SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:SIX • US83001A1025

32 USD
-1.14 (-3.44%)
At close: Jul 1, 2024
32 USD
0 (0%)
After Hours: 7/1/2024, 8:04:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to SIX. SIX was compared to 131 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of SIX while its profitability can be described as average. SIX has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SIX was profitable.
  • SIX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • SIX had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • SIX had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
SIX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSIX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • SIX has a Return On Assets of 0.96%. This is in the lower half of the industry: SIX underperforms 63.43% of its industry peers.
  • With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 10.89%, SIX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.37% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SIX is in line with the industry average of 10.42%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.96%
ROE N/A
ROIC 10.89%
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
SIX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSIX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • SIX has a worse Profit Margin (1.85%) than 60.45% of its industry peers.
  • SIX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • SIX has a Operating Margin of 22.27%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SIX outperforms 83.58% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SIX has declined.
  • SIX has a better Gross Margin (92.11%) than 99.25% of its industry peers.
  • SIX's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.27%
PM (TTM) 1.85%
GM 92.11%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
SIX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSIX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SIX is creating some value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SIX has more shares outstanding
  • SIX has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SIX Yearly Shares OutstandingSIX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
SIX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSIX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 0.09, we must say that SIX is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • SIX has a worse Altman-Z score (0.09) than 82.09% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SIX is 24.22, which is on the high side as it means it would take SIX, 24.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 24.22, SIX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.76% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 24.22
Altman-Z 0.09
ROIC/WACC1.3
WACC8.37%
SIX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSIX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.36 indicates that SIX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Current ratio value of 0.36, SIX is not doing good in the industry: 88.06% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • SIX has a Quick Ratio of 0.36. This is a bad value and indicates that SIX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.31, SIX is not doing good in the industry: 87.31% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.36
Quick Ratio 0.31
SIX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSIX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

  • SIX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -74.19%.
  • Measured over the past years, SIX shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -32.11% on average per year.
  • SIX shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.02%.
  • SIX shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -0.52% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SIX will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 72.37% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.27% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
SIX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSIX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B
SIX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSIX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2 -2 -4

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • SIX is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 100.00.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SIX is valued a bit more expensive than 65.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.18. SIX is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
  • A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.60 indicates a correct valuation of SIX.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SIX is valued a bit cheaper than 62.69% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 28.01.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 100
Fwd PE 15.6
SIX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSIX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • SIX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
  • The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as SIX.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.03
EV/EBITDA 11.19
SIX Per share dataSIX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SIX's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • SIX's earnings are expected to grow with 72.37% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%

5

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

  • SIX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.78%, which is a nice return.
  • SIX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.25. SIX pays more dividend than 92.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.80.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.78%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SIX decreases each year by -74.91%.
  • SIX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
SIX Yearly Dividends per shareSIX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2024 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
SIX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSIX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M -400M

SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP

NYSE:SIX (7/1/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 32 0 (0%)

32

-1.14 (-3.44%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)05-09
Earnings (Next)07-24
Inst Owners7.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners7.22%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.70B
Revenue(TTM)1.42B
Net Income(TTM)26.18M
Analysts80
Price Target29.84 (-6.75%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.78%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-102.64%
Min EPS beat(2)-198.72%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.56%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-71.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-198.72%
Max EPS beat(4)-6.56%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-44.22%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)66.32%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)44.02%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.62%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.3%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.04%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.91%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.57%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.82%
PT rev (1m)-0.51%
PT rev (3m)-1.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.64%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 100
Fwd PE 15.6
P/S 1.9
P/FCF 27.03
P/OCF 9.52
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.19
EPS(TTM)0.32
EY1%
EPS(NY)2.05
Fwd EY6.41%
FCF(TTM)1.18
FCFY3.7%
OCF(TTM)3.36
OCFY10.51%
SpS16.82
BVpS-11.61
TBVpS-23.52
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.96%
ROE N/A
ROCE 15.53%
ROIC 10.89%
ROICexc 11.19%
ROICexgc 20.56%
OM 22.27%
PM (TTM) 1.85%
GM 92.11%
FCFM 7.04%
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)24.05%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.29%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-10.16%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.53%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 24.22
Debt/EBITDA 5.47
Cap/Depr 158.92%
Cap/Sales 12.95%
Interest Coverage 2.16
Cash Conversion 65.72%
Profit Quality 381.11%
Current Ratio 0.36
Quick Ratio 0.31
Altman-Z 0.09
F-Score7
WACC8.37%
ROIC/WACC1.3
Cap/Depr(3y)118.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)112.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.35%
Profit Quality(3y)174.67%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-17%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-8.87%
EBIT Next Year40.07%
EBIT Next 3Y17.74%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-56.4%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-20.95%
OCF growth 1Y-21.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-9.02%

SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP / SIX FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to SIX.


What is the valuation status for SIX stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of SIX stock?

SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SIX stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) is expected to grow by 238.28% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for SIX stock?

The dividend rating of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.