SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SMPL • US82900L1026

Current stock price

12.38 USD
+0.49 (+4.12%)
Last:

This SMPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

6

1. SMPL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SMPL was profitable.
  • SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years SMPL has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years SMPL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
SMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • SMPL has a worse Return On Assets (-4.97%) than 63.22% of its industry peers.
  • With a Return On Equity value of -7.09%, SMPL is not doing good in the industry: 60.92% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • SMPL's Return On Invested Capital of 7.93% is amongst the best of the industry. SMPL outperforms 80.46% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SMPL is in line with the industry average of 6.78%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (7.63%) for SMPL is below the current ROIC(7.93%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.97%
ROE -7.09%
ROIC 7.93%
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
SMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • SMPL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • SMPL has a better Operating Margin (15.10%) than 94.25% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • SMPL's Gross Margin of 33.76% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SMPL outperforms 79.31% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMPL has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.1%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 33.76%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
SMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

8

2. SMPL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SMPL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SMPL has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • SMPL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SMPL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
SMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingSMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
SMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • SMPL has an Altman-Z score of 2.51. This is not the best score and indicates that SMPL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • SMPL has a Altman-Z score of 2.51. This is in the better half of the industry: SMPL outperforms 64.37% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.74. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as SMPL would need 2.74 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • SMPL has a better Debt to FCF ratio (2.74) than 83.91% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • SMPL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.27. This is in the better half of the industry: SMPL outperforms 68.97% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 2.74
Altman-Z 2.51
ROIC/WACC0.99
WACC8.03%
SMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 5.06 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of SMPL (5.06) is better than 93.10% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.87 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.87, SMPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.80% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 5.06
Quick Ratio 2.87
SMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

4

3. SMPL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SMPL have decreased by -7.18% in the last year.
  • SMPL shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.60% yearly.
  • SMPL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 0.34%.
  • The Revenue has been growing by 12.18% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.18%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-2.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.34%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-9.35%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.98% on average over the next years.
  • SMPL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 2.58% yearly.
EPS Next Y1.75%
EPS Next 2Y5.94%
EPS Next 3Y4.95%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue Next Year-6.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.39%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
SMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B
SMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

8

4. SMPL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 6.84 indicates a rather cheap valuation of SMPL.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of SMPL indicates a rather cheap valuation: SMPL is cheaper than 93.10% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SMPL to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.89), we can say SMPL is valued rather cheaply.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.75, the valuation of SMPL can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SMPL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 98.85% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SMPL to the average of the S&P500 Index (38.50), we can say SMPL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.84
Fwd PE 5.75
SMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SMPL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 88.51% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • 89.66% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SMPL, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.74
EV/EBITDA 5.76
SMPL Per share dataSMPL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates SMPL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The decent profitability rating of SMPL may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)3.9
PEG (5Y)0.44
EPS Next 2Y5.94%
EPS Next 3Y4.95%

0

5. SMPL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for SMPL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SMPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE

NASDAQ:SMPL (4/20/2026, 1:34:05 PM)

12.38

+0.49 (+4.12%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)04-09
Earnings (Next)07-08
Inst Owners97.54%
Inst Owner Change0.49%
Ins Owners8.88%
Ins Owner Change1.4%
Market Cap1.12B
Revenue(TTM)1.42B
Net Income(TTM)-105.68M
Analysts81.11
Price Target26.19 (111.55%)
Short Float %6.75%
Short Ratio2.15
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.6%
Min EPS beat(2)7.44%
Max EPS beat(2)11.76%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(4)11.76%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)3.83%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.25%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)6.11%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.52%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.31%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.52%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.71%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.7%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.51%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.57%
PT rev (1m)-8.73%
PT rev (3m)-14.15%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-39.08%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-38.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.48%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-11.22%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.71%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-6.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.33%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.84
Fwd PE 5.75
P/S 0.79
P/FCF 7.74
P/OCF 6.46
P/B 0.75
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 5.76
EPS(TTM)1.81
EY14.62%
EPS(NY)2.15
Fwd EY17.41%
FCF(TTM)1.6
FCFY12.93%
OCF(TTM)1.92
OCFY15.48%
SpS15.65
BVpS16.46
TBVpS-1.16
PEG (NY)3.9
PEG (5Y)0.44
Graham Number25.8939 (109.16%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.97%
ROE -7.09%
ROCE 10.49%
ROIC 7.93%
ROICexc 8.37%
ROICexgc 48%
OM 15.1%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 33.76%
FCFM 10.23%
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
ROICexc(3y)8.01%
ROICexc(5y)7.85%
ROICexgc(3y)58.92%
ROICexgc(5y)62.13%
ROCE(3y)10.09%
ROCE(5y)9.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.59%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.31%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.67
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 2.74
Debt/EBITDA 1.67
Cap/Depr 122.26%
Cap/Sales 2.02%
Interest Coverage 11.68
Cash Conversion 73.08%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 5.06
Quick Ratio 2.87
Altman-Z 2.51
F-Score5
WACC8.03%
ROIC/WACC0.99
Cap/Depr(3y)65.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.84%
Profit Quality(3y)139.84%
Profit Quality(5y)164.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.18%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-2.17%
EPS Next Y1.75%
EPS Next 2Y5.94%
EPS Next 3Y4.95%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.34%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-9.35%
Revenue Next Year-6.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.39%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
EBIT growth 1Y-7.52%
EBIT growth 3Y5.79%
EBIT growth 5Y16.09%
EBIT Next Year3.55%
EBIT Next 3Y4.34%
EBIT Next 5Y4.45%
FCF growth 1Y-27.67%
FCF growth 3Y14.13%
FCF growth 5Y22.62%
OCF growth 1Y-18.13%
OCF growth 3Y17.29%
OCF growth 5Y24.82%

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE / SMPL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SMPL.


What is the valuation status of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE?

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is 6.84 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.75.