Ranger Oil Corporation (ROCC) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation

NASDAQ:ROCC • US70788V1026

37.47 USD
-0.75 (-1.96%)
At close: Jun 16, 2023
37.72 USD
+0.25 (+0.67%)
After Hours: 6/16/2023, 8:00:02 PM

This ROCC fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.

Fundamental Rating

5

We assign a fundamental rating of 5 out of 10 to ROCC. ROCC was compared to 207 industry peers in the Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels industry. There are concerns on the financial health of ROCC while its profitability can be described as average. ROCC has both an excellent growth and valuation score. This means it is growing and it is still cheap. This is a rare combination!


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

5

1. ROCC Profitability Analysis

1.1 Basic Checks

  • In the past year ROCC was profitable.
  • ROCC had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
ROCC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFROCC Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

1.2 Ratios

  • Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of 13.40%, ROCC is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.40% of the companies in the same industry.
  • Looking at the Return On Equity, with a value of 52.59%, ROCC belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 83.41% of the companies in the same industry.
  • The Return On Invested Capital of ROCC (27.30%) is better than 77.58% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 13.4%
ROE 52.59%
ROIC 27.3%
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROCC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICROCC Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 100 200 300 400 500

1.3 Margins

  • Looking at the Profit Margin, with a value of 24.39%, ROCC is in line with its industry, outperforming 55.61% of the companies in the same industry.
  • In the last couple of years the Profit Margin of ROCC has remained more or less at the same level.
  • With an excellent Operating Margin value of 54.67%, ROCC belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 82.06% of the companies in the same industry.
  • ROCC's Operating Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
  • ROCC's Gross Margin of 82.58% is amongst the best of the industry. ROCC outperforms 86.55% of its industry peers.
  • ROCC's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 54.67%
PM (TTM) 24.39%
GM 82.58%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y12.22%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-1.4%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y2.5%
ROCC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsROCC Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 200 400 600

2

2. ROCC Health Analysis

2.1 Basic Checks

  • ROCC has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is well above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating value.
  • ROCC has less shares outstanding than it did 1 year ago.
  • Compared to 1 year ago, ROCC has an improved debt to assets ratio.
ROCC Yearly Shares OutstandingROCC Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 10M 20M 30M 40M
ROCC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsROCC Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 500M 1B 1.5B 2B

2.2 Solvency

  • ROCC has an Altman-Z score of 1.98. This is not the best score and indicates that ROCC is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
  • ROCC's Altman-Z score of 1.98 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. ROCC outperforms 53.36% of its industry peers.
  • ROCC has a Debt/Equity ratio of 1.18. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
  • ROCC's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.18 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. ROCC is outperformed by 73.54% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.18
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z 1.98
ROIC/WACC2.95
WACC9.25%
ROCC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFROCC Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 200M 400M 600M

2.3 Liquidity

  • A Current Ratio of 0.71 indicates that ROCC may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
  • ROCC has a Current ratio of 0.71. This is in the lower half of the industry: ROCC underperforms 75.78% of its industry peers.
  • ROCC has a Quick Ratio of 0.71. This is a bad value and indicates that ROCC is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
  • ROCC has a Quick ratio of 0.65. This is in the lower half of the industry: ROCC underperforms 75.78% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.71
Quick Ratio 0.65
ROCC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesROCC Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 100M 200M 300M

8

3. ROCC Growth Analysis

3.1 Past

  • The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 48.47% over the past year.
  • Measured over the past years, ROCC shows a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS has been growing by 28.69% on average per year.
  • ROCC shows a strong growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 53.45%.
  • Measured over the past years, ROCC shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 48.22% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)48.47%
EPS 3Y4.65%
EPS 5Y28.69%
EPS Q2Q%-47.79%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)53.45%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y48.22%
Sales Q2Q%0.66%

3.2 Future

  • ROCC is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 15.22% yearly.
  • ROCC is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 11.79% yearly.
EPS Next Y18.11%
EPS Next 2Y18.43%
EPS Next 3Y15.22%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year5.46%
Revenue Next 2Y9.64%
Revenue Next 3Y11.79%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

  • The estimated forward EPS growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
  • The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
ROCC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesROCC Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 500M 1B 1.5B
ROCC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesROCC Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2015 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 0 5 10 15

7

4. ROCC Valuation Analysis

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

  • With a Price/Earnings ratio of 4.08, the valuation of ROCC can be described as very cheap.
  • ROCC's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. ROCC is cheaper than 76.23% of the companies in the same industry.
  • When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of ROCC to the average of the S&P500 Index (26.46), we can say ROCC is valued rather cheaply.
  • ROCC is valuated cheaply with a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 2.60.
  • Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of ROCC indicates a rather cheap valuation: ROCC is cheaper than 95.96% of the companies listed in the same industry.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 24.65, ROCC is valued rather cheaply.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.08
Fwd PE 2.6
ROCC Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsROCC Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 5 10 15 20 25

