SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SMPL • US82900L1026

Current stock price

11.515 USD
-0.21 (-1.75%)
Last:

This SMPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. SMPL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SMPL was profitable.
  • SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SMPL has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years SMPL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
SMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • SMPL has a Return On Assets of -4.97%. This is in the lower half of the industry: SMPL underperforms 63.22% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL has a Return On Equity of -7.09%. This is in the lower half of the industry: SMPL underperforms 60.92% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.93%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SMPL outperforms 81.61% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SMPL is in line with the industry average of 6.76%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (7.93%) for SMPL is above the 3 year average (7.63%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.97%
ROE -7.09%
ROIC 7.93%
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
SMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SMPL has declined.
  • The Operating Margin of SMPL (15.10%) is better than 94.25% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 33.76%, SMPL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.31% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMPL has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.1%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 33.76%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
SMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

8

2. SMPL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), SMPL is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SMPL has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SMPL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
  • SMPL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingSMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
SMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.50 indicates that SMPL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • SMPL has a better Altman-Z score (2.50) than 64.37% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SMPL is 2.74, which is a good value as it means it would take SMPL, 2.74 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 2.74, SMPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMPL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of SMPL (0.27) is better than 68.97% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 2.74
Altman-Z 2.5
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC8.04%
SMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 5.06 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • With an excellent Current ratio value of 5.06, SMPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 93.10% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMPL has a Quick Ratio of 2.87. This indicates that SMPL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SMPL has a Quick ratio of 2.87. This is amongst the best in the industry. SMPL outperforms 90.80% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 5.06
Quick Ratio 2.87
SMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

4

3. SMPL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SMPL have decreased by -7.18% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, SMPL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 15.60% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, SMPL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.34% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, SMPL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.18% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.18%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-2.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.34%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-9.35%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SMPL will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.98% on average per year.
  • SMPL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.58% yearly.
EPS Next Y1.75%
EPS Next 2Y5.94%
EPS Next 3Y4.95%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue Next Year-6.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.39%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
SMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B
SMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

8

4. SMPL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 6.36, the valuation of SMPL can be described as very cheap.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of SMPL indicates a rather cheap valuation: SMPL is cheaper than 93.10% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.38, SMPL is valued rather cheaply.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.34, the valuation of SMPL can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SMPL is valued cheaper than 98.85% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMPL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 38.20, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.36
Fwd PE 5.34
SMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • SMPL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SMPL is cheaper than 88.51% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SMPL is valued cheaper than 89.66% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.2
EV/EBITDA 5.69
SMPL Per share dataSMPL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • SMPL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.63
PEG (5Y)0.41
EPS Next 2Y5.94%
EPS Next 3Y4.95%

0

5. SMPL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SMPL does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SMPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE

NASDAQ:SMPL (4/16/2026, 2:25:08 PM)

11.515

-0.21 (-1.75%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)04-09
Earnings (Next)07-08
Inst Owners97.54%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners8.88%
Ins Owner Change1.41%
Market Cap1.04B
Revenue(TTM)1.42B
Net Income(TTM)-105.68M
Analysts81.11
Price Target26.19 (127.44%)
Short Float %6.75%
Short Ratio2.15
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.6%
Min EPS beat(2)7.44%
Max EPS beat(2)11.76%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(4)11.76%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)3.83%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.25%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)6.11%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.52%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.31%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.52%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.71%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.7%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.51%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.57%
PT rev (1m)-4.85%
PT rev (3m)-13.65%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.59%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.48%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.48%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.75%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.47%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.67%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.36
Fwd PE 5.34
P/S 0.74
P/FCF 7.2
P/OCF 6.01
P/B 0.7
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.69
EPS(TTM)1.81
EY15.72%
EPS(NY)2.15
Fwd EY18.71%
FCF(TTM)1.6
FCFY13.9%
OCF(TTM)1.92
OCFY16.64%
SpS15.65
BVpS16.46
TBVpS-1.16
PEG (NY)3.63
PEG (5Y)0.41
Graham Number25.8939 (124.87%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.97%
ROE -7.09%
ROCE 10.49%
ROIC 7.93%
ROICexc 8.37%
ROICexgc 48%
OM 15.1%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 33.76%
FCFM 10.23%
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
ROICexc(3y)8.01%
ROICexc(5y)7.85%
ROICexgc(3y)58.92%
ROICexgc(5y)62.13%
ROCE(3y)10.09%
ROCE(5y)9.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.59%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.31%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.67
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 2.74
Debt/EBITDA 1.67
Cap/Depr 122.26%
Cap/Sales 2.02%
Interest Coverage 11.68
Cash Conversion 73.08%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 5.06
Quick Ratio 2.87
Altman-Z 2.5
F-Score5
WACC8.04%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)65.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.84%
Profit Quality(3y)139.84%
Profit Quality(5y)164.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.18%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-2.17%
EPS Next Y1.75%
EPS Next 2Y5.94%
EPS Next 3Y4.95%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.34%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-9.35%
Revenue Next Year-6.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.39%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
EBIT growth 1Y-7.52%
EBIT growth 3Y5.79%
EBIT growth 5Y16.09%
EBIT Next Year3.55%
EBIT Next 3Y4.34%
EBIT Next 5Y4.45%
FCF growth 1Y-27.67%
FCF growth 3Y14.13%
FCF growth 5Y22.62%
OCF growth 1Y-18.13%
OCF growth 3Y17.29%
OCF growth 5Y24.82%

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE / SMPL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SMPL.


What is the valuation status of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE?

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is 6.36 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.7.