SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SIRI • US8299331004

Current stock price

22.01 USD
+0.02 (+0.09%)
Last:

This SIRI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. SIRI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SIRI had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year SIRI had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years SIRI 4 years were profitable.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SIRI had a positive operating cash flow.
SIRI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSIRI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 2.96%, SIRI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 79.35% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.96%, SIRI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 79.35% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIRI's Return On Invested Capital of 6.16% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SIRI outperforms 79.35% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SIRI is in line with the industry average of 6.70%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (6.01%) for SIRI is below the current ROIC(6.16%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE 6.96%
ROIC 6.16%
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
SIRI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSIRI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of SIRI (9.41%) is better than 88.04% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • The Operating Margin of SIRI (22.28%) is better than 96.74% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • With a decent Gross Margin value of 51.88%, SIRI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.96% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SIRI has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.28%
PM (TTM) 9.41%
GM 51.88%
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
SIRI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSIRI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 60

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3

2. SIRI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SIRI is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SIRI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, SIRI has less shares outstanding
  • The debt/assets ratio for SIRI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
SIRI Yearly Shares OutstandingSIRI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B
SIRI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSIRI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • SIRI has an Altman-Z score of 1.31. This is a bad value and indicates that SIRI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • SIRI has a Altman-Z score of 1.31. This is in the better half of the industry: SIRI outperforms 61.96% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.80. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as SIRI would need 7.80 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • SIRI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 7.80. This is in the better half of the industry: SIRI outperforms 70.65% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75. This is a neutral value indicating SIRI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.75, SIRI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 52.17% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 7.8
Altman-Z 1.31
ROIC/WACC0.95
WACC6.49%
SIRI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSIRI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.30 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • The Current ratio of SIRI (0.30) is worse than 85.87% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI has a Quick Ratio of 0.30. This is a bad value and indicates that SIRI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.30, SIRI is doing worse than 85.87% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.3
Quick Ratio 0.3
SIRI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSIRI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. SIRI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SIRI have decreased strongly by -36.36% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, SIRI shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.94% on average per year.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -1.62% in the past year.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.26% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%

3.2 Future

  • SIRI is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.05% yearly.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SIRI will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.31% on average per year.
EPS Next Y39.12%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.25%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
SIRI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSIRI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B 8B
SIRI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSIRI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 -2 -4

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9

4. SIRI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • A Price/Earnings ratio of 9.83 indicates a reasonable valuation of SIRI.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of SIRI indicates a rather cheap valuation: SIRI is cheaper than 82.61% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.71, SIRI is valued rather cheaply.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.06, the valuation of SIRI can be described as very cheap.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SIRI indicates a rather cheap valuation: SIRI is cheaper than 80.43% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • SIRI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.83.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.83
Fwd PE 7.06
SIRI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSIRI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SIRI indicates a rather cheap valuation: SIRI is cheaper than 82.61% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • 84.78% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SIRI, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.92
EV/EBITDA 6.92
SIRI Per share dataSIRI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SIRI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • SIRI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as SIRI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.97% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. SIRI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.79%, SIRI is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.15, SIRI pays a better dividend. On top of this SIRI pays more dividend than 91.30% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • SIRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.91.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.79%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of SIRI grows each year by 82.80%, which is quite nice.
  • SIRI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • SIRI has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
SIRI Yearly Dividends per shareSIRI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • 45.34% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SIRI. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • SIRI's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP45.34%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
SIRI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSIRI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B
SIRI Dividend Payout.SIRI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SIRI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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SIRI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:SIRI (3/16/2026, 12:20:56 PM)

22.01

+0.02 (+0.09%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners39.13%
Inst Owner Change1.74%
Ins Owners2.02%
Ins Owner Change0.48%
Market Cap7.37B
Revenue(TTM)8.56B
Net Income(TTM)805.00M
Analysts54.29
Price Target24.04 (9.22%)
Short Float %16.05%
Short Ratio5.61
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.79%
Yearly Dividend1.13
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
DP45.34%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-11
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-32.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(2)5.65%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(4)5.65%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.12%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.28%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.99%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.62%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.87%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.83%
PT rev (1m)3.45%
PT rev (3m)-1.03%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.5%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.15%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.09%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.07%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.83
Fwd PE 7.06
P/S 0.86
P/FCF 5.92
P/OCF 3.88
P/B 0.64
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.92
EPS(TTM)2.24
EY10.18%
EPS(NY)3.12
Fwd EY14.16%
FCF(TTM)3.72
FCFY16.9%
OCF(TTM)5.67
OCFY25.76%
SpS25.56
BVpS34.54
TBVpS-32.54
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number41.72
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE 6.96%
ROCE 8.09%
ROIC 6.16%
ROICexc 6.19%
ROICexgc 140.46%
OM 22.28%
PM (TTM) 9.41%
GM 51.88%
FCFM 14.55%
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
ROICexc(3y)6.05%
ROICexc(5y)12.58%
ROICexgc(3y)210.1%
ROICexgc(5y)213.31%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)16.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-8.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y-20.92%
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 7.8
Debt/EBITDA 3.52
Cap/Depr 119.38%
Cap/Sales 7.63%
Interest Coverage 4.34
Cash Conversion 77.34%
Profit Quality 154.66%
Current Ratio 0.3
Quick Ratio 0.3
Altman-Z 1.31
F-Score6
WACC6.49%
ROIC/WACC0.95
Cap/Depr(3y)116.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.49%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
EPS Next Y39.12%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.25%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.5%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.16%
EBIT growth 5Y0.48%
EBIT Next Year44.95%
EBIT Next 3Y12.4%
EBIT Next 5Y8.25%
FCF growth 1Y22.9%
FCF growth 3Y-7.04%
FCF growth 5Y-5.68%
OCF growth 1Y9.02%
OCF growth 3Y-1.33%
OCF growth 5Y-1.22%

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC / SIRI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SIRI.


What is the valuation status for SIRI stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of SIRI stock?

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


How financially healthy is SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?

The financial health rating of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is 3 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?

The dividend rating of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 45.34%.