ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) Fundamental Analysis & Valuation
NYSE:RCL • LR0008862868
Current stock price
272.54 USD
+6.05 (+2.27%)
At close:
276.2 USD
+3.66 (+1.34%)
Pre-Market:
This RCL fundamental analysis includes valuation metrics, fair value assessment, financial health analysis, profitability trends, growth metrics and dividend sustainability analysis.
1. RCL Profitability Analysis
1.1 Basic Checks
- RCL had positive earnings in the past year.
- In the past year RCL had a positive cash flow from operations.
- In multiple years RCL reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
- Of the past 5 years RCL 4 years had a positive operating cash flow.
1.2 Ratios
- RCL has a better Return On Assets (10.26%) than 84.13% of its industry peers.
- The Return On Equity of RCL (42.53%) is better than 91.27% of its industry peers.
- RCL has a Return On Invested Capital of 13.14%. This is in the better half of the industry: RCL outperforms 79.37% of its industry peers.
- Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for RCL is in line with the industry average of 10.49%.
- The 3 year average ROIC (11.33%) for RCL is below the current ROIC(13.14%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.26% | ||
| ROE | 42.53% | ||
| ROIC | 13.14% |
ROA(3y)7.62%
ROA(5y)0.03%
ROE(3y)38.83%
ROE(5y)-12.42%
ROIC(3y)11.33%
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
- With an excellent Profit Margin value of 23.80%, RCL belongs to the best of the industry, outperforming 96.83% of the companies in the same industry.
- RCL's Operating Margin of 27.41% is amongst the best of the industry. RCL outperforms 92.86% of its industry peers.
- RCL has a Gross Margin (50.62%) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
- RCL's Gross Margin has improved in the last couple of years.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 27.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 23.8% | ||
| GM | 50.62% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y23.5%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. RCL Health Analysis
2.1 Basic Checks
- With a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), RCL is creating some value.
- The number of shares outstanding for RCL has been increased compared to 1 year ago.
- RCL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
- Compared to 1 year ago, RCL has an improved debt to assets ratio.
2.2 Solvency
- An Altman-Z score of 2.14 indicates that RCL is not a great score, but indicates only limited risk for bankruptcy at the moment.
- With a Altman-Z score value of 2.14, RCL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 58.73% of the companies in the same industry.
- The Debt to FCF ratio of RCL is 17.27, which is on the high side as it means it would take RCL, 17.27 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
- RCL's Debt to FCF ratio of 17.27 is in line compared to the rest of the industry. RCL outperforms 46.03% of its industry peers.
- A Debt/Equity ratio of 1.81 is on the high side and indicates that RCL has dependencies on debt financing.
- Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 1.81, RCL is in line with its industry, outperforming 49.21% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.27 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.14 |
ROIC/WACC1.71
WACC7.69%
2.3 Liquidity
- A Current Ratio of 0.18 indicates that RCL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
- Looking at the Current ratio, with a value of 0.18, RCL is doing worse than 96.83% of the companies in the same industry.
- RCL has a Quick Ratio of 0.18. This is a bad value and indicates that RCL is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
- The Quick ratio of RCL (0.16) is worse than 96.83% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.18 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 |
3. RCL Growth Analysis
3.1 Past
- RCL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 32.43%, which is quite impressive.
- Looking at the last year, RCL shows a quite strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has grown by 8.80% in the last year.
- Measured over the past years, RCL shows a very strong growth in Revenue. The Revenue has been growing by 52.02% on average per year.
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%71.78%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.8%
Revenue growth 3Y26.59%
Revenue growth 5Y52.02%
Sales Q2Q%13.21%
3.2 Future
- RCL is expected to show quite a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the coming years, the EPS will grow by 13.82% yearly.
- The Revenue is expected to grow by 8.15% on average over the next years. This is quite good.
EPS Next Y16.83%
EPS Next 2Y15.65%
EPS Next 3Y15.37%
EPS Next 5Y13.82%
Revenue Next Year10.05%
Revenue Next 2Y8.72%
Revenue Next 3Y8.79%
Revenue Next 5Y8.15%
3.3 Evolution
- The Revenue growth rate is decreasing: in the next years the growth will be less than in the last years.
4. RCL Valuation Analysis
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
- Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 17.43, the valuation of RCL can be described as rather expensive.
- RCL's Price/Earnings ratio is a bit cheaper when compared to the industry. RCL is cheaper than 70.63% of the companies in the same industry.
- The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 25.71. RCL is valued slightly cheaper when compared to this.
- A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 14.92 indicates a correct valuation of RCL.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of RCL indicates a somewhat cheap valuation: RCL is cheaper than 71.43% of the companies listed in the same industry.
- When comparing the Price/Forward Earnings ratio of RCL to the average of the S&P500 Index (23.83), we can say RCL is valued slightly cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.92 |
4.2 Price Multiples
- Based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio, RCL is valued a bit more expensive than 62.70% of the companies in the same industry.
- Compared to the rest of the industry, the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio of RCL is on the same level as its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 59.65 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.21 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
- The PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a correct valuation of the company.
- RCL has a very decent profitability rating, which may justify a higher PE ratio.
- RCL's earnings are expected to grow with 15.37% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)1.04
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y15.65%
EPS Next 3Y15.37%
5. RCL Dividend Analysis
5.1 Amount
- RCL has a Yearly Dividend Yield of 1.59%.
- Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 1.12, RCL pays a bit more dividend than its industry peers.
