SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SMPL • US82900L1026

Current stock price

12 USD
-2.41 (-16.72%)
Last:

This SMPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. SMPL Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SMPL had positive earnings in the past year.
  • SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SMPL has been profitable.
  • In the past 5 years SMPL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
SMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 3.70%, SMPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 68.60% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMPL's Return On Equity of 5.23% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. SMPL outperforms 54.65% of its industry peers.
  • With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 7.20%, SMPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SMPL is in line with the industry average of 6.80%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.7%
ROE 5.23%
ROIC 7.2%
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
SMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

  • With a decent Profit Margin value of 6.26%, SMPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 77.91% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMPL's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of SMPL (15.43%) is better than 94.19% of its industry peers.
  • SMPL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 34.84%, SMPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.72% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMPL has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 15.43%
PM (TTM) 6.26%
GM 34.84%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
SMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 10 20 30 40

8

2. SMPL Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SMPL is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SMPL has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
  • SMPL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • SMPL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingSMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
SMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • An Altman-Z score of 2.56 indicates that SMPL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.56, SMPL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 65.12% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SMPL is 2.30, which is a good value as it means it would take SMPL, 2.30 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.30, SMPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.72% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMPL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.23. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
  • SMPL has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.23) than 67.44% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.23
Debt/FCF 2.3
Altman-Z 2.56
ROIC/WACC0.88
WACC8.22%
SMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SMPL has a Current Ratio of 5.01. This indicates that SMPL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 5.01, SMPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 93.02% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SMPL has a Quick Ratio of 3.24. This indicates that SMPL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SMPL's Quick ratio of 3.24 is amongst the best of the industry. SMPL outperforms 91.86% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 5.01
Quick Ratio 3.24
SMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 100M 200M 300M 400M

4

3. SMPL Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SMPL have decreased by -3.70% in the last year.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 15.60% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 6.30% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, SMPL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.18% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SMPL will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 5.98% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SMPL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.58% on average per year.
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue Next Year-0.34%
Revenue Next 2Y1.51%
Revenue Next 3Y2.08%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
SMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B
SMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

8

4. SMPL Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.59, the valuation of SMPL can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SMPL is valued cheaper than 90.70% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.91. SMPL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 5.40, the valuation of SMPL can be described as very cheap.
  • SMPL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SMPL is cheaper than 98.84% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.69, SMPL is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.59
Fwd PE 5.4
SMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SMPL indicates a rather cheap valuation: SMPL is cheaper than 82.56% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SMPL is valued cheaper than 90.70% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 6.44
EV/EBITDA 6.24
SMPL Per share dataSMPL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
  • SMPL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.01
PEG (5Y)0.42
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%

0

5. SMPL Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SMPL does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SMPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE

NASDAQ:SMPL (4/9/2026, 11:18:09 AM)

12

-2.41 (-16.72%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)04-09
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners96.21%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners8.88%
Ins Owner Change1.41%
Market Cap1.11B
Revenue(TTM)1.45B
Net Income(TTM)90.76M
Analysts81.11
Price Target28.6 (138.33%)
Short Float %6.43%
Short Ratio2.53
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(2)7.44%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(4)12.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.83%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.81%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)7.17%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.52%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.18%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.97%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.74%
PT rev (1m)-0.32%
PT rev (3m)-9.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.59%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-6.48%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)2.99%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.28%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.75%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.47%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.67%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 6.59
Fwd PE 5.4
P/S 0.77
P/FCF 6.44
P/OCF 5.65
P/B 0.64
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.24
EPS(TTM)1.82
EY15.17%
EPS(NY)2.22
Fwd EY18.52%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY15.52%
OCF(TTM)2.12
OCFY17.69%
SpS15.66
BVpS18.73
TBVpS-1.23
PEG (NY)2.01
PEG (5Y)0.42
Graham Number27.7
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 3.7%
ROE 5.23%
ROCE 9.53%
ROIC 7.2%
ROICexc 7.85%
ROICexgc 55.17%
OM 15.43%
PM (TTM) 6.26%
GM 34.84%
FCFM 11.89%
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
ROICexc(3y)8.01%
ROICexc(5y)7.85%
ROICexgc(3y)58.92%
ROICexgc(5y)62.13%
ROCE(3y)10.09%
ROCE(5y)9.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.59%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.31%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.59
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.23
Debt/FCF 2.3
Debt/EBITDA 1.61
Cap/Depr 106.57%
Cap/Sales 1.66%
Interest Coverage 12.05
Cash Conversion 79.81%
Profit Quality 190.01%
Current Ratio 5.01
Quick Ratio 3.24
Altman-Z 2.56
F-Score6
WACC8.22%
ROIC/WACC0.88
Cap/Depr(3y)65.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.84%
Profit Quality(3y)139.84%
Profit Quality(5y)164.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
EPS Next Y3.29%
EPS Next 2Y7.59%
EPS Next 3Y7.34%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%
Revenue Next Year-0.34%
Revenue Next 2Y1.51%
Revenue Next 3Y2.08%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.36%
EBIT growth 3Y5.79%
EBIT growth 5Y16.09%
EBIT Next Year4.55%
EBIT Next 3Y5.85%
EBIT Next 5Y4.45%
FCF growth 1Y-12.95%
FCF growth 3Y14.13%
FCF growth 5Y22.62%
OCF growth 1Y-6.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.29%
OCF growth 5Y24.82%

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE / SMPL Fundamental Analysis FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SMPL.


What is the valuation status of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.


Can you provide the profitability details for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE?

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the valuation of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is 6.59 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.64.