ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:RCL • LR0008862868
Current stock price
281.53 USD
-0.88 (-0.31%)
At close:
282 USD
+0.47 (+0.17%)
Pre-Market:
This RCL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. RCL Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- RCL had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year RCL had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In multiple years RCL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- RCL had a positive operating cash flow in 4 of the past 5 years.
1.2 Ratios
- RCL has a better Return On Assets (10.26%) than 83.33% of its industry peers.
- RCL's Return On Equity of 42.53% is amongst the best of the industry. RCL outperforms 89.68% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of RCL (13.14%) is better than 80.16% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for RCL is in line with the industry average of 10.55%.
- The last Return On Invested Capital (13.14%) for RCL is above the 3 year average (11.33%), which is a sign of increasing profitability.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.26% | ||
| ROE | 42.53% | ||
| ROIC | 13.14% |
ROA(3y)7.62%
ROA(5y)0.03%
ROE(3y)38.83%
ROE(5y)-12.42%
ROIC(3y)11.33%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- RCL has a better Profit Margin (23.80%) than 96.83% of its industry peers.
- RCL has a better Operating Margin (27.41%) than 92.86% of its industry peers.
- RCL's Gross Margin of 50.62% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. RCL outperforms 57.14% of its industry peers.
- In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of RCL has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 27.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 23.8% | ||
| GM | 50.62% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y23.5%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. RCL Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), so RCL is still creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for RCL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- The number of shares outstanding for RCL has been increased compared to 5 years ago.
- RCL has a better debt/assets ratio than last year.
2.2 Solvency
- RCL has an Altman-Z score of 2.18. This is not the best score and indicates that RCL is in the grey zone with still only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 2.18, RCL is in line with its industry, outperforming 57.14% of the companies in the same industry.
- RCL has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.27. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as RCL would need 17.27 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- RCL has a Debt to FCF ratio (17.27) which is in line with its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.81 is on the high side and indicates that RCL has dependencies on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.81, RCL is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.21% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.27 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.18 |
ROIC/WACC1.7
WACC7.73%
2.3 Liquidity
- RCL has a Current Ratio of 0.18. This is a bad value and indicates that RCL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- RCL has a Current ratio of 0.18. This is amonst the worse of the industry: RCL underperforms 96.83% of its industry peers.
- RCL has a Quick Ratio of 0.18. This is a bad value and indicates that RCL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- RCL has a Quick ratio of 0.16. This is amonst the worse of the industry: RCL underperforms 96.83% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.18 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 |
3. RCL Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- RCL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 32.43%, which is quite impressive.
- Looking at the last year, RCL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.80% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, RCL shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 52.02% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%71.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.8%
Revenue growth 3Y26.59%
Revenue growth 5Y52.02%
Sales Q2Q%13.21%
3.2 Future
- The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 13.82% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.15% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y15.89%
EPS Next 2Y15.26%
EPS Next 3Y14.92%
EPS Next 5Y13.82%
Revenue Next Year10.1%
Revenue Next 2Y8.7%
Revenue Next 3Y8.75%
Revenue Next 5Y8.15%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. RCL Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 18.00, the valuation of RCL can be described as rather expensive.
- 73.02% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than RCL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- When comparing the Price/Earnings ratio of RCL to the average of the S&P500 Index (27.33), we can say RCL is valued slightly cheaper.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 15.53 indicates a correct valuation of RCL.
- 74.60% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than RCL, based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio.
- RCL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 38.16.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.53 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, RCL is valued a bit more expensive than 60.32% of the companies in the same industry.
- RCL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 61.62 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.57 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- RCL's PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- The decent profitability rating of RCL may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as RCL's earnings are expected to grow with 14.92% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.13
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.26%
EPS Next 3Y14.92%
5. RCL Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- RCL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.54%.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.09, RCL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- RCL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.82.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.54% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of RCL has a limited annual growth rate of 1.16%.
- RCL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- The dividend of RCL decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.16%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- RCL pays out 19.30% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of RCL is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP19.3%
EPS Next 2Y15.26%
EPS Next 3Y14.92%
RCL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
281.53
-0.88 (-0.31%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)01-29 2026-01-29/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30/bmo
Inst Owners83.94%
Inst Owner Change-0.01%
Ins Owners0.31%
Ins Owner Change0.73%
Market Cap76.16B
Revenue(TTM)17.93B
Net Income(TTM)4.27B
Analysts80.59
Price Target359.9 (27.84%)
Short Float %4.57%
Short Ratio4.98
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.54% |
Yearly Dividend3.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.16%
DP19.3%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-06 2026-03-06 (1.5)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.28%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.94%
Max EPS beat(2)0.37%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.94%
Max EPS beat(4)6.12%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)8.52%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)14.05%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)14.3%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.09%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.09%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.86%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.34%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.71%
PT rev (1m)-0.9%
PT rev (3m)8.51%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.37%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.62%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.1%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.25%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.28%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.04%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.68%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18 | ||
| Fwd PE | 15.53 | ||
| P/S | 4.25 | ||
| P/FCF | 61.62 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.78 | ||
| P/B | 7.59 | ||
| P/tB | 8.25 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.57 |
EPS(TTM)15.64
EY5.56%
EPS(NY)18.13
Fwd EY6.44%
FCF(TTM)4.57
FCFY1.62%
OCF(TTM)23.9
OCFY8.49%
SpS66.3
BVpS37.1
TBVpS34.11
PEG (NY)1.13
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number114.263 (-59.41%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.26% | ||
| ROE | 42.53% | ||
| ROCE | 16.63% | ||
| ROIC | 13.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 13.51% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.9% | ||
| OM | 27.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 23.8% | ||
| GM | 50.62% | ||
| FCFM | 6.89% |
ROA(3y)7.62%
ROA(5y)0.03%
ROE(3y)38.83%
ROE(5y)-12.42%
ROIC(3y)11.33%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)11.58%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.12%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)14.35%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y23.5%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.27 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.74 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 304.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 29.16% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.69 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 97.45% | ||
| Profit Quality | 28.95% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.18 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.18 |
F-Score8
WACC7.73%
ROIC/WACC1.7
Cap/Depr(3y)258.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)228.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.67%
Cap/Sales(5y)50.64%
Profit Quality(3y)44.18%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%71.78%
EPS Next Y15.89%
EPS Next 2Y15.26%
EPS Next 3Y14.92%
EPS Next 5Y13.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.8%
Revenue growth 3Y26.59%
Revenue growth 5Y52.02%
Sales Q2Q%13.21%
Revenue Next Year10.1%
Revenue Next 2Y8.7%
Revenue Next 3Y8.75%
Revenue Next 5Y8.15%
EBIT growth 1Y19.15%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year57.87%
EBIT Next 3Y24.15%
EBIT Next 5Y16.91%
FCF growth 1Y-38.11%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y22.79%
OCF growth 3Y137.62%
OCF growth 5YN/A
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD / RCL Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to RCL.
What is the valuation status for RCL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD?
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the valuation of ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) is 18 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 7.59.
How sustainable is the dividend of ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) stock?
The dividend rating of ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.3%.