SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NYSE:SIX - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US83001A1025 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
SIX gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. There are concerns on the financial health of SIX while its profitability can be described as average. SIX is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
SIX had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year SIX had a positive cash flow from operations.
Of the past 5 years SIX 4 years were profitable.
Of the past 5 years SIX 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of SIX (0.96%) is worse than 63.43% of its industry peers.
SIX has a Return On Invested Capital of 10.89%. This is in the better half of the industry: SIX outperforms 75.37% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SIX is in line with the industry average of 13.81%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.96% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 10.89% |
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Profit Margin value of 1.85%, SIX is not doing good in the industry: 60.45% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SIX has declined.
SIX's Operating Margin of 22.27% is amongst the best of the industry. SIX outperforms 83.58% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SIX has declined.
SIX's Gross Margin of 92.11% is amongst the best of the industry. SIX outperforms 99.25% of its industry peers.
SIX's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.85% | ||
| GM | 92.11% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
SIX has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, SIX has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, SIX has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
SIX has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
SIX has an Altman-Z score of 0.09. This is a bad value and indicates that SIX is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
SIX has a Altman-Z score of 0.09. This is amonst the worse of the industry: SIX underperforms 82.09% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SIX is 24.22, which is on the high side as it means it would take SIX, 24.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 24.22, SIX perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.76% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 24.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.09 |
ROIC/WACC1.3
WACC8.37%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.36 indicates that SIX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of SIX (0.36) is worse than 88.06% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.31 indicates that SIX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
SIX has a worse Quick ratio (0.31) than 87.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.31 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for SIX have decreased strongly by -74.19% in the last year.
SIX shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -32.11% yearly.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.02% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, SIX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.52% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 72.37% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.27% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 100.00 indicates a quite expensive valuation of SIX.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SIX is valued a bit more expensive than 65.67% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.21. SIX is valued rather expensively when compared to this.
SIX is valuated correctly with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.60.
62.69% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SIX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.70. SIX is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 100 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.6 |
4.2 Price Multiples
SIX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
SIX's Price/Free Cash Flow is on the same level as the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 27.03 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.19 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
SIX's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as SIX's earnings are expected to grow with 72.37% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.78%, SIX is a good candidate for dividend investing.
SIX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 3.71. SIX pays more dividend than 92.54% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.42, SIX pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.78% |
5.2 History
The dividend of SIX decreases each year by -74.91%.
SIX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DP0%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
32
-1.14 (-3.44%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners7.49%
Inst Owner Change-96.17%
Ins Owners7.22%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.70B
Analysts80
Price Target29.84 (-6.75%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.78% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-102.64%
Min EPS beat(2)-198.72%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.56%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-71.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-198.72%
Max EPS beat(4)-6.56%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-44.22%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)66.32%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)44.02%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.62%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.3%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.04%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.91%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.57%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.82%
PT rev (1m)-0.51%
PT rev (3m)-1.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.64%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 100 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.6 | ||
| P/S | 1.9 | ||
| P/FCF | 27.03 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.52 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.19 |
EPS(TTM)0.32
EY1%
EPS(NY)2.05
Fwd EY6.41%
FCF(TTM)1.18
FCFY3.7%
OCF(TTM)3.36
OCFY10.51%
SpS16.82
BVpS-11.61
TBVpS-23.52
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.96% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 15.53% | ||
| ROIC | 10.89% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 20.56% | ||
| OM | 22.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.85% | ||
| GM | 92.11% | ||
| FCFM | 7.04% |
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)24.05%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.29%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-10.16%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.53%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 24.22 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.47 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 158.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 12.95% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.16 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 65.72% | ||
| Profit Quality | 381.11% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.09 |
F-Score7
WACC8.37%
ROIC/WACC1.3
Cap/Depr(3y)118.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)112.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.35%
Profit Quality(3y)174.67%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-17%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-8.87%
EBIT Next Year40.07%
EBIT Next 3Y17.74%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-56.4%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-20.95%
OCF growth 1Y-21.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-9.02%