SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:SIRI - US8299331004 - Common Stock
23.19 USD
+2.13 (+10.11%)
22.99 USD
-0.2 (-0.86%)
Overall SIRI gets a fundamental rating of 4 out of 10. We evaluated SIRI against 94 industry peers in the Media industry. While SIRI is still in line with the averages on profitability rating, there are concerns on its financial health. SIRI has a valuation in line with the averages, but it does not seem to be growing.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year SIRI was profitable.
In the past year SIRI had a positive cash flow from operations.
SIRI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
In the past 5 years SIRI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
The Return On Assets of SIRI (-8.28%) is worse than 65.96% of its industry peers.
SIRI has a Return On Equity (-19.97%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 6.40%, SIRI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 70.21% of the companies in the same industry.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SIRI is above the industry average of 8.50%.
The 3 year average ROIC (12.54%) for SIRI is well above the current ROIC(6.40%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.28% | ||
| ROE | -19.97% | ||
| ROIC | 6.4% |
ROA(3y)2.92%
ROA(5y)4.56%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.54%
ROIC(5y)16.46%
1.3 Margins
SIRI's Operating Margin of 22.31% is amongst the best of the industry. SIRI outperforms 95.74% of its industry peers.
SIRI's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
SIRI's Gross Margin of 52.11% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. SIRI outperforms 59.57% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SIRI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 52.11% |
OM growth 3Y-1.66%
OM growth 5Y0.04%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.14%
GM growth 5Y-1.28%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SIRI is creating value.
SIRI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for SIRI has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
SIRI has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.33, we must say that SIRI is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
SIRI has a Altman-Z score (1.33) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
SIRI has a debt to FCF ratio of 10.28. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as SIRI would need 10.28 years to pay back of all of its debts.
SIRI has a Debt to FCF ratio (10.28) which is in line with its industry peers.
SIRI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.89. This is a neutral value indicating SIRI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
SIRI has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.89. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SIRI outperforms 47.87% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.89 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.28 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.33 |
ROIC/WACC1.02
WACC6.3%
2.3 Liquidity
SIRI has a Current Ratio of 0.41. This is a bad value and indicates that SIRI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
SIRI has a Current ratio of 0.41. This is amonst the worse of the industry: SIRI underperforms 86.17% of its industry peers.
SIRI has a Quick Ratio of 0.41. This is a bad value and indicates that SIRI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of SIRI (0.41) is worse than 86.17% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.41 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
SIRI shows a slight negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has decreased by -3.64%.
SIRI shows quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 10.88% yearly.
Looking at the last year, SIRI shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -3.75% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, SIRI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.22% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.64%
EPS 3Y3.23%
EPS 5Y10.88%
EPS Q2Q%-28.75%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y0.01%
Revenue growth 5Y2.22%
Sales Q2Q%-1.84%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to decrease by -42.02% on average over the next years. This is quite bad
Based on estimates for the next years, SIRI will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.21% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-20.11%
EPS Next 2Y-5.81%
EPS Next 3Y-2.68%
EPS Next 5Y-42.02%
Revenue Next Year-1.93%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.98%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.56%
Revenue Next 5Y1.21%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 7.29 indicates a rather cheap valuation of SIRI.
SIRI's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SIRI is cheaper than 86.17% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.19. SIRI is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.43, the valuation of SIRI can be described as very cheap.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SIRI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.79% of the companies are valued more expensively.
SIRI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.50.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.43 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SIRI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.28% of the companies are valued more expensively.
77.66% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SIRI, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.87 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.93 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
SIRI's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.68% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.67
EPS Next 2Y-5.81%
EPS Next 3Y-2.68%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
SIRI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.97%, which is a nice return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 4.40, SIRI pays a better dividend. On top of this SIRI pays more dividend than 91.49% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.33, SIRI pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.97% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of SIRI grows each year by 77.68%, which is quite nice.
SIRI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
SIRI has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)77.68%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
SIRI has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-5.35%
EPS Next 2Y-5.81%
EPS Next 3Y-2.68%
23.19
+2.13 (+10.11%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners39.01%
Inst Owner Change-0.08%
Ins Owners1.86%
Ins Owner Change0.04%
Market Cap7.81B
Revenue(TTM)8.56B
Net Income(TTM)-2262000000
Analysts54
Price Target24.27 (4.66%)
Short Float %13.6%
Short Ratio7.92
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.97% |
Yearly Dividend0.91
Dividend Growth(5Y)77.68%
DP-5.35%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-18.86%
Min EPS beat(2)-24.99%
Max EPS beat(2)-12.73%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)9.59%
Min EPS beat(4)-24.99%
Max EPS beat(4)50.81%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)8.45%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)3.79%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)4.55%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.96%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.45%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.47%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.97%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.78%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.17%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.96%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.11%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.76%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)0.54%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.12%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.01%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.6%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.09%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.01%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.15%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.29 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.43 | ||
| P/S | 0.91 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.87 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.57 | ||
| P/B | 0.69 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.93 |
EPS(TTM)3.18
EY13.71%
EPS(NY)3.12
Fwd EY13.47%
FCF(TTM)2.95
FCFY12.7%
OCF(TTM)5.07
OCFY21.86%
SpS25.44
BVpS33.64
TBVpS-33.22
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.67
Graham Number49.06
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -8.28% | ||
| ROE | -19.97% | ||
| ROCE | 7.72% | ||
| ROIC | 6.4% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.42% | ||
| ROICexgc | 73.76% | ||
| OM | 22.31% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 52.11% | ||
| FCFM | 11.58% |
ROA(3y)2.92%
ROA(5y)4.56%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.54%
ROIC(5y)16.46%
ROICexc(3y)12.64%
ROICexc(5y)16.68%
ROICexgc(3y)262.2%
ROICexgc(5y)250.11%
ROCE(3y)15.13%
ROCE(5y)19.86%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-29.15%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-24.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.85%
OM growth 3Y-1.66%
OM growth 5Y0.04%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.14%
GM growth 5Y-1.28%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.89 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 10.28 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 4.09 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 125.44% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 8.35% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.8 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 68.8% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.41 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.33 |
F-Score4
WACC6.3%
ROIC/WACC1.02
Cap/Depr(3y)103.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.84%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-3.64%
EPS 3Y3.23%
EPS 5Y10.88%
EPS Q2Q%-28.75%
EPS Next Y-20.11%
EPS Next 2Y-5.81%
EPS Next 3Y-2.68%
EPS Next 5Y-42.02%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-3.75%
Revenue growth 3Y0.01%
Revenue growth 5Y2.22%
Sales Q2Q%-1.84%
Revenue Next Year-1.93%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.98%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.56%
Revenue Next 5Y1.21%
EBIT growth 1Y-3.63%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.65%
EBIT growth 5Y2.26%
EBIT Next Year558.84%
EBIT Next 3Y88.69%
EBIT Next 5Y51.2%
FCF growth 1Y-25.19%
FCF growth 3Y-14.31%
FCF growth 5Y-9.34%
OCF growth 1Y-9.63%
OCF growth 3Y-4.49%
OCF growth 5Y-2.9%
SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC / SIRI FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 4 / 10 to SIRI.
What is the valuation status of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of SIRI stock?
SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) has a profitability rating of 5 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for SIRI stock?
The financial health rating of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is 2 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is expected to decline by -20.11% in the next year.