SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:SMPL • US82900L1026
16.39 USD
+0.01 (+0.06%)
At close: Mar 5, 2026
16.39 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 3/5/2026, 8:21:26 PM
This SMPL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
We assign a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10 to SMPL. SMPL was compared to 88 industry peers in the Food Products industry. While SMPL has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. SMPL is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination! This makes SMPL very considerable for value investing!
1. SMPL Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- SMPL had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year SMPL had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Each year in the past 5 years SMPL has been profitable.
- SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 3.70%, SMPL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.05% of the companies in the same industry.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 5.23%, SMPL is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.82% of the companies in the same industry.
- SMPL has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.20%. This is in the better half of the industry: SMPL outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SMPL is significantly below the industry average of 28.23%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.7% | ||
| ROE | 5.23% | ||
| ROIC | 7.2% |
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
1.3 Margins
- SMPL has a better Profit Margin (6.26%) than 80.68% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SMPL has declined.
- SMPL has a Operating Margin of 15.43%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SMPL outperforms 90.91% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SMPL has grown nicely.
- With a decent Gross Margin value of 34.84%, SMPL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.55% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMPL has declined.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.43% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.26% | ||
| GM | 34.84% |
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
2. SMPL Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- SMPL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- SMPL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
- SMPL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, SMPL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.72 indicates that SMPL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.72, SMPL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.77% of the companies in the same industry.
- SMPL has a debt to FCF ratio of 2.30. This is a good value and a sign of high solvency as SMPL would need 2.30 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 2.30, SMPL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.95% of the companies in the same industry.
- SMPL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.23. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
- SMPL's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.23 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SMPL outperforms 67.05% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.23 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.72 |
ROIC/WACC0.89
WACC8.1%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 5.01 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of SMPL (5.01) is better than 92.05% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 3.24 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
- SMPL's Quick ratio of 3.24 is amongst the best of the industry. SMPL outperforms 92.05% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 5.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.24 |
3. SMPL Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- SMPL shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -3.70%.
- SMPL shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 15.60% yearly.
- SMPL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 6.30%.
- Measured over the past years, SMPL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 12.18% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 5.98% on average over the next years.
- Based on estimates for the next years, SMPL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 2.58% on average per year.
EPS Next Y3.42%
EPS Next 2Y7.87%
EPS Next 3Y7.65%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue Next Year0.2%
Revenue Next 2Y1.98%
Revenue Next 3Y2.76%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. SMPL Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.01, the valuation of SMPL can be described as very reasonable.
- 89.77% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SMPL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- SMPL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.74, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- SMPL is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.34.
- SMPL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SMPL is cheaper than 97.73% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SMPL to the average of the S&P500 Index (24.82), we can say SMPL is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.01 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.34 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SMPL is valued cheaper than 80.68% of the companies in the same industry.
- 88.64% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SMPL, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 8.8 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.98 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
- SMPL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.63
PEG (5Y)0.58
EPS Next 2Y7.87%
EPS Next 3Y7.65%
5. SMPL Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- SMPL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
SMPL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
16.39
+0.01 (+0.06%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)01-08 2026-01-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-07 2026-04-07/bmo
Inst Owners100.33%
Inst Owner Change-9.17%
Ins Owners8.59%
Ins Owner Change1.54%
Market Cap1.52B
Revenue(TTM)1.45B
Net Income(TTM)90.76M
Analysts78.89
Price Target28.69 (75.05%)
Short Float %6.09%
Short Ratio2.31
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 0% |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.29%
Min EPS beat(2)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(2)7.44%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)3.58%
Min EPS beat(4)-4.86%
Max EPS beat(4)12.32%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)2.83%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)2.81%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)7.17%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.78%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.85%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.71%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.56%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.15%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.52%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.18%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.97%
Revenue beat(16)3
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.74%
PT rev (1m)-5.95%
PT rev (3m)-11.4%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.92%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-3.67%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.06%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.48%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 9.01 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.34 | ||
| P/S | 1.05 | ||
| P/FCF | 8.8 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.72 | ||
| P/B | 0.88 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.98 |
EPS(TTM)1.82
EY11.1%
EPS(NY)2.23
Fwd EY13.63%
FCF(TTM)1.86
FCFY11.37%
OCF(TTM)2.12
OCFY12.95%
SpS15.66
BVpS18.73
TBVpS-1.23
PEG (NY)2.63
PEG (5Y)0.58
Graham Number27.7
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.7% | ||
| ROE | 5.23% | ||
| ROCE | 9.53% | ||
| ROIC | 7.2% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.85% | ||
| ROICexgc | 55.17% | ||
| OM | 15.43% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.26% | ||
| GM | 34.84% | ||
| FCFM | 11.89% |
ROA(3y)5.47%
ROA(5y)4.72%
ROE(3y)7.43%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.63%
ROIC(5y)7.51%
ROICexc(3y)8.01%
ROICexc(5y)7.85%
ROICexgc(3y)58.92%
ROICexgc(5y)62.13%
ROCE(3y)10.09%
ROCE(5y)9.93%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-1.68%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-2.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.59%
ROICexc growth 5Y12.31%
OM growth 3Y-1.57%
OM growth 5Y3.49%
PM growth 3Y-8.4%
PM growth 5Y-2.33%
GM growth 3Y-1.68%
GM growth 5Y-1.82%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.59
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.23 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 2.3 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 1.61 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 106.57% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 1.66% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 12.05 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 79.81% | ||
| Profit Quality | 190.01% | ||
| Current Ratio | 5.01 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 3.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.72 |
F-Score6
WACC8.1%
ROIC/WACC0.89
Cap/Depr(3y)65.53%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.69%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.01%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.84%
Profit Quality(3y)139.84%
Profit Quality(5y)164.52%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.7%
EPS 3Y6.49%
EPS 5Y15.6%
EPS Q2Q%-20.41%
EPS Next Y3.42%
EPS Next 2Y7.87%
EPS Next 3Y7.65%
EPS Next 5Y5.98%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)6.3%
Revenue growth 3Y7.48%
Revenue growth 5Y12.18%
Sales Q2Q%-0.31%
Revenue Next Year0.2%
Revenue Next 2Y1.98%
Revenue Next 3Y2.76%
Revenue Next 5Y2.58%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.36%
EBIT growth 3Y5.79%
EBIT growth 5Y16.09%
EBIT Next Year4.55%
EBIT Next 3Y5.85%
EBIT Next 5Y4.45%
FCF growth 1Y-12.95%
FCF growth 3Y14.13%
FCF growth 5Y22.62%
OCF growth 1Y-6.38%
OCF growth 3Y17.29%
OCF growth 5Y24.82%
SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE / SMPL FAQ
What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to SMPL.
Can you provide the valuation status for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of SMPL stock?
SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) has a profitability rating of 6 / 10.
Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for SMPL stock?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is 9.01 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 0.88.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SMPL stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) is expected to grow by 3.42% in the next year.