SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:SIRI • US8299331004

Current stock price

27.22 USD
+0.28 (+1.04%)
At close:
27 USD
-0.22 (-0.81%)
After Hours:

This SIRI fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

7

1. SIRI Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • SIRI had positive earnings in the past year.
  • In the past year SIRI had a positive cash flow from operations.
  • Of the past 5 years SIRI 4 years were profitable.
  • SIRI had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
SIRI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSIRI Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B 2B -2B

1.2 Ratios

  • SIRI's Return On Assets of 2.96% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SIRI outperforms 79.12% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI's Return On Equity of 6.96% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SIRI outperforms 79.12% of its industry peers.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of SIRI (6.16%) is better than 79.12% of its industry peers.
  • The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SIRI is in line with the industry average of 7.76%.
  • The 3 year average ROIC (6.01%) for SIRI is below the current ROIC(6.16%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE 6.96%
ROIC 6.16%
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
SIRI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSIRI Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 -50 -100

1.3 Margins

  • SIRI has a Profit Margin of 9.41%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SIRI outperforms 86.81% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • SIRI's Operating Margin of 22.28% is amongst the best of the industry. SIRI outperforms 96.70% of its industry peers.
  • In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SIRI has remained more or less at the same level.
  • SIRI has a better Gross Margin (51.88%) than 62.64% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 22.28%
PM (TTM) 9.41%
GM 51.88%
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
SIRI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSIRI Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 20 -20 40 60

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3

2. SIRI Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • SIRI has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
  • The number of shares outstanding for SIRI has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 5 years ago, SIRI has less shares outstanding
  • Compared to 1 year ago, SIRI has an improved debt to assets ratio.
SIRI Yearly Shares OutstandingSIRI Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B 4B
SIRI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSIRI Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 10B 20B 30B

2.2 Solvency

  • Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.38, we must say that SIRI is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
  • Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.38, SIRI is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 62.64% of the companies in the same industry.
  • SIRI has a debt to FCF ratio of 7.80. This is a slightly negative value and a sign of low solvency as SIRI would need 7.80 years to pay back of all of its debts.
  • SIRI's Debt to FCF ratio of 7.80 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SIRI outperforms 71.43% of its industry peers.
  • A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.75 indicates that SIRI is somewhat dependend on debt financing.
  • SIRI has a Debt to Equity ratio (0.75) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 7.8
Altman-Z 1.38
ROIC/WACC0.81
WACC7.6%
SIRI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSIRI Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

  • SIRI has a Current Ratio of 0.30. This is a bad value and indicates that SIRI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SIRI's Current ratio of 0.30 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SIRI is outperformed by 85.71% of its industry peers.
  • SIRI has a Quick Ratio of 0.30. This is a bad value and indicates that SIRI is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • SIRI has a worse Quick ratio (0.30) than 85.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.3
Quick Ratio 0.3
SIRI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSIRI Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 1B 2B 3B

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WACCDebt/EquityHow to determine the health of a companyAltman-Z scoreShow peers with great health

2

3. SIRI Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The earnings per share for SIRI have decreased strongly by -30.50% in the last year.
  • Measured over the past years, SIRI shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -2.94% on average per year.
  • SIRI shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -1.62%.
  • The Revenue has been growing slightly by 1.26% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.5%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%22.03%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%1.11%

3.2 Future

  • SIRI is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 6.05% yearly.
  • SIRI is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -0.31% yearly.
EPS Next Y39.84%
EPS Next 2Y20.96%
EPS Next 3Y14.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%

3.3 Evolution

  • When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
  • The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
SIRI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSIRI Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2B 4B 6B 8B
SIRI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSIRI Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 0 2 -2 -4

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8

4. SIRI Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.49, the valuation of SIRI can be described as very reasonable.
  • Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SIRI is valued cheaply inside the industry as 81.32% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 26.77. SIRI is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
  • The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 8.31, which indicates a very decent valuation of SIRI.
  • Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SIRI is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.12% of the companies are valued more expensively.
  • The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.75. SIRI is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.49
Fwd PE 8.31
SIRI Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSIRI Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30

4.2 Price Multiples

  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of SIRI indicates a rather cheap valuation: SIRI is cheaper than 80.22% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SIRI indicates a rather cheap valuation: SIRI is cheaper than 84.62% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.36
EV/EBITDA 7.61
SIRI Per share dataSIRI EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 -20

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • SIRI's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • SIRI has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
  • SIRI's earnings are expected to grow with 14.93% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y20.96%
EPS Next 3Y14.93%

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Price/EarningsPrice/FCFFCF per shareEV/EBITDAPEG RATIOShow best valued peers

6

5. SIRI Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • SIRI has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.98%.
  • Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.07, SIRI pays a better dividend. On top of this SIRI pays more dividend than 90.11% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • SIRI's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.98%

5.2 History

  • On average, the dividend of SIRI grows each year by 82.80%, which is quite nice.
  • SIRI has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
  • SIRI has decreased its dividend in the last 3 years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
SIRI Yearly Dividends per shareSIRI Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

