SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SIRI • US8299331004

Current stock price

23.71 USD
+0.32 (+1.37%)
At close:
23.75 USD
+0.04 (+0.17%)
After Hours:

This SIRI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. SIRI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SIRI was profitable.
  • In the past year SIRI had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • SIRI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
  • Each year in the past 5 years SIRI had a positive operating cash flow.
SIRI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSIRI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • SIRI has a better Return On Assets (2.96%) than 79.12% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI has a better Return On Equity (6.96%) than 79.12% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI's Return On Invested Capital of 6.16% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SIRI outperforms 79.12% of its industry peers.
  • Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SIRI is in line with the industry average of 7.73%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (6.01%) for SIRI is below the current ROIC(6.16%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE 6.96%
ROIC 6.16%
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
SIRI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSIRI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

  • SIRI has a better Profit Margin (9.41%) than 86.81% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SIRI has grown nicely.
  • The Operating Margin of SIRI (22.28%) is better than 95.60% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SIRI has remained more or less at the same level.
  • The Gross Margin of SIRI (51.88%) is better than 62.64% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SIRI has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.28%
PM (TTM) 9.41%
GM 51.88%
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
SIRI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSIRI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 60

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3

2. SIRI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SIRI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SIRI has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for SIRI has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • SIRI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SIRI Yearly Shares OutstandingSIRI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B
SIRI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSIRI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • SIRI has an Altman-Z score of 1.33. This is a bad value and indicates that SIRI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.33, SIRI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 61.54% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIRI has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.80. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as SIRI would need 7.80 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 7.80, SIRI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 72.53% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIRI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75. This is a neutral value indicating SIRI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.75, SIRI is in line with its industry, outperforming 50.55% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 7.8
Altman-Z 1.33
ROIC/WACC0.82
WACC7.56%
SIRI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSIRI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SIRI has a Current Ratio of 0.30. This is a bad value and indicates that SIRI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SIRI has a worse Current ratio (0.30) than 86.81% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.30 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SIRI has a worse Quick ratio (0.30) than 86.81% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.3
Quick Ratio 0.3
SIRI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSIRI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. SIRI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • SIRI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -36.36%.
  • The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -2.94% on average over the past years.
  • Looking at the last year, SIRI shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -1.62% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, SIRI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.26% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SIRI will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.05% on average per year.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SIRI will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.31% on average per year.
EPS Next Y39.12%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%

3.3 Evolution

  • The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
SIRI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSIRI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B 8B
SIRI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSIRI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 -2 -4

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9

4. SIRI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.58, the valuation of SIRI can be described as reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SIRI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 82.42% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 26.21, SIRI is valued rather cheaply.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 7.61, which indicates a rather cheap valuation of SIRI.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SIRI indicates a rather cheap valuation: SIRI is cheaper than 81.32% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • SIRI is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.10, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.58
Fwd PE 7.61
SIRI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSIRI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SIRI is valued cheaper than 81.32% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SIRI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.81% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 6.38
EV/EBITDA 7.11
SIRI Per share dataSIRI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of SIRI may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • SIRI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.97% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. SIRI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.66%, SIRI is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • SIRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.22. SIRI pays more dividend than 91.21% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.66%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of SIRI grows each year by 82.80%, which is quite nice.
  • SIRI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • The dividend of SIRI decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
SIRI Yearly Dividends per shareSIRI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • SIRI pays out 45.34% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • SIRI's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP45.34%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
SIRI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSIRI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B
SIRI Dividend Payout.SIRI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SIRI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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SIRI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:SIRI (4/7/2026, 9:05:07 PM)

After market: 23.75 +0.04 (+0.17%)

23.71

+0.32 (+1.37%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners39.13%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners2.02%
Ins Owner Change0.48%
Market Cap7.94B
Revenue(TTM)8.56B
Net Income(TTM)805.00M
Analysts56.19
Price Target24.35 (2.7%)
Short Float %16.49%
Short Ratio6.03
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.66%
Yearly Dividend1.13
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
DP45.34%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date02-11
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-32.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(2)5.65%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(4)5.65%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.12%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.28%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.99%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.62%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.87%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.83%
PT rev (1m)1.29%
PT rev (3m)0.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.89%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.15%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.98%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.07%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.58
Fwd PE 7.61
P/S 0.93
P/FCF 6.38
P/OCF 4.18
P/B 0.69
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.11
EPS(TTM)2.24
EY9.45%
EPS(NY)3.12
Fwd EY13.14%
FCF(TTM)3.72
FCFY15.69%
OCF(TTM)5.67
OCFY23.91%
SpS25.56
BVpS34.54
TBVpS-32.54
PEG (NY)0.27
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number41.72
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE 6.96%
ROCE 8.09%
ROIC 6.16%
ROICexc 6.19%
ROICexgc 140.46%
OM 22.28%
PM (TTM) 9.41%
GM 51.88%
FCFM 14.55%
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
ROICexc(3y)6.05%
ROICexc(5y)12.58%
ROICexgc(3y)210.1%
ROICexgc(5y)213.31%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)16.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-8.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y-20.92%
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 7.8
Debt/EBITDA 3.52
Cap/Depr 119.38%
Cap/Sales 7.63%
Interest Coverage 4.34
Cash Conversion 77.34%
Profit Quality 154.66%
Current Ratio 0.3
Quick Ratio 0.3
Altman-Z 1.33
F-Score6
WACC7.56%
ROIC/WACC0.82
Cap/Depr(3y)116.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.49%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
EPS Next Y39.12%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.5%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.16%
EBIT growth 5Y0.48%
EBIT Next Year44.95%
EBIT Next 3Y12.4%
EBIT Next 5Y8.25%
FCF growth 1Y22.9%
FCF growth 3Y-7.04%
FCF growth 5Y-5.68%
OCF growth 1Y9.02%
OCF growth 3Y-1.33%
OCF growth 5Y-1.22%

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC / SIRI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SIRI.


Can you provide the valuation status for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the financial health of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?

The financial health rating of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is expected to grow by 39.12% in the next year.