indicates that SMPL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • SMPL's Altman-Z score of 2.54 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SMPL outperforms 65.12% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SMPL is 2.30, which is a good value as it means it would take SMPL, 2.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • SMPL has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.30) than 83.72% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.23 indicates that SMPL is not too dependend on debt financing.
  • SMPL has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.23) than 67.44% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.23
Debt/FCF 2.3
Altman-Z 2.54
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC8.23%
SMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 5.01 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of SMPL (5.01) is better than 93.02% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 3.24 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 3.24, SMPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.86% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 5.01
Quick Ratio 3.24
SMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

4

3. SMPL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SMPL have decreased by -3.70% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, SMPL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.60% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, SMPL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 6.30% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 12.18% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SMPL will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.98% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SMPL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.58% on average per year.
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue Next Year-0.34%
Revenue Next 2Y1.51%
Revenue Next 3Y2.08%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
SMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B
SMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

8

4. SMPL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 7.76 indicates a rather cheap valuation of SMPL.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SMPL is valued cheaper than 91.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.17. SMPL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.35, the valuation of SMPL can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SMPL is valued cheaper than 98.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMPL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.05, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.76
Fwd PE 6.35
SMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SMPL is valued cheaper than 83.72% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SMPL indicates a rather cheap valuation: SMPL is cheaper than 90.70% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.58
EV/EBITDA 6.15
SMPL Per share dataSMPL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates SMPL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The decent profitability rating of SMPL may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.36
PEG (5Y)0.5
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%

0

5. SMPL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SMPL does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SMPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE

NASDAQ:SMPL (4/6/2026, 10:50:09 AM)

14.12

-0.04 (-0.28%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)01-08
Earnings (Next)04-09
Inst Owners96.21%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners8.88%
Ins Owner Change1.41%
Market Cap1.31B
Revenue(TTM)1.45B
Net Income(TTM)90.76M
Analysts81.11
Price Target28.6 (102.55%)
Short Float %6.43%
Short Ratio2.53
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(2)7.44%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(4)12.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.83%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.81%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)7.17%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.52%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.18%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.97%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.74%
PT rev (1m)-0.32%
PT rev (3m)-9.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.59%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.48%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.75%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.47%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.67%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.76
Fwd PE 6.35
P/S 0.9
P/FCF 7.58
P/OCF 6.65
P/B 0.75
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.15
EPS(TTM)1.82
EY12.89%
EPS(NY)2.22
Fwd EY15.74%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY13.19%
OCF(TTM)2.12
OCFY15.03%
SpS15.66
BVpS18.73
TBVpS-1.23
PEG (NY)2.36
PEG (5Y)0.5
Graham Number27.7
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.7%
ROE 5.23%
ROCE 9.53%
ROIC 7.2%
ROICexc 7.85%
ROICexgc 55.17%
OM 15.43%
PM (TTM) 6.26%
GM 34.84%
FCFM 11.89%
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
ROICexc(3y)8.01%
ROICexc(5y)7.85%
ROICexgc(3y)58.92%
ROICexgc(5y)62.13%
ROCE(3y)10.09%
ROCE(5y)9.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.59%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.31%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.59
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.23
Debt/FCF 2.3
Debt/EBITDA 1.61
Cap/Depr 106.57%
Cap/Sales 1.66%
Interest Coverage 12.05
Cash Conversion 79.81%
Profit Quality 190.01%
Current Ratio 5.01
Quick Ratio 3.24
Altman-Z 2.54
F-Score6
WACC8.23%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)65.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.84%
Profit Quality(3y)139.84%
Profit Quality(5y)164.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%
Revenue Next Year-0.34%
Revenue Next 2Y1.51%
Revenue Next 3Y2.08%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.36%
EBIT growth 3Y5.79%
EBIT growth 5Y16.09%
EBIT Next Year4.55%
EBIT Next 3Y5.85%
EBIT Next 5Y4.45%
FCF growth 1Y-12.95%
FCF growth 3Y14.13%
FCF growth 5Y22.62%
OCF growth 1Y-6.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.29%
OCF growth 5Y24.82%

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE / SMPL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SMPL.


What is the valuation status of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE?

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is 7.76 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.75.