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QUAD GRAPHICS INC (QUAD) Stock Fundamental Analysis

NYSE:QUAD - New York Stock Exchange, Inc. - US7473011093 - Common Stock - Currency: USD

7.16  +0.04 (+0.56%)

Fundamental Rating

3

Overall QUAD gets a fundamental rating of 3 out of 10. We evaluated QUAD against 84 industry peers in the Commercial Services & Supplies industry. QUAD has a medium profitability rating, but doesn't score so well on its financial health evaluation. QUAD has a bad growth rate and is valued cheaply.


Dividend Valuation Growth Profitability Health

4

1. Profitability

1.1 Basic Checks

In the past year QUAD was profitable.
QUAD had a positive operating cash flow in the past year.
In multiple years QUAD reported negative net income over the last 5 years.
QUAD had a positive operating cash flow in each of the past 5 years.
QUAD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFQUAD Yearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCFYearly Net Income VS EBIT VS OCF VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M -400M -600M

1.2 Ratios

Looking at the Return On Assets, with a value of -5.59%, QUAD is doing worse than 71.95% of the companies in the same industry.
The Return On Equity of QUAD (-152.46%) is worse than 86.59% of its industry peers.
The Return On Invested Capital of QUAD (13.22%) is better than 84.15% of its industry peers.
Measured over the past 3 years, the Average Return On Invested Capital for QUAD is in line with the industry average of 10.07%.
The 3 year average ROIC (9.10%) for QUAD is below the current ROIC(13.22%), indicating increased profibility in the last year.
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -5.59%
ROE -152.46%
ROIC 13.22%
ROA(3y)-0.37%
ROA(5y)-2.85%
ROE(3y)-4.45%
ROE(5y)-46.98%
ROIC(3y)9.1%
ROIC(5y)7.67%
QUAD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICQUAD Yearly ROA, ROE, ROICYearly ROA, ROE, ROIC 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 -50 -100 -150

1.3 Margins

QUAD's Operating Margin of 4.20% is in line compared to the rest of the industry. QUAD outperforms 41.46% of its industry peers.
QUAD's Operating Margin has declined in the last couple of years.
QUAD has a worse Gross Margin (20.93%) than 69.51% of its industry peers.
In the last couple of years the Gross Margin of QUAD has remained more or less at the same level.
Industry RankSector Rank
OM 4.2%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 20.93%
OM growth 3Y9.39%
OM growth 5Y-6.11%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.35%
GM growth 5Y0.32%
QUAD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsQUAD Yearly Profit, Operating, Gross MarginsYearly Profit, Operating, Gross Margins 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 10 -10 20

1

2. Health

2.1 Basic Checks

QUAD has a Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), which is just above the Cost of Capital (WACC), which means it is creating some value.
The number of shares outstanding for QUAD has been reduced compared to 1 year ago.
The number of shares outstanding for QUAD has been reduced compared to 5 years ago.
The debt/assets ratio for QUAD is higher compared to a year ago.
QUAD Yearly Shares OutstandingQUAD Yearly Shares OutstandingYearly Shares Outstanding 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 10M 20M 30M 40M 50M
QUAD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsQUAD Yearly Total Debt VS Total AssetsYearly Total Debt VS Total Assets 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 500M 1B 1.5B 2B 2.5B

2.2 Solvency

QUAD has an Altman-Z score of 1.69. This is a bad value and indicates that QUAD is not financially healthy and even has some risk of bankruptcy.
QUAD has a Altman-Z score of 1.69. This is in the lower half of the industry: QUAD underperforms 62.20% of its industry peers.
The Debt to FCF ratio of QUAD is 139.67, which is on the high side as it means it would take QUAD, 139.67 years of fcf income to pay off all of its debts.
QUAD's Debt to FCF ratio of 139.67 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. QUAD is outperformed by 62.20% of its industry peers.
QUAD has a Debt/Equity ratio of 8.35. This is a high value indicating a heavy dependency on external financing.
Looking at the Debt to Equity ratio, with a value of 8.35, QUAD is doing worse than 91.46% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.35
Debt/FCF 139.67
Altman-Z 1.69
ROIC/WACC1.29
WACC10.28%
QUAD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFQUAD Yearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCFYearly LT Debt VS Equity VS FCF 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M 1B

2.3 Liquidity

A Current Ratio of 0.85 indicates that QUAD may have some problems paying its short term obligations.
QUAD's Current ratio of 0.85 is on the low side compared to the rest of the industry. QUAD is outperformed by 85.37% of its industry peers.
QUAD has a Quick Ratio of 0.85. This is a bad value and indicates that QUAD is not financially healthy enough and could expect problems in meeting its short term obligations.
With a Quick ratio value of 0.56, QUAD is not doing good in the industry: 90.24% of the companies in the same industry are doing better.
Industry RankSector Rank
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.56
QUAD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesQUAD Yearly Current Assets VS Current LiabilitesYearly Current Assets VS Current Liabilites 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 200M 400M 600M 800M

