SHOE CARNIVAL INC (SCVL)
US8248891090 - Common Stock
Taking everything into account, SCVL scores 7 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. SCVL was compared to 119 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. Both the health and profitability get an excellent rating, making SCVL a very profitable company, without any liquidiy or solvency issues. SCVL is valued quite cheap, while showing a decent growth score. This is a good combination! With these ratings, SCVL could be worth investigating further for value investing!.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
SCVL had positive earnings in the past year.
SCVL had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
Each year in the past 5 years SCVL has been profitable.
SCVL had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
SCVL's Return On Assets of 6.64% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SCVL outperforms 75.00% of its industry peers.
SCVL's Return On Equity of 11.74% is fine compared to the rest of the industry. SCVL outperforms 68.10% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of SCVL (7.43%) is better than 63.79% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SCVL is above the industry average of 12.38%.
The 3 year average ROIC (14.99%) for SCVL is well above the current ROIC(7.43%). The reason for the recent decline needs to be investigated.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.64% | ||
| ROE | 11.74% | ||
| ROIC | 7.43% |
ROA(3y)12.41%
ROA(5y)9.31%
ROE(3y)22.58%
ROE(5y)17.47%
ROIC(3y)14.99%
ROIC(5y)11.39%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 6.12%, SCVL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.17% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of SCVL has grown nicely.
SCVL has a better Operating Margin (7.97%) than 79.31% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SCVL has grown nicely.
SCVL has a Gross Margin of 35.80%. This is comparable to the rest of the industry: SCVL outperforms 48.28% of its industry peers.
SCVL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 7.97% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.12% | ||
| GM | 35.8% |
OM growth 3Y45.92%
OM growth 5Y10.46%
PM growth 3Y56.16%
PM growth 5Y11.07%
GM growth 3Y7.73%
GM growth 5Y3.61%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
SCVL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
SCVL has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for SCVL has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
There is no outstanding debt for SCVL. This means it has a Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratio of 0 and it is amongst the best of the sector and industry.
2.2 Solvency
SCVL has no outstanding debt. Therefor its Debt/Equity and Debt/FCF ratios are 0 and belong to the best of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
ROIC/WACC0.72
WACC10.34%
2.3 Liquidity
SCVL has a Current Ratio of 3.88. This indicates that SCVL is financially healthy and has no problem in meeting its short term obligations.
With an excellent Current ratio value of 3.88, SCVL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 94.83% of the companies in the same industry.
A Quick Ratio of 0.89 indicates that SCVL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
With a decent Quick ratio value of 0.89, SCVL is doing good in the industry, outperforming 73.28% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 3.88 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The earnings per share for SCVL have decreased by -4.48% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, SCVL shows a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 17.32% on average per year.
SCVL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.83%.
The Revenue has been growing slightly by 2.69% on average over the past years.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.48%
EPS 3Y69.95%
EPS 5Y17.32%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.83%
Revenue growth 3Y6.38%
Revenue growth 5Y2.69%
Sales Q2Q%-4.07%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, SCVL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 8.49% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, SCVL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 5.15% on average per year.
EPS Next Y-0.77%
EPS Next 2Y6.87%
EPS Next 3Y8.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year3.59%
Revenue Next 2Y4.45%
Revenue Next 3Y5.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
The Revenue growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
SCVL is valuated reasonably with a Price/Earnings ratio of 10.93.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Earnings ratio of SCVL indicates a rather cheap valuation: SCVL is cheaper than 87.93% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 27.28, SCVL is valued rather cheaply.
With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 9.82, the valuation of SCVL can be described as very reasonable.
86.21% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SCVL, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
SCVL is valuated cheaply when we compare the Price/Forward Earnings ratio to 23.53, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.82 |
4.2 Price Multiples
Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, SCVL is valued cheaply inside the industry as 87.93% of the companies are valued more expensively.
85.34% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than SCVL, based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 11.12 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.62 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
SCVL has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.63
EPS Next 2Y6.87%
EPS Next 3Y8.49%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.76%, SCVL has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
In the last 3 months the price of SCVL has falen by -23.79%. A price decline artificially increases the dividend yield. It may be a sign investors do not expect the dividend to last.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 3.41, SCVL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
SCVL's Dividend Yield is slightly below the S&P500 average, which is at 2.33.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.76% |
5.2 History
The dividend of SCVL is nicely growing with an annual growth rate of 24.73%!
