SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:SIRI - US8299331004 - Common Stock
21.6 USD
-0.08 (-0.37%)
21.56 USD
-0.04 (-0.19%)
SIRI gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 95 industry peers in the Media industry. SIRI scores excellent on profitability, but there are concerns on its financial health. SIRI has a bad growth rate and is valued cheaply. Finally SIRI also has an excellent dividend rating.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
SIRI had positive earnings in the past year.
SIRI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Of the past 5 years SIRI 4 years were profitable.
SIRI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
SIRI has a Return On Assets of 3.62%. This is in the better half of the industry: SIRI outperforms 71.58% of its industry peers.
SIRI has a Return On Equity of 8.59%. This is in the better half of the industry: SIRI outperforms 70.53% of its industry peers.
With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 6.67%, SIRI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.58% of the companies in the same industry.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SIRI is above the industry average of 8.51%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (6.67%) for SIRI is well below the 3 year average (12.54%), which needs to be investigated, but indicates that SIRI had better years and this may not be a problem.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.62% | ||
| ROE | 8.59% | ||
| ROIC | 6.67% |
ROA(3y)2.92%
ROA(5y)4.56%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.54%
ROIC(5y)16.46%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of SIRI (11.61%) is better than 82.11% of its industry peers.
SIRI has a better Operating Margin (22.52%) than 96.84% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SIRI has remained more or less at the same level.
With a Gross Margin value of 51.85%, SIRI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 60.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SIRI has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.52% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.61% | ||
| GM | 51.85% |
OM growth 3Y-1.66%
OM growth 5Y0.04%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.14%
GM growth 5Y-1.28%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SIRI is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, SIRI has more shares outstanding
SIRI has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
Compared to 1 year ago, SIRI has a worse debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.31, we must say that SIRI is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.31, SIRI is in line with its industry, outperforming 56.84% of the companies in the same industry.
SIRI has a debt to FCF ratio of 8.24. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as SIRI would need 8.24 years to pay back of all of its debts.
SIRI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 8.24. This is in the better half of the industry: SIRI outperforms 62.11% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.78 indicates that SIRI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.78, SIRI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.63% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.78 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.31 |
ROIC/WACC1
WACC6.66%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 0.31 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of SIRI (0.31) is worse than 88.42% of its industry peers.
SIRI has a Quick Ratio of 0.31. This is a bad value and indicates that SIRI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of SIRI (0.31) is worse than 88.42% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.31 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.31 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for SIRI have decreased strongly by -21.17% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 10.88% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
SIRI shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -2.80%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.22% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.17%
EPS 3Y3.23%
EPS 5Y10.88%
EPS Q2Q%-29.41%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.8%
Revenue growth 3Y0.01%
Revenue growth 5Y2.22%
Sales Q2Q%-0.55%
3.2 Future
SIRI is expected to show a decrease in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will decrease by -2.10% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -0.28% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-19.57%
EPS Next 2Y-5.3%
EPS Next 3Y-2.49%
EPS Next 5Y-2.1%
Revenue Next Year-1.81%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.92%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.54%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.28%
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 7.63 indicates a rather cheap valuation of SIRI.
SIRI's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SIRI is cheaper than 82.11% of the companies in the same industry.
SIRI is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 25.91, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.84, the valuation of SIRI can be described as very cheap.
80.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SIRI, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SIRI to the average of the S&P500 Index (34.57), we can say SIRI is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.63 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.84 |
4.2 Price Multiples
71.58% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SIRI, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
SIRI's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SIRI is cheaper than 76.84% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.95 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.05 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
SIRI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
SIRI's earnings are expected to decrease with -2.49% in the coming years. This may justify a cheaper valuation.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.7
EPS Next 2Y-5.3%
EPS Next 3Y-2.49%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.92%, SIRI is a good candidate for dividend investing.
SIRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 4.44. SIRI pays more dividend than 89.47% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.36, SIRI pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.92% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of SIRI grows each year by 77.68%, which is quite nice.
