SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:SIRI • US8299331004
Current stock price
26.61 USD
-1.39 (-4.96%)
At close:
26.58 USD
-0.03 (-0.11%)
After Hours:
This SIRI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SIRI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- In the past year SIRI was profitable.
- SIRI had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
- SIRI had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
- SIRI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- SIRI's Return On Assets of 2.96% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SIRI outperforms 78.89% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.96%, SIRI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.89% of the companies in the same industry.
- With a decent Return On Invested Capital value of 6.16%, SIRI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 78.89% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SIRI is in line with the industry average of 7.76%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (6.16%) for SIRI is above the 3 year average (6.01%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.96% | ||
| ROE | 6.96% | ||
| ROIC | 6.16% |
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
1.3 Margins
- Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 9.41%, SIRI belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 86.67% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SIRI has grown nicely.
- SIRI's Operating Margin of 22.28% is amongst the best of the industry. SIRI outperforms 96.67% of its industry peers.
- SIRI's Operating Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
- SIRI has a better Gross Margin (51.88%) than 62.22% of its industry peers.
- SIRI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.41% | ||
| GM | 51.88% |
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
2. SIRI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SIRI is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for SIRI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, SIRI has less shares outstanding
- The debt/assets ratio for SIRI has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.37, we must say that SIRI is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.37, SIRI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- SIRI has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.80. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as SIRI would need 7.80 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- With a decent Debt to FCF ratio value of 7.80, SIRI is doing good in the industry, outperforming 71.11% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75 indicates that SIRI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- With a Debt to Equity ratio value of 0.75, SIRI perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 48.89% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.37 |
ROIC/WACC0.79
WACC7.78%
2.3 Liquidity
- SIRI has a Current Ratio of 0.30. This is a bad value and indicates that SIRI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Current ratio of SIRI (0.30) is worse than 86.67% of its industry peers.
- SIRI has a Quick Ratio of 0.30. This is a bad value and indicates that SIRI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- SIRI has a worse Quick ratio (0.30) than 86.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.3 |
3. SIRI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- SIRI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -36.36%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -2.94% on average over the past years.
- The Revenue has decreased by -1.62% in the past year.
- Measured over the past years, SIRI shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 1.26% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, SIRI will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.05% on average per year.
- SIRI is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.31% yearly.
EPS Next Y39.84%
EPS Next 2Y20.96%
EPS Next 3Y14.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. SIRI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- The Price/Earnings ratio is 11.88, which indicates a very decent valuation of SIRI.
- SIRI's Price/Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SIRI is cheaper than 82.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- SIRI is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.42, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 8.50, the valuation of SIRI can be described as very reasonable.
- SIRI's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SIRI is cheaper than 78.89% of the companies in the same industry.
- SIRI is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 22.29, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.5 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- SIRI's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SIRI is cheaper than 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SIRI indicates a rather cheap valuation: SIRI is cheaper than 84.44% of the companies listed in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 7.19 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.57 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of SIRI may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as SIRI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.93% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.96%
EPS Next 3Y14.93%
5. SIRI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- SIRI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.80%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
- SIRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the industry average which is at 1.07. SIRI pays more dividend than 90.00% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.81, SIRI pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.8% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of SIRI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 82.80%!
- SIRI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- SIRI has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- 45.34% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SIRI. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- The dividend of SIRI is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP45.34%
EPS Next 2Y20.96%
EPS Next 3Y14.93%
SIRI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
26.61
-1.39 (-4.96%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30/bmo
Inst Owners39.81%
Inst Owner Change0.02%
Ins Owners2.05%
Ins Owner Change0.48%
Market Cap8.96B
Revenue(TTM)8.56B
Net Income(TTM)805.00M
Analysts56.19
Price Target24.08 (-9.51%)
Short Float %17.53%
Short Ratio6.59
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.8% |
Yearly Dividend1.13
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
DP45.34%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date02-11 2026-02-11 (0.27)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-32.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(2)5.65%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(4)5.65%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.12%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.29%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.99%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.62%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.87%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.83%
PT rev (1m)0.19%
PT rev (3m)-0.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.18%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.63%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.98%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.11%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.88 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.5 | ||
| P/S | 1.05 | ||
| P/FCF | 7.19 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.72 | ||
| P/B | 0.77 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.57 |
EPS(TTM)2.24
EY8.42%
EPS(NY)3.13
Fwd EY11.77%
FCF(TTM)3.7
FCFY13.9%
OCF(TTM)5.64
OCFY21.19%
SpS25.43
BVpS34.36
TBVpS-32.36
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number41.6127 (56.38%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.96% | ||
| ROE | 6.96% | ||
| ROCE | 8.09% | ||
| ROIC | 6.16% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 140.46% | ||
| OM | 22.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.41% | ||
| GM | 51.88% | ||
| FCFM | 14.55% |
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
ROICexc(3y)6.05%
ROICexc(5y)12.58%
ROICexgc(3y)210.1%
ROICexgc(5y)213.31%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)16.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-8.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y-20.92%
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.8 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.52 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 119.38% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.63% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.34 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.34% | ||
| Profit Quality | 154.66% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.37 |
F-Score6
WACC7.78%
ROIC/WACC0.79
Cap/Depr(3y)116.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.49%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
EPS Next Y39.84%
EPS Next 2Y20.96%
EPS Next 3Y14.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.5%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.16%
EBIT growth 5Y0.48%
EBIT Next Year45.5%
EBIT Next 3Y12.23%
EBIT Next 5Y8.25%
FCF growth 1Y22.9%
FCF growth 3Y-7.04%
FCF growth 5Y-5.68%
OCF growth 1Y9.02%
OCF growth 3Y-1.33%
OCF growth 5Y-1.22%
SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC / SIRI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SIRI.
Can you provide the valuation status for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?
SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?
The financial health rating of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is 3 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is expected to grow by 39.84% in the next year.