SHOE CARNIVAL INC (SCVL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:SCVL - Nasdaq - US8248891090 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
SCVL gets a fundamental rating of 6 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 121 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. SCVL gets an excellent profitability rating and is at the same time showing great financial health properties. SCVL is valued quite cheap, but it does not seem to be growing. Finally SCVL also has an excellent dividend rating. With these ratings, SCVL could be worth investigating further for value and dividend investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
SCVL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year SCVL had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years SCVL has always been profitable.
SCVL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
SCVL has a Return On Assets of 6.56%. This is in the better half of the industry: SCVL outperforms 75.21% of its industry peers.
SCVL has a better Return On Equity (11.37%) than 67.77% of its industry peers.
SCVL has a better Return On Invested Capital (6.99%) than 62.81% of its industry peers.
SCVL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 9.38%. This is below the industry average of 13.57%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.56% | ||
| ROE | 11.37% | ||
| ROIC | 6.99% |
ROA(3y)8.24%
ROA(5y)9.26%
ROE(3y)14.96%
ROE(5y)16.86%
ROIC(3y)9.38%
ROIC(5y)11.19%
1.3 Margins
The Profit Margin of SCVL (6.13%) is better than 80.17% of its industry peers.
SCVL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
SCVL has a better Operating Margin (7.60%) than 77.69% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SCVL has grown nicely.
SCVL's Gross Margin of 35.65% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. SCVL outperforms 48.76% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SCVL has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.13% | ||
| GM | 35.65% |
OM growth 3Y-21.41%
OM growth 5Y7.37%
PM growth 3Y-19.24%
PM growth 5Y8.18%
GM growth 3Y-3.44%
GM growth 5Y3.45%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SCVL is creating some value.
SCVL has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for SCVL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
SCVL has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
SCVL has an Altman-Z score of 3.36. This indicates that SCVL is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
SCVL's Altman-Z score of 3.36 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SCVL outperforms 79.34% of its industry peers.
SCVL has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.36 |
ROIC/WACC0.75
WACC9.26%
2.3 Liquidity
A Current Ratio of 4.11 indicates that SCVL has no problem at all paying its short term obligations.
The Current ratio of SCVL (4.11) is better than 95.04% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.15 indicates that SCVL should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 1.15, SCVL is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 78.51% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 4.11 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.15 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
SCVL shows a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has grown by 0.74%.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 13.49% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.30% in the past year.
SCVL shows a small growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 3.02% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.74%
EPS 3Y-20.48%
EPS 5Y13.49%
EPS Q2Q%-8.47%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.3%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.3%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-6.15%
3.2 Future
SCVL is expected to show a small growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 3.07% yearly.
Based on estimates for the next years, SCVL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 1.49% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-27.13%
EPS Next 2Y-10.98%
EPS Next 3Y3.07%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-1.7%
Revenue Next 2Y1.16%
Revenue Next 3Y1.49%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
SCVL is valuated cheaply with a Price/Earnings ratio of 6.51.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SCVL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 91.74% of the companies are valued more expensively.
SCVL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 28.92, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 8.93, which indicates a very decent valuation of SCVL.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SCVL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 79.34% of the companies are valued more expensively.
SCVL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 21.65, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.93 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SCVL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 92.56% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SCVL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 86.78% of the companies are valued more expensively.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 6.92 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.93 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The decent profitability rating of SCVL may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.48
EPS Next 2Y-10.98%
EPS Next 3Y3.07%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
SCVL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 3.48%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
The stock price of SCVL dropped by -37.57% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 5.62, SCVL pays a better dividend. On top of this SCVL pays more dividend than 87.60% of the companies listed in the same industry.
SCVL's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.51.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.48% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of SCVL grows each year by 22.78%, which is quite nice.
