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SAFRAN SA (SAF.PA) Stock Fundamental Analysis

EPA:SAF - Euronext Paris - Matif - FR0000073272 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

227.5  +6.6 (+2.99%)

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to SAF. SAF was compared to 40 industry peers in the Aerospace & Defense industry. SAF has an average financial health and profitability rating. SAF is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

SAF had positive earnings in the past year.
SAF had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years SAF reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
Each year in the past 5 years SAF had a positive operating cash flow.
SAF.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFSAF.PA Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B

1.2 Ratios

SAF has a worse Return On Assets (-1.21%) than 72.50% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of -6.55%, SAF is doing worse than 70.00% of the companies in the same industry.
SAF has a Return On Invested Capital of 16.38%. This is amongst the best in the industry. SAF outperforms 95.00% of its industry peers.
SAF had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 12.75%. This is above the industry average of 8.80%.
The last Return On Invested Capital (16.38%) for SAF is above the 3 year average (12.75%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.21%
ROE -6.55%
ROIC 16.38%
ROA(3y)0.12%
ROA(5y)0.27%
ROE(3y)-0.14%
ROE(5y)0.55%
ROIC(3y)12.75%
ROIC(5y)9.35%
SAF.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICSAF.PA Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

1.3 Margins

Looking at the Operating Margin, with a value of 14.48%, SAF belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 92.50% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of SAF has remained more or less at the same level.
With a decent Gross Margin value of 47.88%, SAF is doing good in the industry, outperforming 80.00% of the companies in the same industry.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of SAF has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 14.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 47.88%
OM growth 3Y23.88%
OM growth 5Y0.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.28%
GM growth 5Y0.81%
SAF.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsSAF.PA Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 40

5

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), SAF is creating value.
SAF has more shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
SAF has less shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for SAF has been reduced compared to a year ago.
SAF.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingSAF.PA Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 100M 200M 300M 400M
SAF.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsSAF.PA Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B 40B 50B

2.2 Solvency

SAF has an Altman-Z score of 2.03. This is not the best score and indicates that SAF is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
With a Altman-Z score value of 2.03, SAF perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 47.50% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SAF is 1.50, which is an excellent value as it means it would take SAF, only 1.50 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
The Debt to FCF ratio of SAF (1.50) is better than 90.00% of its industry peers.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.46 indicates that SAF is not too dependend on debt financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 0.46, SAF is in the better half of the industry, outperforming 77.50% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.46
Debt/FCF 1.5
Altman-Z 2.03
ROIC/WACC2.09
WACC7.84%
SAF.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFSAF.PA Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B 8B 10B

2.3 Liquidity

SAF has a Current Ratio of 0.84. This is a bad value and indicates that SAF is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
SAF has a Current ratio of 0.84. This is amonst the worse of the industry: SAF underperforms 80.00% of its industry peers.
SAF has a Quick Ratio of 0.84. This is a bad value and indicates that SAF is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
The Quick ratio of SAF (0.59) is worse than 70.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.84
Quick Ratio 0.59
SAF.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesSAF.PA Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 10B 20B 30B

6

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 55.11% over the past year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 3.53% on average over the past years.
The Revenue has grown by 17.19% in the past year. This is quite good.
Measured over the past years, SAF shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 2.00% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)55.11%
EPS 3Y61.52%
EPS 5Y3.53%
EPS Q2Q%74.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.19%
Revenue growth 3Y22.35%
Revenue growth 5Y2%
Sales Q2Q%16.45%

3.2 Future

SAF is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 11.59% yearly.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 9.08% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y9.69%
EPS Next 2Y17.96%
EPS Next 3Y16.36%
EPS Next 5Y11.59%
Revenue Next Year15.64%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3Y11.1%
Revenue Next 5Y9.08%

3.3 Evolution

When comparing the EPS growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
SAF.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesSAF.PA Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 10B 20B 30B
SAF.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesSAF.PA Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 5 10 15

3

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

With a Price/Earnings ratio of 31.21, SAF can be considered very expensive at the moment.
Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, SAF is valued a bit cheaper than 65.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 28.92, SAF is valued at the same level.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 28.45, the valuation of SAF can be described as expensive.
SAF's Price/Forward Earnings is on the same level as the industry average.
SAF's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a valuation a bit more expensive than the S&P500 average which is at 21.65.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.21
Fwd PE 28.45
SAF.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsSAF.PA Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 10 20 30 40

