SIX FLAGS ENTERTAINMENT CORP (SIX) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NYSE:SIX - US83001A1025 - Common Stock
32 USD
-1.14 (-3.44%)
32 USD
0 (0%)
Overall SIX gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated SIX against 133 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. While SIX is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. SIX has a decent growth rate and is not valued too expensively.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
SIX had positive earnings in the past year.
SIX had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years SIX 4 years were profitable.
Of the past 5 years SIX 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of SIX (0.96%) is worse than 63.43% of its industry peers.
SIX has a Return On Invested Capital of 10.89%. This is in the better half of the industry: SIX outperforms 75.37% of its industry peers.
SIX had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.21%. This is below the industry average of 15.68%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.96% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 10.89% |
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
SIX has a worse Profit Margin (1.85%) than 60.45% of its industry peers.
SIX's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
The Operating Margin of SIX (22.27%) is better than 83.58% of its industry peers.
SIX's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
SIX has a better Gross Margin (92.11%) than 99.25% of its industry peers.
SIX's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.85% | ||
| GM | 92.11% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SIX is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, SIX has more shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for SIX remains at a similar level compared to 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, SIX has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
SIX has an Altman-Z score of 0.09. This is a bad value and indicates that SIX is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
SIX has a worse Altman-Z score (0.09) than 82.09% of its industry peers.
SIX has a debt to FCF ratio of 24.22. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as SIX would need 24.22 years to pay back of all of its debts.
SIX has a Debt to FCF ratio (24.22) which is in line with its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 24.22 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.09 |
ROIC/WACC1.3
WACC8.37%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.36 indicates that SIX may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of SIX (0.36) is worse than 88.06% of its industry peers.
SIX has a Quick Ratio of 0.36. This is a bad value and indicates that SIX is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of SIX (0.31) is worse than 87.31% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.31 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
SIX shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -74.19%.
The earnings per share for SIX have been decreasing by -32.11% on average. This is quite bad
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 4.02% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, SIX shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has been decreasing by -0.52% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%
3.2 Future
SIX is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 72.37% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 4.27% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 100.00, SIX can be considered very expensive at the moment.
65.67% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than SIX, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
SIX is valuated expensively when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.20, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.60, the valuation of SIX can be described as correct.
62.69% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SIX, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
SIX is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.70, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 100 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.6 |
4.2 Price Multiples
SIX's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is in line with the industry average.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as SIX.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 27.03 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.19 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
SIX's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
SIX's earnings are expected to grow with 72.37% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.78%, SIX is a good candidate for dividend investing.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.93, SIX pays a better dividend. On top of this SIX pays more dividend than 92.54% of the companies listed in the same industry.
SIX's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.38.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.78% |
5.2 History
The dividend of SIX decreases each year by -74.91%.
SIX has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
5.3 Sustainability
DP0%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
32
-1.14 (-3.44%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners7.49%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners7.22%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap2.70B
Analysts80
Price Target29.84 (-6.75%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.78% |
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)-74.91%
DP0%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-102.64%
Min EPS beat(2)-198.72%
Max EPS beat(2)-6.56%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-71.03%
Min EPS beat(4)-198.72%
Max EPS beat(4)-6.56%
EPS beat(8)1
Avg EPS beat(8)-44.22%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)66.32%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)44.02%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3%
Min Revenue beat(2)-3.38%
Max Revenue beat(2)-2.62%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.59%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.3%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.04%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-3.91%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)3.57%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)3.82%
PT rev (1m)-0.51%
PT rev (3m)-1.18%
EPS NQ rev (1m)13.88%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-10.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.4%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)3.07%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.8%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.64%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 100 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.6 | ||
| P/S | 1.9 | ||
| P/FCF | 27.03 | ||
| P/OCF | 9.52 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 11.19 |
EPS(TTM)0.32
EY1%
EPS(NY)2.05
Fwd EY6.41%
FCF(TTM)1.18
FCFY3.7%
OCF(TTM)3.36
OCFY10.51%
SpS16.82
BVpS-11.61
TBVpS-23.52
PEG (NY)0.42
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 0.96% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 15.53% | ||
| ROIC | 10.89% | ||
| ROICexc | 11.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 20.56% | ||
| OM | 22.27% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 1.85% | ||
| GM | 92.11% | ||
| FCFM | 7.04% |
ROA(3y)3.3%
ROA(5y)0.17%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.21%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)13.14%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)24.05%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)16.29%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y-10.16%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y-9.53%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-8.4%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-32.03%
GM growth 3Y0.67%
GM growth 5Y0.13%
F-Score7
Asset Turnover0.52
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 24.22 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 5.47 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 158.92% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 12.95% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 2.16 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 65.72% | ||
| Profit Quality | 381.11% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 0.09 |
F-Score7
WACC8.37%
ROIC/WACC1.3
Cap/Depr(3y)118.44%
Cap/Depr(5y)112.2%
Cap/Sales(3y)9.59%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.35%
Profit Quality(3y)174.67%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-74.19%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-32.11%
EPS Q2Q%-16.67%
EPS Next Y238.28%
EPS Next 2Y111.18%
EPS Next 3Y72.37%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)4.02%
Revenue growth 3Y58.72%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.52%
Sales Q2Q%-6.26%
Revenue Next Year3.46%
Revenue Next 2Y4.24%
Revenue Next 3Y4.27%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-17%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-8.87%
EBIT Next Year40.07%
EBIT Next 3Y17.74%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-56.4%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y-20.95%
OCF growth 1Y-21.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y-9.02%