ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:RCL • LR0008862868
Current stock price
281.09 USD
+7.7 (+2.82%)
Last:
This RCL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. RCL Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- RCL had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year RCL had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In multiple years RCL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- RCL had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- With an excellent Return On Assets value of 10.26%, RCL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 83.33% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Return On Equity of RCL (42.53%) is better than 90.48% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of RCL (13.14%) is better than 79.37% of its industry peers.
- RCL had an Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years of 11.33%. This is in line with the industry average of 10.61%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (13.14%) for RCL is above the 3 year average (11.33%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.26% | ||
| ROE | 42.53% | ||
| ROIC | 13.14% |
ROA(3y)7.62%
ROA(5y)0.03%
ROE(3y)38.83%
ROE(5y)-12.42%
ROIC(3y)11.33%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 23.80%, RCL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.83% of the companies in the same industry.
- RCL has a Operating Margin of 27.41%. This is amongst the best in the industry. RCL outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
- With a Gross Margin value of 50.62%, RCL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of RCL has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 27.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 23.8% | ||
| GM | 50.62% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y23.5%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. RCL Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so RCL is still creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for RCL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- Compared to 5 years ago, RCL has more shares outstanding
- RCL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- RCL has an Altman-Z score of 2.14. This is not the best score and indicates that RCL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- RCL has a Altman-Z score (2.14) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of RCL is 17.27, which is on the high side as it means it would take RCL, 17.27 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of RCL (17.27) is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.81 is on the high side and indicates that RCL has dependencies on debt financing.
- RCL's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.81 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. RCL outperforms 48.41% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.27 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.14 |
ROIC/WACC1.7
WACC7.74%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.18 indicates that RCL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- RCL's Current ratio of 0.18 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. RCL is outperformed by 96.83% of its industry peers.
- A Quick Ratio of 0.16 indicates that RCL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- RCL has a Quick ratio of 0.16. This is amonst the worse of the industry: RCL underperforms 96.83% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.18 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 |
3. RCL Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- RCL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 32.43%, which is quite impressive.
- Looking at the last year, RCL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.80% in the last year.
- RCL shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 52.02% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%71.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.8%
Revenue growth 3Y26.59%
Revenue growth 5Y52.02%
Sales Q2Q%13.21%
3.2 Future
- Based on estimates for the next years, RCL will show a quite strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 13.82% on average per year.
- RCL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will grow by 8.15% yearly.
EPS Next Y16.83%
EPS Next 2Y15.65%
EPS Next 3Y15.37%
EPS Next 5Y13.82%
Revenue Next Year10.09%
Revenue Next 2Y8.73%
Revenue Next 3Y8.8%
Revenue Next 5Y8.15%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. RCL Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- With a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.97, RCL is valued on the expensive side.
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio, RCL is valued a bit cheaper than the industry average as 71.43% of the companies are valued more expensively.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio of 25.50, RCL is valued a bit cheaper.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.38, RCL is valued correctly.
- Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, RCL is valued a bit cheaper than 72.22% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of RCL to the average of the S&P500 Index (22.67), we can say RCL is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.97 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.38 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of RCL indicates a slightly more expensive valuation: RCL is more expensive than 60.32% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- RCL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 61.52 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.24 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- RCL's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of RCL may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as RCL's earnings are expected to grow with 15.37% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.65%
EPS Next 3Y15.37%
5. RCL Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- RCL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.56%.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.09, RCL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- Compared to an average S&P500 Dividend Yield of 1.89, RCL has a dividend comparable with the average S&P500 company.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.56% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of RCL has a limited annual growth rate of 1.16%.
- RCL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- RCL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.16%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- RCL pays out 19.30% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- RCL's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP19.3%
EPS Next 2Y15.65%
EPS Next 3Y15.37%
RCL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
NYSE:RCL (3/25/2026, 2:22:10 PM)
281.09
+7.7 (+2.82%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)01-29 2026-01-29/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/bmo
Inst Owners83.93%
Inst Owner Change0.07%
Ins Owners0.31%
Ins Owner Change0.71%
Market Cap76.04B
Revenue(TTM)17.93B
Net Income(TTM)4.27B
Analysts80.59
Price Target363.17 (29.2%)
Short Float %4.4%
Short Ratio4.65
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.56% |
Yearly Dividend3.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.16%
DP19.3%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-06 2026-03-06 (1.5)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.28%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.94%
Max EPS beat(2)0.37%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.94%
Max EPS beat(4)6.12%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)8.52%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)14.05%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)14.3%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.09%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.09%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.86%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.34%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.71%
PT rev (1m)2.02%
PT rev (3m)7.54%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.14%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.06%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.53%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.72%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.03%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.5%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.97 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.38 | ||
| P/S | 4.24 | ||
| P/FCF | 61.52 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.76 | ||
| P/B | 7.58 | ||
| P/tB | 8.24 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.24 |
EPS(TTM)15.64
EY5.56%
EPS(NY)18.27
Fwd EY6.5%
FCF(TTM)4.57
FCFY1.63%
OCF(TTM)23.9
OCFY8.5%
SpS66.3
BVpS37.1
TBVpS34.11
PEG (NY)1.07
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number114.26
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.26% | ||
| ROE | 42.53% | ||
| ROCE | 16.63% | ||
| ROIC | 13.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 13.51% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.9% | ||
| OM | 27.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 23.8% | ||
| GM | 50.62% | ||
| FCFM | 6.89% |
ROA(3y)7.62%
ROA(5y)0.03%
ROE(3y)38.83%
ROE(5y)-12.42%
ROIC(3y)11.33%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)11.58%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.12%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)14.35%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y23.5%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.27 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.74 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 304.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 29.16% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.69 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 97.45% | ||
| Profit Quality | 28.95% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.18 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.14 |
F-Score8
WACC7.74%
ROIC/WACC1.7
Cap/Depr(3y)258.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)228.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.67%
Cap/Sales(5y)50.64%
Profit Quality(3y)44.18%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%71.78%
EPS Next Y16.83%
EPS Next 2Y15.65%
EPS Next 3Y15.37%
EPS Next 5Y13.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.8%
Revenue growth 3Y26.59%
Revenue growth 5Y52.02%
Sales Q2Q%13.21%
Revenue Next Year10.09%
Revenue Next 2Y8.73%
Revenue Next 3Y8.8%
Revenue Next 5Y8.15%
EBIT growth 1Y19.15%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year58.65%
EBIT Next 3Y24.47%
EBIT Next 5Y16.91%
FCF growth 1Y-38.11%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y22.79%
OCF growth 3Y137.62%
OCF growth 5YN/A
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD / RCL Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to RCL.
What is the valuation status of ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) stock?
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for RCL stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) is expected to grow by 16.83% in the next year.
Is the dividend of ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD sustainable?
The dividend rating of ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.3%.