SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SIRI • US8299331004

Current stock price

22.95 USD
-0.04 (-0.17%)
At close:
22.8988 USD
-0.05 (-0.22%)
After Hours:

This SIRI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. SIRI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SIRI was profitable.
  • SIRI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years SIRI 4 years were profitable.
  • In the past 5 years SIRI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
SIRI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSIRI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • The Return On Assets of SIRI (2.96%) is better than 80.43% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI has a better Return On Equity (6.96%) than 81.52% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.16%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SIRI outperforms 80.43% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SIRI is in line with the industry average of 6.70%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (6.01%) for SIRI is below the current ROIC(6.16%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE 6.96%
ROIC 6.16%
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
SIRI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSIRI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

  • SIRI's Profit Margin of 9.41% is amongst the best of the industry. SIRI outperforms 89.13% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SIRI has grown nicely.
  • SIRI has a Operating Margin of 22.28%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SIRI outperforms 96.74% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SIRI has remained more or less at the same level.
  • SIRI has a Gross Margin of 51.88%. This is in the better half of the industry: SIRI outperforms 63.04% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.28%
PM (TTM) 9.41%
GM 51.88%
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
SIRI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSIRI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 60

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3

2. SIRI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SIRI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • SIRI has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • SIRI has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
  • SIRI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SIRI Yearly Shares OutstandingSIRI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B
SIRI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSIRI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.32, we must say that SIRI is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.32, SIRI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 64.13% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIRI has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.80. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as SIRI would need 7.80 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 7.80, SIRI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 72.83% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75 indicates that SIRI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.75, SIRI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.17% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 7.8
Altman-Z 1.32
ROIC/WACC0.91
WACC6.75%
SIRI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSIRI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.30 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SIRI has a Current ratio of 0.30. This is amonst the worse of the industry: SIRI underperforms 85.87% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.30 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Quick ratio of SIRI (0.30) is worse than 85.87% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.3
Quick Ratio 0.3
SIRI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSIRI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. SIRI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • SIRI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -36.36%.
  • Measured over the past years, SIRI shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.94% on average per year.
  • Looking at the last year, SIRI shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -1.62% in the last year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.26% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SIRI will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.05% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SIRI will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.31% on average per year.
EPS Next Y39.12%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.25%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
SIRI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSIRI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B 8B
SIRI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSIRI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 -2 -4

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9

4. SIRI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • SIRI is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.25.
  • 83.70% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SIRI, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.23. SIRI is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.36, the valuation of SIRI can be described as very cheap.
  • 79.35% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SIRI, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
  • SIRI is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.51, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.25
Fwd PE 7.36
SIRI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSIRI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • SIRI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SIRI is cheaper than 82.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIRI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SIRI is cheaper than 85.87% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 6.17
EV/EBITDA 7.05
SIRI Per share dataSIRI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SIRI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The excellent profitability rating of SIRI may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • SIRI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.97% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%

More info and screens

Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. SIRI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SIRI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.75%, which is a nice return.
  • SIRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.21. SIRI pays more dividend than 91.30% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.90, SIRI pays a better dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.75%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SIRI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 82.80%!
  • SIRI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of SIRI decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
SIRI Yearly Dividends per shareSIRI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • 45.34% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SIRI. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of SIRI is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP45.34%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
SIRI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSIRI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B
SIRI Dividend Payout.SIRI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SIRI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

More info and screens

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SIRI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:SIRI (3/26/2026, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 22.8988 -0.05 (-0.22%)

22.95

-0.04 (-0.17%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners39.13%
Inst Owner Change1.74%
Ins Owners2.02%
Ins Owner Change0.48%
Market Cap7.68B
Revenue(TTM)8.56B
Net Income(TTM)805.00M
Analysts54.29
Price Target24.04 (4.75%)
Short Float %16.05%
Short Ratio5.61
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.75%
Yearly Dividend1.13
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
DP45.34%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-11
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-32.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(2)5.65%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(4)5.65%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.12%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.28%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.99%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.62%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.87%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.83%
PT rev (1m)3.45%
PT rev (3m)-1.03%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.06%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.19%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.15%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.25
Fwd PE 7.36
P/S 0.9
P/FCF 6.17
P/OCF 4.05
P/B 0.66
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.05
EPS(TTM)2.24
EY9.76%
EPS(NY)3.12
Fwd EY13.58%
FCF(TTM)3.72
FCFY16.2%
OCF(TTM)5.67
OCFY24.7%
SpS25.56
BVpS34.54
TBVpS-32.54
PEG (NY)0.26
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number41.72
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE 6.96%
ROCE 8.09%
ROIC 6.16%
ROICexc 6.19%
ROICexgc 140.46%
OM 22.28%
PM (TTM) 9.41%
GM 51.88%
FCFM 14.55%
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
ROICexc(3y)6.05%
ROICexc(5y)12.58%
ROICexgc(3y)210.1%
ROICexgc(5y)213.31%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)16.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-8.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y-20.92%
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 7.8
Debt/EBITDA 3.52
Cap/Depr 119.38%
Cap/Sales 7.63%
Interest Coverage 4.34
Cash Conversion 77.34%
Profit Quality 154.66%
Current Ratio 0.3
Quick Ratio 0.3
Altman-Z 1.32
F-Score6
WACC6.75%
ROIC/WACC0.91
Cap/Depr(3y)116.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.49%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
EPS Next Y39.12%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.25%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.5%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.16%
EBIT growth 5Y0.48%
EBIT Next Year44.95%
EBIT Next 3Y12.4%
EBIT Next 5Y8.25%
FCF growth 1Y22.9%
FCF growth 3Y-7.04%
FCF growth 5Y-5.68%
OCF growth 1Y9.02%
OCF growth 3Y-1.33%
OCF growth 5Y-1.22%

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC / SIRI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SIRI.


What is the valuation status for SIRI stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of SIRI stock?

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


How financially healthy is SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?

The financial health rating of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is 3 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?

The dividend rating of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 45.34%.