SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SIRI • US8299331004

Current stock price

26.61 USD
-1.39 (-4.96%)
At close:
26.65 USD
+0.04 (+0.15%)
After Hours:

This SIRI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. SIRI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year SIRI was profitable.
  • In the past year SIRI had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years SIRI 4 years were profitable.
  • SIRI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
SIRI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSIRI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • With a decent Return On Assets value of 2.96%, SIRI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.89% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIRI has a better Return On Equity (6.96%) than 78.89% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.16%. This is in the better half of the industry: SIRI outperforms 78.89% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SIRI is in line with the industry average of 7.63%.
  • The last Return On Invested Capital (6.16%) for SIRI is above the 3 year average (6.01%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE 6.96%
ROIC 6.16%
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
SIRI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSIRI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

  • The Profit Margin of SIRI (9.41%) is better than 86.67% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SIRI has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 22.28%, SIRI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.67% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIRI's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
  • Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 51.88%, SIRI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SIRI has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.28%
PM (TTM) 9.41%
GM 51.88%
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
SIRI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSIRI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 60

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3

2. SIRI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SIRI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SIRI has more shares outstanding
  • Compared to 5 years ago, SIRI has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SIRI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
SIRI Yearly Shares OutstandingSIRI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B
SIRI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSIRI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • SIRI has an Altman-Z score of 1.39. This is a bad value and indicates that SIRI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • With a decent Altman-Z score value of 1.39, SIRI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 62.22% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIRI has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.80. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as SIRI would need 7.80 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • SIRI has a Debt to FCF ratio of 7.80. This is in the better half of the industry: SIRI outperforms 71.11% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75. This is a neutral value indicating SIRI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • The Debt to Equity ratio of SIRI (0.75) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 7.8
Altman-Z 1.39
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC7.82%
SIRI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSIRI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.30 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.30, SIRI is doing worse than 87.78% of the companies in the same industry.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.30 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.30, SIRI is not doing good in the industry: 87.78% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.3
Quick Ratio 0.3
SIRI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSIRI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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2

3. SIRI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SIRI have decreased strongly by -36.36% in the last year.
  • SIRI shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.94% yearly.
  • The Revenue has decreased by -1.62% in the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, SIRI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.26% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%

3.2 Future

  • Based on estimates for the next years, SIRI will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.05% on average per year.
  • The Revenue is expected to decrease by -0.31% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y39.84%
EPS Next 2Y20.96%
EPS Next 3Y14.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
SIRI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSIRI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B 8B
SIRI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSIRI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 -2 -4

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8

4. SIRI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 11.88, the valuation of SIRI can be described as reasonable.
  • 81.11% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SIRI, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.47, SIRI is valued rather cheaply.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.50, the valuation of SIRI can be described as very reasonable.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SIRI indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SIRI is cheaper than 78.89% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • SIRI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 22.62.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.88
Fwd PE 8.5
SIRI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSIRI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 80.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SIRI, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SIRI is valued cheaper than 85.56% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.19
EV/EBITDA 7.76
SIRI Per share dataSIRI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • The decent profitability rating of SIRI may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • SIRI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.93% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.96%
EPS Next 3Y14.93%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. SIRI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.30%, SIRI is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • SIRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.05. SIRI pays more dividend than 91.11% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.3%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SIRI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 82.80%!
  • SIRI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • SIRI has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
SIRI Yearly Dividends per shareSIRI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • SIRI pays out 45.34% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • The dividend of SIRI is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP45.34%
EPS Next 2Y20.96%
EPS Next 3Y14.93%
SIRI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSIRI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B
SIRI Dividend Payout.SIRI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SIRI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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SIRI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:SIRI (4/24/2026, 4:19:43 PM)

After market: 26.65 +0.04 (+0.15%)

26.61

-1.39 (-4.96%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-30
Inst Owners39.81%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners2.05%
Ins Owner Change0.48%
Market Cap8.96B
Revenue(TTM)8.56B
Net Income(TTM)805.00M
Analysts56.19
Price Target24.08 (-9.51%)
Short Float %17.53%
Short Ratio6.59
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.3%
Yearly Dividend1.13
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
DP45.34%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date02-11
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-32.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(2)5.65%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(4)5.65%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.12%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.29%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.99%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.62%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.87%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.83%
PT rev (1m)0.19%
PT rev (3m)-0.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.18%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.63%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.98%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.88
Fwd PE 8.5
P/S 1.05
P/FCF 7.19
P/OCF 4.72
P/B 0.77
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.76
EPS(TTM)2.24
EY8.42%
EPS(NY)3.13
Fwd EY11.77%
FCF(TTM)3.7
FCFY13.9%
OCF(TTM)5.64
OCFY21.19%
SpS25.43
BVpS34.36
TBVpS-32.36
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number41.6127 (56.38%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE 6.96%
ROCE 8.09%
ROIC 6.16%
ROICexc 6.19%
ROICexgc 140.46%
OM 22.28%
PM (TTM) 9.41%
GM 51.88%
FCFM 14.55%
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
ROICexc(3y)6.05%
ROICexc(5y)12.58%
ROICexgc(3y)210.1%
ROICexgc(5y)213.31%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)16.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-8.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y-20.92%
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 7.8
Debt/EBITDA 3.52
Cap/Depr 119.38%
Cap/Sales 7.63%
Interest Coverage 4.34
Cash Conversion 77.34%
Profit Quality 154.66%
Current Ratio 0.3
Quick Ratio 0.3
Altman-Z 1.39
F-Score6
WACC7.82%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)116.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.49%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
EPS Next Y39.84%
EPS Next 2Y20.96%
EPS Next 3Y14.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.5%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.16%
EBIT growth 5Y0.48%
EBIT Next Year45.5%
EBIT Next 3Y12.23%
EBIT Next 5Y8.25%
FCF growth 1Y22.9%
FCF growth 3Y-7.04%
FCF growth 5Y-5.68%
OCF growth 1Y9.02%
OCF growth 3Y-1.33%
OCF growth 5Y-1.22%

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC / SIRI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SIRI.


Can you provide the valuation status for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the financial health of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?

The financial health rating of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is expected to grow by 39.84% in the next year.