SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:SIRI • US8299331004
Current stock price
23.79 USD
+0.38 (+1.62%)
At close:
23.78 USD
-0.01 (-0.04%)
After Hours:
This SIRI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SIRI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year SIRI was profitable.
- In the past year SIRI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- SIRI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- SIRI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of SIRI (2.96%) is better than 80.22% of its industry peers.
- SIRI has a Return On Equity of 6.96%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SIRI outperforms 80.22% of its industry peers.
- SIRI's Return On Invested Capital of 6.16% is amongst the best of the industry. SIRI outperforms 80.22% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SIRI is in line with the industry average of 6.74%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (6.01%) for SIRI is below the current ROIC(6.16%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.96% | ||
| ROE | 6.96% | ||
| ROIC | 6.16% |
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 9.41%, SIRI belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 87.91% of the companies in the same industry.
- SIRI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
- SIRI has a better Operating Margin (22.28%) than 96.70% of its industry peers.
- SIRI's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 51.88%, SIRI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.64% of the companies in the same industry.
- SIRI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.41% | ||
| GM | 51.88% |
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
2. SIRI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- SIRI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for SIRI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- SIRI has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- SIRI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.33, we must say that SIRI is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- SIRI has a better Altman-Z score (1.33) than 62.64% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SIRI is 7.80, which is on the high side as it means it would take SIRI, 7.80 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 7.80, SIRI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.53% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75 indicates that SIRI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.75, SIRI is in line with its industry, outperforming 51.65% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.33 |
ROIC/WACC0.93
WACC6.6%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.30 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.30, SIRI is doing worse than 85.71% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.30 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- SIRI's Quick ratio of 0.30 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SIRI is outperformed by 85.71% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.3 |
3. SIRI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- SIRI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -36.36%.
- Measured over the past years, SIRI shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.94% on average per year.
- SIRI shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -1.62%.
- The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.26% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%
3.2 Future
- SIRI is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.05% yearly.
- SIRI is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.31% yearly.
EPS Next Y39.12%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.25%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. SIRI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- SIRI is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.62.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SIRI is valued cheaper than 82.42% of the companies in the same industry.
- SIRI's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 25.60.
- SIRI is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.63.
- SIRI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SIRI is cheaper than 80.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.84. SIRI is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.62 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.63 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SIRI is valued cheaper than 81.32% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SIRI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 85.71% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.4 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.16 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- SIRI has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- SIRI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.97% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
5. SIRI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.64%, SIRI is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- SIRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.19. SIRI pays more dividend than 91.21% of the companies in the same industry.
- SIRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.88.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.64% |
5.2 History
- On average, the dividend of SIRI grows each year by 82.80%, which is quite nice.
- SIRI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- SIRI has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- SIRI pays out 45.34% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of SIRI is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP45.34%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
SIRI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
23.79
+0.38 (+1.62%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-29 2026-04-29
Inst Owners39.13%
Inst Owner Change1.74%
Ins Owners2.02%
Ins Owner Change0.48%
Market Cap7.96B
Revenue(TTM)8.56B
Net Income(TTM)805.00M
Analysts54.29
Price Target24.35 (2.35%)
Short Float %16.49%
Short Ratio6.03
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.64% |
Yearly Dividend1.13
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
DP45.34%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-11 2026-02-11 (0.27)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-32.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(2)5.65%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(4)5.65%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.12%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.28%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.99%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.62%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.87%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.83%
PT rev (1m)1.29%
PT rev (3m)0.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.06%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.19%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.15%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.15%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.62 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.63 | ||
| P/S | 0.93 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.4 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.2 | ||
| P/B | 0.69 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.16 |
EPS(TTM)2.24
EY9.42%
EPS(NY)3.12
Fwd EY13.1%
FCF(TTM)3.72
FCFY15.63%
OCF(TTM)5.67
OCFY23.83%
SpS25.56
BVpS34.54
TBVpS-32.54
PEG (NY)0.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number41.72
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.96% | ||
| ROE | 6.96% | ||
| ROCE | 8.09% | ||
| ROIC | 6.16% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 140.46% | ||
| OM | 22.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.41% | ||
| GM | 51.88% | ||
| FCFM | 14.55% |
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
ROICexc(3y)6.05%
ROICexc(5y)12.58%
ROICexgc(3y)210.1%
ROICexgc(5y)213.31%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)16.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-8.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y-20.92%
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.8 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.52 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 119.38% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.63% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.34 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.34% | ||
| Profit Quality | 154.66% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.33 |
F-Score6
WACC6.6%
ROIC/WACC0.93
Cap/Depr(3y)116.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.49%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
EPS Next Y39.12%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.25%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.5%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.16%
EBIT growth 5Y0.48%
EBIT Next Year44.95%
EBIT Next 3Y12.4%
EBIT Next 5Y8.25%
FCF growth 1Y22.9%
FCF growth 3Y-7.04%
FCF growth 5Y-5.68%
OCF growth 1Y9.02%
OCF growth 3Y-1.33%
OCF growth 5Y-1.22%
SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC / SIRI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SIRI.
Can you provide the valuation status for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?
SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.
What is the financial health of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?
The financial health rating of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is 3 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is expected to grow by 39.12% in the next year.