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RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC (RYA.I) Stock Fundamental Analysis

DUB:RYA - Euronext Dublin - IE00BYTBXV33 - Common Stock - Currency: EUR

20.39  -0.46 (-2.21%)

Fundamental Rating

5

RYA gets a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 12 industry peers in the Passenger Airlines industry. While RYA has a great health rating, its profitability is only average at the moment. RYA is not valued too expensively and it also shows a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

6

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

RYA had positive earnings in the past year.
RYA had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: RYA reported negative net income in multiple years.
RYA had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
RYA.I Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFRYA.I Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B

1.2 Ratios

With an excellent Return On Assets value of 10.16%, RYA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 91.67% of the companies in the same industry.
With a decent Return On Equity value of 20.37%, RYA is doing good in the industry, outperforming 75.00% of the companies in the same industry.
With an excellent Return On Invested Capital value of 14.46%, RYA belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.16%
ROE 20.37%
ROIC 14.46%
ROA(3y)5.86%
ROA(5y)2.75%
ROE(3y)14.71%
ROE(5y)7.09%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
RYA.I Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICRYA.I Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40

1.3 Margins

The Profit Margin of RYA (12.04%) is better than 91.67% of its industry peers.
RYA's Profit Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
RYA has a better Operating Margin (12.38%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Operating Margin of RYA has grown nicely.
RYA has a Gross Margin of 39.29%. This is amonst the worse of the industry: RYA underperforms 91.67% of its industry peers.
RYA's Gross Margin has been stable in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 12.38%
PM (TTM) 12.04%
GM 39.29%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y3.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y4.4%
GM growth 3Y17.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.7%
RYA.I Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsRYA.I Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 20 -20 40 -40 -60

7

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), RYA is creating value.
Compared to 1 year ago, RYA has about the same amount of shares outstanding.
Compared to 5 years ago, RYA has more shares outstanding
The debt/assets ratio for RYA has been reduced compared to a year ago.
RYA.I Yearly Shares OutstandingRYA.I Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
RYA.I Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsRYA.I Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5B 10B 15B

2.2 Solvency

RYA has an Altman-Z score of 2.50. This is not the best score and indicates that RYA is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.50, RYA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
The Debt to FCF ratio of RYA is 1.91, which is an excellent value as it means it would take RYA, only 1.91 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 1.91, RYA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 100.00% of the companies in the same industry.
A Debt/Equity ratio of 0.22 indicates that RYA is not too dependend on debt financing.
RYA's Debt to Equity ratio of 0.22 is amongst the best of the industry. RYA outperforms 100.00% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF 1.91
Altman-Z 2.5
ROIC/WACC2.33
WACC6.21%
RYA.I Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFRYA.I Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 0 2B -2B 4B 6B

2.3 Liquidity

RYA has a Current Ratio of 0.86. This is a bad value and indicates that RYA is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
RYA's Current ratio of 0.86 is amongst the best of the industry. RYA outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.86 indicates that RYA may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.86, RYA belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.86
Quick Ratio 0.86
RYA.I Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesRYA.I Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2B 4B 6B

4

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for RYA have decreased strongly by -15.93% in the last year.
The Earnings Per Share has been growing by 16.75% on average over the past years. This is quite good.
Looking at the last year, RYA shows a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 5.34% in the last year.
Measured over the past years, RYA shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 11.80% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y16.75%
EPS Q2Q%946.15%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.34%
Revenue growth 3Y101.8%
Revenue growth 5Y11.8%
Sales Q2Q%9.65%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 7.07% on average over the next years.
RYA is expected to show a small growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 5.22% yearly.
EPS Next Y-12.92%
EPS Next 2Y5.23%
EPS Next 3Y6.38%
EPS Next 5Y7.07%
Revenue Next Year3.4%
Revenue Next 2Y5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y5.7%
Revenue Next 5Y5.22%

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
RYA.I Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesRYA.I Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 5B 10B 15B
RYA.I Yearly EPS VS EstimatesRYA.I Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 0 1 2 3 4

4

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

RYA is valuated correctly with a Price/Earnings ratio of 13.68.
91.67% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than RYA, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
RYA's Price/Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 29.35.
RYA is valuated reasonably with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 11.03.
Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of RYA indicates a rather expensive valuation: RYA more expensive than 91.67% of the companies listed in the same industry.
The average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio is at 22.10. RYA is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.68
Fwd PE 11.03
RYA.I Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsRYA.I Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

