SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - New York Stock Exchange - NYSE:SIX - US83001A1025 - Common Stock
32 USD
-1.14 (-3.44%)
32 USD
0 (0%)
Taking everything into account, SIX scores 3 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. SIX was compared to 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While SIX is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. SIX has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
SIX had positive earnings in the past year.
SIX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
SIX had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
SIX had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
SIX has a worse Return On Assets (0.96%) than 63.43% of its industry peers.
SIX's Return On Invested Capital of 10.89% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SIX outperforms 75.37% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SIX is in line with the industry average of 10.34%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.96% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 10.89% |
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 1.85%, SIX is doing worse than 60.45% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SIX has declined.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 22.27%, SIX belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.58% of the companies in the same industry.
SIX's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
SIX has a better Gross Margin (92.11%) than 99.25% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SIX has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.85% | ||
| GM | 92.11% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SIX is still creating some value.
SIX has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, SIX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
SIX has an Altman-Z score of 0.09. This is a bad value and indicates that SIX is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of SIX (0.09) is worse than 82.09% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SIX is 24.22, which is on the high side as it means it would take SIX, 24.22 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SIX (24.22) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 24.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.09 |
ROIC/WACC1.3
WACC8.37%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.36 indicates that SIX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 0.36, SIX is not doing good in the industry: 88.06% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
SIX has a Quick Ratio of 0.36. This is a bad value and indicates that SIX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
SIX has a worse Quick ratio (0.31) than 87.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.31 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for SIX have decreased strongly by -74.19% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, SIX shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -32.11% on average per year.
SIX shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 4.02%.
Measured over the past years, SIX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.52% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%
3.2 Future
SIX is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 72.37% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, SIX will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 4.27% on average per year.
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
SIX is valuated quite expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 100.00.
SIX's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. SIX is more expensive than 65.67% of the companies in the same industry.
SIX is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.19, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 15.60, which indicates a correct valuation of SIX.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SIX is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 62.69% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.92, SIX is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 100 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.6 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as SIX.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SIX is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 27.03 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.19 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
SIX's earnings are expected to grow with 72.37% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
SIX has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.78%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 6.32, SIX pays a better dividend. On top of this SIX pays more dividend than 92.54% of the companies listed in the same industry.
SIX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.92.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.78% |
5.2 History
The dividend of SIX decreases each year by -74.91%.
SIX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DP0%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
32
-1.14 (-3.44%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners7.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners7.22%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.70B
Revenue(TTM)1.42B
Net Income(TTM)26.18M
Analysts80
Price Target29.84 (-6.75%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.78% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-102.64%
Min EPS beat(2)-198.72%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.56%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-71.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-198.72%
Max EPS beat(4)-6.56%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-44.22%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)66.32%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)44.02%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.62%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.3%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.04%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.91%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.57%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.82%
PT rev (1m)-0.51%
PT rev (3m)-1.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.64%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 100 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.6 | ||
| P/S | 1.9 | ||
| P/FCF | 27.03 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.52 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.19 |
EPS(TTM)0.32
EY1%
EPS(NY)2.05
Fwd EY6.41%
FCF(TTM)1.18
FCFY3.7%
OCF(TTM)3.36
OCFY10.51%
SpS16.82
BVpS-11.61
TBVpS-23.52
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.96% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 15.53% | ||
| ROIC | 10.89% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 20.56% | ||
| OM | 22.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.85% | ||
| GM | 92.11% | ||
| FCFM | 7.04% |
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)24.05%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.29%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y-10.16%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.53%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 24.22 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.47 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 158.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 12.95% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.16 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 65.72% | ||
| Profit Quality | 381.11% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.09 |
F-Score7
WACC8.37%
ROIC/WACC1.3
Cap/Depr(3y)118.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)112.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.35%
Profit Quality(3y)174.67%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-17%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-8.87%
EBIT Next Year40.07%
EBIT Next 3Y17.74%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-56.4%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-20.95%
OCF growth 1Y-21.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-9.02%
SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP / SIX FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to SIX.
What is the valuation status for SIX stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of SIX stock?
SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) has a profitability rating of 4 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for SIX stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) is expected to grow by 238.28% in the next year.
Can you provide the dividend sustainability for SIX stock?
The dividend rating of SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 0%.