SAIA INC (SAIA) Stock Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:SAIA - Nasdaq - US78709Y1055 - Common Stock
Overall SAIA gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. We evaluated SAIA against 38 industry peers in the Ground Transportation industry. SAIA scores excellent on profitability, but there are some minor concerns on its financial health. While showing a medium growth rate, SAIA is valued expensive at the moment.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year SAIA was profitable.
SAIA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In the past 5 years SAIA has always been profitable.
In the past 5 years SAIA always reported a positive cash flow from operatings.
1.2 Ratios
SAIA has a better Return On Assets (12.17%) than 92.11% of its industry peers.
The Return On Equity of SAIA (16.81%) is better than 65.79% of its industry peers.
SAIA has a Return On Invested Capital of 13.79%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SAIA outperforms 92.11% of its industry peers.
The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for SAIA is significantly above the industry average of 7.67%.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 12.17% | ||
| ROE | 16.81% | ||
| ROIC | 13.79% |
ROA(3y)14.63%
ROA(5y)12.17%
ROE(3y)20.55%
ROE(5y)18%
ROIC(3y)17%
ROIC(5y)14.31%
1.3 Margins
Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 11.83%, SAIA is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 76.32% of the companies in the same industry.
SAIA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
SAIA's Operating Margin of 15.61% is amongst the best of the industry. SAIA outperforms 81.58% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SAIA has grown nicely.
SAIA has a better Gross Margin (72.73%) than 81.58% of its industry peers.
SAIA's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 15.61% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.83% | ||
| GM | 72.73% |
OM growth 3Y17.96%
OM growth 5Y13.4%
PM growth 3Y17.51%
PM growth 5Y14.17%
GM growth 3Y-1.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
SAIA has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
SAIA has about the same amout of shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, SAIA has more shares outstanding
SAIA has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
An Altman-Z score of 11.61 indicates that SAIA is not in any danger for bankruptcy at the moment.
SAIA has a better Altman-Z score (11.61) than 94.74% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.08 indicates that SAIA is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.08, SAIA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 81.58% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Altman-Z | 11.61 |
ROIC/WACC1.49
WACC9.24%
2.3 Liquidity
SAIA has a Current Ratio of 1.26. This is a normal value and indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.26, SAIA perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.89% of the companies in the same industry.
SAIA has a Quick Ratio of 1.26. This is a normal value and indicates that SAIA is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of SAIA (1.26) is better than 60.53% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
The Earnings Per Share has grown by an nice 11.20% over the past year.
Measured over the past years, SAIA shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 27.36% on average per year.
The Revenue has grown by 13.83% in the past year. This is quite good.
The Revenue has been growing by 11.74% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.2%
EPS 3Y36.65%
EPS 5Y27.36%
EPS Q2Q%-5.72%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.83%
Revenue growth 3Y16.5%
Revenue growth 5Y11.74%
Sales Q2Q%8.64%
3.2 Future
SAIA is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.78% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 9.23% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y4.08%
EPS Next 2Y10.63%
EPS Next 3Y14.23%
EPS Next 5Y13.78%
Revenue Next Year11.71%
Revenue Next 2Y10.54%
Revenue Next 3Y10.56%
Revenue Next 5Y9.23%
3.3 Evolution
The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
With a Price/Earnings ratio of 36.11, SAIA can be considered very expensive at the moment.
SAIA's Price/Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.29. SAIA is valued slightly more expensive when compared to this.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 31.13, the valuation of SAIA can be described as expensive.
SAIA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is in line with the industry average.
