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SIMMONS FIRST NATL CORP-CL A (SFNC) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:SFNC - Nasdaq - US8287302009 - Common Stock

22.43  -0.36 (-1.58%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall SFNC gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated SFNC against 405 industry peers in the Banks industry. SFNC may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. SFNC is valued correctly, but it does not seem to be growing. SFNC also has an excellent dividend rating.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

SFNC had positive earnings in the past year.
SFNC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
SFNC had positive earnings in 4 of the past 5 years.
SFNC had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
SFNC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSFNC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

1.2 Ratios

SFNC's Return On Assets of 0.47% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SFNC is outperformed by 74.62% of its industry peers.
SFNC has a worse Return On Equity (3.64%) than 82.91% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.47%
ROE 3.64%
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)0.89%
ROA(5y)0.99%
ROE(3y)7.1%
ROE(5y)7.56%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SFNC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSFNC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2 4 6 8

1.3 Margins

SFNC has a worse Profit Margin (17.22%) than 68.09% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SFNC has declined.
The Operating Margin and Gross Margin are not available for SFNC so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 17.22%
GM N/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-9.16%
PM growth 5Y-6.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
SFNC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSFNC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10 20 30

3

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

SFNC does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
There is no outstanding debt for SFNC. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
SFNC Yearly Shares OutstandingSFNC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
SFNC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSFNC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5B 10B 15B 20B 25B

2.2 Solvency

SFNC has a debt to FCF ratio of 0.60. This is a very positive value and a sign of high solvency as it would only need 0.60 years to pay back of all of its debts.
With an excellent Debt to FCF ratio value of 0.60, SFNC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.42% of the companies in the same industry.
SFNC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.12. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.12, SFNC is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 67.59% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.12
Debt/FCF 0.6
Altman-Z N/A
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC17.15%
SFNC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSFNC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1B 2B 3B

2.3 Liquidity

Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
SFNC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSFNC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for SFNC have decreased strongly by -11.32% in the last year.
SFNC shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -10.24% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.32%
EPS 3Y-17.05%
EPS 5Y-10.24%
EPS Q2Q%-2.5%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%17.4%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 17.70% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
SFNC is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.48% yearly.
EPS Next Y17.19%
EPS Next 2Y17.7%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year8.96%
Revenue Next 2Y8.48%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
SFNC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSFNC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M
SFNC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSFNC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

SFNC is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 15.91.
SFNC's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. SFNC is more expensive than 68.34% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SFNC to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.29), we can say SFNC is valued slightly cheaper.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 13.57, which indicates a correct valuation of SFNC.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SFNC is valued a bit more expensive than the industry average as 62.81% of the companies are valued more cheaply.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 24.44. SFNC is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.91
Fwd PE 13.57
SFNC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSFNC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

93.72% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SFNC, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 3.9
EV/EBITDA N/A
SFNC Per share dataSFNC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as SFNC's earnings are expected to grow with 17.70% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.93
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y17.7%
EPS Next 3YN/A

7

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

SFNC has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.70%.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.22, SFNC pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
SFNC's Dividend Yield is rather good when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 2.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.7%

5.2 History

The dividend of SFNC has a limited annual growth rate of 5.79%.
SFNC has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
SFNC has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.79%
Div Incr Years13
Div Non Decr Years34
SFNC Yearly Dividends per shareSFNC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8

5.3 Sustainability

81.16% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SFNC. This is not a sustainable payout ratio.
SFNC's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP81.16%
EPS Next 2Y17.7%
EPS Next 3YN/A
SFNC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSFNC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M
SFNC Dividend Payout.SFNC Dividend Payout, showing the Payout Ratio.SFNC Dividend Payout.PayoutRetained Earnings

SIMMONS FIRST NATL CORP-CL A

NASDAQ:SFNC (1/22/2025, 10:22:09 AM)

22.43

-0.36 (-1.58%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorFinancials
GICS IndustryGroupBanks
GICS IndustryBanks
Earnings (Last)01-21 2025-01-21/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners70.41%
Inst Owner Change0%
Ins Owners1.36%
Ins Owner Change0.81%
Market Cap2.82B
Analysts52.73
Price Target25.5 (13.69%)
Short Float %2.01%
Short Ratio3.55
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 3.7%
Yearly Dividend0.8
Dividend Growth(5Y)5.79%
DP81.16%
Div Incr Years13
Div Non Decr Years34
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)7.16%
Min EPS beat(2)5.5%
Max EPS beat(2)8.82%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)7.18%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.93%
Max EPS beat(4)15.34%
EPS beat(8)6
Avg EPS beat(8)2.49%
EPS beat(12)9
Avg EPS beat(12)3.5%
EPS beat(16)13
Avg EPS beat(16)8.87%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-10.29%
Min Revenue beat(2)-16.37%
Max Revenue beat(2)-4.21%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-10.2%
Min Revenue beat(4)-16.37%
Max Revenue beat(4)-4.21%
Revenue beat(8)0
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.24%
Revenue beat(12)0
Avg Revenue beat(12)-7.21%
Revenue beat(16)1
Avg Revenue beat(16)-5.74%
PT rev (1m)3.31%
PT rev (3m)14.16%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)2.25%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)3.03%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-0.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.66%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 15.91
Fwd PE 13.57
P/S 3.78
P/FCF 3.9
P/OCF 3.69
P/B 0.8
P/tB 1.34
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.41
EY6.29%
EPS(NY)1.65
Fwd EY7.37%
FCF(TTM)5.75
FCFY25.64%
OCF(TTM)6.08
OCFY27.11%
SpS5.93
BVpS28.1
TBVpS16.78
PEG (NY)0.93
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 0.47%
ROE 3.64%
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 17.22%
GM N/A
FCFM 96.98%
ROA(3y)0.89%
ROA(5y)0.99%
ROE(3y)7.1%
ROE(5y)7.56%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3Y-9.16%
PM growth 5Y-6.84%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.03
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.12
Debt/FCF 0.6
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 88.43%
Cap/Sales 5.56%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality 563%
Current Ratio N/A
Quick Ratio N/A
Altman-Z N/A
F-Score5
WACC17.15%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)80.88%
Cap/Depr(5y)91.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.73%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.84%
Profit Quality(3y)162.28%
Profit Quality(5y)128.05%
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-11.32%
EPS 3Y-17.05%
EPS 5Y-10.24%
EPS Q2Q%-2.5%
EPS Next Y17.19%
EPS Next 2Y17.7%
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)N/A
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5YN/A
Sales Q2Q%17.4%
Revenue Next Year8.96%
Revenue Next 2Y8.48%
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1YN/A
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y192.16%
FCF growth 3Y38.98%
FCF growth 5Y20.82%
OCF growth 1Y168.79%
OCF growth 3Y38.76%
OCF growth 5Y18.97%