Logo image of SIX

SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:SIX - US83001A1025 - Common Stock

32 USD
-1.14 (-3.44%)
Last: 7/1/2024, 8:04:00 PM
32 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 7/1/2024, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

Taking everything into account, SIX scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. SIX was compared to 132 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While SIX is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. SIX is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SIX was profitable.
  • In the past year SIX had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • SIX had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • SIX had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
SIX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSIX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 0.96%, SIX is doing worse than 63.43% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIX has a Return On Invested Capital of 10.89%. This is in the better half of the industry: SIX outperforms 75.37% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SIX is in line with the industry average of 10.36%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.96%
ROE N/A
ROIC 10.89%
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
SIX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSIX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • SIX's Profit Margin of 1.85% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SIX is outperformed by 60.45% of its industry peers.
  • SIX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of SIX (22.27%) is better than 83.58% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SIX has declined.
  • SIX has a better Gross Margin (92.11%) than 99.25% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SIX has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.27%
PM (TTM) 1.85%
GM 92.11%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
SIX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSIX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SIX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • SIX has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for SIX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
SIX Yearly Shares OutstandingSIX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
SIX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSIX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • SIX has an Altman-Z score of 0.09. This is a bad value and indicates that SIX is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • SIX has a Altman-Z score of 0.09. This is amonst the worse of the industry: SIX underperforms 82.09% of its industry peers.
  • SIX has a debt to FCF ratio of 24.22. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as SIX would need 24.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • SIX has a Debt to FCF ratio (24.22) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 24.22
Altman-Z 0.09
ROIC/WACC1.3
WACC8.37%
SIX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSIX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.36 indicates that SIX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.36, SIX is not doing good in the industry: 88.06% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.31 indicates that SIX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SIX has a worse Quick ratio (0.31) than 87.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.36
Quick Ratio 0.31
SIX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSIX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SIX have decreased strongly by -74.19% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, SIX shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -32.11% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, SIX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.02% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.52% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SIX will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 72.37% on average per year.
  • SIX is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 4.27% yearly.
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
SIX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSIX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B
SIX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSIX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2 -2 -4

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 100.00, the valuation of SIX can be described as expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SIX is valued a bit more expensive than 65.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.21. SIX is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.60 indicates a correct valuation of SIX.
  • SIX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SIX is cheaper than 62.69% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 25.98.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 100
Fwd PE 15.6
SIX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSIX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SIX is on the same level as its industry peers.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SIX is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.03
EV/EBITDA 11.19
SIX Per share dataSIX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SIX's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as SIX's earnings are expected to grow with 72.37% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • SIX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.78%, which is a nice return.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.21, SIX pays a better dividend. On top of this SIX pays more dividend than 92.54% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • SIX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.78%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SIX decreases each year by -74.91%.
  • SIX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
SIX Yearly Dividends per shareSIX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2024 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
SIX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSIX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M -400M

SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP / SIX FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to SIX.


What is the valuation status for SIX stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of SIX stock?

SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SIX stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) is expected to grow by 238.28% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for SIX stock?

The dividend rating of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.