3

3. Growth

3.1 Past

The Earnings Per Share has been growing slightly by 2.90% over the past year.
QUAD shows a very negative growth in Earnings Per Share. Measured over the last years, the EPS has been decreasing by -22.21% yearly.
QUAD shows a decrease in Revenue. In the last year, the revenue decreased by -9.93%.
QUAD shows a decrease in Revenue. Measured over the last years, the Revenue has been decreasing by -5.79% yearly.
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.9%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-22.21%
EPS Q2Q%136.36%
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.93%
Revenue growth 3Y0.32%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.79%
Sales Q2Q%-3.63%

3.2 Future

The Earnings Per Share is expected to grow by 97.47% on average over the next years. This is a very strong growth
QUAD is expected to show a decrease in Revenue. In the coming years, the Revenue will decrease by -3.67% yearly.
EPS Next Y73%
EPS Next 2Y51.99%
EPS Next 3Y97.47%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue Next Year-8.14%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.97%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.67%
Revenue Next 5YN/A

3.3 Evolution

The EPS growth rate is accelerating: in the next years the growth will be better than in the last years.
When comparing the Revenue growth rate of the last years to the growth rate of the upcoming years, we see that the growth is accelerating.
QUAD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesQUAD Yearly Revenue VS EstimatesYearly Revenue VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1B 2B 3B 4B
QUAD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesQUAD Yearly EPS VS EstimatesYearly EPS VS Estimates 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 1 2 3

7

4. Valuation

4.1 Price/Earnings Ratio

Based on the Price/Earnings ratio of 10.08, the valuation of QUAD can be described as reasonable.
90.24% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than QUAD, based on the Price/Earnings ratio.
The average S&P500 Price/Earnings ratio is at 28.47. QUAD is valued rather cheaply when compared to this.
A Price/Forward Earnings ratio of 6.08 indicates a rather cheap valuation of QUAD.
Based on the Price/Forward Earnings ratio, QUAD is valued cheaper than 98.78% of the companies in the same industry.
QUAD's Price/Forward Earnings ratio indicates a rather cheap valuation when compared to the S&P500 average which is at 92.74.
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.08
Fwd PE 6.08
QUAD Price Earnings VS Forward Price EarningsQUAD Price Earnings VS Forward Price Earnings ChartPrice Earnings - Forward Price Earnings PE FPE 20 40 60 80

4.2 Price Multiples

96.34% of the companies in the same industry are more expensive than QUAD, based on the Enterprise Value to EBITDA ratio.
Based on the Price/Free Cash Flow ratio, QUAD is valued a bit more expensive than 60.98% of the companies in the same industry.
Industry RankSector Rank
P/FCF 103.66
EV/EBITDA 3.81
QUAD Per share dataQUAD EPS, Sales, OCF, FCF, BookValue per sharePer Share Data Per Share 0 10 20 30 40 50

4.3 Compensation for Growth

QUAD's low PEG Ratio(NY), which compensates the Price/Earnings for growth, indicates a rather cheap valuation of the company.
A more expensive valuation may be justified as QUAD's earnings are expected to grow with 97.47% in the coming years.
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)N/A
EPS Next 2Y51.99%
EPS Next 3Y97.47%

4

5. Dividend

5.1 Amount

With a Yearly Dividend Yield of 2.85%, QUAD has a reasonable but not impressive dividend return.
Compared to an average industry Dividend Yield of 2.06, QUAD pays a better dividend. On top of this QUAD pays more dividend than 89.02% of the companies listed in the same industry.
QUAD's Dividend Yield is a higher than the S&P500 average which is at 2.28.
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.85%

5.2 History

The dividend of QUAD decreases each year by -72.53%.
QUAD has paid a dividend for at least 10 years, which is a reliable track record.
Dividend Growth(5Y)-72.53%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
QUAD Yearly Dividends per shareQUAD Yearly Dividends per shareYearly Dividends per share 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2024 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

5.3 Sustainability

QUAD has negative earnings and hence a negative payout ratio. The dividend may be in danger.
DP-9.02%
EPS Next 2Y51.99%
EPS Next 3Y97.47%
QUAD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendQUAD Yearly Income VS Free CF VS DividendYearly Income VS Free CF VS Dividend 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 0 200M -200M -400M -600M

QUAD GRAPHICS INC

NYSE:QUAD (2/5/2025, 10:33:49 AM)

7.16

+0.04 (+0.56%)

