SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NYSE:SIX • US83001A1025

Current stock price

32 USD
-1.14 (-3.44%)
At close:
32 USD
0 (0%)
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This SIX fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

4

1. SIX Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SIX was profitable.
  • SIX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • SIX had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Of the past 5 years SIX 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
SIX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSIX Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M -400M

1.2 Ratios

  • With a Return On Assets value of 0.96%, SIX is not doing good in the industry: 63.43% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 10.89%, SIX is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 75.37% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SIX is in line with the industry average of 10.65%.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.96%
ROE N/A
ROIC 10.89%
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
SIX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSIX Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 -40 -60

1.3 Margins

  • SIX has a Profit Margin of 1.85%. This is in the lower half of the industry: SIX underperforms 60.45% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SIX has declined.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 22.27%, SIX belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.58% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIX's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
  • With an excellent Gross Margin value of 92.11%, SIX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 99.25% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIX's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.27%
PM (TTM) 1.85%
GM 92.11%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
SIX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSIX Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50 -50 -100

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1

2. SIX Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SIX is creating some value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SIX has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • SIX has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SIX Yearly Shares OutstandingSIX Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M
SIX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSIX Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

  • SIX has an Altman-Z score of 0.09. This is a bad value and indicates that SIX is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a Altman-Z score value of 0.09, SIX is not doing good in the industry: 82.09% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SIX is 24.22, which is on the high side as it means it would take SIX, 24.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SIX (24.22) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 24.22
Altman-Z 0.09
ROIC/WACC1.3
WACC8.37%
SIX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSIX Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 1B -1B 2B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.36 indicates that SIX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.36, SIX is doing worse than 88.06% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIX has a Quick Ratio of 0.36. This is a bad value and indicates that SIX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SIX's Quick ratio of 0.31 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SIX is outperformed by 87.31% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.36
Quick Ratio 0.31
SIX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSIX Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

4

3. SIX Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • SIX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -74.19%.
  • SIX shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -32.11% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, SIX shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 4.02% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.52% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 72.37% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SIX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.27% on average per year.
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
SIX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSIX Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B
SIX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSIX Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 2 -2 -4

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4

4. SIX Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 100.00, the valuation of SIX can be described as expensive.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SIX is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 65.67% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
  • SIX's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 24.88.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.60, SIX is valued correctly.
  • SIX's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SIX is cheaper than 62.69% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.19. SIX is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 100
Fwd PE 15.6
SIX Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSIX Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

  • The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as SIX.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SIX is on the same level as its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 27.03
EV/EBITDA 11.19
SIX Per share dataSIX EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 -10 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as SIX's earnings are expected to grow with 72.37% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

5

5. SIX Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.78%, SIX is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • SIX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.09. SIX pays more dividend than 92.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.90.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.78%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SIX decreases each year by -74.91%.
  • SIX has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
SIX Yearly Dividends per shareSIX Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2024 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

DP0%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
SIX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSIX Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M -400M

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Find the best dividend stocksShow peers with best dividend

SIX Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP

NYSE:SIX (7/1/2024, 8:04:00 PM)

After market: 32 0 (0%)

32

-1.14 (-3.44%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)05-09
Earnings (Next)07-24
Inst Owners7.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners7.22%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.70B
Revenue(TTM)1.42B
Net Income(TTM)26.18M
Analysts80
Price Target29.84 (-6.75%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.78%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-102.64%
Min EPS beat(2)-198.72%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.56%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-71.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-198.72%
Max EPS beat(4)-6.56%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-44.22%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)66.32%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)44.02%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.62%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.3%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.04%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.91%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.57%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.82%
PT rev (1m)-0.51%
PT rev (3m)-1.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.64%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 100
Fwd PE 15.6
P/S 1.9
P/FCF 27.03
P/OCF 9.52
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 11.19
EPS(TTM)0.32
EY1%
EPS(NY)2.05
Fwd EY6.41%
FCF(TTM)1.18
FCFY3.7%
OCF(TTM)3.36
OCFY10.51%
SpS16.82
BVpS-11.61
TBVpS-23.52
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.96%
ROE N/A
ROCE 15.53%
ROIC 10.89%
ROICexc 11.19%
ROICexgc 20.56%
OM 22.27%
PM (TTM) 1.85%
GM 92.11%
FCFM 7.04%
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)24.05%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.29%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-10.16%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.53%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF 24.22
Debt/EBITDA 5.47
Cap/Depr 158.92%
Cap/Sales 12.95%
Interest Coverage 2.16
Cash Conversion 65.72%
Profit Quality 381.11%
Current Ratio 0.36
Quick Ratio 0.31
Altman-Z 0.09
F-Score7
WACC8.37%
ROIC/WACC1.3
Cap/Depr(3y)118.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)112.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.35%
Profit Quality(3y)174.67%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-17%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-8.87%
EBIT Next Year40.07%
EBIT Next 3Y17.74%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-56.4%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-20.95%
OCF growth 1Y-21.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-9.02%

SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP / SIX Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to SIX.


What is the valuation status for SIX stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of SIX stock?

SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SIX stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) is expected to grow by 238.28% in the next year.


Can you provide the dividend sustainability for SIX stock?

The dividend rating of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.