SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SIRI • US8299331004

Current stock price

21.99 USD
-0.41 (-1.83%)
At close:
22.07 USD
+0.08 (+0.36%)
After Hours:

This SIRI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

8

1. SIRI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SIRI had positive earnings in the past year.
  • SIRI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
  • Of the past 5 years SIRI 4 years were profitable.
  • SIRI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
SIRI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSIRI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • SIRI has a better Return On Assets (2.96%) than 81.52% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI's Return On Equity of 6.96% is amongst the best of the industry. SIRI outperforms 82.61% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of SIRI (6.16%) is better than 80.43% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 6.01%. This is in line with the industry average of 6.75%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (6.01%) for SIRI is below the current ROIC(6.16%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE 6.96%
ROIC 6.16%
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
SIRI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSIRI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

  • SIRI has a Profit Margin of 9.41%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SIRI outperforms 89.13% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SIRI has grown nicely.
  • Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 22.28%, SIRI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 96.74% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SIRI has remained more or less at the same level.
  • SIRI has a better Gross Margin (51.88%) than 63.04% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SIRI has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.28%
PM (TTM) 9.41%
GM 51.88%
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
SIRI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSIRI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 60

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3

2. SIRI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) below the Cost of Capital (WACC), SIRI is destroying value.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SIRI has more shares outstanding
  • The number of shares outstanding for SIRI has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
  • SIRI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
SIRI Yearly Shares OutstandingSIRI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B
SIRI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSIRI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.31, we must say that SIRI is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • The Altman-Z score of SIRI (1.31) is better than 63.04% of its industry peers.
  • The Debt to FCF ratio of SIRI is 7.80, which is on the high side as it means it would take SIRI, 7.80 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
  • SIRI's Debt to FCF ratio of 7.80 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SIRI outperforms 72.83% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75 indicates that SIRI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.75, SIRI is in line with its industry, outperforming 52.17% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 7.8
Altman-Z 1.31
ROIC/WACC0.95
WACC6.5%
SIRI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSIRI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.30 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • SIRI has a Current ratio of 0.30. This is amonst the worse of the industry: SIRI underperforms 85.87% of its industry peers.
  • A Quick Ratio of 0.30 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • With a Quick ratio value of 0.30, SIRI is not doing good in the industry: 85.87% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.3
Quick Ratio 0.3
SIRI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSIRI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. SIRI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • SIRI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -36.36%.
  • SIRI shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -2.94% yearly.
  • Looking at the last year, SIRI shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -1.62% in the last year.
  • SIRI shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.26% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%

3.2 Future

  • The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 6.05% on average over the next years.
  • Based on estimates for the next years, SIRI will show a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue will decrease by -0.31% on average per year.
EPS Next Y39.12%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.25%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
SIRI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSIRI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B 8B
SIRI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSIRI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 -2 -4

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9

4. SIRI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 9.82, the valuation of SIRI can be described as very reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SIRI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 83.70% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.23. SIRI is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.06, the valuation of SIRI can be described as very cheap.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SIRI is valued a bit cheaper than 79.35% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIRI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 23.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.82
Fwd PE 7.06
SIRI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSIRI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SIRI indicates a rather cheap valuation: SIRI is cheaper than 82.61% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SIRI is valued cheaper than 85.87% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 5.91
EV/EBITDA 6.92
SIRI Per share dataSIRI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • SIRI has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as SIRI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.97% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

7

5. SIRI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.75%, SIRI is a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.21, SIRI pays a better dividend. On top of this SIRI pays more dividend than 91.30% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • SIRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.89.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.75%

5.2 History

  • The dividend of SIRI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 82.80%!
  • SIRI has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
  • SIRI has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
SIRI Yearly Dividends per shareSIRI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • SIRI pays out 45.34% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • SIRI's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP45.34%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
SIRI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSIRI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B
SIRI Dividend Payout.SIRI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SIRI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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SIRI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:SIRI (3/20/2026, 8:22:47 PM)

After market: 22.07 +0.08 (+0.36%)

21.99

-0.41 (-1.83%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-05
Earnings (Next)04-29
Inst Owners39.13%
Inst Owner Change1.74%
Ins Owners2.02%
Ins Owner Change0.48%
Market Cap7.36B
Revenue(TTM)8.56B
Net Income(TTM)805.00M
Analysts54.29
Price Target24.04 (9.32%)
Short Float %16.05%
Short Ratio5.61
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 4.75%
Yearly Dividend1.13
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
DP45.34%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date02-11
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-32.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(2)5.65%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(4)5.65%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.12%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.28%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.99%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.62%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.87%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.83%
PT rev (1m)3.45%
PT rev (3m)-1.03%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-1.06%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.19%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.15%
EPS NY rev (3m)-1.44%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.03%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.08%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 9.82
Fwd PE 7.06
P/S 0.86
P/FCF 5.91
P/OCF 3.88
P/B 0.64
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.92
EPS(TTM)2.24
EY10.19%
EPS(NY)3.12
Fwd EY14.17%
FCF(TTM)3.72
FCFY16.91%
OCF(TTM)5.67
OCFY25.78%
SpS25.56
BVpS34.54
TBVpS-32.54
PEG (NY)0.25
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number41.72
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE 6.96%
ROCE 8.09%
ROIC 6.16%
ROICexc 6.19%
ROICexgc 140.46%
OM 22.28%
PM (TTM) 9.41%
GM 51.88%
FCFM 14.55%
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
ROICexc(3y)6.05%
ROICexc(5y)12.58%
ROICexgc(3y)210.1%
ROICexgc(5y)213.31%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)16.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-8.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y-20.92%
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 7.8
Debt/EBITDA 3.52
Cap/Depr 119.38%
Cap/Sales 7.63%
Interest Coverage 4.34
Cash Conversion 77.34%
Profit Quality 154.66%
Current Ratio 0.3
Quick Ratio 0.3
Altman-Z 1.31
F-Score6
WACC6.5%
ROIC/WACC0.95
Cap/Depr(3y)116.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.49%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
EPS Next Y39.12%
EPS Next 2Y20.89%
EPS Next 3Y14.97%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.25%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.5%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.16%
EBIT growth 5Y0.48%
EBIT Next Year44.95%
EBIT Next 3Y12.4%
EBIT Next 5Y8.25%
FCF growth 1Y22.9%
FCF growth 3Y-7.04%
FCF growth 5Y-5.68%
OCF growth 1Y9.02%
OCF growth 3Y-1.33%
OCF growth 5Y-1.22%

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC / SIRI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SIRI.


What is the valuation status for SIRI stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI). This can be considered as Undervalued.


What is the profitability of SIRI stock?

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) has a profitability rating of 8 / 10.


How financially healthy is SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?

The financial health rating of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is 3 / 10.


How sustainable is the dividend of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?

The dividend rating of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is 7 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 45.34%.