FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INC (RAIL) Stock Fundamental Analysis
USA - NASDAQ:RAIL - US3570231007 - Common Stock
8.89 USD
+0.29 (+3.37%)
8.89 USD
0 (0%)
RAIL gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. The analysis compared the fundamentals against 130 industry peers in the Machinery industry. RAIL may be in some trouble as it scores bad on both profitability and health. RAIL has a correct valuation and a medium growth rate.
1. Profitability
1.1 Basic Checks
In the past year RAIL was profitable.
In the past year RAIL had a positive cash flow from operations.
RAIL had negative earnings in each of the past 5 years.
The reported operating cash flow has been mixed in the past 5 years: RAIL reported negative operating cash flow in multiple years.
1.2 Ratios
RAIL's Return On Assets of -3.14% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. RAIL is outperformed by 73.85% of its industry peers.
Looking at the Return On Invested Capital, with a value of 12.70%, RAIL belongs to the top of the industry, outperforming 80.77% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.14% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROIC | 12.7% |
ROA(3y)-20.78%
ROA(5y)-25.83%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
1.3 Margins
With a Operating Margin value of 6.84%, RAIL perfoms like the industry average, outperforming 43.08% of the companies in the same industry.
RAIL's Gross Margin of 14.90% is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. RAIL is outperformed by 80.77% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of RAIL has grown nicely.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| OM | 6.84% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 14.9% |
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y28.39%
GM growth 5YN/A
2. Health
2.1 Basic Checks
RAIL has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
Compared to 1 year ago, RAIL has more shares outstanding
RAIL has more shares outstanding than it did 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for RAIL is higher compared to a year ago.
2.2 Solvency
Based on the Altman-Z score of 1.58, we must say that RAIL is in the distress zone and has some risk of bankruptcy.
Looking at the Altman-Z score, with a value of 1.58, RAIL is doing worse than 73.85% of the companies in the same industry.
RAIL has a debt to FCF ratio of 4.89. This is a neutral value as RAIL would need 4.89 years to pay back of all of its debts.
RAIL has a Debt to FCF ratio (4.89) which is comparable to the rest of the industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.89 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.58 |
ROIC/WACC1.46
WACC8.71%
2.3 Liquidity
RAIL has a Current Ratio of 1.57. This is a normal value and indicates that RAIL is financially healthy and should not expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Current ratio value of 1.57, RAIL is not doing good in the industry: 71.54% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
A Quick Ratio of 0.75 indicates that RAIL may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
RAIL's Quick ratio of 0.75 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. RAIL is outperformed by 80.00% of its industry peers.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.75 |
3. Growth
3.1 Past
RAIL shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 421.43%, which is quite impressive.
Looking at the last year, RAIL shows a decrease in Revenue. The Revenue has decreased by -6.26% in the last year.
RAIL shows quite a strong growth in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been growing by 19.45% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)421.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%120%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.26%
Revenue growth 3Y40.18%
Revenue growth 5Y19.45%
Sales Q2Q%-19.53%
3.2 Future
Based on estimates for the next years, RAIL will show a very strong growth in Earnings Per Share. The EPS will grow by 24.13% on average per year.
Based on estimates for the next years, RAIL will show a small growth in Revenue. The Revenue will grow by 7.77% on average per year.
EPS Next Y58.67%
EPS Next 2Y39.31%
EPS Next 3Y18.68%
EPS Next 5Y24.13%
Revenue Next Year-1.6%
Revenue Next 2Y2.57%
Revenue Next 3Y4.07%
Revenue Next 5Y7.77%
3.3 Evolution
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is decreasing.
4. Valuation
4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio
A Price/Earnings ratio of 19.76 indicates a rather expensive valuation of RAIL.
67.69% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than RAIL, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
RAIL is valuated rather cheaply when we compare the Price/Earnings ratio to 26.11, which is the current average of the S&P500 Index.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 12.72 indicates a correct valuation of RAIL.
RAIL's Price/Forward Earnings ratio is rather cheap when compared to the industry. RAIL is cheaper than 85.38% of the companies in the same industry.
Compared to an average S&P500 Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 22.55, RAIL is valued a bit cheaper.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.72 |
4.2 Price Multiples
94.62% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than RAIL, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, RAIL is valued cheaper than 97.69% of the companies in the same industry.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| P/FCF | 5.54 | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.83 |
4.3 Compensation for Growth
RAIL's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
RAIL's earnings are expected to grow with 18.68% in the coming years. This may justify a more expensive valuation.
PEG (NY)0.34
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y39.31%
EPS Next 3Y18.68%
5. Dividend
5.1 Amount
RAIL does not give a dividend.
