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SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP.CA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

Canada - Toronto Stock Exchange - TSX:SHOP - CA82509L1076 - Common Stock

233.8 CAD
+3.9 (+1.7%)
Last: 12/19/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Fundamental Rating

7

We assign a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10 to SHOP. SHOP was compared to 11 industry peers in the IT Services industry. SHOP scores excellent points on both the profitability and health parts. This is a solid base for a good stock. SHOP is not priced too expensively while it is growing strongly. Keep and eye on this one! These ratings could make SHOP a good candidate for growth and quality investing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

7

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

SHOP had positive earnings in the past year.
SHOP had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
SHOP had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
SHOP had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
SHOP.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSHOP.CA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B

1.2 Ratios

SHOP's Return On Assets of 11.84% is amongst the best of the industry. SHOP outperforms 91.67% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 14.24%, SHOP belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 8.30%, SHOP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 11.84%
ROE 14.24%
ROIC 8.3%
ROA(3y)-5.5%
ROA(5y)1.89%
ROE(3y)-7.69%
ROE(5y)1.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SHOP.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSHOP.CA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 -40

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 16.65%, SHOP belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
SHOP's Profit Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
SHOP's Operating Margin of 12.29% is amongst the best of the industry. SHOP outperforms 91.67% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SHOP has grown nicely.
With an excellent Gross Margin value of 48.75%, SHOP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SHOP has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.29%
PM (TTM) 16.65%
GM 48.75%
OM growth 3Y23.17%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-28.88%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.18%
GM growth 5Y-1.69%
SHOP.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSHOP.CA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 60 -60

9

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so SHOP is still creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, SHOP has more shares outstanding
Compared to 5 years ago, SHOP has more shares outstanding
Compared to 1 year ago, SHOP has an improved debt to assets ratio.
SHOP.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingSHOP.CA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
SHOP.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSHOP.CA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.2 Solvency

An Altman-Z score of 54.09 indicates that SHOP is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 54.09, SHOP belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
SHOP has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.48
Altman-Z 54.09
ROIC/WACC1.02
WACC8.12%
SHOP.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSHOP.CA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 3.93 indicates that SHOP has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
SHOP has a Current ratio of 3.93. This is amongst the best in the industry. SHOP outperforms 91.67% of its industry peers.
SHOP has a Quick Ratio of 3.93. This indicates that SHOP is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Quick ratio value of 3.93, SHOP belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 3.93
Quick Ratio 3.93
SHOP.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSHOP.CA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B

9

3. Growth

3.1 Past

SHOP shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 15.65%, which is quite good.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 70.21% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth
Looking at the last year, SHOP shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 30.25%.
SHOP shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 41.27% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.65%
EPS 3Y23.18%
EPS 5Y70.21%
EPS Q2Q%-2.86%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)30.25%
Revenue growth 3Y24.41%
Revenue growth 5Y41.27%
Sales Q2Q%31.54%

3.2 Future

SHOP is expected to show a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 21.54% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 23.59% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
EPS Next Y23%
EPS Next 2Y24.76%
EPS Next 3Y24.57%
EPS Next 5Y21.54%
Revenue Next Year30.41%
Revenue Next 2Y26.93%
Revenue Next 3Y24.96%
Revenue Next 5Y23.59%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
Although the future Revenue growth is still strong, it is not able to hold up the even more excellent growth rate of the past years.
SHOP.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSHOP.CA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 10B 20B 30B 40B
SHOP.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSHOP.CA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 0 1 2 3 4 5

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 127.76, the valuation of SHOP can be described as expensive.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SHOP is valued a bit cheaper than 66.67% of the companies in the same industry.
SHOP's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather expensive valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 26.39.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 90.74, which means the current valuation is very expensive for SHOP.
75.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SHOP, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of SHOP to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.84), we can say SHOP is valued expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 127.76
Fwd PE 90.74
SHOP.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSHOP.CA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80 100

4.2 Price Multiples

SHOP's Enterprise Value to EBITDA is on the same level as the industry average.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of SHOP indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: SHOP is cheaper than 66.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 115.95
EV/EBITDA 156.87
SHOP.CA Per share dataSHOP.CA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 2 4 6 8 10

