SHOE CARNIVAL INC (SCVL)
US8248891090 - Common Stock
Taking everything into account, SCVL scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. SCVL was compared to 123 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. SCVL has outstanding health and profitabily ratings, belonging to the best of the industry. This is a solid base for any company. SCVL scores decently on growth, while it is valued quite cheap. This could make an interesting combination. With these ratings, SCVL could be worth investigating further for value investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
SCVL had positive earnings in the past year.
In the past year SCVL had a positive cash flow from operations.
SCVL had positive earnings in each of the past 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years SCVL had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
SCVL has a Return On Assets of 6.93%. This is in the better half of the industry: SCVL outperforms 76.03% of its industry peers.
SCVL's Return On Equity of 12.49% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SCVL outperforms 69.42% of its industry peers.
SCVL has a Return On Invested Capital of 7.95%. This is in the better half of the industry: SCVL outperforms 68.59% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for SCVL is above the industry average of 12.26%.
The 3 year average ROIC (14.99%) for SCVL is well above the current ROIC(7.95%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.93% | ||
| ROE | 12.49% | ||
| ROIC | 7.95% |
ROA(3y)12.41%
ROA(5y)9.31%
ROE(3y)22.58%
ROE(5y)17.47%
ROIC(3y)14.99%
ROIC(5y)11.39%
1.3 Margins
With an excellent Profit Margin value of 6.27%, SCVL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 80.99% of the companies in the same industry.
SCVL's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
With an excellent Operating Margin value of 8.15%, SCVL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SCVL has grown nicely.
SCVL's Gross Margin of 36.02% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. SCVL outperforms 48.76% of its industry peers.
SCVL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 8.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.27% | ||
| GM | 36.02% |
OM growth 3Y45.92%
OM growth 5Y10.46%
PM growth 3Y56.16%
PM growth 5Y11.07%
GM growth 3Y7.73%
GM growth 5Y3.61%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SCVL is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, SCVL has less shares outstanding
The number of shares outstanding for SCVL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
SCVL has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 3.85 indicates that SCVL is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
SCVL has a Altman-Z score of 3.85. This is amongst the best in the industry. SCVL outperforms 80.17% of its industry peers.
There is no outstanding debt for SCVL. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | 3.85 |
ROIC/WACC0.84
WACC9.52%
2.3 Liquidity
SCVL has a Current Ratio of 3.36. This indicates that SCVL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
SCVL has a better Current ratio (3.36) than 93.39% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.70 indicates that SCVL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of SCVL (0.70) is better than 61.98% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.7 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for SCVL have decreased strongly by -12.80% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, SCVL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 17.32% on average per year.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.05% in the past year.
Measured over the past years, SCVL shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.69% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.8%
EPS 3Y69.95%
EPS 5Y17.32%
EPS Q2Q%16.9%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.05%
Revenue growth 3Y6.38%
Revenue growth 5Y2.69%
Sales Q2Q%12.93%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 8.49% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
SCVL is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 6.39% yearly.
EPS Next Y1.37%
EPS Next 2Y9.43%
EPS Next 3Y8.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.67%
Revenue Next 2Y6.35%
Revenue Next 3Y6.39%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 11.71, the valuation of SCVL can be described as very reasonable.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of SCVL indicates a rather cheap valuation: SCVL is cheaper than 80.99% of the companies listed in the same industry.
SCVL's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 28.65.
SCVL is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 10.35.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, SCVL is valued cheaper than 81.82% of the companies in the same industry.
SCVL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.56, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.71 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.35 |
4.2 Price Multiples
SCVL's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SCVL is cheaper than 83.47% of the companies in the same industry.
SCVL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. SCVL is cheaper than 87.60% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 9.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.22 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
SCVL has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)8.54
PEG (5Y)0.68
EPS Next 2Y9.43%
EPS Next 3Y8.49%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
SCVL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.60%.
The stock price of SCVL dropped by -23.68% in the last 3 months. With lower prices the dividend yield is higher, but it may be a sign investors do not trust the long term dividend.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.09, SCVL pays a better dividend. On top of this SCVL pays more dividend than 80.17% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to the average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.23, SCVL is paying slightly less dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
5.2 History
On average, the dividend of SCVL grows each year by 24.73%, which is quite nice.
SCVL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
SCVL has not decreased their dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)24.73%
Div Incr Years11
Div Non Decr Years11
5.3 Sustainability
SCVL pays out 17.94% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
SCVL's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP17.94%
EPS Next 2Y9.43%
EPS Next 3Y8.49%
SHOE CARNIVAL INC
NASDAQ:SCVL (11/20/2024, 8:00:02 PM)
After market: 33.89 +0.41 (+1.22%)33.48
-0.19 (-0.56%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners
Inst Owner Change
Ins Owners
Ins Owner Change
Market Cap909.65M
Analysts
Price Target
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
Dividend Growth(5Y)
DP
Div Incr Years
Div Non Decr Years
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)
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Revenue beat(2)
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PT rev (1m)
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EPS NY rev (3m)
Revenue NQ rev (1m)
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Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11.71 | ||
| Fwd PE | 10.35 | ||
| P/S | |||
| P/FCF | |||
| P/OCF | |||
| P/B | |||
| P/tB | |||
| EV/EBITDA |
EPS(TTM)
EY
EPS(NY)
Fwd EY
FCF(TTM)
FCFY
OCF(TTM)
OCFY
SpS
BVpS
TBVpS
PEG (NY)8.54
PEG (5Y)0.68
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.93% | ||
| ROE | 12.49% | ||
| ROCE | |||
| ROIC | |||
| ROICexc | |||
| ROICexgc | |||
| OM | 8.15% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.27% | ||
| GM | 36.02% | ||
| FCFM |
ROA(3y)
ROA(5y)
ROE(3y)
ROE(5y)
ROIC(3y)
ROIC(5y)
ROICexc(3y)
ROICexc(5y)
ROICexgc(3y)
ROICexgc(5y)
ROCE(3y)
ROCE(5y)
ROICexcg growth 3Y
ROICexcg growth 5Y
ROICexc growth 3Y
ROICexc growth 5Y
OM growth 3Y
OM growth 5Y
PM growth 3Y
PM growth 5Y
GM growth 3Y
GM growth 5Y
F-Score
Asset Turnover1.11
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | |||
| Debt/EBITDA | |||
| Cap/Depr | |||
| Cap/Sales | |||
| Interest Coverage | |||
| Cash Conversion | |||
| Profit Quality | |||
| Current Ratio | 3.36 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.7 | ||
| Altman-Z |
F-Score
WACC
ROIC/WACC
Cap/Depr(3y)
Cap/Depr(5y)
Cap/Sales(3y)
Cap/Sales(5y)
Profit Quality(3y)
Profit Quality(5y)
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-12.8%
EPS 3Y69.95%
EPS 5Y
EPS Q2Q%
EPS Next Y1.37%
EPS Next 2Y
EPS Next 3Y
EPS Next 5Y
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.05%
Revenue growth 3Y6.38%
Revenue growth 5Y
Sales Q2Q%
Revenue Next Year
Revenue Next 2Y
Revenue Next 3Y
Revenue Next 5Y
EBIT growth 1Y
EBIT growth 3Y
EBIT growth 5Y
EBIT Next Year
EBIT Next 3Y
EBIT Next 5Y
FCF growth 1Y
FCF growth 3Y
FCF growth 5Y
OCF growth 1Y
OCF growth 3Y
OCF growth 5Y