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REALREAL INC/THE (REAL) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NASDAQ:REAL - Nasdaq - US88339P1012 - Common Stock

9.93  +0.41 (+4.31%)

After market: 9.93 0 (0%)

Fundamental Rating

2

We assign a fundamental rating of 2 out of 10 to REAL. REAL was compared to 119 industry peers in the Specialty Retail industry. Both the profitability and financial health of REAL have multiple concerns. REAL is quite expensive at the moment. It does show a decent growth rate.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

1

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

REAL had negative earnings in the past year.
In the past year REAL had a positive cash flow from operations.
In the past 5 years REAL always reported negative net income.
REAL had a negative operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
REAL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFREAL Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 -50M -100M -150M -200M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -21.52%, REAL is doing worse than 85.34% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.52%
ROE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROA(3y)-33.63%
ROA(5y)-30.36%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
REAL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICREAL Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 500 1K 1.5K

1.3 Margins

REAL's Gross Margin of 74.42% is amongst the best of the industry. REAL outperforms 97.41% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of REAL has remained more or less at the same level.
The Profit Margin and Operating Margin are not available for REAL so they could not be analyzed.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 74.42%
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.07%
GM growth 5Y1.35%
REAL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsREAL Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 20 -20 40 -40 60

0

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

REAL does not have a ROIC to compare to the WACC, probably because it is not profitable.
The number of shares outstanding for REAL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
REAL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
REAL has a worse debt/assets ratio than last year.
REAL Yearly Shares OutstandingREAL Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 20M 40M 60M 80M 100M
REAL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsREAL Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M

2.2 Solvency

Based on the Altman-Z score of -2.36, we must say that REAL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
REAL has a Altman-Z score of -2.36. This is amonst the worse of the industry: REAL underperforms 88.79% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Altman-Z -2.36
ROIC/WACCN/A
WACC8.95%
REAL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFREAL Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M 400M

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.94 indicates that REAL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
REAL has a worse Current ratio (0.94) than 80.17% of its industry peers.
A Quick Ratio of 0.85 indicates that REAL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
REAL's Quick ratio of 0.85 is fine compared to the rest of the industry. REAL outperforms 70.69% of its industry peers.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.94
Quick Ratio 0.85
REAL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesREAL Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 100M 200M 300M 400M 500M

5

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has grown by an impressive 62.73% over the past year.
REAL shows a small growth in Revenue. In the last year, the Revenue has grown by 2.50%.
The Revenue has been growing by 20.78% on average over the past years. This is a very strong growth!
EPS 1Y (TTM)62.73%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%40%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.5%
Revenue growth 3Y22.35%
Revenue growth 5Y20.78%
Sales Q2Q%10.95%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 18.40% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
The Revenue is expected to grow by 11.47% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y58.04%
EPS Next 2Y31.92%
EPS Next 3Y24.76%
EPS Next 5Y18.4%
Revenue Next Year9.4%
Revenue Next 2Y9.1%
Revenue Next 3Y9.2%
Revenue Next 5Y11.47%

3.3 Evolution

The estimated forward Revenue growth is still strong, although it is decreasing when compared to the stronger growth in the past years.
REAL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesREAL Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 500M 1B
REAL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesREAL Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 -0.5 -1 -1.5

1

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

REAL reported negative earnings for the last year, which makes the Price/Earnings Ratio negative.
Besides the negative Price/Earnings Ratio, also the Forward Price/Earnings Ratio is negative for REAL. No positive earnings are expected for the next year.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
REAL Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsREAL Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 0 100 200 300

4.2 Price Multiples

Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
REAL Per share dataREAL EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 2 -2 4

4.3 Compensation for Growth

A more expensive valuation may be justified as REAL's earnings are expected to grow with 24.76% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y31.92%
EPS Next 3Y24.76%

0

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

No dividends for REAL!.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A

REALREAL INC/THE

NASDAQ:REAL (1/21/2025, 8:23:30 PM)

After market: 9.93 0 (0%)

9.93

+0.41 (+4.31%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
GICS IndustrySpecialty Retail
Earnings (Last)11-04 2024-11-04/amc
Earnings (Next)N/A N/A
Inst Owners77.73%
Inst Owner Change-0.22%
Ins Owners14.19%
Ins Owner Change3.54%
Market Cap1.09B
Analysts78.33
Price Target9.28 (-6.55%)
Short Float %15.32%
Short Ratio4
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield N/A
Yearly DividendN/A
Dividend Growth(5Y)N/A
DPN/A
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)8.2%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.84%
Max EPS beat(2)17.24%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)20.83%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.84%
Max EPS beat(4)38.54%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)22.82%
EPS beat(12)10
Avg EPS beat(12)17.54%
EPS beat(16)12
Avg EPS beat(16)12.24%
Revenue beat(2)2
Avg Revenue beat(2)1.84%
Min Revenue beat(2)1.68%
Max Revenue beat(2)2%
Revenue beat(4)3
Avg Revenue beat(4)0.76%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.31%
Max Revenue beat(4)2%
Revenue beat(8)4
Avg Revenue beat(8)0.14%
Revenue beat(12)6
Avg Revenue beat(12)0.3%
Revenue beat(16)8
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.43%
PT rev (1m)100%
PT rev (3m)127.5%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-140.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)5.36%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.2%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)2.27%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE N/A
Fwd PE N/A
P/S 1.88
P/FCF N/A
P/OCF 116.2
P/B N/A
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA N/A
EPS(TTM)-0.41
EYN/A
EPS(NY)-0.23
Fwd EYN/A
FCF(TTM)-0.13
FCFYN/A
OCF(TTM)0.09
OCFY0.86%
SpS5.29
BVpS-3.15
TBVpS-3.15
PEG (NY)N/A
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -21.52%
ROE N/A
ROCE N/A
ROIC N/A
ROICexc N/A
ROICexgc N/A
OM N/A
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 74.42%
FCFM N/A
ROA(3y)-33.63%
ROA(5y)-30.36%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexcg growth 3YN/A
ROICexcg growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y3.07%
GM growth 5Y1.35%
F-Score5
Asset Turnover1.43
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity N/A
Debt/FCF N/A
Debt/EBITDA N/A
Cap/Depr 72.63%
Cap/Sales 4.13%
Interest Coverage N/A
Cash Conversion N/A
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.94
Quick Ratio 0.85
Altman-Z -2.36
F-Score5
WACC8.95%
ROIC/WACCN/A
Cap/Depr(3y)155.99%
Cap/Depr(5y)172.92%
Cap/Sales(3y)7.98%
Cap/Sales(5y)8.73%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)62.73%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%40%
EPS Next Y58.04%
EPS Next 2Y31.92%
EPS Next 3Y24.76%
EPS Next 5Y18.4%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)2.5%
Revenue growth 3Y22.35%
Revenue growth 5Y20.78%
Sales Q2Q%10.95%
Revenue Next Year9.4%
Revenue Next 2Y9.1%
Revenue Next 3Y9.2%
Revenue Next 5Y11.47%
EBIT growth 1Y55.52%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year106.21%
EBIT Next 3Y35.17%
EBIT Next 5Y23.84%
FCF growth 1Y90.28%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y108.22%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A