ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:RCL • LR0008862868
Current stock price
271.47 USD
-10.8 (-3.83%)
At close:
274.14 USD
+2.67 (+0.98%)
After Hours:
This RCL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. RCL Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- RCL had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year RCL had a positive cash flow from operations.
- The reported net income has been mixed in the past 5 years: RCL reported negative net income in multiple years.
- Of the past 5 years RCL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- RCL has a Return On Assets of 10.26%. This is amongst the best in the industry. RCL outperforms 83.33% of its industry peers.
- RCL's Return On Equity of 42.53% is amongst the best of the industry. RCL outperforms 89.68% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Invested Capital of RCL (13.14%) is better than 80.16% of its industry peers.
- The Average Return On Invested Capital over the past 3 years for RCL is in line with the industry average of 10.55%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (11.33%) for RCL is below the current ROIC(13.14%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.26% | ||
| ROE | 42.53% | ||
| ROIC | 13.14% |
ROA(3y)7.62%
ROA(5y)0.03%
ROE(3y)38.83%
ROE(5y)-12.42%
ROIC(3y)11.33%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- RCL has a better Profit Margin (23.80%) than 96.83% of its industry peers.
- RCL has a Operating Margin of 27.41%. This is amongst the best in the industry. RCL outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
- RCL has a Gross Margin (50.62%) which is in line with its industry peers.
- RCL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 27.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 23.8% | ||
| GM | 50.62% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y23.5%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. RCL Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- RCL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
- Compared to 1 year ago, RCL has more shares outstanding
- RCL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- The debt/assets ratio for RCL has been reduced compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.19 indicates that RCL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- RCL has a Altman-Z score (2.19) which is in line with its industry peers.
- RCL has a debt to FCF ratio of 17.27. This is a negative value and a sign of low solvency as RCL would need 17.27 years to pay back of all of its debts.
- Looking at the Debt to FCF ratio, with a value of 17.27, RCL is in line with its industry, outperforming 45.24% of the companies in the same industry.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.81 is on the high side and indicates that RCL has dependencies on debt financing.
- RCL's Debt to Equity ratio of 1.81 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. RCL outperforms 49.21% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.27 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.19 |
ROIC/WACC1.71
WACC7.67%
2.3 Liquidity
- RCL has a Current Ratio of 0.18. This is a bad value and indicates that RCL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.18, RCL is doing worse than 96.83% of the companies in the same industry.
- RCL has a Quick Ratio of 0.18. This is a bad value and indicates that RCL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Quick ratio, with a value of 0.16, RCL is doing worse than 96.83% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.18 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 |
3. RCL Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- RCL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 32.43%, which is quite impressive.
- Looking at the last year, RCL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.80% in the last year.
- RCL shows a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 52.02% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%71.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.8%
Revenue growth 3Y26.59%
Revenue growth 5Y52.02%
Sales Q2Q%13.21%
3.2 Future
- RCL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.82% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.15% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y15.89%
EPS Next 2Y15.26%
EPS Next 3Y14.92%
EPS Next 5Y13.82%
Revenue Next Year9.8%
Revenue Next 2Y8.58%
Revenue Next 3Y8.67%
Revenue Next 5Y8.15%
3.3 Evolution
- When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. RCL Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- RCL is valuated rather expensively with a Price/Earnings ratio of 17.36.
- 72.22% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than RCL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 27.71. RCL is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
- With a Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.98, RCL is valued correctly.
- RCL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. RCL is cheaper than 74.60% of the companies in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of RCL to the average of the S&P500 Index (38.09), we can say RCL is valued rather cheaply.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.98 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio of RCL is on the same level as its industry peers.
- RCL's Price/Free Cash Flow ratio is in line with the industry average.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 59.42 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.6 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- RCL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- A more expensive valuation may be justified as RCL's earnings are expected to grow with 14.92% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)1.09
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.26%
EPS Next 3Y14.92%
5. RCL Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- RCL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.60%.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.04, RCL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- RCL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.81.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of RCL has a limited annual growth rate of 1.16%.
