SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:SIX - US83001A1025 - Common Stock
32 USD
-1.14 (-3.44%)
32 USD
0 (0%)
We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to SIX. SIX was compared to 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While SIX is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. SIX is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
SIX had positive earnings in the past year.
SIX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years SIX 4 years were profitable.
Of the past 5 years SIX 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
SIX has a worse Return On Assets (0.96%) than 63.43% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 10.89%, SIX is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.37% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SIX is in line with the industry average of 10.39%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.96% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 10.89% |
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.85%, SIX is doing worse than 60.45% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SIX has declined.
SIX has a better Operating Margin (22.27%) than 83.58% of its industry peers.
SIX's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 92.11%, SIX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 99.25% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SIX has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.85% | ||
| GM | 92.11% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SIX is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, SIX has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, SIX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
SIX has an Altman-Z score of 0.09. This is a bad value and indicates that SIX is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 0.09, SIX is doing worse than 82.09% of the companies in the same industry.
SIX has a debt to FCF ratio of 24.22. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as SIX would need 24.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SIX (24.22) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 24.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.09 |
ROIC/WACC1.3
WACC8.37%
2.3 Liquidity
SIX has a Current Ratio of 0.36. This is a bad value and indicates that SIX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
SIX has a worse Current ratio (0.36) than 88.06% of its industry peers.
SIX has a Quick Ratio of 0.36. This is a bad value and indicates that SIX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of SIX (0.31) is worse than 87.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.31 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for SIX have decreased strongly by -74.19% in the last year.
SIX shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -32.11% yearly.
SIX shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.02%.
Measured over the past years, SIX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.52% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%
3.2 Future
SIX is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 72.37% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, SIX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.27% on average per year.
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
SIX is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 100.00.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SIX is valued a bit more expensive than 65.67% of the companies in the same industry.
SIX's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.92.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.60, which indicates a correct valuation of SIX.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SIX indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SIX is cheaper than 62.69% of the companies listed in the same industry.
SIX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit cheaper than the S&P500 average which is at 23.57.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 100 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.6 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SIX is on the same level as its industry peers.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as SIX.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 27.03 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.19 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as SIX's earnings are expected to grow with 72.37% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
SIX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.78%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.94, SIX pays a better dividend. On top of this SIX pays more dividend than 92.54% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.94, SIX pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.78% |
5.2 History
The dividend of SIX decreases each year by -74.91%.
SIX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DP0%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
32
-1.14 (-3.44%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners7.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners7.22%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.70B
Revenue(TTM)1.42B
Net Income(TTM)26.18M
Analysts80
Price Target29.84 (-6.75%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.78% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-102.64%
Min EPS beat(2)-198.72%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.56%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-71.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-198.72%
Max EPS beat(4)-6.56%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-44.22%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)66.32%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)44.02%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.62%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.3%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.04%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.91%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.57%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.82%
PT rev (1m)-0.51%
PT rev (3m)-1.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.64%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 100 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.6 | ||
| P/S | 1.9 | ||
| P/FCF | 27.03 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.52 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.19 |
EPS(TTM)0.32
EY1%
EPS(NY)2.05
Fwd EY6.41%
FCF(TTM)1.18
FCFY3.7%
OCF(TTM)3.36
OCFY10.51%
SpS16.82
BVpS-11.61
TBVpS-23.52
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.96% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 15.53% | ||
| ROIC | 10.89% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 20.56% | ||
| OM | 22.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.85% | ||
| GM | 92.11% | ||
| FCFM | 7.04% |
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)24.05%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.29%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-10.16%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.53%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 24.22 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.47 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 158.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 12.95% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.16 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 65.72% | ||
| Profit Quality | 381.11% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.09 |
F-Score7
WACC8.37%
ROIC/WACC1.3
Cap/Depr(3y)118.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)112.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.35%
Profit Quality(3y)174.67%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-17%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-8.87%
EBIT Next Year40.07%
EBIT Next 3Y17.74%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-56.4%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-20.95%
OCF growth 1Y-21.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-9.02%
SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP / SIX FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to SIX.
What is the valuation status for SIX stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of SIX stock?
SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SIX stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) is expected to grow by 238.28% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for SIX stock?
The dividend rating of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.