SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:SIX • US83001A1025

Current stock price

32 USD
-1.14 (-3.44%)
At close:
32 USD
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This SIX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. SIX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SIX was profitable.
  • SIX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • SIX had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • SIX had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
SIX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSIX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • SIX's Return On Assets of 0.96% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SIX is outperformed by 63.43% of its industry peers.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 10.89%, SIX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.37% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SIX is in line with the industry average of 10.55%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.96%
ROE N/A
ROIC 10.89%
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
SIX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSIX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • SIX's Profit Margin of 1.85% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SIX is outperformed by 60.45% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SIX has declined.
  • SIX has a better Operating Margin (22.27%) than 83.58% of its industry peers.
  • SIX's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • SIX's Gross Margin of 92.11% is amongst the best of the industry. SIX outperforms 99.25% of its industry peers.
  • SIX's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.27%
PM (TTM) 1.85%
GM 92.11%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
SIX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSIX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

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ROAROEROICOperating and Profit MarginShow most profitable peers

1

2. SIX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SIX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SIX has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • The debt/assets ratio for SIX has been reduced compared to a year ago.
SIX Yearly Shares OutstandingSIX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
SIX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSIX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.09, we must say that SIX is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of SIX (0.09) is worse than 82.09% of its industry peers.
  • SIX has a debt to FCF ratio of 24.22. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as SIX would need 24.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 24.22, SIX is in line with its industry, outperforming 47.76% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 24.22
Altman-Z 0.09
ROIC/WACC1.3
WACC8.37%
SIX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSIX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.36 indicates that SIX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SIX has a worse Current ratio (0.36) than 88.06% of its industry peers.
  • SIX has a Quick Ratio of 0.36. This is a bad value and indicates that SIX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SIX has a worse Quick ratio (0.31) than 87.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.36
Quick Ratio 0.31
SIX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSIX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. SIX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SIX have decreased strongly by -74.19% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, SIX shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -32.11% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.02% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, SIX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.52% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%

3.2 Future

  • SIX is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 72.37% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SIX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.27% on average per year.
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
SIX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSIX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B
SIX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSIX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2 -2 -4

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Find the best growth stocksShow best growing peers

4

4. SIX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • SIX is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 100.00.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SIX is valued a bit more expensive than 65.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.18, SIX is valued quite expensively.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.60, the valuation of SIX can be described as correct.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SIX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.69% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 37.96. SIX is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 100
Fwd PE 15.6
SIX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSIX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • SIX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • SIX's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.03
EV/EBITDA 11.19
SIX Per share dataSIX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as SIX's earnings are expected to grow with 72.37% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. SIX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.78%, SIX is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • SIX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.09. SIX pays more dividend than 92.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, SIX pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.78%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SIX decreases each year by -74.91%.
  • SIX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
SIX Yearly Dividends per shareSIX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2024 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
SIX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSIX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M -400M

More info and screens

Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

SIX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP

NYSE:SIX (7/1/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 32 0 (0%)

32

-1.14 (-3.44%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)05-09
Earnings (Next)07-24
Inst Owners7.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners7.22%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.70B
Revenue(TTM)1.42B
Net Income(TTM)26.18M
Analysts80
Price Target29.84 (-6.75%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.78%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-102.64%
Min EPS beat(2)-198.72%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.56%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-71.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-198.72%
Max EPS beat(4)-6.56%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-44.22%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)66.32%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)44.02%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.62%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.3%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.04%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.91%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.57%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.82%
PT rev (1m)-0.51%
PT rev (3m)-1.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.64%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 100
Fwd PE 15.6
P/S 1.9
P/FCF 27.03
P/OCF 9.52
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.19
EPS(TTM)0.32
EY1%
EPS(NY)2.05
Fwd EY6.41%
FCF(TTM)1.18
FCFY3.7%
OCF(TTM)3.36
OCFY10.51%
SpS16.82
BVpS-11.61
TBVpS-23.52
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.96%
ROE N/A
ROCE 15.53%
ROIC 10.89%
ROICexc 11.19%
ROICexgc 20.56%
OM 22.27%
PM (TTM) 1.85%
GM 92.11%
FCFM 7.04%
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)24.05%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.29%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-10.16%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.53%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 24.22
Debt/EBITDA 5.47
Cap/Depr 158.92%
Cap/Sales 12.95%
Interest Coverage 2.16
Cash Conversion 65.72%
Profit Quality 381.11%
Current Ratio 0.36
Quick Ratio 0.31
Altman-Z 0.09
F-Score7
WACC8.37%
ROIC/WACC1.3
Cap/Depr(3y)118.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)112.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.35%
Profit Quality(3y)174.67%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-17%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-8.87%
EBIT Next Year40.07%
EBIT Next 3Y17.74%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-56.4%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-20.95%
OCF growth 1Y-21.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-9.02%

SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP / SIX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to SIX.


What is the valuation status for SIX stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) stock?

SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


What is the valuation of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP based on its PE and PB ratios?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) is 100 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is -2.76.


Can you provide the financial health for SIX stock?

The financial health rating of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) is 1 / 10.