- RCL has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
- The dividend of RCL decreased recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.16%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- 19.30% of the earnings are spent on dividend by RCL. This is a low number and sustainable payout ratio.
- RCL's earnings are growing more than its dividend. This makes the dividend growth sustainable.
DP19.3%
EPS Next 2Y15.26%
EPS Next 3Y14.92%
RCL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
271.47
-10.8 (-3.83%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)01-29 2026-01-29/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-30 2026-04-30/bmo
Inst Owners83.94%
Inst Owner Change-0.05%
Ins Owners0.31%
Ins Owner Change0.73%
Market Cap73.44B
Revenue(TTM)17.93B
Net Income(TTM)4.27B
Analysts80.59
Price Target358.28 (31.98%)
Short Float %4.57%
Short Ratio4.98
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.6% |
Yearly Dividend3.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.16%
DP19.3%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-06 2026-03-06 (1.5)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.28%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.94%
Max EPS beat(2)0.37%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.94%
Max EPS beat(4)6.12%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)8.52%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)14.05%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)14.3%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.09%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.09%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.86%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.34%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.71%
PT rev (1m)-1.35%
PT rev (3m)6.83%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.74%
EPS NQ rev (3m)4.39%
EPS NY rev (1m)-0.8%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.1%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0.29%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)1.26%
Revenue NY rev (1m)-0.26%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.45%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.36 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.98 | ||
| P/S | 4.09 | ||
| P/FCF | 59.42 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.36 | ||
| P/B | 7.32 | ||
| P/tB | 7.96 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.6 |
EPS(TTM)15.64
EY5.76%
EPS(NY)18.13
Fwd EY6.68%
FCF(TTM)4.57
FCFY1.68%
OCF(TTM)23.9
OCFY8.8%
SpS66.3
BVpS37.1
TBVpS34.11
PEG (NY)1.09
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number114.263 (-57.91%)
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.26% | ||
| ROE | 42.53% | ||
| ROCE | 16.63% | ||
| ROIC | 13.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 13.51% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.9% | ||
| OM | 27.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 23.8% | ||
| GM | 50.62% | ||
| FCFM | 6.89% |
ROA(3y)7.62%
ROA(5y)0.03%
ROE(3y)38.83%
ROE(5y)-12.42%
ROIC(3y)11.33%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)11.58%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.12%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)14.35%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y23.5%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.27 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.74 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 304.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 29.16% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.69 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 97.45% | ||
| Profit Quality | 28.95% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.18 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.19 |
F-Score8
WACC7.67%
ROIC/WACC1.71
Cap/Depr(3y)258.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)228.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.67%
Cap/Sales(5y)50.64%
Profit Quality(3y)44.18%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%71.78%
EPS Next Y15.89%
EPS Next 2Y15.26%
EPS Next 3Y14.92%
EPS Next 5Y13.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.8%
Revenue growth 3Y26.59%
Revenue growth 5Y52.02%
Sales Q2Q%13.21%
Revenue Next Year9.8%
Revenue Next 2Y8.58%
Revenue Next 3Y8.67%
Revenue Next 5Y8.15%
EBIT growth 1Y19.15%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year57.87%
EBIT Next 3Y24.15%
EBIT Next 5Y16.91%
FCF growth 1Y-38.11%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y22.79%
OCF growth 3Y137.62%
OCF growth 5YN/A
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD / RCL Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to RCL.
What is the valuation status for RCL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 5 / 10 to ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
Can you provide the profitability details for ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD?
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
What is the valuation of ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD based on its PE and PB ratios?
The Price/Earnings (PE) ratio for ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) is 17.36 and the Price/Book (PB) ratio is 7.32.
How sustainable is the dividend of ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) stock?
The dividend rating of ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.3%.