SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:SIRI • US8299331004
Current stock price
23.79 USD
+0.38 (+1.62%)
At close:
23.8 USD
+0.01 (+0.04%)
Pre-Market:
This SIRI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SIRI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- SIRI had positive earnings in the past year.
- SIRI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- SIRI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- Each year in the past 5 years SIRI had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- With a decent Return On Assets value of 2.96%, SIRI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.12% of the companies in the same industry.
- SIRI has a Return On Equity of 6.96%. This is in the better half of the industry: SIRI outperforms 79.12% of its industry peers.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 6.16%, SIRI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.12% of the companies in the same industry.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SIRI is in line with the industry average of 7.73%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (6.01%) for SIRI is below the current ROIC(6.16%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.96% | ||
| ROE | 6.96% | ||
| ROIC | 6.16% |
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
1.3 Margins
- The Profit Margin of SIRI (9.41%) is better than 86.81% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SIRI has grown nicely.
- SIRI has a better Operating Margin (22.28%) than 95.60% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SIRI has remained more or less at the same level.
- With a decent Gross Margin value of 51.88%, SIRI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.64% of the companies in the same industry.
- SIRI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.41% | ||
| GM | 51.88% |
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
2. SIRI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SIRI is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for SIRI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, SIRI has less shares outstanding
- SIRI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- SIRI has an Altman-Z score of 1.33. This is a bad value and indicates that SIRI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- SIRI's Altman-Z score of 1.33 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SIRI outperforms 61.54% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SIRI is 7.80, which is on the high side as it means it would take SIRI, 7.80 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- SIRI's Debt to FCF ratio of 7.80 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SIRI outperforms 72.53% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75 indicates that SIRI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- SIRI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.75. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SIRI outperforms 50.55% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.33 |
ROIC/WACC0.82
WACC7.55%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.30 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.30, SIRI is doing worse than 86.81% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.30 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- SIRI's Quick ratio of 0.30 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SIRI is outperformed by 86.81% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.3 |
3. SIRI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- The earnings per share for SIRI have decreased strongly by -36.36% in the last year.
- SIRI shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.94% yearly.
- SIRI shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -1.62%.
- SIRI shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.26% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.05% on average over the next years.
- The Revenue is expected to decrease by -0.31% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y39.12%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. SIRI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 10.62, which indicates a very decent valuation of SIRI.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SIRI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.42% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.17, SIRI is valued rather cheaply.
- SIRI is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.63.
- SIRI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SIRI is cheaper than 81.32% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 23.05, SIRI is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.62 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.63 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- 81.32% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SIRI, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
- SIRI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SIRI is cheaper than 87.91% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.16 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- SIRI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as SIRI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.97% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
5. SIRI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- SIRI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.66%, which is a nice return.
- SIRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.22. SIRI pays more dividend than 91.21% of the companies in the same industry.
- SIRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.66% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of SIRI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 82.80%!
- SIRI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- The dividend of SIRI decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- SIRI pays out 45.34% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of SIRI is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP45.34%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
SIRI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
23.79
+0.38 (+1.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners39.13%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.02%
Ins Owner Change0.48%
Market Cap7.96B
Revenue(TTM)8.56B
Net Income(TTM)805.00M
Analysts56.19
Price Target24.35 (2.35%)
Short Float %16.49%
Short Ratio6.03
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.66% |
Yearly Dividend1.13
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
DP45.34%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date02-11 2026-02-11 (0.27)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-32.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(2)5.65%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(4)5.65%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.12%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.28%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.99%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.62%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.87%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.83%
PT rev (1m)1.29%
PT rev (3m)0.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.15%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.98%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.62 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.63 | ||
| P/S | 0.93 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.4 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.2 | ||
| P/B | 0.69 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.16 |
EPS(TTM)2.24
EY9.42%
EPS(NY)3.12
Fwd EY13.1%
FCF(TTM)3.72
FCFY15.63%
OCF(TTM)5.67
OCFY23.83%
SpS25.56
BVpS34.54
TBVpS-32.54
PEG (NY)0.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number41.72
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.96% | ||
| ROE | 6.96% | ||
| ROCE | 8.09% | ||
| ROIC | 6.16% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 140.46% | ||
| OM | 22.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.41% | ||
| GM | 51.88% | ||
| FCFM | 14.55% |
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
ROICexc(3y)6.05%
ROICexc(5y)12.58%
ROICexgc(3y)210.1%
ROICexgc(5y)213.31%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)16.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-8.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y-20.92%
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.8 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.52 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 119.38% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.63% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.34 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.34% | ||
| Profit Quality | 154.66% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.33 |
F-Score6
WACC7.55%
ROIC/WACC0.82
Cap/Depr(3y)116.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.49%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
EPS Next Y39.12%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.5%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.16%
EBIT growth 5Y0.48%
EBIT Next Year44.95%
EBIT Next 3Y12.4%
EBIT Next 5Y8.25%
FCF growth 1Y22.9%
FCF growth 3Y-7.04%
FCF growth 5Y-5.68%
OCF growth 1Y9.02%
OCF growth 3Y-1.33%
OCF growth 5Y-1.22%
SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC / SIRI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SIRI.
Can you provide the valuation status for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?
SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?
The financial health rating of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is 3 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is expected to grow by 39.12% in the next year.