SAIA's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 24.44.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36.11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 31.13 |
4.2 Price Multiples
SAIA's Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio is a bit more expensive when compared to the industry. SAIA is more expensive than 65.79% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.85 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
SAIA has an outstanding profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as SAIA's earnings are expected to grow with 14.23% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)8.85
PEG (5Y)1.32
EPS Next 2Y10.63%
EPS Next 3Y14.23%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
No dividends for SAIA!.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
SAIA INC
NASDAQ:SAIA (1/21/2025, 8:25:25 PM)
After market: 505.6 0 (0%)505.6
+18.71 (+3.84%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryGround Transportation
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners111.16%
Inst Owner Change0.22%
Ins Owners0.16%
Ins Owner Change-1.57%
Market Cap13.45B
Analysts79.23
Price Target549.79 (8.74%)
Short Float %6.31%
Short Ratio4.83
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-5.09%
Min EPS beat(2)-6.24%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.94%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-3%
Min EPS beat(4)-6.24%
Max EPS beat(4)1.97%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)-1.8%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)0.79%
EPS beat(16)9
Avg EPS beat(16)3.78%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-2.03%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.35%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.7%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.3%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.98%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.15%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-2.03%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.07%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.53%
PT rev (1m)5.43%
PT rev (3m)14.94%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-24.5%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-2.76%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-2.01%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.12%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.12%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 36.11 | ||
| Fwd PE | 31.13 | ||
| P/S | 4.24 | ||
| P/FCF | N/A | ||
| P/OCF | 23.16 | ||
| P/B | 6.03 | ||
| P/tB | 6.07 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 18.85 |
EPS(TTM)14
EY2.77%
EPS(NY)16.24
Fwd EY3.21%
FCF(TTM)-14.81
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)21.83
OCFY4.32%
SpS119.22
BVpS83.89
TBVpS83.26
PEG (NY)8.85
PEG (5Y)1.32
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 12.17% | ||
| ROE | 16.81% | ||
| ROCE | 18.09% | ||
| ROIC | 13.79% | ||
| ROICexc | 13.87% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.95% | ||
| OM | 15.61% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 11.83% | ||
| GM | 72.73% | ||
| FCFM | N/A |
ROA(3y)14.63%
ROA(5y)12.17%
ROE(3y)20.55%
ROE(5y)18%
ROIC(3y)17%
ROIC(5y)14.31%
ROICexc(3y)18.89%
ROICexc(5y)15.49%
ROICexgc(3y)19.09%
ROICexgc(5y)15.68%
ROCE(3y)22.3%
ROCE(5y)18.77%
ROICexcg growth 3Y17.81%
ROICexcg growth 5Y8.58%
ROICexc growth 3Y18.11%
ROICexc growth 5Y8.93%
OM growth 3Y17.96%
OM growth 5Y13.4%
PM growth 3Y17.51%
PM growth 5Y14.17%
GM growth 3Y-1.64%
GM growth 5Y-0.19%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.03
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 0.08 | ||
| Debt/FCF | N/A | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 0.26 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 483.27% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 30.73% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 250 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 83.35% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 1.26 | ||
| Altman-Z | 11.61 |
F-Score4
WACC9.24%
ROIC/WACC1.49
Cap/Depr(3y)227.1%
Cap/Depr(5y)218.88%
Cap/Sales(3y)13.64%
Cap/Sales(5y)13.94%
Profit Quality(3y)35.57%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)11.2%
EPS 3Y36.65%
EPS 5Y27.36%
EPS Q2Q%-5.72%
EPS Next Y4.08%
EPS Next 2Y10.63%
EPS Next 3Y14.23%
EPS Next 5Y13.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)13.83%
Revenue growth 3Y16.5%
Revenue growth 5Y11.74%
Sales Q2Q%8.64%
Revenue Next Year11.71%
Revenue Next 2Y10.54%
Revenue Next 3Y10.56%
Revenue Next 5Y9.23%
EBIT growth 1Y12.22%
EBIT growth 3Y37.42%
EBIT growth 5Y26.72%
EBIT Next Year51.12%
EBIT Next 3Y27.12%
EBIT Next 5Y20.88%
FCF growth 1Y-902.59%
FCF growth 3Y20.97%
FCF growth 5Y33.39%
OCF growth 1Y26.49%
OCF growth 3Y23.2%
OCF growth 5Y17.65%