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
8.89
+0.29 (+3.37%)
Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCapital Goods
GICS IndustryMachinery
Earnings (Last)
Earnings (Next)
Inst Owners40.31%
Inst Owner Change-0.45%
Ins Owners15.24%
Ins Owner Change1.29%
Market Cap170.07M
Revenue(TTM)465.86M
Net Income(TTM)-10296000
Analysts85
Price Target14.62 (64.45%)
Short Float %2.08%
Short Ratio2
Dividend
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | N/A |
Yearly Dividend1.51
Dividend Growth(5Y)44.41%
DP-270.62%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)1
Avg EPS beat(2)28.68%
Min EPS beat(2)-38.73%
Max EPS beat(2)96.08%
EPS beat(4)2
Avg EPS beat(4)103.23%
Min EPS beat(4)-38.73%
Max EPS beat(4)357.52%
EPS beat(8)2
Avg EPS beat(8)-58.68%
EPS beat(12)5
Avg EPS beat(12)-41.43%
EPS beat(16)6
Avg EPS beat(16)-51.56%
Revenue beat(2)1
Avg Revenue beat(2)-4.14%
Min Revenue beat(2)-9.51%
Max Revenue beat(2)1.22%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-9.73%
Min Revenue beat(4)-19.44%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.22%
Revenue beat(8)3
Avg Revenue beat(8)-8.56%
Revenue beat(12)4
Avg Revenue beat(12)-8.84%
Revenue beat(16)6
Avg Revenue beat(16)-6.03%
PT rev (1m)7.5%
PT rev (3m)21.13%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)-31.11%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)15.46%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-15.62%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)0.01%
Valuation
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19.76 | ||
| Fwd PE | 12.72 | ||
| P/S | 0.37 | ||
| P/FCF | 5.54 | ||
| P/OCF | 4.95 | ||
| P/B | N/A | ||
| P/tB | N/A | ||
| EV/EBITDA | 6.83 |
EPS(TTM)0.45
EY5.06%
EPS(NY)0.7
Fwd EY7.86%
FCF(TTM)1.6
FCFY18.05%
OCF(TTM)1.8
OCFY20.22%
SpS24.35
BVpS-4.36
TBVpS-4.36
PEG (NY)0.34
PEG (5Y)N/A
Graham NumberN/A
Profitability
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ROA | -3.14% | ||
| ROE | N/A | ||
| ROCE | 16.07% | ||
| ROIC | 12.7% | ||
| ROICexc | 18.38% | ||
| ROICexgc | 18.38% | ||
| OM | 6.84% | ||
| PM (TTM) | N/A | ||
| GM | 14.9% | ||
| FCFM | 6.59% |
ROA(3y)-20.78%
ROA(5y)-25.83%
ROE(3y)N/A
ROE(5y)N/A
ROIC(3y)N/A
ROIC(5y)N/A
ROICexc(3y)N/A
ROICexc(5y)N/A
ROICexgc(3y)N/A
ROICexgc(5y)N/A
ROCE(3y)N/A
ROCE(5y)N/A
ROICexgc growth 3YN/A
ROICexgc growth 5YN/A
ROICexc growth 3YN/A
ROICexc growth 5YN/A
OM growth 3YN/A
OM growth 5YN/A
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y28.39%
GM growth 5YN/A
F-Score3
Asset Turnover1.42
Health
| Industry Rank | Sector Rank | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Debt/Equity | N/A | ||
| Debt/FCF | 4.89 | ||
| Debt/EBITDA | 3.86 | ||
| Cap/Depr | 61.48% | ||
| Cap/Sales | 0.79% | ||
| Interest Coverage | 4.76 | ||
| Cash Conversion | 90.77% | ||
| Profit Quality | N/A | ||
| Current Ratio | 1.57 | ||
| Quick Ratio | 0.75 | ||
| Altman-Z | 1.58 |
F-Score3
WACC8.71%
ROIC/WACC1.46
Cap/Depr(3y)184.51%
Cap/Depr(5y)142.71%
Cap/Sales(3y)2.2%
Cap/Sales(5y)3.35%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)421.43%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5YN/A
EPS Q2Q%120%
EPS Next Y58.67%
EPS Next 2Y39.31%
EPS Next 3Y18.68%
EPS Next 5Y24.13%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-6.26%
Revenue growth 3Y40.18%
Revenue growth 5Y19.45%
Sales Q2Q%-19.53%
Revenue Next Year-1.6%
Revenue Next 2Y2.57%
Revenue Next 3Y4.07%
Revenue Next 5Y7.77%
EBIT growth 1Y60.26%
EBIT growth 3YN/A
EBIT growth 5YN/A
EBIT Next Year41.05%
EBIT Next 3Y19.15%
EBIT Next 5Y17.32%
FCF growth 1Y241.44%
FCF growth 3YN/A
FCF growth 5YN/A
OCF growth 1Y393.85%
OCF growth 3YN/A
OCF growth 5YN/A
FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INC / RAIL FAQ
What is the fundamental rating for RAIL stock?
ChartMill assigns a fundamental rating of 3 / 10 to RAIL.
What is the valuation status for RAIL stock?
ChartMill assigns a valuation rating of 6 / 10 to FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INC (RAIL). This can be considered as Fairly Valued.
What is the profitability of RAIL stock?
FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INC (RAIL) has a profitability rating of 2 / 10.
What is the financial health of FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INC (RAIL) stock?
The financial health rating of FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INC (RAIL) is 1 / 10.
How sustainable is the dividend of FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INC (RAIL) stock?
The dividend rating of FREIGHTCAR AMERICA INC (RAIL) is 0 / 10 and the dividend payout ratio is -270.62%.