SIRI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
The dividend of SIRI decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)77.68%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
41.99% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SIRI. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
DP41.99%
EPS Next 2Y-5.3%
EPS Next 3Y-2.49%
21.6
-0.08 (-0.37%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners39.01%
Inst Owner Change0.06%
Ins Owners1.86%
Ins Owner Change0.04%
Market Cap7.27B
Revenue(TTM)8.55B
Net Income(TTM)993.00M
Analysts54
Price Target24.27 (12.36%)
Short Float %13.6%
Short Ratio7.92
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.92% |
Yearly Dividend0.91
Dividend Growth(5Y)77.68%
DP41.99%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.67%
Min EPS beat(2)-24.99%
Max EPS beat(2)5.65%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)-1.7%
Min EPS beat(4)-24.99%
Max EPS beat(4)25.26%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)8.16%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)6.77%
EPS beat(16)10
Avg EPS beat(16)2.79%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.29%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.47%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.55%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.1%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.75%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.06%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.79%
PT rev (1m)0.07%
PT rev (3m)0.07%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.28%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.99%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.68%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.95%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.18%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.13%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.28%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 7.63 | ||
| Fwd PE | 6.84 | ||
| P/S | 0.85 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.95 | ||
| P/OCF | 3.83 | ||
| P/B | 0.63 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.05 |
EPS(TTM)2.83
EY13.1%
EPS(NY)3.16
Fwd EY14.61%
FCF(TTM)3.63
FCFY16.81%
OCF(TTM)5.63
OCFY26.08%
SpS25.4
BVpS34.32
TBVpS-32.46
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.7
Graham Number46.75
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.62% | ||
| ROE | 8.59% | ||
| ROCE | 8.05% | ||
| ROIC | 6.67% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.69% | ||
| ROICexgc | 116.08% | ||
| OM | 22.52% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.61% | ||
| GM | 51.85% | ||
| FCFM | 14.3% |
ROA(3y)2.92%
ROA(5y)4.56%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)12.54%
ROIC(5y)16.46%
ROICexc(3y)12.64%
ROICexc(5y)16.68%
ROICexgc(3y)262.2%
ROICexgc(5y)250.11%
ROCE(3y)15.13%
ROCE(5y)19.86%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-29.15%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-24.82%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.02%
ROICexc growth 5Y-18.85%
OM growth 3Y-1.66%
OM growth 5Y0.04%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.14%
GM growth 5Y-1.28%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.78 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 8.24 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.67 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 127.41% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.88% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 3.95 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.27% | ||
| Profit Quality | 123.16% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.31 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.31 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.31 |
F-Score6
WACC6.66%
ROIC/WACC1
Cap/Depr(3y)103.2%
Cap/Depr(5y)90.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)6.79%
Cap/Sales(5y)5.84%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-21.17%
EPS 3Y3.23%
EPS 5Y10.88%
EPS Q2Q%-29.41%
EPS Next Y-19.57%
EPS Next 2Y-5.3%
EPS Next 3Y-2.49%
EPS Next 5Y-2.1%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-2.8%
Revenue growth 3Y0.01%
Revenue growth 5Y2.22%
Sales Q2Q%-0.55%
Revenue Next Year-1.81%
Revenue Next 2Y-0.92%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.54%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.28%
EBIT growth 1Y-0.52%
EBIT growth 3Y-1.65%
EBIT growth 5Y2.26%
EBIT Next Year558.84%
EBIT Next 3Y88.69%
EBIT Next 5Y47.08%
FCF growth 1Y-5.05%
FCF growth 3Y-14.31%
FCF growth 5Y-9.34%
OCF growth 1Y-2.97%
OCF growth 3Y-4.49%
OCF growth 5Y-2.9%
SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC / SIRI FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SIRI.
What is the valuation status of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 7 / 10 to SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI). This can be considered as Undervalued.
What is the profitability of SIRI stock?
SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the financial health for SIRI stock?
The financial health rating of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is 3 / 10.
What is the expected EPS growth for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is expected to decline by -19.57% in the next year.