- RCL's Dividend Yield is comparable with the S&P500 average which is at 1.91.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.59% |
5.2 History
- The dividend of RCL has a limited annual growth rate of 1.16%.
- RCL has been paying a dividend for at least 10 years, so it has a reliable track record.
- RCL has decreased its dividend recently.
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.16%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
5.3 Sustainability
- RCL pays out 19.30% of its income as dividend. This is a sustainable payout ratio.
- The dividend of RCL is growing, but earnings are growing more, so the dividend growth is sustainable.
DP19.3%
EPS Next 2Y15.65%
EPS Next 3Y15.37%
RCL Fundamentals: All Metrics, Ratios and Statistics
272.54
+6.05 (+2.27%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorConsumer Discretionary
GICS IndustryGroupConsumer Services
GICS IndustryHotels, Restaurants & Leisure
Earnings (Last)01-29 2026-01-29/bmo
Earnings (Next)04-27 2026-04-27/bmo
Inst Owners83.93%
Inst Owner Change0.07%
Ins Owners0.31%
Ins Owner Change0.71%
Market Cap73.73B
Revenue(TTM)17.93B
Net Income(TTM)4.27B
Analysts80.59
Price Target363.17 (33.25%)
Short Float %4.4%
Short Ratio4.65
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 1.59% |
Yearly Dividend3.06
Dividend Growth(5Y)1.16%
DP19.3%
Div Incr Years1
Div Non Decr Years1
Ex-Date03-06 2026-03-06 (1.5)
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)-0.28%
Min EPS beat(2)-0.94%
Max EPS beat(2)0.37%
EPS beat(4)3
Avg EPS beat(4)2.77%
Min EPS beat(4)-0.94%
Max EPS beat(4)6.12%
EPS beat(8)7
Avg EPS beat(8)8.52%
EPS beat(12)11
Avg EPS beat(12)14.05%
EPS beat(16)14
Avg EPS beat(16)14.3%
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-1.28%
Min Revenue beat(2)-1.48%
Max Revenue beat(2)-1.09%
Revenue beat(4)0
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.29%
Min Revenue beat(4)-1.48%
Max Revenue beat(4)-1.09%
Revenue beat(8)1
Avg Revenue beat(8)-0.86%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-0.34%
Revenue beat(16)5
Avg Revenue beat(16)-0.71%
PT rev (1m)2.02%
PT rev (3m)7.54%
EPS NQ rev (1m)-0.16%
EPS NQ rev (3m)3.95%
EPS NY rev (1m)0.76%
EPS NY rev (3m)1.53%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)-0.02%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)0.63%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0.23%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.47%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 17.43 | ||
| Fwd PE | 14.92 | ||
| P/S | 4.11 | ||
| P/FCF | 59.65 | ||
| P/OCF | 11.4 | ||
| P/B | 7.35 | ||
| P/tB | 7.99 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 14.21 |
EPS(TTM)15.64
EY5.74%
EPS(NY)18.27
Fwd EY6.7%
FCF(TTM)4.57
FCFY1.68%
OCF(TTM)23.9
OCFY8.77%
SpS66.3
BVpS37.1
TBVpS34.11
PEG (NY)1.04
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham Number114.26
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | 10.26% | ||
| ROE | 42.53% | ||
| ROCE | 16.63% | ||
| ROIC | 13.14% | ||
| ROICexc | 13.51% | ||
| ROICexgc | 13.9% | ||
| OM | 27.41% | ||
| PM (TTM) | 23.8% | ||
| GM | 50.62% | ||
| FCFM | 6.89% |
ROA(3y)7.62%
ROA(5y)0.03%
ROE(3y)38.83%
ROE(5y)-12.42%
ROIC(3y)11.33%
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)11.58%
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)12.12%
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)14.35%
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y23.5%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score8
Asset Turnover0.43
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | 1.81 | ||
| Debt/FCF | 17.27 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 2.74 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 304.37% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 29.16% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 5.69 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 97.45% | ||
| Profit Quality | 28.95% | ||
| Current Ratio | 0.18 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.16 | ||
| Altman-Z | 2.14 |
F-Score8
WACC7.69%
ROIC/WACC1.71
Cap/Depr(3y)258.82%
Cap/Depr(5y)228.31%
Cap/Sales(3y)25.67%
Cap/Sales(5y)50.64%
Profit Quality(3y)44.18%
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)32.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%71.78%
EPS Next Y16.83%
EPS Next 2Y15.65%
EPS Next 3Y15.37%
EPS Next 5Y13.82%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)8.8%
Revenue growth 3Y26.59%
Revenue growth 5Y52.02%
Sales Q2Q%13.21%
Revenue Next Year10.05%
Revenue Next 2Y8.72%
Revenue Next 3Y8.79%
Revenue Next 5Y8.15%
EBIT growth 1Y19.15%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year58.65%
EBIT Next 3Y24.47%
EBIT Next 5Y16.91%
FCF growth 1Y-38.11%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y22.79%
OCF growth 3Y137.62%
OCF growth 5YN/A
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD / RCL Fundamental Analysis FAQ
Can you provide the ChartMill fundamental rating for ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 5 / 10 to RCL.
What is the valuation status of ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 4 / 10 to ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
How profitable is ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) stock?
ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) has a profitability rating of 7 / 10.
Can you provide the expected EPS growth for RCL stock?
The Earnings per Share (EPS) of ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) is expected to grow by 16.83% in the next year.
Is the dividend of ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD sustainable?
The dividend rating of ROYAL CARIBBEAN CRUISES LTD (RCL) is 5 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is 19.3%.