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SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS INC (SGH) Stock Fundamental Analysis

USA - NASDAQ:SGH - KYG8232Y1017 - Common Stock

20.85 USD
+0.09 (+0.43%)
Last: 10/14/2024, 8:00:02 PM
21 USD
+0.15 (+0.72%)
After Hours: 10/14/2024, 8:00:02 PM
Fundamental Rating

3

We assign a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10 to SGH. SGH was compared to 112 industry peers in the Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry. Both the profitability and financial health of SGH have multiple concerns. SGH is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

SGH had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year SGH had a positive cash flow from operations.
In multiple years SGH reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Of the past 5 years SGH 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
SGH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSGH Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of SGH (-10.91%) is worse than 73.39% of its industry peers.
With a Return On Equity value of -39.85%, SGH is not doing good in the industry: 78.90% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
With a Return On Invested Capital value of 1.48%, SGH perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 50.46% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -10.91%
ROE -39.85%
ROIC 1.48%
ROA(3y)-2.21%
ROA(5y)0.1%
ROE(3y)-19.83%
ROE(5y)-8.22%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SGH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSGH Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500 -500 1K 1.5K

1.3 Margins

The Operating Margin of SGH (2.19%) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
SGH's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
SGH has a worse Gross Margin (33.50%) than 66.06% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SGH has grown nicely.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 2.19%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 33.5%
OM growth 3Y-15.35%
OM growth 5Y-28.52%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y14.32%
GM growth 5Y4.95%
SGH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSGH Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

SGH has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is below the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is destroying value.
SGH has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
SGH Yearly Shares OutstandingSGH Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
SGH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSGH Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.81, we must say that SGH is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
SGH has a Altman-Z score of 1.81. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SGH outperforms 40.37% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SGH is 6.03, which is on the high side as it means it would take SGH, 6.03 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
With a Debt to FCF ratio value of 6.03, SGH perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 53.21% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.58 is on the high side and indicates that SGH has dependencies on debt financing.
SGH has a worse Debt to Equity ratio (1.58) than 88.07% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.58
Debt/FCF 6.03
Altman-Z 1.81
ROIC/WACC0.13
WACC11.52%
SGH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSGH Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 2.68 indicates that SGH has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 2.68, SGH perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 46.79% of the companies in the same industry.
SGH has a Quick Ratio of 2.18. This indicates that SGH is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of SGH (2.18) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 2.68
Quick Ratio 2.18
SGH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSGH Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

SGH shows a strong negative growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year the EPS decreased by -51.17%.
Measured over the past years, SGH shows a decrease in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been decreasing by -5.74% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.17%
EPS 3Y-21.66%
EPS 5Y-5.74%
EPS Q2Q%5.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-1.74%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, SGH will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 57.50% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 14.97% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y55.36%
EPS Next 2Y57.5%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year15.97%
Revenue Next 2Y14.97%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
SGH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSGH Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 500M 1B 1.5B
SGH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSGH Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

8

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 16.68, the valuation of SGH can be described as correct.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SGH is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.16% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.91, SGH is valued a bit cheaper.
SGH is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.74.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SGH is valued cheaper than 93.58% of the companies in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 34.57. SGH is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.68
Fwd PE 10.74
SGH Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSGH Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

SGH's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SGH is cheaper than 77.06% of the companies in the same industry.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SGH is valued cheaply inside the industry as 96.33% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 9.97
EV/EBITDA 15.46
SGH Per share dataSGH EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
SGH's earnings are expected to grow with 57.50% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y57.5%
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

SGH does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS INC

NASDAQ:SGH (10/14/2024, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 21 +0.15 (+0.72%)

20.85

+0.09 (+0.43%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS IndustryGroupSemiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
GICS IndustrySemiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Earnings (Last)10-15 2024-10-15/amc
Earnings (Next)01-07 2025-01-07/amc
Inst Owners106.85%
Inst Owner Change-20.06%
Ins Owners2.97%
Ins Owner Change0%
Market Cap1.10B
Revenue(TTM)N/A
Net Income(TTM)-168.72M
Analysts82.5
Price Target25.76 (23.55%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.03%
Min EPS beat(2)5.25%
Max EPS beat(2)20.8%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)13.25%
Min EPS beat(4)-23.62%
Max EPS beat(4)50.56%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)25.01%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)22.84%
EPS beat(16)15
Avg EPS beat(16)20.03%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.71%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.8%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.63%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-4.77%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.4%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.63%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-14.27%
Revenue beat(12)5
Avg Revenue beat(12)-17.13%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-12.62%
PT rev (1m)-21.71%
PT rev (3m)-21.71%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)0%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)6.91%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.25%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 16.68
Fwd PE 10.74
P/S 1.08
P/FCF 9.97
P/OCF 8.75
P/B 2.61
P/tB 8.48
EV/EBITDA 15.46
EPS(TTM)1.25
EY6%
EPS(NY)1.94
Fwd EY9.31%
FCF(TTM)2.09
FCFY10.03%
OCF(TTM)2.38
OCFY11.43%
SpS19.33
BVpS8
TBVpS2.46
PEG (NY)0.3
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -10.91%
ROE -39.85%
ROCE 1.88%
ROIC 1.48%
ROICexc 2.43%
ROICexgc 4.08%
OM 2.19%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 33.5%
FCFM 10.81%
ROA(3y)-2.21%
ROA(5y)0.1%
ROE(3y)-19.83%
ROE(5y)-8.22%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3Y-21.97%
ROICexgc growth 5Y-31.04%
ROICexc growth 3Y-26.35%
ROICexc growth 5Y-36.32%
OM growth 3Y-15.35%
OM growth 5Y-28.52%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y14.32%
GM growth 5Y4.95%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.66
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.58
Debt/FCF 6.03
Debt/EBITDA 8
Cap/Depr 25.48%
Cap/Sales 1.52%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 151.34%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 2.68
Quick Ratio 2.18
Altman-Z 1.81
F-Score5
WACC11.52%
ROIC/WACC0.13
Cap/Depr(3y)70.28%
Cap/Depr(5y)82.85%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.33%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.12%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-51.17%
EPS 3Y-21.66%
EPS 5Y-5.74%
EPS Q2Q%5.71%
EPS Next Y55.36%
EPS Next 2Y57.5%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%-1.74%
Revenue Next Year15.97%
Revenue Next 2Y14.97%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y135.94%
EBIT growth 3Y-7.99%
EBIT growth 5Y-26.9%
EBIT Next Year-3.8%
EBIT Next 3Y13.3%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y16.19%
FCF growth 3Y5.85%
FCF growth 5Y9.02%
OCF growth 1Y-4.51%
OCF growth 3Y6.18%
OCF growth 5Y8.98%

SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS INC / SGH FAQ

What is the ChartMill fundamental rating of SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS INC (SGH) stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to SGH.


Can you provide the valuation status for SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS INC?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS INC (SGH). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.


How profitable is SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS INC (SGH) stock?

SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS INC (SGH) has a profitability rating of 3 / 10.


What is the expected EPS growth for SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS INC (SGH) stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of SMART GLOBAL HOLDINGS INC (SGH) is expected to grow by 55.36% in the next year.