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SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE (SMPL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:SMPL - Nasdaq - US82900L1026 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

37.69  +0.83 (+2.25%)

After market: 37.69 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

6

Taking everything into account, SMPL scores 6 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. SMPL was compared to 91 industry peers in the Food Products industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making SMPL a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. SMPL is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate. With these ratings, SMPL could be worth investigating further for quality investing!.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year SMPL was profitable.
SMPL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
SMPL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years SMPL always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
SMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSMPL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 50M 100M 150M 200M

1.2 Ratios

SMPL has a Return On Assets of 5.83%. This is in the better half of the industry: SMPL outperforms 67.44% of its industry peers.
SMPL's Return On Equity of 7.99% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. SMPL outperforms 58.14% of its industry peers.
SMPL's Return On Invested Capital of 7.27% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SMPL outperforms 69.77% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SMPL is in line with the industry average of 8.96%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.83%
ROE 7.99%
ROIC 7.27%
ROA(3y)5.76%
ROA(5y)4.51%
ROE(3y)8.04%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.52%
ROIC(5y)6.79%
SMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSMPL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 -10 -20 -30

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of SMPL (10.40%) is better than 83.72% of its industry peers.
SMPL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
SMPL has a better Operating Margin (16.46%) than 88.37% of its industry peers.
SMPL's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 38.63%, SMPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 88.37% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SMPL has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 16.46%
PM (TTM) 10.4%
GM 38.63%
OM growth 3Y-2.21%
OM growth 5Y1.61%
PM growth 3Y37.02%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.94%
GM growth 5Y-1.56%
SMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSMPL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 10 20 30 40

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), SMPL is destroying value.
The number of shares outstanding for SMPL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for SMPL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
SMPL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
SMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingSMPL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
SMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSMPL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 4.81 indicates that SMPL is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
SMPL has a better Altman-Z score (4.81) than 84.88% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SMPL is 1.80, which is an excellent value as it means it would take SMPL, only 1.80 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
SMPL's Debt to FCF ratio of 1.80 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SMPL outperforms 79.07% of its industry peers.
SMPL has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.20. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
SMPL has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.20. This is in the better half of the industry: SMPL outperforms 62.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF 1.8
Altman-Z 4.81
ROIC/WACC0.82
WACC8.85%
SMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSMPL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 500M 1B 1.5B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 4.23 indicates that SMPL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 4.23, SMPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 90.70% of the companies in the same industry.
SMPL has a Quick Ratio of 2.75. This indicates that SMPL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 2.75, SMPL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 89.53% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 4.23
Quick Ratio 2.75
SMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSMPL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

SMPL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 15.24%, which is quite good.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 27.18% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
SMPL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 9.07%.
The Revenue has been growing by 20.51% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.24%
EPS 3Y13.25%
EPS 5Y27.18%
EPS Q2Q%13.95%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.07%
Revenue growth 3Y9.8%
Revenue growth 5Y20.51%
Sales Q2Q%10.56%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.25% on average over the next years.
SMPL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.09% yearly.
EPS Next Y7.26%
EPS Next 2Y9.64%
EPS Next 3Y9.3%
EPS Next 5Y7.25%
Revenue Next Year9.73%
Revenue Next 2Y7.91%
Revenue Next 3Y7.04%
Revenue Next 5Y6.09%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
SMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 500M 1B 1.5B
SMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSMPL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

SMPL is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 19.94.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Earnings ratio as SMPL.
SMPL is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.20, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 17.13, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of SMPL.
69.77% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SMPL, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 94.48. SMPL is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.94
Fwd PE 17.13
SMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSMPL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as SMPL.
SMPL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 19.64
EV/EBITDA 16.47
SMPL Per share dataSMPL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates SMPL does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
The decent profitability rating of SMPL may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)2.75
PEG (5Y)0.73
EPS Next 2Y9.64%
EPS Next 3Y9.3%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for SMPL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

SIMPLY GOOD FOODS CO/THE

NASDAQ:SMPL (2/10/2025, 8:23:31 PM)

After market: 37.69 0 (0%)

37.69

+0.83 (+2.25%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)01-08 2025-01-08/bmo
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners91.39%
Inst Owner Change-18.7%
Ins Owners8.46%
Ins Owner Change-5.7%
Market Cap3.81B
Analysts82.35
Price Target41.72 (10.69%)
Short Float %4.19%
Short Ratio3.66
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)1.48%
Min EPS beat(2)-1.08%
Max EPS beat(2)4.05%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.01%
Min EPS beat(4)-1.08%
Max EPS beat(4)4.05%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)2.38%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)8.34%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)11.94%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.51%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.68%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.34%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.92%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.86%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.34%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.23%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.5%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.6%
PT rev (1m)6.23%
PT rev (3m)2.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-3.38%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-7.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.33%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.52%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.23%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)7.42%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.07%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 19.94
Fwd PE 17.13
P/S 2.79
P/FCF 19.64
P/OCF 19.02
P/B 2.14
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.47
EPS(TTM)1.89
EY5.01%
EPS(NY)2.2
Fwd EY5.84%
FCF(TTM)1.92
FCFY5.09%
OCF(TTM)1.98
OCFY5.26%
SpS13.5
BVpS17.58
TBVpS-1.46
PEG (NY)2.75
PEG (5Y)0.73
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 5.83%
ROE 7.99%
ROCE 9.64%
ROIC 7.27%
ROICexc 7.67%
ROICexgc 59.8%
OM 16.46%
PM (TTM) 10.4%
GM 38.63%
FCFM 14.21%
ROA(3y)5.76%
ROA(5y)4.51%
ROE(3y)8.04%
ROE(5y)6.66%
ROIC(3y)7.52%
ROIC(5y)6.79%
ROICexc(3y)7.87%
ROICexc(5y)7.1%
ROICexgc(3y)59.82%
ROICexgc(5y)63.27%
ROCE(3y)9.96%
ROCE(5y)9%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-5.63%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-12.44%
ROICexc growth 3Y1.67%
ROICexc growth 5Y0.74%
OM growth 3Y-2.21%
OM growth 5Y1.61%
PM growth 3Y37.02%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.94%
GM growth 5Y-1.56%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.56
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.2
Debt/FCF 1.8
Debt/EBITDA 1.42
Cap/Depr 31.04%
Cap/Sales 0.46%
Interest Coverage 7.22
Cash Conversion 81.75%
Profit Quality 136.65%
Current Ratio 4.23
Quick Ratio 2.75
Altman-Z 4.81
F-Score4
WACC8.85%
ROIC/WACC0.82
Cap/Depr(3y)40.33%
Cap/Depr(5y)34.93%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.65%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.59%
Profit Quality(3y)121.88%
Profit Quality(5y)151.58%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.24%
EPS 3Y13.25%
EPS 5Y27.18%
EPS Q2Q%13.95%
EPS Next Y7.26%
EPS Next 2Y9.64%
EPS Next 3Y9.3%
EPS Next 5Y7.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)9.07%
Revenue growth 3Y9.8%
Revenue growth 5Y20.51%
Sales Q2Q%10.56%
Revenue Next Year9.73%
Revenue Next 2Y7.91%
Revenue Next 3Y7.04%
Revenue Next 5Y6.09%
EBIT growth 1Y9.92%
EBIT growth 3Y7.38%
EBIT growth 5Y22.45%
EBIT Next Year17.58%
EBIT Next 3Y10.8%
EBIT Next 5Y8.2%
FCF growth 1Y58.25%
FCF growth 3Y18.61%
FCF growth 5Y23.78%
OCF growth 1Y58.14%
OCF growth 3Y17.76%
OCF growth 5Y24.2%