SCVL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
SCVL has not decreased its dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record of non decreasing dividend.
Dividend Growth(5Y)24.73%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
5.3 Sustainability
19.20% of the earnings are spent on dividend by SCVL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
SCVL's earnings are growing slower than its dividend. This means the dividend growth is not sustainable.
DP19.2%
EPS Next 2Y6.87%
EPS Next 3Y8.49%
SHOE CARNIVAL INC
NASDAQ:SCVL (1/14/2025, 8:04:38 PM)
After market: 30.28 0 (0%)30.28
-0.41 (-1.34%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners68.69%
Inst Owner Change-0.03%
Ins Owners34.66%
Ins Owner Change2.75%
Market Cap822.71M
Analysts80
Price Target49.98 (65.06%)
Short Float %14.79%
Short Ratio5.98
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.76% |
Dividend Growth(5Y)24.73%
DP19.2%
Div Incr Years12
Div Non Decr Years12
Ex-Date
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)0.77%
Min EPS beat(2)-2.35%
Max EPS beat(2)3.89%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)1.05%
Min EPS beat(4)-2.51%
Max EPS beat(4)5.16%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-6.24%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)1.78%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)17.07%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.12%
Min Revenue beat(2)-5.07%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.17%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.07%
Min Revenue beat(4)-5.07%
Max Revenue beat(4)-0.02%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.76%
Revenue beat(12)2
Avg Revenue beat(12)-2.54%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)0.31%
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)-2.97%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-21.43%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-4.02%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.73%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-2.2%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.97%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 10.93 | ||
| Fwd PE | 9.82 | ||
| P/S | 0.67 | ||
| P/FCF | 11.12 | ||
| P/OCF | 7.38 | ||
| P/B | 1.29 | ||
| P/tB | 1.43 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 5.62 |
EPS(TTM)2.77
EY9.15%
EPS(NY)3.08
Fwd EY10.18%
FCF(TTM)2.72
FCFY8.99%
OCF(TTM)4.1
OCFY13.55%
SpS44.91
BVpS23.4
TBVpS21.22
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.63
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 6.64% | ||
| ROE | 11.74% | ||
| ROCE | 9.84% | ||
| ROIC | 7.43% | ||
| ROICexc | 8.19% | ||
| ROICexgc | 8.76% | ||
| OM | 7.97% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 6.12% | ||
| GM | 35.8% | ||
| FCFM | 6.06% |
ROA(3y)12.41%
ROA(5y)9.31%
ROE(3y)22.58%
ROE(5y)17.47%
ROIC(3y)14.99%
ROIC(5y)11.39%
ROICexc(3y)17.72%
ROICexc(5y)13.45%
ROICexgc(3y)19.1%
ROICexgc(5y)14.28%
ROCE(3y)19.85%
ROCE(5y)15.08%
ROICexcg growth 3Y25.97%
ROICexcg growth 5Y-7.05%
ROICexc growth 3Y23.6%
ROICexc growth 5Y-8.11%
OM growth 3Y45.92%
OM growth 5Y10.46%
PM growth 3Y56.16%
PM growth 5Y11.07%
GM growth 3Y7.73%
GM growth 5Y3.61%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.09
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 0 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 123.4% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 3.07% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 87.3% | ||
| Profit Quality | 99.15% | ||
| Current Ratio | 3.88 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | N/A |
F-Score5
WACC10.34%
ROIC/WACC0.72
Cap/Depr(3y)231.89%
Cap/Depr(5y)176.3%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.42%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.26%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-4.48%
EPS 3Y69.95%
EPS 5Y17.32%
EPS Q2Q%-11.25%
EPS Next Y-0.77%
EPS Next 2Y6.87%
EPS Next 3Y8.49%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.83%
Revenue growth 3Y6.38%
Revenue growth 5Y2.69%
Sales Q2Q%-4.07%
Revenue Next Year3.59%
Revenue Next 2Y4.45%
Revenue Next 3Y5.15%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-4.79%
EBIT growth 3Y55.23%
EBIT growth 5Y13.43%
EBIT Next Year31.83%
EBIT Next 3Y16.85%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y361.43%
FCF growth 3Y9.24%
FCF growth 5Y-0.07%
OCF growth 1Y140.7%
OCF growth 3Y24.64%
OCF growth 5Y10.62%