SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SMPL • US82900L1026

Current stock price

14.13 USD
-0.45 (-3.09%)
At close:
14.13 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This SMPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. SMPL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SMPL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years SMPL has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years SMPL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
SMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 3.70%, SMPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.11% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Equity of SMPL (5.23%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.20%, SMPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.86% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SMPL is in line with the industry average of 7.16%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.7%
ROE 5.23%
ROIC 7.2%
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
SMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • SMPL has a better Profit Margin (6.26%) than 80.46% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SMPL has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of SMPL (15.43%) is better than 93.10% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SMPL has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 34.84%, SMPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMPL has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.43%
PM (TTM) 6.26%
GM 34.84%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
SMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

8

2. SMPL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SMPL is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SMPL has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • SMPL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for SMPL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
SMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingSMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
SMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • SMPL has an Altman-Z score of 2.58. This is not the best score and indicates that SMPL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • The Altman-Z score of SMPL (2.58) is better than 64.37% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SMPL is 2.30, which is a good value as it means it would take SMPL, 2.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SMPL (2.30) is better than 82.76% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.23. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of SMPL (0.23) is better than 67.82% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.23
Debt/FCF 2.3
Altman-Z 2.58
ROIC/WACC0.87
WACC8.26%
SMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SMPL has a Current Ratio of 5.01. This indicates that SMPL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SMPL has a better Current ratio (5.01) than 93.10% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL has a Quick Ratio of 3.24. This indicates that SMPL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SMPL has a better Quick ratio (3.24) than 93.10% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 5.01
Quick Ratio 3.24
SMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. SMPL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • SMPL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -3.70%.
  • Measured over the past years, SMPL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.60% on average per year.
  • SMPL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.30%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 12.18% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.98% on average over the next years.
  • SMPL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.58% yearly.
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue Next Year0.14%
Revenue Next 2Y1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y2.72%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
SMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B
SMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

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8

4. SMPL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 7.76, the valuation of SMPL can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SMPL is valued cheaper than 90.80% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMPL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.23, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 6.36, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of SMPL.
  • SMPL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SMPL is cheaper than 97.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.28, SMPL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.76
Fwd PE 6.36
SMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SMPL indicates a rather cheap valuation: SMPL is cheaper than 83.91% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SMPL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 89.66% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.59
EV/EBITDA 6.3
SMPL Per share dataSMPL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates SMPL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The decent profitability rating of SMPL may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.36
PEG (5Y)0.5
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

0

5. SMPL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for SMPL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

SMPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE

NASDAQ:SMPL (3/20/2026, 8:23:07 PM)

After market: 14.13 0 (0%)

14.13

-0.45 (-3.09%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)01-08
Earnings (Next)04-09
Inst Owners96.21%
Inst Owner Change-9.14%
Ins Owners8.88%
Ins Owner Change1.41%
Market Cap1.31B
Revenue(TTM)1.45B
Net Income(TTM)90.76M
Analysts78.89
Price Target28.69 (103.04%)
Short Float %5.45%
Short Ratio2.09
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(2)7.44%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(4)12.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.83%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.81%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)7.17%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.52%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.18%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.97%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.74%
PT rev (1m)-1.59%
PT rev (3m)-9.5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.92%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.13%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.92%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.48%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.07%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.76
Fwd PE 6.36
P/S 0.9
P/FCF 7.59
P/OCF 6.66
P/B 0.75
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.3
EPS(TTM)1.82
EY12.88%
EPS(NY)2.22
Fwd EY15.73%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY13.18%
OCF(TTM)2.12
OCFY15.02%
SpS15.66
BVpS18.73
TBVpS-1.23
PEG (NY)2.36
PEG (5Y)0.5
Graham Number27.7
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.7%
ROE 5.23%
ROCE 9.53%
ROIC 7.2%
ROICexc 7.85%
ROICexgc 55.17%
OM 15.43%
PM (TTM) 6.26%
GM 34.84%
FCFM 11.89%
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
ROICexc(3y)8.01%
ROICexc(5y)7.85%
ROICexgc(3y)58.92%
ROICexgc(5y)62.13%
ROCE(3y)10.09%
ROCE(5y)9.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.59%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.31%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.59
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.23
Debt/FCF 2.3
Debt/EBITDA 1.61
Cap/Depr 106.57%
Cap/Sales 1.66%
Interest Coverage 12.05
Cash Conversion 79.81%
Profit Quality 190.01%
Current Ratio 5.01
Quick Ratio 3.24
Altman-Z 2.58
F-Score6
WACC8.26%
ROIC/WACC0.87
Cap/Depr(3y)65.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.84%
Profit Quality(3y)139.84%
Profit Quality(5y)164.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%
Revenue Next Year0.14%
Revenue Next 2Y1.91%
Revenue Next 3Y2.72%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.36%
EBIT growth 3Y5.79%
EBIT growth 5Y16.09%
EBIT Next Year4.55%
EBIT Next 3Y5.85%
EBIT Next 5Y4.45%
FCF growth 1Y-12.95%
FCF growth 3Y14.13%
FCF growth 5Y22.62%
OCF growth 1Y-6.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.29%
OCF growth 5Y24.82%

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE / SMPL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SMPL.


Can you provide the valuation status for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of SMPL stock?

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for SMPL stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is 7.76 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.75.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SMPL stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is expected to grow by 3.29% in the next year.