SCVL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
SCVL has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.78%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
5.3 Sustainability
SCVL pays out 19.94% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
The dividend of SCVL is growing, but the earnings are growing slower. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP19.94%
EPS Next 2Y-10.98%
EPS Next 3Y3.07%
NASDAQ:SCVL (4/25/2025, 9:53:34 AM)
17.7
-0.56 (-3.07%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners72.23%
Inst Owner Change0.82%
Ins Owners32.66%
Ins Owner Change3.9%
Market Cap480.91M
Analysts80
Price Target28.56 (61.36%)
Short Float %21.49%
Short Ratio6.23
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 3.48% |
Yearly Dividend0.54
Dividend Growth(5Y)22.78%
DP19.94%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)13.03%
Min EPS beat(2)3.89%
Max EPS beat(2)22.17%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)7.22%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.35%
Max EPS beat(4)22.17%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-3.12%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-1.51%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)18.45%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-5.53%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.99%
Max Revenue beat(2)-5.07%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-3.06%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.99%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.02%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.52%
Revenue beat(12)1
Avg Revenue beat(12)-3.84%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.06%
PT rev (1m)-42.86%
PT rev (3m)-42.86%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-50%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-62.03%
EPS NY rev (1m)-35.72%
EPS NY rev (3m)-35.72%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-6.03%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-11.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-6.96%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-6.96%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 6.51 | ||
| Fwd PE | 8.93 | ||
| P/S | 0.4 | ||
| P/FCF | 6.92 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.69 | ||
| P/B | 0.74 | ||
| P/tB | 0.82 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 2.93 |
EPS(TTM)2.72
EY15.37%
EPS(NY)1.98
Fwd EY11.2%
FCF(TTM)2.56
FCFY14.45%
OCF(TTM)3.78
OCFY21.34%
SpS44.27
BVpS23.89
TBVpS21.72
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.48
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.56% | ||
| ROE | 11.37% | ||
| ROCE | 9.2% | ||
| ROIC | 6.99% | ||
| ROICexc | 7.98% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.56% | ||
| OM | 7.6% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.13% | ||
| GM | 35.65% | ||
| FCFM | 5.78% |
ROA(3y)8.24%
ROA(5y)9.26%
ROE(3y)14.96%
ROE(5y)16.86%
ROIC(3y)9.38%
ROIC(5y)11.19%
ROICexc(3y)10.44%
ROICexc(5y)13.23%
ROICexgc(3y)11.1%
ROICexgc(5y)14.18%
ROCE(3y)12.35%
ROCE(5y)14.73%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-36.11%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-1.96%
ROICexc growth 3Y-35.75%
ROICexc growth 5Y-3.33%
OM growth 3Y-21.41%
OM growth 5Y7.37%
PM growth 3Y-19.24%
PM growth 5Y8.18%
GM growth 3Y-3.44%
GM growth 5Y3.45%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.07
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 106.75% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 2.76% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 322.97 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 83.81% | ||
| Profit Quality | 94.19% | ||
| Current Ratio | 4.11 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.15 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.36 |
F-Score5
WACC9.26%
ROIC/WACC0.75
Cap/Depr(3y)211.8%
Cap/Depr(5y)175.89%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.56%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.46%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)0.74%
EPS 3Y-20.48%
EPS 5Y13.49%
EPS Q2Q%-8.47%
EPS Next Y-27.13%
EPS Next 2Y-10.98%
EPS Next 3Y3.07%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.3%
Revenue growth 3Y-3.3%
Revenue growth 5Y3.02%
Sales Q2Q%-6.15%
Revenue Next Year-1.7%
Revenue Next 2Y1.16%
Revenue Next 3Y1.49%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-2.21%
EBIT growth 3Y-24.01%
EBIT growth 5Y10.61%
EBIT Next Year7.07%
EBIT Next 3YN/A
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y4.52%
FCF growth 3Y-15.83%
FCF growth 5Y7.5%
OCF growth 1Y-16.39%
OCF growth 3Y-11.47%
OCF growth 5Y8.94%