SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NASDAQ:SIRI • US8299331004
Current stock price
24.73 USD
+0.52 (+2.15%)
At close:
24.6354 USD
-0.09 (-0.38%)
After Hours:
This SIRI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. SIRI Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- SIRI had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year SIRI had a positive cash flow from operations.
- Of the past 5 years SIRI 4 years were profitable.
- In the past 5 years SIRI always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
- The Return On Assets of SIRI (2.96%) is better than 78.89% of its industry peers.
- Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 6.96%, SIRI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.89% of the companies in the same industry.
- SIRI has a Return On Invested Capital of 6.16%. This is in the better half of the industry: SIRI outperforms 78.89% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SIRI is in line with the industry average of 7.63%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (6.16%) for SIRI is above the 3 year average (6.01%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.96% | ||
| ROE | 6.96% | ||
| ROIC | 6.16% |
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
1.3 Margins
- SIRI's Profit Margin of 9.41% is amongst the best of the industry. SIRI outperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SIRI has grown nicely.
- SIRI has a better Operating Margin (22.28%) than 96.67% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SIRI has remained more or less at the same level.
- SIRI's Gross Margin of 51.88% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SIRI outperforms 62.22% of its industry peers.
- SIRI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 22.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.41% | ||
| GM | 51.88% |
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
2. SIRI Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SIRI is destroying value.
- The number of shares outstanding for SIRI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, SIRI has less shares outstanding
- SIRI has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- SIRI has an Altman-Z score of 1.34. This is a bad value and indicates that SIRI is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
- SIRI has a better Altman-Z score (1.34) than 62.22% of its industry peers.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of SIRI is 7.80, which is on the high side as it means it would take SIRI, 7.80 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- SIRI has a better Debt to FCF ratio (7.80) than 71.11% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75 indicates that SIRI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
- SIRI has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.75) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.8 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.34 |
ROIC/WACC0.8
WACC7.66%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.30 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- SIRI has a Current ratio of 0.30. This is amonst the worse of the industry: SIRI underperforms 86.67% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.30 indicates that SIRI may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of SIRI (0.30) is worse than 86.67% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.3 |
3. SIRI Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- SIRI shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -36.36%.
- The Earnings Per Share has been decreasing by -2.94% on average over the past years.
- Looking at the last year, SIRI shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -1.62% in the last year.
- SIRI shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 1.26% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, SIRI will show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 6.05% on average per year.
- SIRI is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.31% yearly.
EPS Next Y39.84%
EPS Next 2Y20.96%
EPS Next 3Y14.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%
3.3 Evolution
- The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. SIRI Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- A Price/Earnings ratio of 11.04 indicates a reasonable valuation of SIRI.
- 82.22% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SIRI, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- SIRI is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 27.53, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
- SIRI is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 7.89.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SIRI is valued cheaper than 82.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 37.95. SIRI is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.04 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.89 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SIRI is valued cheaper than 82.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SIRI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.22 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- SIRI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of SIRI may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as SIRI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.93% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.28
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.96%
EPS Next 3Y14.93%
5. SIRI Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 4.54%, SIRI is a good candidate for dividend investing.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.10, SIRI pays a better dividend. On top of this SIRI pays more dividend than 91.11% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, SIRI pays a better dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.54% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of SIRI is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 82.80%!
- SIRI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- The dividend of SIRI decreased in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
5.3 Sustainability
- 45.34% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SIRI. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
- SIRI's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP45.34%
EPS Next 2Y20.96%
EPS Next 3Y14.93%
SIRI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
24.73
+0.52 (+2.15%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorCommunication Services
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Earnings (Last)02-05 2026-02-05/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30
Inst Owners39.81%
Inst Owner Change0.01%
Ins Owners2.05%
Ins Owner Change0.48%
Market Cap8.28B
Revenue(TTM)8.56B
Net Income(TTM)805.00M
Analysts56.19
Price Target24.35 (-1.54%)
Short Float %17.53%
Short Ratio6.59
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 4.54% |
Yearly Dividend1.13
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
DP45.34%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date02-11 2026-02-11 (0.27)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-32.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(2)5.65%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(4)5.65%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.12%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.28%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.99%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.62%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.87%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.83%
PT rev (1m)1.29%
PT rev (3m)0.25%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.18%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.63%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.98%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.07%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.04 | ||
| Fwd PE | 7.89 | ||
| P/S | 0.97 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.65 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.36 | ||
| P/B | 0.72 | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 7.22 |
EPS(TTM)2.24
EY9.06%
EPS(NY)3.13
Fwd EY12.67%
FCF(TTM)3.72
FCFY15.04%
OCF(TTM)5.67
OCFY22.93%
SpS25.56
BVpS34.54
TBVpS-32.54
PEG (NY)0.28
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number41.7232 (68.71%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 2.96% | ||
| ROE | 6.96% | ||
| ROCE | 8.09% | ||
| ROIC | 6.16% | ||
| ROICexc | 6.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 140.46% | ||
| OM | 22.28% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 9.41% | ||
| GM | 51.88% | ||
| FCFM | 14.55% |
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
ROICexc(3y)6.05%
ROICexc(5y)12.58%
ROICexgc(3y)210.1%
ROICexgc(5y)213.31%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)16.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-8.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y-20.92%
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.75 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 7.8 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.52 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 119.38% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 7.63% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.34 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 77.34% | ||
| Profit Quality | 154.66% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.3 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.3 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.34 |
F-Score6
WACC7.66%
ROIC/WACC0.8
Cap/Depr(3y)116.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.49%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-36.36%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%-71.08%
EPS Next Y39.84%
EPS Next 2Y20.96%
EPS Next 3Y14.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%0.23%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.5%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.16%
EBIT growth 5Y0.48%
EBIT Next Year45.5%
EBIT Next 3Y12.23%
EBIT Next 5Y8.25%
FCF growth 1Y22.9%
FCF growth 3Y-7.04%
FCF growth 5Y-5.68%
OCF growth 1Y9.02%
OCF growth 3Y-1.33%
OCF growth 5Y-1.22%
SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC / SIRI Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SIRI.
Can you provide the valuation status for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 9 / 10 to SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI). This can be considered as Undervalued.
How profitable is SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?
SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the financial health of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?
The financial health rating of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is 3 / 10.
What is the earnings growth outlook for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is expected to grow by 39.84% in the next year.