4.2 Price Multiples

  • 94.17% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than ROCC, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA 1.47
ROCC Per share dataROCC EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 20 40 60

4.3 Compensation for Growth

  • ROCC's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
  • A more expensive valuation may be justified as ROCC's earnings are expected to grow with 15.22% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)0.14
EPS Next 2Y18.43%
EPS Next 3Y15.22%

0

5. ROCC Dividend Analysis

5.1 Amount

  • With a yearly dividend of 0.80%, ROCC is not a good candidate for dividend investing.
  • ROCC's Dividend Yield is slightly below the industry average, which is at 3.41.
  • Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.82, ROCC's dividend is way lower than the S&P500 average.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.8%

5.2 History

  • ROCC does not have a reliable dividend history as it only pays dividend since a couple or years.
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
ROCC Yearly Dividends per shareROCC Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2022 2023 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

5.3 Sustainability

DPN/A
EPS Next 2Y18.43%
EPS Next 3Y15.22%
ROCC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendROCC Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 0 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

ROCC Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics

Ranger Oil Corporation

NASDAQ:ROCC (6/16/2023, 8:00:02 PM)

After market: 37.72 +0.25 (+0.67%)

37.47

-0.75 (-1.96%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorEnergy
GICS IndustryGroupEnergy
GICS IndustryOil, Gas & Consumable Fuels
Earnings (Last)05-08
Earnings (Next)07-31
Inst Owners0%
Inst Owner Change-98.78%
Ins OwnersN/A
Ins Owner ChangeN/A
Market Cap712.30M
Revenue(TTM)1.15B
Net Income(TTM)279.68M
Analysts78.18
Price Target51.82 (38.3%)
Short Float %N/A
Short RatioN/A
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 0.8%
Yearly Dividend0.07
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)0
Avg EPS beat(2)-36.6%
Min EPS beat(2)-54.98%
Max EPS beat(2)-18.22%
EPS beat(4)1
Avg EPS beat(4)-19.38%
Min EPS beat(4)-54.98%
Max EPS beat(4)1.53%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.01%
Min Revenue beat(2)-4.71%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.3%
Revenue beat(4)2
Avg Revenue beat(4)9.54%
Min Revenue beat(4)-4.71%
Max Revenue beat(4)31.3%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)-1.55%
PT rev (3m)-3.05%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-11.26%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)-8.17%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-15.65%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-4.92%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 4.08
Fwd PE 2.6
P/S 0.62
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 1.01
P/B 1.34
P/tB 1.34
EV/EBITDA 1.47
EPS(TTM)9.19
EY24.53%
EPS(NY)14.41
Fwd EY38.44%
FCF(TTM)-0.92
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)36.92
OCFY98.53%
SpS60.33
BVpS27.98
TBVpS27.98
PEG (NY)0.23
PEG (5Y)0.14
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA 13.4%
ROE 52.59%
ROCE N/A
ROIC 27.3%
ROICexc 27.49%
ROICexgc 27.49%
OM 54.67%
PM (TTM) 24.39%
GM 82.58%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)N/A
ROA(5y)N/A
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5Y30.35%
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5Y30.35%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5Y12.22%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5Y-1.4%
GM growth 3YN/A
GM growth 5Y2.5%
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.55
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 1.18
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA 0.69
Cap/Depr 257.94%
Cap/Sales N/A
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.71
Quick Ratio 0.65
Altman-Z 1.98
F-Score8
WACC9.25%
ROIC/WACC2.95
Cap/Depr(3y)N/A
Cap/Depr(5y)N/A
Cap/Sales(3y)N/A
Cap/Sales(5y)N/A
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)48.47%
EPS 3Y4.65%
EPS 5Y28.69%
EPS Q2Q%-47.79%
EPS Next Y18.11%
EPS Next 2Y18.43%
EPS Next 3Y15.22%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)53.45%
Revenue growth 3YN/A
Revenue growth 5Y48.22%
Sales Q2Q%0.66%
Revenue Next Year5.46%
Revenue Next 2Y9.64%
Revenue Next 3Y11.79%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y47.44%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5Y66.33%
EBIT Next Year25.3%
EBIT Next 3Y15.89%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y72.61%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y133.69%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5Y52.57%

Ranger Oil Corporation / ROCC FAQ

What is the fundamental rating for ROCC stock?

ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 6 / 10 to ROCC.


Can you provide the valuation status for Ranger Oil Corporation?

ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 8 / 10 to Ranger Oil Corporation (ROCC). This can be considered as Undervalued.


How profitable is Ranger Oil Corporation (ROCC) stock?

Ranger Oil Corporation (ROCC) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.


Can you provide the PE and PB ratios for ROCC stock?

The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for Ranger Oil Corporation (ROCC) is 4.08 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 1.34.


Can you provide the expected EPS growth for ROCC stock?

The Earnings per Share (EPS) of Ranger Oil Corporation (ROCC) is expected to grow by 18.11% in the next year.