4.2 Price Multiples

The rest of the industry has a similar Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio as SAF.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, SAF is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 67.50% of the companies are valued more expensively.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 28.67
EV/EBITDA 16.69
SAF.PA Per share dataSAF.PA EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The high PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates an expensive valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as SAF's earnings are expected to grow with 16.36% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)3.22
PEG (5Y)8.85
EPS Next 2Y17.96%
EPS Next 3Y16.36%

3

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

SAF has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.37%. Purely for dividend investing, there may be better candidates out there.
SAF's Dividend Yield is a higher than the industry average which is at 1.37.
Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 2.51, SAF's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.37%

5.2 History

The dividend of SAF has a limited annual growth rate of 3.72%.
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.72%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
SAF.PA Yearly Dividends per shareSAF.PA Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2019 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5

5.3 Sustainability

SAF has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
SAF's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP-136.58%
EPS Next 2Y17.96%
EPS Next 3Y16.36%
SAF.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendSAF.PA Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B

SAFRAN SA

EPA:SAF (4/25/2025, 9:12:20 AM)

227.5

+6.6 (+2.99%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryAerospace & Defense
Earnings (Last)02-14 2025-02-14/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-25 2025-04-25
Inst Owners40.36%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners0.01%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap96.38B
Analysts77.5
Price Target272.51 (19.78%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 1.37%
Yearly Dividend2.19
Dividend Growth(5Y)3.72%
DP-136.58%
Div Incr Years3
Div Non Decr Years3
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)N/A
Avg EPS beat(2)N/A
Min EPS beat(2)N/A
Max EPS beat(2)N/A
EPS beat(4)N/A
Avg EPS beat(4)N/A
Min EPS beat(4)N/A
Max EPS beat(4)N/A
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(2)N/A
Min Revenue beat(2)N/A
Max Revenue beat(2)N/A
Revenue beat(4)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(4)N/A
Min Revenue beat(4)N/A
Max Revenue beat(4)N/A
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)3.71%
PT rev (3m)12.98%
EPS NQ rev (1m)N/A
EPS NQ rev (3m)N/A
EPS NY rev (1m)-2.67%
EPS NY rev (3m)-3.35%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)N/A
Revenue NQ rev (3m)N/A
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.8%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 31.21
Fwd PE 28.45
P/S 3.48
P/FCF 28.67
P/OCF 20.36
P/B 9.47
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 16.69
EPS(TTM)7.29
EY3.2%
EPS(NY)8
Fwd EY3.51%
FCF(TTM)7.93
FCFY3.49%
OCF(TTM)11.17
OCFY4.91%
SpS65.43
BVpS24.02
TBVpS-6.39
PEG (NY)3.22
PEG (5Y)8.85
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -1.21%
ROE -6.55%
ROCE 22.84%
ROIC 16.38%
ROICexc 26.1%
ROICexgc N/A
OM 14.48%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 47.88%
FCFM 12.13%
ROA(3y)0.12%
ROA(5y)0.27%
ROE(3y)-0.14%
ROE(5y)0.55%
ROIC(3y)12.75%
ROIC(5y)9.35%
ROICexc(3y)19.92%
ROICexc(5y)14.09%
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)17.77%
ROCE(5y)13.1%
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3Y74.31%
ROICexc growth 5Y13.81%
OM growth 3Y23.88%
OM growth 5Y0.08%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-0.28%
GM growth 5Y0.81%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover0.5
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.46
Debt/FCF 1.5
Debt/EBITDA 0.86
Cap/Depr 97.58%
Cap/Sales 4.95%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 87.34%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.84
Quick Ratio 0.59
Altman-Z 2.03
F-Score6
WACC7.84%
ROIC/WACC2.09
Cap/Depr(3y)80.08%
Cap/Depr(5y)68.41%
Cap/Sales(3y)4.6%
Cap/Sales(5y)4.57%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)55.11%
EPS 3Y61.52%
EPS 5Y3.53%
EPS Q2Q%74.78%
EPS Next Y9.69%
EPS Next 2Y17.96%
EPS Next 3Y16.36%
EPS Next 5Y11.59%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)17.19%
Revenue growth 3Y22.35%
Revenue growth 5Y2%
Sales Q2Q%16.45%
Revenue Next Year15.64%
Revenue Next 2Y13.32%
Revenue Next 3Y11.1%
Revenue Next 5Y9.08%
EBIT growth 1Y22.2%
EBIT growth 3Y51.57%
EBIT growth 5Y2.08%
EBIT Next Year49.58%
EBIT Next 3Y22.95%
EBIT Next 5Y15.29%
FCF growth 1Y7.59%
FCF growth 3Y24.71%
FCF growth 5Y9.69%
OCF growth 1Y10.84%
OCF growth 3Y24.78%
OCF growth 5Y8.52%