5.3 Sustainability

  • SIRI pays out 45.34% of its income as dividend. This is a bit on the high side, but may be sustainable.
  • SIRI's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP45.34%
EPS Next 2Y20.96%
EPS Next 3Y14.93%
SIRI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSIRI Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 1B -1B -2B
SIRI Dividend Payout.SIRI Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SIRI Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

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SIRI Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:SIRI (5/1/2026, 5:20:02 PM)

After market: 27 -0.22 (-0.81%)

27.22

+0.28 (+1.04%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupMedia & Entertainment
GICS IndustryMedia
Industry Strength35.4
Industry Growth3.73
Earnings (Last)04-30
Earnings (Next)N/A
Inst Owners39.81%
Inst Owner Change0.02%
Ins Owners2.05%
Ins Owner Change0.48%
Market Cap9.16B
Revenue(TTM)8.56B
Net Income(TTM)805.00M
Analysts56.19
Price Target25.36 (-6.83%)
Short Float %17.7%
Short Ratio6.85
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.98%
Yearly Dividend1.13
Dividend Growth(5Y)82.8%
DP45.34%
Div Incr Years2
Div Non Decr Years2
Ex-Date02-11
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-32.01%
Min EPS beat(2)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(2)5.65%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-25.44%
Min EPS beat(4)-69.68%
Max EPS beat(4)5.65%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)-2.42%
EPS beat(12)8
Avg EPS beat(12)-0.12%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)-2.29%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.05%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.1%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.99%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.51%
Min Revenue beat(4)-2.45%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.99%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.62%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.87%
Revenue beat(16)0
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.83%
PT rev (1m)0.19%
PT rev (3m)-0.85%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0.18%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-5.02%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.52%
EPS NY rev (3m)-0.63%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.05%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.98%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.11%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 11.49
Fwd PE 8.31
P/S 1.07
P/FCF 7.36
P/OCF 4.83
P/B 0.79
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 7.61
EPS(TTM)2.37
EY8.71%
EPS(NY)3.28
Fwd EY12.04%
FCF(TTM)3.7
FCFY13.59%
OCF(TTM)5.64
OCFY20.72%
SpS25.43
BVpS34.36
TBVpS-32.36
PEG (NY)0.29
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number42.8032 (57.25%)
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 2.96%
ROE 6.96%
ROCE 8.09%
ROIC 6.16%
ROICexc 6.19%
ROICexgc 140.46%
OM 22.28%
PM (TTM) 9.41%
GM 51.88%
FCFM 14.55%
ROA(3y)-0.13%
ROA(5y)4.9%
ROE(3y)0.24%
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)6.01%
ROIC(5y)12.41%
ROICexc(3y)6.05%
ROICexc(5y)12.58%
ROICexgc(3y)210.1%
ROICexgc(5y)213.31%
ROCE(3y)7.89%
ROCE(5y)16.28%
ROICexgc growth 3Y-15.61%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-8.93%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.37%
ROICexc growth 5Y-20.92%
OM growth 3Y-1.51%
OM growth 5Y-0.77%
PM growth 3Y-11.29%
PM growth 5Y42%
GM growth 3Y-1.4%
GM growth 5Y-1.33%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.31
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.75
Debt/FCF 7.8
Debt/EBITDA 3.52
Cap/Depr 119.38%
Cap/Sales 7.63%
Interest Coverage 4.34
Cash Conversion 77.34%
Profit Quality 154.66%
Current Ratio 0.3
Quick Ratio 0.3
Altman-Z 1.38
F-Score6
WACC7.6%
ROIC/WACC0.81
Cap/Depr(3y)116.5%
Cap/Depr(5y)100.35%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.75%
Cap/Sales(5y)6.49%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-30.5%
EPS 3Y-9.28%
EPS 5Y-2.94%
EPS Q2Q%22.03%
EPS Next Y39.84%
EPS Next 2Y20.96%
EPS Next 3Y14.93%
EPS Next 5Y6.05%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-1.62%
Revenue growth 3Y-1.68%
Revenue growth 5Y1.26%
Sales Q2Q%1.11%
Revenue Next Year0.08%
Revenue Next 2Y0.37%
Revenue Next 3Y0.26%
Revenue Next 5Y-0.31%
EBIT growth 1Y-1.5%
EBIT growth 3Y-3.16%
EBIT growth 5Y0.48%
EBIT Next Year45.5%
EBIT Next 3Y12.23%
EBIT Next 5Y8.25%
FCF growth 1Y22.9%
FCF growth 3Y-7.04%
FCF growth 5Y-5.68%
OCF growth 1Y9.02%
OCF growth 3Y-1.33%
OCF growth 5Y-1.22%

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC / SIRI Fundamental Analysis FAQ

Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to SIRI.


Can you provide the valuation status for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?

SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the financial health of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) stock?

The financial health rating of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is 3 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SIRIUS XM HOLDINGS INC (SIRI) is expected to grow by 39.84% in the next year.