SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SMPL • US82900L1026

Current stock price

13.36 USD
+0.94 (+7.57%)
At close:
13.36 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours:

This SMPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

5

1. SMPL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SMPL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • In the past 5 years SMPL has always been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years SMPL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
SMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • SMPL's Return On Assets of -4.97% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SMPL is outperformed by 63.22% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL's Return On Equity of -7.09% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SMPL is outperformed by 60.92% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.93%, SMPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.31% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SMPL is in line with the industry average of 6.75%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (7.93%) for SMPL is above the 3 year average (7.63%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.97%
ROE -7.09%
ROIC 7.93%
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
SMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SMPL has declined.
  • SMPL has a better Operating Margin (15.10%) than 93.10% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • SMPL's Gross Margin of 33.76% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SMPL outperforms 78.16% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL's Gross Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.1%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 33.76%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
SMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

8

2. SMPL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SMPL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SMPL has less shares outstanding
  • SMPL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for SMPL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
SMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingSMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
SMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • SMPL has an Altman-Z score of 2.64. This is not the best score and indicates that SMPL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 2.64, SMPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 60.92% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SMPL is 2.74, which is a good value as it means it would take SMPL, 2.74 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • SMPL's Debt to FCF ratio of 2.74 is amongst the best of the industry. SMPL outperforms 83.91% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.27. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • SMPL's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.27 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SMPL outperforms 67.82% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 2.74
Altman-Z 2.64
ROIC/WACC0.97
WACC8.15%
SMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SMPL has a Current Ratio of 5.06. This indicates that SMPL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SMPL's Current ratio of 5.06 is amongst the best of the industry. SMPL outperforms 90.80% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 2.87 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
  • SMPL has a Quick ratio of 2.87. This is amongst the best in the industry. SMPL outperforms 88.51% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 5.06
Quick Ratio 2.87
SMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

3

3. SMPL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SMPL have decreased by -7.18% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 15.60% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • Looking at the last year, SMPL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 0.34% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, SMPL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.18% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.18%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-2.17%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.34%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-9.35%

3.2 Future

  • SMPL is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 0.77% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SMPL will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.18% on average per year.
EPS Next Y1.75%
EPS Next 2Y5.94%
EPS Next 3Y4.95%
EPS Next 5Y0.77%
Revenue Next Year-6.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.39%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.18%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
SMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 500M 1B 1.5B
SMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

7

4. SMPL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • The Price/Earnings ratio is 7.38, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of SMPL.
  • 93.10% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SMPL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.42. SMPL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.20 indicates a rather cheap valuation of SMPL.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SMPL indicates a rather cheap valuation: SMPL is cheaper than 98.85% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.24, SMPL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.38
Fwd PE 6.2
SMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SMPL is valued cheaper than 83.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMPL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SMPL is cheaper than 81.61% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 8.35
EV/EBITDA 6.32
SMPL Per share dataSMPL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates SMPL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
PEG (NY)4.21
PEG (5Y)0.47
EPS Next 2Y5.94%
EPS Next 3Y4.95%

0

5. SMPL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • No dividends for SMPL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SMPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE

NASDAQ:SMPL (4/24/2026, 8:08:49 PM)

After market: 13.36 0 (0%)

13.36

+0.94 (+7.57%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)04-09
Earnings (Next)07-08
Inst Owners97.54%
Inst Owner Change0.49%
Ins Owners8.88%
Ins Owner Change1.4%
Market Cap1.21B
Revenue(TTM)1.42B
Net Income(TTM)-105.68M
Analysts81.11
Price Target26.19 (96.03%)
Short Float %6.75%
Short Ratio2.15
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)9.6%
Min EPS beat(2)7.44%
Max EPS beat(2)11.76%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(4)11.76%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)3.83%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.25%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)6.11%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.62%
Min Revenue beat(2)-7.52%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.31%
Min Revenue beat(4)-7.52%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.71%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.7%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.51%
Revenue beat(16)2
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.57%
PT rev (1m)-8.73%
PT rev (3m)-14.15%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-38.72%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-39.08%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.48%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.61%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-12.01%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-12.47%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-6.02%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 7.38
Fwd PE 6.2
P/S 0.85
P/FCF 8.35
P/OCF 6.97
P/B 0.81
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.32
EPS(TTM)1.81
EY13.55%
EPS(NY)2.15
Fwd EY16.13%
FCF(TTM)1.6
FCFY11.98%
OCF(TTM)1.92
OCFY14.34%
SpS15.65
BVpS16.46
TBVpS-1.16
PEG (NY)4.21
PEG (5Y)0.47
Graham Number25.8939 (93.82%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -4.97%
ROE -7.09%
ROCE 10.49%
ROIC 7.93%
ROICexc 8.37%
ROICexgc 48%
OM 15.1%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 33.76%
FCFM 10.23%
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
ROICexc(3y)8.01%
ROICexc(5y)7.85%
ROICexgc(3y)58.92%
ROICexgc(5y)62.13%
ROCE(3y)10.09%
ROCE(5y)9.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.59%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.31%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.67
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.27
Debt/FCF 2.74
Debt/EBITDA 1.67
Cap/Depr 122.26%
Cap/Sales 2.02%
Interest Coverage 11.68
Cash Conversion 73.08%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 5.06
Quick Ratio 2.87
Altman-Z 2.64
F-Score5
WACC8.15%
ROIC/WACC0.97
Cap/Depr(3y)65.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.84%
Profit Quality(3y)139.84%
Profit Quality(5y)164.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-7.18%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-2.17%
EPS Next Y1.75%
EPS Next 2Y5.94%
EPS Next 3Y4.95%
EPS Next 5Y0.77%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)0.34%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-9.35%
Revenue Next Year-6.02%
Revenue Next 2Y-2.88%
Revenue Next 3Y-1.39%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.18%
EBIT growth 1Y-7.52%
EBIT growth 3Y5.79%
EBIT growth 5Y16.09%
EBIT Next Year3.55%
EBIT Next 3Y4.34%
EBIT Next 5Y-1.52%
FCF growth 1Y-27.67%
FCF growth 3Y14.13%
FCF growth 5Y22.62%
OCF growth 1Y-18.13%
OCF growth 3Y17.29%
OCF growth 5Y24.82%

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE / SMPL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SMPL.


What is the valuation status of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE?

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.


What is the valuation of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is 7.38 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.81.