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RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS (RRGB) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:RRGB - Nasdaq - US75689M1018 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

4.89  +0.06 (+1.24%)

After market: 4.89 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

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Taking everything into account, RRGB scores 1 out of 10 in our fundamental rating. RRGB was compared to 135 industry peers in the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure industry. RRGB has a bad profitability rating. Also its financial health evaluation is rather negative. RRGB does not seem to be growing, but still is valued expensively.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

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1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

RRGB had negative earnings in the past year.
RRGB had a negative operating cash flow in the past year.
RRGB had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
RRGB had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
RRGB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFRRGB Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M -100M -200M

1.2 Ratios

The Return On Assets of RRGB (-7.70%) is worse than 83.97% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -7.7%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-5.86%
ROA(5y)-9.31%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
RRGB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICRRGB Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -500 -1K

1.3 Margins

RRGB's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
RRGB has a worse Gross Margin (19.33%) than 87.79% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of RRGB has remained more or less at the same level.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for RRGB so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 19.33%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-41.68%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.9%
GM growth 5Y-0.02%
RRGB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsRRGB Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20 -20 -30

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2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

RRGB does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for RRGB has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
Compared to 5 years ago, RRGB has more shares outstanding
RRGB has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
RRGB Yearly Shares OutstandingRRGB Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 5M 10M 15M
RRGB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsRRGB Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.44, we must say that RRGB is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.44, RRGB is in line with its industry, outperforming 46.56% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.44
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC11.17%
RRGB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFRRGB Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 100M 200M 300M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.44 indicates that RRGB may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
RRGB has a worse Current ratio (0.44) than 77.10% of its industry peers.
RRGB has a Quick Ratio of 0.44. This is a bad value and indicates that RRGB is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
RRGB has a Quick ratio of 0.29. This is amonst the worse of the industry: RRGB underperforms 84.73% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.44
Quick Ratio 0.29
RRGB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesRRGB Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 50M 100M 150M 200M

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3. Growth

3.1 Past

The earnings per share for RRGB have decreased strongly by -44.13% in the last year.
RRGB shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -0.91%.
RRGB shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -0.54% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)-44.13%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-43.04%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.91%
Revenue growth 3Y14.47%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.54%
Sales Q2Q%-1.05%

3.2 Future

Based on estimates for the next years, RRGB will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 11.53% on average per year.
The Revenue is expected to decrease by -0.63% on average over the next years.
EPS Next Y-110.37%
EPS Next 2Y-9.67%
EPS Next 3Y11.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-4.15%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.67%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.63%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The Revenue growth rate is stable: in the next years the growth will be about the same than in the last years.
RRGB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesRRGB Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B
RRGB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesRRGB Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 0 -5 -10

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4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

RRGB reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Also next year RRGB is expected to report negative earnings again, which makes the also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
RRGB Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsRRGB Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 10 20 30 40 50

4.2 Price Multiples

Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of RRGB indicates a rather cheap valuation: RRGB is cheaper than 90.08% of the companies listed in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.34
RRGB Per share dataRRGB EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60 80

4.3 Compensation for Growth

PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y-9.67%
EPS Next 3Y11.53%

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5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for RRGB!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

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RED ROBIN GOURMET BURGERS

NASDAQ:RRGB (2/21/2025, 8:00:01 PM)

After market: 4.89 0 (0%)

4.89

+0.06 (+1.24%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)11-06 2024-11-06/amc
Earnings (Next)02-26 2025-02-26/amc
Inst Owners56.67%
Inst Owner Change-78.77%
Ins Owners5.76%
Ins Owner Change25.07%
Market Cap77.21M
Analysts78.18
Price Target9.44 (93.05%)
Short Float %18.96%
Short Ratio8.69
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-9.42%
Min EPS beat(2)-15.64%
Max EPS beat(2)-3.2%
EPS beat(4)0
Avg EPS beat(4)-21.3%
Min EPS beat(4)-40.66%
Max EPS beat(4)-3.2%
EPS beat(8)3
Avg EPS beat(8)1.38%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-30.02%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-368.77%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-0.09%
Min Revenue beat(2)-0.55%
Max Revenue beat(2)0.36%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-0.96%
Min Revenue beat(4)-3.01%
Max Revenue beat(4)0.36%
Revenue beat(8)2
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.93%
Revenue beat(12)3
Avg Revenue beat(12)-1.21%
Revenue beat(16)4
Avg Revenue beat(16)-1.97%
PT rev (1m)5.71%
PT rev (3m)4.23%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-15.54%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-15.54%
EPS NY rev (1m)-1.19%
EPS NY rev (3m)-13.27%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.92%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.92%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.16%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.16%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 0.06
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF N/A
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 6.34
EPS(TTM)-3.07
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-1.73
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-3.07
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)-1.06
OCFYN/A
SpS80.58
BVpS-3.38
TBVpS-4.24
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -7.7%
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 19.33%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-5.86%
ROA(5y)-9.31%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y-41.68%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y7.9%
GM growth 5Y-0.02%
F-Score4
Asset Turnover1.9
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 4.86
Cap/Depr 54.03%
Cap/Sales 2.5%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.44
Quick Ratio 0.29
Altman-Z 1.44
F-Score4
WACC11.17%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)58.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)52.64%
Cap/Sales(3y)3.48%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.47%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)-44.13%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%-43.04%
EPS Next Y-110.37%
EPS Next 2Y-9.67%
EPS Next 3Y11.53%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-0.91%
Revenue growth 3Y14.47%
Revenue growth 5Y-0.54%
Sales Q2Q%-1.05%
Revenue Next Year-4.15%
Revenue Next 2Y-1.67%
Revenue Next 3Y-0.63%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y-402.07%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y-41.99%
EBIT Next Year206.89%
EBIT Next 3Y74.97%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-5958.88%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y-134.47%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A