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates SHOP does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
SHOP has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as SHOP's earnings are expected to grow with 24.57% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)5.56
PEG (5Y)1.82
EPS Next 2Y24.76%
EPS Next 3Y24.57%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for SHOP!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%

SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A

TSX:SHOP (12/19/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

233.8

+3.9 (+1.7%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSoftware & Services
GICS IndustryIT Services
Earnings (Last)11-04 2025-11-04/bmo
Earnings (Next)02-09 2026-02-09/amc
Inst Owners74.76%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.1%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap304.37B
Revenue(TTM)10.70B
Net Income(TTM)1.78B
Analysts76.36
Price Target246.03 (5.23%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0%
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)9.14%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.68%
Max EPS beat(2)18.96%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)0.31%
Min EPS beat(4)-11.32%
Max EPS beat(4)18.96%
EPS beat(8)5
Avg EPS beat(8)9.45%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)90.51%
EPS beat(16)11
Avg EPS beat(16)52.5%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)2.15%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.17%
Max Revenue beat(2)3.12%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)1.14%
Min Revenue beat(4)-0.72%
Max Revenue beat(4)3.12%
Revenue beat(8)5
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.56%
Revenue beat(12)9
Avg Revenue beat(12)1.14%
Revenue beat(16)11
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.33%
PT rev (1m)5.47%
PT rev (3m)10.5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.45%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.04%
EPS NY rev (3m)0.75%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)3.54%
Revenue NY rev (1m)1.81%
Revenue NY rev (3m)1.89%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 127.76
Fwd PE 90.74
P/S 20.63
P/FCF 115.95
P/OCF 114.75
P/B 17.64
P/tB 18.41
EV/EBITDA 156.87
EPS(TTM)1.83
EY0.78%
EPS(NY)2.58
Fwd EY1.1%
FCF(TTM)2.02
FCFY0.86%
OCF(TTM)2.04
OCFY0.87%
SpS11.33
BVpS13.26
TBVpS12.7
PEG (NY)5.56
PEG (5Y)1.82
Graham Number23.36
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 11.84%
ROE 14.24%
ROCE 10.25%
ROIC 8.3%
ROICexc 16.44%
ROICexgc 17.89%
OM 12.29%
PM (TTM) 16.65%
GM 48.75%
FCFM 17.79%
ROA(3y)-5.5%
ROA(5y)1.89%
ROE(3y)-7.69%
ROE(5y)1.62%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y37.8%
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y39.24%
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3Y23.17%
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-28.88%
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-2.18%
GM growth 5Y-1.69%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.71
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0
Debt/FCF 0.48
Debt/EBITDA 0
Cap/Depr 62.5%
Cap/Sales 0.19%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 142.76%
Profit Quality 106.85%
Current Ratio 3.93
Quick Ratio 3.93
Altman-Z 54.09
F-Score6
WACC8.12%
ROIC/WACC1.02
Cap/Depr(3y)54.58%
Cap/Depr(5y)60.06%
Cap/Sales(3y)0.55%
Cap/Sales(5y)0.84%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)15.65%
EPS 3Y23.18%
EPS 5Y70.21%
EPS Q2Q%-2.86%
EPS Next Y23%
EPS Next 2Y24.76%
EPS Next 3Y24.57%
EPS Next 5Y21.54%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)30.25%
Revenue growth 3Y24.41%
Revenue growth 5Y41.27%
Sales Q2Q%31.54%
Revenue Next Year30.41%
Revenue Next 2Y26.93%
Revenue Next 3Y24.96%
Revenue Next 5Y23.59%
EBIT growth 1Y46.27%
EBIT growth 3Y53.23%
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year35.58%
EBIT Next 3Y32.76%
EBIT Next 5Y38.08%
FCF growth 1Y169.26%
FCF growth 3Y48.78%
FCF growth 5Y186.89%
OCF growth 1Y155.93%
OCF growth 3Y44.49%
OCF growth 5Y87.03%

SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A / SHOP.CA FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 7 / 10 to SHOP.CA.


What is the valuation status of SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP.CA) stock?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP.CA). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


What is the profitability of SHOP stock?

SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP.CA) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


What is the financial health of SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP.CA) stock?

The financial health rating of SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP.CA) is 9 / 10.


What is the earnings growth outlook for SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SHOPIFY INC - CLASS A (SHOP.CA) is expected to grow by 23% in the next year.