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ORIGIN AGRITECH LTD (SEED) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:SEED - Nasdaq - VGG678282051 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

2.02  -0.02 (-0.98%)

After market: 2.08 +0.06 (+2.97%)

Fundamental Rating

2

Taking everything into account, SEED scores 2 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. SEED was compared to 90 industry peers in the Food Products industry. Both the profitability and financial health of SEED have multiple concerns. While showing a medium growth rate, SEED is valued expensive at the moment.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

2

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year SEED was profitable.
In the past 5 years SEED reported 4 times negative net income.
SEED had negative operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
SEED Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSEED Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 50M -50M -100M -150M

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 25.85%, SEED belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 98.81% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 25.85%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-19.44%
ROA(5y)-23.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
SEED Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSEED Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500 1K

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of SEED (48.43%) is better than 100.00% of its industry peers.
SEED's Gross Margin of 16.91% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. SEED is outperformed by 61.90% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SEED has declined.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 48.43%
GM 16.91%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y40.49%
GM growth 5Y-16.57%
SEED Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSEED Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -2K -4K -6K -8K -10K

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

SEED does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for SEED remains at a similar level compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, SEED has more shares outstanding
SEED has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
SEED Yearly Shares OutstandingSEED Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 1M 2M 3M 4M 5M
SEED Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSEED Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -4.04, we must say that SEED is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
The Altman-Z score of SEED (-4.04) is worse than 85.71% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -4.04
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC6.12%
SEED Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSEED Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M 200M

2.3 Liquidity

SEED has a Current Ratio of 0.42. This is a bad value and indicates that SEED is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
SEED has a worse Current ratio (0.42) than 95.24% of its industry peers.
SEED has a Quick Ratio of 0.42. This is a bad value and indicates that SEED is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of SEED (0.33) is worse than 86.90% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.42
Quick Ratio 0.33
SEED Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSEED Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 665.98% over the past year.
SEED shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 64.94%.
SEED shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 48.55% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)665.98%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%226.09%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)64.94%
Revenue growth 3Y21.13%
Revenue growth 5Y48.55%
Sales Q2Q%39.24%

3.2 Future

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
EPS Next YN/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

No EPS estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future EPS growth and evolution.
No Revenue estimates are available, so we could not analyze the future revenue growth and evolution.
SEED Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSEED Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M
SEED Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSEED Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

2

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

A Price/Earnings ratio of 1.76 indicates a rather cheap valuation of SEED.
100.00% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SEED, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 29.62. SEED is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 1.76
Fwd PE N/A
SEED Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSEED Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 0 0 0 0

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
SEED Per share dataSEED EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 1 -1 2

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

SEED does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

ORIGIN AGRITECH LTD

NASDAQ:SEED (2/21/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 2.08 +0.06 (+2.97%)

2.02

-0.02 (-0.98%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Staples
GICS IndustryGroupFood, Beverage & Tobacco
GICS IndustryFood Products
Earnings (Last)01-08 2024-01-08
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners1.88%
Inst Owner Change34.63%
Ins Owners11.07%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap14.54M
Analysts60
Price TargetN/A
Short Float %2.36%
Short Ratio2.15
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)N/A
PT rev (3m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)N/A
EPS NY rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (3m)N/A
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 1.76
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.88
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)1.15
EY56.93%
EPS(NY)N/A
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)N/A
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)N/A
OCFYN/A
SpS2.28
BVpS-1.07
TBVpS-1.13
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 25.85%
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) 48.43%
GM 16.91%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-19.44%
ROA(5y)-23.11%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y40.49%
GM growth 5Y-16.57%
F-ScoreN/A
Asset Turnover0.53
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr N/A
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.42
Quick Ratio 0.33
Altman-Z -4.04
F-ScoreN/A
WACC6.12%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)108.9%
Cap/Depr(5y)65.34%
Cap/Sales(3y)5.24%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.15%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)665.98%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%226.09%
EPS Next YN/A
EPS Next 2YN/A
EPS Next 3YN/A
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)64.94%
Revenue growth 3Y21.13%
Revenue growth 5Y48.55%
Sales Q2Q%39.24%
Revenue Next YearN/A
Revenue Next 2YN/A
Revenue Next 3YN/A
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y29.3%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next YearN/A
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-754.26%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-265.33%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A