Chartmill FA Rating
GICS SectorIndustrials
GICS IndustryGroupCommercial & Professional Services
GICS IndustryCommercial Services & Supplies
Earnings (Last)10-28 2024-10-28/amc
Earnings (Next)02-18 2025-02-18/amc
Inst Owners51.64%
Inst Owner Change0.3%
Ins Owners15.65%
Ins Owner Change5.89%
Market Cap373.18M
Analysts85
Price Target10.35 (44.55%)
Short Float %4.56%
Short Ratio4.97
Dividend
Industry RankSector Rank
Dividend Yield 2.85%
Yearly Dividend0
Dividend Growth(5Y)-72.53%
DP-9.02%
Div Incr Years0
Div Non Decr Years0
Ex-DateN/A
Surprises & Revisions
EPS beat(2)2
Avg EPS beat(2)23.44%
Min EPS beat(2)8.47%
Max EPS beat(2)38.41%
EPS beat(4)4
Avg EPS beat(4)127.63%
Min EPS beat(4)8.47%
Max EPS beat(4)390.2%
EPS beat(8)N/A
Avg EPS beat(8)N/A
EPS beat(12)N/A
Avg EPS beat(12)N/A
EPS beat(16)N/A
Avg EPS beat(16)N/A
Revenue beat(2)0
Avg Revenue beat(2)-3.23%
Min Revenue beat(2)-6.26%
Max Revenue beat(2)-0.21%
Revenue beat(4)1
Avg Revenue beat(4)-1.4%
Min Revenue beat(4)-6.26%
Max Revenue beat(4)1.85%
Revenue beat(8)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(8)N/A
Revenue beat(12)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(12)N/A
Revenue beat(16)N/A
Avg Revenue beat(16)N/A
PT rev (1m)0%
PT rev (3m)26.09%
EPS NQ rev (1m)0%
EPS NQ rev (3m)1.32%
EPS NY rev (1m)0%
EPS NY rev (3m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (1m)0%
Revenue NQ rev (3m)-4.97%
Revenue NY rev (1m)0%
Revenue NY rev (3m)-0.33%
Valuation
Industry RankSector Rank
PE 10.08
Fwd PE 6.08
P/S 0.14
P/FCF 103.66
P/OCF 6.16
P/B 7.33
P/tB N/A
EV/EBITDA 3.81
EPS(TTM)0.71
EY9.92%
EPS(NY)1.18
Fwd EY16.45%
FCF(TTM)0.07
FCFY0.96%
OCF(TTM)1.16
OCFY16.24%
SpS52.8
BVpS0.98
TBVpS-1.15
PEG (NY)0.14
PEG (5Y)N/A
Profitability
Industry RankSector Rank
ROA -5.59%
ROE -152.46%
ROCE 16.74%
ROIC 13.22%
ROICexc 13.47%
ROICexgc 16.1%
OM 4.2%
PM (TTM) N/A
GM 20.93%
FCFM 0.13%
ROA(3y)-0.37%
ROA(5y)-2.85%
ROE(3y)-4.45%
ROE(5y)-46.98%
ROIC(3y)9.1%
ROIC(5y)7.67%
ROICexc(3y)10.07%
ROICexc(5y)8.36%
ROICexgc(3y)12.37%
ROICexgc(5y)10.2%
ROCE(3y)11.52%
ROCE(5y)9.71%
ROICexcg growth 3Y33.87%
ROICexcg growth 5Y6.68%
ROICexc growth 3Y33.15%
ROICexc growth 5Y4.71%
OM growth 3Y9.39%
OM growth 5Y-6.11%
PM growth 3YN/A
PM growth 5YN/A
GM growth 3Y-1.35%
GM growth 5Y0.32%
F-Score6
Asset Turnover1.98
Health
Industry RankSector Rank
Debt/Equity 8.35
Debt/FCF 139.67
Debt/EBITDA 1.88
Cap/Depr 51.58%
Cap/Sales 2.07%
Interest Coverage 250
Cash Conversion 26.8%
Profit Quality N/A
Current Ratio 0.85
Quick Ratio 0.56
Altman-Z 1.69
F-Score6
WACC10.28%
ROIC/WACC1.29
Cap/Depr(3y)43.14%
Cap/Depr(5y)42.55%
Cap/Sales(3y)1.99%
Cap/Sales(5y)2.17%
Profit Quality(3y)N/A
Profit Quality(5y)N/A
High Growth Momentum
Growth
EPS 1Y (TTM)2.9%
EPS 3YN/A
EPS 5Y-22.21%
EPS Q2Q%136.36%
EPS Next Y73%
EPS Next 2Y51.99%
EPS Next 3Y97.47%
EPS Next 5YN/A
Revenue 1Y (TTM)-9.93%
Revenue growth 3Y0.32%
Revenue growth 5Y-5.79%
Sales Q2Q%-3.63%
Revenue Next Year-8.14%
Revenue Next 2Y-7.97%
Revenue Next 3Y-3.67%
Revenue Next 5YN/A
EBIT growth 1Y5%
EBIT growth 3Y9.73%
EBIT growth 5Y-11.55%
EBIT Next Year421.39%
EBIT Next 3Y88.85%
EBIT Next 5YN/A
FCF growth 1Y-86.26%
FCF growth 3Y-15.92%
FCF growth 5Y-14.11%
OCF growth 1Y-27.94%
OCF growth 3Y-8.1%
OCF growth 5Y-10.75%