75.00% of the companies in the same industry are cheaper than RYA, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
The rest of the industry has a similar Price/Free Cash Flow ratio as RYA.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 7.68
EV/EBITDA 3.77
RYA.I Per share dataRYA.I EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 5 10 15 20 25

4.3 Compensation for Growth

The decent profitability rating of RYA may justify a higher PE ratio.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.82
EPS Next 2Y5.23%
EPS Next 3Y6.38%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

RYA does not give a dividend.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

RYANAIR HOLDINGS PLC

DUB:RYA (3/7/2025, 7:00:00 PM)

20.39

-0.46 (-2.21%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupTransportation
GICS IndustryPassenger Airlines
Earnings (Last)01-27 2025-01-27/bmo
Earnings (Next)05-19 2025-05-19/amc
Inst Owners44.26%
Inst Owner ChangeN/A
Ins Owners4.24%
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap10.88B
Analysts76
Price Target22.82 (11.92%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly Dividend0.18
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DP23.85%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)84.98%
Min EPS beat(2)0.65%
Max EPS beat(2)169.31%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)29.19%
Min EPS beat(4)-38.77%
Max EPS beat(4)169.31%
EPS beat(8)4
Avg EPS beat(8)11.78%
EPS beat(12)6
Avg EPS beat(12)11.34%
EPS beat(16)8
Avg EPS beat(16)7.35%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.47%
Min Revenue beat(2)-2.22%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.27%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)-2.32%
Min Revenue beat(4)-9.46%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.27%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)-1.15%
Revenue beat(12)7
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.43%
Revenue beat(16)7
Avg Revenue beat(16)-2.57%
PT rev (1m)3.47%
PT rev (3m)7.55%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.21%
EPS NY rev (1m)2.26%
EPS NY rev (3m)4.67%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.67%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 13.68
Fwd PE 11.03
P/S 0.79
P/FCF 7.68
P/OCF 3.66
P/B 1.33
P/tB 1.36
EV/EBITDA 3.77
EPS(TTM)1.49
EY7.31%
EPS(NY)1.85
Fwd EY9.07%
FCF(TTM)2.66
FCFY13.02%
OCF(TTM)5.56
OCFY27.29%
SpS25.91
BVpS15.32
TBVpS15.04
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)0.82
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 10.16%
ROE 20.37%
ROCE 15.96%
ROIC 14.46%
ROICexc 19.45%
ROICexgc 19.81%
OM 12.38%
PM (TTM) 12.04%
GM 39.29%
FCFM 10.25%
ROA(3y)5.86%
ROA(5y)2.75%
ROE(3y)14.71%
ROE(5y)7.09%
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5Y12.31%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y12.38%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y3.02%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y4.4%
GM growth 3Y17.31%
GM growth 5Y-0.7%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover0.84
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 0.22
Debt/FCF 1.91
Debt/EBITDA 0.63
Cap/Depr 134.11%
Cap/Sales 11.22%
Interest Coverage 23.63
Cash Conversion 103.48%
Profit Quality 85.11%
Current Ratio 0.86
Quick Ratio 0.86
Altman-Z 2.5
F-Score5
WACC6.21%
ROIC/WACC2.33
Cap/Depr(3y)199.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)145.26%
Cap/Sales(3y)20.06%
Cap/Sales(5y)17%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-15.93%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y16.75%
EPS Q2Q%946.15%
EPS Next Y-12.92%
EPS Next 2Y5.23%
EPS Next 3Y6.38%
EPS Next 5Y7.07%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)5.34%
Revenue growth 3Y101.8%
Revenue growth 5Y11.8%
Sales Q2Q%9.65%
Revenue Next Year3.4%
Revenue Next 2Y5.13%
Revenue Next 3Y5.7%
Revenue Next 5Y5.22%
EBIT growth 1Y-21.25%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y15.17%
EBIT Next Year39.84%
EBIT Next 3Y21.06%
EBIT Next 5Y15.34%
FCF growth 1Y30.63%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5Y10.22%
OCF growth 1Y7.79%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y12.41%