SAIA INC (SAIA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:SAIA - Nasdaq - US78709Y1055 - Common Stock - Currency: USD
Taking everything into account, SAIA scores 5 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. SAIA was compared to 41 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. While SAIA belongs to the best of the industry regarding profitability, there are some minor concerns on its financial health. SAIA is valied quite expensively at the moment, while it does show a decent growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year SAIA was profitable.
SAIA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years SAIA has always been profitable.
Each year in the past 5 years SAIA had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
SAIA's Return On Assets of 11.43% is amongst the best of the industry. SAIA outperforms 90.24% of its industry peers.
SAIA has a better Return On Equity (15.67%) than 68.29% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of SAIA (12.82%) is better than 92.68% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SAIA is significantly above the industry average of 7.89%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.43% | ||
| ROE | 15.67% | ||
| ROIC | 12.82% |
ROA(3y)13.87%
ROA(5y)12.85%
ROE(3y)18.86%
ROE(5y)18.34%
ROIC(3y)15.73%
ROIC(5y)14.87%
1.3 Margins
SAIA has a Profit Margin of 11.28%. This is in the better half of the industry: SAIA outperforms 78.05% of its industry peers.
SAIA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 15.16%, SAIA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.93% of the companies in the same industry.
SAIA's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Looking at the Gross Margin, with a value of 72.99%, SAIA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 82.93% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SAIA has remained more or less at the same level.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.28% | ||
| GM | 72.99% |
OM growth 3Y1.57%
OM growth 5Y12.17%
PM growth 3Y0.66%
PM growth 5Y12.13%
GM growth 3Y0.27%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
SAIA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
SAIA has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for SAIA has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
SAIA has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
SAIA has an Altman-Z score of 8.72. This indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
SAIA has a better Altman-Z score (8.72) than 90.24% of its industry peers.
SAIA has a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.08. This is a healthy value indicating a solid balance between debt and equity.
SAIA has a better Debt to Equity ratio (0.08) than 85.37% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 8.72 |
ROIC/WACC1.39
WACC9.19%
2.3 Liquidity
SAIA has a Current Ratio of 1.57. This is a normal value and indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
SAIA's Current ratio of 1.57 is amongst the best of the industry. SAIA outperforms 85.37% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 1.57 indicates that SAIA should not have too much problems paying its short term obligations.
SAIA has a Quick ratio of 1.57. This is amongst the best in the industry. SAIA outperforms 87.80% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.57 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 1.81% over the past year.
SAIA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been growing by 25.67% yearly.
SAIA shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 11.37%.
SAIA shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 12.43% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.81%
EPS 3Y12.53%
EPS 5Y25.67%
EPS Q2Q%-14.71%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.37%
Revenue growth 3Y11.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.43%
Sales Q2Q%5.04%
3.2 Future
The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 14.51% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.47% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y10.13%
EPS Next 2Y15.77%
EPS Next 3Y15.5%
EPS Next 5Y14.51%
Revenue Next Year8.11%
Revenue Next 2Y8.57%
Revenue Next 3Y8.31%
Revenue Next 5Y8.47%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
SAIA is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 24.76.
SAIA's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. SAIA is cheaper than 63.41% of the companies in the same industry.
When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of SAIA to the average of the S&P500 Index (28.29), we can say SAIA is valued inline with the index average.
The Price/Forward Earnings ratio is 22.49, which indicates a rather expensive current valuation of SAIA.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Forward Earnings ratio as SAIA.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 21.08. SAIA is around the same levels.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.49 |
4.2 Price Multiples
The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as SAIA.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.05 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates SAIA does not grow enough to justify the current Price/Earnings ratio.
SAIA has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as SAIA's earnings are expected to grow with 15.50% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)2.44
PEG (5Y)0.96
EPS Next 2Y15.77%
EPS Next 3Y15.5%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for SAIA!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
334.55
+16.05 (+5.04%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners112.63%
Inst Owner Change0.23%
Ins Owners0.19%
Ins Owner Change2.32%
Market Cap8.91B
Analysts80
Price Target513.39 (53.46%)
Short Float %6.6%
Short Ratio3.88
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-2.08%
Min EPS beat(2)-3.94%
Max EPS beat(2)-0.21%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-3.55%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.24%
Max EPS beat(4)-0.21%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-0.8%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)0.31%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)2.88%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.68%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.7%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.66%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.42%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.66%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.94%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.29%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.53%
PT rev (1m)-3.6%
PT rev (3m)-6.62%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.59%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-12.56%
EPS NY rev (1m)-4.48%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.39%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.59%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-1.35%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.62%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-1.26%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 24.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 22.49 | ||
| P/S | 2.78 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 15.26 | ||
| P/B | 3.85 | ||
| P/tB | 3.88 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 13.05 |
EPS(TTM)13.51
EY4.04%
EPS(NY)14.88
Fwd EY4.45%
FCF(TTM)-17.27
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)21.92
OCFY6.55%
SpS120.51
BVpS86.79
TBVpS86.17
PEG (NY)2.44
PEG (5Y)0.96
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 11.43% | ||
| ROE | 15.67% | ||
| ROCE | 16.85% | ||
| ROIC | 12.82% | ||
| ROICexc | 12.91% | ||
| ROICexgc | 12.98% | ||
| OM | 15.16% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.28% | ||
| GM | 72.99% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)13.87%
ROA(5y)12.85%
ROE(3y)18.86%
ROE(5y)18.34%
ROIC(3y)15.73%
ROIC(5y)14.87%
ROICexc(3y)17.22%
ROICexc(5y)16.06%
ROICexgc(3y)17.38%
ROICexgc(5y)16.23%
ROCE(3y)20.67%
ROCE(5y)19.54%
ROICexcg growth 3Y-10.36%
ROICexcg growth 5Y5.2%
ROICexc growth 3Y-10.13%
ROICexc growth 5Y5.47%
OM growth 3Y1.57%
OM growth 5Y12.17%
PM growth 3Y0.66%
PM growth 5Y12.13%
GM growth 3Y0.27%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.01
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.28 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 496.68% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 32.52% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 63.2 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 83.78% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Altman-Z | 8.72 |
F-Score4
WACC9.19%
ROIC/WACC1.39
Cap/Depr(3y)325.45%
Cap/Depr(5y)269.91%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.31%
Cap/Sales(5y)17.22%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)1.81%
EPS 3Y12.53%
EPS 5Y25.67%
EPS Q2Q%-14.71%
EPS Next Y10.13%
EPS Next 2Y15.77%
EPS Next 3Y15.5%
EPS Next 5Y14.51%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)11.37%
Revenue growth 3Y11.93%
Revenue growth 5Y12.43%
Sales Q2Q%5.04%
Revenue Next Year8.11%
Revenue Next 2Y8.57%
Revenue Next 3Y8.31%
Revenue Next 5Y8.47%
EBIT growth 1Y5.49%
EBIT growth 3Y13.69%
EBIT growth 5Y26.1%
EBIT Next Year61.99%
EBIT Next 3Y28.9%
EBIT Next 5Y20.96%
FCF growth 1Y-433.07%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y1%
OCF growth 3Y15.12%
OCF growth 5Y16.42%